
A $1013.30 EX FireRed & LeafGreen pack returns $168.83 in expected card value on average — 17% of what you paid.
No official TCGPlayer pull-rate article covers EX FireRed & LeafGreen. These odds come from thepricedex.com, which publishes a rate for each tier but does not say how many packs it counted to get there — so read them as indicative rather than measured. They are here because they are the best published figures for this set, and naming that limit is better than implying a precision the source never claimed.
How these figures are calculated, including the sourcing bar and what this model deliberately does not do.
| Product | Price | Expected value | Expected return |
|---|---|---|---|
| FireRed & LeafGreen Booster Pack | $1013.30 | $168.83 | 17% |
| FireRed & LeafGreen Single Pack Blister | — | $168.83 | TBD |
| FireRed & LeafGreen Booster Box | — | $6077.88 | TBD |
FireRed & LeafGreen Booster Pack · FireRed & LeafGreen Single Pack Blister · FireRed & LeafGreen Booster Box
| Product | Price per pack | Expected return |
|---|---|---|
| Booster Pack | $1013.30 | 17% |
| Rarity | Pull rate | Sample |
|---|---|---|
| Secret Rare | 2.78% | |
| Ultra Rare | 8.33% | |
| Holo Rare | 22.22% | |
| Rare | 66.67% | |
| Common | 500% | |
| Uncommon | 200% |
| Card | Rarity | Market price | Odds | Cost to pull |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gengar ex | Ultra Rare | $1399.99 | 1 in 108 (0.93%) | $109480.19 |
| Blastoise ex | Ultra Rare | $650.45 | 1 in 108 (0.93%) | $109480.19 |
| Charizard ex | Ultra Rare | $500.00 | 1 in 108 (0.93%) | $109480.19 |
| Venusaur ex | Ultra Rare | $480.01 | 1 in 108 (0.93%) | $109480.19 |
| Blastoise ex | Ultra Rare | $425.00 | 1 in 108 (0.93%) | $109480.19 |
| Charmander - 113/112 | Secret Rare | $328.99 | 1 in 144 (0.7%) | $145798.56 |
| Articuno ex | Secret Rare | $325.45 | 1 in 144 (0.7%) | $145798.56 |
| Zapdos ex | Secret Rare | $270.42 | 1 in 144 (0.7%) | $145798.56 |
| Gyarados ex | Ultra Rare | $201.67 | 1 in 108 (0.93%) | $109480.19 |
| Electrode ex | Ultra Rare | $199.99 | 1 in 108 (0.93%) | $109480.19 |
| Moltres ex | Secret Rare | $180.00 | 1 in 144 (0.7%) | $145798.56 |
| Electrode ex | Ultra Rare | $179.99 | 1 in 108 (0.93%) | $109480.19 |
| Gyarados ex | Ultra Rare | $150.00 | 1 in 108 (0.93%) | $109480.19 |
| Mr. Mime ex - 111/112 | Ultra Rare | $105.14 | 1 in 108 (0.93%) | $109480.19 |
| Mr. Mime ex - 110/112 | Ultra Rare | $97.17 | 1 in 108 (0.93%) | $109480.19 |
| Clefable ex | Ultra Rare | $95.87 | 1 in 108 (0.93%) | $109480.19 |
| Zapdos ex | Secret Rare | $45.00 | 1 in 144 (0.7%) | $145798.56 |
| Charmander - 113/112 | Secret Rare | $29.99 | 1 in 144 (0.7%) | $145798.56 |
| Mr. Mime ex - 111/112 | Ultra Rare | $28.08 | 1 in 108 (0.93%) | $109480.19 |
| Clefable ex | Ultra Rare | — | 1 in 108 (0.93%) | $109480.19 |
| Moltres ex | Secret Rare | — | 1 in 144 (0.7%) | $145798.56 |
| Mr. Mime ex - 110/112 | Ultra Rare | — | 1 in 108 (0.93%) | $109480.19 |
| Snorlax | Holo Rare | $329.99 | 1 in 77 (1.31%) | TBD |
| Squirtle - 083/112 | Common | $300.00 | 1 in 7 (13.89%) | TBD |
| Snorlax | Holo Rare | $286.31 | 1 in 77 (1.31%) | TBD |
| Squirtle - 082/112 | Common | $272.99 | 1 in 7 (13.89%) | TBD |
| Pikachu | Common | $248.24 | 1 in 7 (13.89%) | TBD |
| Magikarp | Common | $209.99 | 1 in 7 (13.89%) | TBD |
| Cubone | Common | $194.98 | 1 in 7 (13.89%) | TBD |
| Wigglytuff | Uncommon | $169.06 | 1 in 18 (5.56%) | TBD |
| Charmander - 058/112 | Common | $149.99 | 1 in 7 (13.89%) | TBD |
| Ditto | Holo Rare | $145.48 | 1 in 77 (1.31%) | TBD |
| Slowpoke | Common | $142.49 | 1 in 7 (13.89%) | TBD |
| Slowbro | Holo Rare | $140.00 | 1 in 77 (1.31%) | TBD |
| Bulbasaur - 055/112 | Common | $139.99 | 1 in 7 (13.89%) | TBD |
| Bulbasaur - 054/112 | Common | $138.32 | 1 in 7 (13.89%) | TBD |
| Charmander - 057/112 | Common | $134.99 | 1 in 7 (13.89%) | TBD |
| Snorlax | Holo Rare | $134.26 | 1 in 77 (1.31%) | TBD |
| Marowak | Holo Rare | $133.74 | 1 in 77 (1.31%) | TBD |
| Arcanine | Rare | $118.72 | 1 in 21 (4.76%) | TBD |
| Ditto | Holo Rare | $108.74 | 1 in 77 (1.31%) | TBD |
| Kangaskhan | Holo Rare | $108.26 | 1 in 77 (1.31%) | TBD |
| Raichu | Holo Rare | $102.00 | 1 in 77 (1.31%) | TBD |
| Slowbro | Holo Rare | $93.50 | 1 in 77 (1.31%) | TBD |
| Meowth | Common | $89.94 | 1 in 7 (13.89%) | TBD |
| Bellsprout | Common | $84.99 | 1 in 7 (13.89%) | TBD |
| Scyther | Rare | $83.33 | 1 in 21 (4.76%) | TBD |
| Haunter | Uncommon | $81.99 | 1 in 18 (5.56%) | TBD |
| Weepinbell | Uncommon | $80.88 | 1 in 18 (5.56%) | TBD |
| Nidoking | Holo Rare | $80.06 | 1 in 77 (1.31%) | TBD |
| Slowbro | Holo Rare | $75.00 | 1 in 77 (1.31%) | TBD |
| Gastly | Common | $73.54 | 1 in 7 (13.89%) | TBD |
| Persian | Uncommon | $69.56 | 1 in 18 (5.56%) | TBD |
| Ivysaur | Uncommon | $66.29 | 1 in 18 (5.56%) | TBD |
| Rapidash | Holo Rare | $66.18 | 1 in 77 (1.31%) | TBD |
| Raichu | Holo Rare | $65.00 | 1 in 77 (1.31%) | TBD |
| Ditto | Holo Rare | $64.62 | 1 in 77 (1.31%) | TBD |
| Rapidash | Holo Rare | $64.07 | 1 in 77 (1.31%) | TBD |
| Exeggutor | Holo Rare | $61.57 | 1 in 77 (1.31%) | TBD |
| Exeggutor | Holo Rare | $60.39 | 1 in 77 (1.31%) | TBD |
| Porygon | Uncommon | $60.00 | 1 in 18 (5.56%) | TBD |
| Nidoking | Holo Rare | $58.99 | 1 in 77 (1.31%) | TBD |
| Growlithe | Common | $58.26 | 1 in 7 (13.89%) | TBD |
| Poliwhirl | Uncommon | $57.53 | 1 in 18 (5.56%) | TBD |
| Kangaskhan | Holo Rare | $57.49 | 1 in 77 (1.31%) | TBD |
| Charmeleon | Uncommon | $56.57 | 1 in 18 (5.56%) | TBD |
| Jigglypuff | Common | $52.50 | 1 in 7 (13.89%) | TBD |
| Marowak | Holo Rare | $52.41 | 1 in 77 (1.31%) | TBD |
| Wartortle | Uncommon | $51.70 | 1 in 18 (5.56%) | TBD |
| Exeggcute | Uncommon | $50.65 | 1 in 18 (5.56%) | TBD |
| Poliwag | Common | $50.48 | 1 in 7 (13.89%) | TBD |
| Squirtle - 083/112 | Common | $49.54 | 1 in 7 (13.89%) | TBD |
| Lickitung | Uncommon | $49.43 | 1 in 18 (5.56%) | TBD |
| Magneton | Rare | $47.48 | 1 in 21 (4.76%) | TBD |
| Tauros | Holo Rare | $46.67 | 1 in 77 (1.31%) | TBD |
| Poliwrath | Holo Rare | $45.17 | 1 in 77 (1.31%) | TBD |
| Pidgeot | Holo Rare | $45.04 | 1 in 77 (1.31%) | TBD |
| Parasect | Uncommon | $44.79 | 1 in 18 (5.56%) | TBD |
| Drowsee | Uncommon | $44.73 | 1 in 18 (5.56%) | TBD |
| Marowak | Holo Rare | $44.39 | 1 in 77 (1.31%) | TBD |
| Hypno | Rare | $44.04 | 1 in 21 (4.76%) | TBD |
| Butterfree | Holo Rare | $42.62 | 1 in 77 (1.31%) | TBD |
| Dewgong | Holo Rare | $41.89 | 1 in 77 (1.31%) | TBD |
| Farfetch'd | Rare | $41.84 | 1 in 21 (4.76%) | TBD |
| Tangela | Rare | $41.56 | 1 in 21 (4.76%) | TBD |
| Butterfree | Holo Rare | $41.55 | 1 in 77 (1.31%) | TBD |
| Victreebel | Holo Rare | $41.55 | 1 in 77 (1.31%) | TBD |
| Diglett | Common | $41.40 | 1 in 7 (13.89%) | TBD |
| Rattata | Common | $41.00 | 1 in 7 (13.89%) | TBD |
| Victreebel | Holo Rare | $40.86 | 1 in 77 (1.31%) | TBD |
| Dewgong | Holo Rare | $40.75 | 1 in 77 (1.31%) | TBD |
| Kakuna | Uncommon | $40.28 | 1 in 18 (5.56%) | TBD |
| Butterfree | Holo Rare | $40.00 | 1 in 77 (1.31%) | TBD |
| Primeape | Rare | $40.00 | 1 in 21 (4.76%) | TBD |
| Cloyster | Rare | $38.84 | 1 in 21 (4.76%) | TBD |
| Nidoqueen | Holo Rare | $37.50 | 1 in 77 (1.31%) | TBD |
| Dugtrio | Rare | $37.49 | 1 in 21 (4.76%) | TBD |
| Kangaskhan | Holo Rare | $36.75 | 1 in 77 (1.31%) | TBD |
| Nidoqueen | Holo Rare | $35.99 | 1 in 77 (1.31%) | TBD |
| Caterpie | Common | $34.68 | 1 in 7 (13.89%) | TBD |
| Weedle | Common | $33.19 | 1 in 7 (13.89%) | TBD |
| Dewgong | Holo Rare | $32.10 | 1 in 77 (1.31%) | TBD |
| Tauros | Holo Rare | $32.00 | 1 in 77 (1.31%) | TBD |
| Venomoth | Uncommon | $31.99 | 1 in 18 (5.56%) | TBD |
| Nidoqueen | Holo Rare | $31.70 | 1 in 77 (1.31%) | TBD |
| Rapidash | Holo Rare | $31.00 | 1 in 77 (1.31%) | TBD |
| Onix | Uncommon | $30.22 | 1 in 18 (5.56%) | TBD |
| Pidgeotto | Uncommon | $29.99 | 1 in 18 (5.56%) | TBD |
| Poliwrath | Holo Rare | $29.58 | 1 in 77 (1.31%) | TBD |
| Raticate | Uncommon | $29.46 | 1 in 18 (5.56%) | TBD |
| Exeggutor | Holo Rare | $29.27 | 1 in 77 (1.31%) | TBD |
| Venonat | Common | $29.16 | 1 in 7 (13.89%) | TBD |
| Nidoking | Holo Rare | $28.78 | 1 in 77 (1.31%) | TBD |
| Metapod | Uncommon | $28.00 | 1 in 18 (5.56%) | TBD |
| Chansey | Rare | $27.65 | 1 in 21 (4.76%) | TBD |
| Kingler | Rare | $25.19 | 1 in 21 (4.76%) | TBD |
| Tauros | Holo Rare | $25.08 | 1 in 77 (1.31%) | TBD |
| Shellder | Common | $25.05 | 1 in 7 (13.89%) | TBD |
| Fearow | Rare | $24.32 | 1 in 21 (4.76%) | TBD |
| Clefairy | Common | $23.22 | 1 in 7 (13.89%) | TBD |
| Pidgeot | Holo Rare | $23.12 | 1 in 77 (1.31%) | TBD |
| Ponyta | Common | $22.62 | 1 in 7 (13.89%) | TBD |
| Paras | Common | $21.97 | 1 in 7 (13.89%) | TBD |
| Tangela | Rare | $21.67 | 1 in 21 (4.76%) | TBD |
| Pidgeot | Holo Rare | $21.64 | 1 in 77 (1.31%) | TBD |
| VS Seeker | Uncommon | $21.25 | 1 in 18 (5.56%) | TBD |
| Nidorino | Uncommon | $20.82 | 1 in 18 (5.56%) | TBD |
| Mankey | Uncommon | $20.81 | 1 in 18 (5.56%) | TBD |
| Dodrio | Rare | $20.68 | 1 in 21 (4.76%) | TBD |
| Slowpoke | Common | $20.68 | 1 in 7 (13.89%) | TBD |
| Seel | Common | $20.61 | 1 in 7 (13.89%) | TBD |
| Nidorina | Uncommon | $18.86 | 1 in 18 (5.56%) | TBD |
| Pokemon Reversal | Uncommon | $18.54 | 1 in 18 (5.56%) | TBD |
| Beedrill | Holo Rare | $18.05 | 1 in 77 (1.31%) | TBD |
| Beedrill | Holo Rare | $17.66 | 1 in 77 (1.31%) | TBD |
| Voltorb | Common | $16.01 | 1 in 7 (13.89%) | TBD |
| Cubone | Common | $15.90 | 1 in 7 (13.89%) | TBD |
| Bulbasaur - 054/112 | Common | $15.49 | 1 in 7 (13.89%) | TBD |
| Parasect | Uncommon | $15.41 | 1 in 18 (5.56%) | TBD |
| Doduo | Common | $15.25 | 1 in 7 (13.89%) | TBD |
| Squirtle - 082/112 | Common | $14.83 | 1 in 7 (13.89%) | TBD |
| Energy Switch | Uncommon | $14.69 | 1 in 18 (5.56%) | TBD |
| Pidgey | Common | $14.63 | 1 in 7 (13.89%) | TBD |
| Mt. Moon | Uncommon | $14.37 | 1 in 18 (5.56%) | TBD |
| Spearow | Common | $13.63 | 1 in 7 (13.89%) | TBD |
| Magnemite | Common | $13.05 | 1 in 7 (13.89%) | TBD |
| Exeggcute | Uncommon | $12.87 | 1 in 18 (5.56%) | TBD |
| Pikachu | Common | $12.79 | 1 in 7 (13.89%) | TBD |
| Krabby | Common | $11.87 | 1 in 7 (13.89%) | TBD |
| Nidoran M | Common | $11.84 | 1 in 7 (13.89%) | TBD |
| Great Ball | Uncommon | $11.50 | 1 in 18 (5.56%) | TBD |
| Nidoran F | Common | $11.39 | 1 in 7 (13.89%) | TBD |
| Beedrill | Holo Rare | $10.93 | 1 in 77 (1.31%) | TBD |
| Multi Energy | Rare | $10.54 | 1 in 21 (4.76%) | TBD |
| Switch | Common | $9.96 | 1 in 7 (13.89%) | TBD |
| Haunter | Uncommon | $8.78 | 1 in 18 (5.56%) | TBD |
| Chansey | Rare | $8.69 | 1 in 21 (4.76%) | TBD |
| Poke Ball | Uncommon | $8.54 | 1 in 18 (5.56%) | TBD |
| Wigglytuff | Uncommon | $8.30 | 1 in 18 (5.56%) | TBD |
| Weepinbell | Uncommon | $7.58 | 1 in 18 (5.56%) | TBD |
| Magikarp | Common | $7.42 | 1 in 7 (13.89%) | TBD |
| Lickitung | Uncommon | $7.28 | 1 in 18 (5.56%) | TBD |
| Celio's Network | Uncommon | $6.87 | 1 in 18 (5.56%) | TBD |
| Porygon | Uncommon | $6.59 | 1 in 18 (5.56%) | TBD |
| Raticate | Uncommon | $6.32 | 1 in 18 (5.56%) | TBD |
| Drowsee | Uncommon | $6.27 | 1 in 18 (5.56%) | TBD |
| Pokemon Reversal | Uncommon | $5.75 | 1 in 18 (5.56%) | TBD |
| Wartortle | Uncommon | $5.72 | 1 in 18 (5.56%) | TBD |
| Charmander - 057/112 | Common | $5.66 | 1 in 7 (13.89%) | TBD |
| Potion | Common | $5.66 | 1 in 7 (13.89%) | TBD |
| Prof. Oak's Research | Uncommon | $5.47 | 1 in 18 (5.56%) | TBD |
| VS Seeker | Uncommon | $5.45 | 1 in 18 (5.56%) | TBD |
| Super Scoop Up | Uncommon | $5.36 | 1 in 18 (5.56%) | TBD |
| Scyther | Rare | $5.35 | 1 in 21 (4.76%) | TBD |
| Poliwhirl | Uncommon | $5.32 | 1 in 18 (5.56%) | TBD |
| Bulbasaur - 055/112 | Common | $5.07 | 1 in 7 (13.89%) | TBD |
| Jigglypuff | Common | $4.97 | 1 in 7 (13.89%) | TBD |
| PokeDex (HANDY909) | Uncommon | $4.83 | 1 in 18 (5.56%) | TBD |
| Primeape | Rare | $4.39 | 1 in 21 (4.76%) | TBD |
| Bellsprout | Common | $4.15 | 1 in 7 (13.89%) | TBD |
| Life Herb | Uncommon | $4.14 | 1 in 18 (5.56%) | TBD |
| EXP.ALL | Uncommon | $3.98 | 1 in 18 (5.56%) | TBD |
| Persian | Uncommon | $3.68 | 1 in 18 (5.56%) | TBD |
| Bill's Maintenance | Uncommon | $3.44 | 1 in 18 (5.56%) | TBD |
| Energy Removal 2 | Uncommon | $3.02 | 1 in 18 (5.56%) | TBD |
| Paras | Common | $3.02 | 1 in 7 (13.89%) | TBD |
| Farfetch'd | Rare | $2.98 | 1 in 21 (4.76%) | TBD |
| Ivysaur | Uncommon | $2.97 | 1 in 18 (5.56%) | TBD |
| Kingler | Rare | $2.92 | 1 in 21 (4.76%) | TBD |
| Cloyster | Rare | $2.89 | 1 in 21 (4.76%) | TBD |
| Onix | Uncommon | $2.78 | 1 in 18 (5.56%) | TBD |
| Dugtrio | Rare | $2.70 | 1 in 21 (4.76%) | TBD |
| Nidorina | Uncommon | $2.39 | 1 in 18 (5.56%) | TBD |
| Meowth | Common | $2.38 | 1 in 7 (13.89%) | TBD |
| Charmander - 058/112 | Common | $2.15 | 1 in 7 (13.89%) | TBD |
| Clefairy | Common | $2.14 | 1 in 7 (13.89%) | TBD |
| Energy Switch | Uncommon | $2.12 | 1 in 18 (5.56%) | TBD |
| Great Ball | Uncommon | $2.10 | 1 in 18 (5.56%) | TBD |
| Arcanine | Rare | $2.06 | 1 in 21 (4.76%) | TBD |
| Charmeleon | Uncommon | $2.05 | 1 in 18 (5.56%) | TBD |
| Hypno | Rare | $1.83 | 1 in 21 (4.76%) | TBD |
| Metapod | Uncommon | $1.82 | 1 in 18 (5.56%) | TBD |
| Gastly | Common | $1.69 | 1 in 7 (13.89%) | TBD |
| PokeDex (HANDY909) | Uncommon | $1.68 | 1 in 18 (5.56%) | TBD |
| Mankey | Uncommon | $1.65 | 1 in 18 (5.56%) | TBD |
| Super Scoop Up | Uncommon | $1.55 | 1 in 18 (5.56%) | TBD |
| Caterpie | Common | $1.52 | 1 in 7 (13.89%) | TBD |
| Multi Energy | Rare | $1.44 | 1 in 21 (4.76%) | TBD |
| Dodrio | Rare | $1.39 | 1 in 21 (4.76%) | TBD |
| Nidorino | Uncommon | $1.33 | 1 in 18 (5.56%) | TBD |
| Poke Ball | Uncommon | $1.23 | 1 in 18 (5.56%) | TBD |
| Fearow | Rare | $1.19 | 1 in 21 (4.76%) | TBD |
| EXP.ALL | Uncommon | $1.17 | 1 in 18 (5.56%) | TBD |
| Prof. Oak's Research | Uncommon | $1.17 | 1 in 18 (5.56%) | TBD |
| Mt. Moon | Uncommon | $1.13 | 1 in 18 (5.56%) | TBD |
| Shellder | Common | $1.06 | 1 in 7 (13.89%) | TBD |
| Diglett | Common | $1.01 | 1 in 7 (13.89%) | TBD |
| Venomoth | Uncommon | $0.90 | 1 in 18 (5.56%) | TBD |
| Pidgeotto | Uncommon | $0.88 | 1 in 18 (5.56%) | TBD |
| Growlithe | Common | $0.87 | 1 in 7 (13.89%) | TBD |
| Poliwag | Common | $0.85 | 1 in 7 (13.89%) | TBD |
| Magneton | Rare | $0.69 | 1 in 21 (4.76%) | TBD |
| Kakuna | Uncommon | $0.64 | 1 in 18 (5.56%) | TBD |
| Nidoran M | Common | $0.64 | 1 in 7 (13.89%) | TBD |
| Venonat | Common | $0.63 | 1 in 7 (13.89%) | TBD |
| Weedle | Common | $0.63 | 1 in 7 (13.89%) | TBD |
| Ponyta | Common | $0.58 | 1 in 7 (13.89%) | TBD |
| Spearow | Common | $0.56 | 1 in 7 (13.89%) | TBD |
| Voltorb | Common | $0.56 | 1 in 7 (13.89%) | TBD |
| Nidoran F | Common | $0.55 | 1 in 7 (13.89%) | TBD |
| Seel | Common | $0.54 | 1 in 7 (13.89%) | TBD |
| Doduo | Common | $0.53 | 1 in 7 (13.89%) | TBD |
| Energy Removal 2 | Uncommon | $0.53 | 1 in 18 (5.56%) | TBD |
| Celio's Network | Uncommon | $0.49 | 1 in 18 (5.56%) | TBD |
| Krabby | Common | $0.49 | 1 in 7 (13.89%) | TBD |
| Pidgey | Common | $0.46 | 1 in 7 (13.89%) | TBD |
| Rattata | Common | $0.37 | 1 in 7 (13.89%) | TBD |
| Switch | Common | $0.35 | 1 in 7 (13.89%) | TBD |
| Magnemite | Common | $0.33 | 1 in 7 (13.89%) | TBD |
| Life Herb | Uncommon | $0.27 | 1 in 18 (5.56%) | TBD |
| Bill's Maintenance | Uncommon | $0.26 | 1 in 18 (5.56%) | TBD |
| Potion | Common | $0.15 | 1 in 7 (13.89%) | TBD |
| Poliwrath | Holo Rare | — | 1 in 77 (1.31%) | TBD |
| Raichu | Holo Rare | — | 1 in 77 (1.31%) | TBD |