A $1009.96 EX FireRed & LeafGreen pack returns $147.25 in expected card value on average — 15% of what you paid.
No official TCGPlayer pull-rate article covers EX FireRed & LeafGreen, so these odds come from thepricedex.com, which discloses a disclosed sample. Sources that do not state how many packs they counted are not used here, however confident they sound.
How these figures are calculated, including the sourcing bar and what this model deliberately does not do.
| Product | Price | Expected value | Expected return |
|---|---|---|---|
| FireRed & LeafGreen Booster Pack | $1009.96 | $147.25 | 15% |
| FireRed & LeafGreen Single Pack Blister | — | $147.25 | TBD |
| FireRed & LeafGreen Booster Box | — | $5301.16 | TBD |
FireRed & LeafGreen Booster Pack · FireRed & LeafGreen Single Pack Blister · FireRed & LeafGreen Booster Box
| Product | Price per pack | Expected return |
|---|---|---|
| Booster Pack | $1009.96 | 15% |
| Rarity | Pull rate | Sample |
|---|---|---|
| Secret Rare | 2.78% | |
| Ultra Rare | 8.33% | |
| Holo Rare | 22.22% | |
| Rare | 66.67% | |
| Common | 500% | |
| Uncommon | 200% |
| Card | Rarity | Market price | Odds | Cost to pull |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gengar ex | Ultra Rare | $1399.99 | 1 in 108 (0.93%) | $109119.33 |
| Blastoise ex | Ultra Rare | $650.45 | 1 in 108 (0.93%) | $109119.33 |
| Charizard ex | Ultra Rare | $500.00 | 1 in 108 (0.93%) | $109119.33 |
| Venusaur ex | Ultra Rare | $480.01 | 1 in 108 (0.93%) | $109119.33 |
| Blastoise ex | Ultra Rare | $425.00 | 1 in 108 (0.93%) | $109119.33 |
| Zapdos ex | Secret Rare | $268.97 | 1 in 144 (0.7%) | $145317.99 |
| Electrode ex | Ultra Rare | $199.99 | 1 in 108 (0.93%) | $109119.33 |
| Gyarados ex | Ultra Rare | $199.54 | 1 in 108 (0.93%) | $109119.33 |
| Articuno ex | Secret Rare | $199.06 | 1 in 144 (0.7%) | $145317.99 |
| Moltres ex | Secret Rare | $180.88 | 1 in 144 (0.7%) | $145317.99 |
| Electrode ex | Ultra Rare | $152.07 | 1 in 108 (0.93%) | $109119.33 |
| Gyarados ex | Ultra Rare | $150.00 | 1 in 108 (0.93%) | $109119.33 |
| Clefable ex | Ultra Rare | $99.99 | 1 in 108 (0.93%) | $109119.33 |
| Clefable ex | Ultra Rare | $97.93 | 1 in 108 (0.93%) | $109119.33 |
| Mr. Mime ex - 110/112 | Ultra Rare | $97.64 | 1 in 108 (0.93%) | $109119.33 |
| Mr. Mime ex - 111/112 | Ultra Rare | $88.29 | 1 in 108 (0.93%) | $109119.33 |
| Charmander - 113/112 | Secret Rare | $84.99 | 1 in 144 (0.7%) | $145317.99 |
| Charmander - 113/112 | Secret Rare | $79.09 | 1 in 144 (0.7%) | $145317.99 |
| Mr. Mime ex - 111/112 | Ultra Rare | $28.08 | 1 in 108 (0.93%) | $109119.33 |
| Moltres ex | Secret Rare | — | 1 in 144 (0.7%) | $145317.99 |
| Mr. Mime ex - 110/112 | Ultra Rare | — | 1 in 108 (0.93%) | $109119.33 |
| Zapdos ex | Secret Rare | — | 1 in 144 (0.7%) | $145317.99 |
| Snorlax | Holo Rare | $271.14 | 1 in 77 (1.31%) | TBD |
| Squirtle - 083/112 | Common | $260.73 | 1 in 7 (13.89%) | TBD |
| Magikarp | Common | $199.99 | 1 in 7 (13.89%) | TBD |
| Pikachu | Common | $199.33 | 1 in 7 (13.89%) | TBD |
| Cubone | Common | $194.98 | 1 in 7 (13.89%) | TBD |
| Ditto | Holo Rare | $168.41 | 1 in 77 (1.31%) | TBD |
| Squirtle - 082/112 | Common | $166.66 | 1 in 7 (13.89%) | TBD |
| Charmander - 058/112 | Common | $149.99 | 1 in 7 (13.89%) | TBD |
| Snorlax | Holo Rare | $146.51 | 1 in 77 (1.31%) | TBD |
| Bulbasaur - 054/112 | Common | $137.50 | 1 in 7 (13.89%) | TBD |
| Charmander - 057/112 | Common | $128.85 | 1 in 7 (13.89%) | TBD |
| Arcanine | Rare | $119.36 | 1 in 21 (4.76%) | TBD |
| Bulbasaur - 055/112 | Common | $112.50 | 1 in 7 (13.89%) | TBD |
| Slowpoke | Common | $110.32 | 1 in 7 (13.89%) | TBD |
| Ditto | Holo Rare | $108.74 | 1 in 77 (1.31%) | TBD |
| Snorlax | Holo Rare | $101.40 | 1 in 77 (1.31%) | TBD |
| Kangaskhan | Holo Rare | $91.31 | 1 in 77 (1.31%) | TBD |
| Marowak | Holo Rare | $89.37 | 1 in 77 (1.31%) | TBD |
| Scyther | Rare | $86.13 | 1 in 21 (4.76%) | TBD |
| Raichu | Holo Rare | $80.22 | 1 in 77 (1.31%) | TBD |
| Haunter | Uncommon | $79.77 | 1 in 18 (5.56%) | TBD |
| Porygon | Uncommon | $79.50 | 1 in 18 (5.56%) | TBD |
| Slowbro | Holo Rare | $78.02 | 1 in 77 (1.31%) | TBD |
| Nidoking | Holo Rare | $76.29 | 1 in 77 (1.31%) | TBD |
| Slowbro | Holo Rare | $71.02 | 1 in 77 (1.31%) | TBD |
| Gastly | Common | $69.66 | 1 in 7 (13.89%) | TBD |
| Persian | Uncommon | $65.00 | 1 in 18 (5.56%) | TBD |
| Ditto | Holo Rare | $64.62 | 1 in 77 (1.31%) | TBD |
| Rapidash | Holo Rare | $63.10 | 1 in 77 (1.31%) | TBD |
| Rapidash | Holo Rare | $63.04 | 1 in 77 (1.31%) | TBD |
| Ivysaur | Uncommon | $62.10 | 1 in 18 (5.56%) | TBD |
| Exeggutor | Holo Rare | $60.39 | 1 in 77 (1.31%) | TBD |
| Nidoking | Holo Rare | $58.99 | 1 in 77 (1.31%) | TBD |
| Marowak | Holo Rare | $56.83 | 1 in 77 (1.31%) | TBD |
| Exeggutor | Holo Rare | $54.65 | 1 in 77 (1.31%) | TBD |
| Wigglytuff | Uncommon | $53.60 | 1 in 18 (5.56%) | TBD |
| Charmeleon | Uncommon | $53.40 | 1 in 18 (5.56%) | TBD |
| Kangaskhan | Holo Rare | $53.32 | 1 in 77 (1.31%) | TBD |
| Poliwag | Common | $50.48 | 1 in 7 (13.89%) | TBD |
| Jigglypuff | Common | $50.00 | 1 in 7 (13.89%) | TBD |
| Slowbro | Holo Rare | $50.00 | 1 in 77 (1.31%) | TBD |
| Meowth | Common | $49.66 | 1 in 7 (13.89%) | TBD |
| Lickitung | Uncommon | $49.43 | 1 in 18 (5.56%) | TBD |
| Growlithe | Common | $47.83 | 1 in 7 (13.89%) | TBD |
| Exeggcute | Uncommon | $46.19 | 1 in 18 (5.56%) | TBD |
| Wartortle | Uncommon | $45.34 | 1 in 18 (5.56%) | TBD |
| Poliwhirl | Uncommon | $44.69 | 1 in 18 (5.56%) | TBD |
| Dewgong | Holo Rare | $43.63 | 1 in 77 (1.31%) | TBD |
| Tauros | Holo Rare | $43.35 | 1 in 77 (1.31%) | TBD |
| Pidgeot | Holo Rare | $43.05 | 1 in 77 (1.31%) | TBD |
| Butterfree | Holo Rare | $42.71 | 1 in 77 (1.31%) | TBD |
| Parasect | Uncommon | $42.66 | 1 in 18 (5.56%) | TBD |
| Butterfree | Holo Rare | $42.00 | 1 in 77 (1.31%) | TBD |
| Drowsee | Uncommon | $40.94 | 1 in 18 (5.56%) | TBD |
| Dewgong | Holo Rare | $40.73 | 1 in 77 (1.31%) | TBD |
| Poliwrath | Holo Rare | $40.28 | 1 in 77 (1.31%) | TBD |
| Diglett | Common | $39.96 | 1 in 7 (13.89%) | TBD |
| Marowak | Holo Rare | $39.15 | 1 in 77 (1.31%) | TBD |
| Hypno | Rare | $38.99 | 1 in 21 (4.76%) | TBD |
| Kakuna | Uncommon | $38.85 | 1 in 18 (5.56%) | TBD |
| Tangela | Rare | $38.82 | 1 in 21 (4.76%) | TBD |
| Weepinbell | Uncommon | $37.90 | 1 in 18 (5.56%) | TBD |
| Raichu | Holo Rare | $37.30 | 1 in 77 (1.31%) | TBD |
| Butterfree | Holo Rare | $37.08 | 1 in 77 (1.31%) | TBD |
| Cloyster | Rare | $36.90 | 1 in 21 (4.76%) | TBD |
| Kangaskhan | Holo Rare | $36.75 | 1 in 77 (1.31%) | TBD |
| Victreebel | Holo Rare | $35.94 | 1 in 77 (1.31%) | TBD |
| Nidoqueen | Holo Rare | $35.58 | 1 in 77 (1.31%) | TBD |
| Nidoqueen | Holo Rare | $34.29 | 1 in 77 (1.31%) | TBD |
| Caterpie | Common | $33.83 | 1 in 7 (13.89%) | TBD |
| Squirtle - 083/112 | Common | $33.03 | 1 in 7 (13.89%) | TBD |
| Nidoqueen | Holo Rare | $32.25 | 1 in 77 (1.31%) | TBD |
| Victreebel | Holo Rare | $31.35 | 1 in 77 (1.31%) | TBD |
| Rapidash | Holo Rare | $31.00 | 1 in 77 (1.31%) | TBD |
| Dewgong | Holo Rare | $30.33 | 1 in 77 (1.31%) | TBD |
| Metapod | Uncommon | $30.33 | 1 in 18 (5.56%) | TBD |
| Rattata | Common | $30.33 | 1 in 7 (13.89%) | TBD |
| Pidgeotto | Uncommon | $29.98 | 1 in 18 (5.56%) | TBD |
| Farfetch'd | Rare | $29.97 | 1 in 21 (4.76%) | TBD |
| Bellsprout | Common | $29.73 | 1 in 7 (13.89%) | TBD |
| Nidoking | Holo Rare | $28.78 | 1 in 77 (1.31%) | TBD |
| Dugtrio | Rare | $28.63 | 1 in 21 (4.76%) | TBD |
| Poliwrath | Holo Rare | $27.85 | 1 in 77 (1.31%) | TBD |
| Exeggutor | Holo Rare | $26.95 | 1 in 77 (1.31%) | TBD |
| Magneton | Rare | $26.87 | 1 in 21 (4.76%) | TBD |
| Weedle | Common | $26.12 | 1 in 7 (13.89%) | TBD |
| Primeape | Rare | $25.50 | 1 in 21 (4.76%) | TBD |
| Raticate | Uncommon | $25.21 | 1 in 18 (5.56%) | TBD |
| Tauros | Holo Rare | $24.59 | 1 in 77 (1.31%) | TBD |
| Kingler | Rare | $23.82 | 1 in 21 (4.76%) | TBD |
| Onix | Uncommon | $22.99 | 1 in 18 (5.56%) | TBD |
| Shellder | Common | $22.97 | 1 in 7 (13.89%) | TBD |
| Venonat | Common | $22.82 | 1 in 7 (13.89%) | TBD |
| Fearow | Rare | $22.71 | 1 in 21 (4.76%) | TBD |
| Paras | Common | $21.97 | 1 in 7 (13.89%) | TBD |
| Nidorino | Uncommon | $21.22 | 1 in 18 (5.56%) | TBD |
| Seel | Common | $21.20 | 1 in 7 (13.89%) | TBD |
| Venomoth | Uncommon | $20.68 | 1 in 18 (5.56%) | TBD |
| Pidgeot | Holo Rare | $20.54 | 1 in 77 (1.31%) | TBD |
| Ponyta | Common | $20.53 | 1 in 7 (13.89%) | TBD |
| Tauros | Holo Rare | $20.49 | 1 in 77 (1.31%) | TBD |
| Slowpoke | Common | $20.38 | 1 in 7 (13.89%) | TBD |
| VS Seeker | Uncommon | $20.22 | 1 in 18 (5.56%) | TBD |
| Dodrio | Rare | $20.09 | 1 in 21 (4.76%) | TBD |
| Tangela | Rare | $19.02 | 1 in 21 (4.76%) | TBD |
| Mankey | Uncommon | $18.52 | 1 in 18 (5.56%) | TBD |
| Pokemon Reversal | Uncommon | $17.75 | 1 in 18 (5.56%) | TBD |
| Beedrill | Holo Rare | $17.71 | 1 in 77 (1.31%) | TBD |
| Beedrill | Holo Rare | $17.55 | 1 in 77 (1.31%) | TBD |
| Pidgeot | Holo Rare | $17.37 | 1 in 77 (1.31%) | TBD |
| Nidorina | Uncommon | $17.33 | 1 in 18 (5.56%) | TBD |
| Cubone | Common | $16.36 | 1 in 7 (13.89%) | TBD |
| Bulbasaur - 054/112 | Common | $16.18 | 1 in 7 (13.89%) | TBD |
| Doduo | Common | $14.89 | 1 in 7 (13.89%) | TBD |
| Magnemite | Common | $14.60 | 1 in 7 (13.89%) | TBD |
| Parasect | Uncommon | $14.06 | 1 in 18 (5.56%) | TBD |
| Voltorb | Common | $14.06 | 1 in 7 (13.89%) | TBD |
| Energy Switch | Uncommon | $14.05 | 1 in 18 (5.56%) | TBD |
| Nidoran F | Common | $12.78 | 1 in 7 (13.89%) | TBD |
| Krabby | Common | $12.52 | 1 in 7 (13.89%) | TBD |
| Exeggcute | Uncommon | $12.37 | 1 in 18 (5.56%) | TBD |
| Spearow | Common | $12.31 | 1 in 7 (13.89%) | TBD |
| Clefairy | Common | $12.14 | 1 in 7 (13.89%) | TBD |
| Squirtle - 082/112 | Common | $12.06 | 1 in 7 (13.89%) | TBD |
| Pidgey | Common | $11.70 | 1 in 7 (13.89%) | TBD |
| Pikachu | Common | $11.60 | 1 in 7 (13.89%) | TBD |
| Great Ball | Uncommon | $11.34 | 1 in 18 (5.56%) | TBD |
| Switch | Common | $10.96 | 1 in 7 (13.89%) | TBD |
| Beedrill | Holo Rare | $10.56 | 1 in 77 (1.31%) | TBD |
| Chansey | Rare | $9.97 | 1 in 21 (4.76%) | TBD |
| Mt. Moon | Uncommon | $9.94 | 1 in 18 (5.56%) | TBD |
| Nidoran M | Common | $9.75 | 1 in 7 (13.89%) | TBD |
| Haunter | Uncommon | $8.82 | 1 in 18 (5.56%) | TBD |
| Chansey | Rare | $8.01 | 1 in 21 (4.76%) | TBD |
| Wigglytuff | Uncommon | $7.57 | 1 in 18 (5.56%) | TBD |
| Porygon | Uncommon | $7.46 | 1 in 18 (5.56%) | TBD |
| Lickitung | Uncommon | $6.95 | 1 in 18 (5.56%) | TBD |
| Poke Ball | Uncommon | $6.79 | 1 in 18 (5.56%) | TBD |
| Magikarp | Common | $6.60 | 1 in 7 (13.89%) | TBD |
| Weepinbell | Uncommon | $6.42 | 1 in 18 (5.56%) | TBD |
| Raticate | Uncommon | $5.90 | 1 in 18 (5.56%) | TBD |
| Drowsee | Uncommon | $5.83 | 1 in 18 (5.56%) | TBD |
| Potion | Common | $5.74 | 1 in 7 (13.89%) | TBD |
| Bulbasaur - 055/112 | Common | $5.59 | 1 in 7 (13.89%) | TBD |
| Celio's Network | Uncommon | $5.59 | 1 in 18 (5.56%) | TBD |
| VS Seeker | Uncommon | $5.51 | 1 in 18 (5.56%) | TBD |
| Super Scoop Up | Uncommon | $5.41 | 1 in 18 (5.56%) | TBD |
| Charmander - 057/112 | Common | $5.32 | 1 in 7 (13.89%) | TBD |
| Wartortle | Uncommon | $5.30 | 1 in 18 (5.56%) | TBD |
| Multi Energy | Rare | $5.21 | 1 in 21 (4.76%) | TBD |
| Prof. Oak's Research | Uncommon | $4.91 | 1 in 18 (5.56%) | TBD |
| Scyther | Rare | $4.71 | 1 in 21 (4.76%) | TBD |
| Pokemon Reversal | Uncommon | $4.56 | 1 in 18 (5.56%) | TBD |
| Poliwhirl | Uncommon | $4.56 | 1 in 18 (5.56%) | TBD |
| Jigglypuff | Common | $4.54 | 1 in 7 (13.89%) | TBD |
| PokeDex (HANDY909) | Uncommon | $4.51 | 1 in 18 (5.56%) | TBD |
| EXP.ALL | Uncommon | $3.86 | 1 in 18 (5.56%) | TBD |
| Persian | Uncommon | $3.54 | 1 in 18 (5.56%) | TBD |
| Bellsprout | Common | $3.42 | 1 in 7 (13.89%) | TBD |
| Life Herb | Uncommon | $3.40 | 1 in 18 (5.56%) | TBD |
| Bill's Maintenance | Uncommon | $3.36 | 1 in 18 (5.56%) | TBD |
| Ivysaur | Uncommon | $3.13 | 1 in 18 (5.56%) | TBD |
| Cloyster | Rare | $2.87 | 1 in 21 (4.76%) | TBD |
| Energy Removal 2 | Uncommon | $2.82 | 1 in 18 (5.56%) | TBD |
| Onix | Uncommon | $2.82 | 1 in 18 (5.56%) | TBD |
| Kingler | Rare | $2.78 | 1 in 21 (4.76%) | TBD |
| Farfetch'd | Rare | $2.68 | 1 in 21 (4.76%) | TBD |
| Primeape | Rare | $2.62 | 1 in 21 (4.76%) | TBD |
| Dugtrio | Rare | $2.56 | 1 in 21 (4.76%) | TBD |
| Nidorina | Uncommon | $2.27 | 1 in 18 (5.56%) | TBD |
| Charmander - 058/112 | Common | $2.18 | 1 in 7 (13.89%) | TBD |
| Energy Switch | Uncommon | $2.10 | 1 in 18 (5.56%) | TBD |
| Arcanine | Rare | $2.06 | 1 in 21 (4.76%) | TBD |
| Great Ball | Uncommon | $2.04 | 1 in 18 (5.56%) | TBD |
| Clefairy | Common | $1.96 | 1 in 7 (13.89%) | TBD |
| Paras | Common | $1.94 | 1 in 7 (13.89%) | TBD |
| Charmeleon | Uncommon | $1.92 | 1 in 18 (5.56%) | TBD |
| Meowth | Common | $1.85 | 1 in 7 (13.89%) | TBD |
| Gastly | Common | $1.70 | 1 in 7 (13.89%) | TBD |
| Hypno | Rare | $1.66 | 1 in 21 (4.76%) | TBD |
| Mankey | Uncommon | $1.60 | 1 in 18 (5.56%) | TBD |
| Metapod | Uncommon | $1.53 | 1 in 18 (5.56%) | TBD |
| Super Scoop Up | Uncommon | $1.52 | 1 in 18 (5.56%) | TBD |
| Dodrio | Rare | $1.43 | 1 in 21 (4.76%) | TBD |
| Caterpie | Common | $1.41 | 1 in 7 (13.89%) | TBD |
| Multi Energy | Rare | $1.41 | 1 in 21 (4.76%) | TBD |
| Poke Ball | Uncommon | $1.38 | 1 in 18 (5.56%) | TBD |
| PokeDex (HANDY909) | Uncommon | $1.36 | 1 in 18 (5.56%) | TBD |
| Nidorino | Uncommon | $1.31 | 1 in 18 (5.56%) | TBD |
| Prof. Oak's Research | Uncommon | $1.15 | 1 in 18 (5.56%) | TBD |
| EXP.ALL | Uncommon | $1.14 | 1 in 18 (5.56%) | TBD |
| Fearow | Rare | $1.12 | 1 in 21 (4.76%) | TBD |
| Diglett | Common | $1.06 | 1 in 7 (13.89%) | TBD |
| Shellder | Common | $1.05 | 1 in 7 (13.89%) | TBD |
| Mt. Moon | Uncommon | $0.99 | 1 in 18 (5.56%) | TBD |
| Pidgeotto | Uncommon | $0.90 | 1 in 18 (5.56%) | TBD |
| Venomoth | Uncommon | $0.89 | 1 in 18 (5.56%) | TBD |
| Poliwag | Common | $0.87 | 1 in 7 (13.89%) | TBD |
| Ponyta | Common | $0.84 | 1 in 7 (13.89%) | TBD |
| Nidoran M | Common | $0.73 | 1 in 7 (13.89%) | TBD |
| Growlithe | Common | $0.71 | 1 in 7 (13.89%) | TBD |
| Kakuna | Uncommon | $0.69 | 1 in 18 (5.56%) | TBD |
| Magneton | Rare | $0.64 | 1 in 21 (4.76%) | TBD |
| Spearow | Common | $0.61 | 1 in 7 (13.89%) | TBD |
| Venonat | Common | $0.61 | 1 in 7 (13.89%) | TBD |
| Doduo | Common | $0.60 | 1 in 7 (13.89%) | TBD |
| Voltorb | Common | $0.58 | 1 in 7 (13.89%) | TBD |
| Nidoran F | Common | $0.55 | 1 in 7 (13.89%) | TBD |
| Weedle | Common | $0.54 | 1 in 7 (13.89%) | TBD |
| Pidgey | Common | $0.50 | 1 in 7 (13.89%) | TBD |
| Seel | Common | $0.50 | 1 in 7 (13.89%) | TBD |
| Krabby | Common | $0.49 | 1 in 7 (13.89%) | TBD |
| Celio's Network | Uncommon | $0.47 | 1 in 18 (5.56%) | TBD |
| Energy Removal 2 | Uncommon | $0.43 | 1 in 18 (5.56%) | TBD |
| Rattata | Common | $0.37 | 1 in 7 (13.89%) | TBD |
| Magnemite | Common | $0.35 | 1 in 7 (13.89%) | TBD |
| Switch | Common | $0.30 | 1 in 7 (13.89%) | TBD |
| Life Herb | Uncommon | $0.29 | 1 in 18 (5.56%) | TBD |
| Bill's Maintenance | Uncommon | $0.28 | 1 in 18 (5.56%) | TBD |
| Potion | Common | $0.23 | 1 in 7 (13.89%) | TBD |
| Poliwrath | Holo Rare | — | 1 in 77 (1.31%) | TBD |
| Raichu | Holo Rare | — | 1 in 77 (1.31%) | TBD |