Sets / HeartGold SoulSilver

HeartGold SoulSilver

A $449.99 HeartGold SoulSilver pack returns $144.88 in expected card value on average — 32% of what you paid.

No official TCGPlayer pull-rate article covers HeartGold SoulSilver. These odds come from thepricedex.com, which publishes a rate for each tier but does not say how many packs it counted to get there — so read them as indicative rather than measured. They are here because they are the best published figures for this set, and naming that limit is better than implying a precision the source never claimed.

How these figures are calculated, including the sourcing bar and what this model deliberately does not do.

Products in this set

ProductPriceExpected valueExpected return
HeartGold SoulSilver Booster Pack$449.99$144.8832%
HeartGold SoulSilver Booster Box—$5215.84TBD

Where to buy

HeartGold SoulSilver Booster Pack · HeartGold SoulSilver Booster Box

Expected return by product type

ProductPrice per packExpected return
Booster Pack$449.9932%

Pull rates (source: community_estimate)

RarityPull rateSample
Holo Rare23.81%
Ultra Rare26.39%
Rare66.67%
Common470%
Uncommon300%

Cards & odds

CardRarityMarket priceOddsCost to pull
Lugia Legend (Top)Ultra Rare$422.851 in 42 (2.4%)$18756.69
Lugia Legend (Bottom)Ultra Rare$329.191 in 42 (2.4%)$18756.69
Ho-Oh Legend (Top)Ultra Rare$266.151 in 42 (2.4%)$18756.69
Ho-Oh Legend (Bottom)Ultra Rare$225.251 in 42 (2.4%)$18756.69
Alph LithographUltra Rare$145.711 in 42 (2.4%)$18756.69
Typhlosion (Prime)Ultra Rare$128.991 in 42 (2.4%)$18756.69
Feraligatr (Prime)Ultra Rare$126.491 in 42 (2.4%)$18756.69
Ampharos (Prime)Ultra Rare$100.381 in 42 (2.4%)$18756.69
Meganium (Prime)Ultra Rare$96.411 in 42 (2.4%)$18756.69
Blissey (Prime)Ultra Rare$80.131 in 42 (2.4%)$18756.69
Donphan (Prime)Ultra Rare$47.211 in 42 (2.4%)$18756.69
Gyarados (Red)Holo Rare$499.991 in 59 (1.7%)$29398.82
Gyarados (Red)Holo Rare$369.591 in 59 (1.7%)$29398.82
GyaradosHolo Rare$182.451 in 59 (1.7%)$29398.82
ArcanineHolo Rare$83.521 in 59 (1.7%)$29398.82
GyaradosHolo Rare$70.051 in 59 (1.7%)$29398.82
NinetalesHolo Rare$67.321 in 59 (1.7%)$29398.82
PikachuCommon$65.501 in 9 (11.75%)$4255.23
SlowkingHolo Rare$63.521 in 59 (1.7%)$29398.82
Darkness Energy (Basic)Common$62.901 in 9 (11.75%)$4255.23
NinetalesHolo Rare$54.651 in 59 (1.7%)$29398.82
GrowlitheCommon$52.741 in 9 (11.75%)$4255.23
FeraligatrRare$51.211 in 31 (3.17%)$15748.90
CaterpieCommon$49.001 in 9 (11.75%)$4255.23
SlowkingHolo Rare$46.741 in 59 (1.7%)$29398.82
Psychic EnergyCommon$46.391 in 9 (11.75%)$4255.23
PichuRare$45.631 in 31 (3.17%)$15748.90
MagikarpCommon$44.931 in 9 (11.75%)$4255.23
LaprasRare$43.001 in 31 (3.17%)$15748.90
RaichuHolo Rare$41.251 in 59 (1.7%)$29398.82
ArcanineHolo Rare$40.371 in 59 (1.7%)$29398.82
SunfloraRare$40.001 in 31 (3.17%)$15748.90
Pokegear 3.0Uncommon$39.991 in 13 (7.89%)$6333.21
RaichuHolo Rare$39.101 in 59 (1.7%)$29398.82
VulpixCommon$37.991 in 9 (11.75%)$4255.23
WobbuffetHolo Rare$37.041 in 59 (1.7%)$29398.82
WooperCommon$36.751 in 9 (11.75%)$4255.23
JigglypuffCommon$36.391 in 9 (11.75%)$4255.23
TotodileCommon$35.491 in 9 (11.75%)$4255.23
MeowthCommon$33.901 in 9 (11.75%)$4255.23
SandshrewCommon$33.511 in 9 (11.75%)$4255.23
FishermanUncommon$32.811 in 13 (7.89%)$6333.21
ShuckleHolo Rare$32.111 in 59 (1.7%)$29398.82
TyphlosionRare$30.991 in 31 (3.17%)$15748.90
ShuckleHolo Rare$30.451 in 59 (1.7%)$29398.82
Pokemon CommunicationUncommon$30.301 in 13 (7.89%)$6333.21
SlowbroUncommon$29.251 in 13 (7.89%)$6333.21
Grass EnergyCommon$28.491 in 9 (11.75%)$4255.23
SlowpokeCommon$27.991 in 9 (11.75%)$4255.23
HeracrossUncommon$26.951 in 13 (7.89%)$6333.21
ChanseyCommon$26.791 in 9 (11.75%)$4255.23
IgglybuffUncommon$26.751 in 13 (7.89%)$6333.21
SunkernCommon$26.351 in 9 (11.75%)$4255.23
Energy SwitchUncommon$26.261 in 13 (7.89%)$6333.21
QuagsireHolo Rare$25.931 in 59 (1.7%)$29398.82
FurretRare$25.361 in 31 (3.17%)$15748.90
Water EnergyCommon$24.951 in 9 (11.75%)$4255.23
WobbuffetHolo Rare$24.901 in 59 (1.7%)$29398.82
Fire EnergyCommon$24.691 in 9 (11.75%)$4255.23
AmpharosRare$24.171 in 31 (3.17%)$15748.90
QuagsireHolo Rare$24.131 in 59 (1.7%)$29398.82
Lightning EnergyCommon$23.481 in 9 (11.75%)$4255.23
Metal Energy (Basic)Common$22.281 in 9 (11.75%)$4255.23
LedianRare$21.891 in 31 (3.17%)$15748.90
PhanpyCommon$21.751 in 9 (11.75%)$4255.23
ButterfreeRare$20.051 in 31 (3.17%)$15748.90
ButterfreeRare$20.031 in 31 (3.17%)$15748.90
JumpluffHolo Rare$20.001 in 59 (1.7%)$29398.82
Double Colorless EnergyUncommon$19.791 in 13 (7.89%)$6333.21
SwitchUncommon$19.201 in 13 (7.89%)$6333.21
Pokemon CollectorUncommon$18.451 in 13 (7.89%)$6333.21
ChikoritaCommon$18.371 in 9 (11.75%)$4255.23
SunfloraRare$18.171 in 31 (3.17%)$15748.90
CyndaquilCommon$17.991 in 9 (11.75%)$4255.23
Fighting EnergyCommon$17.741 in 9 (11.75%)$4255.23
Unown (55)Uncommon$17.001 in 13 (7.89%)$6333.21
LedybaCommon$16.751 in 9 (11.75%)$4255.23
MetapodUncommon$16.111 in 13 (7.89%)$6333.21
Farfetch'dRare$15.821 in 31 (3.17%)$15748.90
BayleefUncommon$15.491 in 13 (7.89%)$6333.21
StaryuCommon$15.401 in 9 (11.75%)$4255.23
AzumarillHolo Rare$15.001 in 59 (1.7%)$29398.82
KoffingCommon$14.751 in 9 (11.75%)$4255.23
FishermanUncommon$14.701 in 13 (7.89%)$6333.21
CleffaRare$14.171 in 31 (3.17%)$15748.90
NoctowlHolo Rare$14.051 in 59 (1.7%)$29398.82
LaprasRare$13.811 in 31 (3.17%)$15748.90
PersianRare$13.651 in 31 (3.17%)$15748.90
Unown (54)Uncommon$13.231 in 13 (7.89%)$6333.21
MareepCommon$13.091 in 9 (11.75%)$4255.23
ClefairyCommon$12.991 in 9 (11.75%)$4255.23
ClefableHolo Rare$12.961 in 59 (1.7%)$29398.82
ExeggutorRare$12.921 in 31 (3.17%)$15748.90
PikachuCommon$12.281 in 9 (11.75%)$4255.23
MeganiumRare$11.981 in 31 (3.17%)$15748.90
LedianRare$11.801 in 31 (3.17%)$15748.90
Pokegear 3.0Uncommon$11.571 in 13 (7.89%)$6333.21
CorsolaUncommon$11.391 in 13 (7.89%)$6333.21
PichuRare$11.341 in 31 (3.17%)$15748.90
TyphlosionRare$11.161 in 31 (3.17%)$15748.90
AzumarillHolo Rare$10.811 in 59 (1.7%)$29398.82
FeraligatrRare$10.741 in 31 (3.17%)$15748.90
JynxCommon$10.591 in 9 (11.75%)$4255.23
JumpluffHolo Rare$10.371 in 59 (1.7%)$29398.82
SandslashRare$10.231 in 31 (3.17%)$15748.90
GirafarigCommon$10.001 in 9 (11.75%)$4255.23
Rainbow EnergyUncommon$10.001 in 13 (7.89%)$6333.21
HoppipCommon$9.991 in 9 (11.75%)$4255.23
SentretCommon$9.991 in 9 (11.75%)$4255.23
CroconawUncommon$9.901 in 13 (7.89%)$6333.21
DelibirdUncommon$9.801 in 13 (7.89%)$6333.21
ClefableHolo Rare$9.641 in 59 (1.7%)$29398.82
QuilavaUncommon$9.571 in 13 (7.89%)$6333.21
HitmontopHolo Rare$9.191 in 59 (1.7%)$29398.82
FurretRare$9.161 in 31 (3.17%)$15748.90
HitmontopHolo Rare$9.151 in 59 (1.7%)$29398.82
IgglybuffUncommon$9.091 in 13 (7.89%)$6333.21
ExeggcuteCommon$9.001 in 9 (11.75%)$4255.23
Moomoo MilkUncommon$8.991 in 13 (7.89%)$6333.21
AmpharosRare$8.871 in 31 (3.17%)$15748.90
MarillCommon$8.791 in 9 (11.75%)$4255.23
MiltankUncommon$8.721 in 13 (7.89%)$6333.21
Pokemon CollectorUncommon$8.521 in 13 (7.89%)$6333.21
SnubbullCommon$8.091 in 9 (11.75%)$4255.23
SmoochumRare$7.501 in 31 (3.17%)$15748.90
HeracrossUncommon$7.321 in 13 (7.89%)$6333.21
NoctowlHolo Rare$7.231 in 59 (1.7%)$29398.82
MantineUncommon$7.121 in 13 (7.89%)$6333.21
MeganiumRare$7.051 in 31 (3.17%)$15748.90
BlisseyUncommon$7.001 in 13 (7.89%)$6333.21
Professor Oak's New TheoryUncommon$6.991 in 13 (7.89%)$6333.21
Farfetch'dRare$6.741 in 31 (3.17%)$15748.90
SmoochumRare$6.401 in 31 (3.17%)$15748.90
Pokemon ReversalUncommon$6.361 in 13 (7.89%)$6333.21
FlaaffyUncommon$6.231 in 13 (7.89%)$6333.21
StaryuCommon$6.221 in 9 (11.75%)$4255.23
CleffaRare$6.151 in 31 (3.17%)$15748.90
WeezingRare$6.071 in 31 (3.17%)$15748.90
GrowlitheCommon$6.041 in 9 (11.75%)$4255.23
QwilfishUncommon$5.751 in 13 (7.89%)$6333.21
SlowbroUncommon$5.481 in 13 (7.89%)$6333.21
WooperCommon$5.091 in 9 (11.75%)$4255.23
CopycatUncommon$5.081 in 13 (7.89%)$6333.21
Double Colorless EnergyUncommon$5.071 in 13 (7.89%)$6333.21
HypnoRare$5.031 in 31 (3.17%)$15748.90
HoothootCommon$5.001 in 9 (11.75%)$4255.23
StarmieUncommon$5.001 in 13 (7.89%)$6333.21
ParasCommon$4.901 in 9 (11.75%)$4255.23
Energy SwitchUncommon$4.851 in 13 (7.89%)$6333.21
SlowpokeCommon$4.781 in 9 (11.75%)$4255.23
DrowzeeCommon$4.721 in 9 (11.75%)$4255.23
GranbullRare$4.701 in 31 (3.17%)$15748.90
TyrogueRare$4.561 in 31 (3.17%)$15748.90
DonphanUncommon$4.481 in 13 (7.89%)$6333.21
WigglytuffUncommon$4.431 in 13 (7.89%)$6333.21
JigglypuffCommon$4.321 in 9 (11.75%)$4255.23
SpinarakCommon$4.101 in 9 (11.75%)$4255.23
WigglytuffUncommon$4.101 in 13 (7.89%)$6333.21
ClefairyCommon$3.811 in 9 (11.75%)$4255.23
SunkernCommon$3.811 in 9 (11.75%)$4255.23
LedybaCommon$3.621 in 9 (11.75%)$4255.23
Pokemon CommunicationUncommon$3.561 in 13 (7.89%)$6333.21
PersianRare$3.371 in 31 (3.17%)$15748.90
MiltankUncommon$3.181 in 13 (7.89%)$6333.21
SkiploomUncommon$3.161 in 13 (7.89%)$6333.21
SandslashRare$3.111 in 31 (3.17%)$15748.90
TyrogueRare$3.061 in 31 (3.17%)$15748.90
AriadosRare$3.001 in 31 (3.17%)$15748.90
Full HealUncommon$3.001 in 13 (7.89%)$6333.21
MetapodUncommon$2.931 in 13 (7.89%)$6333.21
ChanseyCommon$2.891 in 9 (11.75%)$4255.23
VulpixCommon$2.861 in 9 (11.75%)$4255.23
Professor Elm's Training MethodUncommon$2.741 in 13 (7.89%)$6333.21
Poke BallUncommon$2.711 in 13 (7.89%)$6333.21
ExeggutorRare$2.531 in 31 (3.17%)$15748.90
DunsparceUncommon$2.431 in 13 (7.89%)$6333.21
CyndaquilCommon$2.401 in 9 (11.75%)$4255.23
CaterpieCommon$2.391 in 9 (11.75%)$4255.23
MeowthCommon$2.321 in 9 (11.75%)$4255.23
BlisseyUncommon$2.301 in 13 (7.89%)$6333.21
Pokemon ReversalUncommon$2.251 in 13 (7.89%)$6333.21
TotodileCommon$2.231 in 9 (11.75%)$4255.23
ParasectUncommon$2.211 in 13 (7.89%)$6333.21
Unown (54)Uncommon$2.161 in 13 (7.89%)$6333.21
MagikarpCommon$2.131 in 9 (11.75%)$4255.23
Rainbow EnergyUncommon$2.021 in 13 (7.89%)$6333.21
BayleefUncommon$2.011 in 13 (7.89%)$6333.21
QuilavaUncommon$1.951 in 13 (7.89%)$6333.21
ChikoritaCommon$1.911 in 9 (11.75%)$4255.23
HypnoRare$1.791 in 31 (3.17%)$15748.90
WeezingRare$1.771 in 31 (3.17%)$15748.90
CroconawUncommon$1.731 in 13 (7.89%)$6333.21
Unown (55)Uncommon$1.701 in 13 (7.89%)$6333.21
DelibirdUncommon$1.661 in 13 (7.89%)$6333.21
ParasectUncommon$1.631 in 13 (7.89%)$6333.21
MarillCommon$1.601 in 9 (11.75%)$4255.23
AriadosRare$1.511 in 31 (3.17%)$15748.90
SwitchUncommon$1.511 in 13 (7.89%)$6333.21
SkiploomUncommon$1.451 in 13 (7.89%)$6333.21
BillUncommon$1.271 in 13 (7.89%)$6333.21
FlaaffyUncommon$1.191 in 13 (7.89%)$6333.21
SandshrewCommon$1.121 in 9 (11.75%)$4255.23
GirafarigCommon$1.111 in 9 (11.75%)$4255.23
StarmieUncommon$1.101 in 13 (7.89%)$6333.21
Moomoo MilkUncommon$1.021 in 13 (7.89%)$6333.21
MantineUncommon$0.971 in 13 (7.89%)$6333.21
PhanpyCommon$0.941 in 9 (11.75%)$4255.23
GranbullRare$0.891 in 31 (3.17%)$15748.90
HoppipCommon$0.881 in 9 (11.75%)$4255.23
QwilfishUncommon$0.821 in 13 (7.89%)$6333.21
DonphanUncommon$0.791 in 13 (7.89%)$6333.21
DunsparceUncommon$0.701 in 13 (7.89%)$6333.21
DrowzeeCommon$0.691 in 9 (11.75%)$4255.23
Professor Oak's New TheoryUncommon$0.691 in 13 (7.89%)$6333.21
ParasCommon$0.681 in 9 (11.75%)$4255.23
CopycatUncommon$0.661 in 13 (7.89%)$6333.21
CorsolaUncommon$0.651 in 13 (7.89%)$6333.21
HoothootCommon$0.651 in 9 (11.75%)$4255.23
SnubbullCommon$0.591 in 9 (11.75%)$4255.23
KoffingCommon$0.571 in 9 (11.75%)$4255.23
MareepCommon$0.571 in 9 (11.75%)$4255.23
SentretCommon$0.471 in 9 (11.75%)$4255.23
ExeggcuteCommon$0.441 in 9 (11.75%)$4255.23
JynxCommon$0.431 in 9 (11.75%)$4255.23
BillUncommon$0.351 in 13 (7.89%)$6333.21
Poke BallUncommon$0.341 in 13 (7.89%)$6333.21
Professor Elm's Training MethodUncommon$0.311 in 13 (7.89%)$6333.21
SpinarakCommon$0.301 in 9 (11.75%)$4255.23
Full HealUncommon$0.261 in 13 (7.89%)$6333.21
Grass EnergyCommon—1 in 9 (11.75%)$4255.23
Lightning EnergyCommon—1 in 9 (11.75%)$4255.23
Psychic EnergyCommon—1 in 9 (11.75%)$4255.23