A $97.72 Emerging Powers pack returns $8.07 in expected card value on average — 8% of what you paid.
No official TCGPlayer pull-rate article covers Emerging Powers, so these odds come from thepricedex.com, which discloses a disclosed sample. Sources that do not state how many packs they counted are not used here, however confident they sound.
How these figures are calculated, including the sourcing bar and what this model deliberately does not do.
| Product | Price | Expected value | Expected return |
|---|---|---|---|
| Emerging Powers Booster Pack | $97.72 | $8.07 | 8% |
| Evolved Battle Action Tin [Emboar] | — | $24.21 | TBD |
| Evolved Battle Action Tin [Samurott] | — | $24.21 | TBD |
| Evolved Battle Action Tin [Serperior] | — | $24.21 | TBD |
| Emerging Powers Booster Box | — | $290.56 | TBD |
Emerging Powers Booster Pack · Evolved Battle Action Tin [Emboar] · Evolved Battle Action Tin [Samurott] · Evolved Battle Action Tin [Serperior] · Emerging Powers Booster Box
| Product | Price per pack | Expected return |
|---|---|---|
| Booster Pack | $97.72 | 8% |
| Rarity | Pull rate | Sample |
|---|---|---|
| Ultra Rare | 5.56% | |
| Holo Rare | 27.78% | |
| Rare | 66.67% | |
| Common | 500% | |
| Uncommon | 300% |
| Card | Rarity | Market price | Odds | Cost to pull |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tornadus (98 Full Art) | Ultra Rare | $22.98 | 1 in 36 (2.78%) | $3515.11 |
| Thundurus (97 Full Art) | Ultra Rare | $22.69 | 1 in 36 (2.78%) | $3515.11 |
| Zoroark | Holo Rare | $10.75 | 1 in 36 (2.78%) | $3061.92 |
| Joltik | Common | $8.47 | 1 in 7 (15.15%) | $561.40 |
| Cubchoo (29) | Common | $8.46 | 1 in 7 (15.15%) | $561.40 |
| Cubchoo (28) | Common | $6.96 | 1 in 7 (15.15%) | $561.40 |
| Pokemon Catcher | Uncommon | $5.50 | 1 in 11 (9.38%) | $907.31 |
| Unfezant | Rare | $5.45 | 1 in 31 (3.17%) | $2679.26 |
| Unfezant | Rare | $5.40 | 1 in 31 (3.17%) | $2679.26 |
| Krookodile | Rare | $5.20 | 1 in 31 (3.17%) | $2679.26 |
| Whimsicott (12) | Rare | $5.19 | 1 in 31 (3.17%) | $2679.26 |
| Sawsbuck | Rare | $4.88 | 1 in 31 (3.17%) | $2679.26 |
| Deerling | Common | $4.69 | 1 in 7 (15.15%) | $561.40 |
| Pidove | Common | $4.16 | 1 in 7 (15.15%) | $561.40 |
| Minccino | Common | $4.11 | 1 in 7 (15.15%) | $561.40 |
| Ducklett | Common | $4.09 | 1 in 7 (15.15%) | $561.40 |
| Emolga | Common | $4.04 | 1 in 7 (15.15%) | $561.40 |
| Purrloin | Common | $3.91 | 1 in 7 (15.15%) | $561.40 |
| Sewaddle (4) | Common | $3.56 | 1 in 7 (15.15%) | $561.40 |
| Thundurus | Holo Rare | $3.49 | 1 in 36 (2.78%) | $3061.92 |
| Gothitelle (48) | Rare | $3.37 | 1 in 31 (3.17%) | $2679.26 |
| Cobalion | Holo Rare | $3.28 | 1 in 36 (2.78%) | $3061.92 |
| Basculin (24) | Common | $2.98 | 1 in 7 (15.15%) | $561.40 |
| Zoroark | Holo Rare | $2.98 | 1 in 36 (2.78%) | $3061.92 |
| Beartic (31) | Rare | $2.90 | 1 in 31 (3.17%) | $2679.26 |
| Darumaka | Common | $2.85 | 1 in 7 (15.15%) | $561.40 |
| Leavanny (7) | Rare | $2.82 | 1 in 31 (3.17%) | $2679.26 |
| Max Potion | Uncommon | $2.76 | 1 in 11 (9.38%) | $907.31 |
| Roggenrola (50) | Common | $2.73 | 1 in 7 (15.15%) | $561.40 |
| Sewaddle (3) | Common | $2.70 | 1 in 7 (15.15%) | $561.40 |
| Gigalith | Rare | $2.66 | 1 in 31 (3.17%) | $2679.26 |
| Cottonee (9) | Common | $2.58 | 1 in 7 (15.15%) | $561.40 |
| Gothitelle (47) | Holo Rare | $2.47 | 1 in 36 (2.78%) | $3061.92 |
| Excadrill (56) | Holo Rare | $2.45 | 1 in 36 (2.78%) | $3061.92 |
| Thundurus | Holo Rare | $2.44 | 1 in 36 (2.78%) | $3061.92 |
| Beartic (30) | Holo Rare | $2.39 | 1 in 36 (2.78%) | $3061.92 |
| Liepard | Rare | $2.38 | 1 in 31 (3.17%) | $2679.26 |
| Leavanny (8) | Rare | $2.33 | 1 in 31 (3.17%) | $2679.26 |
| Drilbur (55) | Common | $2.30 | 1 in 7 (15.15%) | $561.40 |
| Gothitelle (47) | Holo Rare | $2.24 | 1 in 36 (2.78%) | $3061.92 |
| Sawsbuck | Rare | $2.10 | 1 in 31 (3.17%) | $2679.26 |
| Simisage | Rare | $2.06 | 1 in 31 (3.17%) | $2679.26 |
| Scolipede | Rare | $2.02 | 1 in 31 (3.17%) | $2679.26 |
| Braviary | Holo Rare | $2.01 | 1 in 36 (2.78%) | $3061.92 |
| Gothita (44) | Common | $1.96 | 1 in 7 (15.15%) | $561.40 |
| Braviary | Holo Rare | $1.92 | 1 in 36 (2.78%) | $3061.92 |
| Excadrill (57) | Rare | $1.92 | 1 in 31 (3.17%) | $2679.26 |
| Petilil | Common | $1.89 | 1 in 7 (15.15%) | $561.40 |
| Darmanitan | Rare | $1.86 | 1 in 31 (3.17%) | $2679.26 |
| Terrakion | Holo Rare | $1.85 | 1 in 36 (2.78%) | $3061.92 |
| Gothita (43) | Common | $1.84 | 1 in 7 (15.15%) | $561.40 |
| Bianca | Uncommon | $1.80 | 1 in 11 (9.38%) | $907.31 |
| Cheren | Uncommon | $1.80 | 1 in 11 (9.38%) | $907.31 |
| Virizion | Holo Rare | $1.78 | 1 in 36 (2.78%) | $3061.92 |
| Excadrill (56) | Holo Rare | $1.69 | 1 in 36 (2.78%) | $3061.92 |
| Roggenrola (49) | Common | $1.68 | 1 in 7 (15.15%) | $561.40 |
| Terrakion | Holo Rare | $1.62 | 1 in 36 (2.78%) | $3061.92 |
| Crushing Hammer | Uncommon | $1.60 | 1 in 11 (9.38%) | $907.31 |
| Rufflet (87) | Uncommon | $1.57 | 1 in 11 (9.38%) | $907.31 |
| Whimsicott (12) | Rare | $1.55 | 1 in 31 (3.17%) | $2679.26 |
| Rufflet (86) | Common | $1.52 | 1 in 7 (15.15%) | $561.40 |
| Cobalion | Holo Rare | $1.51 | 1 in 36 (2.78%) | $3061.92 |
| Mandibuzz | Rare | $1.51 | 1 in 31 (3.17%) | $2679.26 |
| Pansear | Common | $1.51 | 1 in 7 (15.15%) | $561.40 |
| Pokemon Catcher | Uncommon | $1.50 | 1 in 11 (9.38%) | $907.31 |
| Ferrothorn (72) | Rare | $1.48 | 1 in 31 (3.17%) | $2679.26 |
| Virizion | Holo Rare | $1.48 | 1 in 36 (2.78%) | $3061.92 |
| Tornadus | Holo Rare | $1.47 | 1 in 36 (2.78%) | $3061.92 |
| Gothitelle (48) | Rare | $1.46 | 1 in 31 (3.17%) | $2679.26 |
| Klinklang | Rare | $1.42 | 1 in 31 (3.17%) | $2679.26 |
| Cinccino | Uncommon | $1.38 | 1 in 11 (9.38%) | $907.31 |
| Swoobat | Rare | $1.37 | 1 in 31 (3.17%) | $2679.26 |
| Pansage | Common | $1.36 | 1 in 7 (15.15%) | $561.40 |
| Liepard | Rare | $1.34 | 1 in 31 (3.17%) | $2679.26 |
| Patrat | Common | $1.33 | 1 in 7 (15.15%) | $561.40 |
| Tornadus | Holo Rare | $1.31 | 1 in 36 (2.78%) | $3061.92 |
| Venipede | Common | $1.27 | 1 in 7 (15.15%) | $561.40 |
| Simipour | Rare | $1.25 | 1 in 31 (3.17%) | $2679.26 |
| Gothorita (45) | Uncommon | $1.20 | 1 in 11 (9.38%) | $907.31 |
| Zorua | Uncommon | $1.20 | 1 in 11 (9.38%) | $907.31 |
| Max Potion | Uncommon | $1.19 | 1 in 11 (9.38%) | $907.31 |
| Leavanny (8) | Rare | $1.18 | 1 in 31 (3.17%) | $2679.26 |
| Gothorita (46) | Uncommon | $1.17 | 1 in 11 (9.38%) | $907.31 |
| Swanna | Rare | $1.16 | 1 in 31 (3.17%) | $2679.26 |
| Ferroseed (70) | Common | $1.09 | 1 in 7 (15.15%) | $561.40 |
| Cubchoo (29) | Common | $1.08 | 1 in 7 (15.15%) | $561.40 |
| Klinklang | Rare | $1.07 | 1 in 31 (3.17%) | $2679.26 |
| Audino | Uncommon | $1.05 | 1 in 11 (9.38%) | $907.31 |
| Ferroseed (71) | Common | $1.05 | 1 in 7 (15.15%) | $561.40 |
| Klink | Common | $1.04 | 1 in 7 (15.15%) | $561.40 |
| Simisear | Rare | $1.02 | 1 in 31 (3.17%) | $2679.26 |
| Minccino | Common | $1.00 | 1 in 7 (15.15%) | $561.40 |
| Recycle | Uncommon | $1.00 | 1 in 11 (9.38%) | $907.31 |
| Sandile | Common | $0.99 | 1 in 7 (15.15%) | $561.40 |
| Swadloon (6) | Uncommon | $0.97 | 1 in 11 (9.38%) | $907.31 |
| Basculin (25) | Uncommon | $0.96 | 1 in 11 (9.38%) | $907.31 |
| Great Ball | Uncommon | $0.96 | 1 in 11 (9.38%) | $907.31 |
| Leavanny (7) | Rare | $0.96 | 1 in 31 (3.17%) | $2679.26 |
| Scolipede | Rare | $0.94 | 1 in 31 (3.17%) | $2679.26 |
| Swadloon (5) | Uncommon | $0.93 | 1 in 11 (9.38%) | $907.31 |
| Beartic (30) | Holo Rare | $0.92 | 1 in 36 (2.78%) | $3061.92 |
| Lilligant | Uncommon | $0.89 | 1 in 11 (9.38%) | $907.31 |
| Ferrothorn (72) | Rare | $0.88 | 1 in 31 (3.17%) | $2679.26 |
| Galvantula | Uncommon | $0.88 | 1 in 11 (9.38%) | $907.31 |
| Swoobat | Rare | $0.88 | 1 in 31 (3.17%) | $2679.26 |
| Watchog | Uncommon | $0.88 | 1 in 11 (9.38%) | $907.31 |
| Sawk | Uncommon | $0.87 | 1 in 11 (9.38%) | $907.31 |
| Panpour | Common | $0.83 | 1 in 7 (15.15%) | $561.40 |
| Sigilyph (41) | Uncommon | $0.83 | 1 in 11 (9.38%) | $907.31 |
| Mandibuzz | Rare | $0.81 | 1 in 31 (3.17%) | $2679.26 |
| Vullaby | Common | $0.81 | 1 in 7 (15.15%) | $561.40 |
| Whimsicott (11) | Uncommon | $0.81 | 1 in 11 (9.38%) | $907.31 |
| Throh | Uncommon | $0.80 | 1 in 11 (9.38%) | $907.31 |
| Cottonee (10) | Common | $0.77 | 1 in 7 (15.15%) | $561.40 |
| Lilligant | Uncommon | $0.75 | 1 in 11 (9.38%) | $907.31 |
| Tranquill | Uncommon | $0.75 | 1 in 11 (9.38%) | $907.31 |
| Whirlipede | Uncommon | $0.73 | 1 in 11 (9.38%) | $907.31 |
| Woobat | Common | $0.73 | 1 in 7 (15.15%) | $561.40 |
| Excadrill (57) | Rare | $0.70 | 1 in 31 (3.17%) | $2679.26 |
| Gigalith | Rare | $0.70 | 1 in 31 (3.17%) | $2679.26 |
| Krookodile | Rare | $0.70 | 1 in 31 (3.17%) | $2679.26 |
| Swanna | Rare | $0.70 | 1 in 31 (3.17%) | $2679.26 |
| Simisage | Rare | $0.69 | 1 in 31 (3.17%) | $2679.26 |
| Sigilyph (42) | Uncommon | $0.68 | 1 in 11 (9.38%) | $907.31 |
| Klang | Uncommon | $0.67 | 1 in 11 (9.38%) | $907.31 |
| Beartic (31) | Rare | $0.66 | 1 in 31 (3.17%) | $2679.26 |
| Ferrothorn (73) | Uncommon | $0.66 | 1 in 11 (9.38%) | $907.31 |
| Audino | Uncommon | $0.65 | 1 in 11 (9.38%) | $907.31 |
| Cinccino | Uncommon | $0.62 | 1 in 11 (9.38%) | $907.31 |
| Emolga | Common | $0.62 | 1 in 7 (15.15%) | $561.40 |
| Darmanitan | Rare | $0.61 | 1 in 31 (3.17%) | $2679.26 |
| Drilbur (54) | Uncommon | $0.61 | 1 in 11 (9.38%) | $907.31 |
| Krokorok | Uncommon | $0.61 | 1 in 11 (9.38%) | $907.31 |
| Cubchoo (28) | Common | $0.60 | 1 in 7 (15.15%) | $561.40 |
| Simipour | Rare | $0.58 | 1 in 31 (3.17%) | $2679.26 |
| Galvantula | Uncommon | $0.57 | 1 in 11 (9.38%) | $907.31 |
| Gothorita (46) | Uncommon | $0.56 | 1 in 11 (9.38%) | $907.31 |
| Boldore (52) | Uncommon | $0.52 | 1 in 11 (9.38%) | $907.31 |
| Joltik | Common | $0.51 | 1 in 7 (15.15%) | $561.40 |
| Watchog | Uncommon | $0.50 | 1 in 11 (9.38%) | $907.31 |
| Zorua | Uncommon | $0.50 | 1 in 11 (9.38%) | $907.31 |
| Recycle | Uncommon | $0.49 | 1 in 11 (9.38%) | $907.31 |
| Gothorita (45) | Uncommon | $0.48 | 1 in 11 (9.38%) | $907.31 |
| Swadloon (6) | Uncommon | $0.48 | 1 in 11 (9.38%) | $907.31 |
| Crushing Hammer | Uncommon | $0.47 | 1 in 11 (9.38%) | $907.31 |
| Sewaddle (4) | Common | $0.47 | 1 in 7 (15.15%) | $561.40 |
| Basculin (24) | Common | $0.46 | 1 in 7 (15.15%) | $561.40 |
| Deerling | Common | $0.44 | 1 in 7 (15.15%) | $561.40 |
| Ferrothorn (73) | Uncommon | $0.43 | 1 in 11 (9.38%) | $907.31 |
| Simisear | Rare | $0.42 | 1 in 31 (3.17%) | $2679.26 |
| Boldore (51) | Uncommon | $0.41 | 1 in 11 (9.38%) | $907.31 |
| Swadloon (5) | Uncommon | $0.41 | 1 in 11 (9.38%) | $907.31 |
| Drilbur (54) | Uncommon | $0.39 | 1 in 11 (9.38%) | $907.31 |
| Sigilyph (41) | Uncommon | $0.39 | 1 in 11 (9.38%) | $907.31 |
| Whimsicott (11) | Uncommon | $0.39 | 1 in 11 (9.38%) | $907.31 |
| Gothita (43) | Common | $0.38 | 1 in 7 (15.15%) | $561.40 |
| Gothita (44) | Common | $0.38 | 1 in 7 (15.15%) | $561.40 |
| Boldore (52) | Uncommon | $0.37 | 1 in 11 (9.38%) | $907.31 |
| Sewaddle (3) | Common | $0.37 | 1 in 7 (15.15%) | $561.40 |
| Cottonee (9) | Common | $0.36 | 1 in 7 (15.15%) | $561.40 |
| Ducklett | Common | $0.35 | 1 in 7 (15.15%) | $561.40 |
| Klang | Uncommon | $0.35 | 1 in 11 (9.38%) | $907.31 |
| Purrloin | Common | $0.35 | 1 in 7 (15.15%) | $561.40 |
| Krokorok | Uncommon | $0.33 | 1 in 11 (9.38%) | $907.31 |
| Roggenrola (49) | Common | $0.33 | 1 in 7 (15.15%) | $561.40 |
| Sawk | Uncommon | $0.33 | 1 in 11 (9.38%) | $907.31 |
| Tranquill | Uncommon | $0.33 | 1 in 11 (9.38%) | $907.31 |
| Petilil | Common | $0.32 | 1 in 7 (15.15%) | $561.40 |
| Rufflet (86) | Common | $0.31 | 1 in 7 (15.15%) | $561.40 |
| Panpour | Common | $0.30 | 1 in 7 (15.15%) | $561.40 |
| Rufflet (87) | Uncommon | $0.30 | 1 in 11 (9.38%) | $907.31 |
| Whirlipede | Uncommon | $0.30 | 1 in 11 (9.38%) | $907.31 |
| Ferroseed (71) | Common | $0.29 | 1 in 7 (15.15%) | $561.40 |
| Sandile | Common | $0.29 | 1 in 7 (15.15%) | $561.40 |
| Basculin (25) | Uncommon | $0.28 | 1 in 11 (9.38%) | $907.31 |
| Boldore (51) | Uncommon | $0.28 | 1 in 11 (9.38%) | $907.31 |
| Ferroseed (70) | Common | $0.28 | 1 in 7 (15.15%) | $561.40 |
| Pidove | Common | $0.28 | 1 in 7 (15.15%) | $561.40 |
| Cheren | Uncommon | $0.27 | 1 in 11 (9.38%) | $907.31 |
| Klink | Common | $0.27 | 1 in 7 (15.15%) | $561.40 |
| Pansage | Common | $0.27 | 1 in 7 (15.15%) | $561.40 |
| Roggenrola (50) | Common | $0.26 | 1 in 7 (15.15%) | $561.40 |
| Sigilyph (42) | Uncommon | $0.26 | 1 in 11 (9.38%) | $907.31 |
| Vullaby | Common | $0.26 | 1 in 7 (15.15%) | $561.40 |
| Bianca | Uncommon | $0.25 | 1 in 11 (9.38%) | $907.31 |
| Cottonee (10) | Common | $0.25 | 1 in 7 (15.15%) | $561.40 |
| Pansear | Common | $0.25 | 1 in 7 (15.15%) | $561.40 |
| Woobat | Common | $0.25 | 1 in 7 (15.15%) | $561.40 |
| Drilbur (55) | Common | $0.24 | 1 in 7 (15.15%) | $561.40 |
| Throh | Uncommon | $0.23 | 1 in 11 (9.38%) | $907.31 |
| Darumaka | Common | $0.21 | 1 in 7 (15.15%) | $561.40 |
| Great Ball | Uncommon | $0.21 | 1 in 11 (9.38%) | $907.31 |
| Patrat | Common | $0.20 | 1 in 7 (15.15%) | $561.40 |
| Venipede | Common | $0.19 | 1 in 7 (15.15%) | $561.40 |