Sets / 30th Celebration

30th Celebration

A $13.47 30th Celebration pack returns $9.02 in expected card value on average — 67% of what you paid.

These odds are TCGPlayer's own published figures for 30th Celebration, from a 3,000-pack sample opened and counted by their Authentication Center.

How these figures are calculated, including the sourcing bar and what this model deliberately does not do.

Products in this set

ProductPriceExpected valueExpected return
30th Celebration Poster Collection$40.42$27.0567%
30th Celebration Tech Sticker Collection [Lucario]$40.92$27.0566%
30th Celebration Tech Sticker Collection [Alolan Exeggutor]$41.32$27.0565%
30th Celebration ex Tin [Greninja ex] (International Version)$55.65$36.0765%
30th Celebration Sylveon ex Box$62.55$36.0758%
30th Celebration Greninja ex Box$63.03$36.0757%
30th Celebration Knock Out Collection$32.95$18.0355%
30th Celebration Booster Pack$16.72$9.0254%
30th Celebration ex Tin [Sylveon ex] (International Version)$68.68$36.0753%
30th Celebration Elite Trainer Box$159.84$81.1551%
30th Celebration Booster Bundle$109.06$54.1050%
30th Celebration Binder Collection$92.84$45.0949%
30th Celebration Ultra-Premium Collection [Day]$566.37$261.4946%
30th Celebration Figure Collection [Mewtwo]$115.00$45.0939%
30th Celebration Ditto Premium Collection$193.74$72.1437%
30th Celebration Mini Tin [Mew]$48.87$18.0337%
30th Celebration Mini Tin [Day Pikachu]$49.24$18.0337%
30th Celebration Mini Tin [Umbreon]$49.63$18.0336%
30th Celebration Mini Tin [Night Pikachu]$49.68$18.0336%
30th Celebration Ultra-Premium Collection [Night]$723.42$261.4936%
30th Celebration Figure Collection [Mew]$124.84$45.0936%
30th Celebration Mini Tin [Espeon]$50.00$18.0336%
30th Celebration Mini Tin [Lapras]$50.10$18.0336%
30th Celebration Mini Tin [Greninja]$50.76$18.0336%
30th Celebration Mini Tin [Mewtwo]$52.50$18.0334%
30th Celebration Mini Tin [Moltres]$52.74$18.0334%
30th Celebration Mini Tin [Zapdos]$54.88$18.0333%
30th Celebration 2-Pack Blister$59.22$18.0330%
30th Celebration Pokemon Center Elite Trainer Box$310.92$81.1526%

Where to buy

30th Celebration Poster Collection · 30th Celebration Tech Sticker Collection [Lucario] · 30th Celebration Tech Sticker Collection [Alolan Exeggutor] · 30th Celebration ex Tin [Greninja ex] (International Version) · 30th Celebration Sylveon ex Box · 30th Celebration Greninja ex Box · 30th Celebration Knock Out Collection · 30th Celebration Booster Pack · 30th Celebration ex Tin [Sylveon ex] (International Version) · 30th Celebration Elite Trainer Box · 30th Celebration Booster Bundle · 30th Celebration Binder Collection · 30th Celebration Ultra-Premium Collection [Day] · 30th Celebration Figure Collection [Mewtwo] · 30th Celebration Ditto Premium Collection · 30th Celebration Mini Tin [Mew] · 30th Celebration Mini Tin [Day Pikachu] · 30th Celebration Mini Tin [Umbreon] · 30th Celebration Mini Tin [Night Pikachu] · 30th Celebration Ultra-Premium Collection [Night] · 30th Celebration Figure Collection [Mew] · 30th Celebration Mini Tin [Espeon] · 30th Celebration Mini Tin [Lapras] · 30th Celebration Mini Tin [Greninja] · 30th Celebration Mini Tin [Mewtwo] · 30th Celebration Mini Tin [Moltres] · 30th Celebration Mini Tin [Zapdos] · 30th Celebration 2-Pack Blister · 30th Celebration Pokemon Center Elite Trainer Box

Expected return by product type

ProductPrice per packExpected return
Booster Pack$16.7254%
Elite Trainer Box$17.7651%
Booster Bundle$18.1850%

Pull rates (source: tcgplayer_blog)

RarityPull rateSample
RGB Rare0.025%n=4063
Futuristic Rare0.83%n=3000
Special Illustration Rare4.88%n=3000
Classic Collection — Classic Collection10.15%n=3000
Double Rare21.02%n=3000
Illustration Rare19.72%n=3000

Cards & odds

CardRarityMarket priceOddsCost to pull
Mew - G/RGBRGB Rare$3691.001 in 12000 (0.0083%)$161680.00
LugiaClassic Collection$389.311 in 296 (0.34%)$3982.27
CharizardClassic Collection$207.721 in 296 (0.34%)$3982.27
Mew ex - 152/128Special Illustration Rare$154.281 in 205 (0.49%)$2760.93
MagikarpClassic Collection$134.641 in 296 (0.34%)$3982.27
Gengar ex - 154/128Special Illustration Rare$118.581 in 205 (0.49%)$2760.93
Jirachi ex - 155/128Special Illustration Rare$97.041 in 205 (0.49%)$2760.93
Mew ex - 158/128Futuristic Rare$93.101 in 241 (0.42%)$3246.59
Pikachu ex - 150/128Special Illustration Rare$90.971 in 205 (0.49%)$2760.93
Mewtwo ex - 151/128Special Illustration Rare$79.691 in 205 (0.49%)$2760.93
Gengar (Prime)Classic Collection$78.831 in 296 (0.34%)$3982.27
Pikachu ex - 149/128Special Illustration Rare$74.641 in 205 (0.49%)$2760.93
Sylveon ex - 153/128Special Illustration Rare$67.341 in 205 (0.49%)$2760.93
Mewtwo ex - 157/128Futuristic Rare$65.811 in 241 (0.42%)$3246.59
Pikachu & Zekrom GXClassic Collection$42.371 in 296 (0.34%)$3982.27
Shining CelebiClassic Collection$35.631 in 296 (0.34%)$3982.27
Greninja ex - 148/128Special Illustration Rare$35.201 in 205 (0.49%)$2760.93
Darkrai & Cresselia Legend (Top)Classic Collection$30.201 in 296 (0.34%)$3982.27
PikachuClassic Collection$27.131 in 296 (0.34%)$3982.27
Darkrai & Cresselia Legend (Bottom)Classic Collection$27.091 in 296 (0.34%)$3982.27
Rayquaza EXClassic Collection$26.401 in 296 (0.34%)$3982.27
Salamence ex - 156/128Special Illustration Rare$25.061 in 205 (0.49%)$2760.93
Mew VMAXClassic Collection$24.001 in 296 (0.34%)$3982.27
Fuecoco ex - 147/128Special Illustration Rare$20.941 in 205 (0.49%)$2760.93
Dark TyranitarClassic Collection$18.961 in 296 (0.34%)$3982.27
NClassic Collection$18.891 in 296 (0.34%)$3982.27
Maushold - 146/128Illustration Rare$17.041 in 91 (1.1%)$1229.82
Meowth - 144/128Illustration Rare$15.481 in 91 (1.1%)$1229.82
Scizor exClassic Collection$15.231 in 296 (0.34%)$3982.27
Erika's JigglypuffClassic Collection$15.021 in 296 (0.34%)$3982.27
Greninja BREAKClassic Collection$14.971 in 296 (0.34%)$3982.27
RaikouClassic Collection$14.231 in 296 (0.34%)$3982.27
Palkia LV.XClassic Collection$12.341 in 296 (0.34%)$3982.27
M Gardevoir EXClassic Collection$12.291 in 296 (0.34%)$3982.27
Articuno - 132/128Illustration Rare$12.171 in 91 (1.1%)$1229.82
Galarian Meowth - 141/128Illustration Rare$11.731 in 91 (1.1%)$1229.82
Lapras - 131/128Illustration Rare$11.711 in 91 (1.1%)$1229.82
Metagross (Delta Species)Classic Collection$11.621 in 296 (0.34%)$3982.27
Alolan Meowth - 139/128Illustration Rare$10.881 in 91 (1.1%)$1229.82
Zapdos - 133/128Illustration Rare$10.661 in 91 (1.1%)$1229.82
MistyClassic Collection$10.421 in 296 (0.34%)$3982.27
Moltres - 130/128Illustration Rare$9.801 in 91 (1.1%)$1229.82
Arceus VSTARClassic Collection$9.251 in 296 (0.34%)$3982.27
Morpeko - 135/128Illustration Rare$9.081 in 91 (1.1%)$1229.82
Hisuian Zorua - 145/128Illustration Rare$8.981 in 91 (1.1%)$1229.82
Crobat GClassic Collection$8.821 in 296 (0.34%)$3982.27
Solgaleo GXClassic Collection$8.391 in 296 (0.34%)$3982.27
Drifloon - 136/128Illustration Rare$7.231 in 91 (1.1%)$1229.82
SneaselClassic Collection$7.151 in 296 (0.34%)$3982.27
Genesect EX (Team Plasma)Classic Collection$7.071 in 296 (0.34%)$3982.27
Zacian VClassic Collection$7.051 in 296 (0.34%)$3982.27
DelcattyClassic Collection$7.001 in 296 (0.34%)$3982.27
UxieClassic Collection$6.521 in 296 (0.34%)$3982.27
Mew ex - 066/128Double Rare$6.441 in 57 (1.75%)$769.17
Buzzwole GXClassic Collection$5.921 in 296 (0.34%)$3982.27
Toxtricity - 134/128Illustration Rare$5.041 in 91 (1.1%)$1229.82
Chandelure - 137/128Illustration Rare$4.631 in 91 (1.1%)$1229.82
Alolan Exeggutor - 129/128Illustration Rare$4.081 in 91 (1.1%)$1229.82
Gengar ex - 090/128Double Rare$3.311 in 57 (1.75%)$769.17
Scraggy - 140/128Illustration Rare$2.571 in 91 (1.1%)$1229.82
Kommo-o - 143/128Illustration Rare$2.551 in 91 (1.1%)$1229.82
Gholdengo - 142/128Illustration Rare$2.461 in 91 (1.1%)$1229.82
Lycanroc - 138/128Illustration Rare$2.111 in 91 (1.1%)$1229.82
Pikachu ex - 053/128Double Rare$1.661 in 57 (1.75%)$769.17
Pikachu ex - 054/128Double Rare$1.591 in 57 (1.75%)$769.17
Umbreon exDouble Rare$1.321 in 57 (1.75%)$769.17
Espeon exDouble Rare$1.161 in 57 (1.75%)$769.17
Sylveon ex - 071/128Double Rare$0.901 in 57 (1.75%)$769.17
Mewtwo ex - 064/128Double Rare$0.771 in 57 (1.75%)$769.17
Jirachi ex - 102/128Double Rare$0.711 in 57 (1.75%)$769.17
Greninja ex - 021/128Double Rare$0.631 in 57 (1.75%)$769.17
Fuecoco ex - 015/128Double Rare$0.501 in 57 (1.75%)$769.17
Salamence ex - 109/128Double Rare$0.411 in 57 (1.75%)$769.17
Mew - R/RGBRGB Rare—1 in 12000 (0.0083%)$161680.00
Mew - B/RGBRGB Rare—1 in 12000 (0.0083%)$161680.00
Pikachu - 040/128Pikachu Rare$2.93TBDTBD
Pikachu - 036/128Pikachu Rare$2.42TBDTBD
Pikachu - 027/128Pikachu Rare$2.18TBDTBD
Pikachu - 034/128Pikachu Rare$2.17TBDTBD
Pikachu - 032/128Pikachu Rare$2.09TBDTBD
Pikachu - 043/128Pikachu Rare$2.06TBDTBD
Pikachu - 039/128Pikachu Rare$1.41TBDTBD
Pikachu - 035/128Pikachu Rare$1.40TBDTBD
Pikachu - 026/128Pikachu Rare$1.37TBDTBD
Pikachu - 023/128Pikachu Rare$1.32TBDTBD
Pikachu - 028/128Pikachu Rare$1.30TBDTBD
Pikachu - 033/128Pikachu Rare$1.30TBDTBD
Pikachu - 048/128Pikachu Rare$1.24TBDTBD
Pikachu - 029/128Pikachu Rare$1.23TBDTBD
Pikachu - 031/128Pikachu Rare$1.20TBDTBD
Pikachu - 044/128Pikachu Rare$1.17TBDTBD
Pikachu - 024/128Pikachu Rare$1.16TBDTBD
Pikachu - 038/128Pikachu Rare$1.11TBDTBD
Pikachu - 050/128Pikachu Rare$1.08TBDTBD
Pikachu - 037/128Pikachu Rare$1.03TBDTBD
Pikachu - 046/128Pikachu Rare$1.03TBDTBD
Pikachu - 045/128Pikachu Rare$1.00TBDTBD
Pikachu - 047/128Pikachu Rare$0.97TBDTBD
Pikachu - 030/128Pikachu Rare$0.96TBDTBD
Pikachu - 049/128Pikachu Rare$0.96TBDTBD
Pikachu - 052/128Pikachu Rare$0.94TBDTBD
Pikachu - 042/128Pikachu Rare$0.93TBDTBD
Pikachu - 041/128Pikachu Rare$0.88TBDTBD
MewRare$0.88TBDTBD
Pikachu - 051/128Pikachu Rare$0.82TBDTBD
Pikachu - 025/128Pikachu Rare$0.79TBDTBD
Eevee - 118/128Common$0.73TBDTBD
Poke PadCommon$0.72TBDTBD
MewtwoRare$0.63TBDTBD
Ultra BallCommon$0.60TBDTBD
Eevee - 117/128Common$0.58TBDTBD
EspeonCommon$0.55TBDTBD
UmbreonCommon$0.53TBDTBD
IgglybuffCommon$0.52TBDTBD
LugiaRare$0.52TBDTBD
DittoCommon$0.45TBDTBD
Maushold - 125/128Common$0.43TBDTBD
UnownCommon$0.40TBDTBD
SnorlaxCommon$0.36TBDTBD
Eevee - 116/128Common$0.32TBDTBD
SwitchCommon$0.31TBDTBD
Alolan Exeggutor - 002/128Common$0.28TBDTBD
Lapras - 017/128Common$0.25TBDTBD
NinetalesCommon$0.24TBDTBD
Moltres - 011/128Common$0.24TBDTBD
Articuno - 018/128Common$0.24TBDTBD
Zapdos - 055/128Common$0.24TBDTBD
ZoroarkCommon$0.23TBDTBD
SlowpokeCommon$0.22TBDTBD
Ho-OhRare$0.21TBDTBD
Morpeko - 061/128Common$0.21TBDTBD
XerneasRare$0.21TBDTBD
ZoruaCommon$0.21TBDTBD
KyogreRare$0.20TBDTBD
WishiwashiCommon$0.20TBDTBD
ZekromRare$0.20TBDTBD
LunalaRare$0.20TBDTBD
Hisuian Zorua - 122/128Common$0.20TBDTBD
SeismitoadCommon$0.19TBDTBD
YveltalRare$0.19TBDTBD
LucarioCommon$0.18TBDTBD
SolgaleoRare$0.18TBDTBD
ZamazentaRare$0.18TBDTBD
Hisuian ZoroarkCommon$0.18TBDTBD
Chandelure - 075/128Common$0.17TBDTBD
Galarian Meowth - 101/128Common$0.17TBDTBD
ZacianRare$0.17TBDTBD
KangaskhanCommon$0.17TBDTBD
VictiniCommon$0.16TBDTBD
Meowth - 113/128Common$0.16TBDTBD
VolbeatCommon$0.16TBDTBD
IllumiseCommon$0.16TBDTBD
CherubiCommon$0.16TBDTBD
Toxtricity - 059/128Common$0.16TBDTBD
CosmoemCommon$0.16TBDTBD
GroudonRare$0.16TBDTBD
Scraggy - 094/128Common$0.16TBDTBD
Gholdengo - 108/128Common$0.16TBDTBD
Kommo-o - 112/128Common$0.16TBDTBD
ZeraoraCommon$0.15TBDTBD
ExeggcuteCommon$0.15TBDTBD
TropiusCommon$0.15TBDTBD
CherrimCommon$0.15TBDTBD
VivillonCommon$0.15TBDTBD
VulpixCommon$0.15TBDTBD
ReshiramRare$0.15TBDTBD
Toxtricity - 060/128Common$0.15TBDTBD
MiraidonRare$0.15TBDTBD
AzumarillCommon$0.15TBDTBD
Drifloon - 073/128Common$0.15TBDTBD
CresseliaCommon$0.15TBDTBD
CosmogCommon$0.15TBDTBD
MurkrowCommon$0.15TBDTBD
DeinoCommon$0.15TBDTBD
ZweilousCommon$0.15TBDTBD
HydreigonCommon$0.15TBDTBD
Jangmo-oCommon$0.15TBDTBD
Hakamo-oCommon$0.15TBDTBD
MiniorCommon$0.15TBDTBD
PalkiaRare$0.14TBDTBD
GimmighoulCommon$0.14TBDTBD
Lycanroc - 085/128Common$0.14TBDTBD
DialgaRare$0.14TBDTBD
MarillCommon$0.13TBDTBD
ComfeyCommon$0.13TBDTBD
KoraidonRare$0.13TBDTBD
NidorinaCommon$0.13TBDTBD
FerrothornCommon$0.13TBDTBD
Alolan Meowth - 089/128Common$0.12TBDTBD
ToxelCommon$0.12TBDTBD
Nidoran FCommon$0.12TBDTBD