A $400.00 Triumphant pack returns $72.93 in expected card value on average — 18% of what you paid.
No official TCGPlayer pull-rate article covers Triumphant, so these odds come from thepricedex.com, which discloses a disclosed sample. Sources that do not state how many packs they counted are not used here, however confident they sound.
How these figures are calculated, including the sourcing bar and what this model deliberately does not do.
| Product | Price | Expected value | Expected return |
|---|---|---|---|
| Triumphant Booster Pack | $400.00 | $72.93 | 18% |
| Triumphant Booster Box | — | $2625.33 | TBD |
Triumphant Booster Pack · Triumphant Booster Box
| Product | Price per pack | Expected return |
|---|---|---|
| Booster Pack | $400.00 | 18% |
| Rarity | Pull rate | Sample |
|---|---|---|
| Ultra Rare | 21.29% | |
| Holo Rare | 25.64% | |
| Rare | 66.67% | |
| Common | 500% | |
| Uncommon | 300% |
| Card | Rarity | Market price | Odds | Cost to pull |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gengar (Prime) | Ultra Rare | $560.92 | 1 in 61 (1.64%) | $24424.61 |
| Mew (Prime) | Ultra Rare | $394.47 | 1 in 61 (1.64%) | $24424.61 |
| Darkrai & Cresselia Legend (Top) | Ultra Rare | $284.58 | 1 in 61 (1.64%) | $24424.61 |
| Darkrai & Cresselia Legend (Bottom) | Ultra Rare | $158.18 | 1 in 61 (1.64%) | $24424.61 |
| Absol (Prime) | Ultra Rare | $155.04 | 1 in 61 (1.64%) | $24424.61 |
| Palkia & Dialga Legend (Bottom) | Ultra Rare | $148.79 | 1 in 61 (1.64%) | $24424.61 |
| Palkia & Dialga Legend (Top) | Ultra Rare | $136.49 | 1 in 61 (1.64%) | $24424.61 |
| Alph Lithograph | Ultra Rare | $109.75 | 1 in 61 (1.64%) | $24424.61 |
| Celebi (Prime) | Ultra Rare | $105.59 | 1 in 61 (1.64%) | $24424.61 |
| Machamp (Prime) | Ultra Rare | $67.14 | 1 in 61 (1.64%) | $24424.61 |
| Magnezone (Prime) | Ultra Rare | $54.43 | 1 in 61 (1.64%) | $24424.61 |
| Electrode (Prime) | Ultra Rare | $48.41 | 1 in 61 (1.64%) | $24424.61 |
| Yanmega (Prime) | Ultra Rare | $41.51 | 1 in 61 (1.64%) | $24424.61 |
| Dragonite | Rare | $231.13 | 1 in 28 (3.51%) | TBD |
| Psyduck | Common | $199.99 | 1 in 6 (16.67%) | TBD |
| Ditto | Rare | $130.20 | 1 in 28 (3.51%) | TBD |
| Haunter | Uncommon | $80.00 | 1 in 10 (10.34%) | TBD |
| Wailord | Rare | $51.04 | 1 in 28 (3.51%) | TBD |
| Cubone | Common | $45.42 | 1 in 6 (16.67%) | TBD |
| Celebi | Holo Rare | $36.00 | 1 in 47 (2.14%) | TBD |
| Bronzong | Rare | $33.70 | 1 in 28 (3.51%) | TBD |
| Gastly | Common | $32.57 | 1 in 6 (16.67%) | TBD |
| Electivire | Rare | $29.46 | 1 in 28 (3.51%) | TBD |
| Rapidash | Holo Rare | $27.29 | 1 in 47 (2.14%) | TBD |
| Rapidash | Holo Rare | $26.68 | 1 in 47 (2.14%) | TBD |
| Ditto | Rare | $25.17 | 1 in 28 (3.51%) | TBD |
| Dragonite | Rare | $23.52 | 1 in 28 (3.51%) | TBD |
| Celebi | Holo Rare | $22.74 | 1 in 47 (2.14%) | TBD |
| Pidgeot | Rare | $22.50 | 1 in 28 (3.51%) | TBD |
| Seeker | Uncommon | $20.04 | 1 in 10 (10.34%) | TBD |
| Pidgeotto | Uncommon | $19.60 | 1 in 10 (10.34%) | TBD |
| Aggron | Holo Rare | $19.41 | 1 in 47 (2.14%) | TBD |
| Banette | Rare | $19.39 | 1 in 28 (3.51%) | TBD |
| Bronzong | Rare | $19.04 | 1 in 28 (3.51%) | TBD |
| Dragonair | Uncommon | $18.78 | 1 in 10 (10.34%) | TBD |
| Kangaskhan | Uncommon | $18.24 | 1 in 10 (10.34%) | TBD |
| Marowak | Uncommon | $16.20 | 1 in 10 (10.34%) | TBD |
| Machamp | Rare | $16.05 | 1 in 28 (3.51%) | TBD |
| Aron | Common | $15.88 | 1 in 6 (16.67%) | TBD |
| Psyduck | Common | $15.69 | 1 in 6 (16.67%) | TBD |
| Indigo Plateau | Uncommon | $15.28 | 1 in 10 (10.34%) | TBD |
| Kricketune | Rare | $14.99 | 1 in 28 (3.51%) | TBD |
| Dratini | Common | $14.88 | 1 in 6 (16.67%) | TBD |
| Magmortar | Rare | $14.48 | 1 in 28 (3.51%) | TBD |
| Electabuzz | Uncommon | $14.39 | 1 in 10 (10.34%) | TBD |
| Altaria | Holo Rare | $13.65 | 1 in 47 (2.14%) | TBD |
| Wailmer | Uncommon | $12.80 | 1 in 10 (10.34%) | TBD |
| Nidoking | Holo Rare | $12.35 | 1 in 47 (2.14%) | TBD |
| Haunter | Uncommon | $12.04 | 1 in 10 (10.34%) | TBD |
| Elekid | Rare | $12.03 | 1 in 28 (3.51%) | TBD |
| Altaria | Holo Rare | $11.90 | 1 in 47 (2.14%) | TBD |
| Sharpedo | Rare | $11.90 | 1 in 28 (3.51%) | TBD |
| Pidgey | Common | $11.70 | 1 in 6 (16.67%) | TBD |
| Magmar | Uncommon | $11.28 | 1 in 10 (10.34%) | TBD |
| Weepinbell | Uncommon | $11.15 | 1 in 10 (10.34%) | TBD |
| Nidoking | Holo Rare | $10.97 | 1 in 47 (2.14%) | TBD |
| Spiritomb | Holo Rare | $10.83 | 1 in 47 (2.14%) | TBD |
| Golduck | Rare | $10.82 | 1 in 28 (3.51%) | TBD |
| Pidgeot | Rare | $10.72 | 1 in 28 (3.51%) | TBD |
| Cubone | Common | $10.36 | 1 in 6 (16.67%) | TBD |
| Porygon | Common | $10.30 | 1 in 6 (16.67%) | TBD |
| Bronzor | Common | $10.28 | 1 in 6 (16.67%) | TBD |
| Aggron | Holo Rare | $10.23 | 1 in 47 (2.14%) | TBD |
| Magby | Uncommon | $10.12 | 1 in 10 (10.34%) | TBD |
| Unown | Uncommon | $10.00 | 1 in 10 (10.34%) | TBD |
| Nidoran F | Common | $9.99 | 1 in 6 (16.67%) | TBD |
| Tentacruel | Uncommon | $9.99 | 1 in 10 (10.34%) | TBD |
| Celebi - 3/102 (Non-Holo Movie Exclusive) | Promo | $9.99 | TBD | TBD |
| Kricketot | Common | $9.50 | 1 in 6 (16.67%) | TBD |
| Nidoqueen | Rare | $9.12 | 1 in 28 (3.51%) | TBD |
| Porygon-Z | Holo Rare | $9.00 | 1 in 47 (2.14%) | TBD |
| Porygon-Z | Holo Rare | $8.88 | 1 in 47 (2.14%) | TBD |
| Twins | Uncommon | $8.64 | 1 in 10 (10.34%) | TBD |
| Porygon2 | Uncommon | $8.00 | 1 in 10 (10.34%) | TBD |
| Wailord | Rare | $7.85 | 1 in 28 (3.51%) | TBD |
| Magneton | Uncommon | $7.71 | 1 in 10 (10.34%) | TBD |
| Seeker | Uncommon | $6.91 | 1 in 10 (10.34%) | TBD |
| Ponyta | Common | $6.90 | 1 in 6 (16.67%) | TBD |
| Spoink | Common | $6.77 | 1 in 6 (16.67%) | TBD |
| Luvdisc | Uncommon | $6.70 | 1 in 10 (10.34%) | TBD |
| Black Belt | Uncommon | $6.64 | 1 in 10 (10.34%) | TBD |
| Drapion | Holo Rare | $6.62 | 1 in 47 (2.14%) | TBD |
| Lickilicky | Uncommon | $6.50 | 1 in 10 (10.34%) | TBD |
| Tentacool | Common | $6.45 | 1 in 6 (16.67%) | TBD |
| Lairon | Uncommon | $6.34 | 1 in 10 (10.34%) | TBD |
| Victreebel | Holo Rare | $6.20 | 1 in 47 (2.14%) | TBD |
| Diglett | Common | $6.08 | 1 in 6 (16.67%) | TBD |
| Nidorina | Uncommon | $5.89 | 1 in 10 (10.34%) | TBD |
| Venomoth | Holo Rare | $5.81 | 1 in 47 (2.14%) | TBD |
| Dugtrio | Rare | $5.77 | 1 in 28 (3.51%) | TBD |
| Yanmega | Uncommon | $5.03 | 1 in 10 (10.34%) | TBD |
| Bellsprout | Common | $4.99 | 1 in 6 (16.67%) | TBD |
| Electrode | Uncommon | $4.95 | 1 in 10 (10.34%) | TBD |
| Spiritomb | Holo Rare | $4.93 | 1 in 47 (2.14%) | TBD |
| Rescue Energy | Uncommon | $4.79 | 1 in 10 (10.34%) | TBD |
| Sharpedo | Rare | $4.79 | 1 in 28 (3.51%) | TBD |
| Venomoth | Holo Rare | $4.73 | 1 in 47 (2.14%) | TBD |
| Victreebel | Holo Rare | $4.69 | 1 in 47 (2.14%) | TBD |
| Twins | Uncommon | $4.50 | 1 in 10 (10.34%) | TBD |
| Voltorb | Common | $4.42 | 1 in 6 (16.67%) | TBD |
| Gastly | Common | $4.36 | 1 in 6 (16.67%) | TBD |
| Lickitung | Common | $4.25 | 1 in 6 (16.67%) | TBD |
| Dragonair | Uncommon | $4.14 | 1 in 10 (10.34%) | TBD |
| Junk Arm | Uncommon | $4.11 | 1 in 10 (10.34%) | TBD |
| Nidoran M | Common | $3.78 | 1 in 6 (16.67%) | TBD |
| Swablu | Common | $3.75 | 1 in 6 (16.67%) | TBD |
| Mamoswine | Holo Rare | $3.73 | 1 in 47 (2.14%) | TBD |
| Mamoswine | Holo Rare | $3.68 | 1 in 47 (2.14%) | TBD |
| Solrock | Holo Rare | $3.64 | 1 in 47 (2.14%) | TBD |
| Kricketune | Rare | $3.61 | 1 in 28 (3.51%) | TBD |
| Drapion | Holo Rare | $3.51 | 1 in 47 (2.14%) | TBD |
| Aipom | Common | $3.45 | 1 in 6 (16.67%) | TBD |
| Piloswine | Uncommon | $3.24 | 1 in 10 (10.34%) | TBD |
| Elekid | Rare | $3.10 | 1 in 28 (3.51%) | TBD |
| Illumise | Common | $3.05 | 1 in 6 (16.67%) | TBD |
| Carnivine | Rare | $2.87 | 1 in 28 (3.51%) | TBD |
| Junk Arm | Uncommon | $2.83 | 1 in 10 (10.34%) | TBD |
| Magnemite | Common | $2.76 | 1 in 6 (16.67%) | TBD |
| Ambipom | Rare | $2.60 | 1 in 28 (3.51%) | TBD |
| Grumpig | Rare | $2.59 | 1 in 28 (3.51%) | TBD |
| Machop | Common | $2.59 | 1 in 6 (16.67%) | TBD |
| Nidoqueen | Rare | $2.36 | 1 in 28 (3.51%) | TBD |
| Bronzor | Common | $2.34 | 1 in 6 (16.67%) | TBD |
| Electivire | Rare | $2.23 | 1 in 28 (3.51%) | TBD |
| Golduck | Rare | $2.23 | 1 in 28 (3.51%) | TBD |
| Solrock | Holo Rare | $2.15 | 1 in 47 (2.14%) | TBD |
| Nidorino | Uncommon | $2.05 | 1 in 10 (10.34%) | TBD |
| Lunatone | Rare | $2.04 | 1 in 28 (3.51%) | TBD |
| Machoke | Uncommon | $1.96 | 1 in 10 (10.34%) | TBD |
| Unown | Uncommon | $1.84 | 1 in 10 (10.34%) | TBD |
| Machamp | Rare | $1.81 | 1 in 28 (3.51%) | TBD |
| Banette | Rare | $1.67 | 1 in 28 (3.51%) | TBD |
| Skorupi | Common | $1.64 | 1 in 6 (16.67%) | TBD |
| Carvanha | Common | $1.62 | 1 in 6 (16.67%) | TBD |
| Ponyta | Common | $1.56 | 1 in 6 (16.67%) | TBD |
| Swinub | Common | $1.48 | 1 in 6 (16.67%) | TBD |
| Yanma | Common | $1.48 | 1 in 6 (16.67%) | TBD |
| Magmortar | Rare | $1.46 | 1 in 28 (3.51%) | TBD |
| Dratini | Common | $1.45 | 1 in 6 (16.67%) | TBD |
| Venonat | Common | $1.37 | 1 in 6 (16.67%) | TBD |
| Rescue Energy | Uncommon | $1.30 | 1 in 10 (10.34%) | TBD |
| Dugtrio | Rare | $1.24 | 1 in 28 (3.51%) | TBD |
| Pidgeotto | Uncommon | $1.19 | 1 in 10 (10.34%) | TBD |
| Marowak | Uncommon | $1.05 | 1 in 10 (10.34%) | TBD |
| Shuppet | Common | $1.02 | 1 in 6 (16.67%) | TBD |
| Magby | Uncommon | $0.93 | 1 in 10 (10.34%) | TBD |
| Volbeat | Common | $0.86 | 1 in 6 (16.67%) | TBD |
| Kricketot | Common | $0.85 | 1 in 6 (16.67%) | TBD |
| Pidgey | Common | $0.85 | 1 in 6 (16.67%) | TBD |
| Porygon2 | Uncommon | $0.84 | 1 in 10 (10.34%) | TBD |
| Electabuzz | Uncommon | $0.79 | 1 in 10 (10.34%) | TBD |
| Kangaskhan | Uncommon | $0.79 | 1 in 10 (10.34%) | TBD |
| Tentacruel | Uncommon | $0.79 | 1 in 10 (10.34%) | TBD |
| Indigo Plateau | Uncommon | $0.77 | 1 in 10 (10.34%) | TBD |
| Aron | Common | $0.74 | 1 in 6 (16.67%) | TBD |
| Ambipom | Rare | $0.73 | 1 in 28 (3.51%) | TBD |
| Lickilicky | Uncommon | $0.70 | 1 in 10 (10.34%) | TBD |
| Carnivine | Rare | $0.68 | 1 in 28 (3.51%) | TBD |
| Tentacool | Common | $0.67 | 1 in 6 (16.67%) | TBD |
| Grumpig | Rare | $0.62 | 1 in 28 (3.51%) | TBD |
| Diglett | Common | $0.61 | 1 in 6 (16.67%) | TBD |
| Luvdisc | Uncommon | $0.60 | 1 in 10 (10.34%) | TBD |
| Wailmer | Uncommon | $0.59 | 1 in 10 (10.34%) | TBD |
| Shuppet | Common | $0.56 | 1 in 6 (16.67%) | TBD |
| Nidorina | Uncommon | $0.55 | 1 in 10 (10.34%) | TBD |
| Black Belt | Uncommon | $0.53 | 1 in 10 (10.34%) | TBD |
| Swablu | Common | $0.52 | 1 in 6 (16.67%) | TBD |
| Weepinbell | Uncommon | $0.52 | 1 in 10 (10.34%) | TBD |
| Magnemite | Common | $0.51 | 1 in 6 (16.67%) | TBD |
| Magmar | Uncommon | $0.48 | 1 in 10 (10.34%) | TBD |
| Magneton | Uncommon | $0.48 | 1 in 10 (10.34%) | TBD |
| Lickitung | Common | $0.47 | 1 in 6 (16.67%) | TBD |
| Illumise | Common | $0.43 | 1 in 6 (16.67%) | TBD |
| Piloswine | Uncommon | $0.41 | 1 in 10 (10.34%) | TBD |
| Nidorino | Uncommon | $0.40 | 1 in 10 (10.34%) | TBD |
| Lunatone | Rare | $0.38 | 1 in 28 (3.51%) | TBD |
| Yanma | Common | $0.38 | 1 in 6 (16.67%) | TBD |
| Aipom | Common | $0.37 | 1 in 6 (16.67%) | TBD |
| Spoink | Common | $0.37 | 1 in 6 (16.67%) | TBD |
| Volbeat | Common | $0.37 | 1 in 6 (16.67%) | TBD |
| Electrode | Uncommon | $0.36 | 1 in 10 (10.34%) | TBD |
| Machoke | Uncommon | $0.36 | 1 in 10 (10.34%) | TBD |
| Porygon | Common | $0.36 | 1 in 6 (16.67%) | TBD |
| Carvanha | Common | $0.34 | 1 in 6 (16.67%) | TBD |
| Skorupi | Common | $0.34 | 1 in 6 (16.67%) | TBD |
| Yanmega | Uncommon | $0.34 | 1 in 10 (10.34%) | TBD |
| Lairon | Uncommon | $0.33 | 1 in 10 (10.34%) | TBD |
| Swinub | Common | $0.33 | 1 in 6 (16.67%) | TBD |
| Voltorb | Common | $0.33 | 1 in 6 (16.67%) | TBD |
| Bellsprout | Common | $0.32 | 1 in 6 (16.67%) | TBD |
| Venonat | Common | $0.32 | 1 in 6 (16.67%) | TBD |
| Nidoran M | Common | $0.31 | 1 in 6 (16.67%) | TBD |
| Machop | Common | $0.29 | 1 in 6 (16.67%) | TBD |
| Nidoran F | Common | $0.29 | 1 in 6 (16.67%) | TBD |