
A $9.58 30th Celebration pack returns $4.33 in expected card value on average — 45% of what you paid.
These odds are TCGPlayer's own published figures for 30th Celebration, from a 3,000-pack sample opened and counted by their Authentication Center.
The three RGB Mew cards get the attention, and at roughly $3,500 to $4,500 each they deserve it, but each one turns up about once in 12,000 packs, so together they add only about a dollar to what an average pack is worth. What actually carries this set is the Classic Collection slot: one of its 30 reprints lands in roughly every tenth pack, and Lugia and Charizard alone, at about $150 each, add about as much per pack as all three Mews combined.
That is why 30th Celebration sits at the top of our rankings, returning a little under half of what you pay. Still a loss, but the smallest one among current sets. Among the standard products, the Booster Bundle has been the cheapest per pack. (Written November 2026. Returns quoted here count every card in the pack, whatever its value; prices move daily, and the figures above are current.)
How these figures are calculated, including the sourcing bar and what this model deliberately does not do.
30th Celebration Booster Pack · 30th Celebration Poster Collection · 30th Celebration Greninja ex Box · 30th Celebration Booster Bundle · 30th Celebration Ditto Premium Collection · 30th Celebration Sylveon ex Box · 30th Celebration Knock Out Collection · 30th Celebration Mini Tin [Greninja] · 30th Celebration Mini Tin [Mew] · 30th Celebration Tech Sticker Collection [Alolan Exeggutor] · 30th Celebration Tech Sticker Collection [Lucario] · 30th Celebration Mini Tin [Zapdos] · 30th Celebration Ultra-Premium Collection [Day] · 30th Celebration Mini Tin [Night Pikachu] · 30th Celebration Mini Tin [Lapras] · 30th Celebration Mini Tin [Moltres] · 30th Celebration Mini Tin [Espeon] · 30th Celebration Elite Trainer Box · 30th Celebration Mini Tin [Mewtwo] · 30th Celebration Figure Collection [Mewtwo] · 30th Celebration Mini Tin [Umbreon] · 30th Celebration Ultra-Premium Collection [Night] · 30th Celebration Mini Tin [Day Pikachu] · 30th Celebration Figure Collection [Mew] · 30th Celebration ex Tin [Greninja ex] (International Version) · 30th Celebration ex Tin [Sylveon ex] (International Version) · 30th Celebration Binder Collection · 30th Celebration Pokemon Center Elite Trainer Box · 30th Celebration 2-Pack Blister
| Product | Price per pack | Expected return |
|---|---|---|
| Booster Pack | $9.58 | 45% |
| Booster Bundle | $10.09 | 43% |
| Elite Trainer Box | $12.25 | 35% |
| Rarity | Pull rate | Sample |
|---|---|---|
| RGB Rare | 0.025% | n=4063 |
| Futuristic Rare | 0.83% | n=3000 |
| Special Illustration Rare | 4.88% | n=3000 |
| Classic Collection — Classic Collection | 10.15% | n=3000 |
| Double Rare | 21.02% | n=3000 |
| Illustration Rare | 19.72% | n=3000 |
| Card | Rarity | Market price | Odds | Cost to pull |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mew - B/RGB | RGB Rare | $4263.60 | 1 in 12000 (0.0083%) | $114960.00 |
| Mew - R/RGB | RGB Rare | $4129.49 | 1 in 12000 (0.0083%) | $114960.00 |
| Mew - G/RGB | RGB Rare | $3456.93 | 1 in 12000 (0.0083%) | $114960.00 |
| Lugia | Classic Collection | $122.44 | 1 in 296 (0.34%) | $2831.53 |
| Charizard | Classic Collection | $111.43 | 1 in 296 (0.34%) | $2831.53 |
| Magikarp | Classic Collection | $63.14 | 1 in 296 (0.34%) | $2831.53 |
| Mew ex - 152/128 | Special Illustration Rare | $54.42 | 1 in 205 (0.49%) | $1963.11 |
| Gengar ex - 154/128 | Special Illustration Rare | $44.16 | 1 in 205 (0.49%) | $1963.11 |
| Gengar (Prime) | Classic Collection | $38.95 | 1 in 296 (0.34%) | $2831.53 |
| Pikachu ex - 150/128 | Special Illustration Rare | $35.08 | 1 in 205 (0.49%) | $1963.11 |
| Pikachu ex - 149/128 | Special Illustration Rare | $32.05 | 1 in 205 (0.49%) | $1963.11 |
| Mewtwo ex - 151/128 | Special Illustration Rare | $31.20 | 1 in 205 (0.49%) | $1963.11 |
| Sylveon ex - 153/128 | Special Illustration Rare | $31.01 | 1 in 205 (0.49%) | $1963.11 |
| Jirachi ex - 155/128 | Special Illustration Rare | $28.26 | 1 in 205 (0.49%) | $1963.11 |
| Mew ex - 158/128 | Futuristic Rare | $26.83 | 1 in 241 (0.42%) | $2308.43 |
| Mewtwo ex - 157/128 | Futuristic Rare | $25.52 | 1 in 241 (0.42%) | $2308.43 |
| Pikachu & Zekrom GX | Classic Collection | $20.09 | 1 in 296 (0.34%) | $2831.53 |
| Rayquaza EX | Classic Collection | $16.88 | 1 in 296 (0.34%) | $2831.53 |
| Mew VMAX | Classic Collection | $16.33 | 1 in 296 (0.34%) | $2831.53 |
| Shining Celebi | Classic Collection | $15.27 | 1 in 296 (0.34%) | $2831.53 |
| Darkrai & Cresselia Legend (Bottom) | Classic Collection | $14.35 | 1 in 296 (0.34%) | $2831.53 |
| Darkrai & Cresselia Legend (Top) | Classic Collection | $13.76 | 1 in 296 (0.34%) | $2831.53 |
| Greninja ex - 148/128 | Special Illustration Rare | $13.66 | 1 in 205 (0.49%) | $1963.11 |
| Pikachu | Classic Collection | $12.83 | 1 in 296 (0.34%) | $2831.53 |
| N (Supporter) | Classic Collection | $9.99 | 1 in 296 (0.34%) | $2831.53 |
| Salamence ex - 156/128 | Special Illustration Rare | $9.65 | 1 in 205 (0.49%) | $1963.11 |
| Fuecoco ex - 147/128 | Special Illustration Rare | $9.54 | 1 in 205 (0.49%) | $1963.11 |
| M Gardevoir EX | Classic Collection | $8.76 | 1 in 296 (0.34%) | $2831.53 |
| Palkia LV.X | Classic Collection | $8.52 | 1 in 296 (0.34%) | $2831.53 |
| Scizor ex | Classic Collection | $8.40 | 1 in 296 (0.34%) | $2831.53 |
| Arceus VSTAR | Classic Collection | $7.57 | 1 in 296 (0.34%) | $2831.53 |
| Greninja BREAK | Classic Collection | $7.42 | 1 in 296 (0.34%) | $2831.53 |
| Raikou | Classic Collection | $7.42 | 1 in 296 (0.34%) | $2831.53 |
| Dark Tyranitar | Classic Collection | $7.23 | 1 in 296 (0.34%) | $2831.53 |
| Erika's Jigglypuff | Classic Collection | $6.12 | 1 in 296 (0.34%) | $2831.53 |
| Maushold - 146/128 | Illustration Rare | $4.96 | 1 in 91 (1.1%) | $874.44 |
| Solgaleo GX | Classic Collection | $4.90 | 1 in 296 (0.34%) | $2831.53 |
| Genesect EX (Team Plasma) | Classic Collection | $4.81 | 1 in 296 (0.34%) | $2831.53 |
| Zacian V | Classic Collection | $4.29 | 1 in 296 (0.34%) | $2831.53 |
| Meowth - 144/128 | Illustration Rare | $4.06 | 1 in 91 (1.1%) | $874.44 |
| Misty | Classic Collection | $3.89 | 1 in 296 (0.34%) | $2831.53 |
| Metagross (Delta Species) | Classic Collection | $3.79 | 1 in 296 (0.34%) | $2831.53 |
| Lapras - 131/128 | Illustration Rare | $3.56 | 1 in 91 (1.1%) | $874.44 |
| Galarian Meowth - 141/128 | Illustration Rare | $3.45 | 1 in 91 (1.1%) | $874.44 |
| Alolan Meowth - 139/128 | Illustration Rare | $3.35 | 1 in 91 (1.1%) | $874.44 |
| Moltres - 130/128 | Illustration Rare | $3.18 | 1 in 91 (1.1%) | $874.44 |
| Crobat G | Classic Collection | $3.09 | 1 in 296 (0.34%) | $2831.53 |
| Zapdos - 133/128 | Illustration Rare | $2.99 | 1 in 91 (1.1%) | $874.44 |
| Sneasel | Classic Collection | $2.85 | 1 in 296 (0.34%) | $2831.53 |
| Uxie | Classic Collection | $2.85 | 1 in 296 (0.34%) | $2831.53 |
| Hisuian Zorua - 145/128 | Illustration Rare | $2.61 | 1 in 91 (1.1%) | $874.44 |
| Delcatty | Classic Collection | $2.61 | 1 in 296 (0.34%) | $2831.53 |
| Articuno - 132/128 | Illustration Rare | $2.57 | 1 in 91 (1.1%) | $874.44 |
| Buzzwole GX | Classic Collection | $2.52 | 1 in 296 (0.34%) | $2831.53 |
| Morpeko - 135/128 | Illustration Rare | $2.44 | 1 in 91 (1.1%) | $874.44 |
| Drifloon - 136/128 | Illustration Rare | $2.09 | 1 in 91 (1.1%) | $874.44 |
| Toxtricity - 134/128 | Illustration Rare | $1.42 | 1 in 91 (1.1%) | $874.44 |
| Mew ex - 066/128 | Double Rare | $1.39 | 1 in 57 (1.75%) | $546.91 |
| Chandelure - 137/128 | Illustration Rare | $1.23 | 1 in 91 (1.1%) | $874.44 |
| Alolan Exeggutor - 129/128 | Illustration Rare | $1.16 | 1 in 91 (1.1%) | $874.44 |
| Scraggy - 140/128 | Illustration Rare | $1.13 | 1 in 91 (1.1%) | $874.44 |
| Gengar ex - 090/128 | Double Rare | $1.13 | 1 in 57 (1.75%) | $546.91 |
| Kommo-o - 143/128 | Illustration Rare | $0.98 | 1 in 91 (1.1%) | $874.44 |
| Lycanroc - 138/128 | Illustration Rare | $0.97 | 1 in 91 (1.1%) | $874.44 |
| Gholdengo - 142/128 | Illustration Rare | $0.93 | 1 in 91 (1.1%) | $874.44 |
| Pikachu ex - 053/128 | Double Rare | $0.85 | 1 in 57 (1.75%) | $546.91 |
| Pikachu ex - 054/128 | Double Rare | $0.81 | 1 in 57 (1.75%) | $546.91 |
| Umbreon ex | Double Rare | $0.63 | 1 in 57 (1.75%) | $546.91 |
| Sylveon ex - 071/128 | Double Rare | $0.59 | 1 in 57 (1.75%) | $546.91 |
| Mewtwo ex - 064/128 | Double Rare | $0.59 | 1 in 57 (1.75%) | $546.91 |
| Espeon ex | Double Rare | $0.54 | 1 in 57 (1.75%) | $546.91 |
| Greninja ex - 021/128 | Double Rare | $0.49 | 1 in 57 (1.75%) | $546.91 |
| Jirachi ex - 102/128 | Double Rare | $0.46 | 1 in 57 (1.75%) | $546.91 |
| Salamence ex - 109/128 | Double Rare | $0.40 | 1 in 57 (1.75%) | $546.91 |
| Fuecoco ex - 015/128 | Double Rare | $0.36 | 1 in 57 (1.75%) | $546.91 |
| Pikachu - 040/128 | Pikachu Rare | $2.00 | TBD | TBD |
| Pikachu - 032/128 | Pikachu Rare | $0.69 | TBD | TBD |
| Pikachu - 043/128 | Pikachu Rare | $0.64 | TBD | TBD |
| Pikachu - 036/128 | Pikachu Rare | $0.61 | TBD | TBD |
| Pikachu - 027/128 | Pikachu Rare | $0.60 | TBD | TBD |
| Pikachu - 034/128 | Pikachu Rare | $0.57 | TBD | TBD |
| Pikachu - 028/128 | Pikachu Rare | $0.55 | TBD | TBD |
| Pikachu - 044/128 | Pikachu Rare | $0.54 | TBD | TBD |
| Pikachu - 050/128 | Pikachu Rare | $0.53 | TBD | TBD |
| Pikachu - 048/128 | Pikachu Rare | $0.53 | TBD | TBD |
| Pikachu - 039/128 | Pikachu Rare | $0.52 | TBD | TBD |
| Pikachu - 035/128 | Pikachu Rare | $0.51 | TBD | TBD |
| Pikachu - 052/128 | Pikachu Rare | $0.49 | TBD | TBD |
| Pikachu - 023/128 | Pikachu Rare | $0.48 | TBD | TBD |
| Pikachu - 038/128 | Pikachu Rare | $0.46 | TBD | TBD |
| Pikachu - 030/128 | Pikachu Rare | $0.45 | TBD | TBD |
| Pikachu - 026/128 | Pikachu Rare | $0.44 | TBD | TBD |
| Pikachu - 047/128 | Pikachu Rare | $0.43 | TBD | TBD |
| Pikachu - 042/128 | Pikachu Rare | $0.43 | TBD | TBD |
| Pikachu - 046/128 | Pikachu Rare | $0.43 | TBD | TBD |
| Pikachu - 037/128 | Pikachu Rare | $0.42 | TBD | TBD |
| Pikachu - 041/128 | Pikachu Rare | $0.42 | TBD | TBD |
| Pikachu - 049/128 | Pikachu Rare | $0.42 | TBD | TBD |
| Pikachu - 031/128 | Pikachu Rare | $0.42 | TBD | TBD |
| Pikachu - 025/128 | Pikachu Rare | $0.40 | TBD | TBD |
| Pikachu - 024/128 | Pikachu Rare | $0.40 | TBD | TBD |
| Pikachu - 045/128 | Pikachu Rare | $0.40 | TBD | TBD |
| Pikachu - 029/128 | Pikachu Rare | $0.39 | TBD | TBD |
| Mew | Rare | $0.39 | TBD | TBD |
| Pikachu - 033/128 | Pikachu Rare | $0.38 | TBD | TBD |
| Pikachu - 051/128 | Pikachu Rare | $0.36 | TBD | TBD |
| Umbreon | Common | $0.31 | TBD | TBD |
| Mewtwo | Rare | $0.30 | TBD | TBD |
| Igglybuff | Common | $0.29 | TBD | TBD |
| Espeon | Common | $0.27 | TBD | TBD |
| Victini | Common | $0.27 | TBD | TBD |
| Eevee - 118/128 | Common | $0.27 | TBD | TBD |
| Zapdos - 055/128 | Common | $0.26 | TBD | TBD |
| Ditto | Common | $0.26 | TBD | TBD |
| Ho-Oh | Rare | $0.25 | TBD | TBD |
| Zorua | Common | $0.25 | TBD | TBD |
| Snorlax | Common | $0.25 | TBD | TBD |
| Slowpoke | Common | $0.24 | TBD | TBD |
| Unown | Common | $0.24 | TBD | TBD |
| Ultra Ball | Common | $0.24 | TBD | TBD |
| Ninetales | Common | $0.23 | TBD | TBD |
| Lapras - 017/128 | Common | $0.23 | TBD | TBD |
| Miraidon | Rare | $0.23 | TBD | TBD |
| Hisuian Zoroark | Common | $0.23 | TBD | TBD |
| Poke Pad | Common | $0.23 | TBD | TBD |
| Eevee - 117/128 | Common | $0.22 | TBD | TBD |
| Eevee - 116/128 | Common | $0.22 | TBD | TBD |
| Vulpix | Common | $0.22 | TBD | TBD |
| Articuno - 018/128 | Common | $0.22 | TBD | TBD |
| Kyogre | Rare | $0.22 | TBD | TBD |
| Morpeko - 061/128 | Common | $0.22 | TBD | TBD |
| Cresselia | Common | $0.22 | TBD | TBD |
| Zoroark | Common | $0.22 | TBD | TBD |
| Maushold - 125/128 | Common | $0.22 | TBD | TBD |
| Zeraora | Common | $0.21 | TBD | TBD |
| Zacian | Rare | $0.21 | TBD | TBD |
| Lugia | Rare | $0.21 | TBD | TBD |
| Alolan Exeggutor - 002/128 | Common | $0.20 | TBD | TBD |
| Cherrim | Common | $0.20 | TBD | TBD |
| Reshiram | Rare | $0.20 | TBD | TBD |
| Zekrom | Rare | $0.20 | TBD | TBD |
| Drifloon - 073/128 | Common | $0.20 | TBD | TBD |
| Lycanroc - 085/128 | Common | $0.20 | TBD | TBD |
| Solgaleo | Rare | $0.20 | TBD | TBD |
| Volbeat | Common | $0.19 | TBD | TBD |
| Moltres - 011/128 | Common | $0.19 | TBD | TBD |
| Palkia | Rare | $0.19 | TBD | TBD |
| Azumarill | Common | $0.19 | TBD | TBD |
| Lunala | Rare | $0.19 | TBD | TBD |
| Hydreigon | Common | $0.19 | TBD | TBD |
| Yveltal | Rare | $0.19 | TBD | TBD |
| Zamazenta | Rare | $0.19 | TBD | TBD |
| Meowth - 113/128 | Common | $0.18 | TBD | TBD |
| Exeggcute | Common | $0.18 | TBD | TBD |
| Vivillon | Common | $0.18 | TBD | TBD |
| Toxtricity - 059/128 | Common | $0.18 | TBD | TBD |
| Lucario | Common | $0.18 | TBD | TBD |
| Illumise | Common | $0.17 | TBD | TBD |
| Marill | Common | $0.17 | TBD | TBD |
| Xerneas | Rare | $0.17 | TBD | TBD |
| Cosmoem | Common | $0.17 | TBD | TBD |
| Groudon | Rare | $0.17 | TBD | TBD |
| Koraidon | Rare | $0.17 | TBD | TBD |
| Scraggy - 094/128 | Common | $0.17 | TBD | TBD |
| Deino | Common | $0.17 | TBD | TBD |
| Jangmo-o | Common | $0.17 | TBD | TBD |
| Hakamo-o | Common | $0.17 | TBD | TBD |
| Kommo-o - 112/128 | Common | $0.17 | TBD | TBD |
| Switch | Common | $0.17 | TBD | TBD |
| Tropius | Common | $0.16 | TBD | TBD |
| Wishiwashi | Common | $0.16 | TBD | TBD |
| Murkrow | Common | $0.16 | TBD | TBD |
| Ferrothorn | Common | $0.16 | TBD | TBD |
| Kangaskhan | Common | $0.16 | TBD | TBD |
| Alolan Meowth - 089/128 | Common | $0.15 | TBD | TBD |
| Toxel | Common | $0.15 | TBD | TBD |
| Cosmog | Common | $0.15 | TBD | TBD |
| Gimmighoul | Common | $0.15 | TBD | TBD |
| Seismitoad | Common | $0.15 | TBD | TBD |
| Nidorina | Common | $0.15 | TBD | TBD |
| Zweilous | Common | $0.15 | TBD | TBD |
| Galarian Meowth - 101/128 | Common | $0.15 | TBD | TBD |
| Dialga | Rare | $0.15 | TBD | TBD |
| Hisuian Zorua - 122/128 | Common | $0.15 | TBD | TBD |
| Minior | Common | $0.15 | TBD | TBD |
| Cherubi | Common | $0.14 | TBD | TBD |
| Toxtricity - 060/128 | Common | $0.14 | TBD | TBD |
| Comfey | Common | $0.14 | TBD | TBD |
| Nidoran F | Common | $0.14 | TBD | TBD |
| Chandelure - 075/128 | Common | $0.13 | TBD | TBD |
| Gholdengo - 108/128 | Common | $0.13 | TBD | TBD |