
A $800.00 EX Hidden Legends pack returns $107.23 in expected card value on average — 13% of what you paid.
No official TCGPlayer pull-rate article covers EX Hidden Legends, so these odds come from elitefourum.com, which discloses a 288-pack sample. A stated count is the difference between a measured rate and a confident guess, so it is recorded here whenever a source gives one.
How these figures are calculated, including the sourcing bar and what this model deliberately does not do.
| Product | Price | Expected value | Expected return |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hidden Legends Booster Pack | $800.00 | $107.23 | 13% |
| Hidden Legends Booster Box | — | $3860.43 | TBD |
Hidden Legends Booster Pack · Hidden Legends Booster Box
| Product | Price per pack | Expected return |
|---|---|---|
| Booster Pack | $800.00 | 13% |
| Rarity | Pull rate | Sample |
|---|---|---|
| Ultra Rare | 8.33% | n=288 |
| Holo Rare | 25% | |
| Rare | 66.67% | |
| Common | 500% | |
| Uncommon | 200% |
| Card | Rarity | Market price | Odds | Cost to pull |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Groudon ex | Ultra Rare | $363.00 | 1 in 108 (0.93%) | $86434.57 |
| Ninetales ex | Ultra Rare | $339.66 | 1 in 108 (0.93%) | $86434.57 |
| Regice ex | Ultra Rare | $303.75 | 1 in 108 (0.93%) | $86434.57 |
| Registeel ex | Ultra Rare | $300.50 | 1 in 108 (0.93%) | $86434.57 |
| Kyogre ex | Ultra Rare | $257.50 | 1 in 108 (0.93%) | $86434.57 |
| Regirock ex | Ultra Rare | $221.98 | 1 in 108 (0.93%) | $86434.57 |
| Metagross ex | Ultra Rare | $210.66 | 1 in 108 (0.93%) | $86434.57 |
| Wigglytuff ex | Ultra Rare | $188.88 | 1 in 108 (0.93%) | $86434.57 |
| Vileplume ex | Ultra Rare | $149.99 | 1 in 108 (0.93%) | $86434.57 |
| Groudon | Secret Rare | $114.93 | TBD | TBD |
| Dark Celebi | Holo Rare | $499.99 | 1 in 60 (1.67%) | TBD |
| Plusle | Common | $209.99 | 1 in 6 (15.63%) | TBD |
| Minun | Common | $125.28 | 1 in 6 (15.63%) | TBD |
| Jirachi | Holo Rare | $118.21 | 1 in 60 (1.67%) | TBD |
| Milotic | Holo Rare | $115.48 | 1 in 60 (1.67%) | TBD |
| Togepi | Common | $108.44 | 1 in 6 (15.63%) | TBD |
| Ninetales | Rare | $100.00 | 1 in 18 (5.56%) | TBD |
| Metagross | Holo Rare | $96.77 | 1 in 60 (1.67%) | TBD |
| Machamp | Holo Rare | $92.19 | 1 in 60 (1.67%) | TBD |
| Jigglypuff | Common | $87.90 | 1 in 6 (15.63%) | TBD |
| Milotic | Holo Rare | $87.29 | 1 in 60 (1.67%) | TBD |
| Dark Celebi | Holo Rare | $86.00 | 1 in 60 (1.67%) | TBD |
| Cyndaquil | Common | $74.99 | 1 in 6 (15.63%) | TBD |
| Feebas | Common | $70.94 | 1 in 6 (15.63%) | TBD |
| Bellossom | Rare | $69.89 | 1 in 18 (5.56%) | TBD |
| Igglybuff | Uncommon | $68.66 | 1 in 17 (6.06%) | TBD |
| Spinda | Uncommon | $60.44 | 1 in 17 (6.06%) | TBD |
| Vulpix | Common | $59.83 | 1 in 6 (15.63%) | TBD |
| Totodile | Common | $56.58 | 1 in 6 (15.63%) | TBD |
| Heracross | Holo Rare | $55.55 | 1 in 60 (1.67%) | TBD |
| Exploud | Holo Rare | $51.91 | 1 in 60 (1.67%) | TBD |
| Jirachi | Holo Rare | $50.39 | 1 in 60 (1.67%) | TBD |
| Chikorita | Common | $49.99 | 1 in 6 (15.63%) | TBD |
| Machamp | Holo Rare | $47.56 | 1 in 60 (1.67%) | TBD |
| Heracross | Holo Rare | $47.34 | 1 in 60 (1.67%) | TBD |
| Metagross | Holo Rare | $45.95 | 1 in 60 (1.67%) | TBD |
| Starmie | Uncommon | $45.47 | 1 in 17 (6.06%) | TBD |
| Banette | Holo Rare | $44.74 | 1 in 60 (1.67%) | TBD |
| Walrein | Holo Rare | $44.50 | 1 in 60 (1.67%) | TBD |
| Banette | Holo Rare | $42.41 | 1 in 60 (1.67%) | TBD |
| Electrode | Holo Rare | $41.77 | 1 in 60 (1.67%) | TBD |
| Rain Castform | Rare | $41.54 | 1 in 18 (5.56%) | TBD |
| Plusle | Common | $40.93 | 1 in 6 (15.63%) | TBD |
| Oddish | Common | $40.86 | 1 in 6 (15.63%) | TBD |
| Corsola | Uncommon | $39.95 | 1 in 17 (6.06%) | TBD |
| Electrode | Holo Rare | $37.07 | 1 in 60 (1.67%) | TBD |
| Lanturn | Uncommon | $37.00 | 1 in 17 (6.06%) | TBD |
| Gloom | Uncommon | $36.87 | 1 in 17 (6.06%) | TBD |
| Spheal | Common | $36.80 | 1 in 6 (15.63%) | TBD |
| Staryu | Common | $34.32 | 1 in 6 (15.63%) | TBD |
| Sunny Castform | Rare | $34.04 | 1 in 18 (5.56%) | TBD |
| Relicanth | Rare | $34.00 | 1 in 18 (5.56%) | TBD |
| Snow-cloud Castform | Rare | $33.99 | 1 in 18 (5.56%) | TBD |
| Gulpin | Common | $33.25 | 1 in 6 (15.63%) | TBD |
| Minun | Common | $32.86 | 1 in 6 (15.63%) | TBD |
| Swalot | Uncommon | $32.29 | 1 in 17 (6.06%) | TBD |
| Tropius | Rare | $31.77 | 1 in 18 (5.56%) | TBD |
| Whismur | Common | $29.39 | 1 in 6 (15.63%) | TBD |
| Medicham - 10/101 | Holo Rare | $29.09 | 1 in 60 (1.67%) | TBD |
| Chinchou - 56/101 | Common | $28.18 | 1 in 6 (15.63%) | TBD |
| Crobat | Holo Rare | $27.74 | 1 in 60 (1.67%) | TBD |
| Castform | Uncommon | $27.32 | 1 in 17 (6.06%) | TBD |
| Crobat | Holo Rare | $27.18 | 1 in 60 (1.67%) | TBD |
| Rhyhorn | Common | $27.06 | 1 in 6 (15.63%) | TBD |
| Machoke | Uncommon | $26.87 | 1 in 17 (6.06%) | TBD |
| Exploud | Holo Rare | $26.76 | 1 in 60 (1.67%) | TBD |
| Chimecho | Rare | $26.34 | 1 in 18 (5.56%) | TBD |
| Voltorb | Common | $25.80 | 1 in 6 (15.63%) | TBD |
| Claydol - 2/101 | Holo Rare | $25.35 | 1 in 60 (1.67%) | TBD |
| Gorebyss | Rare | $24.92 | 1 in 18 (5.56%) | TBD |
| Rhydon | Uncommon | $24.58 | 1 in 17 (6.06%) | TBD |
| Pinsir | Holo Rare | $24.01 | 1 in 60 (1.67%) | TBD |
| Shuppet | Common | $23.35 | 1 in 6 (15.63%) | TBD |
| Shiftry | Holo Rare | $23.17 | 1 in 60 (1.67%) | TBD |
| Snorunt | Common | $22.72 | 1 in 6 (15.63%) | TBD |
| Meditite - 66/101 | Common | $22.28 | 1 in 6 (15.63%) | TBD |
| Clamperl | Common | $21.92 | 1 in 6 (15.63%) | TBD |
| Tentacruel | Uncommon | $21.91 | 1 in 17 (6.06%) | TBD |
| Walrein | Holo Rare | $21.86 | 1 in 60 (1.67%) | TBD |
| Pinsir | Holo Rare | $21.72 | 1 in 60 (1.67%) | TBD |
| Tentacool | Common | $20.60 | 1 in 6 (15.63%) | TBD |
| Zubat | Common | $20.21 | 1 in 6 (15.63%) | TBD |
| Sealeo | Uncommon | $19.90 | 1 in 17 (6.06%) | TBD |
| Loudred | Uncommon | $19.89 | 1 in 17 (6.06%) | TBD |
| Claydol - 2/101 | Holo Rare | $18.79 | 1 in 60 (1.67%) | TBD |
| Meditite - 65/101 | Common | $18.43 | 1 in 6 (15.63%) | TBD |
| Metang - 21/101 | Rare | $18.38 | 1 in 18 (5.56%) | TBD |
| Luvdisc | Uncommon | $18.33 | 1 in 17 (6.06%) | TBD |
| Shiftry | Holo Rare | $18.22 | 1 in 60 (1.67%) | TBD |
| Machop | Common | $17.94 | 1 in 6 (15.63%) | TBD |
| Beldum - 54/101 | Common | $17.77 | 1 in 6 (15.63%) | TBD |
| Metang - 43/101 | Uncommon | $17.50 | 1 in 17 (6.06%) | TBD |
| Seedot | Common | $16.53 | 1 in 6 (15.63%) | TBD |
| Surskit | Common | $14.36 | 1 in 6 (15.63%) | TBD |
| Steven's Advice | Uncommon | $14.17 | 1 in 17 (6.06%) | TBD |
| Claydol - 31/101 | Uncommon | $14.06 | 1 in 17 (6.06%) | TBD |
| Beldum - 28/101 | Uncommon | $13.85 | 1 in 17 (6.06%) | TBD |
| Ancient Tomb | Uncommon | $12.91 | 1 in 17 (6.06%) | TBD |
| Metang - 44/101 | Uncommon | $12.80 | 1 in 17 (6.06%) | TBD |
| Masquerain | Rare | $12.62 | 1 in 18 (5.56%) | TBD |
| Huntail | Rare | $12.58 | 1 in 18 (5.56%) | TBD |
| Golbat | Uncommon | $12.37 | 1 in 17 (6.06%) | TBD |
| Medicham - 10/101 | Holo Rare | $11.84 | 1 in 60 (1.67%) | TBD |
| Doduo | Common | $11.77 | 1 in 6 (15.63%) | TBD |
| Glalie | Uncommon | $11.72 | 1 in 17 (6.06%) | TBD |
| Ninetales | Rare | $11.60 | 1 in 18 (5.56%) | TBD |
| Medicham - 42/101 | Uncommon | $11.19 | 1 in 17 (6.06%) | TBD |
| Chinchou - 57/101 | Common | $11.13 | 1 in 6 (15.63%) | TBD |
| Beldum - 29/101 | Uncommon | $10.97 | 1 in 17 (6.06%) | TBD |
| Dodrio | Uncommon | $10.93 | 1 in 17 (6.06%) | TBD |
| Nuzleaf | Uncommon | $10.71 | 1 in 17 (6.06%) | TBD |
| Snow-cloud Castform | Rare | $10.25 | 1 in 18 (5.56%) | TBD |
| Swalot | Uncommon | $10.05 | 1 in 17 (6.06%) | TBD |
| Gloom | Uncommon | $9.53 | 1 in 17 (6.06%) | TBD |
| Baltoy - 52/101 | Common | $9.49 | 1 in 6 (15.63%) | TBD |
| Desert Ruins | Uncommon | $9.35 | 1 in 17 (6.06%) | TBD |
| Bellossom | Rare | $7.78 | 1 in 18 (5.56%) | TBD |
| Desert Ruins | Uncommon | $7.41 | 1 in 17 (6.06%) | TBD |
| Baltoy - 53/101 | Common | $6.99 | 1 in 6 (15.63%) | TBD |
| Igglybuff | Uncommon | $6.87 | 1 in 17 (6.06%) | TBD |
| Rain Castform | Rare | $6.54 | 1 in 18 (5.56%) | TBD |
| Sunny Castform | Rare | $5.71 | 1 in 18 (5.56%) | TBD |
| Ancient Technical Machine [Rock] | Uncommon | $5.17 | 1 in 17 (6.06%) | TBD |
| Feebas | Common | $5.03 | 1 in 6 (15.63%) | TBD |
| Oddish | Common | $4.80 | 1 in 6 (15.63%) | TBD |
| Spinda | Uncommon | $4.31 | 1 in 17 (6.06%) | TBD |
| Magnetic Storm | Uncommon | $4.14 | 1 in 17 (6.06%) | TBD |
| Ancient Tomb | Uncommon | $4.10 | 1 in 17 (6.06%) | TBD |
| Gorebyss | Rare | $3.96 | 1 in 18 (5.56%) | TBD |
| Ancient Technical Machine [Ice] | Uncommon | $3.75 | 1 in 17 (6.06%) | TBD |
| Gulpin | Common | $3.60 | 1 in 6 (15.63%) | TBD |
| Togepi | Common | $3.42 | 1 in 6 (15.63%) | TBD |
| Castform | Uncommon | $3.33 | 1 in 17 (6.06%) | TBD |
| Island Cave | Uncommon | $3.28 | 1 in 17 (6.06%) | TBD |
| Corsola | Uncommon | $3.18 | 1 in 17 (6.06%) | TBD |
| Tropius | Rare | $3.07 | 1 in 18 (5.56%) | TBD |
| Lanturn | Uncommon | $2.97 | 1 in 17 (6.06%) | TBD |
| Vulpix | Common | $2.82 | 1 in 6 (15.63%) | TBD |
| Jigglypuff | Common | $2.68 | 1 in 6 (15.63%) | TBD |
| Loudred | Uncommon | $2.62 | 1 in 17 (6.06%) | TBD |
| Steven's Advice | Uncommon | $2.54 | 1 in 17 (6.06%) | TBD |
| Beldum - 29/101 | Uncommon | $2.39 | 1 in 17 (6.06%) | TBD |
| Luvdisc | Uncommon | $2.33 | 1 in 17 (6.06%) | TBD |
| Ancient Technical Machine [Rock] | Uncommon | $2.27 | 1 in 17 (6.06%) | TBD |
| Life Herb | Uncommon | $2.25 | 1 in 17 (6.06%) | TBD |
| Spheal | Common | $2.23 | 1 in 6 (15.63%) | TBD |
| Ancient Technical Machine [Steel] | Uncommon | $2.10 | 1 in 17 (6.06%) | TBD |
| Sealeo | Uncommon | $2.08 | 1 in 17 (6.06%) | TBD |
| Rhydon | Uncommon | $1.74 | 1 in 17 (6.06%) | TBD |
| Chikorita | Common | $1.72 | 1 in 6 (15.63%) | TBD |
| Relicanth | Rare | $1.66 | 1 in 18 (5.56%) | TBD |
| Machoke | Uncommon | $1.64 | 1 in 17 (6.06%) | TBD |
| Chimecho | Rare | $1.56 | 1 in 18 (5.56%) | TBD |
| Metang - 21/101 | Rare | $1.49 | 1 in 18 (5.56%) | TBD |
| Island Cave | Uncommon | $1.45 | 1 in 17 (6.06%) | TBD |
| Golbat | Uncommon | $1.17 | 1 in 17 (6.06%) | TBD |
| Masquerain | Rare | $1.15 | 1 in 18 (5.56%) | TBD |
| Cyndaquil | Common | $1.12 | 1 in 6 (15.63%) | TBD |
| Huntail | Rare | $1.12 | 1 in 18 (5.56%) | TBD |
| Metang - 44/101 | Uncommon | $1.11 | 1 in 17 (6.06%) | TBD |
| Glalie | Uncommon | $1.06 | 1 in 17 (6.06%) | TBD |
| Totodile | Common | $1.03 | 1 in 6 (15.63%) | TBD |
| Nuzleaf | Uncommon | $0.96 | 1 in 17 (6.06%) | TBD |
| Whismur | Common | $0.92 | 1 in 6 (15.63%) | TBD |
| Beldum - 28/101 | Uncommon | $0.91 | 1 in 17 (6.06%) | TBD |
| Starmie | Uncommon | $0.87 | 1 in 17 (6.06%) | TBD |
| Tentacruel | Uncommon | $0.77 | 1 in 17 (6.06%) | TBD |
| Machop | Common | $0.74 | 1 in 6 (15.63%) | TBD |
| Shuppet | Common | $0.73 | 1 in 6 (15.63%) | TBD |
| Ancient Technical Machine [Ice] | Uncommon | $0.69 | 1 in 17 (6.06%) | TBD |
| Claydol - 31/101 | Uncommon | $0.68 | 1 in 17 (6.06%) | TBD |
| Medicham - 42/101 | Uncommon | $0.64 | 1 in 17 (6.06%) | TBD |
| Magnetic Storm | Uncommon | $0.61 | 1 in 17 (6.06%) | TBD |
| Snorunt | Common | $0.59 | 1 in 6 (15.63%) | TBD |
| Meditite - 66/101 | Common | $0.58 | 1 in 6 (15.63%) | TBD |
| Zubat | Common | $0.57 | 1 in 6 (15.63%) | TBD |
| Ancient Technical Machine [Steel] | Uncommon | $0.53 | 1 in 17 (6.06%) | TBD |
| Rhyhorn | Common | $0.53 | 1 in 6 (15.63%) | TBD |
| Voltorb | Common | $0.52 | 1 in 6 (15.63%) | TBD |
| Metang - 43/101 | Uncommon | $0.48 | 1 in 17 (6.06%) | TBD |
| Clamperl | Common | $0.47 | 1 in 6 (15.63%) | TBD |
| Chinchou - 57/101 | Common | $0.46 | 1 in 6 (15.63%) | TBD |
| Dodrio | Uncommon | $0.45 | 1 in 17 (6.06%) | TBD |
| Baltoy - 53/101 | Common | $0.44 | 1 in 6 (15.63%) | TBD |
| Chinchou - 56/101 | Common | $0.42 | 1 in 6 (15.63%) | TBD |
| Meditite - 65/101 | Common | $0.39 | 1 in 6 (15.63%) | TBD |
| Surskit | Common | $0.39 | 1 in 6 (15.63%) | TBD |
| Doduo | Common | $0.37 | 1 in 6 (15.63%) | TBD |
| Staryu | Common | $0.34 | 1 in 6 (15.63%) | TBD |
| Tentacool | Common | $0.32 | 1 in 6 (15.63%) | TBD |
| Baltoy - 52/101 | Common | $0.31 | 1 in 6 (15.63%) | TBD |
| Beldum - 54/101 | Common | $0.31 | 1 in 6 (15.63%) | TBD |
| Seedot | Common | $0.31 | 1 in 6 (15.63%) | TBD |
| Life Herb | Uncommon | $0.28 | 1 in 17 (6.06%) | TBD |