
A $1125.00 EX Dragon pack returns $151.64 in expected card value on average — 13% of what you paid.
No official TCGPlayer pull-rate article covers EX Dragon. These odds come from thepricedex.com, which publishes a rate for each tier but does not say how many packs it counted to get there — so read them as indicative rather than measured. They are here because they are the best published figures for this set, and naming that limit is better than implying a precision the source never claimed.
How these figures are calculated, including the sourcing bar and what this model deliberately does not do.
| Product | Price | Expected value | Expected return |
|---|---|---|---|
| EX Dragon Booster Pack | $1125.00 | $151.64 | 13% |
| EX Dragon Booster Box | — | $5459.08 | TBD |
EX Dragon Booster Pack · EX Dragon Booster Box
| Product | Price per pack | Expected return |
|---|---|---|
| Booster Pack | $1125.00 | 13% |
| Rarity | Pull rate | Sample |
|---|---|---|
| Secret Rare | 3.33% | |
| Holo Rare | 13.33% | |
| Ultra Rare | 16.67% | |
| Common | 470% | |
| Uncommon | 200% | |
| Rare | 100% |
| Card | Rarity | Market price | Odds | Cost to pull |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charizard | Secret Rare | $1499.99 | 1 in 90 (1.11%) | $101351.35 |
| Rayquaza ex | Ultra Rare | $616.44 | 1 in 54 (1.85%) | $60737.85 |
| Charmander | Secret Rare | $330.76 | 1 in 90 (1.11%) | $101351.35 |
| Latios ex | Ultra Rare | $273.06 | 1 in 54 (1.85%) | $60737.85 |
| Ampharos ex | Ultra Rare | $259.57 | 1 in 54 (1.85%) | $60737.85 |
| Dragonite ex | Ultra Rare | $233.20 | 1 in 54 (1.85%) | $60737.85 |
| Latias ex | Ultra Rare | $226.31 | 1 in 54 (1.85%) | $60737.85 |
| Charmeleon | Secret Rare | $132.55 | 1 in 90 (1.11%) | $101351.35 |
| Muk ex | Ultra Rare | $129.81 | 1 in 54 (1.85%) | $60737.85 |
| Magcargo ex | Ultra Rare | $92.95 | 1 in 54 (1.85%) | $60737.85 |
| Kingdra ex | Ultra Rare | $82.99 | 1 in 54 (1.85%) | $60737.85 |
| Golem ex | Ultra Rare | $80.35 | 1 in 54 (1.85%) | $60737.85 |
| Salamence - 10/97 | Holo Rare | $449.99 | 1 in 90 (1.11%) | TBD |
| Absol | Holo Rare | $169.99 | 1 in 90 (1.11%) | TBD |
| Gyarados | Uncommon | $140.00 | 1 in 17 (6.06%) | TBD |
| Plusle | Holo Rare | $101.92 | 1 in 90 (1.11%) | TBD |
| Absol | Holo Rare | $101.41 | 1 in 90 (1.11%) | TBD |
| Minun | Holo Rare | $99.05 | 1 in 90 (1.11%) | TBD |
| Torkoal | Holo Rare | $91.94 | 1 in 90 (1.11%) | TBD |
| Houndoom | Uncommon | $87.07 | 1 in 17 (6.06%) | TBD |
| Dratini | Uncommon | $85.00 | 1 in 17 (6.06%) | TBD |
| Shuppet | Uncommon | $79.99 | 1 in 17 (6.06%) | TBD |
| Mudkip | Common | $75.00 | 1 in 7 (14.24%) | TBD |
| Magikarp | Common | $74.26 | 1 in 7 (14.24%) | TBD |
| Salamence - 10/97 | Holo Rare | $73.99 | 1 in 90 (1.11%) | TBD |
| Flygon - 4/97 | Holo Rare | $73.23 | 1 in 90 (1.11%) | TBD |
| Shedinja | Holo Rare | $71.14 | 1 in 90 (1.11%) | TBD |
| Altaria | Holo Rare | $70.42 | 1 in 90 (1.11%) | TBD |
| Plusle | Holo Rare | $67.50 | 1 in 90 (1.11%) | TBD |
| Dragonair - 14/97 | Rare | $63.75 | 1 in 10 (10%) | TBD |
| Marshtomp | Uncommon | $62.04 | 1 in 17 (6.06%) | TBD |
| Golem | Holo Rare | $55.66 | 1 in 90 (1.11%) | TBD |
| Torchic | Common | $52.64 | 1 in 7 (14.24%) | TBD |
| Flygon - 4/97 | Holo Rare | $51.99 | 1 in 90 (1.11%) | TBD |
| Skarmory | Rare | $51.02 | 1 in 10 (10%) | TBD |
| Minun | Holo Rare | $50.99 | 1 in 90 (1.11%) | TBD |
| Shedinja | Holo Rare | $50.29 | 1 in 90 (1.11%) | TBD |
| TV Reporter | Uncommon | $50.00 | 1 in 17 (6.06%) | TBD |
| Corphish - 54/97 | Common | $46.76 | 1 in 7 (14.24%) | TBD |
| Grimer | Common | $45.17 | 1 in 7 (14.24%) | TBD |
| Shelgon - 41/97 | Uncommon | $43.41 | 1 in 17 (6.06%) | TBD |
| Treecko | Common | $42.12 | 1 in 7 (14.24%) | TBD |
| Magnemite - 61/97 | Common | $40.00 | 1 in 7 (14.24%) | TBD |
| Magneton - 17/97 | Rare | $39.99 | 1 in 10 (10%) | TBD |
| Golem | Holo Rare | $39.00 | 1 in 90 (1.11%) | TBD |
| Torkoal | Holo Rare | $38.50 | 1 in 90 (1.11%) | TBD |
| Salamence - 19/97 | Rare | $36.95 | 1 in 10 (10%) | TBD |
| Trapinch - 78/97 | Common | $33.13 | 1 in 7 (14.24%) | TBD |
| Numel | Common | $32.49 | 1 in 7 (14.24%) | TBD |
| Flygon - 15/97 | Rare | $30.63 | 1 in 10 (10%) | TBD |
| Horsea - 58/97 | Common | $30.33 | 1 in 7 (14.24%) | TBD |
| Roselia | Holo Rare | $29.75 | 1 in 90 (1.11%) | TBD |
| Shuppet | Uncommon | $28.71 | 1 in 17 (6.06%) | TBD |
| Altaria | Holo Rare | $28.58 | 1 in 90 (1.11%) | TBD |
| Magneton - 35/97 | Uncommon | $28.53 | 1 in 17 (6.06%) | TBD |
| Grovyle | Uncommon | $28.13 | 1 in 17 (6.06%) | TBD |
| Snorunt | Uncommon | $28.12 | 1 in 17 (6.06%) | TBD |
| Vibrava - 46/97 | Uncommon | $24.60 | 1 in 17 (6.06%) | TBD |
| Mareep | Common | $24.33 | 1 in 7 (14.24%) | TBD |
| Seadra - 39/97 | Uncommon | $22.86 | 1 in 17 (6.06%) | TBD |
| Whiscash | Uncommon | $21.82 | 1 in 17 (6.06%) | TBD |
| Gyarados | Uncommon | $21.71 | 1 in 17 (6.06%) | TBD |
| Bagon - 23/97 | Uncommon | $21.66 | 1 in 17 (6.06%) | TBD |
| Flaaffy | Uncommon | $20.69 | 1 in 17 (6.06%) | TBD |
| Forretress | Uncommon | $20.00 | 1 in 17 (6.06%) | TBD |
| Roselia | Holo Rare | $20.00 | 1 in 90 (1.11%) | TBD |
| Ninjask - 18/97 | Rare | $19.82 | 1 in 10 (10%) | TBD |
| Magnemite - 63/97 | Common | $19.78 | 1 in 7 (14.24%) | TBD |
| Houndour | Common | $19.27 | 1 in 7 (14.24%) | TBD |
| Vibrava - 22/97 | Rare | $19.16 | 1 in 10 (10%) | TBD |
| Grumpig | Holo Rare | $18.34 | 1 in 90 (1.11%) | TBD |
| Bagon - 50/97 | Common | $17.60 | 1 in 7 (14.24%) | TBD |
| Swellow | Uncommon | $16.62 | 1 in 17 (6.06%) | TBD |
| Swablu | Common | $16.30 | 1 in 7 (14.24%) | TBD |
| Grumpig | Holo Rare | $16.28 | 1 in 90 (1.11%) | TBD |
| Horsea - 33/97 | Uncommon | $15.23 | 1 in 17 (6.06%) | TBD |
| Slugma | Common | $15.06 | 1 in 7 (14.24%) | TBD |
| Bagon - 49/97 | Common | $14.99 | 1 in 7 (14.24%) | TBD |
| Shelgon - 20/97 | Rare | $14.49 | 1 in 10 (10%) | TBD |
| Corphish - 52/97 | Common | $14.26 | 1 in 7 (14.24%) | TBD |
| Graveler - 30/97 | Uncommon | $13.93 | 1 in 17 (6.06%) | TBD |
| Dratini | Uncommon | $13.45 | 1 in 17 (6.06%) | TBD |
| Seadra - 40/97 | Uncommon | $13.40 | 1 in 17 (6.06%) | TBD |
| Magnemite - 62/97 | Common | $13.22 | 1 in 7 (14.24%) | TBD |
| Numel - 69/97 | Common | $13.09 | 1 in 7 (14.24%) | TBD |
| Taillow | Common | $12.97 | 1 in 7 (14.24%) | TBD |
| Crawdaunt - 3/97 | Holo Rare | $12.73 | 1 in 90 (1.11%) | TBD |
| Dragonair - 14/97 | Rare | $12.67 | 1 in 10 (10%) | TBD |
| Vibrava - 47/97 | Uncommon | $12.32 | 1 in 17 (6.06%) | TBD |
| Graveler - 29/97 | Uncommon | $12.20 | 1 in 17 (6.06%) | TBD |
| Spoink - 74/97 | Common | $12.18 | 1 in 7 (14.24%) | TBD |
| Spoink - 73/97 | Common | $11.99 | 1 in 7 (14.24%) | TBD |
| Houndoom | Uncommon | $11.86 | 1 in 17 (6.06%) | TBD |
| Trapinch - 79/97 | Common | $11.83 | 1 in 7 (14.24%) | TBD |
| Combusken | Uncommon | $10.77 | 1 in 17 (6.06%) | TBD |
| Barboach | Common | $10.65 | 1 in 7 (14.24%) | TBD |
| Crawdaunt - 3/97 | Holo Rare | $10.54 | 1 in 90 (1.11%) | TBD |
| Crawdaunt - 13/97 | Rare | $10.46 | 1 in 10 (10%) | TBD |
| Meditite | Uncommon | $9.99 | 1 in 17 (6.06%) | TBD |
| Mr. Briney's Compassion | Uncommon | $9.99 | 1 in 17 (6.06%) | TBD |
| Camerupt | Uncommon | $9.81 | 1 in 17 (6.06%) | TBD |
| Shelgon - 42/97 | Uncommon | $9.64 | 1 in 17 (6.06%) | TBD |
| Ninjask - 38/97 | Uncommon | $9.52 | 1 in 17 (6.06%) | TBD |
| Corphish - 53/97 | Common | $9.49 | 1 in 7 (14.24%) | TBD |
| Geodude - 55/97 | Common | $9.42 | 1 in 7 (14.24%) | TBD |
| Nincada - 68/97 | Common | $9.34 | 1 in 7 (14.24%) | TBD |
| Girafarig | Rare | $8.45 | 1 in 10 (10%) | TBD |
| Whiscash | Uncommon | $8.25 | 1 in 17 (6.06%) | TBD |
| Geodude - 56/97 | Common | $8.00 | 1 in 7 (14.24%) | TBD |
| Mudkip | Common | $7.84 | 1 in 7 (14.24%) | TBD |
| Houndour | Common | $7.82 | 1 in 7 (14.24%) | TBD |
| Mr. Briney's Compassion | Uncommon | $7.38 | 1 in 17 (6.06%) | TBD |
| Wurmple | Common | $7.11 | 1 in 7 (14.24%) | TBD |
| Nincada - 67/97 | Common | $6.68 | 1 in 7 (14.24%) | TBD |
| Pineco | Common | $6.32 | 1 in 7 (14.24%) | TBD |
| Flaaffy | Uncommon | $5.76 | 1 in 17 (6.06%) | TBD |
| Magikarp | Common | $5.29 | 1 in 7 (14.24%) | TBD |
| Shelgon - 41/97 | Uncommon | $4.76 | 1 in 17 (6.06%) | TBD |
| Nincada - 66/97 | Common | $4.75 | 1 in 7 (14.24%) | TBD |
| Nincada - 68/97 | Common | $4.59 | 1 in 7 (14.24%) | TBD |
| Low Pressure System | Uncommon | $4.44 | 1 in 17 (6.06%) | TBD |
| Horsea - 33/97 | Uncommon | $4.41 | 1 in 17 (6.06%) | TBD |
| Snorunt | Uncommon | $4.29 | 1 in 17 (6.06%) | TBD |
| Salamence - 19/97 | Rare | $4.03 | 1 in 10 (10%) | TBD |
| Balloon Berry | Uncommon | $3.49 | 1 in 17 (6.06%) | TBD |
| Energy Recycle System | Uncommon | $3.31 | 1 in 17 (6.06%) | TBD |
| Grovyle | Uncommon | $3.28 | 1 in 17 (6.06%) | TBD |
| Buffer Piece | Uncommon | $3.23 | 1 in 17 (6.06%) | TBD |
| Graveler - 29/97 | Uncommon | $3.02 | 1 in 17 (6.06%) | TBD |
| Marshtomp | Uncommon | $2.90 | 1 in 17 (6.06%) | TBD |
| Mareep | Common | $2.86 | 1 in 7 (14.24%) | TBD |
| Grimer | Common | $2.84 | 1 in 7 (14.24%) | TBD |
| High Pressure System | Uncommon | $2.70 | 1 in 17 (6.06%) | TBD |
| Skarmory | Rare | $2.58 | 1 in 10 (10%) | TBD |
| Barboach | Common | $2.48 | 1 in 7 (14.24%) | TBD |
| Trapinch - 78/97 | Common | $2.47 | 1 in 7 (14.24%) | TBD |
| Bagon - 23/97 | Uncommon | $2.37 | 1 in 17 (6.06%) | TBD |
| Seadra - 39/97 | Uncommon | $2.26 | 1 in 17 (6.06%) | TBD |
| Flygon - 15/97 | Rare | $2.23 | 1 in 10 (10%) | TBD |
| Graveler - 30/97 | Uncommon | $2.13 | 1 in 17 (6.06%) | TBD |
| Torchic | Common | $2.13 | 1 in 7 (14.24%) | TBD |
| Shelgon - 42/97 | Uncommon | $1.96 | 1 in 17 (6.06%) | TBD |
| Numel - 69/97 | Common | $1.93 | 1 in 7 (14.24%) | TBD |
| Magneton - 17/97 | Rare | $1.91 | 1 in 10 (10%) | TBD |
| Swablu | Common | $1.90 | 1 in 7 (14.24%) | TBD |
| Corphish - 54/97 | Common | $1.84 | 1 in 7 (14.24%) | TBD |
| Swellow | Uncommon | $1.78 | 1 in 17 (6.06%) | TBD |
| Girafarig | Rare | $1.72 | 1 in 10 (10%) | TBD |
| Vibrava - 22/97 | Rare | $1.71 | 1 in 10 (10%) | TBD |
| Vibrava - 46/97 | Uncommon | $1.70 | 1 in 17 (6.06%) | TBD |
| Forretress | Uncommon | $1.66 | 1 in 17 (6.06%) | TBD |
| Spoink - 74/97 | Common | $1.61 | 1 in 7 (14.24%) | TBD |
| Shelgon - 20/97 | Rare | $1.44 | 1 in 10 (10%) | TBD |
| Treecko | Common | $1.42 | 1 in 7 (14.24%) | TBD |
| Seadra - 40/97 | Uncommon | $1.38 | 1 in 17 (6.06%) | TBD |
| Combusken | Uncommon | $1.37 | 1 in 17 (6.06%) | TBD |
| Geodude - 55/97 | Common | $1.36 | 1 in 7 (14.24%) | TBD |
| Bagon - 50/97 | Common | $1.27 | 1 in 7 (14.24%) | TBD |
| Magnemite - 62/97 | Common | $1.26 | 1 in 7 (14.24%) | TBD |
| Ninjask - 18/97 | Rare | $1.18 | 1 in 10 (10%) | TBD |
| Meditite | Uncommon | $1.17 | 1 in 17 (6.06%) | TBD |
| Magnemite - 63/97 | Common | $1.13 | 1 in 7 (14.24%) | TBD |
| Magnemite - 61/97 | Common | $1.10 | 1 in 7 (14.24%) | TBD |
| Crawdaunt - 13/97 | Rare | $1.05 | 1 in 10 (10%) | TBD |
| Geodude - 56/97 | Common | $0.92 | 1 in 7 (14.24%) | TBD |
| Numel | Common | $0.90 | 1 in 7 (14.24%) | TBD |
| Ninjask - 38/97 | Uncommon | $0.86 | 1 in 17 (6.06%) | TBD |
| Wurmple | Common | $0.81 | 1 in 7 (14.24%) | TBD |
| Horsea - 58/97 | Common | $0.79 | 1 in 7 (14.24%) | TBD |
| Pineco | Common | $0.75 | 1 in 7 (14.24%) | TBD |
| Corphish - 53/97 | Common | $0.70 | 1 in 7 (14.24%) | TBD |
| Trapinch - 79/97 | Common | $0.64 | 1 in 7 (14.24%) | TBD |
| Nincada - 67/97 | Common | $0.63 | 1 in 7 (14.24%) | TBD |
| Taillow | Common | $0.62 | 1 in 7 (14.24%) | TBD |
| Vibrava - 47/97 | Uncommon | $0.62 | 1 in 17 (6.06%) | TBD |
| High Pressure System | Uncommon | $0.60 | 1 in 17 (6.06%) | TBD |
| Magneton - 35/97 | Uncommon | $0.59 | 1 in 17 (6.06%) | TBD |
| Spoink - 73/97 | Common | $0.59 | 1 in 7 (14.24%) | TBD |
| Buffer Piece | Uncommon | $0.56 | 1 in 17 (6.06%) | TBD |
| Camerupt | Uncommon | $0.54 | 1 in 17 (6.06%) | TBD |
| Slugma | Common | $0.54 | 1 in 7 (14.24%) | TBD |
| Bagon - 49/97 | Common | $0.52 | 1 in 7 (14.24%) | TBD |
| Corphish - 52/97 | Common | $0.45 | 1 in 7 (14.24%) | TBD |
| Nincada - 66/97 | Common | $0.43 | 1 in 7 (14.24%) | TBD |
| Low Pressure System | Uncommon | $0.40 | 1 in 17 (6.06%) | TBD |
| TV Reporter | Uncommon | $0.39 | 1 in 17 (6.06%) | TBD |
| Balloon Berry | Uncommon | $0.38 | 1 in 17 (6.06%) | TBD |
| Energy Recycle System | Uncommon | $0.28 | 1 in 17 (6.06%) | TBD |