A $308.82 Generations pack returns $19.16 in expected card value on average — 6% of what you paid.
No official TCGPlayer pull-rate article covers Generations, so these odds come from elitefourum.com, which discloses a 686-pack sample. Sources that do not state how many packs they counted are not used here, however confident they sound.
How these figures are calculated, including the sourcing bar and what this model deliberately does not do.
| Product | Price | Expected value | Expected return |
|---|---|---|---|
| Generations Booster Pack | $308.82 | $19.16 | 6% |
| Generations Elite Trainer Box | $2999.19 | $172.43 | 6% |
Generations Booster Pack · Generations Elite Trainer Box
| Product | Price per pack | Expected return |
|---|---|---|
| Booster Pack | $308.82 | 6% |
| Elite Trainer Box | $333.24 | 6% |
| Rarity | Pull rate | Sample |
|---|---|---|
| Ultra Rare | 3.93% | n=686 |
| Holo Rare | 10.53% | |
| Rare | 66.67% | |
| Common | 310% | |
| Uncommon | 200% |
| Card | Rarity | Market price | Odds | Cost to pull |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Flareon EX (Full Art) | Ultra Rare | $199.29 | TBD | TBD |
| Sylveon EX (Full Art) | Ultra Rare | $179.89 | TBD | TBD |
| M Charizard EX | Ultra Rare | $163.29 | 1 in 305 (0.33%) | $94296.18 |
| Pikachu (Full Art) | Ultra Rare | $157.89 | TBD | TBD |
| M Gardevoir EX (Full Art) | Ultra Rare | $104.13 | TBD | TBD |
| Gardevoir EX (Full Art) | Ultra Rare | $100.63 | TBD | TBD |
| Sylveon EX | Ultra Rare | $88.93 | TBD | TBD |
| Flareon EX | Ultra Rare | $87.87 | TBD | TBD |
| Leafeon EX | Ultra Rare | $45.84 | 1 in 305 (0.33%) | $94296.18 |
| Jolteon EX | Ultra Rare | $32.88 | 1 in 305 (0.33%) | $94296.18 |
| M Blastoise EX | Ultra Rare | $31.19 | 1 in 305 (0.33%) | $94296.18 |
| Charizard EX | Ultra Rare | $28.56 | 1 in 305 (0.33%) | $94296.18 |
| Vaporeon EX | Ultra Rare | $27.77 | 1 in 305 (0.33%) | $94296.18 |
| M Venusaur EX | Ultra Rare | $22.62 | 1 in 305 (0.33%) | $94296.18 |
| Blastoise EX | Ultra Rare | $16.49 | 1 in 305 (0.33%) | $94296.18 |
| Venusaur EX | Ultra Rare | $11.00 | 1 in 305 (0.33%) | $94296.18 |
| Meowstic EX | Ultra Rare | $6.46 | 1 in 305 (0.33%) | $94296.18 |
| Ninetales EX | Ultra Rare | $5.43 | 1 in 305 (0.33%) | $94296.18 |
| Golem EX | Ultra Rare | $3.38 | 1 in 305 (0.33%) | $94296.18 |
| Gengar | Holo Rare | $57.22 | 1 in 66 (1.5%) | $17575.12 |
| Zapdos | Holo Rare | $53.03 | 1 in 66 (1.5%) | $17575.12 |
| Charizard | Uncommon | $49.79 | TBD | TBD |
| Gengar | Holo Rare | $44.79 | 1 in 66 (1.5%) | $17575.12 |
| Articuno | Holo Rare | $40.17 | 1 in 66 (1.5%) | $17575.12 |
| Fairy Energy | Common | $27.55 | 1 in 9 (11.07%) | $2387.95 |
| Altaria | Uncommon | $24.01 | TBD | TBD |
| Dedenne | Uncommon | $23.22 | TBD | TBD |
| Espurr | Common | $22.04 | TBD | TBD |
| Charmander | Common | $20.34 | TBD | TBD |
| Jirachi | Uncommon | $19.64 | TBD | TBD |
| Pikachu | Common | $19.25 | 1 in 9 (11.07%) | $2387.95 |
| Swirlix | Uncommon | $18.41 | TBD | TBD |
| Charmeleon | Common | $17.54 | TBD | TBD |
| Raichu | Common | $15.70 | TBD | TBD |
| Chikorita | Common | $14.84 | TBD | TBD |
| Snorlax | Rare | $13.73 | 1 in 16 (6.06%) | $4362.05 |
| Imakuni? | Uncommon | $13.28 | 1 in 13 (8%) | $3304.75 |
| Gulpin | Common | $10.92 | TBD | TBD |
| Clefairy | Common | $10.85 | 1 in 9 (11.07%) | $2387.95 |
| Swablu | Common | $10.55 | TBD | TBD |
| Meowstic | Uncommon | $10.11 | TBD | TBD |
| Fire Energy | Common | $10.01 | 1 in 9 (11.07%) | $2387.95 |
| Darkness Energy | Common | $9.70 | 1 in 9 (11.07%) | $2387.95 |
| Grass Energy | Common | $9.47 | 1 in 9 (11.07%) | $2387.95 |
| Metal Energy | Common | $9.40 | 1 in 9 (11.07%) | $2387.95 |
| Gyarados | Rare | $9.15 | 1 in 16 (6.06%) | $4362.05 |
| Snorunt | Common | $8.82 | TBD | TBD |
| Diglett | Common | $7.62 | 1 in 9 (11.07%) | $2387.95 |
| Water Energy | Common | $7.49 | 1 in 9 (11.07%) | $2387.95 |
| Fighting Energy | Common | $7.22 | 1 in 9 (11.07%) | $2387.95 |
| Snorlax | Rare | $6.87 | 1 in 16 (6.06%) | $4362.05 |
| Flabebe | Common | $6.75 | TBD | TBD |
| Magikarp | Common | $6.38 | 1 in 9 (11.07%) | $2387.95 |
| Slurpuff | Uncommon | $6.27 | TBD | TBD |
| Wobbuffet | Common | $6.22 | TBD | TBD |
| Haunter | Uncommon | $6.20 | 1 in 13 (8%) | $3304.75 |
| Diancie | Uncommon | $6.09 | TBD | TBD |
| Lightning Energy | Common | $5.91 | 1 in 9 (11.07%) | $2387.95 |
| Fletchling | Common | $5.87 | TBD | TBD |
| Gastly | Common | $5.59 | 1 in 9 (11.07%) | $2387.95 |
| Shroomish | Common | $5.53 | TBD | TBD |
| Psychic Energy | Common | $5.35 | 1 in 9 (11.07%) | $2387.95 |
| Froslass | Uncommon | $5.34 | TBD | TBD |
| Wally | Uncommon | $5.01 | TBD | TBD |
| Floette | Uncommon | $4.97 | TBD | TBD |
| Yveltal | Uncommon | $4.91 | TBD | TBD |
| Imakuni? | Uncommon | $4.62 | 1 in 13 (8%) | $3304.75 |
| Butterfree | Holo Rare | $4.11 | 1 in 66 (1.5%) | $17575.12 |
| Butterfree | Holo Rare | $4.10 | 1 in 66 (1.5%) | $17575.12 |
| Slowpoke | Common | $3.73 | 1 in 9 (11.07%) | $2387.95 |
| Pikachu | Common | $3.59 | 1 in 9 (11.07%) | $2387.95 |
| Evosoda | Uncommon | $3.24 | 1 in 13 (8%) | $3304.75 |
| Rapidash | Rare | $3.18 | 1 in 16 (6.06%) | $4362.05 |
| Ponyta | Common | $3.07 | 1 in 9 (11.07%) | $2387.95 |
| Raichu | Holo Rare | $2.94 | 1 in 66 (1.5%) | $17575.12 |
| Floral Crown | Common | $2.73 | TBD | TBD |
| Raichu | Holo Rare | $2.57 | 1 in 66 (1.5%) | $17575.12 |
| Machamp | Holo Rare | $2.46 | 1 in 66 (1.5%) | $17575.12 |
| Hitmonlee | Rare | $2.36 | 1 in 16 (6.06%) | $4362.05 |
| Golem | Holo Rare | $2.26 | 1 in 66 (1.5%) | $17575.12 |
| Pinsir | Rare | $2.23 | 1 in 16 (6.06%) | $4362.05 |
| Parasect | Rare | $2.13 | 1 in 16 (6.06%) | $4362.05 |
| Dodrio | Rare | $2.08 | 1 in 16 (6.06%) | $4362.05 |
| Clefable | Uncommon | $2.05 | 1 in 13 (8%) | $3304.75 |
| Team Flare Grunt | Uncommon | $2.01 | 1 in 13 (8%) | $3304.75 |
| Golem | Holo Rare | $1.94 | 1 in 66 (1.5%) | $17575.12 |
| Clefairy | Common | $1.94 | 1 in 9 (11.07%) | $2387.95 |
| Machamp | Holo Rare | $1.77 | 1 in 66 (1.5%) | $17575.12 |
| Meowth | Common | $1.77 | 1 in 9 (11.07%) | $2387.95 |
| Revitalizer | Uncommon | $1.68 | 1 in 13 (8%) | $3304.75 |
| Magmar | Common | $1.67 | 1 in 9 (11.07%) | $2387.95 |
| Pokemon Center Lady | Uncommon | $1.48 | 1 in 13 (8%) | $3304.75 |
| Double Colorless Energy | Uncommon | $1.22 | 1 in 13 (8%) | $3304.75 |
| Mr. Mime | Uncommon | $1.21 | 1 in 13 (8%) | $3304.75 |
| Metapod | Uncommon | $1.20 | 1 in 13 (8%) | $3304.75 |
| Gyarados | Rare | $1.19 | 1 in 16 (6.06%) | $4362.05 |
| Jynx | Rare | $1.18 | 1 in 16 (6.06%) | $4362.05 |
| Doduo | Common | $1.14 | 1 in 9 (11.07%) | $2387.95 |
| Paras | Common | $1.12 | 1 in 9 (11.07%) | $2387.95 |
| Machoke | Uncommon | $1.10 | 1 in 13 (8%) | $3304.75 |
| Olympia | Uncommon | $1.08 | 1 in 13 (8%) | $3304.75 |
| Krabby | Common | $1.07 | 1 in 9 (11.07%) | $2387.95 |
| Geodude | Common | $0.95 | 1 in 9 (11.07%) | $2387.95 |
| Crushing Hammer | Uncommon | $0.95 | 1 in 13 (8%) | $3304.75 |
| Mr. Mime | Uncommon | $0.92 | 1 in 13 (8%) | $3304.75 |
| Fairy Energy | Common | $0.91 | 1 in 9 (11.07%) | $2387.95 |
| Tangela | Common | $0.87 | 1 in 9 (11.07%) | $2387.95 |
| Hitmonchan | Rare | $0.87 | 1 in 16 (6.06%) | $4362.05 |
| Darkness Energy | Common | $0.86 | 1 in 9 (11.07%) | $2387.95 |
| Dugtrio | Rare | $0.83 | 1 in 16 (6.06%) | $4362.05 |
| Revitalizer | Uncommon | $0.82 | 1 in 13 (8%) | $3304.75 |
| Haunter | Uncommon | $0.79 | 1 in 13 (8%) | $3304.75 |
| Magikarp | Common | $0.78 | 1 in 9 (11.07%) | $2387.95 |
| Persian | Uncommon | $0.78 | 1 in 13 (8%) | $3304.75 |
| Machop | Common | $0.77 | 1 in 9 (11.07%) | $2387.95 |
| Tauros | Rare | $0.76 | 1 in 16 (6.06%) | $4362.05 |
| Red Card | Uncommon | $0.76 | 1 in 13 (8%) | $3304.75 |
| Fire Energy | Common | $0.74 | 1 in 9 (11.07%) | $2387.95 |
| Water Energy | Common | $0.73 | 1 in 9 (11.07%) | $2387.95 |
| Golbat | Uncommon | $0.71 | 1 in 13 (8%) | $3304.75 |
| Rapidash | Rare | $0.69 | 1 in 16 (6.06%) | $4362.05 |
| Metal Energy | Common | $0.69 | 1 in 9 (11.07%) | $2387.95 |
| Zubat | Common | $0.66 | 1 in 9 (11.07%) | $2387.95 |
| Double Colorless Energy | Uncommon | $0.64 | 1 in 13 (8%) | $3304.75 |
| Cloyster | Uncommon | $0.63 | 1 in 13 (8%) | $3304.75 |
| Caterpie | Common | $0.62 | 1 in 9 (11.07%) | $2387.95 |
| Diglett | Common | $0.60 | 1 in 9 (11.07%) | $2387.95 |
| Clefable | Uncommon | $0.59 | 1 in 13 (8%) | $3304.75 |
| Pokemon Fan Club | Uncommon | $0.59 | 1 in 13 (8%) | $3304.75 |
| Graveler | Uncommon | $0.58 | 1 in 13 (8%) | $3304.75 |
| Shellder | Common | $0.56 | 1 in 9 (11.07%) | $2387.95 |
| Rhyhorn | Common | $0.55 | 1 in 9 (11.07%) | $2387.95 |
| Clemont | Uncommon | $0.54 | 1 in 13 (8%) | $3304.75 |
| Max Revive | Uncommon | $0.54 | 1 in 13 (8%) | $3304.75 |
| Grass Energy | Common | $0.52 | 1 in 9 (11.07%) | $2387.95 |
| Lightning Energy | Common | $0.50 | 1 in 9 (11.07%) | $2387.95 |
| Energy Switch | Uncommon | $0.48 | 1 in 13 (8%) | $3304.75 |
| Slowpoke | Common | $0.47 | 1 in 9 (11.07%) | $2387.95 |
| Psychic Energy | Common | $0.47 | 1 in 9 (11.07%) | $2387.95 |
| Evosoda | Uncommon | $0.46 | 1 in 13 (8%) | $3304.75 |
| Hitmonlee | Rare | $0.44 | 1 in 16 (6.06%) | $4362.05 |
| Gastly | Common | $0.43 | 1 in 9 (11.07%) | $2387.95 |
| Shauna | Uncommon | $0.43 | 1 in 13 (8%) | $3304.75 |
| Team Flare Grunt | Uncommon | $0.43 | 1 in 13 (8%) | $3304.75 |
| Tauros | Rare | $0.42 | 1 in 16 (6.06%) | $4362.05 |
| Ponyta | Common | $0.40 | 1 in 9 (11.07%) | $2387.95 |
| Maintenance | Uncommon | $0.40 | 1 in 13 (8%) | $3304.75 |
| Pokemon Fan Club | Uncommon | $0.40 | 1 in 13 (8%) | $3304.75 |
| Jynx | Rare | $0.39 | 1 in 16 (6.06%) | $4362.05 |
| Dugtrio | Rare | $0.39 | 1 in 16 (6.06%) | $4362.05 |
| Metapod | Uncommon | $0.38 | 1 in 13 (8%) | $3304.75 |
| Persian | Uncommon | $0.37 | 1 in 13 (8%) | $3304.75 |
| Poke Ball | Uncommon | $0.37 | 1 in 13 (8%) | $3304.75 |
| Fighting Energy | Common | $0.37 | 1 in 9 (11.07%) | $2387.95 |
| Paras | Common | $0.36 | 1 in 9 (11.07%) | $2387.95 |
| Machoke | Uncommon | $0.36 | 1 in 13 (8%) | $3304.75 |
| Dodrio | Rare | $0.36 | 1 in 16 (6.06%) | $4362.05 |
| Hitmonchan | Rare | $0.35 | 1 in 16 (6.06%) | $4362.05 |
| Crushing Hammer | Uncommon | $0.35 | 1 in 13 (8%) | $3304.75 |
| Pinsir | Rare | $0.34 | 1 in 16 (6.06%) | $4362.05 |
| Red Card | Uncommon | $0.34 | 1 in 13 (8%) | $3304.75 |
| Graveler | Uncommon | $0.33 | 1 in 13 (8%) | $3304.75 |
| Caterpie | Common | $0.32 | 1 in 9 (11.07%) | $2387.95 |
| Cloyster | Uncommon | $0.32 | 1 in 13 (8%) | $3304.75 |
| Parasect | Rare | $0.30 | 1 in 16 (6.06%) | $4362.05 |
| Golbat | Uncommon | $0.30 | 1 in 13 (8%) | $3304.75 |
| Meowth | Common | $0.30 | 1 in 9 (11.07%) | $2387.95 |
| Pokemon Center Lady | Uncommon | $0.30 | 1 in 13 (8%) | $3304.75 |
| Doduo | Common | $0.29 | 1 in 9 (11.07%) | $2387.95 |
| Olympia | Uncommon | $0.29 | 1 in 13 (8%) | $3304.75 |
| Magmar | Common | $0.28 | 1 in 9 (11.07%) | $2387.95 |
| Max Revive | Uncommon | $0.28 | 1 in 13 (8%) | $3304.75 |
| Zubat | Common | $0.27 | 1 in 9 (11.07%) | $2387.95 |
| Clemont | Uncommon | $0.27 | 1 in 13 (8%) | $3304.75 |
| Machop | Common | $0.26 | 1 in 9 (11.07%) | $2387.95 |
| Tangela | Common | $0.25 | 1 in 9 (11.07%) | $2387.95 |
| Energy Switch | Uncommon | $0.25 | 1 in 13 (8%) | $3304.75 |
| Maintenance | Uncommon | $0.23 | 1 in 13 (8%) | $3304.75 |
| Geodude | Common | $0.22 | 1 in 9 (11.07%) | $2387.95 |
| Rhyhorn | Common | $0.22 | 1 in 9 (11.07%) | $2387.95 |
| Krabby | Common | $0.21 | 1 in 9 (11.07%) | $2387.95 |
| Shellder | Common | $0.19 | 1 in 9 (11.07%) | $2387.95 |
| Poke Ball | Uncommon | $0.19 | 1 in 13 (8%) | $3304.75 |
| Shauna | Uncommon | $0.16 | 1 in 13 (8%) | $3304.75 |
| Geodude (Stamped) | Promo | — | TBD | TBD |