Base Set
A $874.91 Base Set pack returns $85.47 in expected card value on average — 10% of what you paid.
No official TCGPlayer pull-rate article covers Base Set, so these odds come from loosepacks.com, which discloses a 288-pack sample. A stated count is the difference between a measured rate and a confident guess, so it is recorded here whenever a source gives one.
About this set
A sealed Base Set pack sells for about $900, and its most valuable card, the holo Charizard at around $990, is worth only slightly more than that. About one pack in three has a holo rare in its rare slot, and with 16 holos in the set, a specific one, Charizard included, is about a one-in-48-pack pull.
On those odds a pack returns about a tenth of its price, the clearest example on this site that vintage sealed product is priced as a collectible, not as cards waiting to be opened. Our rates come from a 288-pack sample compiled by loosepacks.com. (Written November 2026. Returns quoted here count every card in the pack, whatever its value; prices move daily, and the figures above are current.)
How these figures are calculated, including the sourcing bar and what this model deliberately does not do.
- Pack EV: $85.47
- Cheapest pack: $874.91 (Base Set Booster Pack [Revised Unlimited Edition])
- Cards: 102
Products in this set
| Product | Price | Expected value | Expected return |
|---|---|---|---|
| Base Set Booster Pack [Revised Unlimited Edition] | $874.91 | $85.47 | 10% |
| Base Set Booster Box [Revised Unlimited Edition] | — | $3077.05 | TBD |
Where to buy
Base Set Booster Pack [Revised Unlimited Edition] · Base Set Booster Box [Revised Unlimited Edition]
Expected return by product type
| Product | Price per pack | Expected return |
|---|---|---|
| Booster Pack | $874.91 | 10% |
Pull rates (source: community_estimate)
| Rarity | Pull rate | Sample |
|---|---|---|
| Holo Rare | 33.33% | n=288 |
| Rare | 66.67% | |
| Common | 700% | |
| Uncommon | 300% |
Cards & odds
| Card | Rarity | Market price | Odds | Cost to pull |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charizard | Holo Rare | $987.13 | 1 in 48 (2.08%) | $37773.54 |
| Blastoise | Holo Rare | $234.49 | 1 in 48 (2.08%) | $37773.54 |
| Venusaur | Holo Rare | $137.40 | 1 in 48 (2.08%) | $37773.54 |
| Mewtwo | Holo Rare | $85.05 | 1 in 48 (2.08%) | $37773.54 |
| Alakazam | Holo Rare | $76.15 | 1 in 48 (2.08%) | $37773.54 |
| Raichu | Holo Rare | $62.61 | 1 in 48 (2.08%) | $37773.54 |
| Gyarados | Holo Rare | $58.40 | 1 in 48 (2.08%) | $37773.54 |
| Zapdos | Holo Rare | $56.72 | 1 in 48 (2.08%) | $37773.54 |
| Chansey | Holo Rare | $54.91 | 1 in 48 (2.08%) | $37773.54 |
| Clefairy | Holo Rare | $46.27 | 1 in 48 (2.08%) | $37773.54 |
| Nidoking | Holo Rare | $41.59 | 1 in 48 (2.08%) | $37773.54 |
| Ninetales | Holo Rare | $38.25 | 1 in 48 (2.08%) | $37773.54 |
| Poliwrath | Holo Rare | $34.52 | 1 in 48 (2.08%) | $37773.54 |
| Magneton | Holo Rare | $30.72 | 1 in 48 (2.08%) | $37773.54 |
| Hitmonchan | Holo Rare | $19.81 | 1 in 48 (2.08%) | $37773.54 |
| Dragonair | Rare | $19.40 | 1 in 24 (4.17%) | TBD |
| Dugtrio | Rare | $13.35 | 1 in 24 (4.17%) | TBD |
| Electabuzz | Rare | $10.19 | 1 in 24 (4.17%) | TBD |
| Scoop Up | Rare | $10.08 | 1 in 24 (4.17%) | TBD |
| Electrode | Rare | $9.82 | 1 in 24 (4.17%) | TBD |
| Pidgeotto | Rare | $9.64 | 1 in 24 (4.17%) | TBD |
| Wartortle | Uncommon | $9.60 | 1 in 11 (9.38%) | TBD |
| Item Finder | Rare | $8.74 | 1 in 24 (4.17%) | TBD |
| Pikachu | Common | $8.22 | 1 in 5 (18.42%) | TBD |
| Clefairy Doll | Rare | $7.99 | 1 in 24 (4.17%) | TBD |
| Pokemon Breeder | Rare | $7.96 | 1 in 24 (4.17%) | TBD |
| Imposter Professor Oak | Rare | $7.76 | 1 in 24 (4.17%) | TBD |
| Squirtle | Common | $6.92 | 1 in 5 (18.42%) | TBD |
| Devolution Spray | Rare | $6.75 | 1 in 24 (4.17%) | TBD |
| Beedrill | Rare | $6.40 | 1 in 24 (4.17%) | TBD |
| Double Colorless Energy | Uncommon | $6.35 | 1 in 11 (9.38%) | TBD |
| Ivysaur | Uncommon | $5.57 | 1 in 11 (9.38%) | TBD |
| Pokemon Trader | Rare | $5.48 | 1 in 24 (4.17%) | TBD |
| Bulbasaur | Common | $4.64 | 1 in 5 (18.42%) | TBD |
| Dewgong | Uncommon | $4.50 | 1 in 11 (9.38%) | TBD |
| Computer Search | Rare | $4.38 | 1 in 24 (4.17%) | TBD |
| Charmeleon | Uncommon | $4.33 | 1 in 11 (9.38%) | TBD |
| Super Energy Removal | Rare | $4.18 | 1 in 24 (4.17%) | TBD |
| Arcanine | Uncommon | $4.12 | 1 in 11 (9.38%) | TBD |
| Nidorino | Uncommon | $4.11 | 1 in 11 (9.38%) | TBD |
| Magikarp | Uncommon | $3.83 | 1 in 11 (9.38%) | TBD |
| Lass | Rare | $3.63 | 1 in 24 (4.17%) | TBD |
| Porygon | Uncommon | $3.56 | 1 in 11 (9.38%) | TBD |
| Kadabra | Uncommon | $3.32 | 1 in 11 (9.38%) | TBD |
| Raticate | Uncommon | $3.10 | 1 in 11 (9.38%) | TBD |
| Pokemon Flute | Uncommon | $3.04 | 1 in 11 (9.38%) | TBD |
| Charmander | Common | $2.99 | 1 in 5 (18.42%) | TBD |
| Magmar | Uncommon | $2.80 | 1 in 11 (9.38%) | TBD |
| Dratini | Uncommon | $2.79 | 1 in 11 (9.38%) | TBD |
| Maintenance | Uncommon | $2.74 | 1 in 11 (9.38%) | TBD |
| Voltorb | Common | $2.62 | 1 in 5 (18.42%) | TBD |
| Revive | Uncommon | $2.57 | 1 in 11 (9.38%) | TBD |
| Haunter | Uncommon | $2.52 | 1 in 11 (9.38%) | TBD |
| Farfetch'd | Uncommon | $2.38 | 1 in 11 (9.38%) | TBD |
| Poliwhirl | Uncommon | $2.10 | 1 in 11 (9.38%) | TBD |
| Abra | Common | $1.98 | 1 in 5 (18.42%) | TBD |
| Pidgey | Common | $1.70 | 1 in 5 (18.42%) | TBD |
| Full Heal | Uncommon | $1.63 | 1 in 11 (9.38%) | TBD |
| Pokemon Center | Uncommon | $1.47 | 1 in 11 (9.38%) | TBD |
| Professor Oak | Uncommon | $1.39 | 1 in 11 (9.38%) | TBD |
| Seel | Uncommon | $1.30 | 1 in 11 (9.38%) | TBD |
| Defender | Uncommon | $1.30 | 1 in 11 (9.38%) | TBD |
| Kakuna | Uncommon | $1.28 | 1 in 11 (9.38%) | TBD |
| Caterpie | Common | $1.28 | 1 in 5 (18.42%) | TBD |
| Growlithe | Uncommon | $1.21 | 1 in 11 (9.38%) | TBD |
| Onix | Common | $1.19 | 1 in 5 (18.42%) | TBD |
| Doduo | Common | $1.14 | 1 in 5 (18.42%) | TBD |
| Jynx | Uncommon | $1.09 | 1 in 11 (9.38%) | TBD |
| Metapod | Common | $1.08 | 1 in 5 (18.42%) | TBD |
| Nidoran M | Common | $1.06 | 1 in 5 (18.42%) | TBD |
| Ponyta | Common | $1.04 | 1 in 5 (18.42%) | TBD |
| Sandshrew | Common | $1.00 | 1 in 5 (18.42%) | TBD |
| Machoke | Uncommon | $0.99 | 1 in 11 (9.38%) | TBD |
| Gastly | Common | $0.98 | 1 in 5 (18.42%) | TBD |
| Tangela | Common | $0.97 | 1 in 5 (18.42%) | TBD |
| Starmie | Common | $0.92 | 1 in 5 (18.42%) | TBD |
| Koffing | Common | $0.90 | 1 in 5 (18.42%) | TBD |
| Vulpix | Common | $0.88 | 1 in 5 (18.42%) | TBD |
| Drowzee | Common | $0.86 | 1 in 5 (18.42%) | TBD |
| Diglett | Common | $0.85 | 1 in 5 (18.42%) | TBD |
| Rattata | Common | $0.80 | 1 in 5 (18.42%) | TBD |
| Poliwag | Common | $0.79 | 1 in 5 (18.42%) | TBD |
| Staryu | Common | $0.76 | 1 in 5 (18.42%) | TBD |
| PlusPower | Uncommon | $0.68 | 1 in 11 (9.38%) | TBD |
| Machop | Common | $0.62 | 1 in 5 (18.42%) | TBD |
| Magnemite | Common | $0.61 | 1 in 5 (18.42%) | TBD |
| Pokedex | Uncommon | $0.59 | 1 in 11 (9.38%) | TBD |
| Energy Retrieval | Uncommon | $0.58 | 1 in 11 (9.38%) | TBD |
| Weedle | Common | $0.56 | 1 in 5 (18.42%) | TBD |
| Lightning Energy | Common | $0.51 | 1 in 5 (18.42%) | TBD |
| Psychic Energy | Common | $0.51 | 1 in 5 (18.42%) | TBD |
| Energy Removal | Common | $0.48 | 1 in 5 (18.42%) | TBD |
| Fire Energy | Common | $0.47 | 1 in 5 (18.42%) | TBD |
| Water Energy | Common | $0.45 | 1 in 5 (18.42%) | TBD |
| Bill | Common | $0.41 | 1 in 5 (18.42%) | TBD |
| Grass Energy | Common | $0.40 | 1 in 5 (18.42%) | TBD |
| Switch | Common | $0.37 | 1 in 5 (18.42%) | TBD |
| Super Potion | Uncommon | $0.36 | 1 in 11 (9.38%) | TBD |
| Gust of Wind | Common | $0.34 | 1 in 5 (18.42%) | TBD |
| Fighting Energy | Common | $0.33 | 1 in 5 (18.42%) | TBD |
| Potion | Common | $0.29 | 1 in 5 (18.42%) | TBD |
| Charizard (Black Dot Error) | Holo Rare | — | 1 in 48 (2.08%) | $37773.54 |