
A $329.09 Plasma Freeze pack returns $48.15 in expected card value on average — 15% of what you paid.
No official TCGPlayer pull-rate article covers Plasma Freeze, so these odds come from elitefourum.com, which discloses a 2,484-pack sample. A stated count is the difference between a measured rate and a confident guess, so it is recorded here whenever a source gives one.
How these figures are calculated, including the sourcing bar and what this model deliberately does not do.
| Product | Price | Expected value | Expected return |
|---|---|---|---|
| Plasma Freeze Booster Pack | $329.09 | $48.15 | 15% |
| Plasma Freeze Booster Box | — | $1733.42 | TBD |
Plasma Freeze Booster Pack · Plasma Freeze Booster Box
| Product | Price per pack | Expected return |
|---|---|---|
| Booster Pack | $329.09 | 15% |
| Rarity | Pull rate | Sample |
|---|---|---|
| Secret Rare | 0.83% | n=2484 |
| ACE SPEC Rare | 2.78% | n=2484 |
| Ultra Rare | 9.44% | n=2484 |
| Holo Rare | 23.06% | |
| Rare | 66.67% | |
| Common | 500% | |
| Uncommon | 300% |
| Card | Rarity | Market price | Odds | Cost to pull |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ultra Ball | Secret Rare | $1199.51 | 1 in 723 (0.14%) | $237896.39 |
| Garchomp (120 Secret Rare) | Secret Rare | $900.00 | 1 in 723 (0.14%) | $237896.39 |
| Deoxys EX (Team Plasma) (Full Art) | Ultra Rare | $836.52 | 1 in 148 (0.67%) | $48805.72 |
| Empoleon (117 Secret Rare) | Secret Rare | $499.99 | 1 in 723 (0.14%) | $237896.39 |
| Latios EX (113 Full Art) | Ultra Rare | $327.50 | 1 in 148 (0.67%) | $48805.72 |
| Garbodor (119 Secret Rare) | Secret Rare | $278.79 | 1 in 723 (0.14%) | $237896.39 |
| Latias EX (112 Full Art) | Ultra Rare | $261.31 | 1 in 148 (0.67%) | $48805.72 |
| Heatran EX (Team Plasma) (Full Art) | Ultra Rare | $204.97 | 1 in 148 (0.67%) | $48805.72 |
| Thundurus EX (Team Plasma) (110 Full Art) | Ultra Rare | $151.25 | 1 in 148 (0.67%) | $48805.72 |
| Tornadus EX (Team Plasma) (114 Full Art) | Ultra Rare | $119.14 | 1 in 148 (0.67%) | $48805.72 |
| Professor Juniper (116 Full Art) | Ultra Rare | $116.32 | 1 in 148 (0.67%) | $48805.72 |
| Sigilyph | Secret Rare | $99.49 | 1 in 723 (0.14%) | $237896.39 |
| Ghetsis (Team Plasma) (Full Art) | Ultra Rare | $87.43 | 1 in 148 (0.67%) | $48805.72 |
| Latias EX | Ultra Rare | $53.60 | 1 in 148 (0.67%) | $48805.72 |
| Deoxys EX (Team Plasma) | Ultra Rare | $46.40 | 1 in 148 (0.67%) | $48805.72 |
| Max Potion (121 Secret Rare) | Secret Rare | $39.13 | 1 in 723 (0.14%) | $237896.39 |
| Tornadus EX (Team Plasma) | Ultra Rare | $30.25 | 1 in 148 (0.67%) | $48805.72 |
| Latios EX | Ultra Rare | $28.06 | 1 in 148 (0.67%) | $48805.72 |
| Heatran EX (Team Plasma) | Ultra Rare | $21.11 | 1 in 148 (0.67%) | $48805.72 |
| Thundurus EX (Team Plasma) | Ultra Rare | $15.76 | 1 in 148 (0.67%) | $48805.72 |
| Life Dew | ACE SPEC Rare | $4.99 | 1 in 72 (1.39%) | $23675.54 |
| Rock Guard | ACE SPEC Rare | $2.68 | 1 in 72 (1.39%) | $23675.54 |
| Umbreon (Team Plasma) | Holo Rare | $173.60 | 1 in 61 (1.65%) | $18172.07 |
| Umbreon (Team Plasma) | Holo Rare | $167.41 | 1 in 61 (1.65%) | $18172.07 |
| Espeon (Team Plasma) | Uncommon | $86.30 | 1 in 11 (9.38%) | $3192.75 |
| Vaporeon (Team Plasma) | Uncommon | $61.73 | 1 in 11 (9.38%) | $3192.75 |
| Jolteon (Team Plasma) | Uncommon | $58.75 | 1 in 11 (9.38%) | $3192.75 |
| Flareon (Team Plasma) | Uncommon | $47.06 | 1 in 11 (9.38%) | $3192.75 |
| Dragonite | Holo Rare | $46.59 | 1 in 61 (1.65%) | $18172.07 |
| Glaceon (Team Plasma) | Rare | $45.24 | 1 in 33 (3.03%) | $9877.07 |
| Leafeon (Team Plasma) | Rare | $42.81 | 1 in 33 (3.03%) | $9877.07 |
| Kyurem (Team Plasma) | Holo Rare | $40.27 | 1 in 61 (1.65%) | $18172.07 |
| Absol (Team Plasma) | Holo Rare | $35.27 | 1 in 61 (1.65%) | $18172.07 |
| Mr. Mime | Rare | $34.71 | 1 in 33 (3.03%) | $9877.07 |
| Dragonite | Holo Rare | $31.90 | 1 in 61 (1.65%) | $18172.07 |
| Wooper | Common | $27.53 | 1 in 6 (15.63%) | $1915.65 |
| Muk (Team Plasma) | Rare | $24.09 | 1 in 33 (3.03%) | $9877.07 |
| Absol (Team Plasma) | Holo Rare | $20.99 | 1 in 61 (1.65%) | $18172.07 |
| Hydreigon (Team Plasma) | Holo Rare | $20.59 | 1 in 61 (1.65%) | $18172.07 |
| Metagross (Team Plasma) | Holo Rare | $20.19 | 1 in 61 (1.65%) | $18172.07 |
| Eevee (90) | Common | $19.76 | 1 in 6 (15.63%) | $1915.65 |
| Nidoking | Rare | $19.69 | 1 in 33 (3.03%) | $9877.07 |
| Reshiram | Holo Rare | $18.93 | 1 in 61 (1.65%) | $18172.07 |
| Kyurem (Team Plasma) | Holo Rare | $18.54 | 1 in 61 (1.65%) | $18172.07 |
| Dragonair | Uncommon | $18.03 | 1 in 11 (9.38%) | $3192.75 |
| Eevee (89) | Common | $17.04 | 1 in 6 (15.63%) | $1915.65 |
| Sableye (Team Plasma) | Rare | $16.70 | 1 in 33 (3.03%) | $9877.07 |
| Metagross (Team Plasma) | Holo Rare | $16.10 | 1 in 61 (1.65%) | $18172.07 |
| Quagsire | Rare | $15.67 | 1 in 33 (3.03%) | $9877.07 |
| Mr. Mime | Rare | $15.41 | 1 in 33 (3.03%) | $9877.07 |
| Steelix (Team Plasma) | Rare | $14.64 | 1 in 33 (3.03%) | $9877.07 |
| Leafeon (Team Plasma) | Rare | $12.50 | 1 in 33 (3.03%) | $9877.07 |
| Zekrom | Holo Rare | $11.57 | 1 in 61 (1.65%) | $18172.07 |
| Hydreigon (Team Plasma) | Holo Rare | $11.37 | 1 in 61 (1.65%) | $18172.07 |
| Krookodile (Team Plasma) | Rare | $10.80 | 1 in 33 (3.03%) | $9877.07 |
| Float Stone | Uncommon | $10.61 | 1 in 11 (9.38%) | $3192.75 |
| Exeggutor | Rare | $10.41 | 1 in 33 (3.03%) | $9877.07 |
| Reshiram | Holo Rare | $10.27 | 1 in 61 (1.65%) | $18172.07 |
| Chandelure (Team Plasma) | Holo Rare | $9.94 | 1 in 61 (1.65%) | $18172.07 |
| Zekrom | Holo Rare | $9.66 | 1 in 61 (1.65%) | $18172.07 |
| Chandelure (Team Plasma) | Holo Rare | $9.49 | 1 in 61 (1.65%) | $18172.07 |
| Sceptile | Holo Rare | $8.89 | 1 in 61 (1.65%) | $18172.07 |
| Ghetsis (Team Plasma) | Holo Rare | $8.57 | 1 in 61 (1.65%) | $18172.07 |
| Espeon (Team Plasma) | Uncommon | $8.56 | 1 in 11 (9.38%) | $3192.75 |
| Cofagrigus (Team Plasma) (57) | Rare | $8.37 | 1 in 33 (3.03%) | $9877.07 |
| Float Stone | Uncommon | $7.72 | 1 in 11 (9.38%) | $3192.75 |
| Dratini | Common | $7.69 | 1 in 6 (15.63%) | $1915.65 |
| Glaceon (Team Plasma) | Rare | $7.68 | 1 in 33 (3.03%) | $9877.07 |
| Exeggcute | Uncommon | $7.65 | 1 in 11 (9.38%) | $3192.75 |
| Raticate (Team Plasma) | Rare | $7.37 | 1 in 33 (3.03%) | $9877.07 |
| Cofagrigus (Team Plasma) (56) | Holo Rare | $7.32 | 1 in 61 (1.65%) | $18172.07 |
| Exeggutor | Rare | $7.18 | 1 in 33 (3.03%) | $9877.07 |
| Kingdra | Holo Rare | $6.97 | 1 in 61 (1.65%) | $18172.07 |
| Vanilluxe (Team Plasma) | Rare | $6.60 | 1 in 33 (3.03%) | $9877.07 |
| Weavile (Team Plasma) | Rare | $6.35 | 1 in 33 (3.03%) | $9877.07 |
| Sceptile | Holo Rare | $6.29 | 1 in 61 (1.65%) | $18172.07 |
| Bisharp (Team Plasma) (74) | Uncommon | $5.67 | 1 in 11 (9.38%) | $3192.75 |
| Bisharp (Team Plasma) (73) | Rare | $5.36 | 1 in 33 (3.03%) | $9877.07 |
| Quagsire | Rare | $5.28 | 1 in 33 (3.03%) | $9877.07 |
| Flareon (Team Plasma) | Uncommon | $5.20 | 1 in 11 (9.38%) | $3192.75 |
| Mawile | Uncommon | $5.11 | 1 in 11 (9.38%) | $3192.75 |
| Cofagrigus (Team Plasma) (56) | Holo Rare | $5.01 | 1 in 61 (1.65%) | $18172.07 |
| Exeggcute | Uncommon | $4.92 | 1 in 11 (9.38%) | $3192.75 |
| Team Plasma Ball (Team Plasma) | Uncommon | $4.85 | 1 in 11 (9.38%) | $3192.75 |
| Jolteon (Team Plasma) | Uncommon | $4.78 | 1 in 11 (9.38%) | $3192.75 |
| Vaporeon (Team Plasma) | Uncommon | $4.68 | 1 in 11 (9.38%) | $3192.75 |
| Seismitoad (Team Plasma) | Rare | $4.40 | 1 in 33 (3.03%) | $9877.07 |
| Miltank | Uncommon | $4.07 | 1 in 11 (9.38%) | $3192.75 |
| Superior Energy Retrieval | Uncommon | $4.00 | 1 in 11 (9.38%) | $3192.75 |
| Steelix (Team Plasma) | Rare | $3.97 | 1 in 33 (3.03%) | $9877.07 |
| Staraptor | Rare | $3.96 | 1 in 33 (3.03%) | $9877.07 |
| Krookodile (Team Plasma) | Rare | $3.91 | 1 in 33 (3.03%) | $9877.07 |
| Plasma Energy (Team Plasma) | Uncommon | $3.89 | 1 in 11 (9.38%) | $3192.75 |
| Nidoking | Rare | $3.87 | 1 in 33 (3.03%) | $9877.07 |
| Yamask (55) | Common | $3.83 | 1 in 6 (15.63%) | $1915.65 |
| Electrode | Holo Rare | $3.77 | 1 in 61 (1.65%) | $18172.07 |
| Sableye (Team Plasma) | Rare | $3.64 | 1 in 33 (3.03%) | $9877.07 |
| Treecko | Common | $3.63 | 1 in 6 (15.63%) | $1915.65 |
| Kecleon | Rare | $3.61 | 1 in 33 (3.03%) | $9877.07 |
| Nidoqueen | Rare | $3.54 | 1 in 33 (3.03%) | $9877.07 |
| Ghetsis (Team Plasma) | Holo Rare | $3.43 | 1 in 61 (1.65%) | $18172.07 |
| Electrode | Holo Rare | $3.10 | 1 in 61 (1.65%) | $18172.07 |
| Beedrill | Rare | $3.04 | 1 in 33 (3.03%) | $9877.07 |
| Onix | Uncommon | $3.02 | 1 in 11 (9.38%) | $3192.75 |
| Shadow Triad (Team Plasma) | Uncommon | $3.01 | 1 in 11 (9.38%) | $3192.75 |
| Kingdra | Holo Rare | $2.90 | 1 in 61 (1.65%) | $18172.07 |
| Cacturne | Rare | $2.75 | 1 in 33 (3.03%) | $9877.07 |
| Mankey | Common | $2.71 | 1 in 6 (15.63%) | $1915.65 |
| Grovyle | Uncommon | $2.66 | 1 in 11 (9.38%) | $3192.75 |
| Nidoran F | Common | $2.59 | 1 in 6 (15.63%) | $1915.65 |
| Wooper | Common | $2.47 | 1 in 6 (15.63%) | $1915.65 |
| Cryogonal (Team Plasma) | Uncommon | $2.42 | 1 in 11 (9.38%) | $3192.75 |
| Nidoran M | Common | $2.29 | 1 in 6 (15.63%) | $1915.65 |
| Pachirisu | Common | $2.29 | 1 in 6 (15.63%) | $1915.65 |
| Frozen City (Team Plasma) | Uncommon | $2.26 | 1 in 11 (9.38%) | $3192.75 |
| Nidorino | Uncommon | $2.11 | 1 in 11 (9.38%) | $3192.75 |
| Dragonair | Uncommon | $2.04 | 1 in 11 (9.38%) | $3192.75 |
| Weavile (Team Plasma) | Rare | $2.00 | 1 in 33 (3.03%) | $9877.07 |
| Team Plasma Badge (Team Plasma) | Uncommon | $1.94 | 1 in 11 (9.38%) | $3192.75 |
| Hariyama | Rare | $1.85 | 1 in 33 (3.03%) | $9877.07 |
| Eevee (90) | Common | $1.83 | 1 in 6 (15.63%) | $1915.65 |
| Rattata | Common | $1.81 | 1 in 6 (15.63%) | $1915.65 |
| Cofagrigus (Team Plasma) (57) | Rare | $1.72 | 1 in 33 (3.03%) | $9877.07 |
| Eevee (89) | Common | $1.72 | 1 in 6 (15.63%) | $1915.65 |
| Nidoqueen | Rare | $1.60 | 1 in 33 (3.03%) | $9877.07 |
| Nidorina | Uncommon | $1.56 | 1 in 11 (9.38%) | $3192.75 |
| Primeape | Common | $1.48 | 1 in 6 (15.63%) | $1915.65 |
| Weedle | Common | $1.45 | 1 in 6 (15.63%) | $1915.65 |
| Seadra | Uncommon | $1.42 | 1 in 11 (9.38%) | $3192.75 |
| Muk (Team Plasma) | Rare | $1.39 | 1 in 33 (3.03%) | $9877.07 |
| Kecleon | Rare | $1.31 | 1 in 33 (3.03%) | $9877.07 |
| Litwick | Common | $1.30 | 1 in 6 (15.63%) | $1915.65 |
| Bisharp (Team Plasma) (73) | Rare | $1.23 | 1 in 33 (3.03%) | $9877.07 |
| Frozen City (Team Plasma) | Uncommon | $1.23 | 1 in 11 (9.38%) | $3192.75 |
| Horsea | Common | $1.16 | 1 in 6 (15.63%) | $1915.65 |
| Deino (76) | Common | $1.14 | 1 in 6 (15.63%) | $1915.65 |
| Superior Energy Retrieval | Uncommon | $1.11 | 1 in 11 (9.38%) | $3192.75 |
| Lampent | Uncommon | $1.07 | 1 in 11 (9.38%) | $3192.75 |
| Grimer | Common | $1.06 | 1 in 6 (15.63%) | $1915.65 |
| Metang | Uncommon | $1.04 | 1 in 11 (9.38%) | $3192.75 |
| Beldum | Common | $1.03 | 1 in 6 (15.63%) | $1915.65 |
| Zweilous | Uncommon | $1.03 | 1 in 11 (9.38%) | $3192.75 |
| Raticate (Team Plasma) | Rare | $1.02 | 1 in 33 (3.03%) | $9877.07 |
| Voltorb | Common | $1.02 | 1 in 6 (15.63%) | $1915.65 |
| Deino (75) | Common | $0.98 | 1 in 6 (15.63%) | $1915.65 |
| Beedrill | Rare | $0.96 | 1 in 33 (3.03%) | $9877.07 |
| Hoothoot | Common | $0.92 | 1 in 6 (15.63%) | $1915.65 |
| Lanturn | Uncommon | $0.86 | 1 in 11 (9.38%) | $3192.75 |
| Staraptor | Rare | $0.81 | 1 in 33 (3.03%) | $9877.07 |
| Chinchou | Common | $0.77 | 1 in 6 (15.63%) | $1915.65 |
| Tympole | Common | $0.75 | 1 in 6 (15.63%) | $1915.65 |
| Vanilluxe (Team Plasma) | Rare | $0.72 | 1 in 33 (3.03%) | $9877.07 |
| Yamask (54) | Common | $0.72 | 1 in 6 (15.63%) | $1915.65 |
| Sneasel | Common | $0.70 | 1 in 6 (15.63%) | $1915.65 |
| Vanillite | Common | $0.69 | 1 in 6 (15.63%) | $1915.65 |
| Onix | Uncommon | $0.67 | 1 in 11 (9.38%) | $3192.75 |
| Noctowl | Uncommon | $0.66 | 1 in 11 (9.38%) | $3192.75 |
| Miltank | Uncommon | $0.65 | 1 in 11 (9.38%) | $3192.75 |
| Seismitoad (Team Plasma) | Rare | $0.64 | 1 in 33 (3.03%) | $9877.07 |
| Makuhita | Common | $0.63 | 1 in 6 (15.63%) | $1915.65 |
| Vanillish | Uncommon | $0.63 | 1 in 11 (9.38%) | $3192.75 |
| Sandile | Common | $0.62 | 1 in 6 (15.63%) | $1915.65 |
| Palpitoad | Uncommon | $0.60 | 1 in 11 (9.38%) | $3192.75 |
| Grovyle | Uncommon | $0.59 | 1 in 11 (9.38%) | $3192.75 |
| Krokorok | Uncommon | $0.59 | 1 in 11 (9.38%) | $3192.75 |
| Bisharp (Team Plasma) (74) | Uncommon | $0.58 | 1 in 11 (9.38%) | $3192.75 |
| Pawniard (72) | Common | $0.58 | 1 in 6 (15.63%) | $1915.65 |
| Treecko | Common | $0.58 | 1 in 6 (15.63%) | $1915.65 |
| Starly | Common | $0.57 | 1 in 6 (15.63%) | $1915.65 |
| Dratini | Common | $0.56 | 1 in 6 (15.63%) | $1915.65 |
| Cacturne | Rare | $0.54 | 1 in 33 (3.03%) | $9877.07 |
| Cacnea | Common | $0.53 | 1 in 6 (15.63%) | $1915.65 |
| Mawile | Uncommon | $0.53 | 1 in 11 (9.38%) | $3192.75 |
| Cryogonal (Team Plasma) | Uncommon | $0.52 | 1 in 11 (9.38%) | $3192.75 |
| Staravia | Uncommon | $0.52 | 1 in 11 (9.38%) | $3192.75 |
| Nidoran F | Common | $0.51 | 1 in 6 (15.63%) | $1915.65 |
| Pawniard (71) | Common | $0.50 | 1 in 6 (15.63%) | $1915.65 |
| Kakuna | Uncommon | $0.49 | 1 in 11 (9.38%) | $3192.75 |
| Nidorina | Uncommon | $0.48 | 1 in 11 (9.38%) | $3192.75 |
| Deino (75) | Common | $0.45 | 1 in 6 (15.63%) | $1915.65 |
| Hariyama | Rare | $0.45 | 1 in 33 (3.03%) | $9877.07 |
| Nidorino | Uncommon | $0.42 | 1 in 11 (9.38%) | $3192.75 |
| Litwick | Common | $0.41 | 1 in 6 (15.63%) | $1915.65 |
| Grimer | Common | $0.40 | 1 in 6 (15.63%) | $1915.65 |
| Pachirisu | Common | $0.39 | 1 in 6 (15.63%) | $1915.65 |
| Weedle | Common | $0.37 | 1 in 6 (15.63%) | $1915.65 |
| Zweilous | Uncommon | $0.37 | 1 in 11 (9.38%) | $3192.75 |
| Krokorok | Uncommon | $0.36 | 1 in 11 (9.38%) | $3192.75 |
| Mankey | Common | $0.36 | 1 in 6 (15.63%) | $1915.65 |
| Metang | Uncommon | $0.36 | 1 in 11 (9.38%) | $3192.75 |
| Primeape | Common | $0.36 | 1 in 6 (15.63%) | $1915.65 |
| Seadra | Uncommon | $0.36 | 1 in 11 (9.38%) | $3192.75 |
| Plasma Energy (Team Plasma) | Uncommon | $0.35 | 1 in 11 (9.38%) | $3192.75 |
| Sneasel | Common | $0.35 | 1 in 6 (15.63%) | $1915.65 |
| Kakuna | Uncommon | $0.34 | 1 in 11 (9.38%) | $3192.75 |
| Horsea | Common | $0.33 | 1 in 6 (15.63%) | $1915.65 |
| Lampent | Uncommon | $0.33 | 1 in 11 (9.38%) | $3192.75 |
| Lanturn | Uncommon | $0.33 | 1 in 11 (9.38%) | $3192.75 |
| Team Plasma Badge (Team Plasma) | Uncommon | $0.33 | 1 in 11 (9.38%) | $3192.75 |
| Vanillish | Uncommon | $0.31 | 1 in 11 (9.38%) | $3192.75 |
| Beldum | Common | $0.30 | 1 in 6 (15.63%) | $1915.65 |
| Team Plasma Ball (Team Plasma) | Uncommon | $0.30 | 1 in 11 (9.38%) | $3192.75 |
| Cacnea | Common | $0.29 | 1 in 6 (15.63%) | $1915.65 |
| Deino (76) | Common | $0.29 | 1 in 6 (15.63%) | $1915.65 |
| Noctowl | Uncommon | $0.29 | 1 in 11 (9.38%) | $3192.75 |
| Pawniard (72) | Common | $0.29 | 1 in 6 (15.63%) | $1915.65 |
| Rattata | Common | $0.29 | 1 in 6 (15.63%) | $1915.65 |
| Starly | Common | $0.29 | 1 in 6 (15.63%) | $1915.65 |
| Palpitoad | Uncommon | $0.28 | 1 in 11 (9.38%) | $3192.75 |
| Yamask (54) | Common | $0.28 | 1 in 6 (15.63%) | $1915.65 |
| Sandile | Common | $0.27 | 1 in 6 (15.63%) | $1915.65 |
| Vanillite | Common | $0.27 | 1 in 6 (15.63%) | $1915.65 |
| Hoothoot | Common | $0.26 | 1 in 6 (15.63%) | $1915.65 |
| Nidoran M | Common | $0.26 | 1 in 6 (15.63%) | $1915.65 |
| Chinchou | Common | $0.25 | 1 in 6 (15.63%) | $1915.65 |
| Pawniard (71) | Common | $0.25 | 1 in 6 (15.63%) | $1915.65 |
| Staravia | Uncommon | $0.25 | 1 in 11 (9.38%) | $3192.75 |
| Shadow Triad (Team Plasma) | Uncommon | $0.24 | 1 in 11 (9.38%) | $3192.75 |
| Makuhita | Common | $0.22 | 1 in 6 (15.63%) | $1915.65 |
| Yamask (55) | Common | $0.22 | 1 in 6 (15.63%) | $1915.65 |
| Voltorb | Common | $0.21 | 1 in 6 (15.63%) | $1915.65 |
| Tympole | Common | $0.20 | 1 in 6 (15.63%) | $1915.65 |