A $307.99 Plasma Freeze pack returns $42.29 in expected card value on average — 14% of what you paid.
No official TCGPlayer pull-rate article covers Plasma Freeze, so these odds come from elitefourum.com, which discloses a 2,484-pack sample. Sources that do not state how many packs they counted are not used here, however confident they sound.
How these figures are calculated, including the sourcing bar and what this model deliberately does not do.
| Product | Price | Expected value | Expected return |
|---|---|---|---|
| Plasma Freeze Booster Pack | $307.99 | $42.29 | 14% |
| Plasma Freeze Booster Box | — | $1522.52 | TBD |
Plasma Freeze Booster Pack · Plasma Freeze Booster Box
| Product | Price per pack | Expected return |
|---|---|---|
| Booster Pack | $307.99 | 14% |
| Rarity | Pull rate | Sample |
|---|---|---|
| Secret Rare | 0.83% | n=2484 |
| ACE SPEC Rare | 2.78% | n=2484 |
| Ultra Rare | 9.44% | n=2484 |
| Holo Rare | 23.06% | |
| Rare | 66.67% | |
| Common | 500% | |
| Uncommon | 300% |
| Card | Rarity | Market price | Odds | Cost to pull |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ultra Ball | Secret Rare | $1199.51 | 1 in 723 (0.14%) | $222643.37 |
| Deoxys EX (Team Plasma) (Full Art) | Ultra Rare | $685.72 | 1 in 148 (0.67%) | $45676.48 |
| Garchomp (120 Secret Rare) | Secret Rare | $468.00 | 1 in 723 (0.14%) | $222643.37 |
| Empoleon (117 Secret Rare) | Secret Rare | $293.33 | 1 in 723 (0.14%) | $222643.37 |
| Latias EX (112 Full Art) | Ultra Rare | $247.20 | 1 in 148 (0.67%) | $45676.48 |
| Latios EX (113 Full Art) | Ultra Rare | $238.32 | 1 in 148 (0.67%) | $45676.48 |
| Garbodor (119 Secret Rare) | Secret Rare | $234.09 | 1 in 723 (0.14%) | $222643.37 |
| Heatran EX (Team Plasma) (Full Art) | Ultra Rare | $171.24 | 1 in 148 (0.67%) | $45676.48 |
| Professor Juniper (116 Full Art) | Ultra Rare | $115.61 | 1 in 148 (0.67%) | $45676.48 |
| Thundurus EX (Team Plasma) (110 Full Art) | Ultra Rare | $110.65 | 1 in 148 (0.67%) | $45676.48 |
| Tornadus EX (Team Plasma) (114 Full Art) | Ultra Rare | $103.66 | 1 in 148 (0.67%) | $45676.48 |
| Sigilyph | Secret Rare | $99.49 | 1 in 723 (0.14%) | $222643.37 |
| Ghetsis (Team Plasma) (Full Art) | Ultra Rare | $85.61 | 1 in 148 (0.67%) | $45676.48 |
| Latias EX | Ultra Rare | $51.26 | 1 in 148 (0.67%) | $45676.48 |
| Max Potion (121 Secret Rare) | Secret Rare | $39.13 | 1 in 723 (0.14%) | $222643.37 |
| Deoxys EX (Team Plasma) | Ultra Rare | $35.31 | 1 in 148 (0.67%) | $45676.48 |
| Tornadus EX (Team Plasma) | Ultra Rare | $29.17 | 1 in 148 (0.67%) | $45676.48 |
| Latios EX | Ultra Rare | $26.38 | 1 in 148 (0.67%) | $45676.48 |
| Heatran EX (Team Plasma) | Ultra Rare | $21.64 | 1 in 148 (0.67%) | $45676.48 |
| Thundurus EX (Team Plasma) | Ultra Rare | $13.87 | 1 in 148 (0.67%) | $45676.48 |
| Life Dew | ACE SPEC Rare | $4.92 | 1 in 72 (1.39%) | $22157.55 |
| Rock Guard | ACE SPEC Rare | $2.90 | 1 in 72 (1.39%) | $22157.55 |
| Umbreon (Team Plasma) | Holo Rare | $170.76 | 1 in 61 (1.65%) | $18172.07 |
| Umbreon (Team Plasma) | Holo Rare | $139.42 | 1 in 61 (1.65%) | $18172.07 |
| Espeon (Team Plasma) | Uncommon | $81.05 | 1 in 11 (9.38%) | $3192.75 |
| Vaporeon (Team Plasma) | Uncommon | $49.03 | 1 in 11 (9.38%) | $3192.75 |
| Glaceon (Team Plasma) | Rare | $44.38 | 1 in 33 (3.03%) | $9877.07 |
| Dragonite | Holo Rare | $44.13 | 1 in 61 (1.65%) | $18172.07 |
| Jolteon (Team Plasma) | Uncommon | $44.08 | 1 in 11 (9.38%) | $3192.75 |
| Flareon (Team Plasma) | Uncommon | $43.24 | 1 in 11 (9.38%) | $3192.75 |
| Leafeon (Team Plasma) | Rare | $43.11 | 1 in 33 (3.03%) | $9877.07 |
| Mr. Mime | Rare | $34.93 | 1 in 33 (3.03%) | $9877.07 |
| Absol (Team Plasma) | Holo Rare | $30.56 | 1 in 61 (1.65%) | $18172.07 |
| Wooper | Common | $30.52 | 1 in 6 (15.63%) | $1915.65 |
| Muk (Team Plasma) | Rare | $30.26 | 1 in 33 (3.03%) | $9877.07 |
| Dragonite | Holo Rare | $28.39 | 1 in 61 (1.65%) | $18172.07 |
| Nidoking | Rare | $19.69 | 1 in 33 (3.03%) | $9877.07 |
| Eevee (90) | Common | $19.46 | 1 in 6 (15.63%) | $1915.65 |
| Absol (Team Plasma) | Holo Rare | $18.89 | 1 in 61 (1.65%) | $18172.07 |
| Hydreigon (Team Plasma) | Holo Rare | $17.28 | 1 in 61 (1.65%) | $18172.07 |
| Eevee (89) | Common | $16.99 | 1 in 6 (15.63%) | $1915.65 |
| Dragonair | Uncommon | $16.90 | 1 in 11 (9.38%) | $3192.75 |
| Metagross (Team Plasma) | Holo Rare | $16.18 | 1 in 61 (1.65%) | $18172.07 |
| Kyurem (Team Plasma) | Holo Rare | $15.49 | 1 in 61 (1.65%) | $18172.07 |
| Quagsire | Rare | $15.21 | 1 in 33 (3.03%) | $9877.07 |
| Metagross (Team Plasma) | Holo Rare | $15.18 | 1 in 61 (1.65%) | $18172.07 |
| Mr. Mime | Rare | $15.18 | 1 in 33 (3.03%) | $9877.07 |
| Reshiram | Holo Rare | $13.91 | 1 in 61 (1.65%) | $18172.07 |
| Steelix (Team Plasma) | Rare | $13.84 | 1 in 33 (3.03%) | $9877.07 |
| Sableye (Team Plasma) | Rare | $13.77 | 1 in 33 (3.03%) | $9877.07 |
| Zekrom | Holo Rare | $11.33 | 1 in 61 (1.65%) | $18172.07 |
| Leafeon (Team Plasma) | Rare | $10.60 | 1 in 33 (3.03%) | $9877.07 |
| Float Stone | Uncommon | $10.23 | 1 in 11 (9.38%) | $3192.75 |
| Exeggutor | Rare | $9.61 | 1 in 33 (3.03%) | $9877.07 |
| Krookodile (Team Plasma) | Rare | $9.61 | 1 in 33 (3.03%) | $9877.07 |
| Chandelure (Team Plasma) | Holo Rare | $9.38 | 1 in 61 (1.65%) | $18172.07 |
| Cofagrigus (Team Plasma) (57) | Rare | $9.00 | 1 in 33 (3.03%) | $9877.07 |
| Reshiram | Holo Rare | $8.98 | 1 in 61 (1.65%) | $18172.07 |
| Hydreigon (Team Plasma) | Holo Rare | $8.88 | 1 in 61 (1.65%) | $18172.07 |
| Kyurem (Team Plasma) | Holo Rare | $8.77 | 1 in 61 (1.65%) | $18172.07 |
| Chandelure (Team Plasma) | Holo Rare | $8.08 | 1 in 61 (1.65%) | $18172.07 |
| Ghetsis (Team Plasma) | Holo Rare | $7.92 | 1 in 61 (1.65%) | $18172.07 |
| Dratini | Common | $7.58 | 1 in 6 (15.63%) | $1915.65 |
| Cofagrigus (Team Plasma) (56) | Holo Rare | $7.46 | 1 in 61 (1.65%) | $18172.07 |
| Exeggcute | Uncommon | $7.46 | 1 in 11 (9.38%) | $3192.75 |
| Sceptile | Holo Rare | $7.35 | 1 in 61 (1.65%) | $18172.07 |
| Float Stone | Uncommon | $7.21 | 1 in 11 (9.38%) | $3192.75 |
| Zekrom | Holo Rare | $6.91 | 1 in 61 (1.65%) | $18172.07 |
| Kingdra | Holo Rare | $6.81 | 1 in 61 (1.65%) | $18172.07 |
| Glaceon (Team Plasma) | Rare | $6.55 | 1 in 33 (3.03%) | $9877.07 |
| Exeggutor | Rare | $6.49 | 1 in 33 (3.03%) | $9877.07 |
| Sceptile | Holo Rare | $6.01 | 1 in 61 (1.65%) | $18172.07 |
| Espeon (Team Plasma) | Uncommon | $5.82 | 1 in 11 (9.38%) | $3192.75 |
| Weavile (Team Plasma) | Rare | $5.70 | 1 in 33 (3.03%) | $9877.07 |
| Raticate (Team Plasma) | Rare | $5.60 | 1 in 33 (3.03%) | $9877.07 |
| Quagsire | Rare | $5.46 | 1 in 33 (3.03%) | $9877.07 |
| Bisharp (Team Plasma) (74) | Uncommon | $5.35 | 1 in 11 (9.38%) | $3192.75 |
| Team Plasma Ball (Team Plasma) | Uncommon | $5.08 | 1 in 11 (9.38%) | $3192.75 |
| Vanilluxe (Team Plasma) | Rare | $5.05 | 1 in 33 (3.03%) | $9877.07 |
| Bisharp (Team Plasma) (73) | Rare | $4.88 | 1 in 33 (3.03%) | $9877.07 |
| Cofagrigus (Team Plasma) (56) | Holo Rare | $4.70 | 1 in 61 (1.65%) | $18172.07 |
| Flareon (Team Plasma) | Uncommon | $4.53 | 1 in 11 (9.38%) | $3192.75 |
| Vaporeon (Team Plasma) | Uncommon | $4.42 | 1 in 11 (9.38%) | $3192.75 |
| Jolteon (Team Plasma) | Uncommon | $4.28 | 1 in 11 (9.38%) | $3192.75 |
| Exeggcute | Uncommon | $4.17 | 1 in 11 (9.38%) | $3192.75 |
| Seismitoad (Team Plasma) | Rare | $4.13 | 1 in 33 (3.03%) | $9877.07 |
| Staraptor | Rare | $4.00 | 1 in 33 (3.03%) | $9877.07 |
| Superior Energy Retrieval | Uncommon | $4.00 | 1 in 11 (9.38%) | $3192.75 |
| Miltank | Uncommon | $3.96 | 1 in 11 (9.38%) | $3192.75 |
| Mawile | Uncommon | $3.93 | 1 in 11 (9.38%) | $3192.75 |
| Nidoking | Rare | $3.91 | 1 in 33 (3.03%) | $9877.07 |
| Steelix (Team Plasma) | Rare | $3.90 | 1 in 33 (3.03%) | $9877.07 |
| Kecleon | Rare | $3.77 | 1 in 33 (3.03%) | $9877.07 |
| Krookodile (Team Plasma) | Rare | $3.60 | 1 in 33 (3.03%) | $9877.07 |
| Electrode | Holo Rare | $3.57 | 1 in 61 (1.65%) | $18172.07 |
| Sableye (Team Plasma) | Rare | $3.52 | 1 in 33 (3.03%) | $9877.07 |
| Plasma Energy (Team Plasma) | Uncommon | $3.50 | 1 in 11 (9.38%) | $3192.75 |
| Beedrill | Rare | $3.37 | 1 in 33 (3.03%) | $9877.07 |
| Nidoqueen | Rare | $3.34 | 1 in 33 (3.03%) | $9877.07 |
| Electrode | Holo Rare | $3.15 | 1 in 61 (1.65%) | $18172.07 |
| Ghetsis (Team Plasma) | Holo Rare | $3.06 | 1 in 61 (1.65%) | $18172.07 |
| Kingdra | Holo Rare | $3.06 | 1 in 61 (1.65%) | $18172.07 |
| Shadow Triad (Team Plasma) | Uncommon | $3.06 | 1 in 11 (9.38%) | $3192.75 |
| Yamask (55) | Common | $3.03 | 1 in 6 (15.63%) | $1915.65 |
| Onix | Uncommon | $2.91 | 1 in 11 (9.38%) | $3192.75 |
| Treecko | Common | $2.84 | 1 in 6 (15.63%) | $1915.65 |
| Cacturne | Rare | $2.73 | 1 in 33 (3.03%) | $9877.07 |
| Grovyle | Uncommon | $2.70 | 1 in 11 (9.38%) | $3192.75 |
| Mankey | Common | $2.62 | 1 in 6 (15.63%) | $1915.65 |
| Wooper | Common | $2.47 | 1 in 6 (15.63%) | $1915.65 |
| Nidoran F | Common | $2.43 | 1 in 6 (15.63%) | $1915.65 |
| Cryogonal (Team Plasma) | Uncommon | $2.24 | 1 in 11 (9.38%) | $3192.75 |
| Eevee (90) | Common | $2.22 | 1 in 6 (15.63%) | $1915.65 |
| Frozen City (Team Plasma) | Uncommon | $2.20 | 1 in 11 (9.38%) | $3192.75 |
| Nidoran M | Common | $2.09 | 1 in 6 (15.63%) | $1915.65 |
| Dragonair | Uncommon | $2.07 | 1 in 11 (9.38%) | $3192.75 |
| Rattata | Common | $1.86 | 1 in 6 (15.63%) | $1915.65 |
| Weavile (Team Plasma) | Rare | $1.86 | 1 in 33 (3.03%) | $9877.07 |
| Nidorino | Uncommon | $1.82 | 1 in 11 (9.38%) | $3192.75 |
| Eevee (89) | Common | $1.78 | 1 in 6 (15.63%) | $1915.65 |
| Pachirisu | Common | $1.65 | 1 in 6 (15.63%) | $1915.65 |
| Nidoqueen | Rare | $1.64 | 1 in 33 (3.03%) | $9877.07 |
| Hariyama | Rare | $1.62 | 1 in 33 (3.03%) | $9877.07 |
| Team Plasma Badge (Team Plasma) | Uncommon | $1.61 | 1 in 11 (9.38%) | $3192.75 |
| Cofagrigus (Team Plasma) (57) | Rare | $1.60 | 1 in 33 (3.03%) | $9877.07 |
| Weedle | Common | $1.58 | 1 in 6 (15.63%) | $1915.65 |
| Nidorina | Uncommon | $1.45 | 1 in 11 (9.38%) | $3192.75 |
| Seadra | Uncommon | $1.41 | 1 in 11 (9.38%) | $3192.75 |
| Primeape | Common | $1.40 | 1 in 6 (15.63%) | $1915.65 |
| Bisharp (Team Plasma) (73) | Rare | $1.33 | 1 in 33 (3.03%) | $9877.07 |
| Frozen City (Team Plasma) | Uncommon | $1.28 | 1 in 11 (9.38%) | $3192.75 |
| Kecleon | Rare | $1.26 | 1 in 33 (3.03%) | $9877.07 |
| Litwick | Common | $1.25 | 1 in 6 (15.63%) | $1915.65 |
| Muk (Team Plasma) | Rare | $1.24 | 1 in 33 (3.03%) | $9877.07 |
| Deino (76) | Common | $1.16 | 1 in 6 (15.63%) | $1915.65 |
| Superior Energy Retrieval | Uncommon | $1.14 | 1 in 11 (9.38%) | $3192.75 |
| Grimer | Common | $1.06 | 1 in 6 (15.63%) | $1915.65 |
| Metang | Uncommon | $1.06 | 1 in 11 (9.38%) | $3192.75 |
| Voltorb | Common | $1.02 | 1 in 6 (15.63%) | $1915.65 |
| Zweilous | Uncommon | $1.01 | 1 in 11 (9.38%) | $3192.75 |
| Horsea | Common | $0.97 | 1 in 6 (15.63%) | $1915.65 |
| Raticate (Team Plasma) | Rare | $0.96 | 1 in 33 (3.03%) | $9877.07 |
| Beedrill | Rare | $0.95 | 1 in 33 (3.03%) | $9877.07 |
| Hoothoot | Common | $0.93 | 1 in 6 (15.63%) | $1915.65 |
| Deino (75) | Common | $0.91 | 1 in 6 (15.63%) | $1915.65 |
| Beldum | Common | $0.90 | 1 in 6 (15.63%) | $1915.65 |
| Lanturn | Uncommon | $0.87 | 1 in 11 (9.38%) | $3192.75 |
| Vanillite | Common | $0.87 | 1 in 6 (15.63%) | $1915.65 |
| Yamask (54) | Common | $0.87 | 1 in 6 (15.63%) | $1915.65 |
| Staraptor | Rare | $0.82 | 1 in 33 (3.03%) | $9877.07 |
| Lampent | Uncommon | $0.79 | 1 in 11 (9.38%) | $3192.75 |
| Tympole | Common | $0.77 | 1 in 6 (15.63%) | $1915.65 |
| Chinchou | Common | $0.75 | 1 in 6 (15.63%) | $1915.65 |
| Krokorok | Uncommon | $0.71 | 1 in 11 (9.38%) | $3192.75 |
| Sneasel | Common | $0.70 | 1 in 6 (15.63%) | $1915.65 |
| Vanilluxe (Team Plasma) | Rare | $0.67 | 1 in 33 (3.03%) | $9877.07 |
| Noctowl | Uncommon | $0.66 | 1 in 11 (9.38%) | $3192.75 |
| Onix | Uncommon | $0.65 | 1 in 11 (9.38%) | $3192.75 |
| Makuhita | Common | $0.63 | 1 in 6 (15.63%) | $1915.65 |
| Miltank | Uncommon | $0.63 | 1 in 11 (9.38%) | $3192.75 |
| Pawniard (72) | Common | $0.62 | 1 in 6 (15.63%) | $1915.65 |
| Seismitoad (Team Plasma) | Rare | $0.62 | 1 in 33 (3.03%) | $9877.07 |
| Grovyle | Uncommon | $0.60 | 1 in 11 (9.38%) | $3192.75 |
| Palpitoad | Uncommon | $0.60 | 1 in 11 (9.38%) | $3192.75 |
| Starly | Common | $0.59 | 1 in 6 (15.63%) | $1915.65 |
| Dratini | Common | $0.57 | 1 in 6 (15.63%) | $1915.65 |
| Treecko | Common | $0.57 | 1 in 6 (15.63%) | $1915.65 |
| Nidorina | Uncommon | $0.56 | 1 in 11 (9.38%) | $3192.75 |
| Pawniard (71) | Common | $0.55 | 1 in 6 (15.63%) | $1915.65 |
| Vanillish | Uncommon | $0.55 | 1 in 11 (9.38%) | $3192.75 |
| Mawile | Uncommon | $0.54 | 1 in 11 (9.38%) | $3192.75 |
| Bisharp (Team Plasma) (74) | Uncommon | $0.53 | 1 in 11 (9.38%) | $3192.75 |
| Cacturne | Rare | $0.53 | 1 in 33 (3.03%) | $9877.07 |
| Sandile | Common | $0.53 | 1 in 6 (15.63%) | $1915.65 |
| Kakuna | Uncommon | $0.51 | 1 in 11 (9.38%) | $3192.75 |
| Staravia | Uncommon | $0.51 | 1 in 11 (9.38%) | $3192.75 |
| Cryogonal (Team Plasma) | Uncommon | $0.48 | 1 in 11 (9.38%) | $3192.75 |
| Nidoran F | Common | $0.48 | 1 in 6 (15.63%) | $1915.65 |
| Hariyama | Rare | $0.47 | 1 in 33 (3.03%) | $9877.07 |
| Deino (75) | Common | $0.46 | 1 in 6 (15.63%) | $1915.65 |
| Nidorino | Uncommon | $0.46 | 1 in 11 (9.38%) | $3192.75 |
| Cacnea | Common | $0.45 | 1 in 6 (15.63%) | $1915.65 |
| Pachirisu | Common | $0.44 | 1 in 6 (15.63%) | $1915.65 |
| Grimer | Common | $0.39 | 1 in 6 (15.63%) | $1915.65 |
| Primeape | Common | $0.37 | 1 in 6 (15.63%) | $1915.65 |
| Krokorok | Uncommon | $0.36 | 1 in 11 (9.38%) | $3192.75 |
| Lanturn | Uncommon | $0.36 | 1 in 11 (9.38%) | $3192.75 |
| Plasma Energy (Team Plasma) | Uncommon | $0.36 | 1 in 11 (9.38%) | $3192.75 |
| Seadra | Uncommon | $0.36 | 1 in 11 (9.38%) | $3192.75 |
| Team Plasma Badge (Team Plasma) | Uncommon | $0.36 | 1 in 11 (9.38%) | $3192.75 |
| Weedle | Common | $0.36 | 1 in 6 (15.63%) | $1915.65 |
| Zweilous | Uncommon | $0.36 | 1 in 11 (9.38%) | $3192.75 |
| Kakuna | Uncommon | $0.35 | 1 in 11 (9.38%) | $3192.75 |
| Mankey | Common | $0.34 | 1 in 6 (15.63%) | $1915.65 |
| Metang | Uncommon | $0.34 | 1 in 11 (9.38%) | $3192.75 |
| Sneasel | Common | $0.34 | 1 in 6 (15.63%) | $1915.65 |
| Yamask (54) | Common | $0.34 | 1 in 6 (15.63%) | $1915.65 |
| Horsea | Common | $0.33 | 1 in 6 (15.63%) | $1915.65 |
| Litwick | Common | $0.33 | 1 in 6 (15.63%) | $1915.65 |
| Vanillish | Uncommon | $0.33 | 1 in 11 (9.38%) | $3192.75 |
| Beldum | Common | $0.31 | 1 in 6 (15.63%) | $1915.65 |
| Lampent | Uncommon | $0.31 | 1 in 11 (9.38%) | $3192.75 |
| Team Plasma Ball (Team Plasma) | Uncommon | $0.31 | 1 in 11 (9.38%) | $3192.75 |
| Nidoran M | Common | $0.30 | 1 in 6 (15.63%) | $1915.65 |
| Rattata | Common | $0.30 | 1 in 6 (15.63%) | $1915.65 |
| Deino (76) | Common | $0.29 | 1 in 6 (15.63%) | $1915.65 |
| Noctowl | Uncommon | $0.29 | 1 in 11 (9.38%) | $3192.75 |
| Starly | Common | $0.29 | 1 in 6 (15.63%) | $1915.65 |
| Cacnea | Common | $0.28 | 1 in 6 (15.63%) | $1915.65 |
| Hoothoot | Common | $0.28 | 1 in 6 (15.63%) | $1915.65 |
| Pawniard (72) | Common | $0.28 | 1 in 6 (15.63%) | $1915.65 |
| Palpitoad | Uncommon | $0.27 | 1 in 11 (9.38%) | $3192.75 |
| Sandile | Common | $0.27 | 1 in 6 (15.63%) | $1915.65 |
| Shadow Triad (Team Plasma) | Uncommon | $0.27 | 1 in 11 (9.38%) | $3192.75 |
| Pawniard (71) | Common | $0.26 | 1 in 6 (15.63%) | $1915.65 |
| Staravia | Uncommon | $0.26 | 1 in 11 (9.38%) | $3192.75 |
| Vanillite | Common | $0.26 | 1 in 6 (15.63%) | $1915.65 |
| Chinchou | Common | $0.25 | 1 in 6 (15.63%) | $1915.65 |
| Yamask (55) | Common | $0.25 | 1 in 6 (15.63%) | $1915.65 |
| Makuhita | Common | $0.23 | 1 in 6 (15.63%) | $1915.65 |
| Tympole | Common | $0.21 | 1 in 6 (15.63%) | $1915.65 |
| Voltorb | Common | $0.21 | 1 in 6 (15.63%) | $1915.65 |