Sets / Champion's Path

Champion's Path

A $17.32 Champion's Path pack returns $4.61 in expected card value on average — 27% of what you paid.

No official TCGPlayer pull-rate article covers Champion's Path, so these odds come from elitefourum.com, which discloses a 3,192-pack sample. Sources that do not state how many packs they counted are not used here, however confident they sound.

How these figures are calculated, including the sourcing bar and what this model deliberately does not do.

Products in this set

ProductPriceExpected valueExpected return
Champion's Path Premium Collection [Marnie]$138.52$36.8927%
Champion's Path Booster Pack$19.54$4.6124%
Champion's Path Elite Trainer Box$216.12$41.5019%

Where to buy

Champion's Path Premium Collection [Marnie] · Champion's Path Booster Pack · Champion's Path Elite Trainer Box

Expected return by product type

ProductPrice per packExpected return
Booster Pack$19.5424%
Elite Trainer Box$24.0119%

Pull rates (source: community_estimate)

RarityPull rateSample
Secret Rare2.89%n=3192
Ultra Rare24.67%n=3192
Holo Rare71.43%
Common500%
Uncommon300%

Cards & odds

CardRarityMarket priceOddsCost to pull
Charizard V (Secret)Secret Rare$261.701 in 242 (0.41%)$4193.94
Charizard VMAX (Secret)Secret Rare$208.911 in 242 (0.41%)$4193.94
Gardevoir VMAX (Secret)Secret Rare$18.311 in 242 (0.41%)$4193.94
Drednaw VMAX (Secret)Secret Rare$7.161 in 242 (0.41%)$4193.94
Alcremie VMAXUltra Rare$7.081 in 77 (1.3%)$1333.54
Gardevoir VMAXUltra Rare$4.691 in 77 (1.3%)$1333.54
Gardevoir V (Full Art)Ultra Rare$4.581 in 77 (1.3%)$1333.54
Piers (Secret)Secret Rare$3.841 in 242 (0.41%)$4193.94
Lucario VUltra Rare$3.741 in 77 (1.3%)$1333.54
Kabu (Secret)Secret Rare$3.011 in 242 (0.41%)$4193.94
Venusaur VUltra Rare$2.531 in 77 (1.3%)$1333.54
Alcremie VUltra Rare$2.511 in 77 (1.3%)$1333.54
Drednaw VMAXUltra Rare$2.321 in 77 (1.3%)$1333.54
Gardevoir VUltra Rare$1.911 in 77 (1.3%)$1333.54
Incineroar VUltra Rare$1.911 in 77 (1.3%)$1333.54
Galarian Cursola V (Full Art)Ultra Rare$1.621 in 77 (1.3%)$1333.54
Wailord VUltra Rare$1.551 in 77 (1.3%)$1333.54
Hop (Full Art)Ultra Rare$1.421 in 77 (1.3%)$1333.54
Drednaw V (Full Art)Ultra Rare$1.291 in 77 (1.3%)$1333.54
Grapploct V (Full Art)Ultra Rare$1.251 in 77 (1.3%)$1333.54
Suspicious Food Tin (Secret)Secret Rare$1.131 in 242 (0.41%)$4193.94
Galarian Cursola VUltra Rare$1.071 in 77 (1.3%)$1333.54
Drednaw VUltra Rare$0.971 in 77 (1.3%)$1333.54
Eldegoss VUltra Rare$0.931 in 77 (1.3%)$1333.54
Grapploct VUltra Rare$0.891 in 77 (1.3%)$1333.54
Duraludon VUltra Rare$0.831 in 77 (1.3%)$1333.54
WeedleCommon$0.801 in 4 (23.81%)$78.54
HattremUncommon$0.391 in 8 (13.04%)$143.37
VulpixCommon$0.381 in 4 (23.81%)$78.54
MarnieHolo Rare$0.381 in 14 (7.14%)$261.79
MarnieHolo Rare$0.381 in 14 (7.14%)$261.79
MachokeUncommon$0.371 in 8 (13.04%)$143.37
TrubbishCommon$0.371 in 4 (23.81%)$78.54
MachampHolo Rare$0.361 in 14 (7.14%)$261.79
LycanrocHolo Rare$0.361 in 14 (7.14%)$261.79
AbsolUncommon$0.361 in 8 (13.04%)$143.37
PiersUncommon$0.361 in 8 (13.04%)$143.37
SwabluCommon$0.351 in 4 (23.81%)$78.54
WeedleCommon$0.341 in 4 (23.81%)$78.54
MachopCommon$0.341 in 4 (23.81%)$78.54
RockruffCommon$0.341 in 4 (23.81%)$78.54
ScraggyCommon$0.321 in 4 (23.81%)$78.54
HopUncommon$0.321 in 8 (13.04%)$143.37
Pokemon Center LadyUncommon$0.321 in 8 (13.04%)$143.37
Rotom PhoneUncommon$0.321 in 8 (13.04%)$143.37
VictiniUncommon$0.311 in 8 (13.04%)$143.37
ZygardeHolo Rare$0.311 in 14 (7.14%)$261.79
PurrloinCommon$0.311 in 4 (23.81%)$78.54
ZygardeHolo Rare$0.301 in 14 (7.14%)$261.79
Turffield StadiumUncommon$0.301 in 8 (13.04%)$143.37
Galarian ZigzagoonCommon$0.291 in 4 (23.81%)$78.54
AltariaHolo Rare$0.291 in 14 (7.14%)$261.79
CarvanhaCommon$0.281 in 4 (23.81%)$78.54
HattremUncommon$0.281 in 8 (13.04%)$143.37
HattereneHolo Rare$0.281 in 14 (7.14%)$261.79
MachampHolo Rare$0.281 in 14 (7.14%)$261.79
KakunaCommon$0.271 in 4 (23.81%)$78.54
BeedrillUncommon$0.271 in 8 (13.04%)$143.37
SharpedoUncommon$0.271 in 8 (13.04%)$143.37
Galarian LinooneCommon$0.271 in 4 (23.81%)$78.54
SwabluCommon$0.271 in 4 (23.81%)$78.54
BedeUncommon$0.271 in 8 (13.04%)$143.37
RolycolyCommon$0.261 in 4 (23.81%)$78.54
ArbokUncommon$0.261 in 8 (13.04%)$143.37
Rotom BikeUncommon$0.261 in 8 (13.04%)$143.37
LiepardUncommon$0.251 in 8 (13.04%)$143.37
Hyper PotionUncommon$0.251 in 8 (13.04%)$143.37
Pokemon Center LadyUncommon$0.251 in 8 (13.04%)$143.37
Professor's Research [Professor Magnolia]Holo Rare$0.251 in 14 (7.14%)$261.79
Poke BallCommon$0.241 in 4 (23.81%)$78.54
VulpixCommon$0.231 in 4 (23.81%)$78.54
HatennaCommon$0.231 in 4 (23.81%)$78.54
RockruffCommon$0.231 in 4 (23.81%)$78.54
LiepardUncommon$0.231 in 8 (13.04%)$143.37
ScraggyCommon$0.231 in 4 (23.81%)$78.54
PotionCommon$0.231 in 4 (23.81%)$78.54
SoniaUncommon$0.231 in 8 (13.04%)$143.37
AbsolUncommon$0.221 in 8 (13.04%)$143.37
PiersUncommon$0.221 in 8 (13.04%)$143.37
VictiniUncommon$0.211 in 8 (13.04%)$143.37
CentiskorchHolo Rare$0.211 in 14 (7.14%)$261.79
HattereneHolo Rare$0.211 in 14 (7.14%)$261.79
LycanrocHolo Rare$0.211 in 14 (7.14%)$261.79
ScraftyHolo Rare$0.211 in 14 (7.14%)$261.79
Rotom PhoneUncommon$0.211 in 8 (13.04%)$143.37
MachopCommon$0.201 in 4 (23.81%)$78.54
MachokeUncommon$0.201 in 8 (13.04%)$143.37
InkayCommon$0.201 in 4 (23.81%)$78.54
NickitCommon$0.201 in 4 (23.81%)$78.54
Professor's Research [Professor Magnolia]Holo Rare$0.201 in 14 (7.14%)$261.79
Rotom BikeUncommon$0.201 in 8 (13.04%)$143.37
SharpedoUncommon$0.191 in 8 (13.04%)$143.37
Galarian ZigzagoonCommon$0.191 in 4 (23.81%)$78.54
Galarian LinooneCommon$0.191 in 4 (23.81%)$78.54
TrubbishCommon$0.191 in 4 (23.81%)$78.54
BedeUncommon$0.191 in 8 (13.04%)$143.37
BeedrillUncommon$0.181 in 8 (13.04%)$143.37
SizzlipedeCommon$0.181 in 4 (23.81%)$78.54
MalamarUncommon$0.181 in 8 (13.04%)$143.37
AltariaHolo Rare$0.181 in 14 (7.14%)$261.79
Full HealCommon$0.181 in 4 (23.81%)$78.54
PotionCommon$0.181 in 4 (23.81%)$78.54
Team Yell GruntUncommon$0.181 in 8 (13.04%)$143.37
Turffield StadiumUncommon$0.181 in 8 (13.04%)$143.37
EkansCommon$0.171 in 4 (23.81%)$78.54
EkansCommon$0.171 in 4 (23.81%)$78.54
Galarian ObstagoonHolo Rare$0.171 in 14 (7.14%)$261.79
InkayCommon$0.171 in 4 (23.81%)$78.54
CarvanhaCommon$0.161 in 4 (23.81%)$78.54
SizzlipedeCommon$0.151 in 4 (23.81%)$78.54
CentiskorchHolo Rare$0.151 in 14 (7.14%)$261.79
Full HealCommon$0.151 in 4 (23.81%)$78.54
HopUncommon$0.151 in 8 (13.04%)$143.37
MiloUncommon$0.151 in 8 (13.04%)$143.37
Poke BallCommon$0.151 in 4 (23.81%)$78.54
KakunaCommon$0.141 in 4 (23.81%)$78.54
Galarian ObstagoonHolo Rare$0.141 in 14 (7.14%)$261.79
PurrloinCommon$0.141 in 4 (23.81%)$78.54
Great BallUncommon$0.141 in 8 (13.04%)$143.37
Hyper PotionUncommon$0.141 in 8 (13.04%)$143.37
ArbokUncommon$0.131 in 8 (13.04%)$143.37
NickitCommon$0.131 in 4 (23.81%)$78.54
MiloUncommon$0.131 in 8 (13.04%)$143.37
SoniaUncommon$0.131 in 8 (13.04%)$143.37
Suspicious Food TinUncommon$0.131 in 8 (13.04%)$143.37
KabuUncommon$0.121 in 8 (13.04%)$143.37
KabuUncommon$0.121 in 8 (13.04%)$143.37
Team Yell GruntUncommon$0.121 in 8 (13.04%)$143.37
ScraftyHolo Rare$0.111 in 14 (7.14%)$261.79
HatennaCommon$0.101 in 4 (23.81%)$78.54
RolycolyCommon$0.101 in 4 (23.81%)$78.54
MalamarUncommon$0.101 in 8 (13.04%)$143.37
Great BallUncommon$0.101 in 8 (13.04%)$143.37
Suspicious Food TinUncommon$0.091 in 8 (13.04%)$143.37