
A $168.87 Noble Victories pack returns $20.86 in expected card value on average — 12% of what you paid.
No official TCGPlayer pull-rate article covers Noble Victories, so these odds come from elitefourum.com, which discloses a 504-pack sample. A stated count is the difference between a measured rate and a confident guess, so it is recorded here whenever a source gives one.
How these figures are calculated, including the sourcing bar and what this model deliberately does not do.
| Product | Price | Expected value | Expected return |
|---|---|---|---|
| Noble Victories Booster Pack | $168.87 | $20.86 | 12% |
| V for Victini Tin | — | $62.59 | TBD |
| Noble Victories Booster Box | — | $751.11 | TBD |
Noble Victories Booster Pack · V for Victini Tin · Noble Victories Booster Box
| Product | Price per pack | Expected return |
|---|---|---|
| Booster Pack | $168.87 | 12% |
| Rarity | Pull rate | Sample |
|---|---|---|
| Secret Rare | 1.19% | n=504 |
| Ultra Rare | 5.56% | n=504 |
| Holo Rare | 26.39% | |
| Rare | 66.67% | |
| Common | 500% | |
| Uncommon | 300% |
| Card | Rarity | Market price | Odds | Cost to pull |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| N (Supporter) (Full Art) | Ultra Rare | $236.11 | 1 in 90 (1.11%) | $15186.15 |
| Victini (98 Full Art) | Ultra Rare | $214.17 | 1 in 90 (1.11%) | $15186.15 |
| Meowth | Secret Rare | $126.98 | 1 in 84 (1.19%) | $14190.76 |
| Cobalion (100 Full Art) | Ultra Rare | $60.35 | 1 in 90 (1.11%) | $15186.15 |
| Terrakion (99 Full Art) | Ultra Rare | $48.12 | 1 in 90 (1.11%) | $15186.15 |
| Virizion (Full Art) | Ultra Rare | $44.92 | 1 in 90 (1.11%) | $15186.15 |
| Pawniard (81) | Common | $23.72 | 1 in 6 (16.13%) | $1049.41 |
| Victini (43) | Rare | $20.72 | 1 in 33 (3.03%) | $5585.30 |
| Chandelure | Rare | $16.88 | 1 in 33 (3.03%) | $5585.30 |
| N (Supporter) | Uncommon | $15.94 | 1 in 10 (10%) | $1692.60 |
| Victini (14) | Holo Rare | $14.16 | 1 in 49 (2.03%) | $8337.93 |
| Chandelure | Rare | $13.22 | 1 in 33 (3.03%) | $5585.30 |
| Haxorus | Holo Rare | $12.72 | 1 in 49 (2.03%) | $8337.93 |
| Victini (14) | Holo Rare | $12.25 | 1 in 49 (2.03%) | $8337.93 |
| Archeops | Rare | $12.23 | 1 in 33 (3.03%) | $5585.30 |
| Lampent | Uncommon | $12.03 | 1 in 10 (10%) | $1692.60 |
| Larvesta (19) | Common | $11.95 | 1 in 6 (16.13%) | $1049.41 |
| Victini (43) | Rare | $11.65 | 1 in 33 (3.03%) | $5585.30 |
| Archeops | Rare | $11.36 | 1 in 33 (3.03%) | $5585.30 |
| Hydreigon | Holo Rare | $10.97 | 1 in 49 (2.03%) | $8337.93 |
| Trubbish | Common | $9.85 | 1 in 6 (16.13%) | $1049.41 |
| Lilligant | Rare | $9.23 | 1 in 33 (3.03%) | $5585.30 |
| Golurk | Rare | $9.07 | 1 in 33 (3.03%) | $5585.30 |
| Eelektrik | Uncommon | $8.73 | 1 in 10 (10%) | $1692.60 |
| Litwick (57) | Common | $8.72 | 1 in 6 (16.13%) | $1049.41 |
| Garbodor | Uncommon | $8.12 | 1 in 10 (10%) | $1692.60 |
| Hydreigon | Holo Rare | $6.98 | 1 in 49 (2.03%) | $8337.93 |
| Tirtouga | Uncommon | $6.96 | 1 in 10 (10%) | $1692.60 |
| Kyurem | Holo Rare | $6.90 | 1 in 49 (2.03%) | $8337.93 |
| Litwick (58) | Common | $6.77 | 1 in 6 (16.13%) | $1049.41 |
| Victini (15) | Holo Rare | $6.52 | 1 in 49 (2.03%) | $8337.93 |
| Timburr | Common | $6.50 | 1 in 6 (16.13%) | $1049.41 |
| Volcarona | Rare | $6.41 | 1 in 33 (3.03%) | $5585.30 |
| Archen | Uncommon | $6.30 | 1 in 10 (10%) | $1692.60 |
| Victini (15) | Holo Rare | $6.15 | 1 in 49 (2.03%) | $8337.93 |
| Tynamo (39) | Common | $5.99 | 1 in 6 (16.13%) | $1049.41 |
| Carracosta | Rare | $5.85 | 1 in 33 (3.03%) | $5585.30 |
| Tynamo (38) | Common | $5.74 | 1 in 6 (16.13%) | $1049.41 |
| Emolga | Uncommon | $5.49 | 1 in 10 (10%) | $1692.60 |
| Carracosta | Rare | $5.39 | 1 in 33 (3.03%) | $5585.30 |
| Blitzle | Common | $5.26 | 1 in 6 (16.13%) | $1049.41 |
| Kyurem | Holo Rare | $5.18 | 1 in 49 (2.03%) | $8337.93 |
| Landorus | Holo Rare | $5.09 | 1 in 49 (2.03%) | $8337.93 |
| Jellicent | Rare | $4.92 | 1 in 33 (3.03%) | $5585.30 |
| Jellicent | Rare | $4.88 | 1 in 33 (3.03%) | $5585.30 |
| Elgyem (54) | Common | $4.77 | 1 in 6 (16.13%) | $1049.41 |
| Haxorus | Holo Rare | $4.71 | 1 in 49 (2.03%) | $8337.93 |
| Cofagrigus (47) | Rare | $4.59 | 1 in 33 (3.03%) | $5585.30 |
| Landorus | Holo Rare | $4.39 | 1 in 49 (2.03%) | $8337.93 |
| Trubbish | Common | $3.96 | 1 in 6 (16.13%) | $1049.41 |
| Durant | Uncommon | $3.94 | 1 in 10 (10%) | $1692.60 |
| Beheeyem | Rare | $3.90 | 1 in 33 (3.03%) | $5585.30 |
| Eelektross | Holo Rare | $3.88 | 1 in 49 (2.03%) | $8337.93 |
| Amoonguss | Uncommon | $3.81 | 1 in 10 (10%) | $1692.60 |
| Bisharp (76) | Uncommon | $3.81 | 1 in 10 (10%) | $1692.60 |
| Elgyem (55) | Common | $3.73 | 1 in 6 (16.13%) | $1049.41 |
| Dwebble | Common | $3.71 | 1 in 6 (16.13%) | $1049.41 |
| Gigalith | Rare | $3.29 | 1 in 33 (3.03%) | $5585.30 |
| Terrakion | Holo Rare | $3.25 | 1 in 49 (2.03%) | $8337.93 |
| Zweilous | Uncommon | $3.12 | 1 in 10 (10%) | $1692.60 |
| Cofagrigus (47) | Rare | $3.11 | 1 in 33 (3.03%) | $5585.30 |
| Beheeyem | Rare | $3.07 | 1 in 33 (3.03%) | $5585.30 |
| Cryogonal (33) | Rare | $3.05 | 1 in 33 (3.03%) | $5585.30 |
| Zebstrika | Rare | $3.00 | 1 in 33 (3.03%) | $5585.30 |
| Audino | Uncommon | $2.85 | 1 in 10 (10%) | $1692.60 |
| Conkeldurr (65) | Rare | $2.84 | 1 in 33 (3.03%) | $5585.30 |
| Mienshao | Uncommon | $2.84 | 1 in 10 (10%) | $1692.60 |
| Super Rod | Uncommon | $2.75 | 1 in 10 (10%) | $1692.60 |
| Conkeldurr (64) | Holo Rare | $2.68 | 1 in 49 (2.03%) | $8337.93 |
| Lilligant | Rare | $2.44 | 1 in 33 (3.03%) | $5585.30 |
| Seismitoad | Rare | $2.43 | 1 in 33 (3.03%) | $5585.30 |
| Palpitoad | Uncommon | $2.41 | 1 in 10 (10%) | $1692.60 |
| Terrakion | Holo Rare | $2.41 | 1 in 49 (2.03%) | $8337.93 |
| Bisharp (82) | Holo Rare | $2.40 | 1 in 49 (2.03%) | $8337.93 |
| Conkeldurr (64) | Holo Rare | $2.34 | 1 in 49 (2.03%) | $8337.93 |
| Yamask (44) | Common | $2.33 | 1 in 6 (16.13%) | $1049.41 |
| Golurk | Rare | $2.32 | 1 in 33 (3.03%) | $5585.30 |
| Eelektross | Holo Rare | $2.27 | 1 in 49 (2.03%) | $8337.93 |
| Cobalion | Holo Rare | $2.26 | 1 in 49 (2.03%) | $8337.93 |
| Cofagrigus (46) | Rare | $2.20 | 1 in 33 (3.03%) | $5585.30 |
| Virizion | Holo Rare | $2.20 | 1 in 49 (2.03%) | $8337.93 |
| Bisharp (82) | Holo Rare | $2.16 | 1 in 49 (2.03%) | $8337.93 |
| Virizion | Holo Rare | $2.16 | 1 in 49 (2.03%) | $8337.93 |
| Vanilluxe | Rare | $2.13 | 1 in 33 (3.03%) | $5585.30 |
| Vanilluxe | Rare | $2.09 | 1 in 33 (3.03%) | $5585.30 |
| N (Supporter) | Uncommon | $2.06 | 1 in 10 (10%) | $1692.60 |
| Vanillish | Uncommon | $2.06 | 1 in 10 (10%) | $1692.60 |
| Cofagrigus (46) | Rare | $2.02 | 1 in 33 (3.03%) | $5585.30 |
| Axew | Common | $2.01 | 1 in 6 (16.13%) | $1049.41 |
| Super Rod | Uncommon | $1.98 | 1 in 10 (10%) | $1692.60 |
| Timburr | Common | $1.87 | 1 in 6 (16.13%) | $1049.41 |
| Reuniclus (53) | Rare | $1.85 | 1 in 33 (3.03%) | $5585.30 |
| Gurdurr | Uncommon | $1.83 | 1 in 10 (10%) | $1692.60 |
| Frillish | Common | $1.75 | 1 in 6 (16.13%) | $1049.41 |
| Cobalion | Holo Rare | $1.73 | 1 in 49 (2.03%) | $8337.93 |
| Duosion | Uncommon | $1.70 | 1 in 10 (10%) | $1692.60 |
| Reuniclus (52) | Rare | $1.68 | 1 in 33 (3.03%) | $5585.30 |
| Larvesta (20) | Common | $1.63 | 1 in 6 (16.13%) | $1049.41 |
| Tirtouga | Uncommon | $1.61 | 1 in 10 (10%) | $1692.60 |
| Fraxure | Uncommon | $1.56 | 1 in 10 (10%) | $1692.60 |
| Leavanny | Holo Rare | $1.50 | 1 in 49 (2.03%) | $8337.93 |
| Leavanny | Holo Rare | $1.47 | 1 in 49 (2.03%) | $8337.93 |
| Deino | Common | $1.44 | 1 in 6 (16.13%) | $1049.41 |
| Pawniard (75) | Common | $1.43 | 1 in 6 (16.13%) | $1049.41 |
| Volcarona | Rare | $1.40 | 1 in 33 (3.03%) | $5585.30 |
| Lampent | Uncommon | $1.36 | 1 in 10 (10%) | $1692.60 |
| Escavalier | Rare | $1.35 | 1 in 33 (3.03%) | $5585.30 |
| Stunfisk (68) | Uncommon | $1.35 | 1 in 10 (10%) | $1692.60 |
| Accelgor | Rare | $1.27 | 1 in 33 (3.03%) | $5585.30 |
| Petilil | Common | $1.24 | 1 in 6 (16.13%) | $1049.41 |
| Crustle | Uncommon | $1.22 | 1 in 10 (10%) | $1692.60 |
| Heatmor | Uncommon | $1.21 | 1 in 10 (10%) | $1692.60 |
| Swadloon | Uncommon | $1.20 | 1 in 10 (10%) | $1692.60 |
| Reuniclus (52) | Rare | $1.09 | 1 in 33 (3.03%) | $5585.30 |
| Sewaddle | Common | $1.04 | 1 in 6 (16.13%) | $1049.41 |
| Archen | Uncommon | $1.02 | 1 in 10 (10%) | $1692.60 |
| Xtransceiver | Uncommon | $1.02 | 1 in 10 (10%) | $1692.60 |
| Cryogonal (33) | Rare | $1.00 | 1 in 33 (3.03%) | $5585.30 |
| Blitzle | Common | $0.98 | 1 in 6 (16.13%) | $1049.41 |
| Golett | Common | $0.98 | 1 in 6 (16.13%) | $1049.41 |
| Gigalith | Rare | $0.95 | 1 in 33 (3.03%) | $5585.30 |
| Zweilous | Uncommon | $0.94 | 1 in 10 (10%) | $1692.60 |
| Druddigon | Rare | $0.92 | 1 in 33 (3.03%) | $5585.30 |
| Yamask (45) | Common | $0.91 | 1 in 6 (16.13%) | $1049.41 |
| Conkeldurr (65) | Rare | $0.90 | 1 in 33 (3.03%) | $5585.30 |
| Solosis | Common | $0.84 | 1 in 6 (16.13%) | $1049.41 |
| Reuniclus (53) | Rare | $0.83 | 1 in 33 (3.03%) | $5585.30 |
| Vanillite | Common | $0.82 | 1 in 6 (16.13%) | $1049.41 |
| Accelgor | Rare | $0.78 | 1 in 33 (3.03%) | $5585.30 |
| Cover Fossil | Uncommon | $0.78 | 1 in 10 (10%) | $1692.60 |
| Eelektrik | Uncommon | $0.78 | 1 in 10 (10%) | $1692.60 |
| Seismitoad | Rare | $0.77 | 1 in 33 (3.03%) | $5585.30 |
| Mienfoo | Common | $0.76 | 1 in 6 (16.13%) | $1049.41 |
| Shelmet | Common | $0.76 | 1 in 6 (16.13%) | $1049.41 |
| Durant | Uncommon | $0.75 | 1 in 10 (10%) | $1692.60 |
| Garbodor | Uncommon | $0.74 | 1 in 10 (10%) | $1692.60 |
| Simisear | Uncommon | $0.74 | 1 in 10 (10%) | $1692.60 |
| Cryogonal (32) | Uncommon | $0.73 | 1 in 10 (10%) | $1692.60 |
| Tympole | Common | $0.73 | 1 in 6 (16.13%) | $1049.41 |
| Xtransceiver | Uncommon | $0.73 | 1 in 10 (10%) | $1692.60 |
| Plume Fossil | Uncommon | $0.72 | 1 in 10 (10%) | $1692.60 |
| Vanillish | Uncommon | $0.72 | 1 in 10 (10%) | $1692.60 |
| Karrablast | Common | $0.71 | 1 in 6 (16.13%) | $1049.41 |
| Stunfisk (42) | Common | $0.71 | 1 in 6 (16.13%) | $1049.41 |
| Foongus | Common | $0.70 | 1 in 6 (16.13%) | $1049.41 |
| Amoonguss | Uncommon | $0.67 | 1 in 10 (10%) | $1692.60 |
| Escavalier | Rare | $0.62 | 1 in 33 (3.03%) | $5585.30 |
| Audino | Uncommon | $0.59 | 1 in 10 (10%) | $1692.60 |
| Eviolite | Uncommon | $0.56 | 1 in 10 (10%) | $1692.60 |
| Pansear | Common | $0.55 | 1 in 6 (16.13%) | $1049.41 |
| Frillish | Common | $0.54 | 1 in 6 (16.13%) | $1049.41 |
| Pawniard (81) | Common | $0.54 | 1 in 6 (16.13%) | $1049.41 |
| Crustle | Uncommon | $0.52 | 1 in 10 (10%) | $1692.60 |
| Emolga | Uncommon | $0.52 | 1 in 10 (10%) | $1692.60 |
| Golett | Common | $0.52 | 1 in 6 (16.13%) | $1049.41 |
| Zebstrika | Rare | $0.52 | 1 in 33 (3.03%) | $5585.30 |
| Druddigon | Rare | $0.50 | 1 in 33 (3.03%) | $5585.30 |
| Gurdurr | Uncommon | $0.50 | 1 in 10 (10%) | $1692.60 |
| Duosion | Uncommon | $0.49 | 1 in 10 (10%) | $1692.60 |
| Stunfisk (68) | Uncommon | $0.49 | 1 in 10 (10%) | $1692.60 |
| Palpitoad | Uncommon | $0.48 | 1 in 10 (10%) | $1692.60 |
| Plume Fossil | Uncommon | $0.48 | 1 in 10 (10%) | $1692.60 |
| Fraxure | Uncommon | $0.47 | 1 in 10 (10%) | $1692.60 |
| Rocky Helmet | Uncommon | $0.46 | 1 in 10 (10%) | $1692.60 |
| Litwick (58) | Common | $0.45 | 1 in 6 (16.13%) | $1049.41 |
| Litwick (57) | Common | $0.43 | 1 in 6 (16.13%) | $1049.41 |
| Heatmor | Uncommon | $0.42 | 1 in 10 (10%) | $1692.60 |
| Pawniard (75) | Common | $0.41 | 1 in 6 (16.13%) | $1049.41 |
| Swadloon | Uncommon | $0.41 | 1 in 10 (10%) | $1692.60 |
| Cryogonal (32) | Uncommon | $0.40 | 1 in 10 (10%) | $1692.60 |
| Elgyem (55) | Common | $0.39 | 1 in 6 (16.13%) | $1049.41 |
| Bisharp (76) | Uncommon | $0.38 | 1 in 10 (10%) | $1692.60 |
| Larvesta (19) | Common | $0.38 | 1 in 6 (16.13%) | $1049.41 |
| Mienshao | Uncommon | $0.38 | 1 in 10 (10%) | $1692.60 |
| Axew | Common | $0.37 | 1 in 6 (16.13%) | $1049.41 |
| Dwebble | Common | $0.37 | 1 in 6 (16.13%) | $1049.41 |
| Petilil | Common | $0.36 | 1 in 6 (16.13%) | $1049.41 |
| Deino | Common | $0.35 | 1 in 6 (16.13%) | $1049.41 |
| Solosis | Common | $0.35 | 1 in 6 (16.13%) | $1049.41 |
| Tynamo (39) | Common | $0.35 | 1 in 6 (16.13%) | $1049.41 |
| Mienfoo | Common | $0.34 | 1 in 6 (16.13%) | $1049.41 |
| Cover Fossil | Uncommon | $0.33 | 1 in 10 (10%) | $1692.60 |
| Larvesta (20) | Common | $0.33 | 1 in 6 (16.13%) | $1049.41 |
| Yamask (44) | Common | $0.32 | 1 in 6 (16.13%) | $1049.41 |
| Yamask (45) | Common | $0.32 | 1 in 6 (16.13%) | $1049.41 |
| Elgyem (54) | Common | $0.31 | 1 in 6 (16.13%) | $1049.41 |
| Simisear | Uncommon | $0.31 | 1 in 10 (10%) | $1692.60 |
| Tynamo (38) | Common | $0.31 | 1 in 6 (16.13%) | $1049.41 |
| Eviolite | Uncommon | $0.30 | 1 in 10 (10%) | $1692.60 |
| Stunfisk (42) | Common | $0.30 | 1 in 6 (16.13%) | $1049.41 |
| Vanillite | Common | $0.30 | 1 in 6 (16.13%) | $1049.41 |
| Shelmet | Common | $0.29 | 1 in 6 (16.13%) | $1049.41 |
| Pansear | Common | $0.28 | 1 in 6 (16.13%) | $1049.41 |
| Sewaddle | Common | $0.28 | 1 in 6 (16.13%) | $1049.41 |
| Rocky Helmet | Uncommon | $0.27 | 1 in 10 (10%) | $1692.60 |
| Foongus | Common | $0.26 | 1 in 6 (16.13%) | $1049.41 |
| Tympole | Common | $0.24 | 1 in 6 (16.13%) | $1049.41 |
| Karrablast | Common | $0.23 | 1 in 6 (16.13%) | $1049.41 |