Sets / SM - Forbidden Light

SM - Forbidden Light

A $34.70 SM - Forbidden Light pack returns $10.70 in expected card value on average — 31% of what you paid.

No official TCGPlayer pull-rate article covers SM - Forbidden Light, so these odds come from elitefourum.com, which discloses a 1,264-pack sample. A stated count is the difference between a measured rate and a confident guess, so it is recorded here whenever a source gives one.

How these figures are calculated, including the sourcing bar and what this model deliberately does not do.

Products in this set

ProductPriceExpected valueExpected return
Dusk Mane Necrozma Premium Collection$173.50$53.5131%
Forces of Nature GX Premium Collection$265.00$64.2224%
Forbidden Light Booster Box$1666.65$385.2923%
Forbidden Light Booster Pack$51.94$10.7021%
Forbidden Light Single Pack Blister [Rockruff]$68.50$10.7016%
Forbidden Light Elite Trainer Box$726.69$96.3213%
Dawn Wings Necrozma Premium Collection—$53.51TBD
Forbidden Light Single Pack Blister [Exeggcute]—$10.70TBD
Forbidden Light Sleeved Booster Pack—$10.70TBD
Forbidden Light 3 Pack Blister [Regigigas]—$32.11TBD
Forbidden Light 3 Pack Blister [Garbodor]—$32.11TBD

Where to buy

Dusk Mane Necrozma Premium Collection · Forces of Nature GX Premium Collection · Forbidden Light Booster Box · Forbidden Light Booster Pack · Forbidden Light Single Pack Blister [Rockruff] · Forbidden Light Elite Trainer Box · Dawn Wings Necrozma Premium Collection · Forbidden Light Single Pack Blister [Exeggcute] · Forbidden Light Sleeved Booster Pack · Forbidden Light 3 Pack Blister [Regigigas] · Forbidden Light 3 Pack Blister [Garbodor]

Expected return by product type

ProductPrice per packExpected return
Booster Box$46.3023%
Booster Pack$51.9421%
Elite Trainer Box$80.7413%

Pull rates (source: community_estimate)

RarityPull rateSample
Secret Rare0.71%n=1264
Ultra Rare3.56%n=1264
Prism Rare7.91%n=1264
Holo Rare18.87%
Rare66.67%
Common500%
Uncommon300%

Cards & odds

CardRarityMarket priceOddsCost to pull
Lucario GX (Secret)Secret Rare$138.761 in 2113 (0.05%)$73309.86
Greninja GX (Secret)Secret Rare$128.421 in 2113 (0.05%)$73309.86
Dialga GX (Secret)Secret Rare$78.961 in 2113 (0.05%)$73309.86
Xerneas GX (Secret)Secret Rare$66.811 in 2113 (0.05%)$73309.86
Greninja GX (Full Art)Ultra Rare$64.471 in 590 (0.17%)$20469.10
Zygarde GX (Secret)Secret Rare$62.511 in 2113 (0.05%)$73309.86
Yveltal GX (Secret)Secret Rare$58.281 in 2113 (0.05%)$73309.86
Arceus Prism StarPrism Rare$45.001 in 63 (1.58%)$2193.43
Ultra Necrozma GX (Secret)Secret Rare$43.311 in 2113 (0.05%)$73309.86
Palkia GX (Secret)Secret Rare$42.521 in 2113 (0.05%)$73309.86
Diantha (Full Art)Ultra Rare$40.151 in 590 (0.17%)$20469.10
Bonnie (Full Art)Ultra Rare$37.881 in 590 (0.17%)$20469.10
Lucario GX (Full Art)Ultra Rare$37.301 in 590 (0.17%)$20469.10
Energy Recycler (Secret)Secret Rare$35.571 in 2113 (0.05%)$73309.86
Dialga GX (Full Art)Ultra Rare$34.901 in 590 (0.17%)$20469.10
Xerneas GX (Full Art)Ultra Rare$33.231 in 590 (0.17%)$20469.10
Ultra Necrozma GX (Full Art)Ultra Rare$29.611 in 590 (0.17%)$20469.10
Unit Energy FDY (Secret)Secret Rare$25.151 in 2113 (0.05%)$73309.86
Naganadel GX (Secret)Secret Rare$22.311 in 2113 (0.05%)$73309.86
Ultra Recon Squad (Full Art)Ultra Rare$21.431 in 590 (0.17%)$20469.10
Yveltal GX (Full Art)Ultra Rare$20.621 in 590 (0.17%)$20469.10
Palkia GX (Full Art)Ultra Rare$20.551 in 590 (0.17%)$20469.10
Diancie Prism StarPrism Rare$20.051 in 63 (1.58%)$2193.43
Mysterious Treasure (Secret)Secret Rare$20.011 in 2113 (0.05%)$73309.86
Greninja GXUltra Rare$19.951 in 590 (0.17%)$20469.10
Zygarde GX (Full Art)Ultra Rare$19.421 in 590 (0.17%)$20469.10
Volcanion Prism StarPrism Rare$13.891 in 63 (1.58%)$2193.43
Zygarde GXUltra Rare$13.531 in 590 (0.17%)$20469.10
Xerneas GXUltra Rare$12.891 in 590 (0.17%)$20469.10
Yveltal GXUltra Rare$12.791 in 590 (0.17%)$20469.10
Naganadel GX (Full Art)Ultra Rare$12.641 in 590 (0.17%)$20469.10
Crasher Wake (Full Art)Ultra Rare$11.411 in 590 (0.17%)$20469.10
Metal Frying Pan (Secret)Secret Rare$11.051 in 2113 (0.05%)$73309.86
Beast Ring (Secret)Secret Rare$9.391 in 2113 (0.05%)$73309.86
Dialga GXUltra Rare$8.391 in 590 (0.17%)$20469.10
Palkia GXUltra Rare$7.711 in 590 (0.17%)$20469.10
Ultra Necrozma GXUltra Rare$7.391 in 590 (0.17%)$20469.10
Naganadel GXUltra Rare$6.251 in 590 (0.17%)$20469.10
Eneporter (Secret)Secret Rare$4.781 in 2113 (0.05%)$73309.86
Beast Energy Prism StarPrism Rare$2.021 in 63 (1.58%)$2193.43
Lysandre Prism StarPrism Rare$1.461 in 63 (1.58%)$2193.43
DedenneUncommon$43.571 in 12 (8.33%)$123.60
SylveonRare$23.571 in 36 (2.78%)$370.78
TyruntUncommon$12.401 in 12 (8.33%)$123.60
SylveonRare$12.051 in 36 (2.78%)$370.78
CuboneCommon$11.841 in 7 (15.15%)$67.98
PheromosaHolo Rare$10.251 in 64 (1.57%)$655.01
PheromosaHolo Rare$9.791 in 64 (1.57%)$655.01
AurorusHolo Rare$9.791 in 64 (1.57%)$655.01
TyrantrumHolo Rare$9.581 in 64 (1.57%)$655.01
EspurrCommon$8.471 in 7 (15.15%)$67.98
AurorusHolo Rare$8.431 in 64 (1.57%)$655.01
AmauraUncommon$8.421 in 12 (8.33%)$123.60
TyrantrumHolo Rare$7.571 in 64 (1.57%)$655.01
DedenneUncommon$7.061 in 12 (8.33%)$123.60
SliggooUncommon$6.331 in 12 (8.33%)$123.60
LitleoCommon$5.481 in 7 (15.15%)$67.98
GarchompHolo Rare$4.801 in 64 (1.57%)$655.01
HoopaUncommon$4.661 in 12 (8.33%)$123.60
GuzzlordHolo Rare$4.621 in 64 (1.57%)$655.01
GarchompHolo Rare$4.601 in 64 (1.57%)$655.01
XurkitreeRare$3.871 in 36 (2.78%)$370.78
Mysterious TreasureUncommon$3.751 in 12 (8.33%)$123.60
BuzzwoleRare$3.741 in 36 (2.78%)$370.78
ExeggcuteCommon$3.711 in 7 (15.15%)$67.98
RockruffCommon$3.591 in 7 (15.15%)$67.98
GuzzlordHolo Rare$3.451 in 64 (1.57%)$655.01
MeowsticRare$3.421 in 36 (2.78%)$370.78
Goomy (91)Common$3.391 in 7 (15.15%)$67.98
Mysterious TreasureUncommon$3.321 in 12 (8.33%)$123.60
BuzzwoleRare$3.111 in 36 (2.78%)$370.78
TyruntUncommon$2.931 in 12 (8.33%)$123.60
XurkitreeRare$2.781 in 36 (2.78%)$370.78
PoipoleUncommon$2.741 in 12 (8.33%)$123.60
Flabebe (84)Common$1.981 in 7 (15.15%)$67.98
Unit Energy FDYUncommon$1.971 in 12 (8.33%)$123.60
InfernapeHolo Rare$1.851 in 64 (1.57%)$655.01
GoodraHolo Rare$1.781 in 64 (1.57%)$655.01
MespritUncommon$1.761 in 12 (8.33%)$123.60
BinacleCommon$1.761 in 7 (15.15%)$67.98
CuboneCommon$1.681 in 7 (15.15%)$67.98
DelphoxHolo Rare$1.661 in 64 (1.57%)$655.01
Flabebe (83)Common$1.651 in 7 (15.15%)$67.98
Froakie (22)Common$1.561 in 7 (15.15%)$67.98
AmauraUncommon$1.431 in 12 (8.33%)$123.60
Alolan MarowakRare$1.421 in 36 (2.78%)$370.78
LycanrocRare$1.421 in 36 (2.78%)$370.78
FrogadierUncommon$1.401 in 12 (8.33%)$123.60
InfernapeHolo Rare$1.381 in 64 (1.57%)$655.01
DelphoxHolo Rare$1.281 in 64 (1.57%)$655.01
MalamarRare$1.281 in 36 (2.78%)$370.78
DianthaHolo Rare$1.281 in 64 (1.57%)$655.01
JudgeUncommon$1.261 in 12 (8.33%)$123.60
PoipoleUncommon$1.241 in 12 (8.33%)$123.60
FloetteUncommon$1.241 in 12 (8.33%)$123.60
TorterraRare$1.231 in 36 (2.78%)$370.78
GoodraHolo Rare$1.221 in 64 (1.57%)$655.01
FlorgesRare$1.211 in 36 (2.78%)$370.78
Unit Energy FDYUncommon$1.211 in 12 (8.33%)$123.60
DianthaHolo Rare$1.111 in 64 (1.57%)$655.01
LycanrocRare$1.101 in 36 (2.78%)$370.78
AvaluggRare$1.091 in 36 (2.78%)$370.78
MeowsticRare$1.051 in 36 (2.78%)$370.78
EmpoleonHolo Rare$1.021 in 64 (1.57%)$655.01
EmpoleonHolo Rare$1.021 in 64 (1.57%)$655.01
KlefkiUncommon$0.921 in 12 (8.33%)$123.60
Fossil Excavation MapUncommon$0.911 in 12 (8.33%)$123.60
LadyUncommon$0.901 in 12 (8.33%)$123.60
AzelfUncommon$0.891 in 12 (8.33%)$123.60
FlorgesRare$0.881 in 36 (2.78%)$370.78
ExeggcuteCommon$0.871 in 7 (15.15%)$67.98
Alolan MarowakRare$0.871 in 36 (2.78%)$370.78
Alolan ExeggutorRare$0.861 in 36 (2.78%)$370.78
MagnezoneHolo Rare$0.851 in 64 (1.57%)$655.01
Froakie (21)Common$0.781 in 7 (15.15%)$67.98
NoivernRare$0.781 in 36 (2.78%)$370.78
Beast RingRare$0.771 in 36 (2.78%)$370.78
Beast RingRare$0.711 in 36 (2.78%)$370.78
RotomRare$0.691 in 36 (2.78%)$370.78
TorterraRare$0.691 in 36 (2.78%)$370.78
MagnezoneHolo Rare$0.671 in 64 (1.57%)$655.01
UxieUncommon$0.671 in 12 (8.33%)$123.60
GabiteUncommon$0.671 in 12 (8.33%)$123.60
PyroarHolo Rare$0.661 in 64 (1.57%)$655.01
AvaluggRare$0.661 in 36 (2.78%)$370.78
MalamarRare$0.661 in 36 (2.78%)$370.78
InkayCommon$0.661 in 7 (15.15%)$67.98
HoopaUncommon$0.651 in 12 (8.33%)$123.60
Crasher WakeUncommon$0.651 in 12 (8.33%)$123.60
DragalgeRare$0.641 in 36 (2.78%)$370.78
VivillonRare$0.631 in 36 (2.78%)$370.78
AegislashRare$0.631 in 36 (2.78%)$370.78
LitleoCommon$0.601 in 7 (15.15%)$67.98
Goomy (92)Common$0.601 in 7 (15.15%)$67.98
Alolan ExeggutorRare$0.581 in 36 (2.78%)$370.78
BraixenUncommon$0.581 in 12 (8.33%)$123.60
Fennekin (15)Common$0.571 in 7 (15.15%)$67.98
RotomRare$0.571 in 36 (2.78%)$370.78
EspurrCommon$0.571 in 7 (15.15%)$67.98
ToxicroakRare$0.571 in 36 (2.78%)$370.78
PanchamCommon$0.571 in 7 (15.15%)$67.98
Zygarde (71)Uncommon$0.571 in 12 (8.33%)$123.60
Zygarde (72)Rare$0.571 in 36 (2.78%)$370.78
Fennekin (14)Common$0.561 in 7 (15.15%)$67.98
PangoroRare$0.561 in 36 (2.78%)$370.78
Metal Frying PanUncommon$0.561 in 12 (8.33%)$123.60
PyroarHolo Rare$0.541 in 64 (1.57%)$655.01
HawluchaUncommon$0.541 in 12 (8.33%)$123.60
Ultra SpaceUncommon$0.531 in 12 (8.33%)$123.60
Honedge (46)Common$0.521 in 7 (15.15%)$67.98
FrogadierUncommon$0.511 in 12 (8.33%)$123.60
BinacleCommon$0.511 in 7 (15.15%)$67.98
HeatranRare$0.501 in 36 (2.78%)$370.78
ClawitzerRare$0.491 in 36 (2.78%)$370.78
BergmiteCommon$0.491 in 7 (15.15%)$67.98
FloetteUncommon$0.491 in 12 (8.33%)$123.60
SpewpaUncommon$0.481 in 12 (8.33%)$123.60
FurfrouCommon$0.481 in 7 (15.15%)$67.98
NoivernRare$0.481 in 36 (2.78%)$370.78
Scatterbug (5)Common$0.471 in 7 (15.15%)$67.98
GogoatUncommon$0.471 in 12 (8.33%)$123.60
MagnetonUncommon$0.471 in 12 (8.33%)$123.60
HelioptileCommon$0.471 in 7 (15.15%)$67.98
NoibatCommon$0.471 in 7 (15.15%)$67.98
GibleCommon$0.461 in 7 (15.15%)$67.98
BonnieUncommon$0.461 in 12 (8.33%)$123.60
Ultra Recon SquadUncommon$0.461 in 12 (8.33%)$123.60
DragalgeRare$0.451 in 36 (2.78%)$370.78
AbomasnowRare$0.431 in 36 (2.78%)$370.78
DewpiderCommon$0.431 in 7 (15.15%)$67.98
MagnemiteCommon$0.431 in 7 (15.15%)$67.98
BarbaracleRare$0.431 in 36 (2.78%)$370.78
Flabebe (83)Common$0.431 in 7 (15.15%)$67.98
InkayCommon$0.431 in 7 (15.15%)$67.98
HelioliskUncommon$0.421 in 12 (8.33%)$123.60
RockruffCommon$0.421 in 7 (15.15%)$67.98
AraquanidUncommon$0.411 in 12 (8.33%)$123.60
AegislashRare$0.411 in 36 (2.78%)$370.78
BunnelbyCommon$0.411 in 7 (15.15%)$67.98
DiggersbyUncommon$0.411 in 12 (8.33%)$123.60
Scatterbug (6)Common$0.401 in 7 (15.15%)$67.98
SkiddoCommon$0.401 in 7 (15.15%)$67.98
DoubladeUncommon$0.401 in 12 (8.33%)$123.60
SkrelpCommon$0.401 in 7 (15.15%)$67.98
Zygarde (72)Rare$0.401 in 36 (2.78%)$370.78
KlefkiUncommon$0.401 in 12 (8.33%)$123.60
Unidentified FossilUncommon$0.401 in 12 (8.33%)$123.60
ClauncherCommon$0.391 in 7 (15.15%)$67.98
Flabebe (84)Common$0.391 in 7 (15.15%)$67.98
Fossil Excavation MapUncommon$0.391 in 12 (8.33%)$123.60
CroagunkCommon$0.381 in 7 (15.15%)$67.98
PangoroRare$0.381 in 36 (2.78%)$370.78
MespritUncommon$0.361 in 12 (8.33%)$123.60
GabiteUncommon$0.361 in 12 (8.33%)$123.60
FurfrouCommon$0.361 in 7 (15.15%)$67.98
ClawitzerRare$0.351 in 36 (2.78%)$370.78
AzelfUncommon$0.351 in 12 (8.33%)$123.60
Honedge (47)Common$0.351 in 7 (15.15%)$67.98
Lysandre LabsUncommon$0.351 in 12 (8.33%)$123.60
SnoverCommon$0.341 in 7 (15.15%)$67.98
VivillonRare$0.341 in 36 (2.78%)$370.78
Froakie (21)Common$0.341 in 7 (15.15%)$67.98
BarbaracleRare$0.341 in 36 (2.78%)$370.78
Goomy (92)Common$0.341 in 7 (15.15%)$67.98
HeatranRare$0.331 in 36 (2.78%)$370.78
Fennekin (14)Common$0.331 in 7 (15.15%)$67.98
Froakie (22)Common$0.331 in 7 (15.15%)$67.98
GibleCommon$0.331 in 7 (15.15%)$67.98
SliggooUncommon$0.321 in 12 (8.33%)$123.60
JudgeUncommon$0.321 in 12 (8.33%)$123.60
Lysandre LabsUncommon$0.321 in 12 (8.33%)$123.60
Metal Frying PanUncommon$0.311 in 12 (8.33%)$123.60
Fennekin (15)Common$0.301 in 7 (15.15%)$67.98
DoubladeUncommon$0.301 in 12 (8.33%)$123.60
ToxicroakRare$0.301 in 36 (2.78%)$370.78
HawluchaUncommon$0.291 in 12 (8.33%)$123.60
Zygarde (71)Uncommon$0.291 in 12 (8.33%)$123.60
EneporterUncommon$0.291 in 12 (8.33%)$123.60
Unidentified FossilUncommon$0.281 in 12 (8.33%)$123.60
Crasher WakeUncommon$0.281 in 12 (8.33%)$123.60
Goomy (91)Common$0.271 in 7 (15.15%)$67.98
NoibatCommon$0.271 in 7 (15.15%)$67.98
LadyUncommon$0.271 in 12 (8.33%)$123.60
Ultra Recon SquadUncommon$0.271 in 12 (8.33%)$123.60
Ultra SpaceUncommon$0.271 in 12 (8.33%)$123.60
AbomasnowRare$0.261 in 36 (2.78%)$370.78
Scatterbug (5)Common$0.261 in 7 (15.15%)$67.98
AraquanidUncommon$0.261 in 12 (8.33%)$123.60
MagnemiteCommon$0.251 in 7 (15.15%)$67.98
HelioptileCommon$0.251 in 7 (15.15%)$67.98
DewpiderCommon$0.241 in 7 (15.15%)$67.98
PanchamCommon$0.241 in 7 (15.15%)$67.98
UxieUncommon$0.231 in 12 (8.33%)$123.60
SkrelpCommon$0.231 in 7 (15.15%)$67.98
SpewpaUncommon$0.221 in 12 (8.33%)$123.60
MagnetonUncommon$0.221 in 12 (8.33%)$123.60
Honedge (46)Common$0.221 in 7 (15.15%)$67.98
GogoatUncommon$0.211 in 12 (8.33%)$123.60
HelioliskUncommon$0.211 in 12 (8.33%)$123.60
Scatterbug (6)Common$0.201 in 7 (15.15%)$67.98
SkiddoCommon$0.201 in 7 (15.15%)$67.98
Honedge (47)Common$0.201 in 7 (15.15%)$67.98
DiggersbyUncommon$0.201 in 12 (8.33%)$123.60
SnoverCommon$0.191 in 7 (15.15%)$67.98
BergmiteCommon$0.181 in 7 (15.15%)$67.98
EneporterUncommon$0.181 in 12 (8.33%)$123.60
BraixenUncommon$0.171 in 12 (8.33%)$123.60
CroagunkCommon$0.161 in 7 (15.15%)$67.98
BunnelbyCommon$0.161 in 7 (15.15%)$67.98
BonnieUncommon$0.151 in 12 (8.33%)$123.60
ClauncherCommon$0.131 in 7 (15.15%)$67.98