A $357.29 Next Destinies pack returns $22.85 in expected card value on average — 6% of what you paid.
No official TCGPlayer pull-rate article covers Next Destinies, so these odds come from thepricedex.com, which discloses a disclosed sample. Sources that do not state how many packs they counted are not used here, however confident they sound.
How these figures are calculated, including the sourcing bar and what this model deliberately does not do.
| Product | Price | Expected value | Expected return |
|---|---|---|---|
| Next Destinies Booster Pack | $357.29 | $22.85 | 6% |
| EX Tin [Reshiram] | — | $68.56 | TBD |
| EX Tin [Zekrom] | — | $68.56 | TBD |
| Next Destinies Booster Box | — | $822.70 | TBD |
| EX Tin [Kyurem] | — | $68.56 | TBD |
Next Destinies Booster Pack · EX Tin [Reshiram] · EX Tin [Zekrom] · Next Destinies Booster Box · EX Tin [Kyurem]
| Product | Price per pack | Expected return |
|---|---|---|
| Booster Pack | $357.29 | 6% |
| Rarity | Pull rate | Sample |
|---|---|---|
| Secret Rare | 0.93% | |
| Ultra Rare | 8.34% | |
| Holo Rare | 23.81% | |
| Rare | 66.67% | |
| Common | 500% | |
| Uncommon | 300% |
| Card | Rarity | Market price | Odds | Cost to pull |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zoroark | Secret Rare | $399.99 | 1 in 430 (0.23%) | $153673.12 |
| Zekrom EX (97 Full Art) | Ultra Rare | $269.98 | 1 in 144 (0.7%) | $51408.63 |
| Mewtwo EX (98 Full Art) | Ultra Rare | $261.81 | 1 in 144 (0.7%) | $51408.63 |
| Kyurem EX (96 Full Art) | Ultra Rare | $236.00 | 1 in 144 (0.7%) | $51408.63 |
| Chandelure (Secret) | Secret Rare | $220.00 | 1 in 430 (0.23%) | $153673.12 |
| Reshiram EX (95 Full Art) | Ultra Rare | $177.45 | 1 in 144 (0.7%) | $51408.63 |
| Emboar | Secret Rare | $171.24 | 1 in 430 (0.23%) | $153673.12 |
| Shaymin EX (94 Full Art) | Ultra Rare | $165.95 | 1 in 144 (0.7%) | $51408.63 |
| Hydreigon | Secret Rare | $164.99 | 1 in 430 (0.23%) | $153673.12 |
| Regigigas EX (99 Full Art) | Ultra Rare | $122.50 | 1 in 144 (0.7%) | $51408.63 |
| Mewtwo EX | Ultra Rare | $31.52 | 1 in 144 (0.7%) | $51408.63 |
| Zekrom EX | Ultra Rare | $29.02 | 1 in 144 (0.7%) | $51408.63 |
| Regigigas EX | Ultra Rare | $22.89 | 1 in 144 (0.7%) | $51408.63 |
| Reshiram EX | Ultra Rare | $18.26 | 1 in 144 (0.7%) | $51408.63 |
| Shaymin EX | Ultra Rare | $11.54 | 1 in 144 (0.7%) | $51408.63 |
| Kyurem EX | Ultra Rare | $9.45 | 1 in 144 (0.7%) | $51408.63 |
| Pikachu | Common | $34.38 | 1 in 6 (17.24%) | $1932.50 |
| Gardevoir | Holo Rare | $23.17 | 1 in 42 (2.38%) | $13993.70 |
| Growlithe (10) | Common | $23.05 | 1 in 6 (17.24%) | $1932.50 |
| Gardevoir | Holo Rare | $21.77 | 1 in 42 (2.38%) | $13993.70 |
| Lucario | Holo Rare | $15.97 | 1 in 42 (2.38%) | $13993.70 |
| Prism Energy | Uncommon | $15.96 | 1 in 9 (11.11%) | $2998.71 |
| Growlithe (11) | Common | $15.11 | 1 in 6 (17.24%) | $1932.50 |
| Lucario | Holo Rare | $13.47 | 1 in 42 (2.38%) | $13993.70 |
| Articuno | Holo Rare | $12.10 | 1 in 42 (2.38%) | $13993.70 |
| Raichu | Uncommon | $11.59 | 1 in 9 (11.11%) | $2998.71 |
| Darmanitan | Rare | $11.40 | 1 in 31 (3.17%) | $10494.96 |
| Articuno | Holo Rare | $10.89 | 1 in 42 (2.38%) | $13993.70 |
| Arcanine (13) | Uncommon | $10.34 | 1 in 9 (11.11%) | $2998.71 |
| Arcanine (12) | Rare | $9.50 | 1 in 31 (3.17%) | $10494.96 |
| Zapdos | Holo Rare | $9.00 | 1 in 42 (2.38%) | $13993.70 |
| Cinccino | Holo Rare | $8.08 | 1 in 42 (2.38%) | $13993.70 |
| Meowth | Common | $7.38 | 1 in 6 (17.24%) | $1932.50 |
| Darmanitan | Rare | $7.32 | 1 in 31 (3.17%) | $10494.96 |
| Zapdos | Holo Rare | $7.32 | 1 in 42 (2.38%) | $13993.70 |
| Jigglypuff | Uncommon | $7.15 | 1 in 9 (11.11%) | $2998.71 |
| Reshiram | Rare | $6.91 | 1 in 31 (3.17%) | $10494.96 |
| Lapras (25) | Rare | $5.66 | 1 in 31 (3.17%) | $10494.96 |
| Riolu | Common | $5.09 | 1 in 6 (17.24%) | $1932.50 |
| Ralts | Common | $4.93 | 1 in 6 (17.24%) | $1932.50 |
| Pikachu | Common | $4.78 | 1 in 6 (17.24%) | $1932.50 |
| Musharna | Rare | $4.72 | 1 in 31 (3.17%) | $10494.96 |
| Moltres | Holo Rare | $4.14 | 1 in 42 (2.38%) | $13993.70 |
| Shinx (43) | Common | $4.04 | 1 in 6 (17.24%) | $1932.50 |
| Moltres | Holo Rare | $4.00 | 1 in 42 (2.38%) | $13993.70 |
| Wigglytuff | Rare | $3.88 | 1 in 31 (3.17%) | $10494.96 |
| Luxray | Holo Rare | $3.85 | 1 in 42 (2.38%) | $13993.70 |
| Zekrom | Rare | $3.67 | 1 in 31 (3.17%) | $10494.96 |
| Raichu | Uncommon | $3.50 | 1 in 9 (11.11%) | $2998.71 |
| Lapras (26) | Uncommon | $3.31 | 1 in 9 (11.11%) | $2998.71 |
| Arcanine (12) | Rare | $3.27 | 1 in 31 (3.17%) | $10494.96 |
| Chandelure | Holo Rare | $3.23 | 1 in 42 (2.38%) | $13993.70 |
| Level Ball | Uncommon | $3.17 | 1 in 9 (11.11%) | $2998.71 |
| Muk | Rare | $3.15 | 1 in 31 (3.17%) | $10494.96 |
| Cinccino | Holo Rare | $3.01 | 1 in 42 (2.38%) | $13993.70 |
| Heavy Ball | Uncommon | $2.95 | 1 in 9 (11.11%) | $2998.71 |
| Prism Energy | Uncommon | $2.85 | 1 in 9 (11.11%) | $2998.71 |
| Persian | Rare | $2.84 | 1 in 31 (3.17%) | $10494.96 |
| Minccino | Uncommon | $2.58 | 1 in 9 (11.11%) | $2998.71 |
| Vanillite | Common | $2.33 | 1 in 6 (17.24%) | $1932.50 |
| Luxray | Holo Rare | $2.24 | 1 in 42 (2.38%) | $13993.70 |
| Beartic | Rare | $2.19 | 1 in 31 (3.17%) | $10494.96 |
| Minccino | Uncommon | $2.16 | 1 in 9 (11.11%) | $2998.71 |
| Litwick | Common | $2.14 | 1 in 6 (17.24%) | $1932.50 |
| Chandelure | Holo Rare | $2.03 | 1 in 42 (2.38%) | $13993.70 |
| Vanilluxe | Holo Rare | $1.99 | 1 in 42 (2.38%) | $13993.70 |
| Wigglytuff | Rare | $1.95 | 1 in 31 (3.17%) | $10494.96 |
| Emolga | Uncommon | $1.78 | 1 in 9 (11.11%) | $2998.71 |
| Kirlia | Uncommon | $1.76 | 1 in 9 (11.11%) | $2998.71 |
| Shinx (42) | Common | $1.65 | 1 in 6 (17.24%) | $1932.50 |
| Jellicent | Rare | $1.64 | 1 in 31 (3.17%) | $10494.96 |
| Musharna | Rare | $1.64 | 1 in 31 (3.17%) | $10494.96 |
| Sneasel | Common | $1.53 | 1 in 6 (17.24%) | $1932.50 |
| Arcanine (13) | Uncommon | $1.44 | 1 in 9 (11.11%) | $2998.71 |
| Grimer | Common | $1.38 | 1 in 6 (17.24%) | $1932.50 |
| Scrafty | Holo Rare | $1.23 | 1 in 42 (2.38%) | $13993.70 |
| Vanilluxe | Holo Rare | $1.22 | 1 in 42 (2.38%) | $13993.70 |
| Staryu | Common | $1.17 | 1 in 6 (17.24%) | $1932.50 |
| Jellicent | Rare | $1.14 | 1 in 31 (3.17%) | $10494.96 |
| Cubchoo | Common | $1.11 | 1 in 6 (17.24%) | $1932.50 |
| Darumaka | Common | $1.11 | 1 in 6 (17.24%) | $1932.50 |
| Luxio (45) | Uncommon | $1.09 | 1 in 9 (11.11%) | $2998.71 |
| Zekrom | Rare | $1.09 | 1 in 31 (3.17%) | $10494.96 |
| Pinsir | Rare | $1.08 | 1 in 31 (3.17%) | $10494.96 |
| Scrafty | Holo Rare | $1.08 | 1 in 42 (2.38%) | $13993.70 |
| Shiftry | Rare | $1.08 | 1 in 31 (3.17%) | $10494.96 |
| Lapras (26) | Uncommon | $1.04 | 1 in 9 (11.11%) | $2998.71 |
| Double Colorless Energy | Uncommon | $1.03 | 1 in 9 (11.11%) | $2998.71 |
| Weavile | Rare | $1.01 | 1 in 31 (3.17%) | $10494.96 |
| Blitzle | Common | $0.99 | 1 in 6 (17.24%) | $1932.50 |
| Foongus | Common | $0.99 | 1 in 6 (17.24%) | $1932.50 |
| Zebstrika | Rare | $0.99 | 1 in 31 (3.17%) | $10494.96 |
| Panpour | Common | $0.97 | 1 in 6 (17.24%) | $1932.50 |
| Elgyem | Common | $0.96 | 1 in 6 (17.24%) | $1932.50 |
| Reshiram | Rare | $0.96 | 1 in 31 (3.17%) | $10494.96 |
| Hippopotas | Common | $0.95 | 1 in 6 (17.24%) | $1932.50 |
| Jigglypuff | Uncommon | $0.94 | 1 in 9 (11.11%) | $2998.71 |
| Persian | Rare | $0.89 | 1 in 31 (3.17%) | $10494.96 |
| Pidove | Common | $0.89 | 1 in 6 (17.24%) | $1932.50 |
| Starmie | Uncommon | $0.88 | 1 in 9 (11.11%) | $2998.71 |
| Muk | Rare | $0.81 | 1 in 31 (3.17%) | $10494.96 |
| Pansear | Common | $0.81 | 1 in 6 (17.24%) | $1932.50 |
| Beartic | Rare | $0.79 | 1 in 31 (3.17%) | $10494.96 |
| Simisear | Rare | $0.77 | 1 in 31 (3.17%) | $10494.96 |
| Beheeyem | Rare | $0.74 | 1 in 31 (3.17%) | $10494.96 |
| Bronzor | Common | $0.74 | 1 in 6 (17.24%) | $1932.50 |
| Pinsir | Rare | $0.73 | 1 in 31 (3.17%) | $10494.96 |
| Pansage | Common | $0.72 | 1 in 6 (17.24%) | $1932.50 |
| Shiftry | Rare | $0.71 | 1 in 31 (3.17%) | $10494.96 |
| Growlithe (10) | Common | $0.69 | 1 in 6 (17.24%) | $1932.50 |
| Heavy Ball | Uncommon | $0.69 | 1 in 9 (11.11%) | $2998.71 |
| Kricketot | Common | $0.69 | 1 in 6 (17.24%) | $1932.50 |
| Luxio (44) | Uncommon | $0.69 | 1 in 9 (11.11%) | $2998.71 |
| Mienfoo | Common | $0.68 | 1 in 6 (17.24%) | $1932.50 |
| Munna | Common | $0.68 | 1 in 6 (17.24%) | $1932.50 |
| Double Colorless Energy | Uncommon | $0.66 | 1 in 9 (11.11%) | $2998.71 |
| Basculin | Uncommon | $0.65 | 1 in 9 (11.11%) | $2998.71 |
| Bronzong | Rare | $0.65 | 1 in 31 (3.17%) | $10494.96 |
| Level Ball | Uncommon | $0.64 | 1 in 9 (11.11%) | $2998.71 |
| Lapras (25) | Rare | $0.62 | 1 in 31 (3.17%) | $10494.96 |
| Seedot | Common | $0.62 | 1 in 6 (17.24%) | $1932.50 |
| Zebstrika | Rare | $0.62 | 1 in 31 (3.17%) | $10494.96 |
| Beheeyem | Rare | $0.61 | 1 in 31 (3.17%) | $10494.96 |
| Scraggy | Uncommon | $0.61 | 1 in 9 (11.11%) | $2998.71 |
| Weavile | Rare | $0.61 | 1 in 31 (3.17%) | $10494.96 |
| Simisear | Rare | $0.60 | 1 in 31 (3.17%) | $10494.96 |
| Simisage | Rare | $0.59 | 1 in 31 (3.17%) | $10494.96 |
| Simipour | Rare | $0.58 | 1 in 31 (3.17%) | $10494.96 |
| Simisage | Rare | $0.58 | 1 in 31 (3.17%) | $10494.96 |
| Cilan | Uncommon | $0.55 | 1 in 9 (11.11%) | $2998.71 |
| Frillish | Uncommon | $0.55 | 1 in 9 (11.11%) | $2998.71 |
| Kirlia | Uncommon | $0.55 | 1 in 9 (11.11%) | $2998.71 |
| Starmie | Uncommon | $0.55 | 1 in 9 (11.11%) | $2998.71 |
| Ferroseed | Common | $0.54 | 1 in 6 (17.24%) | $1932.50 |
| Growlithe (11) | Common | $0.52 | 1 in 6 (17.24%) | $1932.50 |
| Hippowdon | Uncommon | $0.52 | 1 in 9 (11.11%) | $2998.71 |
| Shinx (43) | Common | $0.51 | 1 in 6 (17.24%) | $1932.50 |
| Lampent | Uncommon | $0.50 | 1 in 9 (11.11%) | $2998.71 |
| Amoonguss | Rare | $0.49 | 1 in 31 (3.17%) | $10494.96 |
| Amoonguss | Rare | $0.48 | 1 in 31 (3.17%) | $10494.96 |
| Meowth | Common | $0.48 | 1 in 6 (17.24%) | $1932.50 |
| Skyarrow Bridge | Uncommon | $0.48 | 1 in 9 (11.11%) | $2998.71 |
| Kricketune | Uncommon | $0.47 | 1 in 9 (11.11%) | $2998.71 |
| Nuzleaf | Uncommon | $0.46 | 1 in 9 (11.11%) | $2998.71 |
| Pokemon Center | Uncommon | $0.46 | 1 in 9 (11.11%) | $2998.71 |
| Riolu | Common | $0.46 | 1 in 6 (17.24%) | $1932.50 |
| Vanillish | Uncommon | $0.46 | 1 in 9 (11.11%) | $2998.71 |
| Mienshao | Uncommon | $0.45 | 1 in 9 (11.11%) | $2998.71 |
| Simipour | Rare | $0.43 | 1 in 31 (3.17%) | $10494.96 |
| Cilan | Uncommon | $0.37 | 1 in 9 (11.11%) | $2998.71 |
| Hippowdon | Uncommon | $0.37 | 1 in 9 (11.11%) | $2998.71 |
| Staryu | Common | $0.35 | 1 in 6 (17.24%) | $1932.50 |
| Vanillite | Common | $0.35 | 1 in 6 (17.24%) | $1932.50 |
| Shinx (42) | Common | $0.34 | 1 in 6 (17.24%) | $1932.50 |
| Emolga | Uncommon | $0.33 | 1 in 9 (11.11%) | $2998.71 |
| Mienshao | Uncommon | $0.33 | 1 in 9 (11.11%) | $2998.71 |
| Scraggy | Uncommon | $0.33 | 1 in 9 (11.11%) | $2998.71 |
| Bronzong | Rare | $0.32 | 1 in 31 (3.17%) | $10494.96 |
| Lampent | Uncommon | $0.32 | 1 in 9 (11.11%) | $2998.71 |
| Blitzle | Common | $0.31 | 1 in 6 (17.24%) | $1932.50 |
| Frillish | Uncommon | $0.31 | 1 in 9 (11.11%) | $2998.71 |
| Mienfoo | Common | $0.31 | 1 in 6 (17.24%) | $1932.50 |
| Exp. Share | Uncommon | $0.30 | 1 in 9 (11.11%) | $2998.71 |
| Grimer | Common | $0.30 | 1 in 6 (17.24%) | $1932.50 |
| Luxio (44) | Uncommon | $0.30 | 1 in 9 (11.11%) | $2998.71 |
| Ralts | Common | $0.30 | 1 in 6 (17.24%) | $1932.50 |
| Basculin | Uncommon | $0.29 | 1 in 9 (11.11%) | $2998.71 |
| Cubchoo | Common | $0.28 | 1 in 6 (17.24%) | $1932.50 |
| Kricketune | Uncommon | $0.28 | 1 in 9 (11.11%) | $2998.71 |
| Litwick | Common | $0.28 | 1 in 6 (17.24%) | $1932.50 |
| Pansear | Common | $0.28 | 1 in 6 (17.24%) | $1932.50 |
| Exp. Share | Uncommon | $0.27 | 1 in 9 (11.11%) | $2998.71 |
| Foongus | Common | $0.27 | 1 in 6 (17.24%) | $1932.50 |
| Luxio (45) | Uncommon | $0.27 | 1 in 9 (11.11%) | $2998.71 |
| Pansage | Common | $0.27 | 1 in 6 (17.24%) | $1932.50 |
| Pidove | Common | $0.27 | 1 in 6 (17.24%) | $1932.50 |
| Bronzor | Common | $0.26 | 1 in 6 (17.24%) | $1932.50 |
| Darumaka | Common | $0.26 | 1 in 6 (17.24%) | $1932.50 |
| Munna | Common | $0.26 | 1 in 6 (17.24%) | $1932.50 |
| Panpour | Common | $0.26 | 1 in 6 (17.24%) | $1932.50 |
| Kricketot | Common | $0.25 | 1 in 6 (17.24%) | $1932.50 |
| Skyarrow Bridge | Uncommon | $0.25 | 1 in 9 (11.11%) | $2998.71 |
| Pokemon Center | Uncommon | $0.24 | 1 in 9 (11.11%) | $2998.71 |
| Nuzleaf | Uncommon | $0.23 | 1 in 9 (11.11%) | $2998.71 |
| Sneasel | Common | $0.23 | 1 in 6 (17.24%) | $1932.50 |
| Vanillish | Uncommon | $0.22 | 1 in 9 (11.11%) | $2998.71 |
| Elgyem | Common | $0.21 | 1 in 6 (17.24%) | $1932.50 |
| Hippopotas | Common | $0.20 | 1 in 6 (17.24%) | $1932.50 |
| Seedot | Common | $0.20 | 1 in 6 (17.24%) | $1932.50 |
| Ferroseed | Common | $0.19 | 1 in 6 (17.24%) | $1932.50 |