No official TCGPlayer pull-rate article covers Majestic Dawn, so these odds come from thepricedex.com, which discloses a disclosed sample. Sources that do not state how many packs they counted are not used here, however confident they sound.
How these figures are calculated, including the sourcing bar and what this model deliberately does not do.
| Product | Price | Expected value | Expected return |
|---|---|---|---|
| Majestic Dawn Booster Pack | — | $75.46 | TBD |
| Majestic Dawn Booster Box | — | $2716.69 | TBD |
Majestic Dawn Booster Pack · Majestic Dawn Booster Box
| Rarity | Pull rate | Sample |
|---|---|---|
| Ultra Rare | 2.78% | |
| Holo Rare | 30.3% | |
| Rare | 66.67% | |
| Common | 500% | |
| Uncommon | 300% |
| Card | Rarity | Market price | Odds | Cost to pull |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Glaceon LV.X | Ultra Rare | $537.50 | 1 in 144 (0.7%) | TBD |
| Leafeon LV.X | Ultra Rare | $200.00 | 1 in 144 (0.7%) | TBD |
| Garchomp LV.X | Ultra Rare | $187.00 | 1 in 144 (0.7%) | TBD |
| Porygon-Z LV.X | Ultra Rare | $85.35 | 1 in 144 (0.7%) | TBD |
| Glaceon (5) | Holo Rare | $264.00 | 1 in 46 (2.16%) | TBD |
| Mewtwo | Holo Rare | $148.98 | 1 in 46 (2.16%) | TBD |
| Espeon | Rare | $125.00 | 1 in 30 (3.33%) | TBD |
| Zapdos | Holo Rare | $119.05 | 1 in 46 (2.16%) | TBD |
| Umbreon | Rare | $87.86 | 1 in 30 (3.33%) | TBD |
| Leafeon (7) | Holo Rare | $81.30 | 1 in 46 (2.16%) | TBD |
| Glaceon (5) | Holo Rare | $77.78 | 1 in 46 (2.16%) | TBD |
| Dawn Stadium | Uncommon | $75.00 | 1 in 10 (10%) | TBD |
| Palkia | Holo Rare | $74.95 | 1 in 46 (2.16%) | TBD |
| Umbreon | Rare | $71.24 | 1 in 30 (3.33%) | TBD |
| Pikachu | Common | $63.74 | 1 in 6 (15.63%) | TBD |
| Darkrai | Holo Rare | $62.40 | 1 in 46 (2.16%) | TBD |
| Articuno | Holo Rare | $61.78 | 1 in 46 (2.16%) | TBD |
| Dialga | Holo Rare | $55.62 | 1 in 46 (2.16%) | TBD |
| Darkrai | Holo Rare | $51.25 | 1 in 46 (2.16%) | TBD |
| Zapdos | Holo Rare | $51.00 | 1 in 46 (2.16%) | TBD |
| Eevee (63) | Common | $50.00 | 1 in 6 (15.63%) | TBD |
| Moltres | Holo Rare | $48.10 | 1 in 46 (2.16%) | TBD |
| Infernape | Rare | $46.00 | 1 in 30 (3.33%) | TBD |
| Scyther | Uncommon | $45.00 | 1 in 10 (10%) | TBD |
| Eevee (62) | Common | $44.99 | 1 in 6 (15.63%) | TBD |
| Flareon | Rare | $44.97 | 1 in 30 (3.33%) | TBD |
| Leafeon (7) | Holo Rare | $44.05 | 1 in 46 (2.16%) | TBD |
| Raichu | Uncommon | $42.34 | 1 in 10 (10%) | TBD |
| Munchlax | Common | $41.28 | 1 in 6 (15.63%) | TBD |
| Kabutops | Holo Rare | $38.39 | 1 in 46 (2.16%) | TBD |
| Vaporeon | Rare | $37.49 | 1 in 30 (3.33%) | TBD |
| Jolteon | Rare | $37.00 | 1 in 30 (3.33%) | TBD |
| Dialga | Holo Rare | $36.80 | 1 in 46 (2.16%) | TBD |
| Articuno | Holo Rare | $36.11 | 1 in 46 (2.16%) | TBD |
| Pachirisu | Uncommon | $33.43 | 1 in 10 (10%) | TBD |
| Kabutops | Holo Rare | $30.45 | 1 in 46 (2.16%) | TBD |
| Piplup (71) | Common | $29.91 | 1 in 6 (15.63%) | TBD |
| Mewtwo | Holo Rare | $27.97 | 1 in 46 (2.16%) | TBD |
| Scizor | Rare | $26.49 | 1 in 30 (3.33%) | TBD |
| Palkia | Holo Rare | $26.36 | 1 in 46 (2.16%) | TBD |
| Aipom (50) | Common | $26.29 | 1 in 6 (15.63%) | TBD |
| Moltres | Holo Rare | $26.19 | 1 in 46 (2.16%) | TBD |
| Glaceon (20) | Rare | $26.11 | 1 in 30 (3.33%) | TBD |
| Leafeon (24) | Rare | $26.00 | 1 in 30 (3.33%) | TBD |
| Plusle | Rare | $24.99 | 1 in 30 (3.33%) | TBD |
| Cresselia | Holo Rare | $24.32 | 1 in 46 (2.16%) | TBD |
| Rotom | Holo Rare | $23.01 | 1 in 46 (2.16%) | TBD |
| Aerodactyl | Rare | $22.00 | 1 in 30 (3.33%) | TBD |
| Cresselia | Holo Rare | $20.00 | 1 in 46 (2.16%) | TBD |
| Chimchar (56) | Common | $19.51 | 1 in 6 (15.63%) | TBD |
| Unown [Q] | Uncommon | $19.12 | 1 in 10 (10%) | TBD |
| Glaceon (20) | Rare | $18.44 | 1 in 30 (3.33%) | TBD |
| Empoleon | Rare | $18.00 | 1 in 30 (3.33%) | TBD |
| Kabuto | Common | $16.95 | 1 in 6 (15.63%) | TBD |
| Munchlax | Common | $16.65 | 1 in 6 (15.63%) | TBD |
| Call Energy | Uncommon | $16.48 | 1 in 10 (10%) | TBD |
| Minun | Rare | $15.95 | 1 in 30 (3.33%) | TBD |
| Scizor | Rare | $15.91 | 1 in 30 (3.33%) | TBD |
| Vaporeon | Rare | $15.53 | 1 in 30 (3.33%) | TBD |
| Espeon | Rare | $15.25 | 1 in 30 (3.33%) | TBD |
| Energy Search | Common | $15.00 | 1 in 6 (15.63%) | TBD |
| Flareon | Rare | $14.36 | 1 in 30 (3.33%) | TBD |
| Call Energy | Uncommon | $14.22 | 1 in 10 (10%) | TBD |
| Rotom | Holo Rare | $14.15 | 1 in 46 (2.16%) | TBD |
| Leafeon (24) | Rare | $13.92 | 1 in 30 (3.33%) | TBD |
| Turtwig (77) | Common | $12.66 | 1 in 6 (15.63%) | TBD |
| Turtwig (78) | Uncommon | $11.72 | 1 in 10 (10%) | TBD |
| Manaphy | Holo Rare | $11.62 | 1 in 46 (2.16%) | TBD |
| Plusle | Rare | $11.54 | 1 in 30 (3.33%) | TBD |
| Infernape | Rare | $11.51 | 1 in 30 (3.33%) | TBD |
| Mom's Kindness | Uncommon | $11.09 | 1 in 10 (10%) | TBD |
| Piplup (72) | Common | $10.00 | 1 in 6 (15.63%) | TBD |
| Fossil Excavator | Uncommon | $9.99 | 1 in 10 (10%) | TBD |
| Manaphy | Holo Rare | $9.56 | 1 in 46 (2.16%) | TBD |
| Aerodactyl | Rare | $9.46 | 1 in 30 (3.33%) | TBD |
| Monferno | Uncommon | $8.74 | 1 in 10 (10%) | TBD |
| Grotle | Uncommon | $8.57 | 1 in 10 (10%) | TBD |
| Phione (12) | Holo Rare | $8.56 | 1 in 46 (2.16%) | TBD |
| Bronzong | Rare | $8.23 | 1 in 30 (3.33%) | TBD |
| Pachirisu | Uncommon | $8.21 | 1 in 10 (10%) | TBD |
| Torterra | Rare | $8.01 | 1 in 30 (3.33%) | TBD |
| Unown [P] | Rare | $8.00 | 1 in 30 (3.33%) | TBD |
| Minun | Rare | $7.65 | 1 in 30 (3.33%) | TBD |
| Pikachu | Common | $7.54 | 1 in 6 (15.63%) | TBD |
| Old Amber | Uncommon | $7.41 | 1 in 10 (10%) | TBD |
| Prinplup | Uncommon | $7.34 | 1 in 10 (10%) | TBD |
| Unown [P] | Rare | $7.29 | 1 in 30 (3.33%) | TBD |
| Piplup (72) | Common | $7.17 | 1 in 6 (15.63%) | TBD |
| Lickitung | Uncommon | $6.99 | 1 in 10 (10%) | TBD |
| Unown [Q] | Uncommon | $6.77 | 1 in 10 (10%) | TBD |
| Chimchar (57) | Common | $6.60 | 1 in 6 (15.63%) | TBD |
| Sudowoodo | Uncommon | $6.51 | 1 in 10 (10%) | TBD |
| Omanyte | Common | $6.50 | 1 in 6 (15.63%) | TBD |
| Dawn Stadium | Uncommon | $6.29 | 1 in 10 (10%) | TBD |
| Aipom (51) | Common | $6.00 | 1 in 6 (15.63%) | TBD |
| Kangaskhan | Uncommon | $5.85 | 1 in 10 (10%) | TBD |
| Jolteon | Rare | $5.70 | 1 in 30 (3.33%) | TBD |
| Chingling | Common | $5.59 | 1 in 6 (15.63%) | TBD |
| Phione (12) | Holo Rare | $5.24 | 1 in 46 (2.16%) | TBD |
| Eevee (63) | Common | $5.17 | 1 in 6 (15.63%) | TBD |
| Toxicroak | Rare | $5.15 | 1 in 30 (3.33%) | TBD |
| Darkness Energy | Uncommon | $5.00 | 1 in 10 (10%) | TBD |
| Warp Point | Common | $5.00 | 1 in 6 (15.63%) | TBD |
| Phione (27) | Rare | $4.91 | 1 in 30 (3.33%) | TBD |
| Omastar | Rare | $4.83 | 1 in 30 (3.33%) | TBD |
| Dusk Ball | Uncommon | $4.80 | 1 in 10 (10%) | TBD |
| Super Scoop Up | Uncommon | $4.75 | 1 in 10 (10%) | TBD |
| Eevee (62) | Common | $4.58 | 1 in 6 (15.63%) | TBD |
| Quick Ball | Uncommon | $4.30 | 1 in 10 (10%) | TBD |
| Drifloon | Common | $4.23 | 1 in 6 (15.63%) | TBD |
| Chingling | Common | $4.13 | 1 in 6 (15.63%) | TBD |
| Glameow | Common | $3.84 | 1 in 6 (15.63%) | TBD |
| Dome Fossil | Common | $3.61 | 1 in 6 (15.63%) | TBD |
| Combee | Common | $3.24 | 1 in 6 (15.63%) | TBD |
| Omastar | Rare | $3.10 | 1 in 30 (3.33%) | TBD |
| Raichu | Uncommon | $3.05 | 1 in 10 (10%) | TBD |
| Hippowdon | Rare | $3.00 | 1 in 30 (3.33%) | TBD |
| Scyther | Uncommon | $2.96 | 1 in 10 (10%) | TBD |
| Staravia | Uncommon | $2.93 | 1 in 10 (10%) | TBD |
| Turtwig (78) | Uncommon | $2.78 | 1 in 10 (10%) | TBD |
| Buneary | Common | $2.56 | 1 in 6 (15.63%) | TBD |
| Manectric | Uncommon | $2.53 | 1 in 10 (10%) | TBD |
| Torterra | Rare | $2.39 | 1 in 30 (3.33%) | TBD |
| Energy Restore | Uncommon | $2.37 | 1 in 10 (10%) | TBD |
| Metal Energy | Uncommon | $2.34 | 1 in 10 (10%) | TBD |
| Phione (27) | Rare | $2.30 | 1 in 30 (3.33%) | TBD |
| Piplup (71) | Common | $2.30 | 1 in 6 (15.63%) | TBD |
| Shellos East Sea | Common | $2.28 | 1 in 6 (15.63%) | TBD |
| Spearow | Common | $2.24 | 1 in 6 (15.63%) | TBD |
| Mothim | Uncommon | $2.23 | 1 in 10 (10%) | TBD |
| Fearow | Uncommon | $2.21 | 1 in 10 (10%) | TBD |
| Ambipom | Uncommon | $2.20 | 1 in 10 (10%) | TBD |
| Health Energy | Uncommon | $2.14 | 1 in 10 (10%) | TBD |
| Croagunk | Common | $2.06 | 1 in 6 (15.63%) | TBD |
| Hippowdon | Rare | $1.97 | 1 in 30 (3.33%) | TBD |
| Bronzong | Rare | $1.84 | 1 in 30 (3.33%) | TBD |
| Starly | Common | $1.76 | 1 in 6 (15.63%) | TBD |
| Stunky | Common | $1.75 | 1 in 6 (15.63%) | TBD |
| Super Scoop Up | Uncommon | $1.63 | 1 in 10 (10%) | TBD |
| Helix Fossil | Common | $1.61 | 1 in 6 (15.63%) | TBD |
| Drifloon | Common | $1.60 | 1 in 6 (15.63%) | TBD |
| Toxicroak | Rare | $1.51 | 1 in 30 (3.33%) | TBD |
| Bronzor | Common | $1.47 | 1 in 6 (15.63%) | TBD |
| Empoleon | Rare | $1.43 | 1 in 30 (3.33%) | TBD |
| Chatot | Common | $1.38 | 1 in 6 (15.63%) | TBD |
| Poke Ball | Uncommon | $1.34 | 1 in 10 (10%) | TBD |
| Aipom (50) | Common | $1.32 | 1 in 6 (15.63%) | TBD |
| Hippopotas | Common | $1.30 | 1 in 6 (15.63%) | TBD |
| Fossil Excavator | Uncommon | $1.27 | 1 in 10 (10%) | TBD |
| Recover Energy | Uncommon | $1.21 | 1 in 10 (10%) | TBD |
| Electrike | Common | $1.14 | 1 in 6 (15.63%) | TBD |
| Darkness Energy | Uncommon | $1.12 | 1 in 10 (10%) | TBD |
| Chimchar (57) | Common | $1.09 | 1 in 6 (15.63%) | TBD |
| Sudowoodo | Uncommon | $0.88 | 1 in 10 (10%) | TBD |
| Monferno | Uncommon | $0.85 | 1 in 10 (10%) | TBD |
| Health Energy | Uncommon | $0.80 | 1 in 10 (10%) | TBD |
| Omanyte | Common | $0.79 | 1 in 6 (15.63%) | TBD |
| Buneary | Common | $0.77 | 1 in 6 (15.63%) | TBD |
| Kangaskhan | Uncommon | $0.75 | 1 in 10 (10%) | TBD |
| Warp Point | Common | $0.75 | 1 in 6 (15.63%) | TBD |
| Kabuto | Common | $0.74 | 1 in 6 (15.63%) | TBD |
| Burmy Sandy Cloak | Common | $0.68 | 1 in 6 (15.63%) | TBD |
| Mothim | Uncommon | $0.67 | 1 in 10 (10%) | TBD |
| Grotle | Uncommon | $0.65 | 1 in 10 (10%) | TBD |
| Lickitung | Uncommon | $0.65 | 1 in 10 (10%) | TBD |
| Mom's Kindness | Uncommon | $0.63 | 1 in 10 (10%) | TBD |
| Stunky | Common | $0.56 | 1 in 6 (15.63%) | TBD |
| Turtwig (77) | Common | $0.56 | 1 in 6 (15.63%) | TBD |
| Dusk Ball | Uncommon | $0.54 | 1 in 10 (10%) | TBD |
| Prinplup | Uncommon | $0.54 | 1 in 10 (10%) | TBD |
| Recover Energy | Uncommon | $0.52 | 1 in 10 (10%) | TBD |
| Quick Ball | Uncommon | $0.51 | 1 in 10 (10%) | TBD |
| Chimchar (56) | Common | $0.50 | 1 in 6 (15.63%) | TBD |
| Staravia | Uncommon | $0.48 | 1 in 10 (10%) | TBD |
| Helix Fossil | Common | $0.42 | 1 in 6 (15.63%) | TBD |
| Manectric | Uncommon | $0.42 | 1 in 10 (10%) | TBD |
| Old Amber | Uncommon | $0.42 | 1 in 10 (10%) | TBD |
| Aipom (51) | Common | $0.41 | 1 in 6 (15.63%) | TBD |
| Metal Energy | Uncommon | $0.41 | 1 in 10 (10%) | TBD |
| Combee | Common | $0.40 | 1 in 6 (15.63%) | TBD |
| Fearow | Uncommon | $0.40 | 1 in 10 (10%) | TBD |
| Burmy Sandy Cloak | Common | $0.35 | 1 in 6 (15.63%) | TBD |
| Energy Restore | Uncommon | $0.35 | 1 in 10 (10%) | TBD |
| Glameow | Common | $0.35 | 1 in 6 (15.63%) | TBD |
| Shellos East Sea | Common | $0.35 | 1 in 6 (15.63%) | TBD |
| Dome Fossil | Common | $0.34 | 1 in 6 (15.63%) | TBD |
| Poke Ball | Uncommon | $0.34 | 1 in 10 (10%) | TBD |
| Starly | Common | $0.34 | 1 in 6 (15.63%) | TBD |
| Ambipom | Uncommon | $0.33 | 1 in 10 (10%) | TBD |
| Spearow | Common | $0.32 | 1 in 6 (15.63%) | TBD |
| Electrike | Common | $0.29 | 1 in 6 (15.63%) | TBD |
| Energy Search | Common | $0.29 | 1 in 6 (15.63%) | TBD |
| Hippopotas | Common | $0.27 | 1 in 6 (15.63%) | TBD |
| Bronzor | Common | $0.26 | 1 in 6 (15.63%) | TBD |
| Croagunk | Common | $0.24 | 1 in 6 (15.63%) | TBD |
| Chatot | Common | $0.15 | 1 in 6 (15.63%) | TBD |