Detective Pikachu

A $20.30 Detective Pikachu pack returns $7.62 in expected card value on average — 38% of what you paid.

No official TCGPlayer pull-rate article covers Detective Pikachu, so these odds come from elitefourum.com, which discloses a 240-pack sample. Sources that do not state how many packs they counted are not used here, however confident they sound.

How these figures are calculated, including the sourcing bar and what this model deliberately does not do.

• Pack EV: $7.62
• Cheapest pack: $20.30 (Detective Pikachu Special Promo Booster Pack)
• Cards synced: 18

Products in this set

Product	Price	Expected value	Expected return
Detective Pikachu Special Promo Booster Pack	$20.30	$7.62	38%
Detective Pikachu Booster Pack	$24.56	$7.62	31%
Detective Pikachu Tin [Mewtwo]	$149.97	$22.87	15%
Detective Pikachu Tin [Charizard]	$169.91	$22.87	13%

Where to buy

Detective Pikachu Special Promo Booster Pack · Detective Pikachu Booster Pack · Detective Pikachu Tin [Mewtwo] · Detective Pikachu Tin [Charizard]

Expected return by product type

Product	Price per pack	Expected return
Booster Pack	$20.30	38%

Pull rates (source: community_estimate)

Rarity	Pull rate	Sample
Holo Rare	37.08%	n=240

Cards & odds

Card	Rarity	Market price	Odds	Cost to pull
Detective Pikachu	Rare	$15.87	TBD	TBD
Charizard	Holo Rare	$13.94	1 in 11 (9.27%)	$217.48
Ditto	Holo Rare	$13.79	1 in 11 (9.27%)	$217.48
Greninja	Holo Rare	$10.40	1 in 11 (9.27%)	$217.48
Mewtwo	Holo Rare	$10.12	1 in 11 (9.27%)	$217.48
Arcanine	Rare	$4.39	TBD	TBD
Mr. Mime	Rare	$3.19	TBD	TBD
Machamp	Rare	$2.13	TBD	TBD
Slaking	Rare	$1.43	TBD	TBD
Psyduck (Holo Common)	Common	$1.38	TBD	TBD
Bulbasaur (Holo Common)	Common	$1.32	TBD	TBD
Ludicolo	Rare	$0.96	TBD	TBD
Magikarp (Holo Common)	Common	$0.78	TBD	TBD
Charmander (Holo Common)	Common	$0.73	TBD	TBD
Jigglypuff (Holo Common)	Common	$0.69	TBD	TBD
Snubbull (Holo Common)	Common	$0.50	TBD	TBD
Morelull (Holo Common)	Common	$0.38	TBD	TBD
Lickitung (Holo Common)	Common	$0.34	TBD	TBD