A $426.24 Unleashed pack returns $66.62 in expected card value on average — 16% of what you paid.
No official TCGPlayer pull-rate article covers Unleashed, so these odds come from thepricedex.com, which discloses a disclosed sample. Sources that do not state how many packs they counted are not used here, however confident they sound.
How these figures are calculated, including the sourcing bar and what this model deliberately does not do.
| Product | Price | Expected value | Expected return |
|---|---|---|---|
| Unleashed Booster Pack | $426.24 | $66.62 | 16% |
| Unleashed Booster Box | — | $2398.35 | TBD |
Unleashed Booster Pack · Unleashed Booster Box
| Product | Price per pack | Expected return |
|---|---|---|
| Booster Pack | $426.24 | 16% |
| Rarity | Pull rate | Sample |
|---|---|---|
| Holo Rare | 24.39% | |
| Ultra Rare | 22.68% | |
| Rare | 66.67% | |
| Common | 500% | |
| Uncommon | 300% |
| Card | Rarity | Market price | Odds | Cost to pull |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Suicune & Entei Legend (Top) | Ultra Rare | $340.00 | 1 in 57 (1.74%) | $24431.75 |
| Entei & Raikou Legend (top) | Ultra Rare | $310.99 | 1 in 57 (1.74%) | $24431.75 |
| Tyranitar (Prime) | Ultra Rare | $255.57 | 1 in 57 (1.74%) | $24431.75 |
| Suicune & Entei Legend (Bottom) | Ultra Rare | $231.50 | 1 in 57 (1.74%) | $24431.75 |
| Raikou & Suicune Legend (Top) | Ultra Rare | $216.88 | 1 in 57 (1.74%) | $24431.75 |
| Raikou & Suicune Legend (Bottom) | Ultra Rare | $205.87 | 1 in 57 (1.74%) | $24431.75 |
| Entei & Raikou Legend (bottom) | Ultra Rare | $150.15 | 1 in 57 (1.74%) | $24431.75 |
| Alph Lithograph | Ultra Rare | $127.52 | 1 in 57 (1.74%) | $24431.75 |
| Steelix (Prime) | Ultra Rare | $124.92 | 1 in 57 (1.74%) | $24431.75 |
| Crobat (Prime) | Ultra Rare | $65.35 | 1 in 57 (1.74%) | $24431.75 |
| Kingdra (Prime) | Ultra Rare | $61.42 | 1 in 57 (1.74%) | $24431.75 |
| Ursaring (Prime) | Ultra Rare | $51.54 | 1 in 57 (1.74%) | $24431.75 |
| Lanturn (Prime) | Ultra Rare | $44.92 | 1 in 57 (1.74%) | $24431.75 |
| Tyranitar | Rare | $80.99 | 1 in 24 (4.17%) | $9242.42 |
| Squirtle | Common | $79.99 | 1 in 6 (17.86%) | $2156.67 |
| Blastoise | Rare | $59.99 | 1 in 24 (4.17%) | $9242.42 |
| Vulpix | Common | $42.50 | 1 in 6 (17.86%) | $2156.67 |
| Politoed | Holo Rare | $29.99 | 1 in 45 (2.22%) | $17369.09 |
| Tauros | Uncommon | $28.78 | 1 in 9 (10.71%) | $3594.45 |
| Jirachi | Holo Rare | $28.13 | 1 in 45 (2.22%) | $17369.09 |
| Turtwig | Common | $27.49 | 1 in 6 (17.86%) | $2156.67 |
| Jirachi | Holo Rare | $27.29 | 1 in 45 (2.22%) | $17369.09 |
| Sudowoodo | Holo Rare | $26.86 | 1 in 45 (2.22%) | $17369.09 |
| Poliwhirl | Uncommon | $25.51 | 1 in 9 (10.71%) | $3594.45 |
| Primeape | Rare | $25.00 | 1 in 24 (4.17%) | $9242.42 |
| Larvitar (51) | Common | $24.64 | 1 in 6 (17.86%) | $2156.67 |
| Ninetales | Rare | $24.26 | 1 in 24 (4.17%) | $9242.42 |
| Rare Candy | Uncommon | $24.00 | 1 in 9 (10.71%) | $3594.45 |
| Sudowoodo | Holo Rare | $23.21 | 1 in 45 (2.22%) | $17369.09 |
| Mankey | Common | $22.98 | 1 in 6 (17.86%) | $2156.67 |
| Politoed | Holo Rare | $22.90 | 1 in 45 (2.22%) | $17369.09 |
| Riolu | Common | $19.99 | 1 in 6 (17.86%) | $2156.67 |
| Judge | Uncommon | $19.05 | 1 in 9 (10.71%) | $3594.45 |
| Wartortle | Uncommon | $18.22 | 1 in 9 (10.71%) | $3594.45 |
| Blastoise | Rare | $17.27 | 1 in 24 (4.17%) | $9242.42 |
| Shaymin | Holo Rare | $16.66 | 1 in 45 (2.22%) | $17369.09 |
| Torkoal | Rare | $16.49 | 1 in 24 (4.17%) | $9242.42 |
| Tyranitar | Rare | $15.96 | 1 in 24 (4.17%) | $9242.42 |
| Shaymin | Holo Rare | $15.68 | 1 in 45 (2.22%) | $17369.09 |
| Torterra | Holo Rare | $15.50 | 1 in 45 (2.22%) | $17369.09 |
| Crobat | Rare | $15.49 | 1 in 24 (4.17%) | $9242.42 |
| Metagross | Holo Rare | $15.29 | 1 in 45 (2.22%) | $17369.09 |
| Metagross | Holo Rare | $15.14 | 1 in 45 (2.22%) | $17369.09 |
| Zubat | Common | $15.00 | 1 in 6 (17.86%) | $2156.67 |
| Beedrill | Rare | $14.99 | 1 in 24 (4.17%) | $9242.42 |
| Teddiursa | Common | $14.99 | 1 in 6 (17.86%) | $2156.67 |
| Minun | Uncommon | $14.97 | 1 in 9 (10.71%) | $3594.45 |
| Ninetales | Rare | $14.87 | 1 in 24 (4.17%) | $9242.42 |
| Golbat | Uncommon | $13.62 | 1 in 9 (10.71%) | $3594.45 |
| Larvitar (50) | Common | $13.50 | 1 in 6 (17.86%) | $2156.67 |
| Manaphy | Holo Rare | $12.96 | 1 in 45 (2.22%) | $17369.09 |
| Xatu | Holo Rare | $11.61 | 1 in 45 (2.22%) | $17369.09 |
| Torterra | Holo Rare | $11.28 | 1 in 45 (2.22%) | $17369.09 |
| Poliwrath | Rare | $10.72 | 1 in 24 (4.17%) | $9242.42 |
| Judge | Uncommon | $10.09 | 1 in 9 (10.71%) | $3594.45 |
| Mismagius | Holo Rare | $10.04 | 1 in 45 (2.22%) | $17369.09 |
| Manaphy | Holo Rare | $9.64 | 1 in 45 (2.22%) | $17369.09 |
| Natu | Common | $9.36 | 1 in 6 (17.86%) | $2156.67 |
| Rare Candy | Uncommon | $9.07 | 1 in 9 (10.71%) | $3594.45 |
| Interviewer's Questions | Uncommon | $8.38 | 1 in 9 (10.71%) | $3594.45 |
| Xatu | Holo Rare | $8.29 | 1 in 45 (2.22%) | $17369.09 |
| Beldum | Common | $7.99 | 1 in 6 (17.86%) | $2156.67 |
| Roselia | Common | $7.45 | 1 in 6 (17.86%) | $2156.67 |
| Mismagius | Holo Rare | $7.42 | 1 in 45 (2.22%) | $17369.09 |
| Magmortar | Holo Rare | $7.23 | 1 in 45 (2.22%) | $17369.09 |
| Seadra | Uncommon | $7.03 | 1 in 9 (10.71%) | $3594.45 |
| Lucario | Rare | $7.00 | 1 in 24 (4.17%) | $9242.42 |
| Magmortar | Holo Rare | $7.00 | 1 in 45 (2.22%) | $17369.09 |
| Pupitar (38) | Uncommon | $7.00 | 1 in 9 (10.71%) | $3594.45 |
| Lucario | Rare | $6.79 | 1 in 24 (4.17%) | $9242.42 |
| Poliwag | Common | $6.67 | 1 in 6 (17.86%) | $2156.67 |
| Kingdra | Rare | $6.47 | 1 in 24 (4.17%) | $9242.42 |
| Crobat | Rare | $6.24 | 1 in 24 (4.17%) | $9242.42 |
| Minun | Uncommon | $6.20 | 1 in 9 (10.71%) | $3594.45 |
| Roserade | Rare | $6.09 | 1 in 24 (4.17%) | $9242.42 |
| Magmar | Common | $6.01 | 1 in 6 (17.86%) | $2156.67 |
| Plusle | Uncommon | $6.00 | 1 in 9 (10.71%) | $3594.45 |
| Fearow | Rare | $5.63 | 1 in 24 (4.17%) | $9242.42 |
| Floatzel | Rare | $5.49 | 1 in 24 (4.17%) | $9242.42 |
| Lanturn | Rare | $5.22 | 1 in 24 (4.17%) | $9242.42 |
| Kingdra | Rare | $5.20 | 1 in 24 (4.17%) | $9242.42 |
| Poliwhirl | Uncommon | $5.10 | 1 in 9 (10.71%) | $3594.45 |
| Numel | Uncommon | $5.02 | 1 in 9 (10.71%) | $3594.45 |
| Octillery | Holo Rare | $5.00 | 1 in 45 (2.22%) | $17369.09 |
| Poliwrath | Rare | $5.00 | 1 in 24 (4.17%) | $9242.42 |
| Onix (56) | Common | $4.83 | 1 in 6 (17.86%) | $2156.67 |
| Metang | Uncommon | $4.51 | 1 in 9 (10.71%) | $3594.45 |
| Chinchou | Common | $4.26 | 1 in 6 (17.86%) | $2156.67 |
| Misdreavus | Common | $4.26 | 1 in 6 (17.86%) | $2156.67 |
| Squirtle | Common | $4.24 | 1 in 6 (17.86%) | $2156.67 |
| Weedle | Common | $4.15 | 1 in 6 (17.86%) | $2156.67 |
| Grotle | Uncommon | $3.99 | 1 in 9 (10.71%) | $3594.45 |
| Horsea | Common | $3.98 | 1 in 6 (17.86%) | $2156.67 |
| Steelix | Rare | $3.94 | 1 in 24 (4.17%) | $9242.42 |
| Vulpix | Common | $3.85 | 1 in 6 (17.86%) | $2156.67 |
| Steelix | Rare | $3.84 | 1 in 24 (4.17%) | $9242.42 |
| Dual Ball | Uncommon | $3.67 | 1 in 9 (10.71%) | $3594.45 |
| Octillery | Holo Rare | $3.62 | 1 in 45 (2.22%) | $17369.09 |
| Carnivine | Common | $3.59 | 1 in 6 (17.86%) | $2156.67 |
| Buizel | Common | $3.49 | 1 in 6 (17.86%) | $2156.67 |
| Wartortle | Uncommon | $3.49 | 1 in 9 (10.71%) | $3594.45 |
| Plusle | Uncommon | $3.17 | 1 in 9 (10.71%) | $3594.45 |
| Ursaring | Rare | $3.04 | 1 in 24 (4.17%) | $9242.42 |
| Kakuna | Uncommon | $2.98 | 1 in 9 (10.71%) | $3594.45 |
| Tauros | Uncommon | $2.93 | 1 in 9 (10.71%) | $3594.45 |
| Beedrill | Rare | $2.91 | 1 in 24 (4.17%) | $9242.42 |
| Spearow | Common | $2.75 | 1 in 6 (17.86%) | $2156.67 |
| Primeape | Rare | $2.70 | 1 in 24 (4.17%) | $9242.42 |
| Super Scoop Up | Uncommon | $2.67 | 1 in 9 (10.71%) | $3594.45 |
| Engineer's Adjustments | Uncommon | $2.64 | 1 in 9 (10.71%) | $3594.45 |
| Cheerleader's Cheer | Uncommon | $2.47 | 1 in 9 (10.71%) | $3594.45 |
| Cherrim | Uncommon | $2.35 | 1 in 9 (10.71%) | $3594.45 |
| PlusPower | Uncommon | $2.33 | 1 in 9 (10.71%) | $3594.45 |
| Tropius | Common | $2.21 | 1 in 6 (17.86%) | $2156.67 |
| Emcee's Chatter | Uncommon | $1.96 | 1 in 9 (10.71%) | $3594.45 |
| Aipom | Common | $1.69 | 1 in 6 (17.86%) | $2156.67 |
| Dunsparce | Uncommon | $1.55 | 1 in 9 (10.71%) | $3594.45 |
| Cherubi | Common | $1.48 | 1 in 6 (17.86%) | $2156.67 |
| Seadra | Uncommon | $1.45 | 1 in 9 (10.71%) | $3594.45 |
| Onix (57) | Common | $1.38 | 1 in 6 (17.86%) | $2156.67 |
| Ursaring | Rare | $1.38 | 1 in 24 (4.17%) | $9242.42 |
| Grotle | Uncommon | $1.22 | 1 in 9 (10.71%) | $3594.45 |
| Pupitar (39) | Uncommon | $1.21 | 1 in 9 (10.71%) | $3594.45 |
| Lanturn | Rare | $1.13 | 1 in 24 (4.17%) | $9242.42 |
| Floatzel | Rare | $1.11 | 1 in 24 (4.17%) | $9242.42 |
| Pokemon Circulator | Uncommon | $1.04 | 1 in 9 (10.71%) | $3594.45 |
| Remoraid | Common | $1.02 | 1 in 6 (17.86%) | $2156.67 |
| Energy Returner | Uncommon | $1.00 | 1 in 9 (10.71%) | $3594.45 |
| Stantler | Common | $0.92 | 1 in 6 (17.86%) | $2156.67 |
| Torkoal | Rare | $0.89 | 1 in 24 (4.17%) | $9242.42 |
| Life Herb | Uncommon | $0.86 | 1 in 9 (10.71%) | $3594.45 |
| Mankey | Common | $0.85 | 1 in 6 (17.86%) | $2156.67 |
| Turtwig | Common | $0.85 | 1 in 6 (17.86%) | $2156.67 |
| Good Rod | Uncommon | $0.84 | 1 in 9 (10.71%) | $3594.45 |
| Dunsparce | Uncommon | $0.81 | 1 in 9 (10.71%) | $3594.45 |
| Roserade | Rare | $0.80 | 1 in 24 (4.17%) | $9242.42 |
| Teddiursa | Common | $0.78 | 1 in 6 (17.86%) | $2156.67 |
| Fearow | Rare | $0.77 | 1 in 24 (4.17%) | $9242.42 |
| Cherrim | Uncommon | $0.76 | 1 in 9 (10.71%) | $3594.45 |
| Larvitar (50) | Common | $0.74 | 1 in 6 (17.86%) | $2156.67 |
| Numel | Uncommon | $0.73 | 1 in 9 (10.71%) | $3594.45 |
| Super Scoop Up | Uncommon | $0.71 | 1 in 9 (10.71%) | $3594.45 |
| Golbat | Uncommon | $0.69 | 1 in 9 (10.71%) | $3594.45 |
| Dual Ball | Uncommon | $0.68 | 1 in 9 (10.71%) | $3594.45 |
| Pupitar (39) | Uncommon | $0.58 | 1 in 9 (10.71%) | $3594.45 |
| Onix (56) | Common | $0.57 | 1 in 6 (17.86%) | $2156.67 |
| PlusPower | Uncommon | $0.53 | 1 in 9 (10.71%) | $3594.45 |
| Horsea | Common | $0.52 | 1 in 6 (17.86%) | $2156.67 |
| Weedle | Common | $0.52 | 1 in 6 (17.86%) | $2156.67 |
| Kakuna | Uncommon | $0.51 | 1 in 9 (10.71%) | $3594.45 |
| Zubat | Common | $0.50 | 1 in 6 (17.86%) | $2156.67 |
| Natu | Common | $0.49 | 1 in 6 (17.86%) | $2156.67 |
| Pupitar (38) | Uncommon | $0.48 | 1 in 9 (10.71%) | $3594.45 |
| Poliwag | Common | $0.47 | 1 in 6 (17.86%) | $2156.67 |
| Larvitar (51) | Common | $0.46 | 1 in 6 (17.86%) | $2156.67 |
| Roselia | Common | $0.46 | 1 in 6 (17.86%) | $2156.67 |
| Chinchou | Common | $0.45 | 1 in 6 (17.86%) | $2156.67 |
| Emcee's Chatter | Uncommon | $0.43 | 1 in 9 (10.71%) | $3594.45 |
| Good Rod | Uncommon | $0.42 | 1 in 9 (10.71%) | $3594.45 |
| Engineer's Adjustments | Uncommon | $0.41 | 1 in 9 (10.71%) | $3594.45 |
| Magmar | Common | $0.41 | 1 in 6 (17.86%) | $2156.67 |
| Stantler | Common | $0.41 | 1 in 6 (17.86%) | $2156.67 |
| Buizel | Common | $0.40 | 1 in 6 (17.86%) | $2156.67 |
| Metang | Uncommon | $0.40 | 1 in 9 (10.71%) | $3594.45 |
| Riolu | Common | $0.40 | 1 in 6 (17.86%) | $2156.67 |
| Tropius | Common | $0.38 | 1 in 6 (17.86%) | $2156.67 |
| Cheerleader's Cheer | Uncommon | $0.36 | 1 in 9 (10.71%) | $3594.45 |
| Misdreavus | Common | $0.36 | 1 in 6 (17.86%) | $2156.67 |
| Spearow | Common | $0.36 | 1 in 6 (17.86%) | $2156.67 |
| Onix (57) | Common | $0.35 | 1 in 6 (17.86%) | $2156.67 |
| Carnivine | Common | $0.34 | 1 in 6 (17.86%) | $2156.67 |
| Aipom | Common | $0.33 | 1 in 6 (17.86%) | $2156.67 |
| Beldum | Common | $0.32 | 1 in 6 (17.86%) | $2156.67 |
| Remoraid | Common | $0.32 | 1 in 6 (17.86%) | $2156.67 |
| Cherubi | Common | $0.31 | 1 in 6 (17.86%) | $2156.67 |
| Energy Returner | Uncommon | $0.30 | 1 in 9 (10.71%) | $3594.45 |
| Interviewer's Questions | Uncommon | $0.28 | 1 in 9 (10.71%) | $3594.45 |
| Pokemon Circulator | Uncommon | $0.28 | 1 in 9 (10.71%) | $3594.45 |
| Life Herb | Uncommon | $0.26 | 1 in 9 (10.71%) | $3594.45 |