
A $187.99 Black and White pack returns $21.32 in expected card value on average — 11% of what you paid.
No official TCGPlayer pull-rate article covers Black and White, so these odds come from elitefourum.com, which discloses a 504-pack sample. A stated count is the difference between a measured rate and a confident guess, so it is recorded here whenever a source gives one.
How these figures are calculated, including the sourcing bar and what this model deliberately does not do.
| Product | Price | Expected value | Expected return |
|---|---|---|---|
| Black and White Booster Pack | $187.99 | $21.32 | 11% |
| New Legends Tin [Reshiram] | — | $63.97 | TBD |
| New Legends Tin [Zekrom] | — | $63.97 | TBD |
| Black & White 3 Pack Booster Blister Special Edition [Wigglytuff] | — | $63.97 | TBD |
| Black and White Booster Box | — | $767.59 | TBD |
Black and White Booster Pack · New Legends Tin [Reshiram] · New Legends Tin [Zekrom] · Black & White 3 Pack Booster Blister Special Edition [Wigglytuff] · Black and White Booster Box
| Product | Price per pack | Expected return |
|---|---|---|
| Booster Pack | $187.99 | 11% |
| Rarity | Pull rate | Sample |
|---|---|---|
| Secret Rare | 1.39% | n=504 |
| Ultra Rare | 5.56% | n=504 |
| Holo Rare | 26.39% | |
| Rare | 66.67% | |
| Common | 470% | |
| Uncommon | 300% |
| Card | Rarity | Market price | Odds | Cost to pull |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pikachu | Secret Rare | $173.64 | 1 in 72 (1.39%) | $13524.46 |
| Zekrom (114 Full Art) | Ultra Rare | $126.27 | 1 in 36 (2.78%) | $6762.23 |
| Reshiram (113 Full Art) | Ultra Rare | $104.44 | 1 in 36 (2.78%) | $6762.23 |
| Reshiram | Holo Rare | $15.86 | 1 in 45 (2.2%) | $9421.30 |
| Reshiram | Holo Rare | $14.03 | 1 in 45 (2.2%) | $9421.30 |
| Deerling | Common | $11.70 | 1 in 10 (10.44%) | $1983.73 |
| Zorua | Common | $10.68 | 1 in 10 (10.44%) | $1983.73 |
| Zoroark | Holo Rare | $10.11 | 1 in 45 (2.2%) | $9421.30 |
| Sawsbuck | Rare | $10.00 | 1 in 28 (3.51%) | $5904.62 |
| Zekrom | Holo Rare | $9.11 | 1 in 45 (2.2%) | $9421.30 |
| Zekrom | Holo Rare | $8.85 | 1 in 45 (2.2%) | $9421.30 |
| Emboar (19) | Holo Rare | $8.70 | 1 in 45 (2.2%) | $9421.30 |
| Joltik (44) | Common | $8.33 | 1 in 10 (10.44%) | $1983.73 |
| Water Energy | Common | $7.56 | 1 in 10 (10.44%) | $1983.73 |
| Ducklett | Common | $7.50 | 1 in 10 (10.44%) | $1983.73 |
| Sawsbuck | Rare | $7.35 | 1 in 28 (3.51%) | $5904.62 |
| Oshawott (28) | Common | $6.94 | 1 in 10 (10.44%) | $1983.73 |
| Oshawott (27) | Common | $6.37 | 1 in 10 (10.44%) | $1983.73 |
| Krookodile | Holo Rare | $6.36 | 1 in 45 (2.2%) | $9421.30 |
| Cinccino | Rare | $6.32 | 1 in 28 (3.51%) | $5904.62 |
| Zoroark | Holo Rare | $6.08 | 1 in 45 (2.2%) | $9421.30 |
| Tepig (16) | Common | $5.80 | 1 in 10 (10.44%) | $1983.73 |
| Scolipede | Rare | $5.63 | 1 in 28 (3.51%) | $5904.62 |
| Serperior (5) | Holo Rare | $5.35 | 1 in 45 (2.2%) | $9421.30 |
| Krookodile | Holo Rare | $5.20 | 1 in 45 (2.2%) | $9421.30 |
| Snivy (2) | Common | $5.19 | 1 in 10 (10.44%) | $1983.73 |
| Emboar (20) | Holo Rare | $4.99 | 1 in 45 (2.2%) | $9421.30 |
| Tepig (15) | Common | $4.85 | 1 in 10 (10.44%) | $1983.73 |
| Lightning Energy | Common | $4.79 | 1 in 10 (10.44%) | $1983.73 |
| Joltik (45) | Common | $4.77 | 1 in 10 (10.44%) | $1983.73 |
| Lillipup (80) | Common | $4.72 | 1 in 10 (10.44%) | $1983.73 |
| Lilligant | Rare | $4.63 | 1 in 28 (3.51%) | $5904.62 |
| Petilil | Common | $4.62 | 1 in 10 (10.44%) | $1983.73 |
| Sandile | Common | $4.53 | 1 in 10 (10.44%) | $1983.73 |
| Metal Energy (Basic) | Common | $4.40 | 1 in 10 (10.44%) | $1983.73 |
| Grass Energy | Common | $4.35 | 1 in 10 (10.44%) | $1983.73 |
| Darkness Energy (Basic) | Common | $4.30 | 1 in 10 (10.44%) | $1983.73 |
| Serperior (6) | Holo Rare | $4.28 | 1 in 45 (2.2%) | $9421.30 |
| Samurott (32) | Holo Rare | $4.16 | 1 in 45 (2.2%) | $9421.30 |
| Fighting Energy | Common | $4.14 | 1 in 10 (10.44%) | $1983.73 |
| Reuniclus | Holo Rare | $3.78 | 1 in 45 (2.2%) | $9421.30 |
| Darumaka (24) | Uncommon | $3.71 | 1 in 12 (8.33%) | $2486.28 |
| Dewott (30) | Uncommon | $3.43 | 1 in 12 (8.33%) | $2486.28 |
| Samurott (31) | Holo Rare | $3.41 | 1 in 45 (2.2%) | $9421.30 |
| Maractus (12) | Rare | $3.37 | 1 in 28 (3.51%) | $5904.62 |
| Solosis | Common | $3.33 | 1 in 10 (10.44%) | $1983.73 |
| Duosion | Uncommon | $3.32 | 1 in 12 (8.33%) | $2486.28 |
| Fire Energy | Common | $3.30 | 1 in 10 (10.44%) | $1983.73 |
| Scrafty | Rare | $3.26 | 1 in 28 (3.51%) | $5904.62 |
| Servine (3) | Uncommon | $3.26 | 1 in 12 (8.33%) | $2486.28 |
| Emboar (20) | Holo Rare | $3.24 | 1 in 45 (2.2%) | $9421.30 |
| Serperior (6) | Holo Rare | $3.18 | 1 in 45 (2.2%) | $9421.30 |
| Samurott (32) | Holo Rare | $3.16 | 1 in 45 (2.2%) | $9421.30 |
| Reuniclus | Holo Rare | $3.15 | 1 in 45 (2.2%) | $9421.30 |
| Pignite (18) | Uncommon | $3.12 | 1 in 12 (8.33%) | $2486.28 |
| Servine (4) | Uncommon | $3.08 | 1 in 12 (8.33%) | $2486.28 |
| Samurott (31) | Holo Rare | $3.02 | 1 in 45 (2.2%) | $9421.30 |
| Dewott (29) | Uncommon | $2.75 | 1 in 12 (8.33%) | $2486.28 |
| Zebstrika (42) | Uncommon | $2.74 | 1 in 12 (8.33%) | $2486.28 |
| Audino | Uncommon | $2.68 | 1 in 12 (8.33%) | $2486.28 |
| Pignite (17) | Uncommon | $2.64 | 1 in 12 (8.33%) | $2486.28 |
| Zorua | Common | $2.64 | 1 in 10 (10.44%) | $1983.73 |
| Zebstrika (43) | Rare | $2.55 | 1 in 28 (3.51%) | $5904.62 |
| Klinklang | Holo Rare | $2.54 | 1 in 45 (2.2%) | $9421.30 |
| Snivy (1) | Common | $2.52 | 1 in 10 (10.44%) | $1983.73 |
| Emboar (19) | Holo Rare | $2.49 | 1 in 45 (2.2%) | $9421.30 |
| Psychic Energy | Common | $2.43 | 1 in 10 (10.44%) | $1983.73 |
| Timburr (59) | Common | $2.40 | 1 in 10 (10.44%) | $1983.73 |
| Lilligant | Rare | $2.38 | 1 in 28 (3.51%) | $5904.62 |
| Sawk | Rare | $2.35 | 1 in 28 (3.51%) | $5904.62 |
| Throh | Rare | $2.34 | 1 in 28 (3.51%) | $5904.62 |
| Serperior (5) | Holo Rare | $2.31 | 1 in 45 (2.2%) | $9421.30 |
| Whirlipede | Uncommon | $2.26 | 1 in 12 (8.33%) | $2486.28 |
| Bouffalant (90) | Uncommon | $2.23 | 1 in 12 (8.33%) | $2486.28 |
| Blitzle (40) | Common | $2.17 | 1 in 10 (10.44%) | $1983.73 |
| Galvantula | Rare | $2.15 | 1 in 28 (3.51%) | $5904.62 |
| Scraggy | Common | $2.12 | 1 in 10 (10.44%) | $1983.73 |
| Cinccino | Rare | $2.09 | 1 in 28 (3.51%) | $5904.62 |
| Darmanitan | Rare | $2.09 | 1 in 28 (3.51%) | $5904.62 |
| Patrat (78) | Common | $2.05 | 1 in 10 (10.44%) | $1983.73 |
| Venipede | Common | $1.97 | 1 in 10 (10.44%) | $1983.73 |
| Minccino | Common | $1.89 | 1 in 10 (10.44%) | $1983.73 |
| Purrloin | Common | $1.85 | 1 in 10 (10.44%) | $1983.73 |
| Bouffalant (91) | Rare | $1.79 | 1 in 28 (3.51%) | $5904.62 |
| Maractus (11) | Uncommon | $1.78 | 1 in 12 (8.33%) | $2486.28 |
| Liepard | Rare | $1.73 | 1 in 28 (3.51%) | $5904.62 |
| Darumaka (23) | Common | $1.71 | 1 in 10 (10.44%) | $1983.73 |
| Munna | Uncommon | $1.70 | 1 in 12 (8.33%) | $2486.28 |
| Lillipup (81) | Common | $1.66 | 1 in 10 (10.44%) | $1983.73 |
| Woobat | Common | $1.65 | 1 in 10 (10.44%) | $1983.73 |
| Unfezant | Rare | $1.63 | 1 in 28 (3.51%) | $5904.62 |
| Klink | Common | $1.56 | 1 in 10 (10.44%) | $1983.73 |
| Pidove | Common | $1.48 | 1 in 10 (10.44%) | $1983.73 |
| Stoutland | Rare | $1.48 | 1 in 28 (3.51%) | $5904.62 |
| Tranquill | Uncommon | $1.45 | 1 in 12 (8.33%) | $2486.28 |
| Timburr (58) | Common | $1.44 | 1 in 10 (10.44%) | $1983.73 |
| Krokorok | Uncommon | $1.36 | 1 in 12 (8.33%) | $2486.28 |
| Basculin | Uncommon | $1.34 | 1 in 12 (8.33%) | $2486.28 |
| Liepard | Rare | $1.30 | 1 in 28 (3.51%) | $5904.62 |
| Mandibuzz | Rare | $1.26 | 1 in 28 (3.51%) | $5904.62 |
| Patrat (77) | Common | $1.26 | 1 in 10 (10.44%) | $1983.73 |
| Vullaby | Common | $1.26 | 1 in 10 (10.44%) | $1983.73 |
| Professor Juniper | Uncommon | $1.25 | 1 in 12 (8.33%) | $2486.28 |
| Watchog | Uncommon | $1.23 | 1 in 12 (8.33%) | $2486.28 |
| Klinklang | Holo Rare | $1.21 | 1 in 45 (2.2%) | $9421.30 |
| Pokedex | Uncommon | $1.20 | 1 in 12 (8.33%) | $2486.28 |
| Stoutland | Rare | $1.20 | 1 in 28 (3.51%) | $5904.62 |
| Swanna | Rare | $1.19 | 1 in 28 (3.51%) | $5904.62 |
| Bouffalant (91) | Rare | $1.13 | 1 in 28 (3.51%) | $5904.62 |
| Energy Search | Common | $1.13 | 1 in 10 (10.44%) | $1983.73 |
| Herdier | Uncommon | $1.13 | 1 in 12 (8.33%) | $2486.28 |
| Klang | Uncommon | $1.13 | 1 in 12 (8.33%) | $2486.28 |
| Oshawott (28) | Common | $1.12 | 1 in 10 (10.44%) | $1983.73 |
| Simipour | Uncommon | $1.12 | 1 in 12 (8.33%) | $2486.28 |
| Gurdurr | Uncommon | $1.11 | 1 in 12 (8.33%) | $2486.28 |
| Musharna | Rare | $1.11 | 1 in 28 (3.51%) | $5904.62 |
| Panpour | Common | $1.11 | 1 in 10 (10.44%) | $1983.73 |
| Watchog | Uncommon | $1.11 | 1 in 12 (8.33%) | $2486.28 |
| Blitzle (41) | Common | $1.10 | 1 in 10 (10.44%) | $1983.73 |
| Simisage | Uncommon | $1.10 | 1 in 12 (8.33%) | $2486.28 |
| Alomomola (39) | Rare | $1.09 | 1 in 28 (3.51%) | $5904.62 |
| Swoobat | Uncommon | $1.07 | 1 in 12 (8.33%) | $2486.28 |
| Pokemon Communication | Uncommon | $1.06 | 1 in 12 (8.33%) | $2486.28 |
| Alomomola (39) | Rare | $1.00 | 1 in 28 (3.51%) | $5904.62 |
| Minccino | Common | $0.96 | 1 in 10 (10.44%) | $1983.73 |
| Maractus (12) | Rare | $0.95 | 1 in 28 (3.51%) | $5904.62 |
| Throh | Rare | $0.94 | 1 in 28 (3.51%) | $5904.62 |
| Zebstrika (43) | Rare | $0.93 | 1 in 28 (3.51%) | $5904.62 |
| Dewott (30) | Uncommon | $0.86 | 1 in 12 (8.33%) | $2486.28 |
| Servine (4) | Uncommon | $0.85 | 1 in 12 (8.33%) | $2486.28 |
| Mandibuzz | Rare | $0.83 | 1 in 28 (3.51%) | $5904.62 |
| Simisear | Uncommon | $0.81 | 1 in 12 (8.33%) | $2486.28 |
| Scrafty | Rare | $0.79 | 1 in 28 (3.51%) | $5904.62 |
| Switch | Common | $0.78 | 1 in 10 (10.44%) | $1983.73 |
| Darmanitan | Rare | $0.76 | 1 in 28 (3.51%) | $5904.62 |
| PlusPower | Uncommon | $0.76 | 1 in 12 (8.33%) | $2486.28 |
| Pignite (18) | Uncommon | $0.74 | 1 in 12 (8.33%) | $2486.28 |
| Snivy (2) | Common | $0.74 | 1 in 10 (10.44%) | $1983.73 |
| Energy Switch | Uncommon | $0.73 | 1 in 12 (8.33%) | $2486.28 |
| Scolipede | Rare | $0.69 | 1 in 28 (3.51%) | $5904.62 |
| Alomomola (38) | Uncommon | $0.68 | 1 in 12 (8.33%) | $2486.28 |
| Super Scoop Up | Uncommon | $0.68 | 1 in 12 (8.33%) | $2486.28 |
| Swanna | Rare | $0.68 | 1 in 28 (3.51%) | $5904.62 |
| Krokorok | Uncommon | $0.67 | 1 in 12 (8.33%) | $2486.28 |
| Pansear | Common | $0.67 | 1 in 10 (10.44%) | $1983.73 |
| Deerling | Common | $0.65 | 1 in 10 (10.44%) | $1983.73 |
| Pignite (17) | Uncommon | $0.65 | 1 in 12 (8.33%) | $2486.28 |
| Energy Retrieval | Uncommon | $0.63 | 1 in 12 (8.33%) | $2486.28 |
| Pansage | Common | $0.63 | 1 in 10 (10.44%) | $1983.73 |
| Revive | Uncommon | $0.61 | 1 in 12 (8.33%) | $2486.28 |
| Sawk | Rare | $0.61 | 1 in 28 (3.51%) | $5904.62 |
| Musharna | Rare | $0.57 | 1 in 28 (3.51%) | $5904.62 |
| Duosion | Uncommon | $0.54 | 1 in 12 (8.33%) | $2486.28 |
| Galvantula | Rare | $0.54 | 1 in 28 (3.51%) | $5904.62 |
| Poke Ball | Uncommon | $0.53 | 1 in 12 (8.33%) | $2486.28 |
| Pokedex | Uncommon | $0.53 | 1 in 12 (8.33%) | $2486.28 |
| Zebstrika (42) | Uncommon | $0.53 | 1 in 12 (8.33%) | $2486.28 |
| Unfezant | Rare | $0.52 | 1 in 28 (3.51%) | $5904.62 |
| Lillipup (80) | Common | $0.51 | 1 in 10 (10.44%) | $1983.73 |
| Herdier | Uncommon | $0.50 | 1 in 12 (8.33%) | $2486.28 |
| Full Heal | Uncommon | $0.49 | 1 in 12 (8.33%) | $2486.28 |
| Darumaka (24) | Uncommon | $0.48 | 1 in 12 (8.33%) | $2486.28 |
| Gurdurr | Uncommon | $0.45 | 1 in 12 (8.33%) | $2486.28 |
| Klang | Uncommon | $0.45 | 1 in 12 (8.33%) | $2486.28 |
| Oshawott (27) | Common | $0.45 | 1 in 10 (10.44%) | $1983.73 |
| Joltik (44) | Common | $0.44 | 1 in 10 (10.44%) | $1983.73 |
| Potion | Common | $0.44 | 1 in 10 (10.44%) | $1983.73 |
| Servine (3) | Uncommon | $0.44 | 1 in 12 (8.33%) | $2486.28 |
| Solosis | Common | $0.43 | 1 in 10 (10.44%) | $1983.73 |
| Simisage | Uncommon | $0.42 | 1 in 12 (8.33%) | $2486.28 |
| Tranquill | Uncommon | $0.41 | 1 in 12 (8.33%) | $2486.28 |
| Swoobat | Uncommon | $0.40 | 1 in 12 (8.33%) | $2486.28 |
| Tepig (16) | Common | $0.40 | 1 in 10 (10.44%) | $1983.73 |
| Maractus (11) | Uncommon | $0.39 | 1 in 12 (8.33%) | $2486.28 |
| Basculin | Uncommon | $0.38 | 1 in 12 (8.33%) | $2486.28 |
| Munna | Uncommon | $0.38 | 1 in 12 (8.33%) | $2486.28 |
| Tepig (15) | Common | $0.38 | 1 in 10 (10.44%) | $1983.73 |
| Dewott (29) | Uncommon | $0.37 | 1 in 12 (8.33%) | $2486.28 |
| Snivy (1) | Common | $0.37 | 1 in 10 (10.44%) | $1983.73 |
| Audino | Uncommon | $0.36 | 1 in 12 (8.33%) | $2486.28 |
| Joltik (45) | Common | $0.36 | 1 in 10 (10.44%) | $1983.73 |
| Scraggy | Common | $0.36 | 1 in 10 (10.44%) | $1983.73 |
| Ducklett | Common | $0.34 | 1 in 10 (10.44%) | $1983.73 |
| PlusPower | Uncommon | $0.34 | 1 in 12 (8.33%) | $2486.28 |
| Klink | Common | $0.33 | 1 in 10 (10.44%) | $1983.73 |
| Petilil | Common | $0.33 | 1 in 10 (10.44%) | $1983.73 |
| Simipour | Uncommon | $0.33 | 1 in 12 (8.33%) | $2486.28 |
| Alomomola (38) | Uncommon | $0.32 | 1 in 12 (8.33%) | $2486.28 |
| Bouffalant (90) | Uncommon | $0.32 | 1 in 12 (8.33%) | $2486.28 |
| Whirlipede | Uncommon | $0.32 | 1 in 12 (8.33%) | $2486.28 |
| Lillipup (81) | Common | $0.31 | 1 in 10 (10.44%) | $1983.73 |
| Professor Juniper | Uncommon | $0.31 | 1 in 12 (8.33%) | $2486.28 |
| Vullaby | Common | $0.31 | 1 in 10 (10.44%) | $1983.73 |
| Woobat | Common | $0.31 | 1 in 10 (10.44%) | $1983.73 |
| Darumaka (23) | Common | $0.30 | 1 in 10 (10.44%) | $1983.73 |
| Pansage | Common | $0.29 | 1 in 10 (10.44%) | $1983.73 |
| Pidove | Common | $0.29 | 1 in 10 (10.44%) | $1983.73 |
| Simisear | Uncommon | $0.29 | 1 in 12 (8.33%) | $2486.28 |
| Energy Switch | Uncommon | $0.28 | 1 in 12 (8.33%) | $2486.28 |
| Super Scoop Up | Uncommon | $0.28 | 1 in 12 (8.33%) | $2486.28 |
| Blitzle (40) | Common | $0.27 | 1 in 10 (10.44%) | $1983.73 |
| Blitzle (41) | Common | $0.27 | 1 in 10 (10.44%) | $1983.73 |
| Panpour | Common | $0.26 | 1 in 10 (10.44%) | $1983.73 |
| Pansear | Common | $0.26 | 1 in 10 (10.44%) | $1983.73 |
| Purrloin | Common | $0.26 | 1 in 10 (10.44%) | $1983.73 |
| Sandile | Common | $0.24 | 1 in 10 (10.44%) | $1983.73 |
| Patrat (77) | Common | $0.23 | 1 in 10 (10.44%) | $1983.73 |
| Patrat (78) | Common | $0.23 | 1 in 10 (10.44%) | $1983.73 |
| Poke Ball | Uncommon | $0.23 | 1 in 12 (8.33%) | $2486.28 |
| Energy Search | Common | $0.22 | 1 in 10 (10.44%) | $1983.73 |
| Full Heal | Uncommon | $0.21 | 1 in 12 (8.33%) | $2486.28 |
| Pokemon Communication | Uncommon | $0.21 | 1 in 12 (8.33%) | $2486.28 |
| Venipede | Common | $0.21 | 1 in 10 (10.44%) | $1983.73 |
| Revive | Uncommon | $0.20 | 1 in 12 (8.33%) | $2486.28 |
| Switch | Common | $0.20 | 1 in 10 (10.44%) | $1983.73 |
| Timburr (59) | Common | $0.20 | 1 in 10 (10.44%) | $1983.73 |
| Timburr (58) | Common | $0.19 | 1 in 10 (10.44%) | $1983.73 |
| Energy Retrieval | Uncommon | $0.16 | 1 in 12 (8.33%) | $2486.28 |
| Potion | Common | $0.14 | 1 in 10 (10.44%) | $1983.73 |
| Fighting Energy | Common | — | 1 in 10 (10.44%) | $1983.73 |