Rising Rivals
A $999.99 Rising Rivals pack returns $68.99 in expected card value on average — 7% of what you paid.
No official TCGPlayer pull-rate article covers Rising Rivals. These odds come from thepricedex.com, which publishes a rate for each tier but does not say how many packs it counted to get there — so read them as indicative rather than measured. They are here because they are the best published figures for this set, and naming that limit is better than implying a precision the source never claimed.
How these figures are calculated, including the sourcing bar and what this model deliberately does not do.
- Pack EV: $68.99
- Cheapest pack: $999.99 (Rising Rivals Booster Pack)
- Cards: 120 (222 versions)
Products in this set
| Product | Price | Expected value | Expected return |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rising Rivals Booster Pack | $999.99 | $68.99 | 7% |
| Rising Rivals Booster Box | — | $2483.70 | TBD |
Where to buy
Rising Rivals Booster Pack · Rising Rivals Booster Box
Expected return by product type
| Product | Price per pack | Expected return |
|---|---|---|
| Booster Pack | $999.99 | 7% |
Pull rates (source: community_estimate)
| Rarity | Pull rate | Sample |
|---|---|---|
| Secret Rare | 2.75% | |
| Ultra Rare | 5.56% | |
| Holo Rare | 25% | |
| Rare | 66.67% | |
| Common | 500% | |
| Uncommon | 300% |
Cards & odds
| Card | Rarity | Market price | Odds | Cost to pull |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Snorlax Lv.X | Ultra Rare | $999.99 | 1 in 270 (0.37%) | $269781.47 |
| Surfing Pikachu | Secret Rare | $427.62 | 1 in 109 (0.92%) | $109089.82 |
| Pikachu | Secret Rare | $378.16 | 1 in 109 (0.92%) | $109089.82 |
| Infernape E4 Lv.X | Ultra Rare | $350.00 | 1 in 270 (0.37%) | $269781.47 |
| Flying Pikachu | Secret Rare | $338.33 | 1 in 109 (0.92%) | $109089.82 |
| Alakazam E4 Lv.X | Ultra Rare | $336.25 | 1 in 270 (0.37%) | $269781.47 |
| Gallade E4 Lv.X | Ultra Rare | $150.98 | 1 in 270 (0.37%) | $269781.47 |
| Luxray GL Lv.X | Ultra Rare | $123.44 | 1 in 270 (0.37%) | $269781.47 |
| Floatzel GL Lv.X | Ultra Rare | $100.00 | 1 in 270 (0.37%) | $269781.47 |
| Flygon Lv.X | Ultra Rare | $100.00 | 1 in 270 (0.37%) | $269781.47 |
| Mismagius GL Lv.X | Ultra Rare | $93.31 | 1 in 270 (0.37%) | $269781.47 |
| Hippowdon Lv.X | Ultra Rare | $90.00 | 1 in 270 (0.37%) | $269781.47 |
| Wash Rotom | Ultra Rare | $49.42 | 1 in 270 (0.37%) | $269781.47 |
| Frost Rotom | Ultra Rare | $49.33 | 1 in 270 (0.37%) | $269781.47 |
| Mow Rotom | Ultra Rare | $48.29 | 1 in 270 (0.37%) | $269781.47 |
| Fan Rotom | Ultra Rare | $37.90 | 1 in 270 (0.37%) | $269781.47 |
| Heat Rotom | Ultra Rare | $31.66 | 1 in 270 (0.37%) | $269781.47 |
| Charon's Choice | Ultra Rare | $18.77 | 1 in 270 (0.37%) | $269781.47 |
| Darkrai G | Holo Rare | $97.18 | 1 in 52 (1.92%) | $19326.84 |
| Arcanine | Holo Rare | $91.38 | 1 in 52 (1.92%) | $19326.84 |
| Gengar GL | Uncommon | $88.48 | 1 in 11 (9.38%) | $3964.48 |
| Turtwig GL | Common | $79.99 | 1 in 7 (15.15%) | $2453.02 |
| Snorlax (33) | Rare | $78.39 | 1 in 36 (2.78%) | $13379.45 |
| Arcanine | Holo Rare | $66.56 | 1 in 52 (1.92%) | $19326.84 |
| Snorlax (81) | Common | $62.67 | 1 in 7 (15.15%) | $2453.02 |
| Darkrai G | Holo Rare | $60.20 | 1 in 52 (1.92%) | $19326.84 |
| Flareon E4 | Common | $60.00 | 1 in 7 (15.15%) | $2453.02 |
| Munchlax (69) | Common | $60.00 | 1 in 7 (15.15%) | $2453.02 |
| Jirachi | Holo Rare | $58.66 | 1 in 52 (1.92%) | $19326.84 |
| Raichu GL | Rare | $58.39 | 1 in 36 (2.78%) | $13379.45 |
| Glaceon | Uncommon | $48.00 | 1 in 11 (9.38%) | $3964.48 |
| Flareon | Rare | $42.50 | 1 in 36 (2.78%) | $13379.45 |
| Jolteon | Rare | $41.05 | 1 in 36 (2.78%) | $13379.45 |
| Munchlax (70) | Common | $40.49 | 1 in 7 (15.15%) | $2453.02 |
| Gengar GL | Uncommon | $38.32 | 1 in 11 (9.38%) | $3964.48 |
| Spheal | Common | $37.33 | 1 in 7 (15.15%) | $2453.02 |
| Alakazam E4 | Uncommon | $36.65 | 1 in 11 (9.38%) | $3964.48 |
| Shellos East Sea | Common | $36.26 | 1 in 7 (15.15%) | $2453.02 |
| Vaporeon | Rare | $36.05 | 1 in 36 (2.78%) | $13379.45 |
| Heracross E4 | Rare | $35.38 | 1 in 36 (2.78%) | $13379.45 |
| Snorlax (33) | Rare | $32.05 | 1 in 36 (2.78%) | $13379.45 |
| Espeon E4 | Rare | $31.14 | 1 in 36 (2.78%) | $13379.45 |
| Jirachi | Holo Rare | $30.49 | 1 in 52 (1.92%) | $19326.84 |
| Lucario GL | Holo Rare | $30.28 | 1 in 52 (1.92%) | $19326.84 |
| Eevee | Common | $29.83 | 1 in 7 (15.15%) | $2453.02 |
| Leafeon | Uncommon | $27.19 | 1 in 11 (9.38%) | $3964.48 |
| Flygon | Holo Rare | $26.35 | 1 in 52 (1.92%) | $19326.84 |
| Flygon | Holo Rare | $25.36 | 1 in 52 (1.92%) | $19326.84 |
| Gallade E4 | Rare | $25.00 | 1 in 36 (2.78%) | $13379.45 |
| Lucario GL | Holo Rare | $24.74 | 1 in 52 (1.92%) | $19326.84 |
| Machamp GL | Uncommon | $22.65 | 1 in 11 (9.38%) | $3964.48 |
| Luxray GL | Holo Rare | $22.63 | 1 in 52 (1.92%) | $19326.84 |
| Scizor E4 | Uncommon | $22.00 | 1 in 11 (9.38%) | $3964.48 |
| Luxray GL | Holo Rare | $21.92 | 1 in 52 (1.92%) | $19326.84 |
| Espeon E4 | Rare | $18.39 | 1 in 36 (2.78%) | $13379.45 |
| Quagsire GL | Common | $18.33 | 1 in 7 (15.15%) | $2453.02 |
| Houndoom E4 | Common | $17.14 | 1 in 7 (15.15%) | $2453.02 |
| Mismagius GL | Holo Rare | $17.13 | 1 in 52 (1.92%) | $19326.84 |
| Jolteon | Rare | $16.76 | 1 in 36 (2.78%) | $13379.45 |
| Mr. Mime E4 | Rare | $16.75 | 1 in 36 (2.78%) | $13379.45 |
| Froslass GL | Holo Rare | $16.49 | 1 in 52 (1.92%) | $19326.84 |
| Infernape E4 | Uncommon | $16.14 | 1 in 11 (9.38%) | $3964.48 |
| Bastiodon GL | Holo Rare | $15.90 | 1 in 52 (1.92%) | $19326.84 |
| Snorlax (81) | Common | $15.29 | 1 in 7 (15.15%) | $2453.02 |
| Mamoswine GL | Rare | $15.06 | 1 in 36 (2.78%) | $13379.45 |
| Steelix GL | Uncommon | $14.83 | 1 in 11 (9.38%) | $3964.48 |
| Growlithe | Common | $14.57 | 1 in 7 (15.15%) | $2453.02 |
| Nidoking | Rare | $14.28 | 1 in 36 (2.78%) | $13379.45 |
| Rampardos GL | Holo Rare | $14.08 | 1 in 52 (1.92%) | $19326.84 |
| Flareon | Rare | $13.98 | 1 in 36 (2.78%) | $13379.45 |
| Nidorino | Common | $13.32 | 1 in 7 (15.15%) | $2453.02 |
| Vaporeon | Rare | $13.24 | 1 in 36 (2.78%) | $13379.45 |
| Yanmega E4 | Rare | $12.99 | 1 in 36 (2.78%) | $13379.45 |
| Walrein | Rare | $12.65 | 1 in 36 (2.78%) | $13379.45 |
| Mismagius GL | Holo Rare | $12.26 | 1 in 52 (1.92%) | $19326.84 |
| Koffing | Common | $12.24 | 1 in 7 (15.15%) | $2453.02 |
| Bastiodon GL | Holo Rare | $12.16 | 1 in 52 (1.92%) | $19326.84 |
| Froslass GL | Holo Rare | $12.02 | 1 in 52 (1.92%) | $19326.84 |
| Munchlax (69) | Common | $12.02 | 1 in 7 (15.15%) | $2453.02 |
| Munchlax (70) | Common | $11.48 | 1 in 7 (15.15%) | $2453.02 |
| Floatzel GL | Holo Rare | $10.22 | 1 in 52 (1.92%) | $19326.84 |
| Gastrodon West Sea | Rare | $9.69 | 1 in 36 (2.78%) | $13379.45 |
| Rampardos GL | Holo Rare | $9.61 | 1 in 52 (1.92%) | $19326.84 |
| Nidoqueen | Rare | $9.03 | 1 in 36 (2.78%) | $13379.45 |
| Hippopotas | Common | $8.99 | 1 in 7 (15.15%) | $2453.02 |
| Shellos West Sea | Common | $8.99 | 1 in 7 (15.15%) | $2453.02 |
| Heracross E4 | Rare | $8.85 | 1 in 36 (2.78%) | $13379.45 |
| Roserade GL | Holo Rare | $8.49 | 1 in 52 (1.92%) | $19326.84 |
| Vespiquen E4 | Rare | $8.37 | 1 in 36 (2.78%) | $13379.45 |
| Aerodactyl GL | Common | $8.26 | 1 in 7 (15.15%) | $2453.02 |
| Floatzel GL | Holo Rare | $7.97 | 1 in 52 (1.92%) | $19326.84 |
| Raichu GL | Rare | $7.62 | 1 in 36 (2.78%) | $13379.45 |
| Alakazam E4 | Uncommon | $7.54 | 1 in 11 (9.38%) | $3964.48 |
| Glaceon | Uncommon | $7.46 | 1 in 11 (9.38%) | $3964.48 |
| Nidoking | Rare | $7.43 | 1 in 36 (2.78%) | $13379.45 |
| Drapion E4 | Rare | $7.37 | 1 in 36 (2.78%) | $13379.45 |
| Trapinch | Common | $7.36 | 1 in 7 (15.15%) | $2453.02 |
| Golem E4 | Rare | $6.50 | 1 in 36 (2.78%) | $13379.45 |
| Kecleon | Common | $6.34 | 1 in 7 (15.15%) | $2453.02 |
| Roserade GL | Holo Rare | $5.82 | 1 in 52 (1.92%) | $19326.84 |
| Weezing | Common | $5.67 | 1 in 7 (15.15%) | $2453.02 |
| Gliscor E4 | Common | $5.49 | 1 in 7 (15.15%) | $2453.02 |
| Team Galactic's Invention G-109 SP Radar | Uncommon | $5.26 | 1 in 11 (9.38%) | $3964.48 |
| Rapidash E4 | Uncommon | $5.20 | 1 in 11 (9.38%) | $3964.48 |
| Nidoran F | Common | $5.08 | 1 in 7 (15.15%) | $2453.02 |
| Sharpedo | Uncommon | $5.07 | 1 in 11 (9.38%) | $3964.48 |
| Gastrodon East Sea | Rare | $4.95 | 1 in 36 (2.78%) | $13379.45 |
| Shiftry | Holo Rare | $4.85 | 1 in 52 (1.92%) | $19326.84 |
| Aggron | Rare | $4.71 | 1 in 36 (2.78%) | $13379.45 |
| Nidoqueen | Rare | $4.54 | 1 in 36 (2.78%) | $13379.45 |
| Ambipom G | Common | $4.48 | 1 in 7 (15.15%) | $2453.02 |
| Gastrodon West Sea | Rare | $4.29 | 1 in 36 (2.78%) | $13379.45 |
| Bebe's Search | Uncommon | $4.25 | 1 in 11 (9.38%) | $3964.48 |
| Forretress G | Common | $4.02 | 1 in 7 (15.15%) | $2453.02 |
| Eevee | Common | $4.01 | 1 in 7 (15.15%) | $2453.02 |
| Shiftry | Holo Rare | $3.73 | 1 in 52 (1.92%) | $19326.84 |
| Aggron | Rare | $3.69 | 1 in 36 (2.78%) | $13379.45 |
| Aron | Common | $3.66 | 1 in 7 (15.15%) | $2453.02 |
| Leafeon | Uncommon | $3.58 | 1 in 11 (9.38%) | $3964.48 |
| Gallade E4 | Rare | $3.57 | 1 in 36 (2.78%) | $13379.45 |
| Spheal | Common | $3.56 | 1 in 7 (15.15%) | $2453.02 |
| Lucian's Assignment | Uncommon | $3.49 | 1 in 11 (9.38%) | $3964.48 |
| Bertha's Warmth | Uncommon | $3.37 | 1 in 11 (9.38%) | $3964.48 |
| Flareon E4 | Common | $3.34 | 1 in 7 (15.15%) | $2453.02 |
| Weedle | Common | $3.34 | 1 in 7 (15.15%) | $2453.02 |
| Pokemon Contest Hall | Uncommon | $3.27 | 1 in 11 (9.38%) | $3964.48 |
| Nidorina | Common | $3.20 | 1 in 7 (15.15%) | $2453.02 |
| Beedrill | Rare | $3.00 | 1 in 36 (2.78%) | $13379.45 |
| Seedot | Common | $2.98 | 1 in 7 (15.15%) | $2453.02 |
| Electrode G | Uncommon | $2.92 | 1 in 11 (9.38%) | $3964.48 |
| Scizor E4 | Uncommon | $2.77 | 1 in 11 (9.38%) | $3964.48 |
| Hippowdon | Rare | $2.73 | 1 in 36 (2.78%) | $13379.45 |
| Sealeo | Common | $2.72 | 1 in 7 (15.15%) | $2453.02 |
| Tropius | Uncommon | $2.62 | 1 in 11 (9.38%) | $3964.48 |
| Bronzong E4 | Rare | $2.46 | 1 in 36 (2.78%) | $13379.45 |
| Shellos East Sea | Common | $2.43 | 1 in 7 (15.15%) | $2453.02 |
| Gastrodon East Sea | Rare | $2.42 | 1 in 36 (2.78%) | $13379.45 |
| Rhyperior E4 | Rare | $2.42 | 1 in 36 (2.78%) | $13379.45 |
| Starmie | Uncommon | $2.42 | 1 in 11 (9.38%) | $3964.48 |
| Underground Expedition | Uncommon | $2.42 | 1 in 11 (9.38%) | $3964.48 |
| Houndoom E4 | Common | $2.36 | 1 in 7 (15.15%) | $2453.02 |
| Walrein | Rare | $2.36 | 1 in 36 (2.78%) | $13379.45 |
| Golem E4 | Rare | $2.22 | 1 in 36 (2.78%) | $13379.45 |
| Mamoswine GL | Rare | $2.11 | 1 in 36 (2.78%) | $13379.45 |
| Darkness Energy (Special) | Uncommon | $2.09 | 1 in 11 (9.38%) | $3964.48 |
| Nuzleaf | Common | $2.08 | 1 in 7 (15.15%) | $2453.02 |
| Whiscash E4 | Uncommon | $2.08 | 1 in 11 (9.38%) | $3964.48 |
| Lairon | Uncommon | $2.07 | 1 in 11 (9.38%) | $3964.48 |
| Yanmega E4 | Rare | $2.04 | 1 in 36 (2.78%) | $13379.45 |
| Drapion E4 | Rare | $1.89 | 1 in 36 (2.78%) | $13379.45 |
| Kakuna | Common | $1.89 | 1 in 7 (15.15%) | $2453.02 |
| Quagsire GL | Common | $1.85 | 1 in 7 (15.15%) | $2453.02 |
| Turtwig GL | Common | $1.84 | 1 in 7 (15.15%) | $2453.02 |
| Hippowdon E4 | Uncommon | $1.77 | 1 in 11 (9.38%) | $3964.48 |
| Sunyshore City Gym | Uncommon | $1.77 | 1 in 11 (9.38%) | $3964.48 |
| Staryu | Common | $1.74 | 1 in 7 (15.15%) | $2453.02 |
| Growlithe | Common | $1.58 | 1 in 7 (15.15%) | $2453.02 |
| Infernape E4 | Uncommon | $1.57 | 1 in 11 (9.38%) | $3964.48 |
| Vibrava | Uncommon | $1.54 | 1 in 11 (9.38%) | $3964.48 |
| Vespiquen E4 | Rare | $1.53 | 1 in 36 (2.78%) | $13379.45 |
| Carvanha | Common | $1.48 | 1 in 7 (15.15%) | $2453.02 |
| Volkner's Philosophy | Uncommon | $1.47 | 1 in 11 (9.38%) | $3964.48 |
| Bronzong E4 | Rare | $1.43 | 1 in 36 (2.78%) | $13379.45 |
| Team Galactic's Invention G-107 Technical Machine G | Uncommon | $1.43 | 1 in 11 (9.38%) | $3964.48 |
| Nidoran M | Common | $1.37 | 1 in 7 (15.15%) | $2453.02 |
| Mr. Mime E4 | Rare | $1.35 | 1 in 36 (2.78%) | $13379.45 |
| Machamp GL | Uncommon | $1.29 | 1 in 11 (9.38%) | $3964.48 |
| Upper Energy | Uncommon | $1.23 | 1 in 11 (9.38%) | $3964.48 |
| Rapidash E4 | Uncommon | $1.21 | 1 in 11 (9.38%) | $3964.48 |
| Sharpedo | Uncommon | $1.19 | 1 in 11 (9.38%) | $3964.48 |
| Beedrill | Rare | $1.15 | 1 in 36 (2.78%) | $13379.45 |
| Koffing | Common | $1.12 | 1 in 7 (15.15%) | $2453.02 |
| Steelix GL | Uncommon | $1.09 | 1 in 11 (9.38%) | $3964.48 |
| Rhyperior E4 | Rare | $1.05 | 1 in 36 (2.78%) | $13379.45 |
| SP Energy | Uncommon | $0.99 | 1 in 11 (9.38%) | $3964.48 |
| Hippowdon | Rare | $0.98 | 1 in 36 (2.78%) | $13379.45 |
| Flint's Willpower | Uncommon | $0.81 | 1 in 11 (9.38%) | $3964.48 |
| Aerodactyl GL | Common | $0.77 | 1 in 7 (15.15%) | $2453.02 |
| Team Galactic's Invention G-109 SP Radar | Uncommon | $0.76 | 1 in 11 (9.38%) | $3964.48 |
| Nidoran F | Common | $0.75 | 1 in 7 (15.15%) | $2453.02 |
| Aaron's Collection | Uncommon | $0.74 | 1 in 11 (9.38%) | $3964.48 |
| Metal Energy (Special) | Uncommon | $0.73 | 1 in 11 (9.38%) | $3964.48 |
| Starmie | Uncommon | $0.71 | 1 in 11 (9.38%) | $3964.48 |
| Aaron's Collection | Uncommon | $0.69 | 1 in 11 (9.38%) | $3964.48 |
| Whiscash E4 | Uncommon | $0.67 | 1 in 11 (9.38%) | $3964.48 |
| Aron | Common | $0.64 | 1 in 7 (15.15%) | $2453.02 |
| Shellos West Sea | Common | $0.60 | 1 in 7 (15.15%) | $2453.02 |
| Kecleon | Common | $0.58 | 1 in 7 (15.15%) | $2453.02 |
| Hippowdon E4 | Uncommon | $0.57 | 1 in 11 (9.38%) | $3964.48 |
| Upper Energy | Uncommon | $0.55 | 1 in 11 (9.38%) | $3964.48 |
| SP Energy | Uncommon | $0.54 | 1 in 11 (9.38%) | $3964.48 |
| Lairon | Uncommon | $0.53 | 1 in 11 (9.38%) | $3964.48 |
| Volkner's Philosophy | Uncommon | $0.49 | 1 in 11 (9.38%) | $3964.48 |
| Bebe's Search | Uncommon | $0.48 | 1 in 11 (9.38%) | $3964.48 |
| Sealeo | Common | $0.48 | 1 in 7 (15.15%) | $2453.02 |
| Bertha's Warmth | Uncommon | $0.45 | 1 in 11 (9.38%) | $3964.48 |
| Electrode G | Uncommon | $0.44 | 1 in 11 (9.38%) | $3964.48 |
| Gliscor E4 | Common | $0.44 | 1 in 7 (15.15%) | $2453.02 |
| Hippopotas | Common | $0.41 | 1 in 7 (15.15%) | $2453.02 |
| Trapinch | Common | $0.40 | 1 in 7 (15.15%) | $2453.02 |
| Tropius | Uncommon | $0.40 | 1 in 11 (9.38%) | $3964.48 |
| Kakuna | Common | $0.38 | 1 in 7 (15.15%) | $2453.02 |
| Lucian's Assignment | Uncommon | $0.38 | 1 in 11 (9.38%) | $3964.48 |
| Ambipom G | Common | $0.37 | 1 in 7 (15.15%) | $2453.02 |
| Flint's Willpower | Uncommon | $0.37 | 1 in 11 (9.38%) | $3964.48 |
| Nidorina | Common | $0.37 | 1 in 7 (15.15%) | $2453.02 |
| Nidorino | Common | $0.37 | 1 in 7 (15.15%) | $2453.02 |
| Weezing | Common | $0.37 | 1 in 7 (15.15%) | $2453.02 |
| Forretress G | Common | $0.36 | 1 in 7 (15.15%) | $2453.02 |
| Vibrava | Uncommon | $0.36 | 1 in 11 (9.38%) | $3964.48 |
| Darkness Energy (Special) | Uncommon | $0.33 | 1 in 11 (9.38%) | $3964.48 |
| Nuzleaf | Common | $0.32 | 1 in 7 (15.15%) | $2453.02 |
| Underground Expedition | Uncommon | $0.32 | 1 in 11 (9.38%) | $3964.48 |
| Metal Energy (Special) | Uncommon | $0.31 | 1 in 11 (9.38%) | $3964.48 |
| Staryu | Common | $0.31 | 1 in 7 (15.15%) | $2453.02 |
| Carvanha | Common | $0.30 | 1 in 7 (15.15%) | $2453.02 |
| Weedle | Common | $0.30 | 1 in 7 (15.15%) | $2453.02 |
| Pokemon Contest Hall | Uncommon | $0.29 | 1 in 11 (9.38%) | $3964.48 |
| Seedot | Common | $0.29 | 1 in 7 (15.15%) | $2453.02 |
| Sunyshore City Gym | Uncommon | $0.29 | 1 in 11 (9.38%) | $3964.48 |
| Nidoran M | Common | $0.28 | 1 in 7 (15.15%) | $2453.02 |
| Team Galactic's Invention G-107 Technical Machine G | Uncommon | $0.28 | 1 in 11 (9.38%) | $3964.48 |