Shrouded Fable
A $9.47 Shrouded Fable pack returns $5.08 in expected card value on average — 54% of what you paid.
No official TCGPlayer pull-rate article covers Shrouded Fable, so these odds come from pokepatch.com, which discloses a 1,000-pack sample. A stated count is the difference between a measured rate and a confident guess, so it is recorded here whenever a source gives one.
About this set
Shrouded Fable is a small set whose value sits in illustration rares rather than ex cards: Persian, Houndoom, Duskull and Horsea are four of its five most expensive cards. Each is roughly a one-in-176-pack pull, far better odds than a Special Illustration Rare, which is why they, not the ex cards, drive expected value.
No official TCGplayer count exists for this set; the odds come from pokepatch.com's 1,000-pack sample. There is no booster box, and the product you buy matters: Booster Bundles have returned a little over half their cost, while loose packs and Elite Trainer Boxes return around 40%. (Written November 2026. Returns quoted here count every card in the pack, whatever its value; prices move daily, and the figures above are current.)
How these figures are calculated, including the sourcing bar and what this model deliberately does not do.
- Pack EV: $5.08
- Cheapest pack: $9.47 (Shrouded Fable Booster Bundle)
- Cards: 107 (162 versions)
Products in this set
| Product | Price | Expected value | Expected return |
|---|---|---|---|
| Shrouded Fable Booster Bundle | $56.81 | $30.46 | 54% |
| Shrouded Fable Mini Tin (Fezandipiti) | $21.00 | $10.15 | 48% |
| Shrouded Fable Mini Tin (Munkidori) | $22.45 | $10.15 | 45% |
| Shrouded Fable Booster Pack | $12.40 | $5.08 | 41% |
| Shrouded Fable Elite Trainer Box | $112.71 | $45.68 | 41% |
| Shrouded Fable 3 Pack Blister [Pecharunt] | $39.69 | $15.23 | 38% |
| Shrouded Fable Mini Tin (Dusknoir) | $26.96 | $10.15 | 38% |
| Shrouded Fable Mini Tin (Okidogi) | $26.99 | $10.15 | 38% |
| Shrouded Fable Mini Tin (Zoroark) | $33.33 | $10.15 | 30% |
| Shrouded Fable Pokemon Center Elite Trainer Box (Exclusive) | $158.71 | $45.68 | 29% |
Where to buy
Shrouded Fable Booster Bundle · Shrouded Fable Mini Tin (Fezandipiti) · Shrouded Fable Mini Tin (Munkidori) · Shrouded Fable Booster Pack · Shrouded Fable Elite Trainer Box · Shrouded Fable 3 Pack Blister [Pecharunt] · Shrouded Fable Mini Tin (Dusknoir) · Shrouded Fable Mini Tin (Okidogi) · Shrouded Fable Mini Tin (Zoroark) · Shrouded Fable Pokemon Center Elite Trainer Box (Exclusive)
Expected return by product type
| Product | Price per pack | Expected return |
|---|---|---|
| Booster Bundle | $9.47 | 54% |
| Booster Pack | $12.40 | 41% |
| Elite Trainer Box | $12.52 | 41% |
Pull rates (source: community_estimate)
| Rarity | Pull rate | Sample |
|---|---|---|
| Hyper Rare | 0.7% | n=1000 |
| Special Illustration Rare | 1.5% | n=1000 |
| ACE SPEC Rare | 5% | n=1000 |
| Ultra Rare | 6.5% | n=1000 |
| Illustration Rare | 8.5% | n=1000 |
| Rare | 76.92% | |
| Common | 400% | |
| Uncommon | 300% |
Cards & odds
| Card | Rarity | Market price | Odds | Cost to pull |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Persian - 078/064 | Illustration Rare | $65.39 | 1 in 176 (0.57%) | $1670.88 |
| Houndoom - 066/064 | Illustration Rare | $53.80 | 1 in 176 (0.57%) | $1670.88 |
| Basic Darkness Energy | Hyper Rare | $52.96 | 1 in 714 (0.14%) | $6763.10 |
| Duskull - 068/064 | Illustration Rare | $43.73 | 1 in 176 (0.57%) | $1670.88 |
| Horsea - 067/064 | Illustration Rare | $39.97 | 1 in 176 (0.57%) | $1670.88 |
| Cassiopeia - 094/064 | Special Illustration Rare | $38.34 | 1 in 333 (0.3%) | $3156.11 |
| Fezandipiti ex - 092/064 | Special Illustration Rare | $33.23 | 1 in 333 (0.3%) | $3156.11 |
| Dusclops - 069/064 | Illustration Rare | $29.04 | 1 in 176 (0.57%) | $1670.88 |
| Basic Metal Energy | Hyper Rare | $28.42 | 1 in 714 (0.14%) | $6763.10 |
| Dusknoir - 070/064 | Illustration Rare | $27.52 | 1 in 176 (0.57%) | $1670.88 |
| Pecharunt ex - 093/064 | Special Illustration Rare | $26.32 | 1 in 333 (0.3%) | $3156.11 |
| Cresselia - 071/064 | Illustration Rare | $24.92 | 1 in 176 (0.57%) | $1670.88 |
| Munkidori | Illustration Rare | $23.40 | 1 in 176 (0.57%) | $1670.88 |
| Pecharunt ex - 095/064 | Hyper Rare | $22.59 | 1 in 714 (0.14%) | $6763.10 |
| Bewear - 079/064 | Illustration Rare | $22.28 | 1 in 176 (0.57%) | $1670.88 |
| Zorua - 075/064 | Illustration Rare | $21.12 | 1 in 176 (0.57%) | $1670.88 |
| Okidogi ex - 090/064 | Special Illustration Rare | $19.43 | 1 in 333 (0.3%) | $3156.11 |
| Powerglass - 097/064 | Hyper Rare | $18.07 | 1 in 714 (0.14%) | $6763.10 |
| Munkidori ex - 091/064 | Special Illustration Rare | $16.33 | 1 in 333 (0.3%) | $3156.11 |
| Fraxure - 077/064 | Illustration Rare | $16.28 | 1 in 176 (0.57%) | $1670.88 |
| Cufant - 076/064 | Illustration Rare | $15.26 | 1 in 176 (0.57%) | $1670.88 |
| Earthen Vessel | Hyper Rare | $14.96 | 1 in 714 (0.14%) | $6763.10 |
| Okidogi | Illustration Rare | $12.19 | 1 in 176 (0.57%) | $1670.88 |
| Tapu Bulu - 065/064 | Illustration Rare | $10.66 | 1 in 176 (0.57%) | $1670.88 |
| Fezandipiti ex - 084/064 | Ultra Rare | $10.65 | 1 in 154 (0.65%) | $1456.67 |
| Fezandipiti | Illustration Rare | $10.50 | 1 in 176 (0.57%) | $1670.88 |
| Pecharunt ex - 085/064 | Ultra Rare | $9.00 | 1 in 154 (0.65%) | $1456.67 |
| Pecharunt ex - 039/064 | Double Rare | $8.19 | TBD | TBD |
| Xerosic's Machinations - 089/064 | Ultra Rare | $7.22 | 1 in 154 (0.65%) | $1456.67 |
| Janine's Secret Art - 088/064 | Ultra Rare | $4.58 | 1 in 154 (0.65%) | $1456.67 |
| Colress's Tenacity - 087/064 | Ultra Rare | $4.31 | 1 in 154 (0.65%) | $1456.67 |
| Kingdra ex - 080/064 | Ultra Rare | $4.21 | 1 in 154 (0.65%) | $1456.67 |
| Fezandipiti ex - 038/064 | Double Rare | $3.90 | TBD | TBD |
| Cassiopeia - 086/064 | Ultra Rare | $2.88 | 1 in 154 (0.65%) | $1456.67 |
| Munkidori ex - 083/064 | Ultra Rare | $2.42 | 1 in 154 (0.65%) | $1456.67 |
| Okidogi ex - 082/064 | Ultra Rare | $2.03 | 1 in 154 (0.65%) | $1456.67 |
| Revavroom ex - 081/064 | Ultra Rare | $1.60 | 1 in 154 (0.65%) | $1456.67 |
| Neutralization Zone | ACE SPEC Rare | $1.29 | 1 in 60 (1.67%) | $568.10 |
| Kingdra ex - 012/064 | Double Rare | $0.73 | TBD | TBD |
| Munkidori ex - 037/064 | Double Rare | $0.65 | TBD | TBD |
| Revavroom ex - 015/064 | Double Rare | $0.63 | TBD | TBD |
| Okidogi ex - 036/064 | Double Rare | $0.60 | TBD | TBD |
| Dangerous Laser | ACE SPEC Rare | $0.57 | 1 in 60 (1.67%) | $568.10 |
| Poke Vital A | ACE SPEC Rare | $0.45 | 1 in 60 (1.67%) | $568.10 |
| Night Stretcher | Uncommon | $2.21 | 1 in 7 (15%) | $63.67 |
| Sylveon | Uncommon | $0.66 | 1 in 7 (15%) | $63.67 |
| Eevee | Common | $0.62 | 1 in 9 (11.11%) | $85.95 |
| Basic Darkness Energy (Reverse Holofoil) | Common | $0.58 | 1 in 9 (11.11%) | $85.95 |
| Basic Grass Energy | Common | $0.51 | 1 in 9 (11.11%) | $85.95 |
| Genesect | Uncommon | $0.49 | 1 in 7 (15%) | $63.67 |
| Basic Fire Energy | Common | $0.40 | 1 in 9 (11.11%) | $85.95 |
| Colress's Tenacity - 057/064 | Uncommon | $0.39 | 1 in 7 (15%) | $63.67 |
| Basic Psychic Energy | Common | $0.39 | 1 in 9 (11.11%) | $85.95 |
| Basic Fighting Energy | Common | $0.38 | 1 in 9 (11.11%) | $85.95 |
| Basic Metal Energy (Reverse Holofoil) | Common | $0.35 | 1 in 9 (11.11%) | $85.95 |
| Academy at Night | Uncommon | $0.34 | 1 in 7 (15%) | $63.67 |
| Basic Lightning Energy | Common | $0.33 | 1 in 9 (11.11%) | $85.95 |
| Iron Moth | Uncommon | $0.32 | 1 in 7 (15%) | $63.67 |
| Xerosic's Machinations - 064/064 | Uncommon | $0.32 | 1 in 7 (15%) | $63.67 |
| Absol | Common | $0.31 | 1 in 9 (11.11%) | $85.95 |
| Powerglass - 063/064 | Uncommon | $0.31 | 1 in 7 (15%) | $63.67 |
| Basic Water Energy | Common | $0.31 | 1 in 9 (11.11%) | $85.95 |
| Sylveon | Uncommon | $0.30 | 1 in 7 (15%) | $63.67 |
| Night Stretcher | Uncommon | $0.30 | 1 in 7 (15%) | $63.67 |
| Dusknoir - 020/064 | Rare | $0.29 | 1 in 9 (10.99%) | $86.91 |
| Slither Wing | Uncommon | $0.28 | 1 in 7 (15%) | $63.67 |
| Golbat | Common | $0.27 | 1 in 9 (11.11%) | $85.95 |
| Inkay | Common | $0.27 | 1 in 9 (11.11%) | $85.95 |
| Kyurem | Uncommon | $0.27 | 1 in 7 (15%) | $63.67 |
| Eevee | Common | $0.27 | 1 in 9 (11.11%) | $85.95 |
| Houndoom - 008/064 | Common | $0.26 | 1 in 9 (11.11%) | $85.95 |
| Binding Mochi | Uncommon | $0.26 | 1 in 7 (15%) | $63.67 |
| Tapu Bulu - 006/064 | Rare | $0.25 | 1 in 9 (10.99%) | $86.91 |
| Weavile | Uncommon | $0.25 | 1 in 7 (15%) | $63.67 |
| Duskull - 018/064 | Common | $0.25 | 1 in 9 (11.11%) | $85.95 |
| Dartrix | Common | $0.24 | 1 in 9 (11.11%) | $85.95 |
| Hypno | Uncommon | $0.24 | 1 in 7 (15%) | $63.67 |
| Colress's Tenacity - 057/064 | Uncommon | $0.24 | 1 in 7 (15%) | $63.67 |
| Powerglass - 063/064 | Uncommon | $0.24 | 1 in 7 (15%) | $63.67 |
| Drowzee | Common | $0.23 | 1 in 9 (11.11%) | $85.95 |
| Duskull - 018/064 | Common | $0.23 | 1 in 9 (11.11%) | $85.95 |
| Dusclops - 019/064 | Common | $0.23 | 1 in 9 (11.11%) | $85.95 |
| Crobat | Uncommon | $0.23 | 1 in 7 (15%) | $63.67 |
| Rowlet | Common | $0.22 | 1 in 9 (11.11%) | $85.95 |
| Horsea - 010/064 | Common | $0.22 | 1 in 9 (11.11%) | $85.95 |
| Zubat | Common | $0.22 | 1 in 9 (11.11%) | $85.95 |
| Yveltal | Uncommon | $0.22 | 1 in 7 (15%) | $63.67 |
| Haxorus | Rare | $0.22 | 1 in 9 (10.99%) | $86.91 |
| Kyurem | Uncommon | $0.22 | 1 in 7 (15%) | $63.67 |
| Meowth | Common | $0.22 | 1 in 9 (11.11%) | $85.95 |
| Stufful | Common | $0.22 | 1 in 9 (11.11%) | $85.95 |
| Cassiopeia - 056/064 | Uncommon | $0.22 | 1 in 7 (15%) | $63.67 |
| Dusknoir - 020/064 | Rare | $0.21 | 1 in 9 (10.99%) | $86.91 |
| Cresselia - 021/064 | Rare | $0.21 | 1 in 9 (10.99%) | $86.91 |
| Zorua - 031/064 | Common | $0.21 | 1 in 9 (11.11%) | $85.95 |
| Haxorus | Rare | $0.21 | 1 in 9 (10.99%) | $86.91 |
| Joltik | Common | $0.20 | 1 in 9 (11.11%) | $85.95 |
| Toxicroak | Common | $0.20 | 1 in 9 (11.11%) | $85.95 |
| Bloodmoon Ursaluna | Rare | $0.20 | 1 in 9 (10.99%) | $86.91 |
| Zoroark | Rare | $0.20 | 1 in 9 (10.99%) | $86.91 |
| Meowth | Common | $0.20 | 1 in 9 (11.11%) | $85.95 |
| Galvantula | Uncommon | $0.19 | 1 in 7 (15%) | $63.67 |
| Iron Moth | Uncommon | $0.19 | 1 in 7 (15%) | $63.67 |
| Dusclops - 019/064 | Common | $0.19 | 1 in 9 (11.11%) | $85.95 |
| Bloodmoon Ursaluna | Rare | $0.19 | 1 in 9 (10.99%) | $86.91 |
| Varoom | Common | $0.19 | 1 in 9 (11.11%) | $85.95 |
| Persian - 049/064 | Common | $0.19 | 1 in 9 (11.11%) | $85.95 |
| Bewear - 053/064 | Common | $0.19 | 1 in 9 (11.11%) | $85.95 |
| Dartrix | Common | $0.18 | 1 in 9 (11.11%) | $85.95 |
| Malamar | Uncommon | $0.18 | 1 in 7 (15%) | $63.67 |
| Copperajah | Rare | $0.18 | 1 in 9 (10.99%) | $86.91 |
| Fraxure - 045/064 | Common | $0.18 | 1 in 9 (11.11%) | $85.95 |
| Furfrou | Common | $0.18 | 1 in 9 (11.11%) | $85.95 |
| Academy at Night | Uncommon | $0.18 | 1 in 7 (15%) | $63.67 |
| Janine's Secret Art - 059/064 | Uncommon | $0.18 | 1 in 7 (15%) | $63.67 |
| Janine's Secret Art - 059/064 | Uncommon | $0.18 | 1 in 7 (15%) | $63.67 |
| Rowlet | Common | $0.17 | 1 in 9 (11.11%) | $85.95 |
| Seadra | Common | $0.17 | 1 in 9 (11.11%) | $85.95 |
| Croagunk | Common | $0.17 | 1 in 9 (11.11%) | $85.95 |
| Xerosic's Machinations - 064/064 | Uncommon | $0.17 | 1 in 7 (15%) | $63.67 |
| Joltik | Common | $0.16 | 1 in 9 (11.11%) | $85.95 |
| Decidueye | Uncommon | $0.16 | 1 in 7 (15%) | $63.67 |
| Decidueye | Uncommon | $0.16 | 1 in 7 (15%) | $63.67 |
| Tapu Bulu - 006/064 | Rare | $0.16 | 1 in 9 (10.99%) | $86.91 |
| Slither Wing | Uncommon | $0.16 | 1 in 7 (15%) | $63.67 |
| Galvantula | Uncommon | $0.15 | 1 in 7 (15%) | $63.67 |
| Houndour | Common | $0.15 | 1 in 9 (11.11%) | $85.95 |
| Houndour | Common | $0.15 | 1 in 9 (11.11%) | $85.95 |
| Sneasel | Common | $0.15 | 1 in 9 (11.11%) | $85.95 |
| Genesect | Uncommon | $0.15 | 1 in 7 (15%) | $63.67 |
| Cufant - 041/064 | Common | $0.15 | 1 in 9 (11.11%) | $85.95 |
| Axew | Common | $0.15 | 1 in 9 (11.11%) | $85.95 |
| Houndoom - 008/064 | Common | $0.14 | 1 in 9 (11.11%) | $85.95 |
| Zubat | Common | $0.14 | 1 in 9 (11.11%) | $85.95 |
| Golbat | Common | $0.14 | 1 in 9 (11.11%) | $85.95 |
| Absol | Common | $0.14 | 1 in 9 (11.11%) | $85.95 |
| Zorua - 031/064 | Common | $0.14 | 1 in 9 (11.11%) | $85.95 |
| Zoroark | Rare | $0.14 | 1 in 9 (10.99%) | $86.91 |
| Persian - 049/064 | Common | $0.14 | 1 in 9 (11.11%) | $85.95 |
| Cresselia - 021/064 | Rare | $0.13 | 1 in 9 (10.99%) | $86.91 |
| Yveltal | Uncommon | $0.13 | 1 in 7 (15%) | $63.67 |
| Copperajah | Rare | $0.13 | 1 in 9 (10.99%) | $86.91 |
| Axew | Common | $0.13 | 1 in 9 (11.11%) | $85.95 |
| Fraxure - 045/064 | Common | $0.13 | 1 in 9 (11.11%) | $85.95 |
| Drowzee | Common | $0.12 | 1 in 9 (11.11%) | $85.95 |
| Crobat | Uncommon | $0.12 | 1 in 7 (15%) | $63.67 |
| Binding Mochi | Uncommon | $0.12 | 1 in 7 (15%) | $63.67 |
| Cassiopeia - 056/064 | Uncommon | $0.12 | 1 in 7 (15%) | $63.67 |
| Horsea - 010/064 | Common | $0.11 | 1 in 9 (11.11%) | $85.95 |
| Seadra | Common | $0.11 | 1 in 9 (11.11%) | $85.95 |
| Hypno | Uncommon | $0.11 | 1 in 7 (15%) | $63.67 |
| Stufful | Common | $0.11 | 1 in 9 (11.11%) | $85.95 |
| Bewear - 053/064 | Common | $0.11 | 1 in 9 (11.11%) | $85.95 |
| Toxicroak | Common | $0.10 | 1 in 9 (11.11%) | $85.95 |
| Inkay | Common | $0.10 | 1 in 9 (11.11%) | $85.95 |
| Varoom | Common | $0.10 | 1 in 9 (11.11%) | $85.95 |
| Weavile | Uncommon | $0.09 | 1 in 7 (15%) | $63.67 |
| Cufant - 041/064 | Common | $0.09 | 1 in 9 (11.11%) | $85.95 |
| Furfrou | Common | $0.09 | 1 in 9 (11.11%) | $85.95 |
| Sneasel | Common | $0.08 | 1 in 9 (11.11%) | $85.95 |
| Croagunk | Common | $0.06 | 1 in 9 (11.11%) | $85.95 |
| Malamar | Uncommon | $0.05 | 1 in 7 (15%) | $63.67 |