Sets / Fossil

Fossil

A $339.99 Fossil pack returns $64.71 in expected card value on average — 19% of what you paid.

No official TCGPlayer pull-rate article covers Fossil, so these odds come from loosepacks.com, which discloses a 360-pack sample. A stated count is the difference between a measured rate and a confident guess, so it is recorded here whenever a source gives one.

How these figures are calculated, including the sourcing bar and what this model deliberately does not do.

Products in this set

ProductPriceExpected valueExpected return
Fossil Booster Pack [Unlimited Edition]$339.99$64.7119%
Fossil Booster Pack [1st Edition]$671.35$64.7110%
Pokemon Fossil [Unlimited Edition] Booster Box—$2329.70TBD
Pokemon Fossil [1st Edition] Booster Box—$2329.70TBD

Where to buy

Fossil Booster Pack [Unlimited Edition] · Fossil Booster Pack [1st Edition] · Pokemon Fossil [Unlimited Edition] Booster Box · Pokemon Fossil [1st Edition] Booster Box

Expected return by product type

ProductPrice per packExpected return
Booster Pack$339.9919%

Pull rates (source: community_estimate)

RarityPull rateSample
Holo Rare33.33%n=360
Rare66.67%
Common700%
Uncommon300%

Cards & odds

CardRarityMarket priceOddsCost to pull
Gengar (5)Holo Rare$725.001 in 45 (2.22%)$14386.59
Dragonite (4)Holo Rare$629.051 in 45 (2.22%)$14386.59
Zapdos (15)Holo Rare$246.791 in 45 (2.22%)$14386.59
Lapras (10)Holo Rare$244.141 in 45 (2.22%)$14386.59
Gengar (5)Holo Rare$219.041 in 45 (2.22%)$14386.59
Raichu (14)Holo Rare$208.871 in 45 (2.22%)$14386.59
Articuno (2)Holo Rare$197.081 in 45 (2.22%)$14386.59
Moltres (12)Holo Rare$196.261 in 45 (2.22%)$14386.59
Dragonite (4)Holo Rare$185.851 in 45 (2.22%)$14386.59
Haunter (6)Holo Rare$170.991 in 45 (2.22%)$14386.59
Ditto (3)Holo Rare$146.261 in 45 (2.22%)$14386.59
Gengar (20)Rare$119.531 in 22 (4.44%)TBD
Kabutops (9)Holo Rare$115.841 in 45 (2.22%)$14386.59
Hitmonlee (7)Holo Rare$107.581 in 45 (2.22%)$14386.59
Dragonite (19)Rare$103.831 in 22 (4.44%)TBD
Hypno (8)Holo Rare$102.361 in 45 (2.22%)$14386.59
Aerodactyl (1)Holo Rare$96.241 in 45 (2.22%)$14386.59
Articuno (2)Holo Rare$73.081 in 45 (2.22%)$14386.59
Moltres (12)Holo Rare$68.421 in 45 (2.22%)$14386.59
Magneton (11)Holo Rare$68.351 in 45 (2.22%)$14386.59
Muk (13)Holo Rare$64.561 in 45 (2.22%)$14386.59
Raichu (14)Holo Rare$53.551 in 45 (2.22%)$14386.59
Haunter (6)Holo Rare$52.321 in 45 (2.22%)$14386.59
Ditto (3)Holo Rare$49.761 in 45 (2.22%)$14386.59
Gengar (20)Rare$45.351 in 22 (4.44%)TBD
Zapdos (15)Holo Rare$41.371 in 45 (2.22%)$14386.59
Kabutops (9)Holo Rare$41.301 in 45 (2.22%)$14386.59
Hitmonlee (7)Holo Rare$40.101 in 45 (2.22%)$14386.59
Dragonite (19)Rare$40.041 in 22 (4.44%)TBD
Aerodactyl (1)Holo Rare$38.181 in 45 (2.22%)$14386.59
Hypno (8)Holo Rare$37.991 in 45 (2.22%)$14386.59
Lapras (10)Holo Rare$37.571 in 45 (2.22%)$14386.59
Articuno (17)Rare$37.241 in 22 (4.44%)TBD
Moltres (27)Rare$33.341 in 22 (4.44%)TBD
Zapdos (30)Rare$31.401 in 22 (4.44%)TBD
Lapras (25)Rare$28.601 in 22 (4.44%)TBD
Haunter (21)Rare$28.081 in 22 (4.44%)TBD
Raichu (29)Rare$25.601 in 22 (4.44%)TBD
Aerodactyl (16)Rare$25.551 in 22 (4.44%)TBD
Ditto (18)Rare$24.911 in 22 (4.44%)TBD
Kabutops (24)Rare$22.661 in 22 (4.44%)TBD
Magneton (11)Holo Rare$21.001 in 45 (2.22%)$14386.59
KabutoCommon$19.321 in 2 (43.75%)TBD
Hypno (23)Rare$17.451 in 22 (4.44%)TBD
Muk (28)Rare$16.261 in 22 (4.44%)TBD
Hitmonlee (22)Rare$15.481 in 22 (4.44%)TBD
PsyduckCommon$15.011 in 2 (43.75%)TBD
Magneton (26)Rare$13.971 in 22 (4.44%)TBD
Ditto (18)Rare$13.621 in 22 (4.44%)TBD
Muk (13)Holo Rare$11.181 in 45 (2.22%)$14386.59
Moltres (27)Rare$11.081 in 22 (4.44%)TBD
Articuno (17)Rare$10.801 in 22 (4.44%)TBD
Zapdos (30)Rare$9.811 in 22 (4.44%)TBD
Lapras (25)Rare$9.571 in 22 (4.44%)TBD
Haunter (21)Rare$9.501 in 22 (4.44%)TBD
SlowbroUncommon$9.251 in 5 (18.75%)TBD
Aerodactyl (16)Rare$8.481 in 22 (4.44%)TBD
Raichu (29)Rare$8.261 in 22 (4.44%)TBD
Kabutops (24)Rare$8.111 in 22 (4.44%)TBD
Mr. FujiUncommon$7.951 in 5 (18.75%)TBD
Hitmonlee (22)Rare$7.291 in 22 (4.44%)TBD
Magneton (26)Rare$7.281 in 22 (4.44%)TBD
GamblerCommon$7.121 in 2 (43.75%)TBD
GastlyUncommon$6.921 in 5 (18.75%)TBD
GolemUncommon$6.401 in 5 (18.75%)TBD
GolduckUncommon$6.201 in 5 (18.75%)TBD
GolbatUncommon$6.161 in 5 (18.75%)TBD
SlowpokeCommon$6.041 in 2 (43.75%)TBD
Hypno (23)Rare$5.941 in 22 (4.44%)TBD
SandslashUncommon$5.861 in 5 (18.75%)TBD
MagmarUncommon$5.741 in 5 (18.75%)TBD
OmastarUncommon$5.471 in 5 (18.75%)TBD
Muk (28)Rare$4.791 in 22 (4.44%)TBD
ArbokUncommon$4.631 in 5 (18.75%)TBD
SeadraUncommon$4.541 in 5 (18.75%)TBD
TentacruelUncommon$4.471 in 5 (18.75%)TBD
CloysterUncommon$4.391 in 5 (18.75%)TBD
GravelerUncommon$4.201 in 5 (18.75%)TBD
RecycleCommon$3.941 in 2 (43.75%)TBD
WeezingUncommon$3.691 in 5 (18.75%)TBD
KinglerUncommon$3.261 in 5 (18.75%)TBD
GeodudeCommon$2.861 in 2 (43.75%)TBD
GrimerCommon$2.681 in 2 (43.75%)TBD
OmanyteCommon$2.361 in 2 (43.75%)TBD
PsyduckCommon$2.271 in 2 (43.75%)TBD
HorseaCommon$2.241 in 2 (43.75%)TBD
ZubatCommon$2.241 in 2 (43.75%)TBD
SlowbroUncommon$2.181 in 5 (18.75%)TBD
KrabbyCommon$2.121 in 2 (43.75%)TBD
GolemUncommon$2.011 in 5 (18.75%)TBD
WeezingUncommon$1.951 in 5 (18.75%)TBD
GastlyUncommon$1.941 in 5 (18.75%)TBD
ArbokUncommon$1.821 in 5 (18.75%)TBD
ShellderCommon$1.791 in 2 (43.75%)TBD
EkansCommon$1.741 in 2 (43.75%)TBD
GolduckUncommon$1.401 in 5 (18.75%)TBD
TentacoolCommon$1.391 in 2 (43.75%)TBD
KabutoCommon$1.381 in 2 (43.75%)TBD
CloysterUncommon$1.311 in 5 (18.75%)TBD
OmastarUncommon$1.291 in 5 (18.75%)TBD
TentacruelUncommon$1.211 in 5 (18.75%)TBD
SandslashUncommon$1.161 in 5 (18.75%)TBD
Mysterious FossilCommon$1.151 in 2 (43.75%)TBD
Mr. FujiUncommon$1.141 in 5 (18.75%)TBD
MagmarUncommon$1.121 in 5 (18.75%)TBD
SeadraUncommon$1.101 in 5 (18.75%)TBD
Energy SearchCommon$1.081 in 2 (43.75%)TBD
SlowpokeCommon$0.951 in 2 (43.75%)TBD
KinglerUncommon$0.891 in 5 (18.75%)TBD
GravelerUncommon$0.841 in 5 (18.75%)TBD
OmanyteCommon$0.831 in 2 (43.75%)TBD
GolbatUncommon$0.661 in 5 (18.75%)TBD
KrabbyCommon$0.591 in 2 (43.75%)TBD
GrimerCommon$0.561 in 2 (43.75%)TBD
TentacoolCommon$0.491 in 2 (43.75%)TBD
ShellderCommon$0.451 in 2 (43.75%)TBD
ZubatCommon$0.451 in 2 (43.75%)TBD
EkansCommon$0.441 in 2 (43.75%)TBD
RecycleCommon$0.431 in 2 (43.75%)TBD
GeodudeCommon$0.421 in 2 (43.75%)TBD
GamblerCommon$0.401 in 2 (43.75%)TBD
HorseaCommon$0.391 in 2 (43.75%)TBD
Energy SearchCommon$0.381 in 2 (43.75%)TBD
Mysterious FossilCommon$0.331 in 2 (43.75%)TBD