A $800.00 EX Hidden Legends pack returns $96.33 in expected card value on average — 12% of what you paid.
No official TCGPlayer pull-rate article covers EX Hidden Legends, so these odds come from elitefourum.com, which discloses a 288-pack sample. Sources that do not state how many packs they counted are not used here, however confident they sound.
How these figures are calculated, including the sourcing bar and what this model deliberately does not do.
| Product | Price | Expected value | Expected return |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hidden Legends Booster Pack | $800.00 | $96.33 | 12% |
| Hidden Legends Booster Box | — | $3467.70 | TBD |
Hidden Legends Booster Pack · Hidden Legends Booster Box
| Product | Price per pack | Expected return |
|---|---|---|
| Booster Pack | $800.00 | 12% |
| Rarity | Pull rate | Sample |
|---|---|---|
| Ultra Rare | 8.33% | n=288 |
| Holo Rare | 25% | |
| Rare | 66.67% | |
| Common | 500% | |
| Uncommon | 200% |
| Card | Rarity | Market price | Odds | Cost to pull |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Registeel ex | Ultra Rare | $300.50 | 1 in 108 (0.93%) | $86434.57 |
| Ninetales ex | Ultra Rare | $296.79 | 1 in 108 (0.93%) | $86434.57 |
| Groudon ex | Ultra Rare | $292.02 | 1 in 108 (0.93%) | $86434.57 |
| Kyogre ex | Ultra Rare | $250.00 | 1 in 108 (0.93%) | $86434.57 |
| Regirock ex | Ultra Rare | $227.98 | 1 in 108 (0.93%) | $86434.57 |
| Metagross ex | Ultra Rare | $206.50 | 1 in 108 (0.93%) | $86434.57 |
| Regice ex | Ultra Rare | $199.78 | 1 in 108 (0.93%) | $86434.57 |
| Vileplume ex | Ultra Rare | $140.00 | 1 in 108 (0.93%) | $86434.57 |
| Groudon | Secret Rare | $111.48 | TBD | TBD |
| Wigglytuff ex | Ultra Rare | $70.83 | 1 in 108 (0.93%) | $86434.57 |
| Dark Celebi | Holo Rare | $499.99 | 1 in 60 (1.67%) | TBD |
| Plusle | Common | $200.33 | 1 in 6 (15.63%) | TBD |
| Ninetales | Rare | $129.68 | 1 in 18 (5.56%) | TBD |
| Milotic | Holo Rare | $120.97 | 1 in 60 (1.67%) | TBD |
| Jirachi | Holo Rare | $96.21 | 1 in 60 (1.67%) | TBD |
| Metagross | Holo Rare | $94.98 | 1 in 60 (1.67%) | TBD |
| Togepi | Common | $94.26 | 1 in 6 (15.63%) | TBD |
| Machamp | Holo Rare | $88.99 | 1 in 60 (1.67%) | TBD |
| Minun | Common | $83.70 | 1 in 6 (15.63%) | TBD |
| Jigglypuff | Common | $83.60 | 1 in 6 (15.63%) | TBD |
| Milotic | Holo Rare | $78.94 | 1 in 60 (1.67%) | TBD |
| Dark Celebi | Holo Rare | $78.73 | 1 in 60 (1.67%) | TBD |
| Bellossom | Rare | $56.96 | 1 in 18 (5.56%) | TBD |
| Cyndaquil | Common | $55.54 | 1 in 6 (15.63%) | TBD |
| Heracross | Holo Rare | $53.82 | 1 in 60 (1.67%) | TBD |
| Totodile | Common | $51.97 | 1 in 6 (15.63%) | TBD |
| Vulpix | Common | $50.17 | 1 in 6 (15.63%) | TBD |
| Exploud | Holo Rare | $48.99 | 1 in 60 (1.67%) | TBD |
| Heracross | Holo Rare | $48.41 | 1 in 60 (1.67%) | TBD |
| Feebas | Common | $46.52 | 1 in 6 (15.63%) | TBD |
| Starmie | Uncommon | $45.82 | 1 in 17 (6.06%) | TBD |
| Chikorita | Common | $45.00 | 1 in 6 (15.63%) | TBD |
| Machamp | Holo Rare | $44.69 | 1 in 60 (1.67%) | TBD |
| Spinda | Uncommon | $44.55 | 1 in 17 (6.06%) | TBD |
| Metagross | Holo Rare | $44.38 | 1 in 60 (1.67%) | TBD |
| Jirachi | Holo Rare | $44.14 | 1 in 60 (1.67%) | TBD |
| Banette | Holo Rare | $42.41 | 1 in 60 (1.67%) | TBD |
| Plusle | Common | $40.91 | 1 in 6 (15.63%) | TBD |
| Rain Castform | Rare | $40.23 | 1 in 18 (5.56%) | TBD |
| Banette | Holo Rare | $37.32 | 1 in 60 (1.67%) | TBD |
| Lanturn | Uncommon | $37.00 | 1 in 17 (6.06%) | TBD |
| Gloom | Uncommon | $36.76 | 1 in 17 (6.06%) | TBD |
| Oddish | Common | $36.32 | 1 in 6 (15.63%) | TBD |
| Walrein | Holo Rare | $36.31 | 1 in 60 (1.67%) | TBD |
| Electrode | Holo Rare | $34.34 | 1 in 60 (1.67%) | TBD |
| Sunny Castform | Rare | $34.04 | 1 in 18 (5.56%) | TBD |
| Snow-cloud Castform | Rare | $33.74 | 1 in 18 (5.56%) | TBD |
| Minun | Common | $32.50 | 1 in 6 (15.63%) | TBD |
| Electrode | Holo Rare | $32.40 | 1 in 60 (1.67%) | TBD |
| Gulpin | Common | $30.19 | 1 in 6 (15.63%) | TBD |
| Corsola | Uncommon | $28.31 | 1 in 17 (6.06%) | TBD |
| Igglybuff | Uncommon | $28.31 | 1 in 17 (6.06%) | TBD |
| Claydol - 2/101 | Holo Rare | $26.99 | 1 in 60 (1.67%) | TBD |
| Whismur | Common | $26.94 | 1 in 6 (15.63%) | TBD |
| Exploud | Holo Rare | $26.63 | 1 in 60 (1.67%) | TBD |
| Swalot | Uncommon | $26.48 | 1 in 17 (6.06%) | TBD |
| Castform | Uncommon | $25.41 | 1 in 17 (6.06%) | TBD |
| Crobat | Holo Rare | $25.05 | 1 in 60 (1.67%) | TBD |
| Staryu | Common | $25.00 | 1 in 6 (15.63%) | TBD |
| Medicham - 10/101 | Holo Rare | $23.75 | 1 in 60 (1.67%) | TBD |
| Spheal | Common | $23.64 | 1 in 6 (15.63%) | TBD |
| Shiftry | Holo Rare | $23.61 | 1 in 60 (1.67%) | TBD |
| Shuppet | Common | $22.63 | 1 in 6 (15.63%) | TBD |
| Relicanth | Rare | $22.58 | 1 in 18 (5.56%) | TBD |
| Pinsir | Holo Rare | $21.37 | 1 in 60 (1.67%) | TBD |
| Machoke | Uncommon | $21.34 | 1 in 17 (6.06%) | TBD |
| Pinsir | Holo Rare | $21.21 | 1 in 60 (1.67%) | TBD |
| Crobat | Holo Rare | $21.07 | 1 in 60 (1.67%) | TBD |
| Rhydon | Uncommon | $20.84 | 1 in 17 (6.06%) | TBD |
| Voltorb | Common | $20.53 | 1 in 6 (15.63%) | TBD |
| Tropius | Rare | $20.33 | 1 in 18 (5.56%) | TBD |
| Zubat | Common | $20.21 | 1 in 6 (15.63%) | TBD |
| Gorebyss | Rare | $18.99 | 1 in 18 (5.56%) | TBD |
| Loudred | Uncommon | $18.93 | 1 in 17 (6.06%) | TBD |
| Snorunt | Common | $18.83 | 1 in 6 (15.63%) | TBD |
| Meditite - 66/101 | Common | $18.47 | 1 in 6 (15.63%) | TBD |
| Clamperl | Common | $18.40 | 1 in 6 (15.63%) | TBD |
| Machop | Common | $18.05 | 1 in 6 (15.63%) | TBD |
| Rhyhorn | Common | $18.03 | 1 in 6 (15.63%) | TBD |
| Tentacool | Common | $18.03 | 1 in 6 (15.63%) | TBD |
| Luvdisc | Uncommon | $17.13 | 1 in 17 (6.06%) | TBD |
| Shiftry | Holo Rare | $16.92 | 1 in 60 (1.67%) | TBD |
| Tentacruel | Uncommon | $16.88 | 1 in 17 (6.06%) | TBD |
| Claydol - 2/101 | Holo Rare | $16.76 | 1 in 60 (1.67%) | TBD |
| Walrein | Holo Rare | $16.53 | 1 in 60 (1.67%) | TBD |
| Sealeo | Uncommon | $14.51 | 1 in 17 (6.06%) | TBD |
| Surskit | Common | $13.00 | 1 in 6 (15.63%) | TBD |
| Masquerain | Rare | $12.66 | 1 in 18 (5.56%) | TBD |
| Beldum - 54/101 | Common | $12.63 | 1 in 6 (15.63%) | TBD |
| Metang - 21/101 | Rare | $12.44 | 1 in 18 (5.56%) | TBD |
| Steven's Advice | Uncommon | $12.38 | 1 in 17 (6.06%) | TBD |
| Seedot | Common | $11.98 | 1 in 6 (15.63%) | TBD |
| Medicham - 10/101 | Holo Rare | $11.78 | 1 in 60 (1.67%) | TBD |
| Beldum - 28/101 | Uncommon | $11.70 | 1 in 17 (6.06%) | TBD |
| Metang - 43/101 | Uncommon | $11.69 | 1 in 17 (6.06%) | TBD |
| Ancient Tomb | Uncommon | $11.59 | 1 in 17 (6.06%) | TBD |
| Huntail | Rare | $11.04 | 1 in 18 (5.56%) | TBD |
| Glalie | Uncommon | $10.63 | 1 in 17 (6.06%) | TBD |
| Beldum - 29/101 | Uncommon | $10.50 | 1 in 17 (6.06%) | TBD |
| Golbat | Uncommon | $10.28 | 1 in 17 (6.06%) | TBD |
| Snow-cloud Castform | Rare | $9.98 | 1 in 18 (5.56%) | TBD |
| Dodrio | Uncommon | $9.80 | 1 in 17 (6.06%) | TBD |
| Swalot | Uncommon | $9.60 | 1 in 17 (6.06%) | TBD |
| Ninetales | Rare | $9.57 | 1 in 18 (5.56%) | TBD |
| Medicham - 42/101 | Uncommon | $9.39 | 1 in 17 (6.06%) | TBD |
| Gloom | Uncommon | $9.20 | 1 in 17 (6.06%) | TBD |
| Desert Ruins | Uncommon | $9.14 | 1 in 17 (6.06%) | TBD |
| Doduo | Common | $9.08 | 1 in 6 (15.63%) | TBD |
| Meditite - 65/101 | Common | $8.91 | 1 in 6 (15.63%) | TBD |
| Bellossom | Rare | $7.79 | 1 in 18 (5.56%) | TBD |
| Nuzleaf | Uncommon | $7.74 | 1 in 17 (6.06%) | TBD |
| Desert Ruins | Uncommon | $7.29 | 1 in 17 (6.06%) | TBD |
| Metang - 44/101 | Uncommon | $7.20 | 1 in 17 (6.06%) | TBD |
| Chinchou - 56/101 | Common | $6.99 | 1 in 6 (15.63%) | TBD |
| Igglybuff | Uncommon | $6.99 | 1 in 17 (6.06%) | TBD |
| Baltoy - 53/101 | Common | $6.74 | 1 in 6 (15.63%) | TBD |
| Rain Castform | Rare | $6.11 | 1 in 18 (5.56%) | TBD |
| Chimecho | Rare | $5.71 | 1 in 18 (5.56%) | TBD |
| Sunny Castform | Rare | $5.62 | 1 in 18 (5.56%) | TBD |
| Baltoy - 52/101 | Common | $5.50 | 1 in 6 (15.63%) | TBD |
| Claydol - 31/101 | Uncommon | $5.43 | 1 in 17 (6.06%) | TBD |
| Oddish | Common | $5.00 | 1 in 6 (15.63%) | TBD |
| Chinchou - 57/101 | Common | $4.92 | 1 in 6 (15.63%) | TBD |
| Feebas | Common | $4.10 | 1 in 6 (15.63%) | TBD |
| Ancient Tomb | Uncommon | $3.97 | 1 in 17 (6.06%) | TBD |
| Spinda | Uncommon | $3.91 | 1 in 17 (6.06%) | TBD |
| Gorebyss | Rare | $3.86 | 1 in 18 (5.56%) | TBD |
| Tropius | Rare | $3.71 | 1 in 18 (5.56%) | TBD |
| Ancient Technical Machine [Rock] | Uncommon | $3.68 | 1 in 17 (6.06%) | TBD |
| Gulpin | Common | $3.60 | 1 in 6 (15.63%) | TBD |
| Magnetic Storm | Uncommon | $3.50 | 1 in 17 (6.06%) | TBD |
| Togepi | Common | $3.16 | 1 in 6 (15.63%) | TBD |
| Castform | Uncommon | $3.13 | 1 in 17 (6.06%) | TBD |
| Corsola | Uncommon | $2.99 | 1 in 17 (6.06%) | TBD |
| Vulpix | Common | $2.72 | 1 in 6 (15.63%) | TBD |
| Jigglypuff | Common | $2.57 | 1 in 6 (15.63%) | TBD |
| Steven's Advice | Uncommon | $2.48 | 1 in 17 (6.06%) | TBD |
| Ancient Technical Machine [Rock] | Uncommon | $2.43 | 1 in 17 (6.06%) | TBD |
| Lanturn | Uncommon | $2.33 | 1 in 17 (6.06%) | TBD |
| Loudred | Uncommon | $2.33 | 1 in 17 (6.06%) | TBD |
| Luvdisc | Uncommon | $2.33 | 1 in 17 (6.06%) | TBD |
| Island Cave | Uncommon | $2.31 | 1 in 17 (6.06%) | TBD |
| Ancient Technical Machine [Ice] | Uncommon | $2.26 | 1 in 17 (6.06%) | TBD |
| Spheal | Common | $2.18 | 1 in 6 (15.63%) | TBD |
| Beldum - 29/101 | Uncommon | $2.16 | 1 in 17 (6.06%) | TBD |
| Sealeo | Uncommon | $1.83 | 1 in 17 (6.06%) | TBD |
| Chimecho | Rare | $1.74 | 1 in 18 (5.56%) | TBD |
| Machoke | Uncommon | $1.72 | 1 in 17 (6.06%) | TBD |
| Ancient Technical Machine [Steel] | Uncommon | $1.68 | 1 in 17 (6.06%) | TBD |
| Relicanth | Rare | $1.64 | 1 in 18 (5.56%) | TBD |
| Chikorita | Common | $1.54 | 1 in 6 (15.63%) | TBD |
| Metang - 21/101 | Rare | $1.50 | 1 in 18 (5.56%) | TBD |
| Life Herb | Uncommon | $1.48 | 1 in 17 (6.06%) | TBD |
| Rhydon | Uncommon | $1.47 | 1 in 17 (6.06%) | TBD |
| Island Cave | Uncommon | $1.37 | 1 in 17 (6.06%) | TBD |
| Masquerain | Rare | $1.19 | 1 in 18 (5.56%) | TBD |
| Cyndaquil | Common | $1.12 | 1 in 6 (15.63%) | TBD |
| Golbat | Uncommon | $1.11 | 1 in 17 (6.06%) | TBD |
| Metang - 44/101 | Uncommon | $1.11 | 1 in 17 (6.06%) | TBD |
| Glalie | Uncommon | $1.05 | 1 in 17 (6.06%) | TBD |
| Huntail | Rare | $0.98 | 1 in 18 (5.56%) | TBD |
| Nuzleaf | Uncommon | $0.94 | 1 in 17 (6.06%) | TBD |
| Totodile | Common | $0.93 | 1 in 6 (15.63%) | TBD |
| Starmie | Uncommon | $0.86 | 1 in 17 (6.06%) | TBD |
| Beldum - 28/101 | Uncommon | $0.83 | 1 in 17 (6.06%) | TBD |
| Zubat | Common | $0.71 | 1 in 6 (15.63%) | TBD |
| Tentacruel | Uncommon | $0.70 | 1 in 17 (6.06%) | TBD |
| Claydol - 31/101 | Uncommon | $0.69 | 1 in 17 (6.06%) | TBD |
| Machop | Common | $0.69 | 1 in 6 (15.63%) | TBD |
| Shuppet | Common | $0.69 | 1 in 6 (15.63%) | TBD |
| Whismur | Common | $0.69 | 1 in 6 (15.63%) | TBD |
| Ancient Technical Machine [Ice] | Uncommon | $0.66 | 1 in 17 (6.06%) | TBD |
| Medicham - 42/101 | Uncommon | $0.66 | 1 in 17 (6.06%) | TBD |
| Magnetic Storm | Uncommon | $0.61 | 1 in 17 (6.06%) | TBD |
| Meditite - 66/101 | Common | $0.55 | 1 in 6 (15.63%) | TBD |
| Ancient Technical Machine [Steel] | Uncommon | $0.53 | 1 in 17 (6.06%) | TBD |
| Snorunt | Common | $0.53 | 1 in 6 (15.63%) | TBD |
| Metang - 43/101 | Uncommon | $0.51 | 1 in 17 (6.06%) | TBD |
| Voltorb | Common | $0.51 | 1 in 6 (15.63%) | TBD |
| Chinchou - 57/101 | Common | $0.49 | 1 in 6 (15.63%) | TBD |
| Clamperl | Common | $0.47 | 1 in 6 (15.63%) | TBD |
| Rhyhorn | Common | $0.46 | 1 in 6 (15.63%) | TBD |
| Baltoy - 53/101 | Common | $0.44 | 1 in 6 (15.63%) | TBD |
| Surskit | Common | $0.44 | 1 in 6 (15.63%) | TBD |
| Staryu | Common | $0.43 | 1 in 6 (15.63%) | TBD |
| Dodrio | Uncommon | $0.41 | 1 in 17 (6.06%) | TBD |
| Chinchou - 56/101 | Common | $0.40 | 1 in 6 (15.63%) | TBD |
| Tentacool | Common | $0.40 | 1 in 6 (15.63%) | TBD |
| Doduo | Common | $0.36 | 1 in 6 (15.63%) | TBD |
| Meditite - 65/101 | Common | $0.34 | 1 in 6 (15.63%) | TBD |
| Beldum - 54/101 | Common | $0.33 | 1 in 6 (15.63%) | TBD |
| Baltoy - 52/101 | Common | $0.31 | 1 in 6 (15.63%) | TBD |
| Life Herb | Uncommon | $0.30 | 1 in 17 (6.06%) | TBD |
| Seedot | Common | $0.29 | 1 in 6 (15.63%) | TBD |