A $382.43 Legendary Treasures pack returns $33.74 in expected card value on average — 9% of what you paid.
No official TCGPlayer pull-rate article covers Legendary Treasures, so these odds come from thepricedex.com, which discloses a disclosed sample. Sources that do not state how many packs they counted are not used here, however confident they sound.
How these figures are calculated, including the sourcing bar and what this model deliberately does not do.
| Product | Price | Expected value | Expected return |
|---|---|---|---|
| Legendary Treasures Booster Pack | $382.43 | $33.74 | 9% |
| Legendary Treasures Booster Box | $18750.00 | $1214.79 | 6% |
Legendary Treasures Booster Pack · Legendary Treasures Booster Box
| Product | Price per pack | Expected return |
|---|---|---|
| Booster Pack | $382.43 | 9% |
| Booster Box | $520.83 | 6% |
| Rarity | Pull rate | Sample |
|---|---|---|
| Secret Rare | 0.93% | |
| Ultra Rare | 8.34% | |
| Holo Rare | 23.81% | |
| Rare | 66.67% | |
| Common | 500% | |
| Uncommon | 300% |
| Card | Rarity | Market price | Odds | Cost to pull |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zekrom (115 Full Art Secret Rare) | Secret Rare | $411.19 | 1 in 215 (0.47%) | $82243.01 |
| Reshiram (114 Full Art Secret Rare) | Secret Rare | $347.86 | 1 in 215 (0.47%) | $82243.01 |
| Mew EX (Full Art) | Ultra Rare | $244.44 | TBD | TBD |
| Reshiram (Full Art) | Ultra Rare | $203.33 | TBD | TBD |
| Emolga (Full Art) | Ultra Rare | $86.76 | TBD | TBD |
| Shaymin EX (Full Art) | Ultra Rare | $58.37 | TBD | TBD |
| Lugia EX (Team Plasma) | Ultra Rare | $41.02 | 1 in 144 (0.7%) | $55025.90 |
| Meloetta EX (Full Art) | Ultra Rare | $37.29 | TBD | TBD |
| Darkrai EX | Ultra Rare | $32.54 | 1 in 144 (0.7%) | $55025.90 |
| Mewtwo EX | Ultra Rare | $16.03 | 1 in 144 (0.7%) | $55025.90 |
| Meloetta EX | Ultra Rare | $15.13 | TBD | TBD |
| Reshiram EX | Ultra Rare | $11.18 | 1 in 144 (0.7%) | $55025.90 |
| Chandelure EX | Ultra Rare | $10.85 | 1 in 144 (0.7%) | $55025.90 |
| Zekrom EX | Ultra Rare | $9.93 | 1 in 144 (0.7%) | $55025.90 |
| Victini EX | Ultra Rare | $8.74 | 1 in 144 (0.7%) | $55025.90 |
| Black Kyurem EX | Ultra Rare | $6.34 | 1 in 144 (0.7%) | $55025.90 |
| Kyurem EX | Ultra Rare | $5.95 | 1 in 144 (0.7%) | $55025.90 |
| White Kyurem EX | Ultra Rare | $5.44 | 1 in 144 (0.7%) | $55025.90 |
| Keldeo EX | Ultra Rare | $4.64 | 1 in 144 (0.7%) | $55025.90 |
| Excadrill EX | Ultra Rare | $4.55 | 1 in 144 (0.7%) | $55025.90 |
| Pikachu | Uncommon | $97.72 | TBD | TBD |
| Rayquaza | Holo Rare | $84.06 | 1 in 126 (0.79%) | $45137.34 |
| Charizard | Holo Rare | $69.45 | 1 in 126 (0.79%) | $45137.34 |
| Charizard | Holo Rare | $67.48 | 1 in 126 (0.79%) | $45137.34 |
| Mewtwo | Holo Rare | $62.25 | 1 in 126 (0.79%) | $45137.34 |
| Shuckle | Uncommon | $57.43 | 1 in 11 (9.38%) | $3821.23 |
| Charmander | Common | $57.23 | 1 in 5 (18.52%) | $1934.50 |
| Reshiram | Holo Rare | $49.16 | 1 in 126 (0.79%) | $45137.34 |
| Rayquaza | Holo Rare | $45.32 | 1 in 126 (0.79%) | $45137.34 |
| Lucario | Holo Rare | $42.65 | 1 in 126 (0.79%) | $45137.34 |
| Gyarados | Rare | $39.09 | 1 in 18 (5.56%) | $6448.00 |
| Emboar | Holo Rare | $37.67 | 1 in 126 (0.79%) | $45137.34 |
| Piplup | Common | $35.25 | 1 in 5 (18.52%) | $1934.50 |
| Eevee | Uncommon | $35.14 | TBD | TBD |
| Reshiram | Holo Rare | $33.29 | 1 in 126 (0.79%) | $45137.34 |
| Pignite | Uncommon | $31.57 | 1 in 11 (9.38%) | $3821.23 |
| Mewtwo | Holo Rare | $30.45 | 1 in 126 (0.79%) | $45137.34 |
| Magikarp | Common | $29.92 | 1 in 5 (18.52%) | $1934.50 |
| Charmeleon | Uncommon | $29.09 | 1 in 11 (9.38%) | $3821.23 |
| Emboar | Holo Rare | $26.90 | 1 in 126 (0.79%) | $45137.34 |
| Growlithe | Uncommon | $25.60 | TBD | TBD |
| Emolga | Uncommon | $24.20 | 1 in 11 (9.38%) | $3821.23 |
| Lucario | Holo Rare | $22.05 | 1 in 126 (0.79%) | $45137.34 |
| Natu | Common | $21.73 | 1 in 5 (18.52%) | $1934.50 |
| Sableye | Uncommon | $19.88 | 1 in 11 (9.38%) | $3821.23 |
| Tepig | Common | $19.27 | 1 in 5 (18.52%) | $1934.50 |
| Ninetales | Rare | $19.13 | 1 in 18 (5.56%) | $6448.00 |
| Victini | Holo Rare | $18.93 | 1 in 126 (0.79%) | $45137.34 |
| Piplup | Uncommon | $16.58 | TBD | TBD |
| Trubbish | Common | $15.34 | 1 in 5 (18.52%) | $1934.50 |
| Gardevoir | Uncommon | $14.16 | TBD | TBD |
| Hydreigon | Holo Rare | $13.88 | 1 in 126 (0.79%) | $45137.34 |
| Meloetta (86) | Rare | $13.54 | 1 in 18 (5.56%) | $6448.00 |
| Altaria | Uncommon | $12.86 | 1 in 11 (9.38%) | $3821.23 |
| Sewaddle (9) | Common | $12.82 | 1 in 5 (18.52%) | $1934.50 |
| Cinccino | Uncommon | $12.72 | TBD | TBD |
| Garchomp | Holo Rare | $12.10 | 1 in 126 (0.79%) | $45137.34 |
| Phione | Rare | $11.82 | 1 in 18 (5.56%) | $6448.00 |
| Bouffalant | Uncommon | $11.52 | 1 in 11 (9.38%) | $3821.23 |
| Minun | Uncommon | $11.22 | 1 in 11 (9.38%) | $3821.23 |
| Zapdos | Holo Rare | $11.07 | 1 in 126 (0.79%) | $45137.34 |
| Gothita (69) | Common | $10.89 | 1 in 5 (18.52%) | $1934.50 |
| Zoroark | Holo Rare | $10.84 | 1 in 126 (0.79%) | $45137.34 |
| Hydreigon | Holo Rare | $10.83 | 1 in 126 (0.79%) | $45137.34 |
| Gible | Common | $10.00 | 1 in 5 (18.52%) | $1934.50 |
| Vulpix | Common | $9.98 | 1 in 5 (18.52%) | $1934.50 |
| Garchomp | Holo Rare | $9.96 | 1 in 126 (0.79%) | $45137.34 |
| Minccino | Common | $9.40 | TBD | TBD |
| Articuno | Holo Rare | $9.21 | 1 in 126 (0.79%) | $45137.34 |
| Mismagius | Rare | $9.15 | 1 in 18 (5.56%) | $6448.00 |
| Ursaring | Common | $9.14 | TBD | TBD |
| Ralts | Common | $9.07 | TBD | TBD |
| Spiritomb | Uncommon | $8.95 | 1 in 11 (9.38%) | $3821.23 |
| Shuckle | Uncommon | $8.55 | 1 in 11 (9.38%) | $3821.23 |
| Cinccino | Holo Rare | $8.49 | 1 in 126 (0.79%) | $45137.34 |
| Empoleon | Rare | $8.39 | 1 in 18 (5.56%) | $6448.00 |
| Victini | Holo Rare | $8.35 | 1 in 126 (0.79%) | $45137.34 |
| Stunfisk | Uncommon | $8.33 | 1 in 11 (9.38%) | $3821.23 |
| Torchic | Common | $8.30 | TBD | TBD |
| Zekrom | Holo Rare | $8.04 | 1 in 126 (0.79%) | $45137.34 |
| Zorua | Common | $7.96 | 1 in 5 (18.52%) | $1934.50 |
| Purrloin | Uncommon | $7.92 | TBD | TBD |
| Charmeleon | Uncommon | $7.80 | 1 in 11 (9.38%) | $3821.23 |
| Articuno | Holo Rare | $7.30 | 1 in 126 (0.79%) | $45137.34 |
| Kirlia | Common | $7.22 | TBD | TBD |
| Riolu | Uncommon | $7.02 | 1 in 11 (9.38%) | $3821.23 |
| Meloetta (78) | Holo Rare | $6.96 | 1 in 126 (0.79%) | $45137.34 |
| Ralts | Common | $6.72 | 1 in 5 (18.52%) | $1934.50 |
| Meloetta (78) | Holo Rare | $6.64 | 1 in 126 (0.79%) | $45137.34 |
| Empoleon | Rare | $6.60 | 1 in 18 (5.56%) | $6448.00 |
| Moltres | Holo Rare | $6.47 | 1 in 126 (0.79%) | $45137.34 |
| Swadloon | Uncommon | $6.47 | 1 in 11 (9.38%) | $3821.23 |
| Oshawott | Common | $6.44 | 1 in 5 (18.52%) | $1934.50 |
| Garbodor | Holo Rare | $6.40 | 1 in 126 (0.79%) | $45137.34 |
| Palpitoad | Uncommon | $6.12 | 1 in 11 (9.38%) | $3821.23 |
| Zapdos | Holo Rare | $6.02 | 1 in 126 (0.79%) | $45137.34 |
| Gabite | Uncommon | $5.88 | 1 in 11 (9.38%) | $3821.23 |
| Zekrom | Holo Rare | $5.86 | 1 in 126 (0.79%) | $45137.34 |
| Kirlia | Uncommon | $5.81 | 1 in 11 (9.38%) | $3821.23 |
| Stunfisk | Uncommon | $5.81 | TBD | TBD |
| Pignite | Uncommon | $5.71 | 1 in 11 (9.38%) | $3821.23 |
| Reuniclus | Rare | $5.60 | 1 in 18 (5.56%) | $6448.00 |
| Audino | Common | $5.37 | TBD | TBD |
| Teddiursa | Common | $5.31 | TBD | TBD |
| Garbodor | Holo Rare | $5.11 | 1 in 126 (0.79%) | $45137.34 |
| Magikarp | Common | $5.11 | 1 in 5 (18.52%) | $1934.50 |
| Moltres | Holo Rare | $4.88 | 1 in 126 (0.79%) | $45137.34 |
| Prinplup | Uncommon | $4.86 | 1 in 11 (9.38%) | $3821.23 |
| Serperior | Uncommon | $4.82 | TBD | TBD |
| Stunfisk | Uncommon | $4.68 | 1 in 11 (9.38%) | $3821.23 |
| Gallade | Rare | $4.65 | 1 in 18 (5.56%) | $6448.00 |
| Piplup | Common | $4.62 | 1 in 5 (18.52%) | $1934.50 |
| Genesect | Holo Rare | $4.49 | 1 in 126 (0.79%) | $45137.34 |
| Samurott | Holo Rare | $4.49 | 1 in 126 (0.79%) | $45137.34 |
| Gothorita | Uncommon | $4.32 | 1 in 11 (9.38%) | $3821.23 |
| Cinccino | Holo Rare | $4.21 | 1 in 126 (0.79%) | $45137.34 |
| Sewaddle (10) | Common | $3.94 | 1 in 5 (18.52%) | $1934.50 |
| Serperior | Holo Rare | $3.89 | 1 in 126 (0.79%) | $45137.34 |
| Sigilyph | Holo Rare | $3.89 | 1 in 126 (0.79%) | $45137.34 |
| Tornadus | Holo Rare | $3.83 | 1 in 126 (0.79%) | $45137.34 |
| Swablu | Common | $3.79 | 1 in 5 (18.52%) | $1934.50 |
| Plusle | Uncommon | $3.78 | 1 in 11 (9.38%) | $3821.23 |
| Bouffalant | Uncommon | $3.52 | 1 in 11 (9.38%) | $3821.23 |
| Samurott | Holo Rare | $3.45 | 1 in 126 (0.79%) | $45137.34 |
| Crustle | Uncommon | $3.38 | 1 in 11 (9.38%) | $3821.23 |
| Minun | Uncommon | $3.24 | 1 in 11 (9.38%) | $3821.23 |
| Seismitoad | Rare | $3.24 | 1 in 18 (5.56%) | $6448.00 |
| Snivy | Common | $3.22 | TBD | TBD |
| Dewott | Uncommon | $3.15 | 1 in 11 (9.38%) | $3821.23 |
| Double Colorless Energy | Uncommon | $3.14 | 1 in 11 (9.38%) | $3821.23 |
| Swoobat | Uncommon | $2.99 | 1 in 11 (9.38%) | $3821.23 |
| Kyurem | Holo Rare | $2.98 | 1 in 126 (0.79%) | $45137.34 |
| Tornadus | Holo Rare | $2.97 | 1 in 126 (0.79%) | $45137.34 |
| Plusle | Uncommon | $2.96 | 1 in 11 (9.38%) | $3821.23 |
| Minccino | Common | $2.81 | 1 in 5 (18.52%) | $1934.50 |
| Druddigon | Uncommon | $2.73 | 1 in 11 (9.38%) | $3821.23 |
| Emolga | Uncommon | $2.72 | 1 in 11 (9.38%) | $3821.23 |
| Charmander | Common | $2.65 | 1 in 5 (18.52%) | $1934.50 |
| Servine | Uncommon | $2.65 | 1 in 11 (9.38%) | $3821.23 |
| Cherubi | Uncommon | $2.60 | 1 in 11 (9.38%) | $3821.23 |
| Kyurem | Holo Rare | $2.55 | 1 in 126 (0.79%) | $45137.34 |
| Sewaddle (9) | Common | $2.51 | 1 in 5 (18.52%) | $1934.50 |
| Virizion | Holo Rare | $2.48 | 1 in 126 (0.79%) | $45137.34 |
| Gothitelle | Holo Rare | $2.42 | 1 in 126 (0.79%) | $45137.34 |
| Serperior | Holo Rare | $2.37 | 1 in 126 (0.79%) | $45137.34 |
| Ninetales | Rare | $2.32 | 1 in 18 (5.56%) | $6448.00 |
| Woobat | Common | $2.30 | 1 in 5 (18.52%) | $1934.50 |
| Servine | Common | $2.28 | TBD | TBD |
| Zoroark | Holo Rare | $2.27 | 1 in 126 (0.79%) | $45137.34 |
| Gothitelle | Holo Rare | $2.23 | 1 in 126 (0.79%) | $45137.34 |
| Leavanny | Holo Rare | $2.10 | 1 in 126 (0.79%) | $45137.34 |
| Cobalion | Holo Rare | $2.09 | 1 in 126 (0.79%) | $45137.34 |
| Xatu | Rare | $2.07 | 1 in 18 (5.56%) | $6448.00 |
| Thundurus | Holo Rare | $2.05 | 1 in 126 (0.79%) | $45137.34 |
| Thundurus | Holo Rare | $2.04 | 1 in 126 (0.79%) | $45137.34 |
| Dwebble | Common | $2.00 | 1 in 5 (18.52%) | $1934.50 |
| Terrakion | Holo Rare | $2.00 | 1 in 126 (0.79%) | $45137.34 |
| Elesa | Common | $1.99 | TBD | TBD |
| Genesect | Holo Rare | $1.98 | 1 in 126 (0.79%) | $45137.34 |
| Landorus | Holo Rare | $1.96 | 1 in 126 (0.79%) | $45137.34 |
| Zweilous | Uncommon | $1.87 | 1 in 11 (9.38%) | $3821.23 |
| Carnivine | Uncommon | $1.83 | 1 in 11 (9.38%) | $3821.23 |
| Virizion | Holo Rare | $1.71 | 1 in 126 (0.79%) | $45137.34 |
| Snivy | Common | $1.69 | 1 in 5 (18.52%) | $1934.50 |
| Terrakion | Holo Rare | $1.68 | 1 in 126 (0.79%) | $45137.34 |
| Gyarados | Rare | $1.67 | 1 in 18 (5.56%) | $6448.00 |
| Toxicroak | Rare | $1.60 | 1 in 18 (5.56%) | $6448.00 |
| Palpitoad | Uncommon | $1.54 | 1 in 11 (9.38%) | $3821.23 |
| Energy Switch | Uncommon | $1.53 | 1 in 11 (9.38%) | $3821.23 |
| Phione | Rare | $1.53 | 1 in 18 (5.56%) | $6448.00 |
| Cobalion | Holo Rare | $1.45 | 1 in 126 (0.79%) | $45137.34 |
| Leavanny | Holo Rare | $1.44 | 1 in 126 (0.79%) | $45137.34 |
| Sigilyph | Holo Rare | $1.39 | 1 in 126 (0.79%) | $45137.34 |
| Servine | Uncommon | $1.35 | 1 in 11 (9.38%) | $3821.23 |
| Swablu | Common | $1.35 | 1 in 5 (18.52%) | $1934.50 |
| Duosion | Uncommon | $1.21 | 1 in 11 (9.38%) | $3821.23 |
| Cedric Juniper | Uncommon | $1.18 | 1 in 11 (9.38%) | $3821.23 |
| Crushing Hammer | Uncommon | $1.11 | 1 in 11 (9.38%) | $3821.23 |
| Tepig | Common | $1.10 | 1 in 5 (18.52%) | $1934.50 |
| Misdreavus | Common | $1.08 | 1 in 5 (18.52%) | $1934.50 |
| Swadloon | Uncommon | $1.08 | 1 in 11 (9.38%) | $3821.23 |
| Gothita (70) | Common | $1.05 | 1 in 5 (18.52%) | $1934.50 |
| Reuniclus | Rare | $1.04 | 1 in 18 (5.56%) | $6448.00 |
| Trubbish | Common | $1.01 | 1 in 5 (18.52%) | $1934.50 |
| Croagunk | Common | $0.98 | 1 in 5 (18.52%) | $1934.50 |
| Zorua | Common | $0.98 | 1 in 5 (18.52%) | $1934.50 |
| Landorus | Holo Rare | $0.97 | 1 in 126 (0.79%) | $45137.34 |
| Tangrowth | Rare | $0.94 | 1 in 18 (5.56%) | $6448.00 |
| Tympole | Common | $0.91 | 1 in 5 (18.52%) | $1934.50 |
| Tangela | Common | $0.90 | 1 in 5 (18.52%) | $1934.50 |
| Sableye | Uncommon | $0.88 | 1 in 11 (9.38%) | $3821.23 |
| Deino | Common | $0.83 | 1 in 5 (18.52%) | $1934.50 |
| Altaria | Uncommon | $0.79 | 1 in 11 (9.38%) | $3821.23 |
| Solosis (73) | Common | $0.77 | 1 in 5 (18.52%) | $1934.50 |
| Dewott | Uncommon | $0.73 | 1 in 11 (9.38%) | $3821.23 |
| Double Colorless Energy | Uncommon | $0.73 | 1 in 11 (9.38%) | $3821.23 |
| Gible | Common | $0.73 | 1 in 5 (18.52%) | $1934.50 |
| Gothorita | Uncommon | $0.71 | 1 in 11 (9.38%) | $3821.23 |
| Crustle | Uncommon | $0.68 | 1 in 11 (9.38%) | $3821.23 |
| Bianca | Uncommon | $0.66 | 1 in 11 (9.38%) | $3821.23 |
| Gallade | Rare | $0.66 | 1 in 18 (5.56%) | $6448.00 |
| Solosis (74) | Common | $0.66 | 1 in 5 (18.52%) | $1934.50 |
| Kirlia | Uncommon | $0.63 | 1 in 11 (9.38%) | $3821.23 |
| Meloetta (86) | Rare | $0.63 | 1 in 18 (5.56%) | $6448.00 |
| Mismagius | Rare | $0.63 | 1 in 18 (5.56%) | $6448.00 |
| Riolu | Uncommon | $0.62 | 1 in 11 (9.38%) | $3821.23 |
| Zweilous | Uncommon | $0.62 | 1 in 11 (9.38%) | $3821.23 |
| Minccino | Common | $0.60 | 1 in 5 (18.52%) | $1934.50 |
| Natu | Common | $0.58 | 1 in 5 (18.52%) | $1934.50 |
| Druddigon | Uncommon | $0.55 | 1 in 11 (9.38%) | $3821.23 |
| Gabite | Uncommon | $0.55 | 1 in 11 (9.38%) | $3821.23 |
| Oshawott | Common | $0.55 | 1 in 5 (18.52%) | $1934.50 |
| Spiritomb | Uncommon | $0.54 | 1 in 11 (9.38%) | $3821.23 |
| Misdreavus | Common | $0.49 | 1 in 5 (18.52%) | $1934.50 |
| Vulpix | Common | $0.49 | 1 in 5 (18.52%) | $1934.50 |
| Duosion | Uncommon | $0.48 | 1 in 11 (9.38%) | $3821.23 |
| Prinplup | Uncommon | $0.48 | 1 in 11 (9.38%) | $3821.23 |
| Crushing Hammer | Uncommon | $0.47 | 1 in 11 (9.38%) | $3821.23 |
| Gothita (69) | Common | $0.46 | 1 in 5 (18.52%) | $1934.50 |
| Ralts | Common | $0.46 | 1 in 5 (18.52%) | $1934.50 |
| Xatu | Rare | $0.44 | 1 in 18 (5.56%) | $6448.00 |
| Cherubi | Uncommon | $0.43 | 1 in 11 (9.38%) | $3821.23 |
| Swoobat | Uncommon | $0.43 | 1 in 11 (9.38%) | $3821.23 |
| Snivy | Common | $0.40 | 1 in 5 (18.52%) | $1934.50 |
| Toxicroak | Rare | $0.40 | 1 in 18 (5.56%) | $6448.00 |
| Energy Switch | Uncommon | $0.39 | 1 in 11 (9.38%) | $3821.23 |
| Sewaddle (10) | Common | $0.37 | 1 in 5 (18.52%) | $1934.50 |
| Tangela | Common | $0.37 | 1 in 5 (18.52%) | $1934.50 |
| Tangrowth | Rare | $0.37 | 1 in 18 (5.56%) | $6448.00 |
| Carnivine | Uncommon | $0.36 | 1 in 11 (9.38%) | $3821.23 |
| Dwebble | Common | $0.35 | 1 in 5 (18.52%) | $1934.50 |
| Deino | Common | $0.30 | 1 in 5 (18.52%) | $1934.50 |
| Gothita (70) | Common | $0.30 | 1 in 5 (18.52%) | $1934.50 |
| Solosis (73) | Common | $0.30 | 1 in 5 (18.52%) | $1934.50 |
| Solosis (74) | Common | $0.30 | 1 in 5 (18.52%) | $1934.50 |
| Cedric Juniper | Uncommon | $0.28 | 1 in 11 (9.38%) | $3821.23 |
| Croagunk | Common | $0.28 | 1 in 5 (18.52%) | $1934.50 |
| Seismitoad | Rare | $0.28 | 1 in 18 (5.56%) | $6448.00 |
| Bianca | Uncommon | $0.25 | 1 in 11 (9.38%) | $3821.23 |
| Tympole | Common | $0.24 | 1 in 5 (18.52%) | $1934.50 |
| Woobat | Common | $0.20 | 1 in 5 (18.52%) | $1934.50 |