
A $1649.99 EX Crystal Guardians pack returns $155.12 in expected card value on average — 9% of what you paid.
No official TCGPlayer pull-rate article covers EX Crystal Guardians, so these odds come from elitefourum.com, which discloses a 1,116-pack sample. A stated count is the difference between a measured rate and a confident guess, so it is recorded here whenever a source gives one.
How these figures are calculated, including the sourcing bar and what this model deliberately does not do.
| Product | Price | Expected value | Expected return |
|---|---|---|---|
| Crystal Guardians Booster Pack | $1649.99 | $155.12 | 9% |
| Crystal Guardians Booster Box | — | $5584.30 | TBD |
Crystal Guardians Booster Pack · Crystal Guardians Booster Box
| Product | Price per pack | Expected return |
|---|---|---|
| Booster Pack | $1649.99 | 9% |
| Rarity | Pull rate | Sample |
|---|---|---|
| Gold Star | 0.71% | n=1116 |
| Ultra Rare | 8.33% | n=1116 |
| Holo Rare | 24.17% | |
| Rare | 66.67% | |
| Common | 500% | |
| Uncommon | 200% |
| Card | Rarity | Market price | Odds | Cost to pull |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alakazam Star | Gold Star | $1429.50 | 1 in 282 (0.36%) | $464785.92 |
| Celebi Star | Gold Star | $1116.68 | 1 in 282 (0.36%) | $464785.92 |
| Kyogre ex | Ultra Rare | $349.99 | 1 in 144 (0.69%) | $198078.03 |
| Jirachi ex | Ultra Rare | $265.00 | 1 in 144 (0.69%) | $198078.03 |
| Swampert ex | Ultra Rare | $255.33 | 1 in 144 (0.69%) | $198078.03 |
| Sceptile ex (Delta Species) | Ultra Rare | $253.99 | 1 in 144 (0.69%) | $198078.03 |
| Groudon ex | Ultra Rare | $189.78 | 1 in 144 (0.69%) | $198078.03 |
| Blaziken ex | Ultra Rare | $187.50 | 1 in 144 (0.69%) | $198078.03 |
| Delcatty ex | Ultra Rare | $121.25 | 1 in 144 (0.69%) | $198078.03 |
| Exploud ex | Ultra Rare | $76.56 | 1 in 144 (0.69%) | $198078.03 |
| Aggron ex | Ultra Rare | $73.62 | 1 in 144 (0.69%) | $198078.03 |
| Shiftry ex | Ultra Rare | $56.19 | 1 in 144 (0.69%) | $198078.03 |
| Charizard (Delta Species) | Holo Rare | $1199.99 | 1 in 54 (1.86%) | TBD |
| Charizard (Delta Species) | Holo Rare | $939.50 | 1 in 54 (1.86%) | TBD |
| Blastoise (Delta Species) | Holo Rare | $329.18 | 1 in 54 (1.86%) | TBD |
| Blastoise | Rare | $300.00 | 1 in 24 (4.17%) | TBD |
| Blastoise (Delta Species) | Holo Rare | $271.36 | 1 in 54 (1.86%) | TBD |
| Charmander (Delta Species) | Common | $202.18 | 1 in 6 (16.67%) | TBD |
| Bulbasaur - 045/100 | Common | $154.48 | 1 in 6 (16.67%) | TBD |
| Sableye | Holo Rare | $150.84 | 1 in 54 (1.86%) | TBD |
| Ivysaur - 034/100 | Uncommon | $150.00 | 1 in 15 (6.67%) | TBD |
| Squirtle - 064/100 | Common | $129.21 | 1 in 6 (16.67%) | TBD |
| Squirtle - 063/100 | Common | $116.22 | 1 in 6 (16.67%) | TBD |
| Venusaur | Rare | $113.50 | 1 in 24 (4.17%) | TBD |
| Mudkip - 057/100 | Common | $107.70 | 1 in 6 (16.67%) | TBD |
| Mudkip - 058/100 | Common | $99.74 | 1 in 6 (16.67%) | TBD |
| Charmeleon | Uncommon | $96.97 | 1 in 15 (6.67%) | TBD |
| Wartortle - 043/100 | Uncommon | $89.99 | 1 in 15 (6.67%) | TBD |
| Torchic - 066/100 | Common | $81.66 | 1 in 6 (16.67%) | TBD |
| Ludicolo (Delta Species) | Holo Rare | $80.29 | 1 in 54 (1.86%) | TBD |
| Charmeleon (Delta Species) | Uncommon | $80.00 | 1 in 15 (6.67%) | TBD |
| Swampert | Rare | $79.99 | 1 in 24 (4.17%) | TBD |
| Wartortle - 042/100 | Uncommon | $79.33 | 1 in 15 (6.67%) | TBD |
| Charmander | Common | $73.29 | 1 in 6 (16.67%) | TBD |
| Grovyle (Delta Species) | Rare | $68.47 | 1 in 24 (4.17%) | TBD |
| Torchic - 065/100 | Common | $68.04 | 1 in 6 (16.67%) | TBD |
| Bulbasaur - 046/100 | Common | $65.81 | 1 in 6 (16.67%) | TBD |
| Sableye | Holo Rare | $65.22 | 1 in 54 (1.86%) | TBD |
| Kingler (Delta Species) | Rare | $64.09 | 1 in 24 (4.17%) | TBD |
| Treecko | Common | $62.86 | 1 in 6 (16.67%) | TBD |
| Ivysaur - 035/100 | Uncommon | $60.91 | 1 in 15 (6.67%) | TBD |
| Treecko (Delta Species) | Common | $52.58 | 1 in 6 (16.67%) | TBD |
| Diglett | Common | $45.15 | 1 in 6 (16.67%) | TBD |
| Dugtrio | Holo Rare | $44.53 | 1 in 54 (1.86%) | TBD |
| Jigglypuff | Common | $43.29 | 1 in 6 (16.67%) | TBD |
| Combusken - 031/100 | Uncommon | $40.33 | 1 in 15 (6.67%) | TBD |
| Duskull | Common | $40.04 | 1 in 6 (16.67%) | TBD |
| Igglybuff | Rare | $39.28 | 1 in 24 (4.17%) | TBD |
| Wigglytuff | Holo Rare | $38.96 | 1 in 54 (1.86%) | TBD |
| Mawile | Holo Rare | $38.58 | 1 in 54 (1.86%) | TBD |
| Marshtomp - 038/100 | Uncommon | $38.06 | 1 in 15 (6.67%) | TBD |
| Tauros | Holo Rare | $37.03 | 1 in 54 (1.86%) | TBD |
| Combusken - 016/100 | Rare | $35.99 | 1 in 24 (4.17%) | TBD |
| Banette | Holo Rare | $34.96 | 1 in 54 (1.86%) | TBD |
| Pelipper (Delta Species) | Rare | $33.88 | 1 in 24 (4.17%) | TBD |
| Ludicolo (Delta Species) | Holo Rare | $33.41 | 1 in 54 (1.86%) | TBD |
| Lairon | Uncommon | $32.74 | 1 in 15 (6.67%) | TBD |
| Cacturne (Delta Species) | Rare | $32.63 | 1 in 24 (4.17%) | TBD |
| Marshtomp - 024/100 | Rare | $32.55 | 1 in 24 (4.17%) | TBD |
| Fearow (Delta Species) | Rare | $30.07 | 1 in 24 (4.17%) | TBD |
| Grovyle | Uncommon | $28.79 | 1 in 15 (6.67%) | TBD |
| Krabby | Common | $28.21 | 1 in 6 (16.67%) | TBD |
| Mawile | Holo Rare | $27.06 | 1 in 54 (1.86%) | TBD |
| Manectric | Holo Rare | $27.02 | 1 in 54 (1.86%) | TBD |
| Tauros | Holo Rare | $26.99 | 1 in 54 (1.86%) | TBD |
| Dugtrio | Holo Rare | $26.74 | 1 in 54 (1.86%) | TBD |
| Shuppet | Uncommon | $26.53 | 1 in 15 (6.67%) | TBD |
| Manectric | Holo Rare | $25.10 | 1 in 54 (1.86%) | TBD |
| Lotad - 055/100 (EX Crystal Guardians Reverse Holofoil) | Common | $24.99 | 1 in 6 (16.67%) | TBD |
| Camerupt | Holo Rare | $24.50 | 1 in 54 (1.86%) | TBD |
| Wigglytuff | Holo Rare | $24.17 | 1 in 54 (1.86%) | TBD |
| Luvdisc | Holo Rare | $23.56 | 1 in 54 (1.86%) | TBD |
| Swalot | Holo Rare | $23.30 | 1 in 54 (1.86%) | TBD |
| Banette | Holo Rare | $22.60 | 1 in 54 (1.86%) | TBD |
| Nuzleaf | Uncommon | $22.11 | 1 in 15 (6.67%) | TBD |
| Lotad | Common | $22.07 | 1 in 6 (16.67%) | TBD |
| Dusclops | Rare | $21.20 | 1 in 24 (4.17%) | TBD |
| Loudred | Rare | $21.14 | 1 in 24 (4.17%) | TBD |
| Blastoise | Rare | $20.92 | 1 in 24 (4.17%) | TBD |
| Spoink | Common | $20.63 | 1 in 6 (16.67%) | TBD |
| Gulpin | Uncommon | $20.50 | 1 in 15 (6.67%) | TBD |
| Skitty | Uncommon | $20.50 | 1 in 15 (6.67%) | TBD |
| Lombre | Uncommon | $19.37 | 1 in 15 (6.67%) | TBD |
| Squirtle - 064/100 | Common | $19.25 | 1 in 6 (16.67%) | TBD |
| Windstorm | Uncommon | $17.73 | 1 in 15 (6.67%) | TBD |
| Venusaur | Rare | $17.71 | 1 in 24 (4.17%) | TBD |
| Grumpig | Rare | $16.79 | 1 in 24 (4.17%) | TBD |
| Numel | Common | $16.56 | 1 in 6 (16.67%) | TBD |
| Aron | Common | $16.51 | 1 in 6 (16.67%) | TBD |
| Wingull | Common | $16.32 | 1 in 6 (16.67%) | TBD |
| Ivysaur - 034/100 | Uncommon | $16.21 | 1 in 15 (6.67%) | TBD |
| Cacnea | Common | $15.69 | 1 in 6 (16.67%) | TBD |
| Castaway | Uncommon | $15.00 | 1 in 15 (6.67%) | TBD |
| Electrike | Common | $14.81 | 1 in 6 (16.67%) | TBD |
| Luvdisc | Holo Rare | $14.43 | 1 in 54 (1.86%) | TBD |
| Meditite | Common | $14.28 | 1 in 6 (16.67%) | TBD |
| Cessation Crystal | Uncommon | $13.25 | 1 in 15 (6.67%) | TBD |
| Seedot | Common | $13.25 | 1 in 6 (16.67%) | TBD |
| Medicham | Rare | $13.14 | 1 in 24 (4.17%) | TBD |
| Camerupt | Holo Rare | $12.62 | 1 in 54 (1.86%) | TBD |
| Bulbasaur - 045/100 | Common | $12.40 | 1 in 6 (16.67%) | TBD |
| Spearow | Common | $11.86 | 1 in 6 (16.67%) | TBD |
| Warp Point | Uncommon | $11.77 | 1 in 15 (6.67%) | TBD |
| Whismur | Common | $11.37 | 1 in 6 (16.67%) | TBD |
| Bill's Maintenance | Uncommon | $11.31 | 1 in 15 (6.67%) | TBD |
| Double Rainbow Energy | Rare | $11.30 | 1 in 24 (4.17%) | TBD |
| Swalot | Holo Rare | $10.86 | 1 in 54 (1.86%) | TBD |
| Windstorm | Uncommon | $8.50 | 1 in 15 (6.67%) | TBD |
| Poke Ball | Uncommon | $7.71 | 1 in 15 (6.67%) | TBD |
| Crystal Beach | Uncommon | $7.54 | 1 in 15 (6.67%) | TBD |
| Igglybuff | Rare | $7.42 | 1 in 24 (4.17%) | TBD |
| Charmeleon (Delta Species) | Uncommon | $7.32 | 1 in 15 (6.67%) | TBD |
| Charmander (Delta Species) | Common | $6.72 | 1 in 6 (16.67%) | TBD |
| Kingler (Delta Species) | Rare | $6.53 | 1 in 24 (4.17%) | TBD |
| Potion | Common | $6.10 | 1 in 6 (16.67%) | TBD |
| Grovyle (Delta Species) | Rare | $6.02 | 1 in 24 (4.17%) | TBD |
| Mudkip - 058/100 | Common | $5.86 | 1 in 6 (16.67%) | TBD |
| Double Rainbow Energy | Rare | $5.70 | 1 in 24 (4.17%) | TBD |
| Energy Search | Common | $5.67 | 1 in 6 (16.67%) | TBD |
| Celio's Network | Uncommon | $5.60 | 1 in 15 (6.67%) | TBD |
| Swampert | Rare | $5.55 | 1 in 24 (4.17%) | TBD |
| Charmander | Common | $5.48 | 1 in 6 (16.67%) | TBD |
| Dual Ball | Uncommon | $5.41 | 1 in 15 (6.67%) | TBD |
| Castaway | Uncommon | $4.86 | 1 in 15 (6.67%) | TBD |
| Ivysaur - 035/100 | Uncommon | $4.83 | 1 in 15 (6.67%) | TBD |
| Wartortle - 042/100 | Uncommon | $4.75 | 1 in 15 (6.67%) | TBD |
| Cessation Crystal | Uncommon | $4.64 | 1 in 15 (6.67%) | TBD |
| Crystal Shard | Uncommon | $4.57 | 1 in 15 (6.67%) | TBD |
| Bulbasaur - 046/100 | Common | $4.21 | 1 in 6 (16.67%) | TBD |
| Mysterious Shard | Uncommon | $3.93 | 1 in 15 (6.67%) | TBD |
| Marshtomp - 024/100 | Rare | $3.80 | 1 in 24 (4.17%) | TBD |
| Holon Circle | Uncommon | $3.73 | 1 in 15 (6.67%) | TBD |
| Mudkip - 057/100 | Common | $3.61 | 1 in 6 (16.67%) | TBD |
| Squirtle - 063/100 | Common | $3.49 | 1 in 6 (16.67%) | TBD |
| Cacturne (Delta Species) | Rare | $3.40 | 1 in 24 (4.17%) | TBD |
| Memory Berry | Uncommon | $3.27 | 1 in 15 (6.67%) | TBD |
| Pelipper (Delta Species) | Rare | $3.21 | 1 in 24 (4.17%) | TBD |
| Treecko | Common | $3.19 | 1 in 6 (16.67%) | TBD |
| Double Full Heal | Uncommon | $3.04 | 1 in 15 (6.67%) | TBD |
| Diglett | Common | $2.98 | 1 in 6 (16.67%) | TBD |
| Crystal Beach | Uncommon | $2.93 | 1 in 15 (6.67%) | TBD |
| Fearow (Delta Species) | Rare | $2.80 | 1 in 24 (4.17%) | TBD |
| Pokenav | Uncommon | $2.51 | 1 in 15 (6.67%) | TBD |
| Nuzleaf | Uncommon | $2.31 | 1 in 15 (6.67%) | TBD |
| Treecko (Delta Species) | Common | $2.30 | 1 in 6 (16.67%) | TBD |
| Wartortle - 043/100 | Uncommon | $2.29 | 1 in 15 (6.67%) | TBD |
| Combusken - 031/100 | Uncommon | $2.19 | 1 in 15 (6.67%) | TBD |
| Charmeleon | Uncommon | $2.18 | 1 in 15 (6.67%) | TBD |
| Torchic - 066/100 | Common | $1.82 | 1 in 6 (16.67%) | TBD |
| Marshtomp - 038/100 | Uncommon | $1.81 | 1 in 15 (6.67%) | TBD |
| Skitty | Uncommon | $1.78 | 1 in 15 (6.67%) | TBD |
| Torchic - 065/100 | Common | $1.66 | 1 in 6 (16.67%) | TBD |
| Jigglypuff | Common | $1.51 | 1 in 6 (16.67%) | TBD |
| Combusken - 016/100 | Rare | $1.47 | 1 in 24 (4.17%) | TBD |
| Shuppet | Uncommon | $1.45 | 1 in 15 (6.67%) | TBD |
| Warp Point | Uncommon | $1.28 | 1 in 15 (6.67%) | TBD |
| Grovyle | Uncommon | $1.25 | 1 in 15 (6.67%) | TBD |
| Dusclops | Rare | $1.24 | 1 in 24 (4.17%) | TBD |
| Lairon | Uncommon | $1.20 | 1 in 15 (6.67%) | TBD |
| Gulpin | Uncommon | $1.19 | 1 in 15 (6.67%) | TBD |
| Krabby | Common | $1.15 | 1 in 6 (16.67%) | TBD |
| Memory Berry | Uncommon | $1.01 | 1 in 15 (6.67%) | TBD |
| Grumpig | Rare | $0.95 | 1 in 24 (4.17%) | TBD |
| Spoink | Common | $0.95 | 1 in 6 (16.67%) | TBD |
| Lombre | Uncommon | $0.94 | 1 in 15 (6.67%) | TBD |
| Cacnea | Common | $0.87 | 1 in 6 (16.67%) | TBD |
| Loudred | Rare | $0.87 | 1 in 24 (4.17%) | TBD |
| Medicham | Rare | $0.83 | 1 in 24 (4.17%) | TBD |
| Celio's Network | Uncommon | $0.80 | 1 in 15 (6.67%) | TBD |
| Lotad | Common | $0.76 | 1 in 6 (16.67%) | TBD |
| Holon Circle | Uncommon | $0.66 | 1 in 15 (6.67%) | TBD |
| Wingull | Common | $0.65 | 1 in 6 (16.67%) | TBD |
| Aron | Common | $0.63 | 1 in 6 (16.67%) | TBD |
| Numel | Common | $0.63 | 1 in 6 (16.67%) | TBD |
| Duskull | Common | $0.57 | 1 in 6 (16.67%) | TBD |
| Dual Ball | Uncommon | $0.56 | 1 in 15 (6.67%) | TBD |
| Poke Ball | Uncommon | $0.53 | 1 in 15 (6.67%) | TBD |
| Mysterious Shard | Uncommon | $0.50 | 1 in 15 (6.67%) | TBD |
| Pokenav | Uncommon | $0.50 | 1 in 15 (6.67%) | TBD |
| Meditite | Common | $0.45 | 1 in 6 (16.67%) | TBD |
| Crystal Shard | Uncommon | $0.42 | 1 in 15 (6.67%) | TBD |
| Electrike | Common | $0.36 | 1 in 6 (16.67%) | TBD |
| Bill's Maintenance | Uncommon | $0.35 | 1 in 15 (6.67%) | TBD |
| Whismur | Common | $0.33 | 1 in 6 (16.67%) | TBD |
| Double Full Heal | Uncommon | $0.32 | 1 in 15 (6.67%) | TBD |
| Seedot | Common | $0.28 | 1 in 6 (16.67%) | TBD |
| Spearow | Common | $0.28 | 1 in 6 (16.67%) | TBD |
| Energy Search | Common | $0.18 | 1 in 6 (16.67%) | TBD |
| Potion | Common | $0.12 | 1 in 6 (16.67%) | TBD |