Neo Discovery
A $537.50 Neo Discovery pack returns $116.33 in expected card value on average — 22% of what you paid.
No official TCGPlayer pull-rate article covers Neo Discovery. These odds come from thepricedex.com, which publishes a rate for each tier but does not say how many packs it counted to get there — so read them as indicative rather than measured. They are here because they are the best published figures for this set, and naming that limit is better than implying a precision the source never claimed.
How these figures are calculated, including the sourcing bar and what this model deliberately does not do.
- Pack EV: $116.33
- Cheapest pack: $537.50 (Neo Discovery Booster Pack [Unlimited Edition])
- Cards: 75 (149 versions)
Products in this set
| Product | Price | Expected value | Expected return |
|---|---|---|---|
| Neo Discovery Booster Pack [Unlimited Edition] | $537.50 | $116.33 | 22% |
| Neo Discovery Booster Pack [1st Edition] | $1500.00 | $116.33 | 8% |
| Neo Discovery 2-Pack Blister [Unlimited Edition] | — | $232.66 | TBD |
Where to buy
Neo Discovery Booster Pack [Unlimited Edition] · Neo Discovery Booster Pack [1st Edition] · Neo Discovery 2-Pack Blister [Unlimited Edition]
Expected return by product type
| Product | Price per pack | Expected return |
|---|---|---|
| Booster Pack | $537.50 | 22% |
Pull rates (source: community_estimate)
| Rarity | Pull rate | Sample |
|---|---|---|
| Holo Rare | 33.33% | |
| Rare | 66.67% | |
| Common | 700% | |
| Uncommon | 300% |
Cards & odds
| Card | Rarity | Market price | Odds | Cost to pull |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Umbreon (13) | Holo Rare | $817.16 | 1 in 51 (1.96%) | TBD |
| Espeon (1) | Holo Rare | $412.82 | 1 in 51 (1.96%) | TBD |
| Tyranitar (12) | Holo Rare | $400.00 | 1 in 51 (1.96%) | TBD |
| Umbreon (32) | Rare | $399.99 | 1 in 28 (3.51%) | TBD |
| Houndour (5) | Holo Rare | $350.00 | 1 in 51 (1.96%) | TBD |
| Houndoom (4) | Holo Rare | $271.66 | 1 in 51 (1.96%) | TBD |
| Wobbuffet (16) | Holo Rare | $248.67 | 1 in 51 (1.96%) | TBD |
| Scizor (10) | Holo Rare | $246.50 | 1 in 51 (1.96%) | TBD |
| Espeon (1) | Holo Rare | $237.50 | 1 in 51 (1.96%) | TBD |
| Politoed (8) | Holo Rare | $195.95 | 1 in 51 (1.96%) | TBD |
| Espeon (20) | Rare | $169.99 | 1 in 28 (3.51%) | TBD |
| Yanma (17) | Holo Rare | $169.99 | 1 in 51 (1.96%) | TBD |
| Hitmontop (3) | Holo Rare | $161.45 | 1 in 51 (1.96%) | TBD |
| Poliwrath (9) | Holo Rare | $155.97 | 1 in 51 (1.96%) | TBD |
| Ursaring (15) | Holo Rare | $154.99 | 1 in 51 (1.96%) | TBD |
| Tyranitar (12) | Holo Rare | $150.21 | 1 in 51 (1.96%) | TBD |
| Kabutops (6) | Holo Rare | $148.72 | 1 in 51 (1.96%) | TBD |
| Umbreon (32) | Rare | $123.13 | 1 in 28 (3.51%) | TBD |
| Smeargle (11) | Holo Rare | $120.83 | 1 in 51 (1.96%) | TBD |
| Unown [A] (14) | Holo Rare | $117.49 | 1 in 51 (1.96%) | TBD |
| Houndour (5) | Holo Rare | $98.86 | 1 in 51 (1.96%) | TBD |
| Tyranitar (31) | Rare | $98.66 | 1 in 28 (3.51%) | TBD |
| Kabutops (6) | Holo Rare | $96.21 | 1 in 51 (1.96%) | TBD |
| Houndoom (4) | Holo Rare | $95.97 | 1 in 51 (1.96%) | TBD |
| Scizor (10) | Holo Rare | $79.13 | 1 in 51 (1.96%) | TBD |
| Politoed (8) | Holo Rare | $77.16 | 1 in 51 (1.96%) | TBD |
| Forretress (2) | Holo Rare | $62.50 | 1 in 51 (1.96%) | TBD |
| Smeargle (11) | Holo Rare | $56.93 | 1 in 51 (1.96%) | TBD |
| Ursaring (15) | Holo Rare | $48.05 | 1 in 51 (1.96%) | TBD |
| Wobbuffet (16) | Holo Rare | $45.38 | 1 in 51 (1.96%) | TBD |
| Eevee | Uncommon | $44.57 | 1 in 6 (15.79%) | TBD |
| Houndour (24) | Rare | $44.33 | 1 in 28 (3.51%) | TBD |
| Scizor (29) | Rare | $43.99 | 1 in 28 (3.51%) | TBD |
| Houndoom (23) | Rare | $43.89 | 1 in 28 (3.51%) | TBD |
| Magnemite (7) | Holo Rare | $41.00 | 1 in 51 (1.96%) | TBD |
| Kabutops (25) | Rare | $39.49 | 1 in 28 (3.51%) | TBD |
| Butterfree | Rare | $38.99 | 1 in 28 (3.51%) | TBD |
| Politoed (27) | Rare | $37.13 | 1 in 28 (3.51%) | TBD |
| Beedrill | Rare | $36.66 | 1 in 28 (3.51%) | TBD |
| Forretress (2) | Holo Rare | $36.34 | 1 in 51 (1.96%) | TBD |
| Poliwrath (9) | Holo Rare | $35.56 | 1 in 51 (1.96%) | TBD |
| Magnemite (7) | Holo Rare | $34.83 | 1 in 51 (1.96%) | TBD |
| Espeon (20) | Rare | $33.24 | 1 in 28 (3.51%) | TBD |
| Corsola | Uncommon | $30.14 | 1 in 6 (15.79%) | TBD |
| Yanma (17) | Holo Rare | $26.96 | 1 in 51 (1.96%) | TBD |
| Tyranitar (31) | Rare | $26.20 | 1 in 28 (3.51%) | TBD |
| Smeargle (30) | Rare | $25.37 | 1 in 28 (3.51%) | TBD |
| Houndoom (23) | Rare | $22.76 | 1 in 28 (3.51%) | TBD |
| Poliwrath (28) | Rare | $21.32 | 1 in 28 (3.51%) | TBD |
| Politoed (27) | Rare | $21.07 | 1 in 28 (3.51%) | TBD |
| Hitmontop (3) | Holo Rare | $20.97 | 1 in 51 (1.96%) | TBD |
| Igglybuff | Uncommon | $20.62 | 1 in 6 (15.79%) | TBD |
| Wobbuffet (35) | Rare | $20.49 | 1 in 28 (3.51%) | TBD |
| Unown [A] (14) | Holo Rare | $20.39 | 1 in 51 (1.96%) | TBD |
| Unown [A] (33) | Rare | $20.34 | 1 in 28 (3.51%) | TBD |
| Ursaring (34) | Rare | $18.04 | 1 in 28 (3.51%) | TBD |
| Houndour (24) | Rare | $16.91 | 1 in 28 (3.51%) | TBD |
| Wooper | Common | $16.59 | 1 in 3 (35%) | TBD |
| Scizor (29) | Rare | $15.07 | 1 in 28 (3.51%) | TBD |
| Kabutops (25) | Rare | $14.87 | 1 in 28 (3.51%) | TBD |
| Hitmontop (22) | Rare | $14.40 | 1 in 28 (3.51%) | TBD |
| Magnemite (26) | Rare | $14.23 | 1 in 28 (3.51%) | TBD |
| Omanyte | Common | $13.71 | 1 in 3 (35%) | TBD |
| Forretress (21) | Rare | $13.58 | 1 in 28 (3.51%) | TBD |
| Yanma (36) | Rare | $13.45 | 1 in 28 (3.51%) | TBD |
| Poliwhirl | Uncommon | $13.25 | 1 in 6 (15.79%) | TBD |
| Beedrill | Rare | $12.81 | 1 in 28 (3.51%) | TBD |
| Kabuto | Common | $12.68 | 1 in 3 (35%) | TBD |
| Scyther | Uncommon | $12.51 | 1 in 6 (15.79%) | TBD |
| Houndour (39) | Uncommon | $11.89 | 1 in 6 (15.79%) | TBD |
| Smeargle (30) | Rare | $11.14 | 1 in 28 (3.51%) | TBD |
| Unown [A] (33) | Rare | $10.06 | 1 in 28 (3.51%) | TBD |
| Igglybuff | Uncommon | $9.59 | 1 in 6 (15.79%) | TBD |
| Corsola | Uncommon | $9.16 | 1 in 6 (15.79%) | TBD |
| Poliwrath (28) | Rare | $8.94 | 1 in 28 (3.51%) | TBD |
| Eevee | Uncommon | $8.21 | 1 in 6 (15.79%) | TBD |
| Metapod | Uncommon | $8.01 | 1 in 6 (15.79%) | TBD |
| Forretress (21) | Rare | $7.87 | 1 in 28 (3.51%) | TBD |
| Magnemite (26) | Rare | $7.80 | 1 in 28 (3.51%) | TBD |
| Caterpie | Common | $7.79 | 1 in 3 (35%) | TBD |
| Unown [N] | Uncommon | $7.59 | 1 in 6 (15.79%) | TBD |
| Poliwag | Common | $7.43 | 1 in 3 (35%) | TBD |
| Yanma (36) | Rare | $7.42 | 1 in 28 (3.51%) | TBD |
| Ursaring (34) | Rare | $6.65 | 1 in 28 (3.51%) | TBD |
| Pupitar | Uncommon | $6.54 | 1 in 6 (15.79%) | TBD |
| Wobbuffet (35) | Rare | $6.28 | 1 in 28 (3.51%) | TBD |
| Hitmontop (22) | Rare | $6.27 | 1 in 28 (3.51%) | TBD |
| Unown [M] | Uncommon | $6.16 | 1 in 6 (15.79%) | TBD |
| Unown [U] | Uncommon | $5.84 | 1 in 6 (15.79%) | TBD |
| Teddiursa | Common | $5.45 | 1 in 3 (35%) | TBD |
| Kakuna | Uncommon | $5.21 | 1 in 6 (15.79%) | TBD |
| Unown [F] | Uncommon | $4.98 | 1 in 6 (15.79%) | TBD |
| Omastar | Uncommon | $4.57 | 1 in 6 (15.79%) | TBD |
| Mareep | Common | $4.50 | 1 in 3 (35%) | TBD |
| Weedle | Common | $4.35 | 1 in 3 (35%) | TBD |
| Omanyte | Common | $4.06 | 1 in 3 (35%) | TBD |
| Butterfree | Rare | $4.04 | 1 in 28 (3.51%) | TBD |
| Unown [D] | Uncommon | $4.03 | 1 in 6 (15.79%) | TBD |
| Pineco | Common | $3.80 | 1 in 3 (35%) | TBD |
| Dunsparce | Common | $3.77 | 1 in 3 (35%) | TBD |
| Larvitar | Common | $3.60 | 1 in 3 (35%) | TBD |
| Unown [E] | Common | $3.49 | 1 in 3 (35%) | TBD |
| Tyrogue | Common | $3.44 | 1 in 3 (35%) | TBD |
| Natu | Common | $3.32 | 1 in 3 (35%) | TBD |
| Spinarak | Common | $3.19 | 1 in 3 (35%) | TBD |
| Xatu | Uncommon | $3.11 | 1 in 6 (15.79%) | TBD |
| Unown [I] | Common | $2.98 | 1 in 3 (35%) | TBD |
| Ruin Wall | Uncommon | $2.93 | 1 in 6 (15.79%) | TBD |
| Unown [O] | Common | $2.91 | 1 in 3 (35%) | TBD |
| Wooper | Common | $2.88 | 1 in 3 (35%) | TBD |
| Hoppip | Common | $2.77 | 1 in 3 (35%) | TBD |
| Poliwhirl | Uncommon | $2.73 | 1 in 6 (15.79%) | TBD |
| Kabuto | Common | $2.51 | 1 in 3 (35%) | TBD |
| Houndour (39) | Uncommon | $2.45 | 1 in 6 (15.79%) | TBD |
| Sentret | Common | $2.14 | 1 in 3 (35%) | TBD |
| Caterpie | Common | $2.13 | 1 in 3 (35%) | TBD |
| Scyther | Uncommon | $2.10 | 1 in 6 (15.79%) | TBD |
| Unown [F] | Uncommon | $2.02 | 1 in 6 (15.79%) | TBD |
| Fossil Egg | Uncommon | $1.87 | 1 in 6 (15.79%) | TBD |
| Unown [U] | Uncommon | $1.86 | 1 in 6 (15.79%) | TBD |
| Hyper Devolution Spray | Uncommon | $1.76 | 1 in 6 (15.79%) | TBD |
| Metapod | Uncommon | $1.65 | 1 in 6 (15.79%) | TBD |
| Unown [M] | Uncommon | $1.65 | 1 in 6 (15.79%) | TBD |
| Unown [D] | Uncommon | $1.63 | 1 in 6 (15.79%) | TBD |
| Unown [N] | Uncommon | $1.49 | 1 in 6 (15.79%) | TBD |
| Omastar | Uncommon | $1.31 | 1 in 6 (15.79%) | TBD |
| Mareep | Common | $1.24 | 1 in 3 (35%) | TBD |
| Pupitar | Uncommon | $1.16 | 1 in 6 (15.79%) | TBD |
| Poliwag | Common | $1.11 | 1 in 3 (35%) | TBD |
| Teddiursa | Common | $0.96 | 1 in 3 (35%) | TBD |
| Xatu | Uncommon | $0.90 | 1 in 6 (15.79%) | TBD |
| Unown [E] | Common | $0.89 | 1 in 3 (35%) | TBD |
| Unown [O] | Common | $0.89 | 1 in 3 (35%) | TBD |
| Kakuna | Uncommon | $0.88 | 1 in 6 (15.79%) | TBD |
| Unown [I] | Common | $0.88 | 1 in 3 (35%) | TBD |
| Tyrogue | Common | $0.85 | 1 in 3 (35%) | TBD |
| Pineco | Common | $0.82 | 1 in 3 (35%) | TBD |
| Energy Ark | Common | $0.81 | 1 in 3 (35%) | TBD |
| Dunsparce | Common | $0.78 | 1 in 3 (35%) | TBD |
| Spinarak | Common | $0.75 | 1 in 3 (35%) | TBD |
| Weedle | Common | $0.70 | 1 in 3 (35%) | TBD |
| Hyper Devolution Spray | Uncommon | $0.67 | 1 in 6 (15.79%) | TBD |
| Ruin Wall | Uncommon | $0.60 | 1 in 6 (15.79%) | TBD |
| Larvitar | Common | $0.58 | 1 in 3 (35%) | TBD |
| Fossil Egg | Uncommon | $0.56 | 1 in 6 (15.79%) | TBD |
| Sentret | Common | $0.56 | 1 in 3 (35%) | TBD |
| Hoppip | Common | $0.52 | 1 in 3 (35%) | TBD |
| Natu | Common | $0.50 | 1 in 3 (35%) | TBD |
| Energy Ark | Common | $0.34 | 1 in 3 (35%) | TBD |