Sets / 30th Celebration

30th Celebration

A $9.58 30th Celebration pack returns $4.33 in expected card value on average — 45% of what you paid.

These odds are TCGPlayer's own published figures for 30th Celebration, from a 3,000-pack sample opened and counted by their Authentication Center.

About this set

The three RGB Mew cards get the attention, and at roughly $3,500 to $4,500 each they deserve it, but each one turns up about once in 12,000 packs, so together they add only about a dollar to what an average pack is worth. What actually carries this set is the Classic Collection slot: one of its 30 reprints lands in roughly every tenth pack, and Lugia and Charizard alone, at about $150 each, add about as much per pack as all three Mews combined.

That is why 30th Celebration sits at the top of our rankings, returning a little under half of what you pay. Still a loss, but the smallest one among current sets. Among the standard products, the Booster Bundle has been the cheapest per pack. (Written November 2026. Returns quoted here count every card in the pack, whatever its value; prices move daily, and the figures above are current.)

How these figures are calculated, including the sourcing bar and what this model deliberately does not do.

Products in this set

ProductPriceExpected valueExpected return
30th Celebration Booster Pack$9.58$4.3345%
30th Celebration Poster Collection$29.47$13.0044%
30th Celebration Greninja ex Box$39.97$17.3443%
30th Celebration Booster Bundle$60.53$26.0143%
30th Celebration Ditto Premium Collection$82.27$34.6842%
30th Celebration Sylveon ex Box$43.06$17.3440%
30th Celebration Knock Out Collection$21.53$8.6740%
30th Celebration Mini Tin [Greninja]$21.61$8.6740%
30th Celebration Mini Tin [Mew]$22.41$8.6739%
30th Celebration Tech Sticker Collection [Alolan Exeggutor]$33.77$13.0039%
30th Celebration Tech Sticker Collection [Lucario]$34.78$13.0037%
30th Celebration Mini Tin [Zapdos]$23.24$8.6737%
30th Celebration Ultra-Premium Collection [Day]$338.58$125.7037%
30th Celebration Mini Tin [Night Pikachu]$23.39$8.6737%
30th Celebration Mini Tin [Lapras]$23.53$8.6737%
30th Celebration Mini Tin [Moltres]$24.23$8.6736%
30th Celebration Mini Tin [Espeon]$24.25$8.6736%
30th Celebration Elite Trainer Box$110.22$39.0135%
30th Celebration Mini Tin [Mewtwo]$24.54$8.6735%
30th Celebration Figure Collection [Mewtwo]$61.52$21.6735%
30th Celebration Mini Tin [Umbreon]$24.67$8.6735%
30th Celebration Ultra-Premium Collection [Night]$365.19$125.7034%
30th Celebration Mini Tin [Day Pikachu]$25.79$8.6734%
30th Celebration Figure Collection [Mew]$65.83$21.6733%
30th Celebration ex Tin [Greninja ex] (International Version)$55.90$17.3431%
30th Celebration ex Tin [Sylveon ex] (International Version)$72.37$17.3424%
30th Celebration Binder Collection$95.04$21.6723%
30th Celebration Pokemon Center Elite Trainer Box$254.13$39.0115%
30th Celebration 2-Pack Blister$61.49$8.6714%

Where to buy

30th Celebration Booster Pack · 30th Celebration Poster Collection · 30th Celebration Greninja ex Box · 30th Celebration Booster Bundle · 30th Celebration Ditto Premium Collection · 30th Celebration Sylveon ex Box · 30th Celebration Knock Out Collection · 30th Celebration Mini Tin [Greninja] · 30th Celebration Mini Tin [Mew] · 30th Celebration Tech Sticker Collection [Alolan Exeggutor] · 30th Celebration Tech Sticker Collection [Lucario] · 30th Celebration Mini Tin [Zapdos] · 30th Celebration Ultra-Premium Collection [Day] · 30th Celebration Mini Tin [Night Pikachu] · 30th Celebration Mini Tin [Lapras] · 30th Celebration Mini Tin [Moltres] · 30th Celebration Mini Tin [Espeon] · 30th Celebration Elite Trainer Box · 30th Celebration Mini Tin [Mewtwo] · 30th Celebration Figure Collection [Mewtwo] · 30th Celebration Mini Tin [Umbreon] · 30th Celebration Ultra-Premium Collection [Night] · 30th Celebration Mini Tin [Day Pikachu] · 30th Celebration Figure Collection [Mew] · 30th Celebration ex Tin [Greninja ex] (International Version) · 30th Celebration ex Tin [Sylveon ex] (International Version) · 30th Celebration Binder Collection · 30th Celebration Pokemon Center Elite Trainer Box · 30th Celebration 2-Pack Blister

Expected return by product type

ProductPrice per packExpected return
Booster Pack$9.5845%
Booster Bundle$10.0943%
Elite Trainer Box$12.2535%

Pull rates (source: tcgplayer_blog)

RarityPull rateSample
RGB Rare0.025%n=4063
Futuristic Rare0.83%n=3000
Special Illustration Rare4.88%n=3000
Classic Collection — Classic Collection10.15%n=3000
Double Rare21.02%n=3000
Illustration Rare19.72%n=3000

Cards & odds

CardRarityMarket priceOddsCost to pull
Mew - B/RGBRGB Rare$4263.601 in 12000 (0.0083%)$114960.00
Mew - R/RGBRGB Rare$4129.491 in 12000 (0.0083%)$114960.00
Mew - G/RGBRGB Rare$3456.931 in 12000 (0.0083%)$114960.00
LugiaClassic Collection$122.441 in 296 (0.34%)$2831.53
CharizardClassic Collection$111.431 in 296 (0.34%)$2831.53
MagikarpClassic Collection$63.141 in 296 (0.34%)$2831.53
Mew ex - 152/128Special Illustration Rare$54.421 in 205 (0.49%)$1963.11
Gengar ex - 154/128Special Illustration Rare$44.161 in 205 (0.49%)$1963.11
Gengar (Prime)Classic Collection$38.951 in 296 (0.34%)$2831.53
Pikachu ex - 150/128Special Illustration Rare$35.081 in 205 (0.49%)$1963.11
Pikachu ex - 149/128Special Illustration Rare$32.051 in 205 (0.49%)$1963.11
Mewtwo ex - 151/128Special Illustration Rare$31.201 in 205 (0.49%)$1963.11
Sylveon ex - 153/128Special Illustration Rare$31.011 in 205 (0.49%)$1963.11
Jirachi ex - 155/128Special Illustration Rare$28.261 in 205 (0.49%)$1963.11
Mew ex - 158/128Futuristic Rare$26.831 in 241 (0.42%)$2308.43
Mewtwo ex - 157/128Futuristic Rare$25.521 in 241 (0.42%)$2308.43
Pikachu & Zekrom GXClassic Collection$20.091 in 296 (0.34%)$2831.53
Rayquaza EXClassic Collection$16.881 in 296 (0.34%)$2831.53
Mew VMAXClassic Collection$16.331 in 296 (0.34%)$2831.53
Shining CelebiClassic Collection$15.271 in 296 (0.34%)$2831.53
Darkrai & Cresselia Legend (Bottom)Classic Collection$14.351 in 296 (0.34%)$2831.53
Darkrai & Cresselia Legend (Top)Classic Collection$13.761 in 296 (0.34%)$2831.53
Greninja ex - 148/128Special Illustration Rare$13.661 in 205 (0.49%)$1963.11
PikachuClassic Collection$12.831 in 296 (0.34%)$2831.53
N (Supporter)Classic Collection$9.991 in 296 (0.34%)$2831.53
Salamence ex - 156/128Special Illustration Rare$9.651 in 205 (0.49%)$1963.11
Fuecoco ex - 147/128Special Illustration Rare$9.541 in 205 (0.49%)$1963.11
M Gardevoir EXClassic Collection$8.761 in 296 (0.34%)$2831.53
Palkia LV.XClassic Collection$8.521 in 296 (0.34%)$2831.53
Scizor exClassic Collection$8.401 in 296 (0.34%)$2831.53
Arceus VSTARClassic Collection$7.571 in 296 (0.34%)$2831.53
Greninja BREAKClassic Collection$7.421 in 296 (0.34%)$2831.53
RaikouClassic Collection$7.421 in 296 (0.34%)$2831.53
Dark TyranitarClassic Collection$7.231 in 296 (0.34%)$2831.53
Erika's JigglypuffClassic Collection$6.121 in 296 (0.34%)$2831.53
Maushold - 146/128Illustration Rare$4.961 in 91 (1.1%)$874.44
Solgaleo GXClassic Collection$4.901 in 296 (0.34%)$2831.53
Genesect EX (Team Plasma)Classic Collection$4.811 in 296 (0.34%)$2831.53
Zacian VClassic Collection$4.291 in 296 (0.34%)$2831.53
Meowth - 144/128Illustration Rare$4.061 in 91 (1.1%)$874.44
MistyClassic Collection$3.891 in 296 (0.34%)$2831.53
Metagross (Delta Species)Classic Collection$3.791 in 296 (0.34%)$2831.53
Lapras - 131/128Illustration Rare$3.561 in 91 (1.1%)$874.44
Galarian Meowth - 141/128Illustration Rare$3.451 in 91 (1.1%)$874.44
Alolan Meowth - 139/128Illustration Rare$3.351 in 91 (1.1%)$874.44
Moltres - 130/128Illustration Rare$3.181 in 91 (1.1%)$874.44
Crobat GClassic Collection$3.091 in 296 (0.34%)$2831.53
Zapdos - 133/128Illustration Rare$2.991 in 91 (1.1%)$874.44
SneaselClassic Collection$2.851 in 296 (0.34%)$2831.53
UxieClassic Collection$2.851 in 296 (0.34%)$2831.53
Hisuian Zorua - 145/128Illustration Rare$2.611 in 91 (1.1%)$874.44
DelcattyClassic Collection$2.611 in 296 (0.34%)$2831.53
Articuno - 132/128Illustration Rare$2.571 in 91 (1.1%)$874.44
Buzzwole GXClassic Collection$2.521 in 296 (0.34%)$2831.53
Morpeko - 135/128Illustration Rare$2.441 in 91 (1.1%)$874.44
Drifloon - 136/128Illustration Rare$2.091 in 91 (1.1%)$874.44
Toxtricity - 134/128Illustration Rare$1.421 in 91 (1.1%)$874.44
Mew ex - 066/128Double Rare$1.391 in 57 (1.75%)$546.91
Chandelure - 137/128Illustration Rare$1.231 in 91 (1.1%)$874.44
Alolan Exeggutor - 129/128Illustration Rare$1.161 in 91 (1.1%)$874.44
Scraggy - 140/128Illustration Rare$1.131 in 91 (1.1%)$874.44
Gengar ex - 090/128Double Rare$1.131 in 57 (1.75%)$546.91
Kommo-o - 143/128Illustration Rare$0.981 in 91 (1.1%)$874.44
Lycanroc - 138/128Illustration Rare$0.971 in 91 (1.1%)$874.44
Gholdengo - 142/128Illustration Rare$0.931 in 91 (1.1%)$874.44
Pikachu ex - 053/128Double Rare$0.851 in 57 (1.75%)$546.91
Pikachu ex - 054/128Double Rare$0.811 in 57 (1.75%)$546.91
Umbreon exDouble Rare$0.631 in 57 (1.75%)$546.91
Sylveon ex - 071/128Double Rare$0.591 in 57 (1.75%)$546.91
Mewtwo ex - 064/128Double Rare$0.591 in 57 (1.75%)$546.91
Espeon exDouble Rare$0.541 in 57 (1.75%)$546.91
Greninja ex - 021/128Double Rare$0.491 in 57 (1.75%)$546.91
Jirachi ex - 102/128Double Rare$0.461 in 57 (1.75%)$546.91
Salamence ex - 109/128Double Rare$0.401 in 57 (1.75%)$546.91
Fuecoco ex - 015/128Double Rare$0.361 in 57 (1.75%)$546.91
Pikachu - 040/128Pikachu Rare$2.00TBDTBD
Pikachu - 032/128Pikachu Rare$0.69TBDTBD
Pikachu - 043/128Pikachu Rare$0.64TBDTBD
Pikachu - 036/128Pikachu Rare$0.61TBDTBD
Pikachu - 027/128Pikachu Rare$0.60TBDTBD
Pikachu - 034/128Pikachu Rare$0.57TBDTBD
Pikachu - 028/128Pikachu Rare$0.55TBDTBD
Pikachu - 044/128Pikachu Rare$0.54TBDTBD
Pikachu - 050/128Pikachu Rare$0.53TBDTBD
Pikachu - 048/128Pikachu Rare$0.53TBDTBD
Pikachu - 039/128Pikachu Rare$0.52TBDTBD
Pikachu - 035/128Pikachu Rare$0.51TBDTBD
Pikachu - 052/128Pikachu Rare$0.49TBDTBD
Pikachu - 023/128Pikachu Rare$0.48TBDTBD
Pikachu - 038/128Pikachu Rare$0.46TBDTBD
Pikachu - 030/128Pikachu Rare$0.45TBDTBD
Pikachu - 026/128Pikachu Rare$0.44TBDTBD
Pikachu - 047/128Pikachu Rare$0.43TBDTBD
Pikachu - 042/128Pikachu Rare$0.43TBDTBD
Pikachu - 046/128Pikachu Rare$0.43TBDTBD
Pikachu - 037/128Pikachu Rare$0.42TBDTBD
Pikachu - 041/128Pikachu Rare$0.42TBDTBD
Pikachu - 049/128Pikachu Rare$0.42TBDTBD
Pikachu - 031/128Pikachu Rare$0.42TBDTBD
Pikachu - 025/128Pikachu Rare$0.40TBDTBD
Pikachu - 024/128Pikachu Rare$0.40TBDTBD
Pikachu - 045/128Pikachu Rare$0.40TBDTBD
Pikachu - 029/128Pikachu Rare$0.39TBDTBD
MewRare$0.39TBDTBD
Pikachu - 033/128Pikachu Rare$0.38TBDTBD
Pikachu - 051/128Pikachu Rare$0.36TBDTBD
UmbreonCommon$0.31TBDTBD
MewtwoRare$0.30TBDTBD
IgglybuffCommon$0.29TBDTBD
EspeonCommon$0.27TBDTBD
VictiniCommon$0.27TBDTBD
Eevee - 118/128Common$0.27TBDTBD
Zapdos - 055/128Common$0.26TBDTBD
DittoCommon$0.26TBDTBD
Ho-OhRare$0.25TBDTBD
ZoruaCommon$0.25TBDTBD
SnorlaxCommon$0.25TBDTBD
SlowpokeCommon$0.24TBDTBD
UnownCommon$0.24TBDTBD
Ultra BallCommon$0.24TBDTBD
NinetalesCommon$0.23TBDTBD
Lapras - 017/128Common$0.23TBDTBD
MiraidonRare$0.23TBDTBD
Hisuian ZoroarkCommon$0.23TBDTBD
Poke PadCommon$0.23TBDTBD
Eevee - 117/128Common$0.22TBDTBD
Eevee - 116/128Common$0.22TBDTBD
VulpixCommon$0.22TBDTBD
Articuno - 018/128Common$0.22TBDTBD
KyogreRare$0.22TBDTBD
Morpeko - 061/128Common$0.22TBDTBD
CresseliaCommon$0.22TBDTBD
ZoroarkCommon$0.22TBDTBD
Maushold - 125/128Common$0.22TBDTBD
ZeraoraCommon$0.21TBDTBD
ZacianRare$0.21TBDTBD
LugiaRare$0.21TBDTBD
Alolan Exeggutor - 002/128Common$0.20TBDTBD
CherrimCommon$0.20TBDTBD
ReshiramRare$0.20TBDTBD
ZekromRare$0.20TBDTBD
Drifloon - 073/128Common$0.20TBDTBD
Lycanroc - 085/128Common$0.20TBDTBD
SolgaleoRare$0.20TBDTBD
VolbeatCommon$0.19TBDTBD
Moltres - 011/128Common$0.19TBDTBD
PalkiaRare$0.19TBDTBD
AzumarillCommon$0.19TBDTBD
LunalaRare$0.19TBDTBD
HydreigonCommon$0.19TBDTBD
YveltalRare$0.19TBDTBD
ZamazentaRare$0.19TBDTBD
Meowth - 113/128Common$0.18TBDTBD
ExeggcuteCommon$0.18TBDTBD
VivillonCommon$0.18TBDTBD
Toxtricity - 059/128Common$0.18TBDTBD
LucarioCommon$0.18TBDTBD
IllumiseCommon$0.17TBDTBD
MarillCommon$0.17TBDTBD
XerneasRare$0.17TBDTBD
CosmoemCommon$0.17TBDTBD
GroudonRare$0.17TBDTBD
KoraidonRare$0.17TBDTBD
Scraggy - 094/128Common$0.17TBDTBD
DeinoCommon$0.17TBDTBD
Jangmo-oCommon$0.17TBDTBD
Hakamo-oCommon$0.17TBDTBD
Kommo-o - 112/128Common$0.17TBDTBD
SwitchCommon$0.17TBDTBD
TropiusCommon$0.16TBDTBD
WishiwashiCommon$0.16TBDTBD
MurkrowCommon$0.16TBDTBD
FerrothornCommon$0.16TBDTBD
KangaskhanCommon$0.16TBDTBD
Alolan Meowth - 089/128Common$0.15TBDTBD
ToxelCommon$0.15TBDTBD
CosmogCommon$0.15TBDTBD
GimmighoulCommon$0.15TBDTBD
SeismitoadCommon$0.15TBDTBD
NidorinaCommon$0.15TBDTBD
ZweilousCommon$0.15TBDTBD
Galarian Meowth - 101/128Common$0.15TBDTBD
DialgaRare$0.15TBDTBD
Hisuian Zorua - 122/128Common$0.15TBDTBD
MiniorCommon$0.15TBDTBD
CherubiCommon$0.14TBDTBD
Toxtricity - 060/128Common$0.14TBDTBD
ComfeyCommon$0.14TBDTBD
Nidoran FCommon$0.14TBDTBD
Chandelure - 075/128Common$0.13TBDTBD
Gholdengo - 108/128Common$0.13TBDTBD