
No official TCGPlayer pull-rate article covers EX Emerald, so these odds come from elitefourum.com, which discloses a 252-pack sample. A stated count is the difference between a measured rate and a confident guess, so it is recorded here whenever a source gives one.
How these figures are calculated, including the sourcing bar and what this model deliberately does not do.
| Product | Price | Expected value | Expected return |
|---|---|---|---|
| Emerald Booster Box | — | $5907.59 | TBD |
| Emerald Booster Pack | — | $164.10 | TBD |
Emerald Booster Box · Emerald Booster Pack
| Rarity | Pull rate | Sample |
|---|---|---|
| Ultra Rare | 8.33% | n=252 |
| Holo Rare | 25% | |
| Rare | 66.67% | |
| Common | 500% | |
| Uncommon | 200% |
| Card | Rarity | Market price | Odds | Cost to pull |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Milotic ex | Ultra Rare | $799.99 | 1 in 132 (0.76%) | $132052.82 |
| Regice ex | Ultra Rare | $350.00 | 1 in 132 (0.76%) | $132052.82 |
| Deoxys ex (Speed Forme) | Ultra Rare | $306.66 | 1 in 132 (0.76%) | $132052.82 |
| Altaria ex | Ultra Rare | $299.99 | 1 in 132 (0.76%) | $132052.82 |
| Regice ex | Ultra Rare | $272.25 | 1 in 132 (0.76%) | $132052.82 |
| Milotic ex | Ultra Rare | $200.00 | 1 in 132 (0.76%) | $132052.82 |
| Regirock ex | Ultra Rare | $176.66 | 1 in 132 (0.76%) | $132052.82 |
| Registeel ex | Ultra Rare | $165.94 | 1 in 132 (0.76%) | $132052.82 |
| Regirock ex | Ultra Rare | $130.00 | 1 in 132 (0.76%) | $132052.82 |
| Dusclops ex | Ultra Rare | $125.95 | 1 in 132 (0.76%) | $132052.82 |
| Medicham ex | Ultra Rare | $119.99 | 1 in 132 (0.76%) | $132052.82 |
| Raichu ex | Ultra Rare | $112.42 | 1 in 132 (0.76%) | $132052.82 |
| Registeel ex | Ultra Rare | $110.00 | 1 in 132 (0.76%) | $132052.82 |
| Farfetch'd (Secret Rare) | Secret Rare | $107.47 | TBD | TBD |
| Camerupt ex | Ultra Rare | $100.00 | 1 in 132 (0.76%) | $132052.82 |
| Altaria ex | Ultra Rare | $80.00 | 1 in 132 (0.76%) | $132052.82 |
| Farfetch'd (Secret Rare) | Secret Rare | $80.00 | TBD | TBD |
| Camerupt ex | Ultra Rare | $69.99 | 1 in 132 (0.76%) | $132052.82 |
| Cacturne ex | Ultra Rare | $65.11 | 1 in 132 (0.76%) | $132052.82 |
| Medicham ex | Ultra Rare | $53.74 | 1 in 132 (0.76%) | $132052.82 |
| Cacturne ex | Ultra Rare | $15.00 | 1 in 132 (0.76%) | $132052.82 |
| Raichu ex | Ultra Rare | — | 1 in 132 (0.76%) | $132052.82 |
| Rayquaza | Holo Rare | $1078.45 | 1 in 68 (1.47%) | $68000.00 |
| Pikachu | Common | $599.99 | 1 in 6 (15.63%) | $6400.00 |
| Rayquaza | Holo Rare | $431.32 | 1 in 68 (1.47%) | $68000.00 |
| Rayquaza | Holo Rare | $400.00 | 1 in 68 (1.47%) | $68000.00 |
| Groudon - 005/106 | Holo Rare | $299.99 | 1 in 68 (1.47%) | $68000.00 |
| Groudon - 014/106 | Rare | $279.99 | 1 in 21 (4.76%) | $20998.95 |
| Deoxys (Speed Forme) | Holo Rare | $237.50 | 1 in 68 (1.47%) | $68000.00 |
| Kyogre - 006/106 | Holo Rare | $219.00 | 1 in 68 (1.47%) | $68000.00 |
| Sceptile | Holo Rare | $200.00 | 1 in 68 (1.47%) | $68000.00 |
| Gardevoir | Holo Rare | $199.99 | 1 in 68 (1.47%) | $68000.00 |
| Blaziken | Holo Rare | $185.00 | 1 in 68 (1.47%) | $68000.00 |
| Ninetales | Uncommon | $167.66 | 1 in 16 (6.25%) | $16000.00 |
| Pichu | Common | $162.49 | 1 in 6 (15.63%) | $6400.00 |
| Torchic | Common | $160.99 | 1 in 6 (15.63%) | $6400.00 |
| Marshtomp | Uncommon | $150.00 | 1 in 16 (6.25%) | $16000.00 |
| Gardevoir | Holo Rare | $148.99 | 1 in 68 (1.47%) | $68000.00 |
| Deoxys (Speed Forme) | Holo Rare | $140.00 | 1 in 68 (1.47%) | $68000.00 |
| Grovyle | Uncommon | $137.50 | 1 in 16 (6.25%) | $16000.00 |
| Mudkip | Common | $132.73 | 1 in 6 (15.63%) | $6400.00 |
| Treecko | Common | $126.60 | 1 in 6 (15.63%) | $6400.00 |
| Swampert | Holo Rare | $121.93 | 1 in 68 (1.47%) | $68000.00 |
| Deoxys (Speed Forme) | Holo Rare | $112.67 | 1 in 68 (1.47%) | $68000.00 |
| Kyogre - 006/106 | Holo Rare | $103.99 | 1 in 68 (1.47%) | $68000.00 |
| Kyogre - 015/106 | Rare | $100.00 | 1 in 21 (4.76%) | $20998.95 |
| Plusle | Uncommon | $100.00 | 1 in 16 (6.25%) | $16000.00 |
| Linoone | Uncommon | $92.00 | 1 in 16 (6.25%) | $16000.00 |
| Larvitar | Common | $83.33 | 1 in 6 (15.63%) | $6400.00 |
| Swampert | Holo Rare | $80.33 | 1 in 68 (1.47%) | $68000.00 |
| Minun | Uncommon | $80.00 | 1 in 16 (6.25%) | $16000.00 |
| Vulpix | Common | $79.86 | 1 in 6 (15.63%) | $6400.00 |
| Breloom | Uncommon | $75.00 | 1 in 16 (6.25%) | $16000.00 |
| Kirlia | Uncommon | $74.00 | 1 in 16 (6.25%) | $16000.00 |
| Spoink - 066/106 | Common | $71.24 | 1 in 6 (15.63%) | $6400.00 |
| Electrode | Uncommon | $70.65 | 1 in 16 (6.25%) | $16000.00 |
| Camerupt | Uncommon | $70.00 | 1 in 16 (6.25%) | $16000.00 |
| Groudon - 005/106 | Holo Rare | $68.39 | 1 in 68 (1.47%) | $68000.00 |
| Grumpig - 029/106 | Uncommon | $66.75 | 1 in 16 (6.25%) | $16000.00 |
| Blaziken | Holo Rare | $65.34 | 1 in 68 (1.47%) | $68000.00 |
| Claydol | Uncommon | $63.60 | 1 in 16 (6.25%) | $16000.00 |
| Combusken | Uncommon | $61.00 | 1 in 16 (6.25%) | $16000.00 |
| Duskull | Common | $58.28 | 1 in 6 (15.63%) | $6400.00 |
| Seviper | Rare | $57.78 | 1 in 21 (4.76%) | $20998.95 |
| Zigzagoon | Common | $57.47 | 1 in 6 (15.63%) | $6400.00 |
| Feebas - 050/106 | Common | $53.33 | 1 in 6 (15.63%) | $6400.00 |
| Voltorb | Common | $52.46 | 1 in 6 (15.63%) | $6400.00 |
| Loudred | Uncommon | $50.50 | 1 in 16 (6.25%) | $16000.00 |
| Illumise | Uncommon | $49.82 | 1 in 16 (6.25%) | $16000.00 |
| Wally's Training | Uncommon | $49.67 | 1 in 16 (6.25%) | $16000.00 |
| Exploud | Holo Rare | $49.00 | 1 in 68 (1.47%) | $68000.00 |
| Grumpig - 030/106 | Uncommon | $48.98 | 1 in 16 (6.25%) | $16000.00 |
| Zangoose | Rare | $47.75 | 1 in 21 (4.76%) | $20998.95 |
| Ralts | Common | $47.39 | 1 in 6 (15.63%) | $6400.00 |
| Sceptile | Holo Rare | $46.18 | 1 in 68 (1.47%) | $68000.00 |
| Manectric - 007/106 | Holo Rare | $46.00 | 1 in 68 (1.47%) | $68000.00 |
| Numel - 057/106 | Common | $45.90 | 1 in 6 (15.63%) | $6400.00 |
| Shroomish | Common | $44.52 | 1 in 6 (15.63%) | $6400.00 |
| Rare Candy | Uncommon | $44.00 | 1 in 16 (6.25%) | $16000.00 |
| Spoink - 065/106 | Common | $43.68 | 1 in 6 (15.63%) | $6400.00 |
| Feebas - 049/106 | Common | $43.52 | 1 in 6 (15.63%) | $6400.00 |
| Rhyhorn | Common | $43.16 | 1 in 6 (15.63%) | $6400.00 |
| Nosepass | Rare | $42.73 | 1 in 21 (4.76%) | $20998.95 |
| Glalie | Rare | $42.49 | 1 in 21 (4.76%) | $20998.95 |
| Relicanth | Rare | $39.99 | 1 in 21 (4.76%) | $20998.95 |
| Doduo | Common | $39.47 | 1 in 6 (15.63%) | $6400.00 |
| Chimecho | Rare | $38.99 | 1 in 21 (4.76%) | $20998.95 |
| Gulpin | Common | $38.25 | 1 in 6 (15.63%) | $6400.00 |
| Luvdisc | Common | $38.00 | 1 in 6 (15.63%) | $6400.00 |
| Battle Frontier | Uncommon | $37.94 | 1 in 16 (6.25%) | $16000.00 |
| Milotic | Holo Rare | $37.10 | 1 in 68 (1.47%) | $68000.00 |
| Volbeat | Uncommon | $36.76 | 1 in 16 (6.25%) | $16000.00 |
| Taillow | Common | $34.67 | 1 in 6 (15.63%) | $6400.00 |
| Swablu | Common | $34.48 | 1 in 6 (15.63%) | $6400.00 |
| Hariyama | Uncommon | $31.25 | 1 in 16 (6.25%) | $16000.00 |
| Swalot | Uncommon | $31.00 | 1 in 16 (6.25%) | $16000.00 |
| Scott | Uncommon | $30.54 | 1 in 16 (6.25%) | $16000.00 |
| Swellow | Uncommon | $30.00 | 1 in 16 (6.25%) | $16000.00 |
| Numel - 058/106 | Common | $29.99 | 1 in 6 (15.63%) | $6400.00 |
| Whismur | Common | $29.60 | 1 in 6 (15.63%) | $6400.00 |
| Kyogre - 015/106 | Rare | $29.31 | 1 in 21 (4.76%) | $20998.95 |
| Manectric - 016/106 | Rare | $29.08 | 1 in 21 (4.76%) | $20998.95 |
| Rhydon | Rare | $28.99 | 1 in 21 (4.76%) | $20998.95 |
| Exploud | Holo Rare | $28.71 | 1 in 68 (1.47%) | $68000.00 |
| Cacnea | Common | $28.63 | 1 in 6 (15.63%) | $6400.00 |
| Milotic | Holo Rare | $27.58 | 1 in 68 (1.47%) | $68000.00 |
| Double Rainbow Energy | Rare | $27.52 | 1 in 21 (4.76%) | $20998.95 |
| Electrike - 047/106 | Common | $27.47 | 1 in 6 (15.63%) | $6400.00 |
| Snorunt | Common | $26.98 | 1 in 6 (15.63%) | $6400.00 |
| Mr. Stone's Project | Uncommon | $25.89 | 1 in 16 (6.25%) | $16000.00 |
| Electrike - 048/106 | Common | $25.29 | 1 in 6 (15.63%) | $6400.00 |
| Groudon - 005/106 | Holo Rare | $24.66 | 1 in 68 (1.47%) | $68000.00 |
| Dodrio | Uncommon | $24.50 | 1 in 16 (6.25%) | $16000.00 |
| Meditite | Common | $22.51 | 1 in 6 (15.63%) | $6400.00 |
| Psychic Energy | Holo Rare | $21.53 | 1 in 68 (1.47%) | $68000.00 |
| Manectric - 007/106 | Holo Rare | $21.43 | 1 in 68 (1.47%) | $68000.00 |
| Lightning Energy | Holo Rare | $20.90 | 1 in 68 (1.47%) | $68000.00 |
| Psychic Energy | Holo Rare | $20.79 | 1 in 68 (1.47%) | $68000.00 |
| Grass Energy | Holo Rare | $20.56 | 1 in 68 (1.47%) | $68000.00 |
| Darkness Energy (Special) | Rare | $20.44 | 1 in 21 (4.76%) | $20998.95 |
| Linoone | Uncommon | $20.42 | 1 in 16 (6.25%) | $16000.00 |
| Makuhita | Common | $20.26 | 1 in 6 (15.63%) | $6400.00 |
| Exploud | Holo Rare | $18.72 | 1 in 68 (1.47%) | $68000.00 |
| Fire Energy | Holo Rare | $18.46 | 1 in 68 (1.47%) | $68000.00 |
| Grass Energy | Holo Rare | $18.33 | 1 in 68 (1.47%) | $68000.00 |
| Baltoy | Common | $17.91 | 1 in 6 (15.63%) | $6400.00 |
| Fire Energy | Holo Rare | $17.77 | 1 in 68 (1.47%) | $68000.00 |
| Water Energy | Holo Rare | $17.76 | 1 in 68 (1.47%) | $68000.00 |
| Water Energy | Holo Rare | $17.51 | 1 in 68 (1.47%) | $68000.00 |
| Groudon - 014/106 | Rare | $17.34 | 1 in 21 (4.76%) | $20998.95 |
| Claydol | Uncommon | $16.21 | 1 in 16 (6.25%) | $16000.00 |
| Fighting Energy | Holo Rare | $15.99 | 1 in 68 (1.47%) | $68000.00 |
| Pikachu | Common | $15.89 | 1 in 6 (15.63%) | $6400.00 |
| Fighting Energy | Holo Rare | $15.82 | 1 in 68 (1.47%) | $68000.00 |
| Multi Energy | Rare | $15.13 | 1 in 21 (4.76%) | $20998.95 |
| Lanette's Net Search | Uncommon | $14.33 | 1 in 16 (6.25%) | $16000.00 |
| Lightning Energy | Holo Rare | $14.23 | 1 in 68 (1.47%) | $68000.00 |
| Metal Energy (Special) | Rare | $11.24 | 1 in 21 (4.76%) | $20998.95 |
| Professor Birch | Uncommon | $10.56 | 1 in 16 (6.25%) | $16000.00 |
| Ninetales | Uncommon | $10.34 | 1 in 16 (6.25%) | $16000.00 |
| Manectric - 007/106 | Holo Rare | $10.07 | 1 in 68 (1.47%) | $68000.00 |
| Lum Berry | Uncommon | $9.37 | 1 in 16 (6.25%) | $16000.00 |
| Oran Berry | Uncommon | $9.14 | 1 in 16 (6.25%) | $16000.00 |
| Double Full Heal | Uncommon | $8.62 | 1 in 16 (6.25%) | $16000.00 |
| Double Rainbow Energy | Rare | $8.59 | 1 in 21 (4.76%) | $20998.95 |
| Mudkip | Common | $8.59 | 1 in 6 (15.63%) | $6400.00 |
| Pichu | Common | $8.24 | 1 in 6 (15.63%) | $6400.00 |
| Minun | Uncommon | $7.91 | 1 in 16 (6.25%) | $16000.00 |
| Zigzagoon | Common | $7.85 | 1 in 6 (15.63%) | $6400.00 |
| Pokenav | Uncommon | $7.74 | 1 in 16 (6.25%) | $16000.00 |
| Rare Candy | Uncommon | $7.22 | 1 in 16 (6.25%) | $16000.00 |
| Plusle | Uncommon | $5.89 | 1 in 16 (6.25%) | $16000.00 |
| Scott | Uncommon | $5.44 | 1 in 16 (6.25%) | $16000.00 |
| Mr. Stone's Project | Uncommon | $4.84 | 1 in 16 (6.25%) | $16000.00 |
| Battle Frontier | Uncommon | $4.82 | 1 in 16 (6.25%) | $16000.00 |
| Baltoy | Common | $4.71 | 1 in 6 (15.63%) | $6400.00 |
| Zangoose | Rare | $4.71 | 1 in 21 (4.76%) | $20998.95 |
| Kirlia | Uncommon | $3.96 | 1 in 16 (6.25%) | $16000.00 |
| Lanette's Net Search | Uncommon | $3.28 | 1 in 16 (6.25%) | $16000.00 |
| Relicanth | Rare | $2.81 | 1 in 21 (4.76%) | $20998.95 |
| Darkness Energy (Special) | Rare | $2.61 | 1 in 21 (4.76%) | $20998.95 |
| Seviper | Rare | $2.52 | 1 in 21 (4.76%) | $20998.95 |
| Manectric - 016/106 | Rare | $2.44 | 1 in 21 (4.76%) | $20998.95 |
| Illumise | Uncommon | $2.36 | 1 in 16 (6.25%) | $16000.00 |
| Feebas - 049/106 | Common | $2.12 | 1 in 6 (15.63%) | $6400.00 |
| Swablu | Common | $2.10 | 1 in 6 (15.63%) | $6400.00 |
| Chimecho | Rare | $2.08 | 1 in 21 (4.76%) | $20998.95 |
| Volbeat | Uncommon | $2.08 | 1 in 16 (6.25%) | $16000.00 |
| Grovyle | Uncommon | $2.05 | 1 in 16 (6.25%) | $16000.00 |
| Multi Energy | Rare | $2.00 | 1 in 21 (4.76%) | $20998.95 |
| Rhydon | Rare | $1.94 | 1 in 21 (4.76%) | $20998.95 |
| Breloom | Uncommon | $1.92 | 1 in 16 (6.25%) | $16000.00 |
| Marshtomp | Uncommon | $1.81 | 1 in 16 (6.25%) | $16000.00 |
| Grumpig - 030/106 | Uncommon | $1.79 | 1 in 16 (6.25%) | $16000.00 |
| Nosepass | Rare | $1.77 | 1 in 21 (4.76%) | $20998.95 |
| Ralts | Common | $1.69 | 1 in 6 (15.63%) | $6400.00 |
| Swalot | Uncommon | $1.59 | 1 in 16 (6.25%) | $16000.00 |
| Dodrio | Uncommon | $1.57 | 1 in 16 (6.25%) | $16000.00 |
| Loudred | Uncommon | $1.57 | 1 in 16 (6.25%) | $16000.00 |
| Electrode | Uncommon | $1.55 | 1 in 16 (6.25%) | $16000.00 |
| Swellow | Uncommon | $1.48 | 1 in 16 (6.25%) | $16000.00 |
| Metal Energy (Special) | Rare | $1.44 | 1 in 21 (4.76%) | $20998.95 |
| Vulpix | Common | $1.44 | 1 in 6 (15.63%) | $6400.00 |
| Hariyama | Uncommon | $1.36 | 1 in 16 (6.25%) | $16000.00 |
| Numel - 057/106 | Common | $1.33 | 1 in 6 (15.63%) | $6400.00 |
| Glalie | Rare | $1.29 | 1 in 21 (4.76%) | $20998.95 |
| Grumpig - 029/106 | Uncommon | $1.29 | 1 in 16 (6.25%) | $16000.00 |
| Luvdisc | Common | $1.24 | 1 in 6 (15.63%) | $6400.00 |
| Larvitar | Common | $1.17 | 1 in 6 (15.63%) | $6400.00 |
| Feebas - 050/106 | Common | $1.12 | 1 in 6 (15.63%) | $6400.00 |
| Treecko | Common | $1.08 | 1 in 6 (15.63%) | $6400.00 |
| Lum Berry | Uncommon | $1.02 | 1 in 16 (6.25%) | $16000.00 |
| Torchic | Common | $0.94 | 1 in 6 (15.63%) | $6400.00 |
| Combusken | Uncommon | $0.92 | 1 in 16 (6.25%) | $16000.00 |
| Shroomish | Common | $0.89 | 1 in 6 (15.63%) | $6400.00 |
| Electrike - 048/106 | Common | $0.86 | 1 in 6 (15.63%) | $6400.00 |
| Camerupt | Uncommon | $0.85 | 1 in 16 (6.25%) | $16000.00 |
| Wally's Training | Uncommon | $0.84 | 1 in 16 (6.25%) | $16000.00 |
| Duskull | Common | $0.83 | 1 in 6 (15.63%) | $6400.00 |
| Spoink - 065/106 | Common | $0.79 | 1 in 6 (15.63%) | $6400.00 |
| Meditite | Common | $0.73 | 1 in 6 (15.63%) | $6400.00 |
| Spoink - 066/106 | Common | $0.70 | 1 in 6 (15.63%) | $6400.00 |
| Makuhita | Common | $0.68 | 1 in 6 (15.63%) | $6400.00 |
| Voltorb | Common | $0.68 | 1 in 6 (15.63%) | $6400.00 |
| Whismur | Common | $0.68 | 1 in 6 (15.63%) | $6400.00 |
| Snorunt | Common | $0.66 | 1 in 6 (15.63%) | $6400.00 |
| Numel - 058/106 | Common | $0.65 | 1 in 6 (15.63%) | $6400.00 |
| Double Full Heal | Uncommon | $0.64 | 1 in 16 (6.25%) | $16000.00 |
| Gulpin | Common | $0.62 | 1 in 6 (15.63%) | $6400.00 |
| Cacnea | Common | $0.58 | 1 in 6 (15.63%) | $6400.00 |
| Doduo | Common | $0.52 | 1 in 6 (15.63%) | $6400.00 |
| Oran Berry | Uncommon | $0.52 | 1 in 16 (6.25%) | $16000.00 |
| Taillow | Common | $0.50 | 1 in 6 (15.63%) | $6400.00 |
| Electrike - 047/106 | Common | $0.49 | 1 in 6 (15.63%) | $6400.00 |
| Rhyhorn | Common | $0.48 | 1 in 6 (15.63%) | $6400.00 |
| Pokenav | Uncommon | $0.44 | 1 in 16 (6.25%) | $16000.00 |
| Professor Birch | Uncommon | $0.39 | 1 in 16 (6.25%) | $16000.00 |
| Gardevoir | Holo Rare | — | 1 in 68 (1.47%) | $68000.00 |
| Kyogre - 006/106 | Holo Rare | — | 1 in 68 (1.47%) | $68000.00 |
| Meditite | Common | — | 1 in 6 (15.63%) | $6400.00 |
| Milotic | Holo Rare | — | 1 in 68 (1.47%) | $68000.00 |