
A $459.26 Base Set 2 pack returns $53.79 in expected card value on average — 12% of what you paid.
No official TCGPlayer pull-rate article covers Base Set 2. These odds come from elitefourum.com, which publishes a rate for each tier but does not say how many packs it counted to get there — so read them as indicative rather than measured. They are here because they are the best published figures for this set, and naming that limit is better than implying a precision the source never claimed.
How these figures are calculated, including the sourcing bar and what this model deliberately does not do.
| Product | Price | Expected value | Expected return |
|---|---|---|---|
| Base Set 2 Booster Pack | $459.26 | $53.79 | 12% |
| Base Set 2 Booster Box | — | $1936.38 | TBD |
Base Set 2 Booster Pack · Base Set 2 Booster Box
| Product | Price per pack | Expected return |
|---|---|---|
| Booster Pack | $459.26 | 12% |
| Rarity | Pull rate | Sample |
|---|---|---|
| Holo Rare | 33.33% | |
| Rare | 66.67% | |
| Common | 600% | |
| Uncommon | 300% |
| Card | Rarity | Market price | Odds | Cost to pull |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charizard | Holo Rare | $513.67 | 1 in 60 (1.67%) | TBD |
| Mewtwo | Holo Rare | $164.62 | 1 in 60 (1.67%) | TBD |
| Blastoise | Holo Rare | $153.23 | 1 in 60 (1.67%) | TBD |
| Venusaur | Holo Rare | $117.47 | 1 in 60 (1.67%) | TBD |
| Gyarados | Holo Rare | $61.82 | 1 in 60 (1.67%) | TBD |
| Raichu | Holo Rare | $60.73 | 1 in 60 (1.67%) | TBD |
| Alakazam | Holo Rare | $53.09 | 1 in 60 (1.67%) | TBD |
| Zapdos | Holo Rare | $45.35 | 1 in 60 (1.67%) | TBD |
| Nidoking | Holo Rare | $43.44 | 1 in 60 (1.67%) | TBD |
| Pidgeot | Holo Rare | $41.58 | 1 in 60 (1.67%) | TBD |
| Scyther | Holo Rare | $40.97 | 1 in 60 (1.67%) | TBD |
| Nidoqueen | Holo Rare | $40.29 | 1 in 60 (1.67%) | TBD |
| Ninetales | Holo Rare | $36.80 | 1 in 60 (1.67%) | TBD |
| Chansey | Holo Rare | $33.31 | 1 in 60 (1.67%) | TBD |
| Clefable | Holo Rare | $30.82 | 1 in 60 (1.67%) | TBD |
| Snorlax | Rare | $30.42 | 1 in 30 (3.33%) | TBD |
| Magneton | Holo Rare | $27.66 | 1 in 60 (1.67%) | TBD |
| Clefairy | Holo Rare | $26.49 | 1 in 60 (1.67%) | TBD |
| Hitmonchan | Holo Rare | $26.49 | 1 in 60 (1.67%) | TBD |
| Wigglytuff | Holo Rare | $22.75 | 1 in 60 (1.67%) | TBD |
| Poliwrath | Holo Rare | $22.13 | 1 in 60 (1.67%) | TBD |
| Dragonair | Rare | $16.08 | 1 in 30 (3.33%) | TBD |
| Electrode | Rare | $8.75 | 1 in 30 (3.33%) | TBD |
| Ivysaur | Uncommon | $7.46 | 1 in 14 (7.14%) | TBD |
| Item Finder | Rare | $7.07 | 1 in 30 (3.33%) | TBD |
| Victreebel | Rare | $6.33 | 1 in 30 (3.33%) | TBD |
| Mr. Mime | Rare | $6.15 | 1 in 30 (3.33%) | TBD |
| Scoop Up | Rare | $5.21 | 1 in 30 (3.33%) | TBD |
| Pidgeotto | Rare | $5.11 | 1 in 30 (3.33%) | TBD |
| Pikachu | Common | $4.75 | 1 in 8 (12.5%) | TBD |
| Pokemon Breeder | Rare | $4.73 | 1 in 30 (3.33%) | TBD |
| Venomoth | Rare | $4.69 | 1 in 30 (3.33%) | TBD |
| Bulbasaur | Common | $4.56 | 1 in 8 (12.5%) | TBD |
| Dugtrio | Rare | $4.49 | 1 in 30 (3.33%) | TBD |
| Kangaskhan | Rare | $4.39 | 1 in 30 (3.33%) | TBD |
| Pinsir | Rare | $4.19 | 1 in 30 (3.33%) | TBD |
| Electabuzz | Rare | $4.18 | 1 in 30 (3.33%) | TBD |
| Dodrio | Uncommon | $4.05 | 1 in 14 (7.14%) | TBD |
| Tauros | Uncommon | $3.65 | 1 in 14 (7.14%) | TBD |
| Persian | Uncommon | $3.64 | 1 in 14 (7.14%) | TBD |
| Pokemon Trader | Rare | $3.50 | 1 in 30 (3.33%) | TBD |
| Imposter Professor Oak | Rare | $3.47 | 1 in 30 (3.33%) | TBD |
| Double Colorless Energy | Uncommon | $3.36 | 1 in 14 (7.14%) | TBD |
| Kadabra | Uncommon | $3.24 | 1 in 14 (7.14%) | TBD |
| Lass | Rare | $3.07 | 1 in 30 (3.33%) | TBD |
| Beedrill | Rare | $3.05 | 1 in 30 (3.33%) | TBD |
| Super Energy Removal | Rare | $2.97 | 1 in 30 (3.33%) | TBD |
| Marowak | Uncommon | $2.95 | 1 in 14 (7.14%) | TBD |
| Computer Search | Rare | $2.83 | 1 in 30 (3.33%) | TBD |
| Charmeleon | Uncommon | $2.41 | 1 in 14 (7.14%) | TBD |
| Charmander | Common | $2.22 | 1 in 8 (12.5%) | TBD |
| Growlithe | Uncommon | $2.11 | 1 in 14 (7.14%) | TBD |
| Arcanine | Uncommon | $2.03 | 1 in 14 (7.14%) | TBD |
| Lickitung | Uncommon | $1.96 | 1 in 14 (7.14%) | TBD |
| Wartortle | Uncommon | $1.92 | 1 in 14 (7.14%) | TBD |
| Magikarp | Uncommon | $1.74 | 1 in 14 (7.14%) | TBD |
| Squirtle | Common | $1.74 | 1 in 8 (12.5%) | TBD |
| Nidorino | Uncommon | $1.63 | 1 in 14 (7.14%) | TBD |
| Jigglypuff | Common | $1.59 | 1 in 8 (12.5%) | TBD |
| Rhydon | Uncommon | $1.55 | 1 in 14 (7.14%) | TBD |
| Fearow | Uncommon | $1.52 | 1 in 14 (7.14%) | TBD |
| Butterfree | Uncommon | $1.49 | 1 in 14 (7.14%) | TBD |
| Haunter | Uncommon | $1.44 | 1 in 14 (7.14%) | TBD |
| Dewgong | Uncommon | $1.42 | 1 in 14 (7.14%) | TBD |
| Nidorina | Uncommon | $1.37 | 1 in 14 (7.14%) | TBD |
| Parasect | Uncommon | $1.36 | 1 in 14 (7.14%) | TBD |
| Venonat | Common | $1.33 | 1 in 8 (12.5%) | TBD |
| Professor Oak | Uncommon | $1.33 | 1 in 14 (7.14%) | TBD |
| Poliwhirl | Uncommon | $1.29 | 1 in 14 (7.14%) | TBD |
| Dratini | Uncommon | $1.26 | 1 in 14 (7.14%) | TBD |
| Raticate | Uncommon | $1.26 | 1 in 14 (7.14%) | TBD |
| Maintenance | Uncommon | $1.23 | 1 in 14 (7.14%) | TBD |
| Cubone | Common | $1.20 | 1 in 8 (12.5%) | TBD |
| Vulpix | Common | $1.18 | 1 in 8 (12.5%) | TBD |
| Pokemon Center | Uncommon | $1.17 | 1 in 14 (7.14%) | TBD |
| Magmar | Uncommon | $1.15 | 1 in 14 (7.14%) | TBD |
| Starmie | Common | $1.08 | 1 in 8 (12.5%) | TBD |
| Kakuna | Uncommon | $1.07 | 1 in 14 (7.14%) | TBD |
| Fire Energy | Common | $1.05 | 1 in 8 (12.5%) | TBD |
| Jynx | Uncommon | $1.05 | 1 in 14 (7.14%) | TBD |
| Seaking | Uncommon | $1.05 | 1 in 14 (7.14%) | TBD |
| Pidgey | Common | $1.02 | 1 in 8 (12.5%) | TBD |
| Exeggutor | Uncommon | $1.01 | 1 in 14 (7.14%) | TBD |
| Exeggcute | Common | $0.94 | 1 in 8 (12.5%) | TBD |
| Onix | Common | $0.94 | 1 in 8 (12.5%) | TBD |
| Meowth | Common | $0.90 | 1 in 8 (12.5%) | TBD |
| Machoke | Uncommon | $0.88 | 1 in 14 (7.14%) | TBD |
| Spearow | Common | $0.86 | 1 in 8 (12.5%) | TBD |
| Seel | Uncommon | $0.81 | 1 in 14 (7.14%) | TBD |
| Rhyhorn | Common | $0.81 | 1 in 8 (12.5%) | TBD |
| Nidoran M | Common | $0.80 | 1 in 8 (12.5%) | TBD |
| Metapod | Common | $0.79 | 1 in 8 (12.5%) | TBD |
| Caterpie | Common | $0.78 | 1 in 8 (12.5%) | TBD |
| Weepinbell | Uncommon | $0.78 | 1 in 14 (7.14%) | TBD |
| Gastly | Common | $0.77 | 1 in 8 (12.5%) | TBD |
| Farfetch'd | Uncommon | $0.76 | 1 in 14 (7.14%) | TBD |
| Doduo | Common | $0.75 | 1 in 8 (12.5%) | TBD |
| Drowzee | Common | $0.74 | 1 in 8 (12.5%) | TBD |
| Diglett | Common | $0.73 | 1 in 8 (12.5%) | TBD |
| Abra | Common | $0.71 | 1 in 8 (12.5%) | TBD |
| Paras | Common | $0.70 | 1 in 8 (12.5%) | TBD |
| Rattata | Common | $0.70 | 1 in 8 (12.5%) | TBD |
| Machop | Common | $0.67 | 1 in 8 (12.5%) | TBD |
| Nidoran F | Common | $0.60 | 1 in 8 (12.5%) | TBD |
| Voltorb | Common | $0.59 | 1 in 8 (12.5%) | TBD |
| Pokedex | Uncommon | $0.58 | 1 in 14 (7.14%) | TBD |
| PlusPower | Uncommon | $0.57 | 1 in 14 (7.14%) | TBD |
| Goldeen | Common | $0.56 | 1 in 8 (12.5%) | TBD |
| Poliwag | Common | $0.53 | 1 in 8 (12.5%) | TBD |
| Magnemite | Common | $0.52 | 1 in 8 (12.5%) | TBD |
| Tangela | Common | $0.52 | 1 in 8 (12.5%) | TBD |
| Fighting Energy | Common | $0.50 | 1 in 8 (12.5%) | TBD |
| Staryu | Common | $0.50 | 1 in 8 (12.5%) | TBD |
| Sandshrew | Common | $0.49 | 1 in 8 (12.5%) | TBD |
| Bill | Common | $0.48 | 1 in 8 (12.5%) | TBD |
| Bellsprout | Common | $0.48 | 1 in 8 (12.5%) | TBD |
| Defender | Uncommon | $0.47 | 1 in 14 (7.14%) | TBD |
| Water Energy | Common | $0.46 | 1 in 8 (12.5%) | TBD |
| Grass Energy | Common | $0.44 | 1 in 8 (12.5%) | TBD |
| Weedle | Common | $0.41 | 1 in 8 (12.5%) | TBD |
| Energy Retrieval | Uncommon | $0.40 | 1 in 14 (7.14%) | TBD |
| Full Heal | Uncommon | $0.40 | 1 in 14 (7.14%) | TBD |
| Super Potion | Uncommon | $0.39 | 1 in 14 (7.14%) | TBD |
| Poke Ball | Common | $0.37 | 1 in 8 (12.5%) | TBD |
| Gust of Wind | Common | $0.36 | 1 in 8 (12.5%) | TBD |
| Lightning Energy | Common | $0.34 | 1 in 8 (12.5%) | TBD |
| Energy Removal | Common | $0.33 | 1 in 8 (12.5%) | TBD |
| Psychic Energy | Common | $0.33 | 1 in 8 (12.5%) | TBD |
| Switch | Common | $0.32 | 1 in 8 (12.5%) | TBD |
| Potion | Common | $0.22 | 1 in 8 (12.5%) | TBD |