Sets / XY - BREAKpoint

XY - BREAKpoint

A $46.32 XY - BREAKpoint pack returns $14.31 in expected card value on average — 31% of what you paid.

No official TCGPlayer pull-rate article covers XY - BREAKpoint, so these odds come from thepricedex.com, which discloses a disclosed sample. Sources that do not state how many packs they counted are not used here, however confident they sound.

How these figures are calculated, including the sourcing bar and what this model deliberately does not do.

Products in this set

ProductPriceExpected valueExpected return
XY BREAKpoint Booster Pack$46.32$14.3131%
XY - BREAKpoint Sleeved Booster Pack$53.49$14.3127%
BREAKpoint Single Pack Blister [Hydreigon]$90.00$14.3116%
XY BREAKpoint Elite Trainer Box$1099.99$128.8312%
Triple Power Tin [Shiny Gyarados EX]$397.97$42.9411%
BREAKpoint Single Pack Blister [Pikachu]$399.99$14.314%
XY BREAKpoint Booster Box—$515.31TBD
BREAKpoint 3 Pack Blister [Pyroar]—$42.94TBD
BREAKpoint Collector Pin 3 Pack Blister [Shiny Mega Gyarados]—$42.94TBD
Triple Power Tin [Mewtwo EX]—$42.94TBD
Triple Power Tin [Machamp EX]—$42.94TBD
BREAKpoint 3 Pack Blister [Umbreon]—$42.94TBD
BREAKpoint Collector Pin 3 Pack Blister [Mega Scizor]—$42.94TBD

Where to buy

XY BREAKpoint Booster Pack · XY - BREAKpoint Sleeved Booster Pack · BREAKpoint Single Pack Blister [Hydreigon] · XY BREAKpoint Elite Trainer Box · Triple Power Tin [Shiny Gyarados EX] · BREAKpoint Single Pack Blister [Pikachu] · XY BREAKpoint Booster Box · BREAKpoint 3 Pack Blister [Pyroar] · BREAKpoint Collector Pin 3 Pack Blister [Shiny Mega Gyarados] · Triple Power Tin [Mewtwo EX] · Triple Power Tin [Machamp EX] · BREAKpoint 3 Pack Blister [Umbreon] · BREAKpoint Collector Pin 3 Pack Blister [Mega Scizor]

Expected return by product type

ProductPrice per packExpected return
Booster Pack$46.3231%
Elite Trainer Box$122.2212%

Pull rates (source: community_estimate)

RarityPull rateSample
Secret Rare0.8%
Rare BREAK6.67%
Holo Rare16.67%
Ultra Rare15.88%
Rare66.67%
Common500%
Uncommon300%

Cards & odds

CardRarityMarket priceOddsCost to pull
Gyarados EX (Secret)Secret Rare$197.211 in 125 (0.8%)$5790.00
M Gyarados EX (Full Art)Ultra Rare$122.311 in 126 (0.79%)$5833.75
Gyarados EX (Full Art)Ultra Rare$78.661 in 126 (0.79%)$5833.75
Espeon EX (Full Art)Ultra Rare$77.761 in 126 (0.79%)$5833.75
Darkrai EX (Full Art)Ultra Rare$62.821 in 126 (0.79%)$5833.75
SkylaUltra Rare$52.321 in 126 (0.79%)$5833.75
M Gyarados EXUltra Rare$51.541 in 126 (0.79%)$5833.75
M Scizor EX (Full Art)Ultra Rare$48.161 in 126 (0.79%)$5833.75
Ho-Oh EX (Full Art)Ultra Rare$44.651 in 126 (0.79%)$5833.75
Greninja BREAKRare BREAK$29.831 in 75 (1.33%)$3472.26
Espeon EXUltra Rare$29.721 in 126 (0.79%)$5833.75
Scizor EX (Full Art)Ultra Rare$26.791 in 126 (0.79%)$5833.75
Gyarados EXUltra Rare$26.181 in 126 (0.79%)$5833.75
M Scizor EXUltra Rare$20.481 in 126 (0.79%)$5833.75
Manaphy EX (Full Art)Ultra Rare$17.741 in 126 (0.79%)$5833.75
Darkrai EXUltra Rare$16.271 in 126 (0.79%)$5833.75
Luxray BREAKRare BREAK$7.471 in 75 (1.33%)$3472.26
Palkia EXUltra Rare$6.851 in 126 (0.79%)$5833.75
Golduck BREAKRare BREAK$6.651 in 75 (1.33%)$3472.26
Ho-Oh EXUltra Rare$6.201 in 126 (0.79%)$5833.75
Togekiss EXUltra Rare$5.341 in 126 (0.79%)$5833.75
Scizor EXUltra Rare$5.311 in 126 (0.79%)$5833.75
Trevenant BREAKRare BREAK$4.361 in 75 (1.33%)$3472.26
Manaphy EXUltra Rare$4.171 in 126 (0.79%)$5833.75
Emboar EXUltra Rare$4.021 in 126 (0.79%)$5833.75
Raticate BREAKRare BREAK$3.591 in 75 (1.33%)$3472.26
All-Night PartyUncommon$60.491 in 14 (7.32%)$624.43
HypnoRare$28.481 in 24 (4.17%)$1096.51
ClefairyCommon$21.351 in 7 (15.15%)$301.55
LaprasUncommon$14.481 in 14 (7.32%)$624.43
PsyduckCommon$13.281 in 7 (15.15%)$301.55
SlowpokeCommon$10.671 in 7 (15.15%)$301.55
GreninjaRare$8.711 in 24 (4.17%)$1096.51
All-Night PartyUncommon$7.161 in 14 (7.32%)$624.43
HypnoRare$6.871 in 24 (4.17%)$1096.51
ArcanineUncommon$6.001 in 14 (7.32%)$624.43
Gyarados Spirit LinkUncommon$5.531 in 14 (7.32%)$624.43
GarchompHolo Rare$4.551 in 42 (2.38%)$1918.60
SuicuneHolo Rare$3.921 in 42 (2.38%)$1918.60
SuicuneHolo Rare$3.871 in 42 (2.38%)$1918.60
MeganiumHolo Rare$3.621 in 42 (2.38%)$1918.60
ClefairyCommon$3.591 in 7 (15.15%)$301.55
SlowbroUncommon$3.231 in 14 (7.32%)$624.43
ShinxCommon$2.911 in 7 (15.15%)$301.55
Fighting Fury BeltUncommon$2.821 in 14 (7.32%)$624.43
GreninjaRare$2.701 in 24 (4.17%)$1096.51
Max ElixirUncommon$2.421 in 14 (7.32%)$624.43
BayleefUncommon$2.331 in 14 (7.32%)$624.43
ClefableRare$2.301 in 24 (4.17%)$1096.51
Splash EnergyUncommon$2.181 in 14 (7.32%)$624.43
GarchompHolo Rare$2.161 in 42 (2.38%)$1918.60
CloysterUncommon$2.041 in 14 (7.32%)$624.43
NuzleafUncommon$2.011 in 14 (7.32%)$624.43
Misty's DeterminationUncommon$1.981 in 14 (7.32%)$624.43
MeganiumHolo Rare$1.851 in 42 (2.38%)$1918.60
SudowoodoUncommon$1.831 in 14 (7.32%)$624.43
SlowkingHolo Rare$1.591 in 42 (2.38%)$1918.60
EspurrCommon$1.531 in 7 (15.15%)$301.55
GarbodorHolo Rare$1.441 in 42 (2.38%)$1918.60
Max ElixirUncommon$1.301 in 14 (7.32%)$624.43
SlowkingHolo Rare$1.241 in 42 (2.38%)$1918.60
GarbodorHolo Rare$1.201 in 42 (2.38%)$1918.60
PsyduckCommon$1.091 in 7 (15.15%)$301.55
ClefableRare$1.071 in 24 (4.17%)$1096.51
GrowlitheCommon$1.031 in 7 (15.15%)$301.55
Scizor Spirit LinkUncommon$1.031 in 14 (7.32%)$624.43
DrapionRare$1.021 in 24 (4.17%)$1096.51
TrubbishCommon$0.941 in 7 (15.15%)$301.55
LilligantRare$0.901 in 24 (4.17%)$1096.51
FrogadierUncommon$0.891 in 14 (7.32%)$624.43
PangoroRare$0.881 in 24 (4.17%)$1096.51
ChikoritaCommon$0.871 in 7 (15.15%)$301.55
AromatisseUncommon$0.851 in 14 (7.32%)$624.43
Fighting Fury BeltUncommon$0.821 in 14 (7.32%)$624.43
DragalgeHolo Rare$0.801 in 42 (2.38%)$1918.60
GolduckRare$0.791 in 24 (4.17%)$1096.51
CorsolaCommon$0.771 in 7 (15.15%)$301.55
Reverse ValleyUncommon$0.761 in 14 (7.32%)$624.43
MawileUncommon$0.761 in 14 (7.32%)$624.43
KricketuneUncommon$0.751 in 14 (7.32%)$624.43
Splash EnergyUncommon$0.731 in 14 (7.32%)$624.43
MeowsticRare$0.711 in 24 (4.17%)$1096.51
GabiteUncommon$0.711 in 14 (7.32%)$624.43
DelinquentUncommon$0.711 in 14 (7.32%)$624.43
FroakieCommon$0.701 in 7 (15.15%)$301.55
Puzzle of TimeUncommon$0.671 in 14 (7.32%)$624.43
SpritzeeCommon$0.671 in 7 (15.15%)$301.55
PuruglyUncommon$0.661 in 14 (7.32%)$624.43
SeedotCommon$0.651 in 7 (15.15%)$301.55
ShiftryRare$0.651 in 24 (4.17%)$1096.51
SwannaUncommon$0.631 in 14 (7.32%)$624.43
NuzleafUncommon$0.631 in 14 (7.32%)$624.43
CameruptRare$0.611 in 24 (4.17%)$1096.51
Great BallUncommon$0.601 in 14 (7.32%)$624.43
PhantumpCommon$0.591 in 7 (15.15%)$301.55
AegislashHolo Rare$0.581 in 42 (2.38%)$1918.60
LuxioUncommon$0.561 in 14 (7.32%)$624.43
SeismitoadRare$0.541 in 24 (4.17%)$1096.51
RaticateRare$0.541 in 24 (4.17%)$1096.51
StantlerUncommon$0.541 in 14 (7.32%)$624.43
DucklettCommon$0.531 in 7 (15.15%)$301.55
LuxrayRare$0.531 in 24 (4.17%)$1096.51
Professor SycamoreUncommon$0.521 in 14 (7.32%)$624.43
SlowbroUncommon$0.511 in 14 (7.32%)$624.43
StaryuCommon$0.511 in 7 (15.15%)$301.55
ElectivireUncommon$0.511 in 14 (7.32%)$624.43
TrevenantRare$0.501 in 24 (4.17%)$1096.51
SkrelpCommon$0.501 in 7 (15.15%)$301.55
DragalgeHolo Rare$0.491 in 42 (2.38%)$1918.60
PetililCommon$0.481 in 7 (15.15%)$301.55
BlitzleCommon$0.481 in 7 (15.15%)$301.55
DrowzeeCommon$0.481 in 7 (15.15%)$301.55
PanchamCommon$0.481 in 7 (15.15%)$301.55
DunsparceUncommon$0.481 in 14 (7.32%)$624.43
Max PotionUncommon$0.481 in 14 (7.32%)$624.43
ElectabuzzCommon$0.471 in 7 (15.15%)$301.55
AegislashHolo Rare$0.471 in 42 (2.38%)$1918.60
LaprasUncommon$0.461 in 14 (7.32%)$624.43
TrubbishCommon$0.451 in 7 (15.15%)$301.55
FurfrouCommon$0.451 in 7 (15.15%)$301.55
ArcanineUncommon$0.441 in 14 (7.32%)$624.43
SlowpokeCommon$0.441 in 7 (15.15%)$301.55
NumelCommon$0.431 in 7 (15.15%)$301.55
SigilyphUncommon$0.431 in 14 (7.32%)$624.43
Psychic's Third EyeUncommon$0.431 in 14 (7.32%)$624.43
DurantUncommon$0.421 in 14 (7.32%)$624.43
SudowoodoUncommon$0.421 in 14 (7.32%)$624.43
Shellder (22)Common$0.411 in 7 (15.15%)$301.55
ZebstrikaRare$0.411 in 24 (4.17%)$1096.51
GibleCommon$0.411 in 7 (15.15%)$301.55
ChikoritaCommon$0.401 in 7 (15.15%)$301.55
KricketotCommon$0.401 in 7 (15.15%)$301.55
Shellder (23)Common$0.401 in 7 (15.15%)$301.55
LuxrayRare$0.401 in 24 (4.17%)$1096.51
BayleefUncommon$0.391 in 14 (7.32%)$624.43
RattataCommon$0.391 in 7 (15.15%)$301.55
GlameowCommon$0.381 in 7 (15.15%)$301.55
Bursting BalloonUncommon$0.381 in 14 (7.32%)$624.43
Pokemon CatcherUncommon$0.381 in 14 (7.32%)$624.43
TiernoUncommon$0.381 in 14 (7.32%)$624.43
TympoleCommon$0.371 in 7 (15.15%)$301.55
EspurrCommon$0.371 in 7 (15.15%)$301.55
FerrothornRare$0.361 in 24 (4.17%)$1096.51
LilligantRare$0.341 in 24 (4.17%)$1096.51
HeatmorUncommon$0.341 in 14 (7.32%)$624.43
HonedgeCommon$0.341 in 7 (15.15%)$301.55
PotionUncommon$0.341 in 14 (7.32%)$624.43
PalpitoadUncommon$0.331 in 14 (7.32%)$624.43
SeismitoadRare$0.331 in 24 (4.17%)$1096.51
DoubladeUncommon$0.331 in 14 (7.32%)$624.43
GrowlitheCommon$0.321 in 7 (15.15%)$301.55
GolduckRare$0.321 in 24 (4.17%)$1096.51
FrogadierUncommon$0.321 in 14 (7.32%)$624.43
DrapionRare$0.321 in 24 (4.17%)$1096.51
PangoroRare$0.321 in 24 (4.17%)$1096.51
ShinxCommon$0.311 in 7 (15.15%)$301.55
TrevenantRare$0.311 in 24 (4.17%)$1096.51
SkorupiCommon$0.311 in 7 (15.15%)$301.55
AromatisseUncommon$0.311 in 14 (7.32%)$624.43
Gyarados Spirit LinkUncommon$0.311 in 14 (7.32%)$624.43
DelinquentUncommon$0.301 in 14 (7.32%)$624.43
Scizor Spirit LinkUncommon$0.301 in 14 (7.32%)$624.43
FerroseedCommon$0.291 in 7 (15.15%)$301.55
Professor SycamoreUncommon$0.291 in 14 (7.32%)$624.43
SpritzeeCommon$0.281 in 7 (15.15%)$301.55
RaticateRare$0.281 in 24 (4.17%)$1096.51
CorsolaCommon$0.261 in 7 (15.15%)$301.55
FroakieCommon$0.261 in 7 (15.15%)$301.55
Misty's DeterminationUncommon$0.261 in 14 (7.32%)$624.43
StaryuCommon$0.251 in 7 (15.15%)$301.55
ZebstrikaRare$0.251 in 24 (4.17%)$1096.51
Reverse ValleyUncommon$0.241 in 14 (7.32%)$624.43
MeowsticRare$0.241 in 24 (4.17%)$1096.51
KricketotCommon$0.231 in 7 (15.15%)$301.55
DunsparceUncommon$0.231 in 14 (7.32%)$624.43
CloysterUncommon$0.221 in 14 (7.32%)$624.43
BlitzleCommon$0.221 in 7 (15.15%)$301.55
Puzzle of TimeUncommon$0.221 in 14 (7.32%)$624.43
PalpitoadUncommon$0.211 in 14 (7.32%)$624.43
HonedgeCommon$0.211 in 7 (15.15%)$301.55
ShiftryRare$0.211 in 24 (4.17%)$1096.51
PuruglyUncommon$0.211 in 14 (7.32%)$624.43
Max PotionUncommon$0.211 in 14 (7.32%)$624.43
GabiteUncommon$0.201 in 14 (7.32%)$624.43
PanchamCommon$0.201 in 7 (15.15%)$301.55
SeedotCommon$0.181 in 7 (15.15%)$301.55
ElectivireUncommon$0.181 in 14 (7.32%)$624.43
MawileUncommon$0.181 in 14 (7.32%)$624.43
NumelCommon$0.171 in 7 (15.15%)$301.55
PhantumpCommon$0.171 in 7 (15.15%)$301.55
Bursting BalloonUncommon$0.171 in 14 (7.32%)$624.43
TympoleCommon$0.161 in 7 (15.15%)$301.55
Great BallUncommon$0.161 in 14 (7.32%)$624.43
PetililCommon$0.151 in 7 (15.15%)$301.55
GibleCommon$0.151 in 7 (15.15%)$301.55
TiernoUncommon$0.151 in 14 (7.32%)$624.43
SwannaUncommon$0.141 in 14 (7.32%)$624.43
FerrothornRare$0.141 in 24 (4.17%)$1096.51
Psychic's Third EyeUncommon$0.141 in 14 (7.32%)$624.43
RattataCommon$0.131 in 7 (15.15%)$301.55
LuxioUncommon$0.121 in 14 (7.32%)$624.43
CameruptRare$0.111 in 24 (4.17%)$1096.51
Shellder (23)Common$0.111 in 7 (15.15%)$301.55
DurantUncommon$0.101 in 14 (7.32%)$624.43
DrowzeeCommon$0.101 in 7 (15.15%)$301.55
Shellder (22)Common$0.091 in 7 (15.15%)$301.55
GlameowCommon$0.091 in 7 (15.15%)$301.55
SkorupiCommon$0.081 in 7 (15.15%)$301.55
SkrelpCommon$0.081 in 7 (15.15%)$301.55
Pokemon CatcherUncommon$0.081 in 14 (7.32%)$624.43
DoubladeUncommon$0.071 in 14 (7.32%)$624.43
KricketuneUncommon$0.061 in 14 (7.32%)$624.43
StantlerUncommon$0.061 in 14 (7.32%)$624.43
FurfrouCommon$0.061 in 7 (15.15%)$301.55
DucklettCommon$0.051 in 7 (15.15%)$301.55
SigilyphUncommon$0.051 in 14 (7.32%)$624.43
FerroseedCommon$0.051 in 7 (15.15%)$301.55
PotionUncommon$0.051 in 14 (7.32%)$624.43
HeatmorUncommon$0.031 in 14 (7.32%)$624.43
ElectabuzzCommon$0.031 in 7 (15.15%)$301.55