A $1299.99 EX Crystal Guardians pack returns $139.42 in expected card value on average — 11% of what you paid.
No official TCGPlayer pull-rate article covers EX Crystal Guardians, so these odds come from elitefourum.com, which discloses a 1,116-pack sample. Sources that do not state how many packs they counted are not used here, however confident they sound.
How these figures are calculated, including the sourcing bar and what this model deliberately does not do.
| Product | Price | Expected value | Expected return |
|---|---|---|---|
| Crystal Guardians Booster Pack | $1299.99 | $139.42 | 11% |
| Crystal Guardians Booster Box | — | $5019.23 | TBD |
Crystal Guardians Booster Pack · Crystal Guardians Booster Box
| Product | Price per pack | Expected return |
|---|---|---|
| Booster Pack | $1299.99 | 11% |
| Rarity | Pull rate | Sample |
|---|---|---|
| Gold Star | 0.71% | n=1116 |
| Ultra Rare | 8.33% | n=1116 |
| Holo Rare | 24.17% | |
| Rare | 66.67% | |
| Common | 500% | |
| Uncommon | 200% |
| Card | Rarity | Market price | Odds | Cost to pull |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alakazam Star | Gold Star | $1429.50 | 1 in 282 (0.36%) | $366194.37 |
| Celebi Star | Gold Star | $750.00 | 1 in 282 (0.36%) | $366194.37 |
| Kyogre ex | Ultra Rare | $349.99 | 1 in 144 (0.69%) | $156061.22 |
| Sceptile ex (Delta Species) | Ultra Rare | $256.99 | 1 in 144 (0.69%) | $156061.22 |
| Jirachi ex | Ultra Rare | $256.66 | 1 in 144 (0.69%) | $156061.22 |
| Swampert ex | Ultra Rare | $255.00 | 1 in 144 (0.69%) | $156061.22 |
| Blaziken ex | Ultra Rare | $175.00 | 1 in 144 (0.69%) | $156061.22 |
| Groudon ex | Ultra Rare | $175.00 | 1 in 144 (0.69%) | $156061.22 |
| Delcatty ex | Ultra Rare | $82.66 | 1 in 144 (0.69%) | $156061.22 |
| Aggron ex | Ultra Rare | $73.62 | 1 in 144 (0.69%) | $156061.22 |
| Exploud ex | Ultra Rare | $65.58 | 1 in 144 (0.69%) | $156061.22 |
| Shiftry ex | Ultra Rare | $44.82 | 1 in 144 (0.69%) | $156061.22 |
| Charizard (Delta Species) | Holo Rare | $1199.99 | 1 in 54 (1.86%) | TBD |
| Charizard (Delta Species) | Holo Rare | $939.50 | 1 in 54 (1.86%) | TBD |
| Blastoise (Delta Species) | Holo Rare | $260.70 | 1 in 54 (1.86%) | TBD |
| Blastoise (Delta Species) | Holo Rare | $245.91 | 1 in 54 (1.86%) | TBD |
| Charmander (Delta Species) | Common | $149.00 | 1 in 6 (16.67%) | TBD |
| Sableye | Holo Rare | $142.18 | 1 in 54 (1.86%) | TBD |
| Blastoise | Rare | $130.00 | 1 in 24 (4.17%) | TBD |
| Squirtle - 064/100 | Common | $119.74 | 1 in 6 (16.67%) | TBD |
| Bulbasaur - 045/100 | Common | $113.25 | 1 in 6 (16.67%) | TBD |
| Squirtle - 063/100 | Common | $103.48 | 1 in 6 (16.67%) | TBD |
| Venusaur | Rare | $99.99 | 1 in 24 (4.17%) | TBD |
| Mudkip - 058/100 | Common | $85.34 | 1 in 6 (16.67%) | TBD |
| Mudkip - 057/100 | Common | $82.16 | 1 in 6 (16.67%) | TBD |
| Swampert | Rare | $79.99 | 1 in 24 (4.17%) | TBD |
| Wartortle - 042/100 | Uncommon | $75.00 | 1 in 15 (6.67%) | TBD |
| Ludicolo (Delta Species) | Holo Rare | $74.99 | 1 in 54 (1.86%) | TBD |
| Charmander | Common | $69.60 | 1 in 6 (16.67%) | TBD |
| Torchic - 066/100 | Common | $62.48 | 1 in 6 (16.67%) | TBD |
| Charmeleon (Delta Species) | Uncommon | $60.00 | 1 in 15 (6.67%) | TBD |
| Grovyle (Delta Species) | Rare | $59.99 | 1 in 24 (4.17%) | TBD |
| Ivysaur - 035/100 | Uncommon | $58.80 | 1 in 15 (6.67%) | TBD |
| Sableye | Holo Rare | $58.56 | 1 in 54 (1.86%) | TBD |
| Wartortle - 043/100 | Uncommon | $53.37 | 1 in 15 (6.67%) | TBD |
| Kingler (Delta Species) | Rare | $51.85 | 1 in 24 (4.17%) | TBD |
| Lairon | Uncommon | $48.25 | 1 in 15 (6.67%) | TBD |
| Ivysaur - 034/100 | Uncommon | $48.11 | 1 in 15 (6.67%) | TBD |
| Bulbasaur - 046/100 | Common | $47.22 | 1 in 6 (16.67%) | TBD |
| Treecko (Delta Species) | Common | $44.89 | 1 in 6 (16.67%) | TBD |
| Torchic - 065/100 | Common | $43.20 | 1 in 6 (16.67%) | TBD |
| Diglett | Common | $41.11 | 1 in 6 (16.67%) | TBD |
| Jigglypuff | Common | $39.40 | 1 in 6 (16.67%) | TBD |
| Mawile | Holo Rare | $37.86 | 1 in 54 (1.86%) | TBD |
| Pelipper (Delta Species) | Rare | $34.83 | 1 in 24 (4.17%) | TBD |
| Igglybuff | Rare | $34.43 | 1 in 24 (4.17%) | TBD |
| Dugtrio | Holo Rare | $34.38 | 1 in 54 (1.86%) | TBD |
| Wigglytuff | Holo Rare | $33.90 | 1 in 54 (1.86%) | TBD |
| Banette | Holo Rare | $33.83 | 1 in 54 (1.86%) | TBD |
| Treecko | Common | $32.87 | 1 in 6 (16.67%) | TBD |
| Ludicolo (Delta Species) | Holo Rare | $32.72 | 1 in 54 (1.86%) | TBD |
| Mawile | Holo Rare | $30.84 | 1 in 54 (1.86%) | TBD |
| Tauros | Holo Rare | $30.34 | 1 in 54 (1.86%) | TBD |
| Combusken - 031/100 | Uncommon | $29.99 | 1 in 15 (6.67%) | TBD |
| Grovyle | Uncommon | $28.32 | 1 in 15 (6.67%) | TBD |
| Marshtomp - 024/100 | Rare | $28.32 | 1 in 24 (4.17%) | TBD |
| Cacturne (Delta Species) | Rare | $26.92 | 1 in 24 (4.17%) | TBD |
| Marshtomp - 038/100 | Uncommon | $26.86 | 1 in 15 (6.67%) | TBD |
| Fearow (Delta Species) | Rare | $26.65 | 1 in 24 (4.17%) | TBD |
| Tauros | Holo Rare | $26.25 | 1 in 54 (1.86%) | TBD |
| Shuppet | Uncommon | $25.85 | 1 in 15 (6.67%) | TBD |
| Lotad - 055/100 (EX Crystal Guardians Reverse Holofoil) | Common | $24.99 | 1 in 6 (16.67%) | TBD |
| Dugtrio | Holo Rare | $24.45 | 1 in 54 (1.86%) | TBD |
| Krabby | Common | $24.10 | 1 in 6 (16.67%) | TBD |
| Charmeleon | Uncommon | $23.45 | 1 in 15 (6.67%) | TBD |
| Combusken - 016/100 | Rare | $22.90 | 1 in 24 (4.17%) | TBD |
| Manectric | Holo Rare | $22.42 | 1 in 54 (1.86%) | TBD |
| Wigglytuff | Holo Rare | $22.25 | 1 in 54 (1.86%) | TBD |
| Manectric | Holo Rare | $22.09 | 1 in 54 (1.86%) | TBD |
| Nuzleaf | Uncommon | $21.33 | 1 in 15 (6.67%) | TBD |
| Luvdisc | Holo Rare | $21.32 | 1 in 54 (1.86%) | TBD |
| Gulpin | Uncommon | $20.50 | 1 in 15 (6.67%) | TBD |
| Camerupt | Holo Rare | $20.47 | 1 in 54 (1.86%) | TBD |
| Blastoise | Rare | $20.39 | 1 in 24 (4.17%) | TBD |
| Skitty | Uncommon | $20.00 | 1 in 15 (6.67%) | TBD |
| Spoink | Common | $19.05 | 1 in 6 (16.67%) | TBD |
| Banette | Holo Rare | $18.86 | 1 in 54 (1.86%) | TBD |
| Windstorm | Uncommon | $18.60 | 1 in 15 (6.67%) | TBD |
| Lotad | Common | $18.57 | 1 in 6 (16.67%) | TBD |
| Dusclops | Rare | $18.17 | 1 in 24 (4.17%) | TBD |
| Ivysaur - 034/100 | Uncommon | $17.66 | 1 in 15 (6.67%) | TBD |
| Squirtle - 064/100 | Common | $16.76 | 1 in 6 (16.67%) | TBD |
| Venusaur | Rare | $16.34 | 1 in 24 (4.17%) | TBD |
| Aron | Common | $15.96 | 1 in 6 (16.67%) | TBD |
| Numel | Common | $15.37 | 1 in 6 (16.67%) | TBD |
| Lombre | Uncommon | $15.16 | 1 in 15 (6.67%) | TBD |
| Duskull | Common | $15.06 | 1 in 6 (16.67%) | TBD |
| Castaway | Uncommon | $14.93 | 1 in 15 (6.67%) | TBD |
| Swalot | Holo Rare | $14.74 | 1 in 54 (1.86%) | TBD |
| Luvdisc | Holo Rare | $14.37 | 1 in 54 (1.86%) | TBD |
| Cessation Crystal | Uncommon | $13.25 | 1 in 15 (6.67%) | TBD |
| Cacnea | Common | $13.06 | 1 in 6 (16.67%) | TBD |
| Grumpig | Rare | $12.63 | 1 in 24 (4.17%) | TBD |
| Meditite | Common | $12.23 | 1 in 6 (16.67%) | TBD |
| Bulbasaur - 045/100 | Common | $11.89 | 1 in 6 (16.67%) | TBD |
| Wingull | Common | $11.83 | 1 in 6 (16.67%) | TBD |
| Camerupt | Holo Rare | $11.51 | 1 in 54 (1.86%) | TBD |
| Medicham | Rare | $11.43 | 1 in 24 (4.17%) | TBD |
| Seedot | Common | $11.37 | 1 in 6 (16.67%) | TBD |
| Bill's Maintenance | Uncommon | $11.31 | 1 in 15 (6.67%) | TBD |
| Swalot | Holo Rare | $10.60 | 1 in 54 (1.86%) | TBD |
| Loudred | Rare | $10.57 | 1 in 24 (4.17%) | TBD |
| Double Rainbow Energy | Rare | $10.48 | 1 in 24 (4.17%) | TBD |
| Electrike | Common | $10.06 | 1 in 6 (16.67%) | TBD |
| Whismur | Common | $9.81 | 1 in 6 (16.67%) | TBD |
| Spearow | Common | $9.38 | 1 in 6 (16.67%) | TBD |
| Windstorm | Uncommon | $8.59 | 1 in 15 (6.67%) | TBD |
| Crystal Beach | Uncommon | $7.65 | 1 in 15 (6.67%) | TBD |
| Warp Point | Uncommon | $7.23 | 1 in 15 (6.67%) | TBD |
| Igglybuff | Rare | $7.19 | 1 in 24 (4.17%) | TBD |
| Charmeleon (Delta Species) | Uncommon | $7.05 | 1 in 15 (6.67%) | TBD |
| Celio's Network | Uncommon | $6.50 | 1 in 15 (6.67%) | TBD |
| Charmander (Delta Species) | Common | $6.40 | 1 in 6 (16.67%) | TBD |
| Kingler (Delta Species) | Rare | $5.99 | 1 in 24 (4.17%) | TBD |
| Grovyle (Delta Species) | Rare | $5.92 | 1 in 24 (4.17%) | TBD |
| Poke Ball | Uncommon | $5.86 | 1 in 15 (6.67%) | TBD |
| Energy Search | Common | $5.78 | 1 in 6 (16.67%) | TBD |
| Charmander | Common | $5.61 | 1 in 6 (16.67%) | TBD |
| Swampert | Rare | $5.54 | 1 in 24 (4.17%) | TBD |
| Double Rainbow Energy | Rare | $5.43 | 1 in 24 (4.17%) | TBD |
| Dual Ball | Uncommon | $5.29 | 1 in 15 (6.67%) | TBD |
| Mudkip - 058/100 | Common | $5.20 | 1 in 6 (16.67%) | TBD |
| Cessation Crystal | Uncommon | $4.87 | 1 in 15 (6.67%) | TBD |
| Wartortle - 042/100 | Uncommon | $4.79 | 1 in 15 (6.67%) | TBD |
| Ivysaur - 035/100 | Uncommon | $4.70 | 1 in 15 (6.67%) | TBD |
| Castaway | Uncommon | $4.56 | 1 in 15 (6.67%) | TBD |
| Bulbasaur - 046/100 | Common | $4.22 | 1 in 6 (16.67%) | TBD |
| Crystal Shard | Uncommon | $3.86 | 1 in 15 (6.67%) | TBD |
| Mysterious Shard | Uncommon | $3.77 | 1 in 15 (6.67%) | TBD |
| Marshtomp - 024/100 | Rare | $3.41 | 1 in 24 (4.17%) | TBD |
| Holon Circle | Uncommon | $3.23 | 1 in 15 (6.67%) | TBD |
| Squirtle - 063/100 | Common | $3.20 | 1 in 6 (16.67%) | TBD |
| Memory Berry | Uncommon | $3.13 | 1 in 15 (6.67%) | TBD |
| Potion | Common | $3.13 | 1 in 6 (16.67%) | TBD |
| Double Full Heal | Uncommon | $3.00 | 1 in 15 (6.67%) | TBD |
| Cacturne (Delta Species) | Rare | $2.91 | 1 in 24 (4.17%) | TBD |
| Diglett | Common | $2.88 | 1 in 6 (16.67%) | TBD |
| Mudkip - 057/100 | Common | $2.78 | 1 in 6 (16.67%) | TBD |
| Pelipper (Delta Species) | Rare | $2.74 | 1 in 24 (4.17%) | TBD |
| Fearow (Delta Species) | Rare | $2.69 | 1 in 24 (4.17%) | TBD |
| Crystal Beach | Uncommon | $2.52 | 1 in 15 (6.67%) | TBD |
| Treecko (Delta Species) | Common | $2.49 | 1 in 6 (16.67%) | TBD |
| Pokenav | Uncommon | $2.42 | 1 in 15 (6.67%) | TBD |
| Charmeleon | Uncommon | $2.12 | 1 in 15 (6.67%) | TBD |
| Wartortle - 043/100 | Uncommon | $2.02 | 1 in 15 (6.67%) | TBD |
| Nuzleaf | Uncommon | $1.91 | 1 in 15 (6.67%) | TBD |
| Marshtomp - 038/100 | Uncommon | $1.80 | 1 in 15 (6.67%) | TBD |
| Skitty | Uncommon | $1.62 | 1 in 15 (6.67%) | TBD |
| Torchic - 065/100 | Common | $1.45 | 1 in 6 (16.67%) | TBD |
| Combusken - 016/100 | Rare | $1.37 | 1 in 24 (4.17%) | TBD |
| Jigglypuff | Common | $1.34 | 1 in 6 (16.67%) | TBD |
| Dusclops | Rare | $1.26 | 1 in 24 (4.17%) | TBD |
| Combusken - 031/100 | Uncommon | $1.25 | 1 in 15 (6.67%) | TBD |
| Warp Point | Uncommon | $1.18 | 1 in 15 (6.67%) | TBD |
| Shuppet | Uncommon | $1.17 | 1 in 15 (6.67%) | TBD |
| Treecko | Common | $1.17 | 1 in 6 (16.67%) | TBD |
| Torchic - 066/100 | Common | $1.13 | 1 in 6 (16.67%) | TBD |
| Grovyle | Uncommon | $1.12 | 1 in 15 (6.67%) | TBD |
| Gulpin | Uncommon | $1.03 | 1 in 15 (6.67%) | TBD |
| Lairon | Uncommon | $1.03 | 1 in 15 (6.67%) | TBD |
| Lombre | Uncommon | $1.03 | 1 in 15 (6.67%) | TBD |
| Krabby | Common | $0.92 | 1 in 6 (16.67%) | TBD |
| Grumpig | Rare | $0.91 | 1 in 24 (4.17%) | TBD |
| Memory Berry | Uncommon | $0.91 | 1 in 15 (6.67%) | TBD |
| Aron | Common | $0.88 | 1 in 6 (16.67%) | TBD |
| Cacnea | Common | $0.86 | 1 in 6 (16.67%) | TBD |
| Loudred | Rare | $0.84 | 1 in 24 (4.17%) | TBD |
| Medicham | Rare | $0.80 | 1 in 24 (4.17%) | TBD |
| Lotad | Common | $0.77 | 1 in 6 (16.67%) | TBD |
| Spoink | Common | $0.68 | 1 in 6 (16.67%) | TBD |
| Holon Circle | Uncommon | $0.65 | 1 in 15 (6.67%) | TBD |
| Celio's Network | Uncommon | $0.64 | 1 in 15 (6.67%) | TBD |
| Wingull | Common | $0.59 | 1 in 6 (16.67%) | TBD |
| Dual Ball | Uncommon | $0.57 | 1 in 15 (6.67%) | TBD |
| Numel | Common | $0.57 | 1 in 6 (16.67%) | TBD |
| Duskull | Common | $0.54 | 1 in 6 (16.67%) | TBD |
| Mysterious Shard | Uncommon | $0.50 | 1 in 15 (6.67%) | TBD |
| Pokenav | Uncommon | $0.50 | 1 in 15 (6.67%) | TBD |
| Poke Ball | Uncommon | $0.44 | 1 in 15 (6.67%) | TBD |
| Meditite | Common | $0.42 | 1 in 6 (16.67%) | TBD |
| Crystal Shard | Uncommon | $0.40 | 1 in 15 (6.67%) | TBD |
| Electrike | Common | $0.34 | 1 in 6 (16.67%) | TBD |
| Spearow | Common | $0.33 | 1 in 6 (16.67%) | TBD |
| Bill's Maintenance | Uncommon | $0.32 | 1 in 15 (6.67%) | TBD |
| Double Full Heal | Uncommon | $0.32 | 1 in 15 (6.67%) | TBD |
| Whismur | Common | $0.32 | 1 in 6 (16.67%) | TBD |
| Seedot | Common | $0.30 | 1 in 6 (16.67%) | TBD |
| Energy Search | Common | $0.15 | 1 in 6 (16.67%) | TBD |
| Potion | Common | $0.08 | 1 in 6 (16.67%) | TBD |