Sets / Hidden Fates

Hidden Fates

A $46.42 Hidden Fates pack returns $18.53 in expected card value on average — 40% of what you paid.

No official TCGPlayer pull-rate article covers Hidden Fates, so these odds come from elitefourum.com, which discloses a 1,580-pack sample. A stated count is the difference between a measured rate and a confident guess, so it is recorded here whenever a source gives one.

About this set

Hidden Fates is remembered for its Shiny Vault, a subset of shiny cards that turns up in about one pack in five, and its chase is the shiny Charizard GX at around $780. Each shiny GX is roughly a one-in-380-pack pull. TCGplayer lists no booster box for the set.

There is no official TCGplayer count for Hidden Fates; the odds come from a 1,580-pack community compilation on elitefourum.com. At around $47 a loose pack, it returns about 40% of the price. (Written November 2026. Returns quoted here count every card in the pack, whatever its value; prices move daily, and the figures above are current.)

How these figures are calculated, including the sourcing bar and what this model deliberately does not do.

Products in this set

ProductPriceExpected valueExpected return
Hidden Fates Booster Pack$46.42$18.5340%
Hidden Fates Tin [Gyarados GX]$167.76$55.5933%
Hidden Fates Tin [Charizard GX]$178.03$55.5931%
Hidden Fates Elite Trainer Box$550.67$166.7830%
Hidden Fates Tin [Raichu GX]$183.56$55.5930%
Hidden Fates Ultra-Premium Collection$1366.67$277.9720%

Where to buy

Hidden Fates Booster Pack · Hidden Fates Tin [Gyarados GX] · Hidden Fates Tin [Charizard GX] · Hidden Fates Elite Trainer Box · Hidden Fates Tin [Raichu GX] · Hidden Fates Ultra-Premium Collection

Expected return by product type

ProductPrice per packExpected return
Booster Pack$46.4240%
Elite Trainer Box$61.1930%

Pull rates (source: community_estimate)

RarityPull rateSample
Secret Rare1.77%n=1580
Shiny Vault — Shiny GX (replaces reverse holo)10.19%n=1580
Holo Rare20%
Shiny Vault — Shiny (replaces reverse holo)21.2%n=1580
Ultra Rare24.81%n=1580
Rare58.82%
Common500%
Uncommon300%

Cards & odds

CardRarityMarket priceOddsCost to pull
Charizard GXShiny Holo Rare$779.271 in 383 (0.26%)$17766.24
Umbreon GXShiny Holo Rare$317.451 in 383 (0.26%)$17766.24
Sylveon GXShiny Holo Rare$227.251 in 383 (0.26%)$17766.24
CynthiaShiny Holo Rare$176.031 in 259 (0.39%)$12042.92
Espeon GXShiny Holo Rare$143.761 in 383 (0.26%)$17766.24
Mewtwo GXShiny Holo Rare$140.561 in 383 (0.26%)$17766.24
Greninja GXShiny Holo Rare$111.941 in 383 (0.26%)$17766.24
Darkrai GXShiny Holo Rare$101.221 in 383 (0.26%)$17766.24
Lucario GXShiny Holo Rare$85.741 in 383 (0.26%)$17766.24
Gardevoir GXShiny Holo Rare$83.321 in 383 (0.26%)$17766.24
Leafeon GXShiny Holo Rare$74.951 in 383 (0.26%)$17766.24
Jessie & James (Full Art)Ultra Rare$70.571 in 48 (2.07%)$2245.22
Scizor GXShiny Holo Rare$66.931 in 383 (0.26%)$17766.24
Reshiram GXShiny Holo Rare$59.281 in 383 (0.26%)$17766.24
Glaceon GXShiny Holo Rare$56.401 in 383 (0.26%)$17766.24
Alolan Ninetales GXShiny Holo Rare$53.061 in 383 (0.26%)$17766.24
Moltres & Zapdos & Articuno GXUltra Rare$47.611 in 48 (2.07%)$2245.22
Moltres & Zapdos & Articuno GX (Secret)Secret Rare$45.771 in 56 (1.77%)$2622.60
EeveeShiny Holo Rare$44.921 in 259 (0.39%)$12042.92
Articuno GXShiny Holo Rare$44.091 in 383 (0.26%)$17766.24
Moltres & Zapdos & Articuno GX (Full Art)Ultra Rare$42.601 in 48 (2.07%)$2245.22
Zygarde GXShiny Holo Rare$36.961 in 383 (0.26%)$17766.24
Ho-Oh GXShiny Holo Rare$36.711 in 383 (0.26%)$17766.24
Altaria GXShiny Holo Rare$28.851 in 383 (0.26%)$17766.24
CharmanderShiny Holo Rare$26.531 in 259 (0.39%)$12042.92
Brooklet HillShiny Holo Rare$26.371 in 259 (0.39%)$12042.92
WooperShiny Holo Rare$24.851 in 259 (0.39%)$12042.92
GuzmaShiny Holo Rare$24.301 in 259 (0.39%)$12042.92
Nihilego GXShiny Holo Rare$22.981 in 383 (0.26%)$17766.24
LucarioShiny Holo Rare$21.901 in 259 (0.39%)$12042.92
Decidueye GXShiny Holo Rare$21.601 in 383 (0.26%)$17766.24
Tapu Lele GXShiny Holo Rare$21.271 in 383 (0.26%)$17766.24
Lycanroc GX (SV67)Shiny Holo Rare$20.981 in 383 (0.26%)$17766.24
Tapu Fini GXShiny Holo Rare$20.541 in 383 (0.26%)$17766.24
Tapu Koko GXShiny Holo Rare$19.231 in 383 (0.26%)$17766.24
Noivern GXShiny Holo Rare$19.071 in 383 (0.26%)$17766.24
Tapu Bulu GXShiny Holo Rare$18.101 in 383 (0.26%)$17766.24
QuagsireShiny Holo Rare$17.691 in 259 (0.39%)$12042.92
Xurkitree GXShiny Holo Rare$17.531 in 383 (0.26%)$17766.24
CharmeleonShiny Holo Rare$17.341 in 259 (0.39%)$12042.92
Guzzlord GXShiny Holo Rare$16.531 in 383 (0.26%)$17766.24
ZoruaShiny Holo Rare$14.981 in 259 (0.39%)$12042.92
Lycanroc GX (SV66)Shiny Holo Rare$14.701 in 383 (0.26%)$17766.24
Naganadel GXShiny Holo Rare$14.641 in 383 (0.26%)$17766.24
LadyShiny Holo Rare$14.511 in 259 (0.39%)$12042.92
Electrode GXShiny Holo Rare$13.911 in 383 (0.26%)$17766.24
Alolan VulpixShiny Holo Rare$13.761 in 259 (0.39%)$12042.92
Buzzwole GXShiny Holo Rare$13.691 in 383 (0.26%)$17766.24
Silvally GXShiny Holo Rare$13.381 in 383 (0.26%)$17766.24
Stakataka GXShiny Holo Rare$12.911 in 383 (0.26%)$17766.24
RioluShiny Holo Rare$12.821 in 259 (0.39%)$12042.92
GarchompShiny Holo Rare$12.041 in 259 (0.39%)$12042.92
Banette GXShiny Holo Rare$11.921 in 383 (0.26%)$17766.24
PheromosaShiny Holo Rare$11.571 in 259 (0.39%)$12042.92
Drampa GXShiny Holo Rare$11.411 in 383 (0.26%)$17766.24
Mt. CoronetShiny Holo Rare$11.361 in 259 (0.39%)$12042.92
Charizard GXUltra Rare$11.261 in 48 (2.07%)$2245.22
Golisopod GXShiny Holo Rare$11.041 in 383 (0.26%)$17766.24
Aether Foundation EmployeeShiny Holo Rare$9.961 in 259 (0.39%)$12042.92
ScytherShiny Holo Rare$9.681 in 259 (0.39%)$12042.92
FroakieShiny Holo Rare$9.631 in 259 (0.39%)$12042.92
Kartana GXShiny Holo Rare$9.451 in 383 (0.26%)$17766.24
Mewtwo GXUltra Rare$9.061 in 48 (2.07%)$2245.22
Turtonator GXShiny Holo Rare$8.831 in 383 (0.26%)$17766.24
Aether Paradise Conservation AreaShiny Holo Rare$8.221 in 259 (0.39%)$12042.92
GibleShiny Holo Rare$8.101 in 259 (0.39%)$12042.92
SwabluShiny Holo Rare$7.911 in 259 (0.39%)$12042.92
RaltsShiny Holo Rare$7.531 in 259 (0.39%)$12042.92
AltariaShiny Holo Rare$7.491 in 259 (0.39%)$12042.92
FishermanShiny Holo Rare$7.461 in 259 (0.39%)$12042.92
KirliaShiny Holo Rare$7.441 in 259 (0.39%)$12042.92
RowletShiny Holo Rare$7.271 in 259 (0.39%)$12042.92
PoipoleShiny Holo Rare$7.001 in 259 (0.39%)$12042.92
FrogadierShiny Holo Rare$6.811 in 259 (0.39%)$12042.92
ShuppetShiny Holo Rare$6.761 in 259 (0.39%)$12042.92
Gyarados GXUltra Rare$6.491 in 48 (2.07%)$2245.22
GabiteShiny Holo Rare$6.371 in 259 (0.39%)$12042.92
GuzzlordShiny Holo Rare$6.321 in 259 (0.39%)$12042.92
CelesteelaShiny Holo Rare$6.251 in 259 (0.39%)$12042.92
SudowoodoShiny Holo Rare$6.181 in 259 (0.39%)$12042.92
Shrine of PunishmentShiny Holo Rare$5.971 in 259 (0.39%)$12042.92
RockruffShiny Holo Rare$5.931 in 259 (0.39%)$12042.92
MetangShiny Holo Rare$5.621 in 259 (0.39%)$12042.92
DiancieShiny Holo Rare$5.471 in 259 (0.39%)$12042.92
XurkitreeShiny Holo Rare$5.421 in 259 (0.39%)$12042.92
MagnetonShiny Holo Rare$5.221 in 259 (0.39%)$12042.92
Type: NullShiny Holo Rare$5.141 in 259 (0.39%)$12042.92
HikerShiny Holo Rare$5.131 in 259 (0.39%)$12042.92
NoibatShiny Holo Rare$5.001 in 259 (0.39%)$12042.92
VoltorbShiny Holo Rare$4.961 in 259 (0.39%)$12042.92
BuzzwoleShiny Holo Rare$4.041 in 259 (0.39%)$12042.92
KartanaShiny Holo Rare$4.041 in 259 (0.39%)$12042.92
MagnemiteShiny Holo Rare$3.921 in 259 (0.39%)$12042.92
Wigglytuff GXUltra Rare$3.611 in 48 (2.07%)$2245.22
MagnezoneShiny Holo Rare$3.541 in 259 (0.39%)$12042.92
Giovanni's Exile (Full Art)Ultra Rare$3.521 in 48 (2.07%)$2245.22
BeldumShiny Holo Rare$3.081 in 259 (0.39%)$12042.92
Onix GXUltra Rare$2.911 in 48 (2.07%)$2245.22
MalamarShiny Holo Rare$2.901 in 259 (0.39%)$12042.92
Raichu GXUltra Rare$2.891 in 48 (2.07%)$2245.22
WimpodShiny Holo Rare$2.801 in 259 (0.39%)$12042.92
DartrixShiny Holo Rare$2.741 in 259 (0.39%)$12042.92
InkayShiny Holo Rare$2.641 in 259 (0.39%)$12042.92
SeviperShiny Holo Rare$2.421 in 259 (0.39%)$12042.92
OranguruShiny Holo Rare$2.351 in 259 (0.39%)$12042.92
Starmie GXUltra Rare$2.171 in 48 (2.07%)$2245.22
Pinsir GXUltra Rare$1.351 in 48 (2.07%)$2245.22
MewRare$6.441 in 26 (3.92%)$1198.06
PikachuCommon$6.391 in 4 (27.78%)$169.13
Jessie & JamesHolo Rare$4.531 in 30 (3.33%)$1409.40
Eevee (48)Holo Rare$4.461 in 30 (3.33%)$1409.40
PsyduckCommon$4.281 in 4 (27.78%)$169.13
SnorlaxRare$3.781 in 26 (3.92%)$1198.06
MewRare$3.381 in 26 (3.92%)$1198.06
VaporeonHolo Rare$2.831 in 30 (3.33%)$1409.40
Eevee (48)Holo Rare$2.621 in 30 (3.33%)$1409.40
MagikarpCommon$2.521 in 4 (27.78%)$169.13
Jessie & JamesHolo Rare$2.491 in 30 (3.33%)$1409.40
ArbokRare$2.371 in 26 (3.92%)$1198.06
CuboneCommon$1.991 in 4 (27.78%)$169.13
LaprasRare$1.861 in 26 (3.92%)$1198.06
JigglypuffCommon$1.771 in 4 (27.78%)$169.13
Ekans (26)Common$1.711 in 4 (27.78%)$169.13
Misty's Water CommandHolo Rare$1.651 in 30 (3.33%)$1409.40
VaporeonHolo Rare$1.581 in 30 (3.33%)$1409.40
Misty's DeterminationUncommon$1.471 in 6 (17.65%)$266.22
CharmanderCommon$1.441 in 4 (27.78%)$169.13
Clefairy (38)Common$1.421 in 4 (27.78%)$169.13
Clefairy (39)Common$1.331 in 4 (27.78%)$169.13
Eevee (49)Common$1.271 in 4 (27.78%)$169.13
Mr. MimeRare$1.221 in 26 (3.92%)$1198.06
ChanseyUncommon$1.181 in 6 (17.65%)$266.22
JolteonRare$1.171 in 26 (3.92%)$1198.06
SnorlaxRare$1.121 in 26 (3.92%)$1198.06
ZapdosHolo Rare$1.081 in 30 (3.33%)$1409.40
WeezingRare$1.051 in 26 (3.92%)$1198.06
ClefableRare$1.031 in 26 (3.92%)$1198.06
SlowpokeCommon$0.991 in 4 (27.78%)$169.13
PikachuCommon$0.911 in 4 (27.78%)$169.13
ButterfreeRare$0.871 in 26 (3.92%)$1198.06
Misty's Water CommandHolo Rare$0.841 in 30 (3.33%)$1409.40
Brock's TrainingHolo Rare$0.621 in 30 (3.33%)$1409.40
JolteonRare$0.611 in 26 (3.92%)$1198.06
ZapdosHolo Rare$0.571 in 30 (3.33%)$1409.40
CharmeleonUncommon$0.561 in 6 (17.65%)$266.22
ElectrodeRare$0.531 in 26 (3.92%)$1198.06
JynxUncommon$0.531 in 6 (17.65%)$266.22
ClefableRare$0.531 in 26 (3.92%)$1198.06
KangaskhanRare$0.471 in 26 (3.92%)$1198.06
MetapodUncommon$0.461 in 6 (17.65%)$266.22
Mr. MimeRare$0.451 in 26 (3.92%)$1198.06
Pokemon Center LadyUncommon$0.451 in 6 (17.65%)$266.22
KoffingCommon$0.421 in 4 (27.78%)$169.13
GolemRare$0.421 in 26 (3.92%)$1198.06
Misty's Cerulean City GymUncommon$0.421 in 6 (17.65%)$266.22
ScytherUncommon$0.411 in 6 (17.65%)$266.22
Farfetch'dUncommon$0.411 in 6 (17.65%)$266.22
Brock's GritUncommon$0.411 in 6 (17.65%)$266.22
VoltorbCommon$0.401 in 4 (27.78%)$169.13
Ekans (25)Common$0.401 in 4 (27.78%)$169.13
ArbokRare$0.401 in 26 (3.92%)$1198.06
WeezingRare$0.391 in 26 (3.92%)$1198.06
GolemRare$0.391 in 26 (3.92%)$1198.06
Erika's HospitalityRare$0.391 in 26 (3.92%)$1198.06
Koga's TrapUncommon$0.391 in 6 (17.65%)$266.22
CaterpieCommon$0.371 in 4 (27.78%)$169.13
LaprasRare$0.371 in 26 (3.92%)$1198.06
Brock's TrainingHolo Rare$0.371 in 30 (3.33%)$1409.40
Sabrina's SuggestionUncommon$0.371 in 6 (17.65%)$266.22
ParasCommon$0.361 in 4 (27.78%)$169.13
Clefairy (39)Common$0.361 in 4 (27.78%)$169.13
JigglypuffCommon$0.361 in 4 (27.78%)$169.13
Lt. Surge's StrategyUncommon$0.361 in 6 (17.65%)$266.22
GeodudeCommon$0.351 in 4 (27.78%)$169.13
GravelerUncommon$0.351 in 6 (17.65%)$266.22
Blaine's Last StandRare$0.351 in 26 (3.92%)$1198.06
PsyduckCommon$0.341 in 4 (27.78%)$169.13
StaryuCommon$0.341 in 4 (27.78%)$169.13
MagikarpCommon$0.341 in 4 (27.78%)$169.13
Eevee (49)Common$0.331 in 4 (27.78%)$169.13
Giovanni's ExileUncommon$0.331 in 6 (17.65%)$266.22
Misty's DeterminationUncommon$0.321 in 6 (17.65%)$266.22
ButterfreeRare$0.311 in 26 (3.92%)$1198.06
Clefairy (38)Common$0.301 in 4 (27.78%)$169.13
ChanseyUncommon$0.301 in 6 (17.65%)$266.22
MagmarUncommon$0.291 in 6 (17.65%)$266.22
CuboneCommon$0.291 in 4 (27.78%)$169.13
CharmanderCommon$0.281 in 4 (27.78%)$169.13
KangaskhanRare$0.281 in 26 (3.92%)$1198.06
Bill's AnalysisRare$0.281 in 26 (3.92%)$1198.06
Brock's Pewter City GymUncommon$0.271 in 6 (17.65%)$266.22
JynxUncommon$0.261 in 6 (17.65%)$266.22
Bill's AnalysisRare$0.261 in 26 (3.92%)$1198.06
Erika's HospitalityRare$0.261 in 26 (3.92%)$1198.06
Farfetch'dUncommon$0.251 in 6 (17.65%)$266.22
CharmeleonUncommon$0.241 in 6 (17.65%)$266.22
MetapodUncommon$0.231 in 6 (17.65%)$266.22
Pokemon Center LadyUncommon$0.231 in 6 (17.65%)$266.22
SlowpokeCommon$0.221 in 4 (27.78%)$169.13
ElectrodeRare$0.221 in 26 (3.92%)$1198.06
Ekans (25)Common$0.221 in 4 (27.78%)$169.13
ScytherUncommon$0.211 in 6 (17.65%)$266.22
Koga's TrapUncommon$0.211 in 6 (17.65%)$266.22
Misty's Cerulean City GymUncommon$0.211 in 6 (17.65%)$266.22
CaterpieCommon$0.201 in 4 (27.78%)$169.13
Blaine's Last StandRare$0.201 in 26 (3.92%)$1198.06
Brock's GritUncommon$0.201 in 6 (17.65%)$266.22
Giovanni's ExileUncommon$0.201 in 6 (17.65%)$266.22
Ekans (26)Common$0.191 in 4 (27.78%)$169.13
GeodudeCommon$0.191 in 4 (27.78%)$169.13
Lt. Surge's StrategyUncommon$0.191 in 6 (17.65%)$266.22
KoffingCommon$0.171 in 4 (27.78%)$169.13
Sabrina's SuggestionUncommon$0.171 in 6 (17.65%)$266.22
ParasCommon$0.151 in 4 (27.78%)$169.13
MagmarUncommon$0.151 in 6 (17.65%)$266.22
StaryuCommon$0.111 in 4 (27.78%)$169.13
GravelerUncommon$0.101 in 6 (17.65%)$266.22
Brock's Pewter City GymUncommon$0.101 in 6 (17.65%)$266.22
VoltorbCommon$0.091 in 4 (27.78%)$169.13