A $355.40 Dragons Exalted pack returns $29.28 in expected card value on average — 8% of what you paid.
No official TCGPlayer pull-rate article covers Dragons Exalted, so these odds come from thepricedex.com, which discloses a disclosed sample. Sources that do not state how many packs they counted are not used here, however confident they sound.
How these figures are calculated, including the sourcing bar and what this model deliberately does not do.
| Product | Price | Expected value | Expected return |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dragons Exalted Booster Pack | $355.40 | $29.28 | 8% |
| Dragons Exalted Booster Box | — | $1054.24 | TBD |
Dragons Exalted Booster Pack · Dragons Exalted Booster Box
| Product | Price per pack | Expected return |
|---|---|---|
| Booster Pack | $355.40 | 8% |
| Rarity | Pull rate | Sample |
|---|---|---|
| Secret Rare | 0.93% | |
| Ultra Rare | 8.34% | |
| Holo Rare | 23.81% | |
| Rare | 66.67% | |
| Common | 500% | |
| Uncommon | 300% |
| Card | Rarity | Market price | Odds | Cost to pull |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rayquaza | Secret Rare | $1250.00 | 1 in 430 (0.23%) | $152860.22 |
| Giratina EX (124 Full Art) | Ultra Rare | $564.30 | 1 in 144 (0.7%) | $51136.69 |
| Mew EX (120 Full Art) | Ultra Rare | $423.51 | 1 in 144 (0.7%) | $51136.69 |
| Rayquaza EX (123 Full Art) | Ultra Rare | $219.47 | 1 in 144 (0.7%) | $51136.69 |
| Ho-Oh Ex (119 Full Art) | Ultra Rare | $216.34 | 1 in 144 (0.7%) | $51136.69 |
| Krookodile | Secret Rare | $180.00 | 1 in 430 (0.23%) | $152860.22 |
| Reuniclus | Secret Rare | $165.00 | 1 in 430 (0.23%) | $152860.22 |
| Serperior | Secret Rare | $149.20 | 1 in 430 (0.23%) | $152860.22 |
| Registeel EX (122 Full Art) | Ultra Rare | $135.34 | 1 in 144 (0.7%) | $51136.69 |
| Mew EX | Ultra Rare | $116.44 | 1 in 144 (0.7%) | $51136.69 |
| Terrakion EX (121 Full Art) | Ultra Rare | $42.92 | 1 in 144 (0.7%) | $51136.69 |
| Rayquaza EX | Ultra Rare | $36.33 | 1 in 144 (0.7%) | $51136.69 |
| Giratina EX | Ultra Rare | $34.96 | 1 in 144 (0.7%) | $51136.69 |
| Registeel EX | Ultra Rare | $15.72 | 1 in 144 (0.7%) | $51136.69 |
| Ho-Oh EX | Ultra Rare | $7.26 | 1 in 144 (0.7%) | $51136.69 |
| Terrakion EX | Ultra Rare | $6.73 | 1 in 144 (0.7%) | $51136.69 |
| Roserade (15) | Rare | $28.29 | 1 in 36 (2.78%) | $9945.22 |
| Audino | Uncommon | $26.17 | 1 in 12 (8.33%) | $3315.24 |
| Gyarados | Rare | $25.03 | 1 in 36 (2.78%) | $9945.22 |
| Roserade (15) | Rare | $24.42 | 1 in 36 (2.78%) | $9945.22 |
| Garchomp (90) | Holo Rare | $22.46 | 1 in 55 (1.83%) | $15084.04 |
| Gabite (89) | Uncommon | $20.51 | 1 in 12 (8.33%) | $3315.24 |
| Houndoom | Rare | $15.98 | 1 in 36 (2.78%) | $9945.22 |
| Vulpix | Common | $15.95 | 1 in 8 (12.82%) | $2154.91 |
| Cubone | Common | $15.58 | 1 in 8 (12.82%) | $2154.91 |
| Magikarp | Common | $15.43 | 1 in 8 (12.82%) | $2154.91 |
| Swablu (104) | Uncommon | $14.40 | 1 in 12 (8.33%) | $3315.24 |
| Garchomp (91) | Rare | $13.05 | 1 in 36 (2.78%) | $9945.22 |
| Ninetales | Holo Rare | $12.51 | 1 in 55 (1.83%) | $15084.04 |
| Garchomp (90) | Holo Rare | $11.76 | 1 in 55 (1.83%) | $15084.04 |
| Shedinja | Rare | $11.05 | 1 in 36 (2.78%) | $9945.22 |
| Ninetales | Holo Rare | $10.18 | 1 in 55 (1.83%) | $15084.04 |
| Blend Energy WLFM | Uncommon | $9.56 | 1 in 12 (8.33%) | $3315.24 |
| Trubbish | Common | $8.95 | 1 in 8 (12.82%) | $2154.91 |
| Ampharos | Holo Rare | $8.62 | 1 in 55 (1.83%) | $15084.04 |
| Wailord | Holo Rare | $7.46 | 1 in 55 (1.83%) | $15084.04 |
| Houndour | Common | $6.80 | 1 in 8 (12.82%) | $2154.91 |
| Milotic | Holo Rare | $6.50 | 1 in 55 (1.83%) | $15084.04 |
| Ampharos | Holo Rare | $6.47 | 1 in 55 (1.83%) | $15084.04 |
| Flaaffy | Uncommon | $6.43 | 1 in 12 (8.33%) | $3315.24 |
| Garbodor | Holo Rare | $6.41 | 1 in 55 (1.83%) | $15084.04 |
| Aggron | Holo Rare | $6.15 | 1 in 55 (1.83%) | $15084.04 |
| Emolga | Uncommon | $5.75 | 1 in 12 (8.33%) | $3315.24 |
| Gabite (89) | Uncommon | $5.75 | 1 in 12 (8.33%) | $3315.24 |
| Blend Energy GFPD | Uncommon | $5.51 | 1 in 12 (8.33%) | $3315.24 |
| Garbodor | Holo Rare | $5.51 | 1 in 55 (1.83%) | $15084.04 |
| Wurmple | Common | $5.50 | 1 in 8 (12.82%) | $2154.91 |
| Houndoom | Rare | $5.32 | 1 in 36 (2.78%) | $9945.22 |
| Vulpix | Common | $5.24 | 1 in 8 (12.82%) | $2154.91 |
| Magmar | Common | $5.20 | 1 in 8 (12.82%) | $2154.91 |
| Deino (93) | Common | $5.17 | 1 in 8 (12.82%) | $2154.91 |
| Altaria | Holo Rare | $4.83 | 1 in 55 (1.83%) | $15084.04 |
| Spheal | Common | $4.82 | 1 in 8 (12.82%) | $2154.91 |
| Gothitelle | Rare | $4.54 | 1 in 36 (2.78%) | $9945.22 |
| Hydreigon (97) | Holo Rare | $4.36 | 1 in 55 (1.83%) | $15084.04 |
| Blend Energy WLFM | Uncommon | $4.33 | 1 in 12 (8.33%) | $3315.24 |
| Roselia (12) | Uncommon | $4.23 | 1 in 12 (8.33%) | $3315.24 |
| Milotic | Holo Rare | $4.22 | 1 in 55 (1.83%) | $15084.04 |
| Trubbish | Common | $4.20 | 1 in 8 (12.82%) | $2154.91 |
| Shedinja | Rare | $3.86 | 1 in 36 (2.78%) | $9945.22 |
| Wailord | Holo Rare | $3.81 | 1 in 55 (1.83%) | $15084.04 |
| Gothita | Common | $3.50 | 1 in 8 (12.82%) | $2154.91 |
| Altaria | Holo Rare | $3.48 | 1 in 55 (1.83%) | $15084.04 |
| Hydreigon (98) | Rare | $3.37 | 1 in 36 (2.78%) | $9945.22 |
| Murkrow | Common | $3.31 | 1 in 8 (12.82%) | $2154.91 |
| Hydreigon (97) | Holo Rare | $3.24 | 1 in 55 (1.83%) | $15084.04 |
| Gible (86) | Common | $3.22 | 1 in 8 (12.82%) | $2154.91 |
| Aggron | Holo Rare | $3.09 | 1 in 55 (1.83%) | $15084.04 |
| Gyarados | Rare | $3.09 | 1 in 36 (2.78%) | $9945.22 |
| Gabite (88) | Uncommon | $2.91 | 1 in 12 (8.33%) | $3315.24 |
| Aipom | Common | $2.82 | 1 in 8 (12.82%) | $2154.91 |
| Marowak | Rare | $2.81 | 1 in 36 (2.78%) | $9945.22 |
| Gothorita | Uncommon | $2.80 | 1 in 12 (8.33%) | $3315.24 |
| Blend Energy GFPD | Uncommon | $2.69 | 1 in 12 (8.33%) | $3315.24 |
| Gible (87) | Common | $2.69 | 1 in 8 (12.82%) | $2154.91 |
| Wailmer | Uncommon | $2.57 | 1 in 12 (8.33%) | $3315.24 |
| Audino | Uncommon | $2.53 | 1 in 12 (8.33%) | $3315.24 |
| Marowak | Rare | $2.46 | 1 in 36 (2.78%) | $9945.22 |
| Drifloon (49) | Common | $2.38 | 1 in 8 (12.82%) | $2154.91 |
| Cubone | Common | $2.19 | 1 in 8 (12.82%) | $2154.91 |
| Drifblim | Rare | $2.18 | 1 in 36 (2.78%) | $9945.22 |
| Rescue Scarf | Uncommon | $2.09 | 1 in 12 (8.33%) | $3315.24 |
| Slaking | Holo Rare | $2.05 | 1 in 55 (1.83%) | $15084.04 |
| Bidoof | Common | $1.97 | 1 in 8 (12.82%) | $2154.91 |
| Golurk | Holo Rare | $1.86 | 1 in 55 (1.83%) | $15084.04 |
| Aron | Common | $1.84 | 1 in 8 (12.82%) | $2154.91 |
| Slaking | Holo Rare | $1.71 | 1 in 55 (1.83%) | $15084.04 |
| Garchomp (91) | Rare | $1.70 | 1 in 36 (2.78%) | $9945.22 |
| Magmortar | Rare | $1.67 | 1 in 36 (2.78%) | $9945.22 |
| Jumpluff | Rare | $1.65 | 1 in 36 (2.78%) | $9945.22 |
| Beautifly | Rare | $1.62 | 1 in 36 (2.78%) | $9945.22 |
| Alomomola | Rare | $1.58 | 1 in 36 (2.78%) | $9945.22 |
| Swablu (105) | Common | $1.58 | 1 in 8 (12.82%) | $2154.91 |
| Tool Scrapper | Uncommon | $1.55 | 1 in 12 (8.33%) | $3315.24 |
| Manectric (44) | Rare | $1.53 | 1 in 36 (2.78%) | $9945.22 |
| Rufflet | Common | $1.52 | 1 in 8 (12.82%) | $2154.91 |
| Dustox | Rare | $1.50 | 1 in 36 (2.78%) | $9945.22 |
| Ninjask | Uncommon | $1.50 | 1 in 12 (8.33%) | $3315.24 |
| Foongus | Common | $1.49 | 1 in 8 (12.82%) | $2154.91 |
| Manectric (43) | Rare | $1.49 | 1 in 36 (2.78%) | $9945.22 |
| Bibarel | Uncommon | $1.48 | 1 in 12 (8.33%) | $3315.24 |
| Nincada | Common | $1.47 | 1 in 8 (12.82%) | $2154.91 |
| Drifloon (50) | Common | $1.46 | 1 in 8 (12.82%) | $2154.91 |
| Mareep | Common | $1.46 | 1 in 8 (12.82%) | $2154.91 |
| Golurk | Holo Rare | $1.38 | 1 in 55 (1.83%) | $15084.04 |
| Floatzel | Uncommon | $1.37 | 1 in 12 (8.33%) | $3315.24 |
| Seismitoad | Rare | $1.37 | 1 in 36 (2.78%) | $9945.22 |
| Roserade (14) | Uncommon | $1.35 | 1 in 12 (8.33%) | $3315.24 |
| Slakoth | Common | $1.35 | 1 in 8 (12.82%) | $2154.91 |
| Minccino | Common | $1.30 | 1 in 8 (12.82%) | $2154.91 |
| Ambipom | Rare | $1.29 | 1 in 36 (2.78%) | $9945.22 |
| Devolution Spray | Uncommon | $1.29 | 1 in 12 (8.33%) | $3315.24 |
| Gigalith | Holo Rare | $1.25 | 1 in 55 (1.83%) | $15084.04 |
| Magikarp | Common | $1.21 | 1 in 8 (12.82%) | $2154.91 |
| Buizel | Common | $1.19 | 1 in 8 (12.82%) | $2154.91 |
| Yanmega | Rare | $1.19 | 1 in 36 (2.78%) | $9945.22 |
| Honchkrow | Rare | $1.17 | 1 in 36 (2.78%) | $9945.22 |
| Silcoon | Uncommon | $1.16 | 1 in 12 (8.33%) | $3315.24 |
| Magmortar | Rare | $1.15 | 1 in 36 (2.78%) | $9945.22 |
| Maractus | Uncommon | $1.14 | 1 in 12 (8.33%) | $3315.24 |
| Lairon | Uncommon | $1.13 | 1 in 12 (8.33%) | $3315.24 |
| Electrike (41) | Common | $1.12 | 1 in 8 (12.82%) | $2154.91 |
| Bouffalant | Uncommon | $1.11 | 1 in 12 (8.33%) | $3315.24 |
| Skuntank | Uncommon | $1.11 | 1 in 12 (8.33%) | $3315.24 |
| Feebas | Common | $1.10 | 1 in 8 (12.82%) | $2154.91 |
| Jumpluff | Rare | $1.10 | 1 in 36 (2.78%) | $9945.22 |
| Manectric (43) | Rare | $1.10 | 1 in 36 (2.78%) | $9945.22 |
| Beautifly | Rare | $1.08 | 1 in 36 (2.78%) | $9945.22 |
| Walrein | Rare | $1.06 | 1 in 36 (2.78%) | $9945.22 |
| Sealeo | Uncommon | $1.01 | 1 in 12 (8.33%) | $3315.24 |
| Braviary | Rare | $1.00 | 1 in 36 (2.78%) | $9945.22 |
| Gigalith | Holo Rare | $1.00 | 1 in 55 (1.83%) | $15084.04 |
| Sigilyph | Holo Rare | $1.00 | 1 in 55 (1.83%) | $15084.04 |
| Vigoroth | Uncommon | $1.00 | 1 in 12 (8.33%) | $3315.24 |
| Skiploom | Uncommon | $0.99 | 1 in 12 (8.33%) | $3315.24 |
| Hoppip | Common | $0.98 | 1 in 8 (12.82%) | $2154.91 |
| Zweilous (95) | Uncommon | $0.95 | 1 in 12 (8.33%) | $3315.24 |
| Dustox | Rare | $0.94 | 1 in 36 (2.78%) | $9945.22 |
| Electrike (42) | Common | $0.93 | 1 in 8 (12.82%) | $2154.91 |
| Claydol | Rare | $0.92 | 1 in 36 (2.78%) | $9945.22 |
| Throh | Uncommon | $0.89 | 1 in 12 (8.33%) | $3315.24 |
| Gothitelle | Rare | $0.86 | 1 in 36 (2.78%) | $9945.22 |
| Tympole | Common | $0.86 | 1 in 8 (12.82%) | $2154.91 |
| Yanmega | Rare | $0.85 | 1 in 36 (2.78%) | $9945.22 |
| Hydreigon (98) | Rare | $0.83 | 1 in 36 (2.78%) | $9945.22 |
| Probopass | Rare | $0.81 | 1 in 36 (2.78%) | $9945.22 |
| Roselia (12) | Uncommon | $0.81 | 1 in 12 (8.33%) | $3315.24 |
| Zweilous (96) | Uncommon | $0.80 | 1 in 12 (8.33%) | $3315.24 |
| Sawk | Uncommon | $0.79 | 1 in 12 (8.33%) | $3315.24 |
| Drifblim | Rare | $0.77 | 1 in 36 (2.78%) | $9945.22 |
| Alomomola | Rare | $0.76 | 1 in 36 (2.78%) | $9945.22 |
| Baltoy | Common | $0.76 | 1 in 8 (12.82%) | $2154.91 |
| Cascoon | Uncommon | $0.75 | 1 in 12 (8.33%) | $3315.24 |
| Stunfisk | Uncommon | $0.75 | 1 in 12 (8.33%) | $3315.24 |
| Nosepass | Common | $0.74 | 1 in 8 (12.82%) | $2154.91 |
| Honchkrow | Rare | $0.73 | 1 in 36 (2.78%) | $9945.22 |
| Manectric (44) | Rare | $0.73 | 1 in 36 (2.78%) | $9945.22 |
| Swablu (104) | Uncommon | $0.73 | 1 in 12 (8.33%) | $3315.24 |
| Palpitoad | Uncommon | $0.71 | 1 in 12 (8.33%) | $3315.24 |
| Gothorita | Uncommon | $0.70 | 1 in 12 (8.33%) | $3315.24 |
| Rescue Scarf | Uncommon | $0.70 | 1 in 12 (8.33%) | $3315.24 |
| Durant | Uncommon | $0.69 | 1 in 12 (8.33%) | $3315.24 |
| Sigilyph | Holo Rare | $0.69 | 1 in 55 (1.83%) | $15084.04 |
| Tool Scrapper | Uncommon | $0.66 | 1 in 12 (8.33%) | $3315.24 |
| Emolga | Uncommon | $0.65 | 1 in 12 (8.33%) | $3315.24 |
| Boldore | Uncommon | $0.64 | 1 in 12 (8.33%) | $3315.24 |
| Claydol | Rare | $0.63 | 1 in 36 (2.78%) | $9945.22 |
| Braviary | Rare | $0.62 | 1 in 36 (2.78%) | $9945.22 |
| Seismitoad | Rare | $0.60 | 1 in 36 (2.78%) | $9945.22 |
| Deino (94) | Common | $0.59 | 1 in 8 (12.82%) | $2154.91 |
| Roselia (13) | Common | $0.58 | 1 in 8 (12.82%) | $2154.91 |
| Ambipom | Rare | $0.57 | 1 in 36 (2.78%) | $9945.22 |
| Flaaffy | Uncommon | $0.57 | 1 in 12 (8.33%) | $3315.24 |
| Wailmer | Uncommon | $0.57 | 1 in 12 (8.33%) | $3315.24 |
| Yanma | Common | $0.56 | 1 in 8 (12.82%) | $2154.91 |
| Devolution Spray | Uncommon | $0.52 | 1 in 12 (8.33%) | $3315.24 |
| Mareep | Common | $0.51 | 1 in 8 (12.82%) | $2154.91 |
| Throh | Uncommon | $0.51 | 1 in 12 (8.33%) | $3315.24 |
| Silcoon | Uncommon | $0.50 | 1 in 12 (8.33%) | $3315.24 |
| Bibarel | Uncommon | $0.49 | 1 in 12 (8.33%) | $3315.24 |
| Giant Cape | Uncommon | $0.49 | 1 in 12 (8.33%) | $3315.24 |
| Houndour | Common | $0.48 | 1 in 8 (12.82%) | $2154.91 |
| Zweilous (95) | Uncommon | $0.47 | 1 in 12 (8.33%) | $3315.24 |
| Golett | Common | $0.46 | 1 in 8 (12.82%) | $2154.91 |
| Probopass | Rare | $0.45 | 1 in 36 (2.78%) | $9945.22 |
| Walrein | Rare | $0.45 | 1 in 36 (2.78%) | $9945.22 |
| Roggenrola | Common | $0.44 | 1 in 8 (12.82%) | $2154.91 |
| Lairon | Uncommon | $0.43 | 1 in 12 (8.33%) | $3315.24 |
| Stunky | Common | $0.43 | 1 in 8 (12.82%) | $2154.91 |
| Cascoon | Uncommon | $0.42 | 1 in 12 (8.33%) | $3315.24 |
| Gabite (88) | Uncommon | $0.42 | 1 in 12 (8.33%) | $3315.24 |
| Murkrow | Common | $0.42 | 1 in 8 (12.82%) | $2154.91 |
| Bouffalant | Uncommon | $0.41 | 1 in 12 (8.33%) | $3315.24 |
| Sawk | Uncommon | $0.41 | 1 in 12 (8.33%) | $3315.24 |
| Ninjask | Uncommon | $0.40 | 1 in 12 (8.33%) | $3315.24 |
| Sealeo | Uncommon | $0.40 | 1 in 12 (8.33%) | $3315.24 |
| Slakoth | Common | $0.40 | 1 in 8 (12.82%) | $2154.91 |
| Swablu (105) | Common | $0.40 | 1 in 8 (12.82%) | $2154.91 |
| Minccino | Common | $0.39 | 1 in 8 (12.82%) | $2154.91 |
| Aipom | Common | $0.38 | 1 in 8 (12.82%) | $2154.91 |
| Drifloon (50) | Common | $0.38 | 1 in 8 (12.82%) | $2154.91 |
| Gible (87) | Common | $0.38 | 1 in 8 (12.82%) | $2154.91 |
| Spheal | Common | $0.38 | 1 in 8 (12.82%) | $2154.91 |
| Stunfisk | Uncommon | $0.38 | 1 in 12 (8.33%) | $3315.24 |
| Boldore | Uncommon | $0.37 | 1 in 12 (8.33%) | $3315.24 |
| Drifloon (49) | Common | $0.37 | 1 in 8 (12.82%) | $2154.91 |
| Nincada | Common | $0.37 | 1 in 8 (12.82%) | $2154.91 |
| Skuntank | Uncommon | $0.37 | 1 in 12 (8.33%) | $3315.24 |
| Aron | Common | $0.35 | 1 in 8 (12.82%) | $2154.91 |
| Bidoof | Common | $0.35 | 1 in 8 (12.82%) | $2154.91 |
| Gothita | Common | $0.35 | 1 in 8 (12.82%) | $2154.91 |
| Roserade (14) | Uncommon | $0.35 | 1 in 12 (8.33%) | $3315.24 |
| Feebas | Common | $0.34 | 1 in 8 (12.82%) | $2154.91 |
| Floatzel | Uncommon | $0.34 | 1 in 12 (8.33%) | $3315.24 |
| Gible (86) | Common | $0.34 | 1 in 8 (12.82%) | $2154.91 |
| Yanma | Common | $0.34 | 1 in 8 (12.82%) | $2154.91 |
| Zweilous (96) | Uncommon | $0.34 | 1 in 12 (8.33%) | $3315.24 |
| Durant | Uncommon | $0.33 | 1 in 12 (8.33%) | $3315.24 |
| Golett | Common | $0.33 | 1 in 8 (12.82%) | $2154.91 |
| Vigoroth | Uncommon | $0.33 | 1 in 12 (8.33%) | $3315.24 |
| Hoppip | Common | $0.32 | 1 in 8 (12.82%) | $2154.91 |
| Nosepass | Common | $0.32 | 1 in 8 (12.82%) | $2154.91 |
| Stunky | Common | $0.32 | 1 in 8 (12.82%) | $2154.91 |
| Electrike (41) | Common | $0.30 | 1 in 8 (12.82%) | $2154.91 |
| Magmar | Common | $0.30 | 1 in 8 (12.82%) | $2154.91 |
| Maractus | Uncommon | $0.29 | 1 in 12 (8.33%) | $3315.24 |
| Palpitoad | Uncommon | $0.29 | 1 in 12 (8.33%) | $3315.24 |
| Wurmple | Common | $0.29 | 1 in 8 (12.82%) | $2154.91 |
| Deino (93) | Common | $0.28 | 1 in 8 (12.82%) | $2154.91 |
| Foongus | Common | $0.28 | 1 in 8 (12.82%) | $2154.91 |
| Rufflet | Common | $0.28 | 1 in 8 (12.82%) | $2154.91 |
| Electrike (42) | Common | $0.27 | 1 in 8 (12.82%) | $2154.91 |
| Tympole | Common | $0.27 | 1 in 8 (12.82%) | $2154.91 |
| Roggenrola | Common | $0.26 | 1 in 8 (12.82%) | $2154.91 |
| Buizel | Common | $0.25 | 1 in 8 (12.82%) | $2154.91 |
| Deino (94) | Common | $0.24 | 1 in 8 (12.82%) | $2154.91 |
| Roselia (13) | Common | $0.24 | 1 in 8 (12.82%) | $2154.91 |
| Skiploom | Uncommon | $0.24 | 1 in 12 (8.33%) | $3315.24 |
| Giant Cape | Uncommon | $0.22 | 1 in 12 (8.33%) | $3315.24 |
| Baltoy | Common | $0.21 | 1 in 8 (12.82%) | $2154.91 |