A $253.74 Plasma Blast pack returns $22.38 in expected card value on average — 9% of what you paid.
No official TCGPlayer pull-rate article covers Plasma Blast, so these odds come from thepricedex.com, which discloses a disclosed sample. Sources that do not state how many packs they counted are not used here, however confident they sound.
How these figures are calculated, including the sourcing bar and what this model deliberately does not do.
| Product | Price | Expected value | Expected return |
|---|---|---|---|
| Plasma Blast Booster Pack | $253.74 | $22.38 | 9% |
| Team Plasma Tin [Deoxys EX] | $1000.00 | $67.15 | 7% |
| Team Plasma Tin [Lugia EX] | — | $67.15 | TBD |
| Team Plasma Tin [Thundurus EX] | — | $67.15 | TBD |
| Plasma Blast Booster Box | — | $805.78 | TBD |
| Plasma Blast Sleeved Booster Pack | — | $22.38 | TBD |
Plasma Blast Booster Pack · Team Plasma Tin [Deoxys EX] · Team Plasma Tin [Lugia EX] · Team Plasma Tin [Thundurus EX] · Plasma Blast Booster Box · Plasma Blast Sleeved Booster Pack
| Product | Price per pack | Expected return |
|---|---|---|
| Booster Pack | $253.74 | 9% |
| Rarity | Pull rate | Sample |
|---|---|---|
| Secret Rare | 0.89% | |
| ACE SPEC Rare | 4.17% | |
| Ultra Rare | 8.38% | |
| Holo Rare | 23.81% | |
| Rare | 66.67% | |
| Common | 500% | |
| Uncommon | 300% |
| Card | Rarity | Market price | Odds | Cost to pull |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Palkia EX (Team Plasma) (100 Full Art) | Ultra Rare | $548.85 | 1 in 143 (0.7%) | $36335.08 |
| Dialga EX (Team Plasma) (99 Full Art) | Ultra Rare | $393.66 | 1 in 143 (0.7%) | $36335.08 |
| Genesect EX (Team Plasma) (97 Full Art) | Ultra Rare | $282.36 | 1 in 143 (0.7%) | $36335.08 |
| Rare Candy (105 Secret Rare) | Secret Rare | $191.88 | 1 in 449 (0.22%) | $114040.45 |
| Jirachi EX (98 Full Art) | Ultra Rare | $189.95 | 1 in 143 (0.7%) | $36335.08 |
| Exeggcute (102 Secret Rare) | Secret Rare | $148.66 | 1 in 449 (0.22%) | $114040.45 |
| Dusknoir (104 Secret Rare) | Secret Rare | $145.22 | 1 in 449 (0.22%) | $114040.45 |
| Virizion (Secret) | Secret Rare | $140.06 | 1 in 449 (0.22%) | $114040.45 |
| Iris (101 Full Art) | Ultra Rare | $116.21 | 1 in 143 (0.7%) | $36335.08 |
| Virizion EX (Full Art) | Ultra Rare | $58.21 | 1 in 143 (0.7%) | $36335.08 |
| Dialga EX (Team Plasma) | Ultra Rare | $36.37 | 1 in 143 (0.7%) | $36335.08 |
| Jirachi EX | Ultra Rare | $28.83 | 1 in 143 (0.7%) | $36335.08 |
| Genesect EX (Team Plasma) | Ultra Rare | $27.10 | 1 in 143 (0.7%) | $36335.08 |
| Palkia EX (Team Plasma) | Ultra Rare | $21.88 | 1 in 143 (0.7%) | $36335.08 |
| Master Ball | ACE SPEC Rare | $16.67 | 1 in 96 (1.04%) | $24339.57 |
| Kyurem EX | Ultra Rare | $13.22 | 1 in 143 (0.7%) | $36335.08 |
| Scoop Up Cyclone | ACE SPEC Rare | $12.45 | 1 in 96 (1.04%) | $24339.57 |
| Virizion EX | Ultra Rare | $8.04 | 1 in 143 (0.7%) | $36335.08 |
| G Booster (Team Plasma) | ACE SPEC Rare | $5.44 | 1 in 96 (1.04%) | $24339.57 |
| G Scope (Team Plasma) | ACE SPEC Rare | $3.95 | 1 in 96 (1.04%) | $24339.57 |
| Blastoise | Holo Rare | $25.46 | 1 in 46 (2.16%) | $10237.72 |
| Blastoise | Holo Rare | $16.37 | 1 in 46 (2.16%) | $10237.72 |
| Squirtle | Common | $14.30 | 1 in 5 (19.23%) | $1152.32 |
| Houndoom | Holo Rare | $14.18 | 1 in 46 (2.16%) | $10237.72 |
| Machamp (50) | Rare | $10.58 | 1 in 22 (4.44%) | $4985.75 |
| Suicune | Rare | $10.10 | 1 in 22 (4.44%) | $4985.75 |
| Salamence | Holo Rare | $9.83 | 1 in 46 (2.16%) | $10237.72 |
| Salamence | Holo Rare | $8.62 | 1 in 46 (2.16%) | $10237.72 |
| Houndoom | Holo Rare | $8.28 | 1 in 46 (2.16%) | $10237.72 |
| Wartortle | Uncommon | $7.20 | 1 in 11 (9.09%) | $2437.60 |
| Cradily | Rare | $6.68 | 1 in 22 (4.44%) | $4985.75 |
| Ultra Ball | Uncommon | $6.17 | 1 in 11 (9.09%) | $2437.60 |
| Lapras | Common | $5.23 | 1 in 5 (19.23%) | $1152.32 |
| Machamp (49) | Holo Rare | $5.22 | 1 in 46 (2.16%) | $10237.72 |
| Porygon-Z (Team Plasma) | Holo Rare | $4.70 | 1 in 46 (2.16%) | $10237.72 |
| Suicune | Rare | $4.00 | 1 in 22 (4.44%) | $4985.75 |
| Uxie | Rare | $4.00 | 1 in 22 (4.44%) | $4985.75 |
| Porygon-Z (Team Plasma) | Holo Rare | $3.94 | 1 in 46 (2.16%) | $10237.72 |
| Squirtle | Common | $3.90 | 1 in 5 (19.23%) | $1152.32 |
| Machamp (49) | Holo Rare | $3.48 | 1 in 46 (2.16%) | $10237.72 |
| Azelf | Rare | $3.18 | 1 in 22 (4.44%) | $4985.75 |
| Teddiursa | Common | $2.80 | 1 in 5 (19.23%) | $1152.32 |
| Archeops | Holo Rare | $2.66 | 1 in 46 (2.16%) | $10237.72 |
| Rare Candy | Uncommon | $2.49 | 1 in 11 (9.09%) | $2437.60 |
| Eelektross (Team Plasma) | Holo Rare | $2.46 | 1 in 46 (2.16%) | $10237.72 |
| Tirtouga | Uncommon | $2.41 | 1 in 11 (9.09%) | $2437.60 |
| Eelektross (Team Plasma) | Holo Rare | $2.30 | 1 in 46 (2.16%) | $10237.72 |
| Carracosta | Rare | $2.17 | 1 in 22 (4.44%) | $4985.75 |
| Aggron | Rare | $2.14 | 1 in 22 (4.44%) | $4985.75 |
| Froslass (Team Plasma) | Rare | $2.10 | 1 in 22 (4.44%) | $4985.75 |
| Mesprit | Holo Rare | $2.10 | 1 in 46 (2.16%) | $10237.72 |
| Volcarona (Team Plasma) | Rare | $2.07 | 1 in 22 (4.44%) | $4985.75 |
| Wartortle | Uncommon | $1.89 | 1 in 11 (9.09%) | $2437.60 |
| Archeops | Holo Rare | $1.83 | 1 in 46 (2.16%) | $10237.72 |
| Haxorus | Holo Rare | $1.82 | 1 in 46 (2.16%) | $10237.72 |
| Haxorus | Holo Rare | $1.79 | 1 in 46 (2.16%) | $10237.72 |
| Mesprit | Holo Rare | $1.74 | 1 in 46 (2.16%) | $10237.72 |
| Genesect | Rare | $1.73 | 1 in 22 (4.44%) | $4985.75 |
| Pokemon Catcher | Uncommon | $1.63 | 1 in 11 (9.09%) | $2437.60 |
| Houndour | Common | $1.57 | 1 in 5 (19.23%) | $1152.32 |
| Machamp (50) | Rare | $1.55 | 1 in 22 (4.44%) | $4985.75 |
| Ursaring (Team Plasma) | Uncommon | $1.55 | 1 in 11 (9.09%) | $2437.60 |
| Plasma Energy (Team Plasma) | Uncommon | $1.48 | 1 in 11 (9.09%) | $2437.60 |
| Cradily | Rare | $1.38 | 1 in 22 (4.44%) | $4985.75 |
| Reuniclus | Rare | $1.38 | 1 in 22 (4.44%) | $4985.75 |
| Archen | Uncommon | $1.29 | 1 in 11 (9.09%) | $2437.60 |
| Masquerain (Team Plasma) | Rare | $1.21 | 1 in 22 (4.44%) | $4985.75 |
| Ducklett | Common | $1.17 | 1 in 5 (19.23%) | $1152.32 |
| Tirtouga | Uncommon | $1.16 | 1 in 11 (9.09%) | $2437.60 |
| Glalie (Team Plasma) | Uncommon | $1.14 | 1 in 11 (9.09%) | $2437.60 |
| Abomasnow | Uncommon | $1.11 | 1 in 11 (9.09%) | $2437.60 |
| Accelgor (Team Plasma) | Rare | $1.09 | 1 in 22 (4.44%) | $4985.75 |
| Sigilyph | Holo Rare | $1.09 | 1 in 46 (2.16%) | $10237.72 |
| Lileep | Uncommon | $1.07 | 1 in 11 (9.09%) | $2437.60 |
| Drifblim | Rare | $1.05 | 1 in 22 (4.44%) | $4985.75 |
| Golurk | Holo Rare | $1.03 | 1 in 46 (2.16%) | $10237.72 |
| Carracosta | Rare | $1.00 | 1 in 22 (4.44%) | $4985.75 |
| Drifloon | Common | $1.00 | 1 in 5 (19.23%) | $1152.32 |
| Escavalier (Team Plasma) | Rare | $0.99 | 1 in 22 (4.44%) | $4985.75 |
| Machoke | Uncommon | $0.99 | 1 in 11 (9.09%) | $2437.60 |
| Golurk | Holo Rare | $0.98 | 1 in 46 (2.16%) | $10237.72 |
| Porygon2 | Uncommon | $0.98 | 1 in 11 (9.09%) | $2437.60 |
| Relicanth (Team Plasma) | Uncommon | $0.96 | 1 in 11 (9.09%) | $2437.60 |
| Lairon | Uncommon | $0.95 | 1 in 11 (9.09%) | $2437.60 |
| Fraxure | Uncommon | $0.94 | 1 in 11 (9.09%) | $2437.60 |
| Druddigon | Common | $0.93 | 1 in 5 (19.23%) | $1152.32 |
| Sigilyph | Holo Rare | $0.93 | 1 in 46 (2.16%) | $10237.72 |
| Aggron | Rare | $0.88 | 1 in 22 (4.44%) | $4985.75 |
| Octillery (Team Plasma) | Uncommon | $0.88 | 1 in 11 (9.09%) | $2437.60 |
| Sawk | Common | $0.87 | 1 in 5 (19.23%) | $1152.32 |
| Aron | Common | $0.83 | 1 in 5 (19.23%) | $1152.32 |
| Bagon | Common | $0.82 | 1 in 5 (19.23%) | $1152.32 |
| Chatot (Team Plasma) | Uncommon | $0.82 | 1 in 11 (9.09%) | $2437.60 |
| Archen | Uncommon | $0.81 | 1 in 11 (9.09%) | $2437.60 |
| Froslass (Team Plasma) | Rare | $0.81 | 1 in 22 (4.44%) | $4985.75 |
| Lairon | Uncommon | $0.81 | 1 in 11 (9.09%) | $2437.60 |
| Machop | Common | $0.81 | 1 in 5 (19.23%) | $1152.32 |
| Surskit | Common | $0.81 | 1 in 5 (19.23%) | $1152.32 |
| Pokemon Catcher | Uncommon | $0.79 | 1 in 11 (9.09%) | $2437.60 |
| Iris | Uncommon | $0.77 | 1 in 11 (9.09%) | $2437.60 |
| Rare Candy | Uncommon | $0.77 | 1 in 11 (9.09%) | $2437.60 |
| Shelgon | Uncommon | $0.77 | 1 in 11 (9.09%) | $2437.60 |
| Shelmet | Common | $0.74 | 1 in 5 (19.23%) | $1152.32 |
| Volcarona (Team Plasma) | Rare | $0.72 | 1 in 22 (4.44%) | $4985.75 |
| Duosion | Uncommon | $0.69 | 1 in 11 (9.09%) | $2437.60 |
| Tropius | Uncommon | $0.69 | 1 in 11 (9.09%) | $2437.60 |
| Cover Fossil | Uncommon | $0.67 | 1 in 11 (9.09%) | $2437.60 |
| Porygon | Common | $0.67 | 1 in 5 (19.23%) | $1152.32 |
| Lileep | Uncommon | $0.66 | 1 in 11 (9.09%) | $2437.60 |
| Masquerain (Team Plasma) | Rare | $0.66 | 1 in 22 (4.44%) | $4985.75 |
| Energy Retrieval | Uncommon | $0.64 | 1 in 11 (9.09%) | $2437.60 |
| Snorunt | Common | $0.62 | 1 in 5 (19.23%) | $1152.32 |
| Uxie | Rare | $0.62 | 1 in 22 (4.44%) | $4985.75 |
| Professor Juniper | Uncommon | $0.61 | 1 in 11 (9.09%) | $2437.60 |
| Root Fossil Lileep | Uncommon | $0.61 | 1 in 11 (9.09%) | $2437.60 |
| Throh | Common | $0.61 | 1 in 5 (19.23%) | $1152.32 |
| Munna | Common | $0.58 | 1 in 5 (19.23%) | $1152.32 |
| Caitlin | Uncommon | $0.57 | 1 in 11 (9.09%) | $2437.60 |
| Eelektrik | Uncommon | $0.56 | 1 in 11 (9.09%) | $2437.60 |
| Escavalier (Team Plasma) | Rare | $0.56 | 1 in 22 (4.44%) | $4985.75 |
| Musharna | Uncommon | $0.56 | 1 in 11 (9.09%) | $2437.60 |
| Plume Fossil | Uncommon | $0.56 | 1 in 11 (9.09%) | $2437.60 |
| Larvesta | Common | $0.55 | 1 in 5 (19.23%) | $1152.32 |
| Ultra Ball | Uncommon | $0.55 | 1 in 11 (9.09%) | $2437.60 |
| Axew | Common | $0.53 | 1 in 5 (19.23%) | $1152.32 |
| Genesect | Rare | $0.53 | 1 in 22 (4.44%) | $4985.75 |
| Remoraid | Common | $0.53 | 1 in 5 (19.23%) | $1152.32 |
| Tynamo | Common | $0.53 | 1 in 5 (19.23%) | $1152.32 |
| Drifblim | Rare | $0.51 | 1 in 22 (4.44%) | $4985.75 |
| Reuniclus | Rare | $0.51 | 1 in 22 (4.44%) | $4985.75 |
| Kangaskhan | Common | $0.50 | 1 in 5 (19.23%) | $1152.32 |
| Axew | Common | $0.49 | 1 in 5 (19.23%) | $1152.32 |
| Karrablast | Common | $0.49 | 1 in 5 (19.23%) | $1152.32 |
| Shelgon | Uncommon | $0.49 | 1 in 11 (9.09%) | $2437.60 |
| Reversal Trigger (Team Plasma) | Uncommon | $0.48 | 1 in 11 (9.09%) | $2437.60 |
| Lapras | Common | $0.47 | 1 in 5 (19.23%) | $1152.32 |
| Porygon2 | Uncommon | $0.47 | 1 in 11 (9.09%) | $2437.60 |
| Ursaring (Team Plasma) | Uncommon | $0.47 | 1 in 11 (9.09%) | $2437.60 |
| Houndour | Common | $0.46 | 1 in 5 (19.23%) | $1152.32 |
| Snover | Common | $0.45 | 1 in 5 (19.23%) | $1152.32 |
| Accelgor (Team Plasma) | Rare | $0.44 | 1 in 22 (4.44%) | $4985.75 |
| Azelf | Rare | $0.43 | 1 in 22 (4.44%) | $4985.75 |
| Glalie (Team Plasma) | Uncommon | $0.43 | 1 in 11 (9.09%) | $2437.60 |
| Solosis | Common | $0.43 | 1 in 5 (19.23%) | $1152.32 |
| Bagon | Common | $0.42 | 1 in 5 (19.23%) | $1152.32 |
| Chatot (Team Plasma) | Uncommon | $0.42 | 1 in 11 (9.09%) | $2437.60 |
| Golett | Common | $0.41 | 1 in 5 (19.23%) | $1152.32 |
| Relicanth (Team Plasma) | Uncommon | $0.40 | 1 in 11 (9.09%) | $2437.60 |
| Iris | Uncommon | $0.39 | 1 in 11 (9.09%) | $2437.60 |
| Machoke | Uncommon | $0.39 | 1 in 11 (9.09%) | $2437.60 |
| Porygon | Common | $0.39 | 1 in 5 (19.23%) | $1152.32 |
| Teddiursa | Common | $0.38 | 1 in 5 (19.23%) | $1152.32 |
| Throh | Common | $0.38 | 1 in 5 (19.23%) | $1152.32 |
| Cover Fossil | Uncommon | $0.37 | 1 in 11 (9.09%) | $2437.60 |
| Fraxure | Uncommon | $0.37 | 1 in 11 (9.09%) | $2437.60 |
| Shelmet | Common | $0.37 | 1 in 5 (19.23%) | $1152.32 |
| Musharna | Uncommon | $0.36 | 1 in 11 (9.09%) | $2437.60 |
| Silver Mirror | Uncommon | $0.36 | 1 in 11 (9.09%) | $2437.60 |
| Machop | Common | $0.35 | 1 in 5 (19.23%) | $1152.32 |
| Silver Bangle | Uncommon | $0.35 | 1 in 11 (9.09%) | $2437.60 |
| Drifloon | Common | $0.34 | 1 in 5 (19.23%) | $1152.32 |
| Duosion | Uncommon | $0.34 | 1 in 11 (9.09%) | $2437.60 |
| Druddigon | Common | $0.33 | 1 in 5 (19.23%) | $1152.32 |
| Kangaskhan | Common | $0.33 | 1 in 5 (19.23%) | $1152.32 |
| Octillery (Team Plasma) | Uncommon | $0.33 | 1 in 11 (9.09%) | $2437.60 |
| Plasma Energy (Team Plasma) | Uncommon | $0.33 | 1 in 11 (9.09%) | $2437.60 |
| Ducklett | Common | $0.31 | 1 in 5 (19.23%) | $1152.32 |
| Eelektrik | Uncommon | $0.31 | 1 in 11 (9.09%) | $2437.60 |
| Tropius | Uncommon | $0.31 | 1 in 11 (9.09%) | $2437.60 |
| Abomasnow | Uncommon | $0.30 | 1 in 11 (9.09%) | $2437.60 |
| Caitlin | Uncommon | $0.30 | 1 in 11 (9.09%) | $2437.60 |
| Root Fossil Lileep | Uncommon | $0.30 | 1 in 11 (9.09%) | $2437.60 |
| Sawk | Common | $0.30 | 1 in 5 (19.23%) | $1152.32 |
| Munna | Common | $0.29 | 1 in 5 (19.23%) | $1152.32 |
| Plume Fossil | Uncommon | $0.29 | 1 in 11 (9.09%) | $2437.60 |
| Snover | Common | $0.29 | 1 in 5 (19.23%) | $1152.32 |
| Aron | Common | $0.28 | 1 in 5 (19.23%) | $1152.32 |
| Golett | Common | $0.28 | 1 in 5 (19.23%) | $1152.32 |
| Energy Retrieval | Uncommon | $0.27 | 1 in 11 (9.09%) | $2437.60 |
| Tynamo | Common | $0.26 | 1 in 5 (19.23%) | $1152.32 |
| Remoraid | Common | $0.25 | 1 in 5 (19.23%) | $1152.32 |
| Reversal Trigger (Team Plasma) | Uncommon | $0.25 | 1 in 11 (9.09%) | $2437.60 |
| Surskit | Common | $0.24 | 1 in 5 (19.23%) | $1152.32 |
| Silver Mirror | Uncommon | $0.23 | 1 in 11 (9.09%) | $2437.60 |
| Solosis | Common | $0.23 | 1 in 5 (19.23%) | $1152.32 |
| Professor Juniper | Uncommon | $0.22 | 1 in 11 (9.09%) | $2437.60 |
| Silver Bangle | Uncommon | $0.22 | 1 in 11 (9.09%) | $2437.60 |
| Snorunt | Common | $0.22 | 1 in 5 (19.23%) | $1152.32 |
| Karrablast | Common | $0.21 | 1 in 5 (19.23%) | $1152.32 |
| Larvesta | Common | $0.21 | 1 in 5 (19.23%) | $1152.32 |