Sets / Phantasmal Flames

Phantasmal Flames

A $10.62 Phantasmal Flames pack returns $4.01 in expected card value on average — 38% of what you paid.

These odds are TCGPlayer's own published figures for Phantasmal Flames, from a 5,000-pack sample opened and counted by their Authentication Center.

About this set

One card carries Phantasmal Flames. The Mega Charizard X ex Special Illustration Rare, at around $575 and roughly one in 400 packs, accounts for about $1.40 of a pack's expected value on its own, about a third of the total. If that card's price slips, the whole set's return slips with it.

Oddly, the Mega Hyper Rare version of the same Charizard is three times harder to pull and sells for about a third of the price. Across products, the booster box returns under 40% of its cost and the Elite Trainer Box about a quarter, which puts this among the weaker recent sets to open. (Written November 2026. Returns quoted here count every card in the pack, whatever its value; prices move daily, and the figures above are current.)

How these figures are calculated, including the sourcing bar and what this model deliberately does not do.

Products in this set

ProductPriceExpected valueExpected return
Phantasmal Flames Booster Box$382.39$144.3338%
Phantasmal Flames Booster Pack$12.12$4.0133%
Phantasmal Flames Booster Bundle$73.14$24.0633%
Phantasmal Flames Single Pack Blister [Cottonee]$12.79$4.0131%
Phantasmal Flames Single Pack Blister [Whimsicott]$13.40$4.0130%
Phantasmal Flames Premium Checklane Blister [Arven's Greedent]$13.84$4.0129%
Phantasmal Flames Sleeved Booster Pack$13.95$4.0129%
Phantasmal Flames 3 Pack Blister [Weavile]$42.49$12.0328%
Phantasmal Flames 3 Pack Blister [Sneasel]$42.61$12.0328%
Phantasmal Flames Elite Trainer Box$134.58$36.0827%
Phantasmal Flames Build & Battle Box$63.95$16.0425%
Phantasmal Flames Premium Checklane Blister [Ethan's Magcargo]$16.03$4.0125%
Phantasmal Flames Pokemon Center Elite Trainer Box (Exclusive)$267.37$36.0813%
Phantasmal Flames Premium Checklane Blister [Hydrapple]$30.46$4.0113%
Phantasmal Flames Premium Checklane Blister [Blaziken]$30.70$4.0113%

Where to buy

Phantasmal Flames Booster Box · Phantasmal Flames Booster Pack · Phantasmal Flames Booster Bundle · Phantasmal Flames Single Pack Blister [Cottonee] · Phantasmal Flames Single Pack Blister [Whimsicott] · Phantasmal Flames Premium Checklane Blister [Arven's Greedent] · Phantasmal Flames Sleeved Booster Pack · Phantasmal Flames 3 Pack Blister [Weavile] · Phantasmal Flames 3 Pack Blister [Sneasel] · Phantasmal Flames Elite Trainer Box · Phantasmal Flames Build & Battle Box · Phantasmal Flames Premium Checklane Blister [Ethan's Magcargo] · Phantasmal Flames Pokemon Center Elite Trainer Box (Exclusive) · Phantasmal Flames Premium Checklane Blister [Hydrapple] · Phantasmal Flames Premium Checklane Blister [Blaziken]

Expected return by product type

ProductPrice per packExpected return
Booster Box$10.6238%
Booster Pack$12.1233%
Booster Bundle$12.1933%
Elite Trainer Box$14.9527%

Pull rates (source: tcgplayer_blog)

RarityPull rateSample
Mega Hyper Rare0.08%n=5000
Special Illustration Rare1.25%n=5000
Ultra Rare8.06%n=5000
Illustration Rare10.97%n=5000
Double Rare20.77%n=5000
Rare71.43%
Common400%
Uncommon300%

Cards & odds

CardRarityMarket priceOddsCost to pull
Mega Charizard X ex - 125/094Special Illustration Rare$548.421 in 400 (0.25%)$4248.78
Mega Charizard X ex - 130/094Mega Hyper Rare$183.031 in 1250 (0.08%)$13277.43
Mega Charizard X ex - 109/094Ultra Rare$19.151 in 211 (0.47%)$2240.36
Mega Sharpedo ex - 127/094Special Illustration Rare$16.521 in 400 (0.25%)$4248.78
Dawn - 129/094Special Illustration Rare$15.551 in 400 (0.25%)$4248.78
MeowthIllustration Rare$13.171 in 119 (0.84%)$1258.75
Mega Lopunny ex - 128/094Special Illustration Rare$10.601 in 400 (0.25%)$4248.78
Rotom ex - 126/094Special Illustration Rare$10.311 in 400 (0.25%)$4248.78
Piplup - 098/094Illustration Rare$10.201 in 119 (0.84%)$1258.75
Dawn - 118/094Ultra Rare$5.001 in 211 (0.47%)$2240.36
Wigglytuff - 105/094Illustration Rare$4.481 in 119 (0.84%)$1258.75
Mega Charizard X ex - 013/094Double Rare$4.101 in 48 (2.08%)$511.41
Paldean WooperIllustration Rare$3.571 in 119 (0.84%)$1258.75
Flygon - 101/094Illustration Rare$3.531 in 119 (0.84%)$1258.75
Dewgong - 097/094Illustration Rare$3.431 in 119 (0.84%)$1258.75
Zacian - 100/094Illustration Rare$3.231 in 119 (0.84%)$1258.75
Yamper - 099/094Illustration Rare$3.211 in 119 (0.84%)$1258.75
Mega Sharpedo ex - 113/094Ultra Rare$2.391 in 211 (0.47%)$2240.36
Togedemaru - 104/094Illustration Rare$2.131 in 119 (0.84%)$1258.75
Toxtricity - 103/094Illustration Rare$1.721 in 119 (0.84%)$1258.75
Mega Gengar exDouble Rare$1.691 in 48 (2.08%)$511.41
Ignition EnergyUltra Rare$1.691 in 211 (0.47%)$2240.36
Mega Heracross ex - 108/094Ultra Rare$1.651 in 211 (0.47%)$2240.36
Ambipom - 107/094Illustration Rare$1.611 in 119 (0.84%)$1258.75
Mega Lopunny ex - 115/094Ultra Rare$1.521 in 211 (0.47%)$2240.36
Mismagius ex - 112/094Ultra Rare$1.521 in 211 (0.47%)$2240.36
Ludicolo - 095/094Illustration Rare$1.401 in 119 (0.84%)$1258.75
Empoleon ex - 114/094Ultra Rare$1.281 in 211 (0.47%)$2240.36
Battle Cage - 116/094Ultra Rare$1.261 in 211 (0.47%)$2240.36
Nymble - 096/094Illustration Rare$1.221 in 119 (0.84%)$1258.75
SwitchUltra Rare$1.141 in 211 (0.47%)$2240.36
Rotom ex - 111/094Ultra Rare$1.011 in 211 (0.47%)$2240.36
Oricorio ex - 110/094Ultra Rare$0.971 in 211 (0.47%)$2240.36
Grimsley's Move - 120/094Ultra Rare$0.921 in 211 (0.47%)$2240.36
Firebreather - 119/094Ultra Rare$0.871 in 211 (0.47%)$2240.36
Blowtorch - 117/094Ultra Rare$0.731 in 211 (0.47%)$2240.36
Mega Lopunny ex - 084/094Double Rare$0.701 in 48 (2.08%)$511.41
Oricorio ex - 018/094Double Rare$0.611 in 48 (2.08%)$511.41
Mega Sharpedo ex - 061/094Double Rare$0.601 in 48 (2.08%)$511.41
Punk Helmet - 121/094Ultra Rare$0.601 in 211 (0.47%)$2240.36
Mega Diancie exDouble Rare$0.591 in 48 (2.08%)$511.41
Sacred Charm - 122/094Ultra Rare$0.571 in 211 (0.47%)$2240.36
Empoleon ex - 070/094Double Rare$0.531 in 48 (2.08%)$511.41
Mismagius ex - 036/094Double Rare$0.521 in 48 (2.08%)$511.41
Rotom ex - 029/094Double Rare$0.521 in 48 (2.08%)$511.41
Mega Heracross ex - 004/094Double Rare$0.511 in 48 (2.08%)$511.41
MimikyuCommon$0.381 in 11 (9.3%)$116.85
CharmanderCommon$0.331 in 11 (9.3%)$116.85
SnubbullCommon$0.331 in 11 (9.3%)$116.85
DawnUncommon$0.311 in 10 (9.68%)$112.32
AlcremieUncommon$0.301 in 10 (9.68%)$112.32
CharmeleonCommon$0.291 in 11 (9.3%)$116.85
JigglypuffCommon$0.281 in 11 (9.3%)$116.85
Jumbo Ice CreamUncommon$0.281 in 10 (9.68%)$112.32
Piplup - 027/094Common$0.281 in 11 (9.3%)$116.85
ToxelCommon$0.271 in 11 (9.3%)$116.85
SableyeCommon$0.261 in 11 (9.3%)$116.85
Battle Cage - 085/094Uncommon$0.261 in 10 (9.68%)$112.32
CarvanhaCommon$0.261 in 11 (9.3%)$116.85
CharcadetCommon$0.261 in 11 (9.3%)$116.85
CharmanderCommon$0.261 in 11 (9.3%)$116.85
MeloettaUncommon$0.261 in 10 (9.68%)$112.32
MimikyuCommon$0.261 in 11 (9.3%)$116.85
MoltresRare$0.261 in 14 (7.14%)$152.18
Nymble - 009/094Common$0.261 in 11 (9.3%)$116.85
Zacian - 045/094Rare$0.261 in 14 (7.14%)$152.18
EternatusUncommon$0.251 in 10 (9.68%)$112.32
BunearyCommon$0.251 in 11 (9.3%)$116.85
CresseliaUncommon$0.251 in 10 (9.68%)$112.32
MisdreavusCommon$0.251 in 11 (9.3%)$116.85
OddishCommon$0.251 in 11 (9.3%)$116.85
ToxtricityRare$0.241 in 14 (7.14%)$152.18
GastlyCommon$0.241 in 11 (9.3%)$116.85
Flygon - 053/094Rare$0.241 in 14 (7.14%)$152.18
MoltresRare$0.241 in 14 (7.14%)$152.18
SeelCommon$0.241 in 11 (9.3%)$116.85
VileplumeRare$0.241 in 14 (7.14%)$152.18
Wondrous PatchUncommon$0.241 in 10 (9.68%)$112.32
ZigzagoonCommon$0.241 in 11 (9.3%)$116.85
Grimsley's MoveUncommon$0.231 in 10 (9.68%)$112.32
AbsolCommon$0.231 in 11 (9.3%)$116.85
DuraludonCommon$0.231 in 11 (9.3%)$116.85
GenesectRare$0.231 in 14 (7.14%)$152.18
GliscorUncommon$0.231 in 10 (9.68%)$112.32
KrookodileUncommon$0.231 in 10 (9.68%)$112.32
MurkrowCommon$0.231 in 11 (9.3%)$116.85
PrinplupCommon$0.231 in 11 (9.3%)$116.85
ReshiramRare$0.231 in 14 (7.14%)$152.18
Wigglytuff - 077/094Uncommon$0.231 in 10 (9.68%)$112.32
Wondrous PatchUncommon$0.231 in 10 (9.68%)$112.32
Yamper - 030/094Common$0.231 in 11 (9.3%)$116.85
ToxelCommon$0.221 in 11 (9.3%)$116.85
DawnUncommon$0.221 in 10 (9.68%)$112.32
Battle Cage - 085/094Uncommon$0.221 in 10 (9.68%)$112.32
DarmanitanUncommon$0.221 in 10 (9.68%)$112.32
Dizzying ValleyUncommon$0.221 in 10 (9.68%)$112.32
Firebreather - 089/094Uncommon$0.221 in 10 (9.68%)$112.32
Jumbo Ice CreamUncommon$0.221 in 10 (9.68%)$112.32
PawmiCommon$0.221 in 11 (9.3%)$116.85
PawmoCommon$0.221 in 11 (9.3%)$116.85
Haunter - 055/094Uncommon$0.211 in 10 (9.68%)$112.32
CarvanhaCommon$0.211 in 11 (9.3%)$116.85
CeruledgeUncommon$0.211 in 10 (9.68%)$112.32
CharcadetCommon$0.211 in 11 (9.3%)$116.85
Dewgong - 022/094Common$0.211 in 11 (9.3%)$116.85
JigglypuffCommon$0.211 in 11 (9.3%)$116.85
MilceryCommon$0.211 in 11 (9.3%)$116.85
SmeargleCommon$0.211 in 11 (9.3%)$116.85
SuicuneRare$0.211 in 14 (7.14%)$152.18
SwinubCommon$0.211 in 11 (9.3%)$116.85
VibravaCommon$0.211 in 11 (9.3%)$116.85
ToxtricityRare$0.201 in 14 (7.14%)$152.18
SeviperUncommon$0.201 in 10 (9.68%)$112.32
Ambipom - 079/094Rare$0.201 in 14 (7.14%)$152.18
Blowtorch - 086/094Uncommon$0.201 in 10 (9.68%)$112.32
BoltundCommon$0.201 in 11 (9.3%)$116.85
Ludicolo - 007/094Uncommon$0.201 in 10 (9.68%)$112.32
PrinplupCommon$0.201 in 11 (9.3%)$116.85
Wigglytuff - 077/094Uncommon$0.201 in 10 (9.68%)$112.32
ArchaludonUncommon$0.191 in 10 (9.68%)$112.32
Blowtorch - 086/094Uncommon$0.191 in 10 (9.68%)$112.32
BramblinCommon$0.191 in 11 (9.3%)$116.85
BunearyCommon$0.191 in 11 (9.3%)$116.85
CharmeleonCommon$0.191 in 11 (9.3%)$116.85
Firebreather - 089/094Uncommon$0.191 in 10 (9.68%)$112.32
GloomCommon$0.191 in 11 (9.3%)$116.85
HonchkrowUncommon$0.191 in 10 (9.68%)$112.32
LokixUncommon$0.191 in 10 (9.68%)$112.32
LotadCommon$0.191 in 11 (9.3%)$116.85
MamoswineUncommon$0.191 in 10 (9.68%)$112.32
PawmotRare$0.191 in 14 (7.14%)$152.18
SandileCommon$0.191 in 11 (9.3%)$116.85
Togedemaru - 073/094Common$0.191 in 11 (9.3%)$116.85
AipomCommon$0.181 in 11 (9.3%)$116.85
BronzongUncommon$0.181 in 10 (9.68%)$112.32
CeruledgeUncommon$0.181 in 10 (9.68%)$112.32
GligarCommon$0.181 in 11 (9.3%)$116.85
KrokorokCommon$0.181 in 11 (9.3%)$116.85
LombreCommon$0.181 in 11 (9.3%)$116.85
Nymble - 009/094Common$0.181 in 11 (9.3%)$116.85
PiloswineCommon$0.181 in 11 (9.3%)$116.85
Piplup - 027/094Common$0.181 in 11 (9.3%)$116.85
TrapinchCommon$0.181 in 11 (9.3%)$116.85
Flygon - 053/094Rare$0.171 in 14 (7.14%)$152.18
LinooneUncommon$0.171 in 10 (9.68%)$112.32
PawmiCommon$0.171 in 11 (9.3%)$116.85
Sacred Charm - 093/094Uncommon$0.171 in 10 (9.68%)$112.32
VileplumeRare$0.171 in 14 (7.14%)$152.18
GastlyCommon$0.161 in 11 (9.3%)$116.85
AbsolCommon$0.161 in 11 (9.3%)$116.85
AipomCommon$0.161 in 11 (9.3%)$116.85
BrambleghastUncommon$0.161 in 10 (9.68%)$112.32
GenesectRare$0.161 in 14 (7.14%)$152.18
GranbullUncommon$0.161 in 10 (9.68%)$112.32
MeloettaUncommon$0.161 in 10 (9.68%)$112.32
Paldean TaurosUncommon$0.161 in 10 (9.68%)$112.32
Haunter - 055/094Uncommon$0.151 in 10 (9.68%)$112.32
SableyeCommon$0.151 in 11 (9.3%)$116.85
Punk HelmetUncommon$0.151 in 10 (9.68%)$112.32
BronzorCommon$0.151 in 11 (9.3%)$116.85
DuraludonCommon$0.151 in 11 (9.3%)$116.85
SuicuneRare$0.151 in 14 (7.14%)$152.18
EternatusUncommon$0.141 in 10 (9.68%)$112.32
SeviperUncommon$0.141 in 10 (9.68%)$112.32
DarumakaCommon$0.141 in 11 (9.3%)$116.85
MamoswineUncommon$0.141 in 10 (9.68%)$112.32
MurkrowCommon$0.141 in 11 (9.3%)$116.85
Zacian - 045/094Rare$0.141 in 14 (7.14%)$152.18
Dizzying ValleyUncommon$0.131 in 10 (9.68%)$112.32
GloomCommon$0.131 in 11 (9.3%)$116.85
PawmotRare$0.131 in 14 (7.14%)$152.18
Sacred Charm - 093/094Uncommon$0.131 in 10 (9.68%)$112.32
SnubbullCommon$0.131 in 11 (9.3%)$116.85
TrapinchCommon$0.131 in 11 (9.3%)$116.85
Yamper - 030/094Common$0.131 in 11 (9.3%)$116.85
AlcremieUncommon$0.121 in 10 (9.68%)$112.32
Grimsley's MoveUncommon$0.121 in 10 (9.68%)$112.32
Punk HelmetUncommon$0.121 in 10 (9.68%)$112.32
CresseliaUncommon$0.121 in 10 (9.68%)$112.32
KrokorokCommon$0.121 in 11 (9.3%)$116.85
LotadCommon$0.121 in 11 (9.3%)$116.85
Ludicolo - 007/094Uncommon$0.121 in 10 (9.68%)$112.32
MilceryCommon$0.121 in 11 (9.3%)$116.85
Paldean TaurosUncommon$0.121 in 10 (9.68%)$112.32
PawmoCommon$0.121 in 11 (9.3%)$116.85
PiloswineCommon$0.121 in 11 (9.3%)$116.85
ReshiramRare$0.121 in 14 (7.14%)$152.18
KrookodileUncommon$0.111 in 10 (9.68%)$112.32
OddishCommon$0.111 in 11 (9.3%)$116.85
SeelCommon$0.111 in 11 (9.3%)$116.85
ZigzagoonCommon$0.111 in 11 (9.3%)$116.85
BramblinCommon$0.101 in 11 (9.3%)$116.85
LinooneUncommon$0.101 in 10 (9.68%)$112.32
LombreCommon$0.101 in 11 (9.3%)$116.85
Togedemaru - 073/094Common$0.101 in 11 (9.3%)$116.85
Ambipom - 079/094Rare$0.091 in 14 (7.14%)$152.18
ArchaludonUncommon$0.091 in 10 (9.68%)$112.32
BronzongUncommon$0.091 in 10 (9.68%)$112.32
BronzorCommon$0.091 in 11 (9.3%)$116.85
Dewgong - 022/094Common$0.091 in 11 (9.3%)$116.85
HonchkrowUncommon$0.091 in 10 (9.68%)$112.32
MisdreavusCommon$0.091 in 11 (9.3%)$116.85
SmeargleCommon$0.091 in 11 (9.3%)$116.85
VibravaCommon$0.091 in 11 (9.3%)$116.85
BrambleghastUncommon$0.081 in 10 (9.68%)$112.32
DarmanitanUncommon$0.081 in 10 (9.68%)$112.32
DarumakaCommon$0.081 in 11 (9.3%)$116.85
GligarCommon$0.081 in 11 (9.3%)$116.85
SwinubCommon$0.081 in 11 (9.3%)$116.85
BoltundCommon$0.071 in 11 (9.3%)$116.85
GliscorUncommon$0.071 in 10 (9.68%)$112.32
GranbullUncommon$0.071 in 10 (9.68%)$112.32
SandileCommon$0.071 in 11 (9.3%)$116.85
LokixUncommon$0.061 in 10 (9.68%)$112.32