A $498.45 EX Sandstorm pack returns $118.08 in expected card value on average — 24% of what you paid.
No official TCGPlayer pull-rate article covers EX Sandstorm, so these odds come from elitefourum.com, which discloses a 252-pack sample. Sources that do not state how many packs they counted are not used here, however confident they sound.
How these figures are calculated, including the sourcing bar and what this model deliberately does not do.
| Product | Price | Expected value | Expected return |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sandstorm Booster Pack | $498.45 | $118.08 | 24% |
| Sandstorm Booster Box | — | $4250.83 | TBD |
Sandstorm Booster Pack · Sandstorm Booster Box
| Product | Price per pack | Expected return |
|---|---|---|
| Booster Pack | $498.45 | 24% |
| Rarity | Pull rate | Sample |
|---|---|---|
| Holo Rare | 16.67% | |
| Ultra Rare | 16.67% | n=252 |
| Common | 470% | |
| Uncommon | 200% | |
| Rare | 100% |
| Card | Rarity | Market price | Odds | Cost to pull |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Raichu ex | Ultra Rare | $342.74 | 1 in 42 (2.38%) | $20930.71 |
| Gardevoir ex | Ultra Rare | $271.66 | 1 in 42 (2.38%) | $20930.71 |
| Typhlosion ex | Ultra Rare | $259.63 | 1 in 42 (2.38%) | $20930.71 |
| Aerodactyl ex | Ultra Rare | $173.50 | 1 in 42 (2.38%) | $20930.71 |
| Wailord ex | Ultra Rare | $146.52 | 1 in 42 (2.38%) | $20930.71 |
| Kabutops ex | Ultra Rare | $138.20 | 1 in 42 (2.38%) | $20930.71 |
| Aggron ex | Ultra Rare | $117.06 | 1 in 42 (2.38%) | $20930.71 |
| Psyduck | Common | $499.99 | 1 in 7 (14.24%) | $3291.29 |
| Arcanine | Rare | $221.68 | 1 in 13 (7.69%) | $6093.88 |
| Umbreon | Rare | $200.00 | 1 in 13 (7.69%) | $6093.88 |
| Jolteon | Holo Rare | $187.19 | 1 in 84 (1.19%) | $39367.97 |
| Pikachu | Common | $181.66 | 1 in 7 (14.24%) | $3291.29 |
| Sableye | Holo Rare | $159.00 | 1 in 84 (1.19%) | $39367.97 |
| Vaporeon | Rare | $124.99 | 1 in 13 (7.69%) | $6093.88 |
| Flareon | Holo Rare | $113.32 | 1 in 84 (1.19%) | $39367.97 |
| Eevee | Common | $105.47 | 1 in 7 (14.24%) | $3291.29 |
| Jolteon | Holo Rare | $95.00 | 1 in 84 (1.19%) | $39367.97 |
| Espeon | Rare | $85.02 | 1 in 13 (7.69%) | $6093.88 |
| Mawile | Holo Rare | $65.00 | 1 in 84 (1.19%) | $39367.97 |
| Flareon | Holo Rare | $64.63 | 1 in 84 (1.19%) | $39367.97 |
| Pichu | Rare | $61.19 | 1 in 13 (7.69%) | $6093.88 |
| Mawile | Holo Rare | $60.74 | 1 in 84 (1.19%) | $39367.97 |
| Duskull - 62/100 | Common | $58.70 | 1 in 7 (14.24%) | $3291.29 |
| Ludicolo | Holo Rare | $55.98 | 1 in 84 (1.19%) | $39367.97 |
| Sableye | Holo Rare | $54.10 | 1 in 84 (1.19%) | $39367.97 |
| Kabuto | Uncommon | $45.90 | 1 in 17 (6.06%) | $7734.54 |
| Umbreon | Rare | $44.61 | 1 in 13 (7.69%) | $6093.88 |
| Ludicolo | Holo Rare | $43.47 | 1 in 84 (1.19%) | $39367.97 |
| Lunatone | Holo Rare | $41.94 | 1 in 84 (1.19%) | $39367.97 |
| Wobbuffet | Rare | $40.00 | 1 in 13 (7.69%) | $6093.88 |
| Zangoose | Holo Rare | $39.51 | 1 in 84 (1.19%) | $39367.97 |
| Azurill | Uncommon | $37.80 | 1 in 17 (6.06%) | $7734.54 |
| Wailmer | Common | $37.48 | 1 in 7 (14.24%) | $3291.29 |
| Cacturne | Holo Rare | $35.08 | 1 in 84 (1.19%) | $39367.97 |
| Quilava | Uncommon | $35.00 | 1 in 17 (6.06%) | $7734.54 |
| Kecleon | Rare | $34.61 | 1 in 13 (7.69%) | $6093.88 |
| Steelix | Rare | $34.54 | 1 in 13 (7.69%) | $6093.88 |
| Golduck | Rare | $34.42 | 1 in 13 (7.69%) | $6093.88 |
| Shiftry - 12/100 | Holo Rare | $33.54 | 1 in 84 (1.19%) | $39367.97 |
| Solrock | Holo Rare | $33.30 | 1 in 84 (1.19%) | $39367.97 |
| Seviper | Holo Rare | $32.03 | 1 in 84 (1.19%) | $39367.97 |
| Skitty | Common | $31.66 | 1 in 7 (14.24%) | $3291.29 |
| Growlithe | Common | $31.45 | 1 in 7 (14.24%) | $3291.29 |
| Dusclops | Holo Rare | $28.43 | 1 in 84 (1.19%) | $39367.97 |
| Lombre - 45/100 | Uncommon | $28.03 | 1 in 17 (6.06%) | $7734.54 |
| Seviper | Holo Rare | $26.74 | 1 in 84 (1.19%) | $39367.97 |
| Slakoth | Common | $26.37 | 1 in 7 (14.24%) | $3291.29 |
| Azumarill | Uncommon | $26.32 | 1 in 17 (6.06%) | $7734.54 |
| Dusclops | Holo Rare | $26.00 | 1 in 84 (1.19%) | $39367.97 |
| Breloom | Uncommon | $25.97 | 1 in 17 (6.06%) | $7734.54 |
| Duskull - 61/100 | Common | $25.88 | 1 in 7 (14.24%) | $3291.29 |
| Aron | Common | $25.83 | 1 in 7 (14.24%) | $3291.29 |
| Cacnea - 57/100 | Common | $25.34 | 1 in 7 (14.24%) | $3291.29 |
| Lotad - 67/100 | Common | $25.00 | 1 in 7 (14.24%) | $3291.29 |
| Zangoose | Holo Rare | $25.00 | 1 in 84 (1.19%) | $39367.97 |
| Rare Candy | Uncommon | $24.99 | 1 in 17 (6.06%) | $7734.54 |
| Cyndaquil | Common | $24.90 | 1 in 7 (14.24%) | $3291.29 |
| Ralts | Common | $24.33 | 1 in 7 (14.24%) | $3291.29 |
| Lunatone | Holo Rare | $24.04 | 1 in 84 (1.19%) | $39367.97 |
| Kirlia | Uncommon | $23.99 | 1 in 17 (6.06%) | $7734.54 |
| Solrock | Holo Rare | $23.81 | 1 in 84 (1.19%) | $39367.97 |
| Armaldo | Holo Rare | $23.25 | 1 in 84 (1.19%) | $39367.97 |
| Espeon | Rare | $23.04 | 1 in 13 (7.69%) | $6093.88 |
| Armaldo | Holo Rare | $22.88 | 1 in 84 (1.19%) | $39367.97 |
| Onix | Common | $22.53 | 1 in 7 (14.24%) | $3291.29 |
| Elekid | Uncommon | $22.50 | 1 in 17 (6.06%) | $7734.54 |
| Lileep - 42/100 | Uncommon | $22.00 | 1 in 17 (6.06%) | $7734.54 |
| Vaporeon | Rare | $21.40 | 1 in 13 (7.69%) | $6093.88 |
| Volbeat | Uncommon | $21.00 | 1 in 17 (6.06%) | $7734.54 |
| Cacturne | Holo Rare | $20.86 | 1 in 84 (1.19%) | $39367.97 |
| Psyduck | Common | $17.42 | 1 in 7 (14.24%) | $3291.29 |
| Electabuzz | Uncommon | $16.99 | 1 in 17 (6.06%) | $7734.54 |
| Pikachu | Common | $16.98 | 1 in 7 (14.24%) | $3291.29 |
| Sandslash | Rare | $16.93 | 1 in 13 (7.69%) | $6093.88 |
| Sandshrew | Common | $16.92 | 1 in 7 (14.24%) | $3291.29 |
| Wynaut | Uncommon | $16.84 | 1 in 17 (6.06%) | $7734.54 |
| Arbok | Uncommon | $16.13 | 1 in 17 (6.06%) | $7734.54 |
| Shiftry - 12/100 | Holo Rare | $14.47 | 1 in 84 (1.19%) | $39367.97 |
| Xatu | Uncommon | $14.32 | 1 in 17 (6.06%) | $7734.54 |
| Seedot - 76/100 | Common | $14.29 | 1 in 7 (14.24%) | $3291.29 |
| Lileep - 43/100 | Uncommon | $13.99 | 1 in 17 (6.06%) | $7734.54 |
| Murkrow | Uncommon | $13.86 | 1 in 17 (6.06%) | $7734.54 |
| Omastar | Rare | $13.55 | 1 in 13 (7.69%) | $6093.88 |
| Wingull | Common | $13.25 | 1 in 7 (14.24%) | $3291.29 |
| Fearow | Uncommon | $13.15 | 1 in 17 (6.06%) | $7734.54 |
| Natu | Common | $12.81 | 1 in 7 (14.24%) | $3291.29 |
| Zigzagoon | Common | $12.66 | 1 in 7 (14.24%) | $3291.29 |
| Ekans | Common | $12.50 | 1 in 7 (14.24%) | $3291.29 |
| Omanyte | Common | $12.36 | 1 in 7 (14.24%) | $3291.29 |
| Delcatty | Uncommon | $12.10 | 1 in 17 (6.06%) | $7734.54 |
| Arcanine | Rare | $12.06 | 1 in 13 (7.69%) | $6093.88 |
| Pichu | Rare | $11.86 | 1 in 13 (7.69%) | $6093.88 |
| Nuzleaf - 48/100 | Uncommon | $11.81 | 1 in 17 (6.06%) | $7734.54 |
| Cradily | Holo Rare | $11.76 | 1 in 84 (1.19%) | $39367.97 |
| Cacnea - 58/100 | Common | $11.72 | 1 in 7 (14.24%) | $3291.29 |
| Anorith - 27/100 | Uncommon | $11.33 | 1 in 17 (6.06%) | $7734.54 |
| Wally's Training | Uncommon | $10.82 | 1 in 17 (6.06%) | $7734.54 |
| Lotad - 66/100 | Common | $10.57 | 1 in 7 (14.24%) | $3291.29 |
| Trapinch | Common | $10.13 | 1 in 7 (14.24%) | $3291.29 |
| Azurill | Uncommon | $9.56 | 1 in 17 (6.06%) | $7734.54 |
| Marill | Common | $9.51 | 1 in 7 (14.24%) | $3291.29 |
| Lombre - 46/100 | Uncommon | $9.33 | 1 in 17 (6.06%) | $7734.54 |
| Cradily | Holo Rare | $9.07 | 1 in 84 (1.19%) | $39367.97 |
| Shroomish | Common | $9.00 | 1 in 7 (14.24%) | $3291.29 |
| Linoone | Uncommon | $8.80 | 1 in 17 (6.06%) | $7734.54 |
| Baltoy | Uncommon | $8.68 | 1 in 17 (6.06%) | $7734.54 |
| Rare Candy | Uncommon | $8.68 | 1 in 17 (6.06%) | $7734.54 |
| Eevee | Common | $8.15 | 1 in 7 (14.24%) | $3291.29 |
| Pelipper | Uncommon | $7.17 | 1 in 17 (6.06%) | $7734.54 |
| Wynaut | Uncommon | $7.11 | 1 in 17 (6.06%) | $7734.54 |
| Shiftry - 22/100 | Rare | $6.94 | 1 in 13 (7.69%) | $6093.88 |
| Nuzleaf - 49/100 | Uncommon | $6.86 | 1 in 17 (6.06%) | $7734.54 |
| Dunsparce | Common | $6.85 | 1 in 7 (14.24%) | $3291.29 |
| Illumise | Uncommon | $6.78 | 1 in 17 (6.06%) | $7734.54 |
| Anorith - 28/100 | Uncommon | $6.65 | 1 in 17 (6.06%) | $7734.54 |
| Vigoroth | Uncommon | $6.50 | 1 in 17 (6.06%) | $7734.54 |
| Lairon | Uncommon | $6.36 | 1 in 17 (6.06%) | $7734.54 |
| Spearow | Common | $6.01 | 1 in 7 (14.24%) | $3291.29 |
| Skitty | Common | $5.84 | 1 in 7 (14.24%) | $3291.29 |
| Quilava | Uncommon | $5.60 | 1 in 17 (6.06%) | $7734.54 |
| Kirlia | Uncommon | $5.20 | 1 in 17 (6.06%) | $7734.54 |
| Seedot - 77/100 | Common | $5.16 | 1 in 7 (14.24%) | $3291.29 |
| Lanette's Net Search | Uncommon | $4.96 | 1 in 17 (6.06%) | $7734.54 |
| Multi Energy | Rare | $4.62 | 1 in 13 (7.69%) | $6093.88 |
| Kabuto | Uncommon | $4.45 | 1 in 17 (6.06%) | $7734.54 |
| Lombre - 45/100 | Uncommon | $4.23 | 1 in 17 (6.06%) | $7734.54 |
| Illumise | Uncommon | $4.20 | 1 in 17 (6.06%) | $7734.54 |
| Growlithe | Common | $4.07 | 1 in 7 (14.24%) | $3291.29 |
| Cyndaquil | Common | $3.74 | 1 in 7 (14.24%) | $3291.29 |
| Murkrow | Uncommon | $3.74 | 1 in 17 (6.06%) | $7734.54 |
| Steelix | Rare | $3.74 | 1 in 13 (7.69%) | $6093.88 |
| Golduck | Rare | $3.73 | 1 in 13 (7.69%) | $6093.88 |
| Double Full Heal | Uncommon | $3.57 | 1 in 17 (6.06%) | $7734.54 |
| Lileep - 43/100 | Uncommon | $3.43 | 1 in 17 (6.06%) | $7734.54 |
| Root Fossil | Common | $3.28 | 1 in 7 (14.24%) | $3291.29 |
| Lairon | Uncommon | $3.17 | 1 in 17 (6.06%) | $7734.54 |
| Elekid | Uncommon | $3.06 | 1 in 17 (6.06%) | $7734.54 |
| Azumarill | Uncommon | $3.04 | 1 in 17 (6.06%) | $7734.54 |
| Arbok | Uncommon | $2.89 | 1 in 17 (6.06%) | $7734.54 |
| Duskull - 61/100 | Common | $2.87 | 1 in 7 (14.24%) | $3291.29 |
| Lombre - 46/100 | Uncommon | $2.77 | 1 in 17 (6.06%) | $7734.54 |
| Fearow | Uncommon | $2.72 | 1 in 17 (6.06%) | $7734.54 |
| Claw Fossil | Common | $2.60 | 1 in 7 (14.24%) | $3291.29 |
| Mysterious Fossil | Common | $2.59 | 1 in 7 (14.24%) | $3291.29 |
| Anorith - 28/100 | Uncommon | $2.58 | 1 in 17 (6.06%) | $7734.54 |
| Electabuzz | Uncommon | $2.54 | 1 in 17 (6.06%) | $7734.54 |
| Volbeat | Uncommon | $2.35 | 1 in 17 (6.06%) | $7734.54 |
| Ralts | Common | $2.33 | 1 in 7 (14.24%) | $3291.29 |
| Kecleon | Rare | $2.31 | 1 in 13 (7.69%) | $6093.88 |
| Delcatty | Uncommon | $2.28 | 1 in 17 (6.06%) | $7734.54 |
| Linoone | Uncommon | $2.28 | 1 in 17 (6.06%) | $7734.54 |
| Duskull - 62/100 | Common | $2.18 | 1 in 7 (14.24%) | $3291.29 |
| Lotad - 67/100 | Common | $2.13 | 1 in 7 (14.24%) | $3291.29 |
| Nuzleaf - 49/100 | Uncommon | $2.06 | 1 in 17 (6.06%) | $7734.54 |
| Breloom | Uncommon | $2.05 | 1 in 17 (6.06%) | $7734.54 |
| Omastar | Rare | $2.05 | 1 in 13 (7.69%) | $6093.88 |
| Lotad - 66/100 | Common | $1.96 | 1 in 7 (14.24%) | $3291.29 |
| Anorith - 27/100 | Uncommon | $1.85 | 1 in 17 (6.06%) | $7734.54 |
| Sandslash | Rare | $1.85 | 1 in 13 (7.69%) | $6093.88 |
| Marill | Common | $1.83 | 1 in 7 (14.24%) | $3291.29 |
| Dunsparce | Common | $1.82 | 1 in 7 (14.24%) | $3291.29 |
| Aron | Common | $1.66 | 1 in 7 (14.24%) | $3291.29 |
| Lanette's Net Search | Uncommon | $1.63 | 1 in 17 (6.06%) | $7734.54 |
| Shroomish | Common | $1.60 | 1 in 7 (14.24%) | $3291.29 |
| Wobbuffet | Rare | $1.59 | 1 in 13 (7.69%) | $6093.88 |
| Pelipper | Uncommon | $1.57 | 1 in 17 (6.06%) | $7734.54 |
| Shiftry - 22/100 | Rare | $1.52 | 1 in 13 (7.69%) | $6093.88 |
| Wailmer | Common | $1.49 | 1 in 7 (14.24%) | $3291.29 |
| Baltoy | Uncommon | $1.43 | 1 in 17 (6.06%) | $7734.54 |
| Cacnea - 58/100 | Common | $1.39 | 1 in 7 (14.24%) | $3291.29 |
| Multi Energy | Rare | $1.33 | 1 in 13 (7.69%) | $6093.88 |
| Lileep - 42/100 | Uncommon | $1.30 | 1 in 17 (6.06%) | $7734.54 |
| Slakoth | Common | $1.22 | 1 in 7 (14.24%) | $3291.29 |
| Omanyte | Common | $1.21 | 1 in 7 (14.24%) | $3291.29 |
| Trapinch | Common | $1.19 | 1 in 7 (14.24%) | $3291.29 |
| Zigzagoon | Common | $1.19 | 1 in 7 (14.24%) | $3291.29 |
| Sandshrew | Common | $1.11 | 1 in 7 (14.24%) | $3291.29 |
| Xatu | Uncommon | $1.10 | 1 in 17 (6.06%) | $7734.54 |
| Vigoroth | Uncommon | $1.06 | 1 in 17 (6.06%) | $7734.54 |
| Onix | Common | $1.02 | 1 in 7 (14.24%) | $3291.29 |
| Seedot - 77/100 | Common | $1.01 | 1 in 7 (14.24%) | $3291.29 |
| Wingull | Common | $0.88 | 1 in 7 (14.24%) | $3291.29 |
| Spearow | Common | $0.87 | 1 in 7 (14.24%) | $3291.29 |
| Wally's Training | Uncommon | $0.74 | 1 in 17 (6.06%) | $7734.54 |
| Nuzleaf - 48/100 | Uncommon | $0.67 | 1 in 17 (6.06%) | $7734.54 |
| Ekans | Common | $0.66 | 1 in 7 (14.24%) | $3291.29 |
| Natu | Common | $0.65 | 1 in 7 (14.24%) | $3291.29 |
| Mysterious Fossil | Common | $0.61 | 1 in 7 (14.24%) | $3291.29 |
| Cacnea - 57/100 | Common | $0.59 | 1 in 7 (14.24%) | $3291.29 |
| Claw Fossil | Common | $0.57 | 1 in 7 (14.24%) | $3291.29 |
| Seedot - 76/100 | Common | $0.55 | 1 in 7 (14.24%) | $3291.29 |
| Root Fossil | Common | $0.38 | 1 in 7 (14.24%) | $3291.29 |
| Double Full Heal | Uncommon | $0.34 | 1 in 17 (6.06%) | $7734.54 |