Sets / SM - Guardians Rising

SM - Guardians Rising

A $29.58 SM - Guardians Rising pack returns $4.94 in expected card value on average — 17% of what you paid.

No official TCGPlayer pull-rate article covers SM - Guardians Rising, so these odds come from elitefourum.com, which discloses a 2,088-pack sample. A stated count is the difference between a measured rate and a confident guess, so it is recorded here whenever a source gives one.

How these figures are calculated, including the sourcing bar and what this model deliberately does not do.

Products in this set

ProductPriceExpected valueExpected return
Guardians Rising 3 Pack Blister [Turtonator]$88.74$14.8317%
Guardians Rising Sleeved Booster Pack$37.79$4.9413%
Guardians Rising Booster Pack$38.11$4.9413%
Guardians Rising Single Pack Blister [Tsareena]$38.18$4.9413%
Guardians Rising Single Pack Blister [Lurantis]$38.68$4.9413%
Guardians Rising Booster Box$1881.33$177.959%
Guardians Rising Elite Trainer Box$470.96$44.499%
Primarina GX Premium Collection$337.99$29.669%
Island Guardians Tin [Tapu Koko GX]$175.00$14.838%
Umbreon GX Premium Collection$800.00$29.664%
Guardians Rising Single Pack Blister [Alolan Persian]—$4.94TBD
Triple Effect Tin [Vaporeon]—$14.83TBD
Guardians Rising Single Pack Blister [Crobat]—$4.94TBD
Espeon GX Premium Collection—$29.66TBD
Triple Effect Tin [Flareon]—$14.83TBD
Island Guardians Tin [Tapu Bulu GX]—$14.83TBD
Triple Effect Tin [Jolteon]—$14.83TBD
Guardians Rising 3 Pack Blister [Vikavolt]—$14.83TBD
Incineroar GX Premium Collection—$29.66TBD
Decidueye GX Premium Collection—$29.66TBD

Where to buy

Guardians Rising 3 Pack Blister [Turtonator] · Guardians Rising Sleeved Booster Pack · Guardians Rising Booster Pack · Guardians Rising Single Pack Blister [Tsareena] · Guardians Rising Single Pack Blister [Lurantis] · Guardians Rising Booster Box · Guardians Rising Elite Trainer Box · Primarina GX Premium Collection · Island Guardians Tin [Tapu Koko GX] · Umbreon GX Premium Collection · Guardians Rising Single Pack Blister [Alolan Persian] · Triple Effect Tin [Vaporeon] · Guardians Rising Single Pack Blister [Crobat] · Espeon GX Premium Collection · Triple Effect Tin [Flareon] · Island Guardians Tin [Tapu Bulu GX] · Triple Effect Tin [Jolteon] · Guardians Rising 3 Pack Blister [Vikavolt] · Incineroar GX Premium Collection · Decidueye GX Premium Collection

Expected return by product type

ProductPrice per packExpected return
Booster Pack$37.7913%
Booster Box$52.269%
Elite Trainer Box$52.339%

Pull rates (source: community_estimate)

RarityPull rateSample
Secret Rare0.81%n=2088
Ultra Rare3.59%n=2088
Holo Rare15.63%
Rare66.67%
Common500%
Uncommon300%

Cards & odds

CardRarityMarket priceOddsCost to pull
Sylveon GX (Secret)Secret Rare$184.421 in 2963 (0.034%)$87644.44
Alolan Ninetales GX (Secret)Secret Rare$90.861 in 2963 (0.034%)$87644.44
Sylveon GX (Full Art)Ultra Rare$69.951 in 752 (0.13%)$22246.80
Primarina GX (Secret)Secret Rare$48.371 in 2963 (0.034%)$87644.44
Metagross GX (Secret)Secret Rare$43.421 in 2963 (0.034%)$87644.44
Tapu Lele GX (Secret)Secret Rare$37.841 in 2963 (0.034%)$87644.44
Decidueye GX (Secret)Secret Rare$36.641 in 2963 (0.034%)$87644.44
Incineroar GX (Secret)Secret Rare$34.861 in 2963 (0.034%)$87644.44
Mallow (Full Art)Ultra Rare$34.431 in 752 (0.13%)$22246.80
Alolan Ninetales GX (Full Art)Ultra Rare$28.331 in 752 (0.13%)$22246.80
Lycanroc GX (Secret)Secret Rare$26.991 in 2963 (0.034%)$87644.44
Fighting Energy (Secret)Secret Rare$25.671 in 2963 (0.034%)$87644.44
Rare Candy (Secret)Secret Rare$25.271 in 2963 (0.034%)$87644.44
Sylveon GXUltra Rare$23.701 in 752 (0.13%)$22246.80
Grass Energy (Secret)Secret Rare$22.631 in 2963 (0.034%)$87644.44
Lightning Energy (Secret)Secret Rare$22.171 in 2963 (0.034%)$87644.44
Hau (Full Art)Ultra Rare$21.851 in 752 (0.13%)$22246.80
Wishiwashi GX (Secret)Secret Rare$20.421 in 2963 (0.034%)$87644.44
Field Blower (Secret)Secret Rare$18.141 in 2963 (0.034%)$87644.44
Kommo-o GX (Secret)Secret Rare$17.721 in 2963 (0.034%)$87644.44
Drampa GX (Secret)Secret Rare$17.261 in 2963 (0.034%)$87644.44
Tapu Koko GX (Secret)Secret Rare$15.341 in 2963 (0.034%)$87644.44
Metagross GX (Full Art)Ultra Rare$14.371 in 752 (0.13%)$22246.80
Double Colorless Energy (Secret)Secret Rare$14.101 in 2963 (0.034%)$87644.44
Vikavolt GX (Secret)Secret Rare$12.131 in 2963 (0.034%)$87644.44
Turtonator GX (Secret)Secret Rare$11.431 in 2963 (0.034%)$87644.44
Toxapex GX (Secret)Secret Rare$10.331 in 2963 (0.034%)$87644.44
Tapu Lele GX (Full Art)Ultra Rare$9.341 in 752 (0.13%)$22246.80
Enhanced Hammer (Secret)Secret Rare$8.061 in 2963 (0.034%)$87644.44
Alolan Ninetales GXUltra Rare$7.691 in 752 (0.13%)$22246.80
Tapu Koko GX (Full Art)Ultra Rare$7.271 in 752 (0.13%)$22246.80
Aqua Patch (Secret)Secret Rare$6.791 in 2963 (0.034%)$87644.44
Max Potion (Secret)Secret Rare$6.641 in 2963 (0.034%)$87644.44
Tapu Lele GXUltra Rare$6.291 in 752 (0.13%)$22246.80
Kommo-o GX (Full Art)Ultra Rare$5.781 in 752 (0.13%)$22246.80
Drampa GX (Full Art)Ultra Rare$5.171 in 752 (0.13%)$22246.80
Wishiwashi GX (Full Art)Ultra Rare$5.151 in 752 (0.13%)$22246.80
Lycanroc GX (Full Art)Ultra Rare$5.151 in 752 (0.13%)$22246.80
Toxapex GX (Full Art)Ultra Rare$4.981 in 752 (0.13%)$22246.80
Hala (Full Art)Ultra Rare$4.681 in 752 (0.13%)$22246.80
Turtonator GX (Full Art)Ultra Rare$4.521 in 752 (0.13%)$22246.80
Vikavolt GX (Full Art)Ultra Rare$4.311 in 752 (0.13%)$22246.80
Kommo-o GXUltra Rare$3.511 in 752 (0.13%)$22246.80
Metagross GXUltra Rare$3.191 in 752 (0.13%)$22246.80
Lycanroc GXUltra Rare$3.001 in 752 (0.13%)$22246.80
Toxapex GXUltra Rare$2.711 in 752 (0.13%)$22246.80
Wishiwashi GXUltra Rare$2.601 in 752 (0.13%)$22246.80
Drampa GXUltra Rare$2.511 in 752 (0.13%)$22246.80
Turtonator GXUltra Rare$2.441 in 752 (0.13%)$22246.80
Vikavolt GXUltra Rare$1.911 in 752 (0.13%)$22246.80
Tapu Koko GXUltra Rare$1.591 in 752 (0.13%)$22246.80
RayquazaRare$20.111 in 37 (2.67%)$978.33
MimikyuHolo Rare$10.861 in 96 (1.04%)$2503.84
MimikyuHolo Rare$10.031 in 96 (1.04%)$2503.84
GoomyCommon$8.161 in 8 (12.5%)$208.72
WailordRare$6.661 in 37 (2.67%)$978.33
TrubbishCommon$6.291 in 8 (12.5%)$208.72
SlowpokeCommon$4.531 in 8 (12.5%)$208.72
PolitoedHolo Rare$3.281 in 96 (1.04%)$2503.84
SlowbroUncommon$3.121 in 13 (7.89%)$330.47
RayquazaRare$3.051 in 37 (2.67%)$978.33
Field BlowerUncommon$2.691 in 13 (7.89%)$330.47
ComfeyHolo Rare$2.571 in 96 (1.04%)$2503.84
Alolan VulpixCommon$2.491 in 8 (12.5%)$208.72
PolitoedHolo Rare$2.391 in 96 (1.04%)$2503.84
BlisseyHolo Rare$2.251 in 96 (1.04%)$2503.84
AbsolHolo Rare$2.231 in 96 (1.04%)$2503.84
BlisseyHolo Rare$2.231 in 96 (1.04%)$2503.84
AbsolHolo Rare$2.211 in 96 (1.04%)$2503.84
PhantumpCommon$1.791 in 8 (12.5%)$208.72
ComfeyHolo Rare$1.721 in 96 (1.04%)$2503.84
Rescue StretcherUncommon$1.711 in 13 (7.89%)$330.47
ClefableUncommon$1.561 in 13 (7.89%)$330.47
MachokeUncommon$1.551 in 13 (7.89%)$330.47
SnoruntCommon$1.541 in 8 (12.5%)$208.72
Field BlowerUncommon$1.501 in 13 (7.89%)$330.47
SliggooUncommon$1.361 in 13 (7.89%)$330.47
VictiniHolo Rare$1.351 in 96 (1.04%)$2503.84
GothitaCommon$1.321 in 8 (12.5%)$208.72
ClefairyCommon$1.321 in 8 (12.5%)$208.72
VictiniHolo Rare$1.181 in 96 (1.04%)$2503.84
TrubbishCommon$1.171 in 8 (12.5%)$208.72
Alolan SandslashRare$0.961 in 37 (2.67%)$978.33
WailordRare$0.911 in 37 (2.67%)$978.33
Hakamo-oUncommon$0.871 in 13 (7.89%)$330.47
GoomyCommon$0.841 in 8 (12.5%)$208.72
Alolan SandshrewCommon$0.811 in 8 (12.5%)$208.72
LunalaRare$0.781 in 37 (2.67%)$978.33
SolgaleoRare$0.741 in 37 (2.67%)$978.33
Alolan VulpixCommon$0.731 in 8 (12.5%)$208.72
ChanseyCommon$0.691 in 8 (12.5%)$208.72
MachampHolo Rare$0.671 in 96 (1.04%)$2503.84
Choice BandUncommon$0.671 in 13 (7.89%)$330.47
GarbodorRare$0.661 in 37 (2.67%)$978.33
GoodraHolo Rare$0.661 in 96 (1.04%)$2503.84
Brooklet HillUncommon$0.661 in 13 (7.89%)$330.47
ChandelureHolo Rare$0.651 in 96 (1.04%)$2503.84
NosepassCommon$0.651 in 8 (12.5%)$208.72
SlowbroUncommon$0.641 in 13 (7.89%)$330.47
MiniorHolo Rare$0.641 in 96 (1.04%)$2503.84
GothoritaUncommon$0.631 in 13 (7.89%)$330.47
GoodraHolo Rare$0.621 in 96 (1.04%)$2503.84
MachampHolo Rare$0.611 in 96 (1.04%)$2503.84
Alolan GolemHolo Rare$0.601 in 96 (1.04%)$2503.84
ChandelureHolo Rare$0.591 in 96 (1.04%)$2503.84
MiniorHolo Rare$0.591 in 96 (1.04%)$2503.84
GolisopodHolo Rare$0.581 in 96 (1.04%)$2503.84
LilligantRare$0.571 in 37 (2.67%)$978.33
GothitelleRare$0.561 in 37 (2.67%)$978.33
LunalaRare$0.561 in 37 (2.67%)$978.33
Rescue StretcherUncommon$0.561 in 13 (7.89%)$330.47
SharpedoRare$0.541 in 37 (2.67%)$978.33
DrampaHolo Rare$0.541 in 96 (1.04%)$2503.84
HonchkrowRare$0.531 in 37 (2.67%)$978.33
VanilliteCommon$0.521 in 8 (12.5%)$208.72
Alolan GolemHolo Rare$0.521 in 96 (1.04%)$2503.84
WhimsicottUncommon$0.521 in 13 (7.89%)$330.47
MudsdaleHolo Rare$0.511 in 96 (1.04%)$2503.84
VictreebelRare$0.501 in 37 (2.67%)$978.33
Oricorio (46)Rare$0.501 in 37 (2.67%)$978.33
WhiscashRare$0.491 in 37 (2.67%)$978.33
SableyeUncommon$0.491 in 13 (7.89%)$330.47
Aqua PatchUncommon$0.491 in 13 (7.89%)$330.47
CottoneeCommon$0.481 in 8 (12.5%)$208.72
DrampaHolo Rare$0.481 in 96 (1.04%)$2503.84
BellsproutCommon$0.471 in 8 (12.5%)$208.72
Altar of the MooneUncommon$0.471 in 13 (7.89%)$330.47
MallowUncommon$0.471 in 13 (7.89%)$330.47
PetililCommon$0.461 in 8 (12.5%)$208.72
TalonflameRare$0.461 in 37 (2.67%)$978.33
Oricorio (14)Rare$0.451 in 37 (2.67%)$978.33
SudowoodoUncommon$0.451 in 13 (7.89%)$330.47
PangoroRare$0.451 in 37 (2.67%)$978.33
CastformCommon$0.451 in 8 (12.5%)$208.72
LampentUncommon$0.441 in 13 (7.89%)$330.47
Alolan GeodudeCommon$0.441 in 8 (12.5%)$208.72
SolgaleoRare$0.441 in 37 (2.67%)$978.33
Enhanced HammerUncommon$0.431 in 13 (7.89%)$330.47
WeepinbellUncommon$0.421 in 13 (7.89%)$330.47
GolisopodHolo Rare$0.421 in 96 (1.04%)$2503.84
VanilluxeRare$0.421 in 37 (2.67%)$978.33
HelioliskRare$0.421 in 37 (2.67%)$978.33
GarbodorRare$0.421 in 37 (2.67%)$978.33
LilligantRare$0.411 in 37 (2.67%)$978.33
AlomomolaUncommon$0.411 in 13 (7.89%)$330.47
WishiwashiCommon$0.411 in 8 (12.5%)$208.72
Oricorio (55)Rare$0.411 in 37 (2.67%)$978.33
GliscorUncommon$0.411 in 13 (7.89%)$330.47
FletchlingCommon$0.411 in 8 (12.5%)$208.72
StuffulCommon$0.411 in 8 (12.5%)$208.72
Energy RecyclerUncommon$0.411 in 13 (7.89%)$330.47
VictreebelRare$0.401 in 37 (2.67%)$978.33
SalazzleRare$0.401 in 37 (2.67%)$978.33
DelibirdCommon$0.401 in 8 (12.5%)$208.72
Oricorio (55)Rare$0.401 in 37 (2.67%)$978.33
MudsdaleHolo Rare$0.401 in 96 (1.04%)$2503.84
MurkrowCommon$0.401 in 8 (12.5%)$208.72
LitwickCommon$0.391 in 8 (12.5%)$208.72
GlalieUncommon$0.391 in 13 (7.89%)$330.47
Alolan GravelerUncommon$0.391 in 13 (7.89%)$330.47
DhelmiseHolo Rare$0.391 in 96 (1.04%)$2503.84
Machop (62)Common$0.391 in 8 (12.5%)$208.72
PanchamCommon$0.391 in 8 (12.5%)$208.72
Brooklet HillUncommon$0.391 in 13 (7.89%)$330.47
WailmerCommon$0.381 in 8 (12.5%)$208.72
GothitaCommon$0.381 in 8 (12.5%)$208.72
BeldumCommon$0.381 in 8 (12.5%)$208.72
BewearUncommon$0.381 in 13 (7.89%)$330.47
SalanditCommon$0.371 in 8 (12.5%)$208.72
Alolan SandslashRare$0.371 in 37 (2.67%)$978.33
TentacruelUncommon$0.371 in 13 (7.89%)$330.47
SharpedoRare$0.371 in 37 (2.67%)$978.33
Oricorio (56)Rare$0.371 in 37 (2.67%)$978.33
DhelmiseHolo Rare$0.371 in 96 (1.04%)$2503.84
TrevenantRare$0.361 in 37 (2.67%)$978.33
Oricorio (14)Rare$0.361 in 37 (2.67%)$978.33
Oricorio (56)Rare$0.361 in 37 (2.67%)$978.33
Machop (63)Common$0.361 in 8 (12.5%)$208.72
GligarCommon$0.361 in 8 (12.5%)$208.72
RockruffCommon$0.361 in 8 (12.5%)$208.72
ProbopassRare$0.361 in 37 (2.67%)$978.33
ClefableUncommon$0.361 in 13 (7.89%)$330.47
Jangmo-oCommon$0.361 in 8 (12.5%)$208.72
TaillowCommon$0.361 in 8 (12.5%)$208.72
Energy LotoUncommon$0.361 in 13 (7.89%)$330.47
Max PotionUncommon$0.361 in 13 (7.89%)$330.47
PangoroRare$0.351 in 37 (2.67%)$978.33
MetangUncommon$0.351 in 13 (7.89%)$330.47
SliggooUncommon$0.351 in 13 (7.89%)$330.47
Aqua PatchUncommon$0.351 in 13 (7.89%)$330.47
TentacoolCommon$0.341 in 8 (12.5%)$208.72
VanillishUncommon$0.341 in 13 (7.89%)$330.47
SlowpokeCommon$0.341 in 8 (12.5%)$208.72
WhiscashRare$0.341 in 37 (2.67%)$978.33
MudbrayCommon$0.341 in 8 (12.5%)$208.72
ClefairyCommon$0.341 in 8 (12.5%)$208.72
SwellowRare$0.341 in 37 (2.67%)$978.33
Choice BandUncommon$0.341 in 13 (7.89%)$330.47
WimpodCommon$0.331 in 8 (12.5%)$208.72
HelioptileCommon$0.331 in 8 (12.5%)$208.72
WatchogUncommon$0.331 in 13 (7.89%)$330.47
TalonflameRare$0.331 in 37 (2.67%)$978.33
Aether Paradise Conservation AreaUncommon$0.331 in 13 (7.89%)$330.47
Altar of the SunneUncommon$0.331 in 13 (7.89%)$330.47
SnoruntCommon$0.321 in 8 (12.5%)$208.72
HelioliskRare$0.321 in 37 (2.67%)$978.33
Oricorio (46)Rare$0.321 in 37 (2.67%)$978.33
WhimsicottUncommon$0.321 in 13 (7.89%)$330.47
KomalaUncommon$0.321 in 13 (7.89%)$330.47
Enhanced HammerUncommon$0.321 in 13 (7.89%)$330.47
TrevenantRare$0.311 in 37 (2.67%)$978.33
SalazzleRare$0.311 in 37 (2.67%)$978.33
MareanieUncommon$0.311 in 13 (7.89%)$330.47
FletchinderUncommon$0.311 in 13 (7.89%)$330.47
Energy RecyclerUncommon$0.311 in 13 (7.89%)$330.47
Multi SwitchUncommon$0.311 in 13 (7.89%)$330.47
CarvanhaCommon$0.301 in 8 (12.5%)$208.72
VanilluxeRare$0.301 in 37 (2.67%)$978.33
HonchkrowRare$0.301 in 37 (2.67%)$978.33
SableyeUncommon$0.301 in 13 (7.89%)$330.47
PhantumpCommon$0.291 in 8 (12.5%)$208.72
LampentUncommon$0.291 in 13 (7.89%)$330.47
TurtonatorRare$0.291 in 37 (2.67%)$978.33
GothitelleRare$0.291 in 37 (2.67%)$978.33
NosepassCommon$0.291 in 8 (12.5%)$208.72
BarboachCommon$0.291 in 8 (12.5%)$208.72
LitwickCommon$0.281 in 8 (12.5%)$208.72
Jangmo-oCommon$0.281 in 8 (12.5%)$208.72
Hakamo-oUncommon$0.281 in 13 (7.89%)$330.47
HalaUncommon$0.281 in 13 (7.89%)$330.47
Alolan GravelerUncommon$0.271 in 13 (7.89%)$330.47
ProbopassRare$0.271 in 37 (2.67%)$978.33
MallowUncommon$0.271 in 13 (7.89%)$330.47
SudowoodoUncommon$0.261 in 13 (7.89%)$330.47
CottoneeCommon$0.261 in 8 (12.5%)$208.72
WishiwashiCommon$0.251 in 8 (12.5%)$208.72
GothoritaUncommon$0.251 in 13 (7.89%)$330.47
MachokeUncommon$0.251 in 13 (7.89%)$330.47
MurkrowCommon$0.251 in 8 (12.5%)$208.72
MetangUncommon$0.251 in 13 (7.89%)$330.47
SwellowRare$0.251 in 37 (2.67%)$978.33
PatratCommon$0.251 in 8 (12.5%)$208.72
WatchogUncommon$0.251 in 13 (7.89%)$330.47
WailmerCommon$0.241 in 8 (12.5%)$208.72
VanilliteCommon$0.241 in 8 (12.5%)$208.72
ChanseyCommon$0.241 in 8 (12.5%)$208.72
Altar of the MooneUncommon$0.241 in 13 (7.89%)$330.47
Max PotionUncommon$0.241 in 13 (7.89%)$330.47
WeepinbellUncommon$0.231 in 13 (7.89%)$330.47
TurtonatorRare$0.231 in 37 (2.67%)$978.33
TentacoolCommon$0.231 in 8 (12.5%)$208.72
AlomomolaUncommon$0.231 in 13 (7.89%)$330.47
Alolan GeodudeCommon$0.231 in 8 (12.5%)$208.72
SalanditCommon$0.221 in 8 (12.5%)$208.72
PanchamCommon$0.221 in 8 (12.5%)$208.72
FletchlingCommon$0.221 in 8 (12.5%)$208.72
BellsproutCommon$0.211 in 8 (12.5%)$208.72
WimpodCommon$0.211 in 8 (12.5%)$208.72
Alolan SandshrewCommon$0.211 in 8 (12.5%)$208.72
Machop (62)Common$0.211 in 8 (12.5%)$208.72
Machop (63)Common$0.211 in 8 (12.5%)$208.72
Energy LotoUncommon$0.211 in 13 (7.89%)$330.47
DelibirdCommon$0.201 in 8 (12.5%)$208.72
GlalieUncommon$0.201 in 13 (7.89%)$330.47
CastformCommon$0.201 in 8 (12.5%)$208.72
PatratCommon$0.201 in 8 (12.5%)$208.72
BewearUncommon$0.201 in 13 (7.89%)$330.47
TentacruelUncommon$0.191 in 13 (7.89%)$330.47
MareanieUncommon$0.191 in 13 (7.89%)$330.47
HelioptileCommon$0.191 in 8 (12.5%)$208.72
RockruffCommon$0.191 in 8 (12.5%)$208.72
MudbrayCommon$0.191 in 8 (12.5%)$208.72
TaillowCommon$0.191 in 8 (12.5%)$208.72
FletchinderUncommon$0.191 in 13 (7.89%)$330.47
GligarCommon$0.181 in 8 (12.5%)$208.72
StuffulCommon$0.181 in 8 (12.5%)$208.72
Altar of the SunneUncommon$0.181 in 13 (7.89%)$330.47
CarvanhaCommon$0.171 in 8 (12.5%)$208.72
Aether Paradise Conservation AreaUncommon$0.171 in 13 (7.89%)$330.47
BarboachCommon$0.161 in 8 (12.5%)$208.72
KomalaUncommon$0.161 in 13 (7.89%)$330.47
HalaUncommon$0.161 in 13 (7.89%)$330.47
PetililCommon$0.151 in 8 (12.5%)$208.72
GliscorUncommon$0.151 in 13 (7.89%)$330.47
VanillishUncommon$0.141 in 13 (7.89%)$330.47
Multi SwitchUncommon$0.141 in 13 (7.89%)$330.47
BeldumCommon$0.121 in 8 (12.5%)$208.72