
A $449.99 HeartGold SoulSilver pack returns $144.88 in expected card value on average — 32% of what you paid.
No official TCGPlayer pull-rate article covers HeartGold SoulSilver. These odds come from thepricedex.com, which publishes a rate for each tier but does not say how many packs it counted to get there — so read them as indicative rather than measured. They are here because they are the best published figures for this set, and naming that limit is better than implying a precision the source never claimed.
How these figures are calculated, including the sourcing bar and what this model deliberately does not do.
| Product | Price | Expected value | Expected return |
|---|---|---|---|
| HeartGold SoulSilver Booster Pack | $449.99 | $144.88 | 32% |
| HeartGold SoulSilver Booster Box | — | $5215.84 | TBD |
HeartGold SoulSilver Booster Pack · HeartGold SoulSilver Booster Box
| Product | Price per pack | Expected return |
|---|---|---|
| Booster Pack | $449.99 | 32% |
| Rarity | Pull rate | Sample |
|---|---|---|
| Holo Rare | 23.81% | |
| Ultra Rare | 26.39% | |
| Rare | 66.67% | |
| Common | 470% | |
| Uncommon | 300% |
| Card | Rarity | Market price | Odds | Cost to pull |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lugia Legend (Top) | Ultra Rare | $422.85 | 1 in 42 (2.4%) | $18756.69 |
| Lugia Legend (Bottom) | Ultra Rare | $329.19 | 1 in 42 (2.4%) | $18756.69 |
| Ho-Oh Legend (Top) | Ultra Rare | $266.15 | 1 in 42 (2.4%) | $18756.69 |
| Ho-Oh Legend (Bottom) | Ultra Rare | $225.25 | 1 in 42 (2.4%) | $18756.69 |
| Alph Lithograph | Ultra Rare | $145.71 | 1 in 42 (2.4%) | $18756.69 |
| Typhlosion (Prime) | Ultra Rare | $128.99 | 1 in 42 (2.4%) | $18756.69 |
| Feraligatr (Prime) | Ultra Rare | $126.49 | 1 in 42 (2.4%) | $18756.69 |
| Ampharos (Prime) | Ultra Rare | $100.38 | 1 in 42 (2.4%) | $18756.69 |
| Meganium (Prime) | Ultra Rare | $96.41 | 1 in 42 (2.4%) | $18756.69 |
| Blissey (Prime) | Ultra Rare | $80.13 | 1 in 42 (2.4%) | $18756.69 |
| Donphan (Prime) | Ultra Rare | $47.21 | 1 in 42 (2.4%) | $18756.69 |
| Gyarados (Red) | Holo Rare | $499.99 | 1 in 59 (1.7%) | $29398.82 |
| Gyarados (Red) | Holo Rare | $369.59 | 1 in 59 (1.7%) | $29398.82 |
| Gyarados | Holo Rare | $182.45 | 1 in 59 (1.7%) | $29398.82 |
| Arcanine | Holo Rare | $83.52 | 1 in 59 (1.7%) | $29398.82 |
| Gyarados | Holo Rare | $70.05 | 1 in 59 (1.7%) | $29398.82 |
| Ninetales | Holo Rare | $67.32 | 1 in 59 (1.7%) | $29398.82 |
| Pikachu | Common | $65.50 | 1 in 9 (11.75%) | $4255.23 |
| Slowking | Holo Rare | $63.52 | 1 in 59 (1.7%) | $29398.82 |
| Darkness Energy (Basic) | Common | $62.90 | 1 in 9 (11.75%) | $4255.23 |
| Ninetales | Holo Rare | $54.65 | 1 in 59 (1.7%) | $29398.82 |
| Growlithe | Common | $52.74 | 1 in 9 (11.75%) | $4255.23 |
| Feraligatr | Rare | $51.21 | 1 in 31 (3.17%) | $15748.90 |
| Caterpie | Common | $49.00 | 1 in 9 (11.75%) | $4255.23 |
| Slowking | Holo Rare | $46.74 | 1 in 59 (1.7%) | $29398.82 |
| Psychic Energy | Common | $46.39 | 1 in 9 (11.75%) | $4255.23 |
| Pichu | Rare | $45.63 | 1 in 31 (3.17%) | $15748.90 |
| Magikarp | Common | $44.93 | 1 in 9 (11.75%) | $4255.23 |
| Lapras | Rare | $43.00 | 1 in 31 (3.17%) | $15748.90 |
| Raichu | Holo Rare | $41.25 | 1 in 59 (1.7%) | $29398.82 |
| Arcanine | Holo Rare | $40.37 | 1 in 59 (1.7%) | $29398.82 |
| Sunflora | Rare | $40.00 | 1 in 31 (3.17%) | $15748.90 |
| Pokegear 3.0 | Uncommon | $39.99 | 1 in 13 (7.89%) | $6333.21 |
| Raichu | Holo Rare | $39.10 | 1 in 59 (1.7%) | $29398.82 |
| Vulpix | Common | $37.99 | 1 in 9 (11.75%) | $4255.23 |
| Wobbuffet | Holo Rare | $37.04 | 1 in 59 (1.7%) | $29398.82 |
| Wooper | Common | $36.75 | 1 in 9 (11.75%) | $4255.23 |
| Jigglypuff | Common | $36.39 | 1 in 9 (11.75%) | $4255.23 |
| Totodile | Common | $35.49 | 1 in 9 (11.75%) | $4255.23 |
| Meowth | Common | $33.90 | 1 in 9 (11.75%) | $4255.23 |
| Sandshrew | Common | $33.51 | 1 in 9 (11.75%) | $4255.23 |
| Fisherman | Uncommon | $32.81 | 1 in 13 (7.89%) | $6333.21 |
| Shuckle | Holo Rare | $32.11 | 1 in 59 (1.7%) | $29398.82 |
| Typhlosion | Rare | $30.99 | 1 in 31 (3.17%) | $15748.90 |
| Shuckle | Holo Rare | $30.45 | 1 in 59 (1.7%) | $29398.82 |
| Pokemon Communication | Uncommon | $30.30 | 1 in 13 (7.89%) | $6333.21 |
| Slowbro | Uncommon | $29.25 | 1 in 13 (7.89%) | $6333.21 |
| Grass Energy | Common | $28.49 | 1 in 9 (11.75%) | $4255.23 |
| Slowpoke | Common | $27.99 | 1 in 9 (11.75%) | $4255.23 |
| Heracross | Uncommon | $26.95 | 1 in 13 (7.89%) | $6333.21 |
| Chansey | Common | $26.79 | 1 in 9 (11.75%) | $4255.23 |
| Igglybuff | Uncommon | $26.75 | 1 in 13 (7.89%) | $6333.21 |
| Sunkern | Common | $26.35 | 1 in 9 (11.75%) | $4255.23 |
| Energy Switch | Uncommon | $26.26 | 1 in 13 (7.89%) | $6333.21 |
| Quagsire | Holo Rare | $25.93 | 1 in 59 (1.7%) | $29398.82 |
| Furret | Rare | $25.36 | 1 in 31 (3.17%) | $15748.90 |
| Water Energy | Common | $24.95 | 1 in 9 (11.75%) | $4255.23 |
| Wobbuffet | Holo Rare | $24.90 | 1 in 59 (1.7%) | $29398.82 |
| Fire Energy | Common | $24.69 | 1 in 9 (11.75%) | $4255.23 |
| Ampharos | Rare | $24.17 | 1 in 31 (3.17%) | $15748.90 |
| Quagsire | Holo Rare | $24.13 | 1 in 59 (1.7%) | $29398.82 |
| Lightning Energy | Common | $23.48 | 1 in 9 (11.75%) | $4255.23 |
| Metal Energy (Basic) | Common | $22.28 | 1 in 9 (11.75%) | $4255.23 |
| Ledian | Rare | $21.89 | 1 in 31 (3.17%) | $15748.90 |
| Phanpy | Common | $21.75 | 1 in 9 (11.75%) | $4255.23 |
| Butterfree | Rare | $20.05 | 1 in 31 (3.17%) | $15748.90 |
| Butterfree | Rare | $20.03 | 1 in 31 (3.17%) | $15748.90 |
| Jumpluff | Holo Rare | $20.00 | 1 in 59 (1.7%) | $29398.82 |
| Double Colorless Energy | Uncommon | $19.79 | 1 in 13 (7.89%) | $6333.21 |
| Switch | Uncommon | $19.20 | 1 in 13 (7.89%) | $6333.21 |
| Pokemon Collector | Uncommon | $18.45 | 1 in 13 (7.89%) | $6333.21 |
| Chikorita | Common | $18.37 | 1 in 9 (11.75%) | $4255.23 |
| Sunflora | Rare | $18.17 | 1 in 31 (3.17%) | $15748.90 |
| Cyndaquil | Common | $17.99 | 1 in 9 (11.75%) | $4255.23 |
| Fighting Energy | Common | $17.74 | 1 in 9 (11.75%) | $4255.23 |
| Unown (55) | Uncommon | $17.00 | 1 in 13 (7.89%) | $6333.21 |
| Ledyba | Common | $16.75 | 1 in 9 (11.75%) | $4255.23 |
| Metapod | Uncommon | $16.11 | 1 in 13 (7.89%) | $6333.21 |
| Farfetch'd | Rare | $15.82 | 1 in 31 (3.17%) | $15748.90 |
| Bayleef | Uncommon | $15.49 | 1 in 13 (7.89%) | $6333.21 |
| Staryu | Common | $15.40 | 1 in 9 (11.75%) | $4255.23 |
| Azumarill | Holo Rare | $15.00 | 1 in 59 (1.7%) | $29398.82 |
| Koffing | Common | $14.75 | 1 in 9 (11.75%) | $4255.23 |
| Fisherman | Uncommon | $14.70 | 1 in 13 (7.89%) | $6333.21 |
| Cleffa | Rare | $14.17 | 1 in 31 (3.17%) | $15748.90 |
| Noctowl | Holo Rare | $14.05 | 1 in 59 (1.7%) | $29398.82 |
| Lapras | Rare | $13.81 | 1 in 31 (3.17%) | $15748.90 |
| Persian | Rare | $13.65 | 1 in 31 (3.17%) | $15748.90 |
| Unown (54) | Uncommon | $13.23 | 1 in 13 (7.89%) | $6333.21 |
| Mareep | Common | $13.09 | 1 in 9 (11.75%) | $4255.23 |
| Clefairy | Common | $12.99 | 1 in 9 (11.75%) | $4255.23 |
| Clefable | Holo Rare | $12.96 | 1 in 59 (1.7%) | $29398.82 |
| Exeggutor | Rare | $12.92 | 1 in 31 (3.17%) | $15748.90 |
| Pikachu | Common | $12.28 | 1 in 9 (11.75%) | $4255.23 |
| Meganium | Rare | $11.98 | 1 in 31 (3.17%) | $15748.90 |
| Ledian | Rare | $11.80 | 1 in 31 (3.17%) | $15748.90 |
| Pokegear 3.0 | Uncommon | $11.57 | 1 in 13 (7.89%) | $6333.21 |
| Corsola | Uncommon | $11.39 | 1 in 13 (7.89%) | $6333.21 |
| Pichu | Rare | $11.34 | 1 in 31 (3.17%) | $15748.90 |
| Typhlosion | Rare | $11.16 | 1 in 31 (3.17%) | $15748.90 |
| Azumarill | Holo Rare | $10.81 | 1 in 59 (1.7%) | $29398.82 |
| Feraligatr | Rare | $10.74 | 1 in 31 (3.17%) | $15748.90 |
| Jynx | Common | $10.59 | 1 in 9 (11.75%) | $4255.23 |
| Jumpluff | Holo Rare | $10.37 | 1 in 59 (1.7%) | $29398.82 |
| Sandslash | Rare | $10.23 | 1 in 31 (3.17%) | $15748.90 |
| Girafarig | Common | $10.00 | 1 in 9 (11.75%) | $4255.23 |
| Rainbow Energy | Uncommon | $10.00 | 1 in 13 (7.89%) | $6333.21 |
| Hoppip | Common | $9.99 | 1 in 9 (11.75%) | $4255.23 |
| Sentret | Common | $9.99 | 1 in 9 (11.75%) | $4255.23 |
| Croconaw | Uncommon | $9.90 | 1 in 13 (7.89%) | $6333.21 |
| Delibird | Uncommon | $9.80 | 1 in 13 (7.89%) | $6333.21 |
| Clefable | Holo Rare | $9.64 | 1 in 59 (1.7%) | $29398.82 |
| Quilava | Uncommon | $9.57 | 1 in 13 (7.89%) | $6333.21 |
| Hitmontop | Holo Rare | $9.19 | 1 in 59 (1.7%) | $29398.82 |
| Furret | Rare | $9.16 | 1 in 31 (3.17%) | $15748.90 |
| Hitmontop | Holo Rare | $9.15 | 1 in 59 (1.7%) | $29398.82 |
| Igglybuff | Uncommon | $9.09 | 1 in 13 (7.89%) | $6333.21 |
| Exeggcute | Common | $9.00 | 1 in 9 (11.75%) | $4255.23 |
| Moomoo Milk | Uncommon | $8.99 | 1 in 13 (7.89%) | $6333.21 |
| Ampharos | Rare | $8.87 | 1 in 31 (3.17%) | $15748.90 |
| Marill | Common | $8.79 | 1 in 9 (11.75%) | $4255.23 |
| Miltank | Uncommon | $8.72 | 1 in 13 (7.89%) | $6333.21 |
| Pokemon Collector | Uncommon | $8.52 | 1 in 13 (7.89%) | $6333.21 |
| Snubbull | Common | $8.09 | 1 in 9 (11.75%) | $4255.23 |
| Smoochum | Rare | $7.50 | 1 in 31 (3.17%) | $15748.90 |
| Heracross | Uncommon | $7.32 | 1 in 13 (7.89%) | $6333.21 |
| Noctowl | Holo Rare | $7.23 | 1 in 59 (1.7%) | $29398.82 |
| Mantine | Uncommon | $7.12 | 1 in 13 (7.89%) | $6333.21 |
| Meganium | Rare | $7.05 | 1 in 31 (3.17%) | $15748.90 |
| Blissey | Uncommon | $7.00 | 1 in 13 (7.89%) | $6333.21 |
| Professor Oak's New Theory | Uncommon | $6.99 | 1 in 13 (7.89%) | $6333.21 |
| Farfetch'd | Rare | $6.74 | 1 in 31 (3.17%) | $15748.90 |
| Smoochum | Rare | $6.40 | 1 in 31 (3.17%) | $15748.90 |
| Pokemon Reversal | Uncommon | $6.36 | 1 in 13 (7.89%) | $6333.21 |
| Flaaffy | Uncommon | $6.23 | 1 in 13 (7.89%) | $6333.21 |
| Staryu | Common | $6.22 | 1 in 9 (11.75%) | $4255.23 |
| Cleffa | Rare | $6.15 | 1 in 31 (3.17%) | $15748.90 |
| Weezing | Rare | $6.07 | 1 in 31 (3.17%) | $15748.90 |
| Growlithe | Common | $6.04 | 1 in 9 (11.75%) | $4255.23 |
| Qwilfish | Uncommon | $5.75 | 1 in 13 (7.89%) | $6333.21 |
| Slowbro | Uncommon | $5.48 | 1 in 13 (7.89%) | $6333.21 |
| Wooper | Common | $5.09 | 1 in 9 (11.75%) | $4255.23 |
| Copycat | Uncommon | $5.08 | 1 in 13 (7.89%) | $6333.21 |
| Double Colorless Energy | Uncommon | $5.07 | 1 in 13 (7.89%) | $6333.21 |
| Hypno | Rare | $5.03 | 1 in 31 (3.17%) | $15748.90 |
| Hoothoot | Common | $5.00 | 1 in 9 (11.75%) | $4255.23 |
| Starmie | Uncommon | $5.00 | 1 in 13 (7.89%) | $6333.21 |
| Paras | Common | $4.90 | 1 in 9 (11.75%) | $4255.23 |
| Energy Switch | Uncommon | $4.85 | 1 in 13 (7.89%) | $6333.21 |
| Slowpoke | Common | $4.78 | 1 in 9 (11.75%) | $4255.23 |
| Drowzee | Common | $4.72 | 1 in 9 (11.75%) | $4255.23 |
| Granbull | Rare | $4.70 | 1 in 31 (3.17%) | $15748.90 |
| Tyrogue | Rare | $4.56 | 1 in 31 (3.17%) | $15748.90 |
| Donphan | Uncommon | $4.48 | 1 in 13 (7.89%) | $6333.21 |
| Wigglytuff | Uncommon | $4.43 | 1 in 13 (7.89%) | $6333.21 |
| Jigglypuff | Common | $4.32 | 1 in 9 (11.75%) | $4255.23 |
| Spinarak | Common | $4.10 | 1 in 9 (11.75%) | $4255.23 |
| Wigglytuff | Uncommon | $4.10 | 1 in 13 (7.89%) | $6333.21 |
| Clefairy | Common | $3.81 | 1 in 9 (11.75%) | $4255.23 |
| Sunkern | Common | $3.81 | 1 in 9 (11.75%) | $4255.23 |
| Ledyba | Common | $3.62 | 1 in 9 (11.75%) | $4255.23 |
| Pokemon Communication | Uncommon | $3.56 | 1 in 13 (7.89%) | $6333.21 |
| Persian | Rare | $3.37 | 1 in 31 (3.17%) | $15748.90 |
| Miltank | Uncommon | $3.18 | 1 in 13 (7.89%) | $6333.21 |
| Skiploom | Uncommon | $3.16 | 1 in 13 (7.89%) | $6333.21 |
| Sandslash | Rare | $3.11 | 1 in 31 (3.17%) | $15748.90 |
| Tyrogue | Rare | $3.06 | 1 in 31 (3.17%) | $15748.90 |
| Ariados | Rare | $3.00 | 1 in 31 (3.17%) | $15748.90 |
| Full Heal | Uncommon | $3.00 | 1 in 13 (7.89%) | $6333.21 |
| Metapod | Uncommon | $2.93 | 1 in 13 (7.89%) | $6333.21 |
| Chansey | Common | $2.89 | 1 in 9 (11.75%) | $4255.23 |
| Vulpix | Common | $2.86 | 1 in 9 (11.75%) | $4255.23 |
| Professor Elm's Training Method | Uncommon | $2.74 | 1 in 13 (7.89%) | $6333.21 |
| Poke Ball | Uncommon | $2.71 | 1 in 13 (7.89%) | $6333.21 |
| Exeggutor | Rare | $2.53 | 1 in 31 (3.17%) | $15748.90 |
| Dunsparce | Uncommon | $2.43 | 1 in 13 (7.89%) | $6333.21 |
| Cyndaquil | Common | $2.40 | 1 in 9 (11.75%) | $4255.23 |
| Caterpie | Common | $2.39 | 1 in 9 (11.75%) | $4255.23 |
| Meowth | Common | $2.32 | 1 in 9 (11.75%) | $4255.23 |
| Blissey | Uncommon | $2.30 | 1 in 13 (7.89%) | $6333.21 |
| Pokemon Reversal | Uncommon | $2.25 | 1 in 13 (7.89%) | $6333.21 |
| Totodile | Common | $2.23 | 1 in 9 (11.75%) | $4255.23 |
| Parasect | Uncommon | $2.21 | 1 in 13 (7.89%) | $6333.21 |
| Unown (54) | Uncommon | $2.16 | 1 in 13 (7.89%) | $6333.21 |
| Magikarp | Common | $2.13 | 1 in 9 (11.75%) | $4255.23 |
| Rainbow Energy | Uncommon | $2.02 | 1 in 13 (7.89%) | $6333.21 |
| Bayleef | Uncommon | $2.01 | 1 in 13 (7.89%) | $6333.21 |
| Quilava | Uncommon | $1.95 | 1 in 13 (7.89%) | $6333.21 |
| Chikorita | Common | $1.91 | 1 in 9 (11.75%) | $4255.23 |
| Hypno | Rare | $1.79 | 1 in 31 (3.17%) | $15748.90 |
| Weezing | Rare | $1.77 | 1 in 31 (3.17%) | $15748.90 |
| Croconaw | Uncommon | $1.73 | 1 in 13 (7.89%) | $6333.21 |
| Unown (55) | Uncommon | $1.70 | 1 in 13 (7.89%) | $6333.21 |
| Delibird | Uncommon | $1.66 | 1 in 13 (7.89%) | $6333.21 |
| Parasect | Uncommon | $1.63 | 1 in 13 (7.89%) | $6333.21 |
| Marill | Common | $1.60 | 1 in 9 (11.75%) | $4255.23 |
| Ariados | Rare | $1.51 | 1 in 31 (3.17%) | $15748.90 |
| Switch | Uncommon | $1.51 | 1 in 13 (7.89%) | $6333.21 |
| Skiploom | Uncommon | $1.45 | 1 in 13 (7.89%) | $6333.21 |
| Bill | Uncommon | $1.27 | 1 in 13 (7.89%) | $6333.21 |
| Flaaffy | Uncommon | $1.19 | 1 in 13 (7.89%) | $6333.21 |
| Sandshrew | Common | $1.12 | 1 in 9 (11.75%) | $4255.23 |
| Girafarig | Common | $1.11 | 1 in 9 (11.75%) | $4255.23 |
| Starmie | Uncommon | $1.10 | 1 in 13 (7.89%) | $6333.21 |
| Moomoo Milk | Uncommon | $1.02 | 1 in 13 (7.89%) | $6333.21 |
| Mantine | Uncommon | $0.97 | 1 in 13 (7.89%) | $6333.21 |
| Phanpy | Common | $0.94 | 1 in 9 (11.75%) | $4255.23 |
| Granbull | Rare | $0.89 | 1 in 31 (3.17%) | $15748.90 |
| Hoppip | Common | $0.88 | 1 in 9 (11.75%) | $4255.23 |
| Qwilfish | Uncommon | $0.82 | 1 in 13 (7.89%) | $6333.21 |
| Donphan | Uncommon | $0.79 | 1 in 13 (7.89%) | $6333.21 |
| Dunsparce | Uncommon | $0.70 | 1 in 13 (7.89%) | $6333.21 |
| Drowzee | Common | $0.69 | 1 in 9 (11.75%) | $4255.23 |
| Professor Oak's New Theory | Uncommon | $0.69 | 1 in 13 (7.89%) | $6333.21 |
| Paras | Common | $0.68 | 1 in 9 (11.75%) | $4255.23 |
| Copycat | Uncommon | $0.66 | 1 in 13 (7.89%) | $6333.21 |
| Corsola | Uncommon | $0.65 | 1 in 13 (7.89%) | $6333.21 |
| Hoothoot | Common | $0.65 | 1 in 9 (11.75%) | $4255.23 |
| Snubbull | Common | $0.59 | 1 in 9 (11.75%) | $4255.23 |
| Koffing | Common | $0.57 | 1 in 9 (11.75%) | $4255.23 |
| Mareep | Common | $0.57 | 1 in 9 (11.75%) | $4255.23 |
| Sentret | Common | $0.47 | 1 in 9 (11.75%) | $4255.23 |
| Exeggcute | Common | $0.44 | 1 in 9 (11.75%) | $4255.23 |
| Jynx | Common | $0.43 | 1 in 9 (11.75%) | $4255.23 |
| Bill | Uncommon | $0.35 | 1 in 13 (7.89%) | $6333.21 |
| Poke Ball | Uncommon | $0.34 | 1 in 13 (7.89%) | $6333.21 |
| Professor Elm's Training Method | Uncommon | $0.31 | 1 in 13 (7.89%) | $6333.21 |
| Spinarak | Common | $0.30 | 1 in 9 (11.75%) | $4255.23 |
| Full Heal | Uncommon | $0.26 | 1 in 13 (7.89%) | $6333.21 |
| Grass Energy | Common | — | 1 in 9 (11.75%) | $4255.23 |
| Lightning Energy | Common | — | 1 in 9 (11.75%) | $4255.23 |
| Psychic Energy | Common | — | 1 in 9 (11.75%) | $4255.23 |