
A $364.95 Generations pack returns $19.98 in expected card value on average — 5% of what you paid.
No official TCGPlayer pull-rate article covers Generations, so these odds come from elitefourum.com, which discloses a 686-pack sample. A stated count is the difference between a measured rate and a confident guess, so it is recorded here whenever a source gives one.
How these figures are calculated, including the sourcing bar and what this model deliberately does not do.
| Product | Price | Expected value | Expected return |
|---|---|---|---|
| Generations Booster Pack | $364.95 | $19.98 | 5% |
| Generations Elite Trainer Box | $4050.00 | $179.84 | 4% |
Generations Booster Pack · Generations Elite Trainer Box
| Product | Price per pack | Expected return |
|---|---|---|
| Booster Pack | $364.95 | 5% |
| Elite Trainer Box | $450.00 | 4% |
| Rarity | Pull rate | Sample |
|---|---|---|
| Ultra Rare | 3.93% | n=686 |
| Holo Rare | 10.53% | |
| Rare | 66.67% | |
| Common | 310% | |
| Uncommon | 200% |
| Card | Rarity | Market price | Odds | Cost to pull |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sylveon EX (Full Art) | Ultra Rare | $193.51 | TBD | TBD |
| Flareon EX (Full Art) | Ultra Rare | $189.01 | TBD | TBD |
| M Charizard EX | Ultra Rare | $157.31 | 1 in 305 (0.33%) | $111435.11 |
| Pikachu (Full Art) | Ultra Rare | $146.81 | TBD | TBD |
| M Gardevoir EX (Full Art) | Ultra Rare | $107.08 | TBD | TBD |
| Gardevoir EX (Full Art) | Ultra Rare | $104.21 | TBD | TBD |
| Sylveon EX | Ultra Rare | $98.40 | TBD | TBD |
| Flareon EX | Ultra Rare | $88.80 | TBD | TBD |
| Leafeon EX | Ultra Rare | $44.33 | 1 in 305 (0.33%) | $111435.11 |
| Jolteon EX | Ultra Rare | $34.54 | 1 in 305 (0.33%) | $111435.11 |
| M Blastoise EX | Ultra Rare | $31.38 | 1 in 305 (0.33%) | $111435.11 |
| Charizard EX | Ultra Rare | $29.32 | 1 in 305 (0.33%) | $111435.11 |
| Vaporeon EX | Ultra Rare | $29.16 | 1 in 305 (0.33%) | $111435.11 |
| M Venusaur EX | Ultra Rare | $24.28 | 1 in 305 (0.33%) | $111435.11 |
| Blastoise EX | Ultra Rare | $15.64 | 1 in 305 (0.33%) | $111435.11 |
| Venusaur EX | Ultra Rare | $11.87 | 1 in 305 (0.33%) | $111435.11 |
| Meowstic EX | Ultra Rare | $7.89 | 1 in 305 (0.33%) | $111435.11 |
| Ninetales EX | Ultra Rare | $5.73 | 1 in 305 (0.33%) | $111435.11 |
| Golem EX | Ultra Rare | $3.37 | 1 in 305 (0.33%) | $111435.11 |
| Gengar | Holo Rare | $56.78 | 1 in 66 (1.5%) | $17575.12 |
| Zapdos | Holo Rare | $55.73 | 1 in 66 (1.5%) | $17575.12 |
| Articuno | Holo Rare | $45.85 | 1 in 66 (1.5%) | $17575.12 |
| Gengar | Holo Rare | $45.33 | 1 in 66 (1.5%) | $17575.12 |
| Charizard | Uncommon | $44.91 | TBD | TBD |
| Fairy Energy | Common | $26.96 | 1 in 9 (11.07%) | $2387.95 |
| Altaria | Uncommon | $25.23 | TBD | TBD |
| Espurr | Common | $23.86 | TBD | TBD |
| Dedenne | Uncommon | $22.83 | TBD | TBD |
| Jirachi | Uncommon | $21.83 | TBD | TBD |
| Pikachu | Common | $21.69 | 1 in 9 (11.07%) | $2387.95 |
| Charmander | Common | $19.27 | TBD | TBD |
| Imakuni? | Uncommon | $17.54 | 1 in 13 (8%) | $3304.75 |
| Charmeleon | Common | $17.26 | TBD | TBD |
| Swirlix | Uncommon | $16.99 | TBD | TBD |
| Raichu | Common | $15.27 | TBD | TBD |
| Geodude (Stamped) | Promo | $15.00 | TBD | TBD |
| Snorlax | Rare | $14.36 | 1 in 16 (6.06%) | $4362.05 |
| Chikorita | Common | $12.92 | TBD | TBD |
| Clefairy | Common | $10.99 | 1 in 9 (11.07%) | $2387.95 |
| Gulpin | Common | $10.53 | TBD | TBD |
| Meowstic | Uncommon | $10.29 | TBD | TBD |
| Gyarados | Rare | $10.13 | 1 in 16 (6.06%) | $4362.05 |
| Fire Energy | Common | $10.11 | 1 in 9 (11.07%) | $2387.95 |
| Darkness Energy | Common | $9.32 | 1 in 9 (11.07%) | $2387.95 |
| Metal Energy | Common | $8.94 | 1 in 9 (11.07%) | $2387.95 |
| Grass Energy | Common | $8.75 | 1 in 9 (11.07%) | $2387.95 |
| Slowpoke | Common | $8.13 | 1 in 9 (11.07%) | $2387.95 |
| Snorunt | Common | $8.10 | TBD | TBD |
| Slurpuff | Uncommon | $8.08 | TBD | TBD |
| Haunter | Uncommon | $7.95 | 1 in 13 (8%) | $3304.75 |
| Swablu | Common | $7.66 | TBD | TBD |
| Diglett | Common | $7.49 | 1 in 9 (11.07%) | $2387.95 |
| Fighting Energy | Common | $7.37 | 1 in 9 (11.07%) | $2387.95 |
| Water Energy | Common | $7.27 | 1 in 9 (11.07%) | $2387.95 |
| Magikarp | Common | $7.11 | 1 in 9 (11.07%) | $2387.95 |
| Snorlax | Rare | $7.11 | 1 in 16 (6.06%) | $4362.05 |
| Wobbuffet | Common | $6.38 | TBD | TBD |
| Diancie | Uncommon | $6.19 | TBD | TBD |
| Flabebe | Common | $6.11 | TBD | TBD |
| Lightning Energy | Common | $6.09 | 1 in 9 (11.07%) | $2387.95 |
| Froslass | Uncommon | $6.09 | TBD | TBD |
| Psychic Energy | Common | $5.82 | 1 in 9 (11.07%) | $2387.95 |
| Gastly | Common | $5.74 | 1 in 9 (11.07%) | $2387.95 |
| Fletchling | Common | $5.63 | TBD | TBD |
| Floette | Uncommon | $5.23 | TBD | TBD |
| Imakuni? | Uncommon | $4.93 | 1 in 13 (8%) | $3304.75 |
| Shroomish | Common | $4.93 | TBD | TBD |
| Yveltal | Uncommon | $4.82 | TBD | TBD |
| Wally | Uncommon | $4.67 | TBD | TBD |
| Butterfree | Holo Rare | $4.22 | 1 in 66 (1.5%) | $17575.12 |
| Butterfree | Holo Rare | $3.96 | 1 in 66 (1.5%) | $17575.12 |
| Pikachu | Common | $3.37 | 1 in 9 (11.07%) | $2387.95 |
| Rapidash | Rare | $3.21 | 1 in 16 (6.06%) | $4362.05 |
| Ponyta | Common | $3.17 | 1 in 9 (11.07%) | $2387.95 |
| Evosoda | Uncommon | $3.08 | 1 in 13 (8%) | $3304.75 |
| Raichu | Holo Rare | $3.07 | 1 in 66 (1.5%) | $17575.12 |
| Raichu | Holo Rare | $2.86 | 1 in 66 (1.5%) | $17575.12 |
| Floral Crown | Common | $2.67 | TBD | TBD |
| Clefairy | Common | $2.48 | 1 in 9 (11.07%) | $2387.95 |
| Machamp | Holo Rare | $2.46 | 1 in 66 (1.5%) | $17575.12 |
| Hitmonlee | Rare | $2.43 | 1 in 16 (6.06%) | $4362.05 |
| Meowth | Common | $2.43 | 1 in 9 (11.07%) | $2387.95 |
| Golem | Holo Rare | $2.30 | 1 in 66 (1.5%) | $17575.12 |
| Parasect | Rare | $2.29 | 1 in 16 (6.06%) | $4362.05 |
| Pinsir | Rare | $2.21 | 1 in 16 (6.06%) | $4362.05 |
| Dodrio | Rare | $2.16 | 1 in 16 (6.06%) | $4362.05 |
| Golem | Holo Rare | $2.14 | 1 in 66 (1.5%) | $17575.12 |
| Team Flare Grunt | Uncommon | $2.09 | 1 in 13 (8%) | $3304.75 |
| Machamp | Holo Rare | $2.01 | 1 in 66 (1.5%) | $17575.12 |
| Clefable | Uncommon | $1.92 | 1 in 13 (8%) | $3304.75 |
| Magmar | Common | $1.72 | 1 in 9 (11.07%) | $2387.95 |
| Revitalizer | Uncommon | $1.59 | 1 in 13 (8%) | $3304.75 |
| Pokemon Center Lady | Uncommon | $1.51 | 1 in 13 (8%) | $3304.75 |
| Mr. Mime | Uncommon | $1.36 | 1 in 13 (8%) | $3304.75 |
| Paras | Common | $1.35 | 1 in 9 (11.07%) | $2387.95 |
| Krabby | Common | $1.31 | 1 in 9 (11.07%) | $2387.95 |
| Jynx | Rare | $1.20 | 1 in 16 (6.06%) | $4362.05 |
| Gyarados | Rare | $1.19 | 1 in 16 (6.06%) | $4362.05 |
| Double Colorless Energy | Uncommon | $1.19 | 1 in 13 (8%) | $3304.75 |
| Doduo | Common | $1.15 | 1 in 9 (11.07%) | $2387.95 |
| Machoke | Uncommon | $1.13 | 1 in 13 (8%) | $3304.75 |
| Metapod | Uncommon | $1.11 | 1 in 13 (8%) | $3304.75 |
| Crushing Hammer | Uncommon | $1.03 | 1 in 13 (8%) | $3304.75 |
| Mr. Mime | Uncommon | $1.02 | 1 in 13 (8%) | $3304.75 |
| Olympia | Uncommon | $1.01 | 1 in 13 (8%) | $3304.75 |
| Persian | Uncommon | $0.92 | 1 in 13 (8%) | $3304.75 |
| Darkness Energy | Common | $0.92 | 1 in 9 (11.07%) | $2387.95 |
| Hitmonchan | Rare | $0.91 | 1 in 16 (6.06%) | $4362.05 |
| Tangela | Common | $0.85 | 1 in 9 (11.07%) | $2387.95 |
| Fairy Energy | Common | $0.82 | 1 in 9 (11.07%) | $2387.95 |
| Dugtrio | Rare | $0.81 | 1 in 16 (6.06%) | $4362.05 |
| Geodude | Common | $0.80 | 1 in 9 (11.07%) | $2387.95 |
| Tauros | Rare | $0.79 | 1 in 16 (6.06%) | $4362.05 |
| Machop | Common | $0.77 | 1 in 9 (11.07%) | $2387.95 |
| Revitalizer | Uncommon | $0.77 | 1 in 13 (8%) | $3304.75 |
| Fire Energy | Common | $0.77 | 1 in 9 (11.07%) | $2387.95 |
| Water Energy | Common | $0.76 | 1 in 9 (11.07%) | $2387.95 |
| Golbat | Uncommon | $0.75 | 1 in 13 (8%) | $3304.75 |
| Diglett | Common | $0.74 | 1 in 9 (11.07%) | $2387.95 |
| Metal Energy | Common | $0.73 | 1 in 9 (11.07%) | $2387.95 |
| Red Card | Uncommon | $0.71 | 1 in 13 (8%) | $3304.75 |
| Cloyster | Uncommon | $0.70 | 1 in 13 (8%) | $3304.75 |
| Rapidash | Rare | $0.69 | 1 in 16 (6.06%) | $4362.05 |
| Magikarp | Common | $0.69 | 1 in 9 (11.07%) | $2387.95 |
| Haunter | Uncommon | $0.69 | 1 in 13 (8%) | $3304.75 |
| Zubat | Common | $0.68 | 1 in 9 (11.07%) | $2387.95 |
| Pokemon Fan Club | Uncommon | $0.65 | 1 in 13 (8%) | $3304.75 |
| Caterpie | Common | $0.64 | 1 in 9 (11.07%) | $2387.95 |
| Shellder | Common | $0.60 | 1 in 9 (11.07%) | $2387.95 |
| Double Colorless Energy | Uncommon | $0.60 | 1 in 13 (8%) | $3304.75 |
| Graveler | Uncommon | $0.59 | 1 in 13 (8%) | $3304.75 |
| Rhyhorn | Common | $0.59 | 1 in 9 (11.07%) | $2387.95 |
| Grass Energy | Common | $0.58 | 1 in 9 (11.07%) | $2387.95 |
| Clemont | Uncommon | $0.56 | 1 in 13 (8%) | $3304.75 |
| Max Revive | Uncommon | $0.56 | 1 in 13 (8%) | $3304.75 |
| Energy Switch | Uncommon | $0.54 | 1 in 13 (8%) | $3304.75 |
| Lightning Energy | Common | $0.52 | 1 in 9 (11.07%) | $2387.95 |
| Psychic Energy | Common | $0.50 | 1 in 9 (11.07%) | $2387.95 |
| Slowpoke | Common | $0.47 | 1 in 9 (11.07%) | $2387.95 |
| Clefable | Uncommon | $0.47 | 1 in 13 (8%) | $3304.75 |
| Dodrio | Rare | $0.46 | 1 in 16 (6.06%) | $4362.05 |
| Shauna | Uncommon | $0.46 | 1 in 13 (8%) | $3304.75 |
| Tauros | Rare | $0.43 | 1 in 16 (6.06%) | $4362.05 |
| Evosoda | Uncommon | $0.42 | 1 in 13 (8%) | $3304.75 |
| Maintenance | Uncommon | $0.41 | 1 in 13 (8%) | $3304.75 |
| Ponyta | Common | $0.40 | 1 in 9 (11.07%) | $2387.95 |
| Jynx | Rare | $0.40 | 1 in 16 (6.06%) | $4362.05 |
| Hitmonlee | Rare | $0.39 | 1 in 16 (6.06%) | $4362.05 |
| Machop | Common | $0.37 | 1 in 9 (11.07%) | $2387.95 |
| Persian | Uncommon | $0.37 | 1 in 13 (8%) | $3304.75 |
| Poke Ball | Uncommon | $0.37 | 1 in 13 (8%) | $3304.75 |
| Fighting Energy | Common | $0.37 | 1 in 9 (11.07%) | $2387.95 |
| Gastly | Common | $0.36 | 1 in 9 (11.07%) | $2387.95 |
| Dugtrio | Rare | $0.36 | 1 in 16 (6.06%) | $4362.05 |
| Hitmonchan | Rare | $0.36 | 1 in 16 (6.06%) | $4362.05 |
| Team Flare Grunt | Uncommon | $0.36 | 1 in 13 (8%) | $3304.75 |
| Parasect | Rare | $0.35 | 1 in 16 (6.06%) | $4362.05 |
| Machoke | Uncommon | $0.35 | 1 in 13 (8%) | $3304.75 |
| Paras | Common | $0.34 | 1 in 9 (11.07%) | $2387.95 |
| Crushing Hammer | Uncommon | $0.34 | 1 in 13 (8%) | $3304.75 |
| Pokemon Fan Club | Uncommon | $0.34 | 1 in 13 (8%) | $3304.75 |
| Metapod | Uncommon | $0.33 | 1 in 13 (8%) | $3304.75 |
| Pinsir | Rare | $0.33 | 1 in 16 (6.06%) | $4362.05 |
| Graveler | Uncommon | $0.33 | 1 in 13 (8%) | $3304.75 |
| Meowth | Common | $0.33 | 1 in 9 (11.07%) | $2387.95 |
| Caterpie | Common | $0.31 | 1 in 9 (11.07%) | $2387.95 |
| Zubat | Common | $0.31 | 1 in 9 (11.07%) | $2387.95 |
| Cloyster | Uncommon | $0.30 | 1 in 13 (8%) | $3304.75 |
| Golbat | Uncommon | $0.30 | 1 in 13 (8%) | $3304.75 |
| Olympia | Uncommon | $0.30 | 1 in 13 (8%) | $3304.75 |
| Doduo | Common | $0.29 | 1 in 9 (11.07%) | $2387.95 |
| Max Revive | Uncommon | $0.29 | 1 in 13 (8%) | $3304.75 |
| Red Card | Uncommon | $0.27 | 1 in 13 (8%) | $3304.75 |
| Magmar | Common | $0.26 | 1 in 9 (11.07%) | $2387.95 |
| Geodude | Common | $0.26 | 1 in 9 (11.07%) | $2387.95 |
| Pokemon Center Lady | Uncommon | $0.26 | 1 in 13 (8%) | $3304.75 |
| Tangela | Common | $0.25 | 1 in 9 (11.07%) | $2387.95 |
| Clemont | Uncommon | $0.24 | 1 in 13 (8%) | $3304.75 |
| Energy Switch | Uncommon | $0.23 | 1 in 13 (8%) | $3304.75 |
| Krabby | Common | $0.22 | 1 in 9 (11.07%) | $2387.95 |
| Rhyhorn | Common | $0.22 | 1 in 9 (11.07%) | $2387.95 |
| Maintenance | Uncommon | $0.20 | 1 in 13 (8%) | $3304.75 |
| Poke Ball | Uncommon | $0.20 | 1 in 13 (8%) | $3304.75 |
| Shellder | Common | $0.18 | 1 in 9 (11.07%) | $2387.95 |
| Shauna | Uncommon | $0.16 | 1 in 13 (8%) | $3304.75 |