
A $498.45 EX Sandstorm pack returns $132.41 in expected card value on average — 27% of what you paid.
No official TCGPlayer pull-rate article covers EX Sandstorm, so these odds come from elitefourum.com, which discloses a 252-pack sample. A stated count is the difference between a measured rate and a confident guess, so it is recorded here whenever a source gives one.
How these figures are calculated, including the sourcing bar and what this model deliberately does not do.
| Product | Price | Expected value | Expected return |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sandstorm Booster Pack | $498.45 | $132.41 | 27% |
| Sandstorm Booster Box | — | $4766.83 | TBD |
Sandstorm Booster Pack · Sandstorm Booster Box
| Product | Price per pack | Expected return |
|---|---|---|
| Booster Pack | $498.45 | 27% |
| Rarity | Pull rate | Sample |
|---|---|---|
| Holo Rare | 16.67% | |
| Ultra Rare | 16.67% | n=252 |
| Common | 470% | |
| Uncommon | 200% | |
| Rare | 100% |
| Card | Rarity | Market price | Odds | Cost to pull |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Raichu ex | Ultra Rare | $524.99 | 1 in 42 (2.38%) | $20930.71 |
| Gardevoir ex | Ultra Rare | $302.22 | 1 in 42 (2.38%) | $20930.71 |
| Typhlosion ex | Ultra Rare | $279.78 | 1 in 42 (2.38%) | $20930.71 |
| Aerodactyl ex | Ultra Rare | $182.50 | 1 in 42 (2.38%) | $20930.71 |
| Kabutops ex | Ultra Rare | $160.30 | 1 in 42 (2.38%) | $20930.71 |
| Wailord ex | Ultra Rare | $148.96 | 1 in 42 (2.38%) | $20930.71 |
| Aggron ex | Ultra Rare | $122.95 | 1 in 42 (2.38%) | $20930.71 |
| Psyduck | Common | $436.20 | 1 in 7 (14.24%) | $3291.29 |
| Pikachu | Common | $212.99 | 1 in 7 (14.24%) | $3291.29 |
| Arcanine | Rare | $210.84 | 1 in 13 (7.69%) | $6093.88 |
| Umbreon | Rare | $197.19 | 1 in 13 (7.69%) | $6093.88 |
| Jolteon | Holo Rare | $187.19 | 1 in 84 (1.19%) | $39367.97 |
| Flareon | Holo Rare | $169.67 | 1 in 84 (1.19%) | $39367.97 |
| Sableye | Holo Rare | $159.00 | 1 in 84 (1.19%) | $39367.97 |
| Ludicolo | Holo Rare | $130.99 | 1 in 84 (1.19%) | $39367.97 |
| Vaporeon | Rare | $126.64 | 1 in 13 (7.69%) | $6093.88 |
| Eevee | Common | $108.10 | 1 in 7 (14.24%) | $3291.29 |
| Espeon | Rare | $85.02 | 1 in 13 (7.69%) | $6093.88 |
| Jolteon | Holo Rare | $83.87 | 1 in 84 (1.19%) | $39367.97 |
| Flareon | Holo Rare | $68.25 | 1 in 84 (1.19%) | $39367.97 |
| Pichu | Rare | $66.79 | 1 in 13 (7.69%) | $6093.88 |
| Ludicolo | Holo Rare | $65.75 | 1 in 84 (1.19%) | $39367.97 |
| Mawile | Holo Rare | $64.50 | 1 in 84 (1.19%) | $39367.97 |
| Duskull - 62/100 | Common | $62.13 | 1 in 7 (14.24%) | $3291.29 |
| Mawile | Holo Rare | $60.74 | 1 in 84 (1.19%) | $39367.97 |
| Sableye | Holo Rare | $54.10 | 1 in 84 (1.19%) | $39367.97 |
| Umbreon | Rare | $49.71 | 1 in 13 (7.69%) | $6093.88 |
| Golduck | Rare | $48.20 | 1 in 13 (7.69%) | $6093.88 |
| Zangoose | Holo Rare | $47.00 | 1 in 84 (1.19%) | $39367.97 |
| Wingull | Common | $46.29 | 1 in 7 (14.24%) | $3291.29 |
| Kabuto | Uncommon | $45.90 | 1 in 17 (6.06%) | $7734.54 |
| Wobbuffet | Rare | $43.70 | 1 in 13 (7.69%) | $6093.88 |
| Growlithe | Common | $42.45 | 1 in 7 (14.24%) | $3291.29 |
| Lunatone | Holo Rare | $41.94 | 1 in 84 (1.19%) | $39367.97 |
| Steelix | Rare | $41.63 | 1 in 13 (7.69%) | $6093.88 |
| Dusclops | Holo Rare | $41.50 | 1 in 84 (1.19%) | $39367.97 |
| Cacnea - 57/100 | Common | $41.36 | 1 in 7 (14.24%) | $3291.29 |
| Skitty | Common | $40.00 | 1 in 7 (14.24%) | $3291.29 |
| Lombre - 45/100 | Uncommon | $39.01 | 1 in 17 (6.06%) | $7734.54 |
| Wailmer | Common | $38.73 | 1 in 7 (14.24%) | $3291.29 |
| Quilava | Uncommon | $38.33 | 1 in 17 (6.06%) | $7734.54 |
| Azurill | Uncommon | $37.80 | 1 in 17 (6.06%) | $7734.54 |
| Zangoose | Holo Rare | $37.45 | 1 in 84 (1.19%) | $39367.97 |
| Kecleon | Rare | $36.96 | 1 in 13 (7.69%) | $6093.88 |
| Cacturne | Holo Rare | $36.74 | 1 in 84 (1.19%) | $39367.97 |
| Elekid | Uncommon | $35.23 | 1 in 17 (6.06%) | $7734.54 |
| Solrock | Holo Rare | $35.02 | 1 in 84 (1.19%) | $39367.97 |
| Shiftry - 12/100 | Holo Rare | $35.01 | 1 in 84 (1.19%) | $39367.97 |
| Breloom | Uncommon | $32.72 | 1 in 17 (6.06%) | $7734.54 |
| Duskull - 61/100 | Common | $32.16 | 1 in 7 (14.24%) | $3291.29 |
| Aron | Common | $32.00 | 1 in 7 (14.24%) | $3291.29 |
| Seviper | Holo Rare | $31.55 | 1 in 84 (1.19%) | $39367.97 |
| Volbeat | Uncommon | $31.50 | 1 in 17 (6.06%) | $7734.54 |
| Azumarill | Uncommon | $31.31 | 1 in 17 (6.06%) | $7734.54 |
| Fearow | Uncommon | $30.49 | 1 in 17 (6.06%) | $7734.54 |
| Ralts | Common | $30.00 | 1 in 7 (14.24%) | $3291.29 |
| Dusclops | Holo Rare | $29.24 | 1 in 84 (1.19%) | $39367.97 |
| Wynaut | Uncommon | $28.64 | 1 in 17 (6.06%) | $7734.54 |
| Slakoth | Common | $28.15 | 1 in 7 (14.24%) | $3291.29 |
| Armaldo | Holo Rare | $27.73 | 1 in 84 (1.19%) | $39367.97 |
| Shroomish | Common | $26.50 | 1 in 7 (14.24%) | $3291.29 |
| Kirlia | Uncommon | $25.49 | 1 in 17 (6.06%) | $7734.54 |
| Armaldo | Holo Rare | $25.47 | 1 in 84 (1.19%) | $39367.97 |
| Rare Candy | Uncommon | $24.99 | 1 in 17 (6.06%) | $7734.54 |
| Solrock | Holo Rare | $24.99 | 1 in 84 (1.19%) | $39367.97 |
| Zigzagoon | Common | $24.99 | 1 in 7 (14.24%) | $3291.29 |
| Cacnea - 58/100 | Common | $24.95 | 1 in 7 (14.24%) | $3291.29 |
| Lunatone | Holo Rare | $24.31 | 1 in 84 (1.19%) | $39367.97 |
| Espeon | Rare | $24.26 | 1 in 13 (7.69%) | $6093.88 |
| Cacturne | Holo Rare | $23.65 | 1 in 84 (1.19%) | $39367.97 |
| Cyndaquil | Common | $23.26 | 1 in 7 (14.24%) | $3291.29 |
| Onix | Common | $22.38 | 1 in 7 (14.24%) | $3291.29 |
| Lileep - 42/100 | Uncommon | $21.72 | 1 in 17 (6.06%) | $7734.54 |
| Vaporeon | Rare | $21.09 | 1 in 13 (7.69%) | $6093.88 |
| Sandshrew | Common | $20.40 | 1 in 7 (14.24%) | $3291.29 |
| Murkrow | Uncommon | $20.07 | 1 in 17 (6.06%) | $7734.54 |
| Sandslash | Rare | $19.14 | 1 in 13 (7.69%) | $6093.88 |
| Psyduck | Common | $19.09 | 1 in 7 (14.24%) | $3291.29 |
| Delcatty | Uncommon | $18.77 | 1 in 17 (6.06%) | $7734.54 |
| Natu | Common | $18.44 | 1 in 7 (14.24%) | $3291.29 |
| Arbok | Uncommon | $17.60 | 1 in 17 (6.06%) | $7734.54 |
| Pikachu | Common | $17.33 | 1 in 7 (14.24%) | $3291.29 |
| Electabuzz | Uncommon | $16.99 | 1 in 17 (6.06%) | $7734.54 |
| Dunsparce | Common | $16.20 | 1 in 7 (14.24%) | $3291.29 |
| Ekans | Common | $16.09 | 1 in 7 (14.24%) | $3291.29 |
| Anorith - 27/100 | Uncommon | $15.99 | 1 in 17 (6.06%) | $7734.54 |
| Linoone | Uncommon | $15.04 | 1 in 17 (6.06%) | $7734.54 |
| Seviper | Holo Rare | $14.99 | 1 in 84 (1.19%) | $39367.97 |
| Lileep - 43/100 | Uncommon | $14.94 | 1 in 17 (6.06%) | $7734.54 |
| Lotad - 67/100 | Common | $14.65 | 1 in 7 (14.24%) | $3291.29 |
| Omanyte | Common | $14.54 | 1 in 7 (14.24%) | $3291.29 |
| Shiftry - 12/100 | Holo Rare | $14.47 | 1 in 84 (1.19%) | $39367.97 |
| Trapinch | Common | $14.47 | 1 in 7 (14.24%) | $3291.29 |
| Lotad - 66/100 | Common | $14.10 | 1 in 7 (14.24%) | $3291.29 |
| Arcanine | Rare | $14.00 | 1 in 13 (7.69%) | $6093.88 |
| Omastar | Rare | $13.64 | 1 in 13 (7.69%) | $6093.88 |
| Cradily | Holo Rare | $13.55 | 1 in 84 (1.19%) | $39367.97 |
| Nuzleaf - 48/100 | Uncommon | $12.99 | 1 in 17 (6.06%) | $7734.54 |
| Pichu | Rare | $12.96 | 1 in 13 (7.69%) | $6093.88 |
| Xatu | Uncommon | $12.51 | 1 in 17 (6.06%) | $7734.54 |
| Baltoy | Uncommon | $11.43 | 1 in 17 (6.06%) | $7734.54 |
| Wally's Training | Uncommon | $10.82 | 1 in 17 (6.06%) | $7734.54 |
| Eevee | Common | $9.76 | 1 in 7 (14.24%) | $3291.29 |
| Cradily | Holo Rare | $9.61 | 1 in 84 (1.19%) | $39367.97 |
| Lairon | Uncommon | $9.32 | 1 in 17 (6.06%) | $7734.54 |
| Lombre - 46/100 | Uncommon | $9.27 | 1 in 17 (6.06%) | $7734.54 |
| Marill | Common | $8.90 | 1 in 7 (14.24%) | $3291.29 |
| Illumise | Uncommon | $8.63 | 1 in 17 (6.06%) | $7734.54 |
| Vigoroth | Uncommon | $8.50 | 1 in 17 (6.06%) | $7734.54 |
| Rare Candy | Uncommon | $8.19 | 1 in 17 (6.06%) | $7734.54 |
| Shiftry - 22/100 | Rare | $7.96 | 1 in 13 (7.69%) | $6093.88 |
| Azurill | Uncommon | $7.87 | 1 in 17 (6.06%) | $7734.54 |
| Spearow | Common | $7.77 | 1 in 7 (14.24%) | $3291.29 |
| Seedot - 77/100 | Common | $7.56 | 1 in 7 (14.24%) | $3291.29 |
| Anorith - 28/100 | Uncommon | $7.49 | 1 in 17 (6.06%) | $7734.54 |
| Wynaut | Uncommon | $7.44 | 1 in 17 (6.06%) | $7734.54 |
| Pelipper | Uncommon | $7.40 | 1 in 17 (6.06%) | $7734.54 |
| Nuzleaf - 49/100 | Uncommon | $6.91 | 1 in 17 (6.06%) | $7734.54 |
| Seedot - 76/100 | Common | $6.83 | 1 in 7 (14.24%) | $3291.29 |
| Skitty | Common | $6.72 | 1 in 7 (14.24%) | $3291.29 |
| Quilava | Uncommon | $6.17 | 1 in 17 (6.06%) | $7734.54 |
| Lanette's Net Search | Uncommon | $5.68 | 1 in 17 (6.06%) | $7734.54 |
| Kirlia | Uncommon | $5.32 | 1 in 17 (6.06%) | $7734.54 |
| Multi Energy | Rare | $5.21 | 1 in 13 (7.69%) | $6093.88 |
| Growlithe | Common | $4.83 | 1 in 7 (14.24%) | $3291.29 |
| Golduck | Rare | $4.79 | 1 in 13 (7.69%) | $6093.88 |
| Kabuto | Uncommon | $4.68 | 1 in 17 (6.06%) | $7734.54 |
| Root Fossil | Common | $4.51 | 1 in 7 (14.24%) | $3291.29 |
| Lombre - 45/100 | Uncommon | $4.30 | 1 in 17 (6.06%) | $7734.54 |
| Murkrow | Uncommon | $4.24 | 1 in 17 (6.06%) | $7734.54 |
| Illumise | Uncommon | $4.23 | 1 in 17 (6.06%) | $7734.54 |
| Mysterious Fossil | Common | $3.98 | 1 in 7 (14.24%) | $3291.29 |
| Steelix | Rare | $3.95 | 1 in 13 (7.69%) | $6093.88 |
| Azumarill | Uncommon | $3.41 | 1 in 17 (6.06%) | $7734.54 |
| Cyndaquil | Common | $3.33 | 1 in 7 (14.24%) | $3291.29 |
| Fearow | Uncommon | $3.23 | 1 in 17 (6.06%) | $7734.54 |
| Lileep - 43/100 | Uncommon | $3.13 | 1 in 17 (6.06%) | $7734.54 |
| Elekid | Uncommon | $3.12 | 1 in 17 (6.06%) | $7734.54 |
| Lairon | Uncommon | $3.07 | 1 in 17 (6.06%) | $7734.54 |
| Double Full Heal | Uncommon | $3.05 | 1 in 17 (6.06%) | $7734.54 |
| Claw Fossil | Common | $3.01 | 1 in 7 (14.24%) | $3291.29 |
| Arbok | Uncommon | $2.95 | 1 in 17 (6.06%) | $7734.54 |
| Anorith - 28/100 | Uncommon | $2.94 | 1 in 17 (6.06%) | $7734.54 |
| Kecleon | Rare | $2.87 | 1 in 13 (7.69%) | $6093.88 |
| Lombre - 46/100 | Uncommon | $2.79 | 1 in 17 (6.06%) | $7734.54 |
| Electabuzz | Uncommon | $2.75 | 1 in 17 (6.06%) | $7734.54 |
| Duskull - 61/100 | Common | $2.70 | 1 in 7 (14.24%) | $3291.29 |
| Breloom | Uncommon | $2.39 | 1 in 17 (6.06%) | $7734.54 |
| Ralts | Common | $2.39 | 1 in 7 (14.24%) | $3291.29 |
| Volbeat | Uncommon | $2.39 | 1 in 17 (6.06%) | $7734.54 |
| Delcatty | Uncommon | $2.33 | 1 in 17 (6.06%) | $7734.54 |
| Lotad - 67/100 | Common | $2.30 | 1 in 7 (14.24%) | $3291.29 |
| Baltoy | Uncommon | $2.26 | 1 in 17 (6.06%) | $7734.54 |
| Linoone | Uncommon | $2.25 | 1 in 17 (6.06%) | $7734.54 |
| Duskull - 62/100 | Common | $2.22 | 1 in 7 (14.24%) | $3291.29 |
| Lotad - 66/100 | Common | $2.18 | 1 in 7 (14.24%) | $3291.29 |
| Marill | Common | $2.07 | 1 in 7 (14.24%) | $3291.29 |
| Nuzleaf - 49/100 | Uncommon | $2.07 | 1 in 17 (6.06%) | $7734.54 |
| Sandslash | Rare | $2.04 | 1 in 13 (7.69%) | $6093.88 |
| Omastar | Rare | $2.01 | 1 in 13 (7.69%) | $6093.88 |
| Anorith - 27/100 | Uncommon | $1.98 | 1 in 17 (6.06%) | $7734.54 |
| Dunsparce | Common | $1.80 | 1 in 7 (14.24%) | $3291.29 |
| Aron | Common | $1.66 | 1 in 7 (14.24%) | $3291.29 |
| Shroomish | Common | $1.66 | 1 in 7 (14.24%) | $3291.29 |
| Wobbuffet | Rare | $1.59 | 1 in 13 (7.69%) | $6093.88 |
| Pelipper | Uncommon | $1.58 | 1 in 17 (6.06%) | $7734.54 |
| Wailmer | Common | $1.58 | 1 in 7 (14.24%) | $3291.29 |
| Cacnea - 58/100 | Common | $1.56 | 1 in 7 (14.24%) | $3291.29 |
| Lanette's Net Search | Uncommon | $1.45 | 1 in 17 (6.06%) | $7734.54 |
| Multi Energy | Rare | $1.43 | 1 in 13 (7.69%) | $6093.88 |
| Omanyte | Common | $1.37 | 1 in 7 (14.24%) | $3291.29 |
| Shiftry - 22/100 | Rare | $1.35 | 1 in 13 (7.69%) | $6093.88 |
| Lileep - 42/100 | Uncommon | $1.26 | 1 in 17 (6.06%) | $7734.54 |
| Onix | Common | $1.21 | 1 in 7 (14.24%) | $3291.29 |
| Slakoth | Common | $1.20 | 1 in 7 (14.24%) | $3291.29 |
| Trapinch | Common | $1.16 | 1 in 7 (14.24%) | $3291.29 |
| Sandshrew | Common | $1.15 | 1 in 7 (14.24%) | $3291.29 |
| Zigzagoon | Common | $1.14 | 1 in 7 (14.24%) | $3291.29 |
| Xatu | Uncommon | $1.10 | 1 in 17 (6.06%) | $7734.54 |
| Vigoroth | Uncommon | $1.06 | 1 in 17 (6.06%) | $7734.54 |
| Seedot - 77/100 | Common | $1.01 | 1 in 7 (14.24%) | $3291.29 |
| Spearow | Common | $0.91 | 1 in 7 (14.24%) | $3291.29 |
| Wally's Training | Uncommon | $0.84 | 1 in 17 (6.06%) | $7734.54 |
| Wingull | Common | $0.82 | 1 in 7 (14.24%) | $3291.29 |
| Natu | Common | $0.74 | 1 in 7 (14.24%) | $3291.29 |
| Nuzleaf - 48/100 | Uncommon | $0.69 | 1 in 17 (6.06%) | $7734.54 |
| Ekans | Common | $0.67 | 1 in 7 (14.24%) | $3291.29 |
| Mysterious Fossil | Common | $0.61 | 1 in 7 (14.24%) | $3291.29 |
| Claw Fossil | Common | $0.58 | 1 in 7 (14.24%) | $3291.29 |
| Cacnea - 57/100 | Common | $0.54 | 1 in 7 (14.24%) | $3291.29 |
| Seedot - 76/100 | Common | $0.53 | 1 in 7 (14.24%) | $3291.29 |
| Root Fossil | Common | $0.36 | 1 in 7 (14.24%) | $3291.29 |
| Double Full Heal | Uncommon | $0.34 | 1 in 17 (6.06%) | $7734.54 |