
A $631.99 Neo Genesis pack returns $103.47 in expected card value on average — 16% of what you paid.
No official TCGPlayer pull-rate article covers Neo Genesis, so these odds come from elitefourum.com, which discloses a 432-pack sample. A stated count is the difference between a measured rate and a confident guess, so it is recorded here whenever a source gives one.
How these figures are calculated, including the sourcing bar and what this model deliberately does not do.
| Product | Price | Expected value | Expected return |
|---|---|---|---|
| Neo Genesis Booster Pack [Unlimited Edition] | $631.99 | $103.47 | 16% |
| Neo Genesis Booster Box [Unlimited Edition] | — | $3724.90 | TBD |
| Neo Genesis Booster Box [1st Edition] | — | $3724.90 | TBD |
| Neo Genesis Booster Pack [1st Edition] | — | $103.47 | TBD |
Neo Genesis Booster Pack [Unlimited Edition] · Neo Genesis Booster Box [Unlimited Edition] · Neo Genesis Booster Box [1st Edition] · Neo Genesis Booster Pack [1st Edition]
| Product | Price per pack | Expected return |
|---|---|---|
| Booster Pack | $631.99 | 16% |
| Rarity | Pull rate | Sample |
|---|---|---|
| Holo Rare | 33.33% | n=432 |
| Rare | 66.67% | |
| Common | 600% | |
| Uncommon | 300% |
| Card | Rarity | Market price | Odds | Cost to pull |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lugia | Holo Rare | $1300.00 | 1 in 57 (1.75%) | TBD |
| Typhlosion (18) | Holo Rare | $599.99 | 1 in 57 (1.75%) | TBD |
| Lugia | Holo Rare | $526.98 | 1 in 57 (1.75%) | TBD |
| Feraligatr (5) | Holo Rare | $503.94 | 1 in 57 (1.75%) | TBD |
| Typhlosion (17) | Holo Rare | $330.99 | 1 in 57 (1.75%) | TBD |
| Slowking | Holo Rare | $293.07 | 1 in 57 (1.75%) | TBD |
| Heracross | Holo Rare | $275.72 | 1 in 57 (1.75%) | TBD |
| Meganium (11) | Holo Rare | $268.96 | 1 in 57 (1.75%) | TBD |
| Pichu | Holo Rare | $257.57 | 1 in 57 (1.75%) | TBD |
| Typhlosion (17) | Holo Rare | $212.09 | 1 in 57 (1.75%) | TBD |
| Feraligatr (4) | Holo Rare | $208.93 | 1 in 57 (1.75%) | TBD |
| Steelix | Holo Rare | $198.50 | 1 in 57 (1.75%) | TBD |
| Typhlosion (18) | Holo Rare | $189.61 | 1 in 57 (1.75%) | TBD |
| Meganium (10) | Holo Rare | $160.17 | 1 in 57 (1.75%) | TBD |
| Togetic | Holo Rare | $148.23 | 1 in 57 (1.75%) | TBD |
| Kingdra | Holo Rare | $143.66 | 1 in 57 (1.75%) | TBD |
| Feraligatr (5) | Holo Rare | $135.93 | 1 in 57 (1.75%) | TBD |
| Feraligatr (4) | Holo Rare | $134.05 | 1 in 57 (1.75%) | TBD |
| Pichu | Holo Rare | $133.19 | 1 in 57 (1.75%) | TBD |
| Azumarill | Holo Rare | $128.95 | 1 in 57 (1.75%) | TBD |
| Skarmory | Holo Rare | $127.47 | 1 in 57 (1.75%) | TBD |
| Ampharos | Holo Rare | $111.58 | 1 in 57 (1.75%) | TBD |
| Meganium (11) | Holo Rare | $103.88 | 1 in 57 (1.75%) | TBD |
| Slowking | Holo Rare | $95.53 | 1 in 57 (1.75%) | TBD |
| Bellossom | Holo Rare | $91.53 | 1 in 57 (1.75%) | TBD |
| Meganium (10) | Holo Rare | $87.46 | 1 in 57 (1.75%) | TBD |
| Jumpluff | Holo Rare | $68.65 | 1 in 57 (1.75%) | TBD |
| Heracross | Holo Rare | $62.91 | 1 in 57 (1.75%) | TBD |
| Steelix | Holo Rare | $53.82 | 1 in 57 (1.75%) | TBD |
| Togetic | Holo Rare | $46.45 | 1 in 57 (1.75%) | TBD |
| Ampharos | Holo Rare | $44.22 | 1 in 57 (1.75%) | TBD |
| Pikachu | Common | $35.26 | 1 in 7 (14.63%) | TBD |
| Togepi | Uncommon | $34.93 | 1 in 12 (8.57%) | TBD |
| Skarmory | Holo Rare | $34.83 | 1 in 57 (1.75%) | TBD |
| Azumarill | Holo Rare | $30.05 | 1 in 57 (1.75%) | TBD |
| Metal Energy | Holo Rare | $27.19 | 1 in 57 (1.75%) | TBD |
| Bellossom | Holo Rare | $26.32 | 1 in 57 (1.75%) | TBD |
| Cleffa | Rare | $25.48 | 1 in 24 (4.17%) | TBD |
| Sneasel | Rare | $23.82 | 1 in 24 (4.17%) | TBD |
| Clefairy | Uncommon | $23.64 | 1 in 12 (8.57%) | TBD |
| Slowpoke | Common | $22.16 | 1 in 7 (14.63%) | TBD |
| Focus Band | Rare | $21.11 | 1 in 24 (4.17%) | TBD |
| Kingdra | Holo Rare | $20.93 | 1 in 57 (1.75%) | TBD |
| Elekid | Rare | $20.61 | 1 in 24 (4.17%) | TBD |
| Cyndaquil (56) | Common | $18.01 | 1 in 7 (14.63%) | TBD |
| Metal Energy | Holo Rare | $16.53 | 1 in 57 (1.75%) | TBD |
| Cleffa | Rare | $16.05 | 1 in 24 (4.17%) | TBD |
| Cyndaquil (57) | Common | $15.62 | 1 in 7 (14.63%) | TBD |
| Magby | Rare | $14.29 | 1 in 24 (4.17%) | TBD |
| Arcade Game (Goldenrod Game Corner) | Rare | $13.62 | 1 in 24 (4.17%) | TBD |
| Totodile (80) | Common | $13.45 | 1 in 7 (14.63%) | TBD |
| Pikachu | Common | $13.22 | 1 in 7 (14.63%) | TBD |
| Focus Band | Rare | $12.07 | 1 in 24 (4.17%) | TBD |
| Bayleef (28) | Uncommon | $11.67 | 1 in 12 (8.57%) | TBD |
| Jumpluff | Holo Rare | $11.14 | 1 in 57 (1.75%) | TBD |
| Quilava (47) | Uncommon | $10.79 | 1 in 12 (8.57%) | TBD |
| Miltank | Uncommon | $10.77 | 1 in 12 (8.57%) | TBD |
| Noctowl | Uncommon | $10.36 | 1 in 12 (8.57%) | TBD |
| Murkrow | Rare | $10.33 | 1 in 24 (4.17%) | TBD |
| Darkness Energy | Rare | $10.23 | 1 in 24 (4.17%) | TBD |
| Totodile (81) | Common | $10.22 | 1 in 7 (14.63%) | TBD |
| Pokemon March | Common | $10.13 | 1 in 7 (14.63%) | TBD |
| Togepi | Uncommon | $9.74 | 1 in 12 (8.57%) | TBD |
| Quilava (46) | Uncommon | $9.52 | 1 in 12 (8.57%) | TBD |
| Quagsire | Uncommon | $8.88 | 1 in 12 (8.57%) | TBD |
| Wooper | Common | $8.34 | 1 in 7 (14.63%) | TBD |
| Donphan | Rare | $7.91 | 1 in 24 (4.17%) | TBD |
| Recycle Energy | Rare | $7.91 | 1 in 24 (4.17%) | TBD |
| Sneasel | Rare | $7.84 | 1 in 24 (4.17%) | TBD |
| Chikorita (53) | Common | $7.69 | 1 in 7 (14.63%) | TBD |
| Furret | Uncommon | $7.55 | 1 in 12 (8.57%) | TBD |
| Marill | Common | $7.47 | 1 in 7 (14.63%) | TBD |
| Arcade Game (Goldenrod Game Corner) | Rare | $7.40 | 1 in 24 (4.17%) | TBD |
| Mary | Rare | $7.20 | 1 in 24 (4.17%) | TBD |
| Quagsire | Uncommon | $6.95 | 1 in 12 (8.57%) | TBD |
| Slowpoke | Common | $6.90 | 1 in 7 (14.63%) | TBD |
| Electabuzz | Uncommon | $6.66 | 1 in 12 (8.57%) | TBD |
| Flaaffy | Uncommon | $6.56 | 1 in 12 (8.57%) | TBD |
| Darkness Energy | Rare | $6.41 | 1 in 24 (4.17%) | TBD |
| Croconaw (31) | Uncommon | $6.30 | 1 in 12 (8.57%) | TBD |
| Gloom | Uncommon | $6.08 | 1 in 12 (8.57%) | TBD |
| Donphan | Rare | $6.06 | 1 in 24 (4.17%) | TBD |
| Clefairy | Uncommon | $6.03 | 1 in 12 (8.57%) | TBD |
| Chikorita (54) | Common | $5.57 | 1 in 7 (14.63%) | TBD |
| Shuckle | Common | $5.53 | 1 in 7 (14.63%) | TBD |
| Moo-Moo Milk | Common | $5.42 | 1 in 7 (14.63%) | TBD |
| Bayleef (29) | Uncommon | $5.32 | 1 in 12 (8.57%) | TBD |
| Magmar | Uncommon | $5.25 | 1 in 12 (8.57%) | TBD |
| Horsea | Common | $5.12 | 1 in 7 (14.63%) | TBD |
| Recycle Energy | Rare | $4.91 | 1 in 24 (4.17%) | TBD |
| Sudowoodo | Common | $4.86 | 1 in 7 (14.63%) | TBD |
| Aipom | Uncommon | $4.75 | 1 in 12 (8.57%) | TBD |
| Quilava (46) | Uncommon | $4.69 | 1 in 12 (8.57%) | TBD |
| Croconaw (32) | Uncommon | $4.63 | 1 in 12 (8.57%) | TBD |
| Flaaffy | Uncommon | $4.63 | 1 in 12 (8.57%) | TBD |
| Elekid | Rare | $4.49 | 1 in 24 (4.17%) | TBD |
| Ariados | Uncommon | $4.25 | 1 in 12 (8.57%) | TBD |
| Quilava (47) | Uncommon | $4.18 | 1 in 12 (8.57%) | TBD |
| Murkrow | Rare | $4.16 | 1 in 24 (4.17%) | TBD |
| Sunflora | Uncommon | $4.04 | 1 in 12 (8.57%) | TBD |
| Ecogym | Rare | $3.89 | 1 in 24 (4.17%) | TBD |
| Double Gust | Common | $3.84 | 1 in 7 (14.63%) | TBD |
| Professor Elm | Uncommon | $3.84 | 1 in 12 (8.57%) | TBD |
| Mary | Rare | $3.74 | 1 in 24 (4.17%) | TBD |
| Onix | Common | $3.71 | 1 in 7 (14.63%) | TBD |
| Gold Berry | Uncommon | $3.69 | 1 in 12 (8.57%) | TBD |
| Mareep | Common | $3.68 | 1 in 7 (14.63%) | TBD |
| Noctowl | Uncommon | $3.65 | 1 in 12 (8.57%) | TBD |
| Super Energy Retrieval | Rare | $3.64 | 1 in 24 (4.17%) | TBD |
| Bayleef (28) | Uncommon | $3.45 | 1 in 12 (8.57%) | TBD |
| Phanpy | Uncommon | $3.45 | 1 in 12 (8.57%) | TBD |
| Card-Flip Game (Goldenrod Game Corner) | Uncommon | $3.34 | 1 in 12 (8.57%) | TBD |
| Miltank | Uncommon | $3.27 | 1 in 12 (8.57%) | TBD |
| Seadra | Uncommon | $3.26 | 1 in 12 (8.57%) | TBD |
| Ecogym | Rare | $3.25 | 1 in 24 (4.17%) | TBD |
| Energy Charge | Rare | $3.12 | 1 in 24 (4.17%) | TBD |
| Piloswine | Uncommon | $3.04 | 1 in 12 (8.57%) | TBD |
| Wooper | Common | $3.00 | 1 in 7 (14.63%) | TBD |
| Lanturn | Uncommon | $2.97 | 1 in 12 (8.57%) | TBD |
| PokeGear | Rare | $2.95 | 1 in 24 (4.17%) | TBD |
| Bayleef (29) | Uncommon | $2.92 | 1 in 12 (8.57%) | TBD |
| Mareep | Common | $2.92 | 1 in 7 (14.63%) | TBD |
| Sentret | Common | $2.92 | 1 in 7 (14.63%) | TBD |
| Magby | Rare | $2.90 | 1 in 24 (4.17%) | TBD |
| Time Capsule | Rare | $2.85 | 1 in 24 (4.17%) | TBD |
| Ledian | Uncommon | $2.63 | 1 in 12 (8.57%) | TBD |
| Aipom | Uncommon | $2.62 | 1 in 12 (8.57%) | TBD |
| PokeGear | Rare | $2.62 | 1 in 24 (4.17%) | TBD |
| Xatu | Uncommon | $2.62 | 1 in 12 (8.57%) | TBD |
| Gold Berry | Uncommon | $2.58 | 1 in 12 (8.57%) | TBD |
| Granbull | Uncommon | $2.58 | 1 in 12 (8.57%) | TBD |
| Oddish | Common | $2.57 | 1 in 7 (14.63%) | TBD |
| Sunkern | Common | $2.55 | 1 in 7 (14.63%) | TBD |
| Mantine | Common | $2.51 | 1 in 7 (14.63%) | TBD |
| Skiploom | Uncommon | $2.46 | 1 in 12 (8.57%) | TBD |
| Hoothoot | Common | $2.43 | 1 in 7 (14.63%) | TBD |
| Hoppip | Common | $2.43 | 1 in 7 (14.63%) | TBD |
| Ledyba | Common | $2.43 | 1 in 7 (14.63%) | TBD |
| Stantler | Common | $2.40 | 1 in 7 (14.63%) | TBD |
| Energy Charge | Rare | $2.37 | 1 in 24 (4.17%) | TBD |
| Snubbull | Common | $2.35 | 1 in 7 (14.63%) | TBD |
| Super Energy Retrieval | Rare | $2.34 | 1 in 24 (4.17%) | TBD |
| Sprout Tower | Uncommon | $2.31 | 1 in 12 (8.57%) | TBD |
| Croconaw (31) | Uncommon | $2.24 | 1 in 12 (8.57%) | TBD |
| Girafarig | Common | $2.24 | 1 in 7 (14.63%) | TBD |
| Sunflora | Uncommon | $2.22 | 1 in 12 (8.57%) | TBD |
| Cyndaquil (57) | Common | $2.21 | 1 in 7 (14.63%) | TBD |
| Electabuzz | Uncommon | $2.20 | 1 in 12 (8.57%) | TBD |
| Swinub | Common | $2.20 | 1 in 7 (14.63%) | TBD |
| Furret | Uncommon | $2.19 | 1 in 12 (8.57%) | TBD |
| Chikorita (53) | Common | $2.18 | 1 in 7 (14.63%) | TBD |
| Gloom | Uncommon | $2.15 | 1 in 12 (8.57%) | TBD |
| Natu | Common | $2.15 | 1 in 7 (14.63%) | TBD |
| Double Gust | Common | $2.11 | 1 in 7 (14.63%) | TBD |
| Spinarak | Common | $2.06 | 1 in 7 (14.63%) | TBD |
| Pokemon March | Common | $1.92 | 1 in 7 (14.63%) | TBD |
| Gligar | Common | $1.91 | 1 in 7 (14.63%) | TBD |
| Chinchou | Common | $1.90 | 1 in 7 (14.63%) | TBD |
| Granbull | Uncommon | $1.88 | 1 in 12 (8.57%) | TBD |
| Super Scoop Up | Uncommon | $1.85 | 1 in 12 (8.57%) | TBD |
| Seadra | Uncommon | $1.83 | 1 in 12 (8.57%) | TBD |
| Piloswine | Uncommon | $1.73 | 1 in 12 (8.57%) | TBD |
| Totodile (81) | Common | $1.73 | 1 in 7 (14.63%) | TBD |
| Super Rod | Common | $1.69 | 1 in 7 (14.63%) | TBD |
| Chikorita (54) | Common | $1.67 | 1 in 7 (14.63%) | TBD |
| Croconaw (32) | Uncommon | $1.67 | 1 in 12 (8.57%) | TBD |
| New Pokedex | Uncommon | $1.61 | 1 in 12 (8.57%) | TBD |
| Professor Elm | Uncommon | $1.61 | 1 in 12 (8.57%) | TBD |
| Skiploom | Uncommon | $1.58 | 1 in 12 (8.57%) | TBD |
| Ledian | Uncommon | $1.57 | 1 in 12 (8.57%) | TBD |
| Card-Flip Game (Goldenrod Game Corner) | Uncommon | $1.55 | 1 in 12 (8.57%) | TBD |
| Totodile (80) | Common | $1.49 | 1 in 7 (14.63%) | TBD |
| Hoothoot | Common | $1.48 | 1 in 7 (14.63%) | TBD |
| Bill's Teleporter | Uncommon | $1.47 | 1 in 12 (8.57%) | TBD |
| Time Capsule | Rare | $1.47 | 1 in 24 (4.17%) | TBD |
| Water Energy | Common | $1.46 | 1 in 7 (14.63%) | TBD |
| Shuckle | Common | $1.44 | 1 in 7 (14.63%) | TBD |
| Xatu | Uncommon | $1.43 | 1 in 12 (8.57%) | TBD |
| Cyndaquil (56) | Common | $1.41 | 1 in 7 (14.63%) | TBD |
| Phanpy | Uncommon | $1.41 | 1 in 12 (8.57%) | TBD |
| Fighting Energy | Common | $1.36 | 1 in 7 (14.63%) | TBD |
| Psychic Energy | Common | $1.35 | 1 in 7 (14.63%) | TBD |
| Grass Energy | Common | $1.33 | 1 in 7 (14.63%) | TBD |
| Onix | Common | $1.32 | 1 in 7 (14.63%) | TBD |
| Fire Energy | Common | $1.31 | 1 in 7 (14.63%) | TBD |
| Super Scoop Up | Uncommon | $1.18 | 1 in 12 (8.57%) | TBD |
| Lightning Energy | Common | $1.14 | 1 in 7 (14.63%) | TBD |
| Sprout Tower | Uncommon | $1.14 | 1 in 12 (8.57%) | TBD |
| Marill | Common | $1.06 | 1 in 7 (14.63%) | TBD |
| Ariados | Uncommon | $1.04 | 1 in 12 (8.57%) | TBD |
| Lanturn | Uncommon | $1.03 | 1 in 12 (8.57%) | TBD |
| Magmar | Uncommon | $1.03 | 1 in 12 (8.57%) | TBD |
| Sentret | Common | $1.03 | 1 in 7 (14.63%) | TBD |
| Oddish | Common | $1.02 | 1 in 7 (14.63%) | TBD |
| Ledyba | Common | $0.97 | 1 in 7 (14.63%) | TBD |
| Miracle Berry | Uncommon | $0.96 | 1 in 12 (8.57%) | TBD |
| Moo-Moo Milk | Common | $0.93 | 1 in 7 (14.63%) | TBD |
| Horsea | Common | $0.89 | 1 in 7 (14.63%) | TBD |
| Snubbull | Common | $0.86 | 1 in 7 (14.63%) | TBD |
| Gligar | Common | $0.76 | 1 in 7 (14.63%) | TBD |
| Sudowoodo | Common | $0.76 | 1 in 7 (14.63%) | TBD |
| Swinub | Common | $0.74 | 1 in 7 (14.63%) | TBD |
| Sunkern | Common | $0.73 | 1 in 7 (14.63%) | TBD |
| Berry | Common | $0.72 | 1 in 7 (14.63%) | TBD |
| Natu | Common | $0.68 | 1 in 7 (14.63%) | TBD |
| Girafarig | Common | $0.65 | 1 in 7 (14.63%) | TBD |
| Super Rod | Common | $0.64 | 1 in 7 (14.63%) | TBD |
| New Pokedex | Uncommon | $0.62 | 1 in 12 (8.57%) | TBD |
| Stantler | Common | $0.61 | 1 in 7 (14.63%) | TBD |
| Miracle Berry | Uncommon | $0.60 | 1 in 12 (8.57%) | TBD |
| Hoppip | Common | $0.52 | 1 in 7 (14.63%) | TBD |
| Bill's Teleporter | Uncommon | $0.51 | 1 in 12 (8.57%) | TBD |
| Water Energy | Common | $0.51 | 1 in 7 (14.63%) | TBD |
| Lightning Energy | Common | $0.49 | 1 in 7 (14.63%) | TBD |
| Spinarak | Common | $0.47 | 1 in 7 (14.63%) | TBD |
| Chinchou | Common | $0.43 | 1 in 7 (14.63%) | TBD |
| Fire Energy | Common | $0.43 | 1 in 7 (14.63%) | TBD |
| Mantine | Common | $0.43 | 1 in 7 (14.63%) | TBD |
| Psychic Energy | Common | $0.42 | 1 in 7 (14.63%) | TBD |
| Grass Energy | Common | $0.41 | 1 in 7 (14.63%) | TBD |
| Fighting Energy | Common | $0.36 | 1 in 7 (14.63%) | TBD |
| Berry | Common | $0.31 | 1 in 7 (14.63%) | TBD |