Sets / Hidden Fates

Hidden Fates

A $49.15 Hidden Fates pack returns $18.56 in expected card value on average — 38% of what you paid.

No official TCGPlayer pull-rate article covers Hidden Fates, so these odds come from elitefourum.com, which discloses a 1,580-pack sample. Sources that do not state how many packs they counted are not used here, however confident they sound.

How these figures are calculated, including the sourcing bar and what this model deliberately does not do.

Products in this set

ProductPriceExpected valueExpected return
Hidden Fates Booster Pack$49.15$18.5638%
Hidden Fates Tin [Gyarados GX]$167.34$55.6833%
Hidden Fates Tin [Charizard GX]$170.84$55.6833%
Hidden Fates Tin [Raichu GX]$178.11$55.6831%
Hidden Fates Elite Trainer Box$564.69$167.0530%
Hidden Fates Ultra-Premium Collection$1275.00$278.4222%

Where to buy

Hidden Fates Booster Pack · Hidden Fates Tin [Gyarados GX] · Hidden Fates Tin [Charizard GX] · Hidden Fates Tin [Raichu GX] · Hidden Fates Elite Trainer Box · Hidden Fates Ultra-Premium Collection

Expected return by product type

ProductPrice per packExpected return
Booster Pack$49.1538%
Elite Trainer Box$62.7430%

Pull rates (source: community_estimate)

RarityPull rateSample
Secret Rare1.77%n=1580
Shiny Vault — Shiny GX (replaces reverse holo)10.19%n=1580
Holo Rare20%
Shiny Vault — Shiny (replaces reverse holo)21.2%n=1580
Ultra Rare24.81%n=1580
Rare58.82%
Common500%
Uncommon300%

Cards & odds

CardRarityMarket priceOddsCost to pull
Charizard GXShiny Holo Rare$768.101 in 383 (0.26%)$18811.09
Umbreon GXShiny Holo Rare$318.811 in 383 (0.26%)$18811.09
Sylveon GXShiny Holo Rare$222.591 in 383 (0.26%)$18811.09
CynthiaShiny Holo Rare$181.021 in 259 (0.39%)$12751.18
Mewtwo GXShiny Holo Rare$137.721 in 383 (0.26%)$18811.09
Espeon GXShiny Holo Rare$134.091 in 383 (0.26%)$18811.09
Greninja GXShiny Holo Rare$114.381 in 383 (0.26%)$18811.09
Darkrai GXShiny Holo Rare$103.621 in 383 (0.26%)$18811.09
Gardevoir GXShiny Holo Rare$86.051 in 383 (0.26%)$18811.09
Lucario GXShiny Holo Rare$85.891 in 383 (0.26%)$18811.09
Leafeon GXShiny Holo Rare$75.311 in 383 (0.26%)$18811.09
Jessie & James (Full Art)Ultra Rare$74.391 in 48 (2.07%)$2377.27
Scizor GXShiny Holo Rare$71.791 in 383 (0.26%)$18811.09
Reshiram GXShiny Holo Rare$58.111 in 383 (0.26%)$18811.09
Glaceon GXShiny Holo Rare$57.551 in 383 (0.26%)$18811.09
Alolan Ninetales GXShiny Holo Rare$53.891 in 383 (0.26%)$18811.09
EeveeShiny Holo Rare$50.431 in 259 (0.39%)$12751.18
Moltres & Zapdos & Articuno GXUltra Rare$49.531 in 48 (2.07%)$2377.27
Moltres & Zapdos & Articuno GX (Secret)Secret Rare$47.211 in 56 (1.77%)$2776.84
Moltres & Zapdos & Articuno GX (Full Art)Ultra Rare$47.071 in 48 (2.07%)$2377.27
Articuno GXShiny Holo Rare$46.851 in 383 (0.26%)$18811.09
Zygarde GXShiny Holo Rare$38.621 in 383 (0.26%)$18811.09
Ho-Oh GXShiny Holo Rare$37.671 in 383 (0.26%)$18811.09
CharmanderShiny Holo Rare$31.281 in 259 (0.39%)$12751.18
Brooklet HillShiny Holo Rare$27.571 in 259 (0.39%)$12751.18
Altaria GXShiny Holo Rare$26.461 in 383 (0.26%)$18811.09
WooperShiny Holo Rare$24.701 in 259 (0.39%)$12751.18
LucarioShiny Holo Rare$22.341 in 259 (0.39%)$12751.18
GuzmaShiny Holo Rare$22.051 in 259 (0.39%)$12751.18
Lycanroc GX (SV67)Shiny Holo Rare$20.691 in 383 (0.26%)$18811.09
Tapu Lele GXShiny Holo Rare$20.631 in 383 (0.26%)$18811.09
Nihilego GXShiny Holo Rare$20.531 in 383 (0.26%)$18811.09
Tapu Fini GXShiny Holo Rare$20.411 in 383 (0.26%)$18811.09
Decidueye GXShiny Holo Rare$19.861 in 383 (0.26%)$18811.09
Tapu Koko GXShiny Holo Rare$19.271 in 383 (0.26%)$18811.09
Tapu Bulu GXShiny Holo Rare$18.661 in 383 (0.26%)$18811.09
QuagsireShiny Holo Rare$18.471 in 259 (0.39%)$12751.18
Noivern GXShiny Holo Rare$17.791 in 383 (0.26%)$18811.09
Xurkitree GXShiny Holo Rare$16.871 in 383 (0.26%)$18811.09
CharmeleonShiny Holo Rare$16.861 in 259 (0.39%)$12751.18
Guzzlord GXShiny Holo Rare$16.511 in 383 (0.26%)$18811.09
LadyShiny Holo Rare$15.341 in 259 (0.39%)$12751.18
Electrode GXShiny Holo Rare$14.911 in 383 (0.26%)$18811.09
Naganadel GXShiny Holo Rare$14.811 in 383 (0.26%)$18811.09
Lycanroc GX (SV66)Shiny Holo Rare$14.201 in 383 (0.26%)$18811.09
ZoruaShiny Holo Rare$13.591 in 259 (0.39%)$12751.18
Silvally GXShiny Holo Rare$13.531 in 383 (0.26%)$18811.09
Alolan VulpixShiny Holo Rare$13.301 in 259 (0.39%)$12751.18
Stakataka GXShiny Holo Rare$12.641 in 383 (0.26%)$18811.09
Buzzwole GXShiny Holo Rare$12.361 in 383 (0.26%)$18811.09
RioluShiny Holo Rare$12.141 in 259 (0.39%)$12751.18
GarchompShiny Holo Rare$11.811 in 259 (0.39%)$12751.18
Banette GXShiny Holo Rare$11.771 in 383 (0.26%)$18811.09
Mt. CoronetShiny Holo Rare$11.521 in 259 (0.39%)$12751.18
Drampa GXShiny Holo Rare$11.491 in 383 (0.26%)$18811.09
Golisopod GXShiny Holo Rare$10.891 in 383 (0.26%)$18811.09
PheromosaShiny Holo Rare$10.351 in 259 (0.39%)$12751.18
Aether Foundation EmployeeShiny Holo Rare$10.321 in 259 (0.39%)$12751.18
ScytherShiny Holo Rare$9.971 in 259 (0.39%)$12751.18
Charizard GXUltra Rare$9.931 in 48 (2.07%)$2377.27
FroakieShiny Holo Rare$9.391 in 259 (0.39%)$12751.18
Kartana GXShiny Holo Rare$8.691 in 383 (0.26%)$18811.09
Turtonator GXShiny Holo Rare$8.411 in 383 (0.26%)$18811.09
Mewtwo GXUltra Rare$8.381 in 48 (2.07%)$2377.27
Aether Paradise Conservation AreaShiny Holo Rare$8.251 in 259 (0.39%)$12751.18
FishermanShiny Holo Rare$7.781 in 259 (0.39%)$12751.18
AltariaShiny Holo Rare$7.441 in 259 (0.39%)$12751.18
RowletShiny Holo Rare$6.911 in 259 (0.39%)$12751.18
GibleShiny Holo Rare$6.911 in 259 (0.39%)$12751.18
FrogadierShiny Holo Rare$6.841 in 259 (0.39%)$12751.18
PoipoleShiny Holo Rare$6.611 in 259 (0.39%)$12751.18
SwabluShiny Holo Rare$6.431 in 259 (0.39%)$12751.18
RaltsShiny Holo Rare$6.281 in 259 (0.39%)$12751.18
KirliaShiny Holo Rare$6.271 in 259 (0.39%)$12751.18
GabiteShiny Holo Rare$6.251 in 259 (0.39%)$12751.18
Gyarados GXUltra Rare$6.161 in 48 (2.07%)$2377.27
Shrine of PunishmentShiny Holo Rare$6.121 in 259 (0.39%)$12751.18
GuzzlordShiny Holo Rare$5.961 in 259 (0.39%)$12751.18
DiancieShiny Holo Rare$5.581 in 259 (0.39%)$12751.18
Type: NullShiny Holo Rare$5.541 in 259 (0.39%)$12751.18
RockruffShiny Holo Rare$5.451 in 259 (0.39%)$12751.18
XurkitreeShiny Holo Rare$5.391 in 259 (0.39%)$12751.18
MetangShiny Holo Rare$5.371 in 259 (0.39%)$12751.18
CelesteelaShiny Holo Rare$5.351 in 259 (0.39%)$12751.18
MagnetonShiny Holo Rare$5.331 in 259 (0.39%)$12751.18
HikerShiny Holo Rare$5.031 in 259 (0.39%)$12751.18
NoibatShiny Holo Rare$4.651 in 259 (0.39%)$12751.18
SudowoodoShiny Holo Rare$4.511 in 259 (0.39%)$12751.18
ShuppetShiny Holo Rare$4.381 in 259 (0.39%)$12751.18
KartanaShiny Holo Rare$4.101 in 259 (0.39%)$12751.18
VoltorbShiny Holo Rare$4.091 in 259 (0.39%)$12751.18
Giovanni's Exile (Full Art)Ultra Rare$4.081 in 48 (2.07%)$2377.27
BuzzwoleShiny Holo Rare$3.791 in 259 (0.39%)$12751.18
Wigglytuff GXUltra Rare$3.781 in 48 (2.07%)$2377.27
BeldumShiny Holo Rare$3.101 in 259 (0.39%)$12751.18
MagnezoneShiny Holo Rare$2.971 in 259 (0.39%)$12751.18
MagnemiteShiny Holo Rare$2.841 in 259 (0.39%)$12751.18
Raichu GXUltra Rare$2.771 in 48 (2.07%)$2377.27
MalamarShiny Holo Rare$2.721 in 259 (0.39%)$12751.18
Onix GXUltra Rare$2.701 in 48 (2.07%)$2377.27
InkayShiny Holo Rare$2.641 in 259 (0.39%)$12751.18
DartrixShiny Holo Rare$2.631 in 259 (0.39%)$12751.18
WimpodShiny Holo Rare$2.581 in 259 (0.39%)$12751.18
SeviperShiny Holo Rare$2.311 in 259 (0.39%)$12751.18
OranguruShiny Holo Rare$2.171 in 259 (0.39%)$12751.18
Starmie GXUltra Rare$2.161 in 48 (2.07%)$2377.27
Pinsir GXUltra Rare$1.311 in 48 (2.07%)$2377.27
PikachuCommon$6.991 in 4 (27.78%)$169.13
MewRare$6.571 in 26 (3.92%)$1198.06
PsyduckCommon$4.731 in 4 (27.78%)$169.13
Eevee (48)Holo Rare$4.661 in 30 (3.33%)$1409.40
Jessie & JamesHolo Rare$4.511 in 30 (3.33%)$1409.40
SnorlaxRare$3.791 in 26 (3.92%)$1198.06
Eevee (48)Holo Rare$2.771 in 30 (3.33%)$1409.40
MewRare$2.721 in 26 (3.92%)$1198.06
VaporeonHolo Rare$2.281 in 30 (3.33%)$1409.40
ArbokRare$2.231 in 26 (3.92%)$1198.06
Jessie & JamesHolo Rare$2.211 in 30 (3.33%)$1409.40
SlowpokeCommon$2.111 in 4 (27.78%)$169.13
LaprasRare$2.021 in 26 (3.92%)$1198.06
Misty's Water CommandHolo Rare$1.891 in 30 (3.33%)$1409.40
MagikarpCommon$1.841 in 4 (27.78%)$169.13
Misty's DeterminationUncommon$1.711 in 6 (17.65%)$266.22
CharmanderCommon$1.581 in 4 (27.78%)$169.13
CuboneCommon$1.541 in 4 (27.78%)$169.13
JigglypuffCommon$1.541 in 4 (27.78%)$169.13
VaporeonHolo Rare$1.451 in 30 (3.33%)$1409.40
Clefairy (39)Common$1.421 in 4 (27.78%)$169.13
ChanseyUncommon$1.331 in 6 (17.65%)$266.22
Eevee (49)Common$1.311 in 4 (27.78%)$169.13
SnorlaxRare$1.311 in 26 (3.92%)$1198.06
ClefableRare$1.231 in 26 (3.92%)$1198.06
Mr. MimeRare$1.191 in 26 (3.92%)$1198.06
ZapdosHolo Rare$1.141 in 30 (3.33%)$1409.40
JolteonRare$1.091 in 26 (3.92%)$1198.06
Clefairy (38)Common$1.061 in 4 (27.78%)$169.13
Ekans (26)Common$1.021 in 4 (27.78%)$169.13
PikachuCommon$1.011 in 4 (27.78%)$169.13
WeezingRare$0.981 in 26 (3.92%)$1198.06
ButterfreeRare$0.861 in 26 (3.92%)$1198.06
Misty's Water CommandHolo Rare$0.861 in 30 (3.33%)$1409.40
Brock's TrainingHolo Rare$0.641 in 30 (3.33%)$1409.40
JolteonRare$0.621 in 26 (3.92%)$1198.06
ZapdosHolo Rare$0.611 in 30 (3.33%)$1409.40
ElectrodeRare$0.571 in 26 (3.92%)$1198.06
CharmeleonUncommon$0.541 in 6 (17.65%)$266.22
Pokemon Center LadyUncommon$0.491 in 6 (17.65%)$266.22
KangaskhanRare$0.471 in 26 (3.92%)$1198.06
ClefableRare$0.461 in 26 (3.92%)$1198.06
Mr. MimeRare$0.461 in 26 (3.92%)$1198.06
MetapodUncommon$0.451 in 6 (17.65%)$266.22
Koga's TrapUncommon$0.451 in 6 (17.65%)$266.22
GolemRare$0.441 in 26 (3.92%)$1198.06
JynxUncommon$0.431 in 6 (17.65%)$266.22
ScytherUncommon$0.421 in 6 (17.65%)$266.22
Erika's HospitalityRare$0.421 in 26 (3.92%)$1198.06
StaryuCommon$0.401 in 4 (27.78%)$169.13
Clefairy (38)Common$0.401 in 4 (27.78%)$169.13
ChanseyUncommon$0.401 in 6 (17.65%)$266.22
Brock's GritUncommon$0.401 in 6 (17.65%)$266.22
CaterpieCommon$0.391 in 4 (27.78%)$169.13
PsyduckCommon$0.391 in 4 (27.78%)$169.13
Ekans (25)Common$0.391 in 4 (27.78%)$169.13
ArbokRare$0.391 in 26 (3.92%)$1198.06
Clefairy (39)Common$0.391 in 4 (27.78%)$169.13
Farfetch'dUncommon$0.391 in 6 (17.65%)$266.22
LaprasRare$0.381 in 26 (3.92%)$1198.06
ParasCommon$0.371 in 4 (27.78%)$169.13
JigglypuffCommon$0.371 in 4 (27.78%)$169.13
Eevee (49)Common$0.371 in 4 (27.78%)$169.13
Brock's TrainingHolo Rare$0.371 in 30 (3.33%)$1409.40
Lt. Surge's StrategyUncommon$0.371 in 6 (17.65%)$266.22
KoffingCommon$0.361 in 4 (27.78%)$169.13
Misty's DeterminationUncommon$0.361 in 6 (17.65%)$266.22
VoltorbCommon$0.351 in 4 (27.78%)$169.13
GeodudeCommon$0.341 in 4 (27.78%)$169.13
Blaine's Last StandRare$0.341 in 26 (3.92%)$1198.06
Misty's Cerulean City GymUncommon$0.341 in 6 (17.65%)$266.22
Sabrina's SuggestionUncommon$0.341 in 6 (17.65%)$266.22
MagikarpCommon$0.321 in 4 (27.78%)$169.13
GravelerUncommon$0.321 in 6 (17.65%)$266.22
Giovanni's ExileUncommon$0.321 in 6 (17.65%)$266.22
CharmanderCommon$0.301 in 4 (27.78%)$169.13
MagmarUncommon$0.301 in 6 (17.65%)$266.22
GolemRare$0.301 in 26 (3.92%)$1198.06
Bill's AnalysisRare$0.301 in 26 (3.92%)$1198.06
ButterfreeRare$0.291 in 26 (3.92%)$1198.06
KangaskhanRare$0.291 in 26 (3.92%)$1198.06
WeezingRare$0.281 in 26 (3.92%)$1198.06
Brock's Pewter City GymUncommon$0.271 in 6 (17.65%)$266.22
CuboneCommon$0.261 in 4 (27.78%)$169.13
Pokemon Center LadyUncommon$0.261 in 6 (17.65%)$266.22
ElectrodeRare$0.251 in 26 (3.92%)$1198.06
Bill's AnalysisRare$0.251 in 26 (3.92%)$1198.06
Erika's HospitalityRare$0.241 in 26 (3.92%)$1198.06
Farfetch'dUncommon$0.231 in 6 (17.65%)$266.22
CharmeleonUncommon$0.221 in 6 (17.65%)$266.22
Misty's Cerulean City GymUncommon$0.221 in 6 (17.65%)$266.22
CaterpieCommon$0.211 in 4 (27.78%)$169.13
ScytherUncommon$0.211 in 6 (17.65%)$266.22
Blaine's Last StandRare$0.211 in 26 (3.92%)$1198.06
Lt. Surge's StrategyUncommon$0.211 in 6 (17.65%)$266.22
SlowpokeCommon$0.201 in 4 (27.78%)$169.13
Ekans (26)Common$0.201 in 4 (27.78%)$169.13
Brock's GritUncommon$0.201 in 6 (17.65%)$266.22
Giovanni's ExileUncommon$0.191 in 6 (17.65%)$266.22
Ekans (25)Common$0.181 in 4 (27.78%)$169.13
Koga's TrapUncommon$0.171 in 6 (17.65%)$266.22
Sabrina's SuggestionUncommon$0.171 in 6 (17.65%)$266.22
GeodudeCommon$0.161 in 4 (27.78%)$169.13
JynxUncommon$0.141 in 6 (17.65%)$266.22
KoffingCommon$0.091 in 4 (27.78%)$169.13
MetapodUncommon$0.071 in 6 (17.65%)$266.22
GravelerUncommon$0.071 in 6 (17.65%)$266.22
Brock's Pewter City GymUncommon$0.071 in 6 (17.65%)$266.22
MagmarUncommon$0.061 in 6 (17.65%)$266.22
ParasCommon$0.051 in 4 (27.78%)$169.13
StaryuCommon$0.051 in 4 (27.78%)$169.13
VoltorbCommon$0.021 in 4 (27.78%)$169.13