Sets / XY - Flashfire

XY - Flashfire

A $160.85 XY - Flashfire pack returns $17.78 in expected card value on average — 11% of what you paid.

No official TCGPlayer pull-rate article covers XY - Flashfire, so these odds come from thepricedex.com, which discloses a disclosed sample. Sources that do not state how many packs they counted are not used here, however confident they sound.

How these figures are calculated, including the sourcing bar and what this model deliberately does not do.

Products in this set

ProductPriceExpected valueExpected return
Flashfire Booster Pack$160.85$17.7811%
Flashfire Sleeved Booster Pack$186.41$17.7810%
Kalos Power Tin [Delphox Tin]—$53.34TBD
Flashfire Booster Box—$640.12TBD
Flashfire Single Pack Blister [Honedge]—$17.78TBD
Kalos Power Tin [Chesnaught EX]—$53.34TBD
Flashfire Collector Pin 3 Pack Blister [Mega Charizard X]—$53.34TBD
Flashfire Collector Pin 3 Pack Blister [Mega Lucario]—$53.34TBD
Kalos Power Tin [Greninja]—$53.34TBD
Flashfire 3 Pack Blister [Haxorus]—$53.34TBD
Flashfire Collector Pin 3 Pack Blister [Mega Charizard Y]—$53.34TBD
Flashfire Single Pack Blister [Skiddo]—$17.78TBD

Where to buy

Flashfire Booster Pack · Flashfire Sleeved Booster Pack · Kalos Power Tin [Delphox Tin] · Flashfire Booster Box · Flashfire Single Pack Blister [Honedge] · Kalos Power Tin [Chesnaught EX] · Flashfire Collector Pin 3 Pack Blister [Mega Charizard X] · Flashfire Collector Pin 3 Pack Blister [Mega Lucario] · Kalos Power Tin [Greninja] · Flashfire 3 Pack Blister [Haxorus] · Flashfire Collector Pin 3 Pack Blister [Mega Charizard Y] · Flashfire Single Pack Blister [Skiddo]

Expected return by product type

ProductPrice per packExpected return
Booster Pack$160.8511%

Pull rates (source: community_estimate)

RarityPull rateSample
Secret Rare0.88%
Ultra Rare12.74%
Holo Rare19.61%
Rare66.67%
Common500%
Uncommon300%

Cards & odds

CardRarityMarket priceOddsCost to pull
M Charizard EX (X) (Secret)Secret Rare$1501.231 in 341 (0.29%)$54835.23
M Charizard EX (Y) (Secret)Secret Rare$317.991 in 341 (0.29%)$54835.23
Charizard EX (100 Full Art)Ultra Rare$287.031 in 118 (0.85%)$18938.38
M Charizard EX (X)Ultra Rare$280.021 in 118 (0.85%)$18938.38
M Kangaskhan EX (109 Secret Rare)Secret Rare$70.061 in 341 (0.29%)$54835.23
M Charizard EX (Y)Ultra Rare$68.551 in 118 (0.85%)$18938.38
Pokemon Center Lady (105 Full Art)Ultra Rare$57.021 in 118 (0.85%)$18938.38
Lysandre (104 Full Art)Ultra Rare$32.991 in 118 (0.85%)$18938.38
Kangaskhan EX (103 Full Art)Ultra Rare$31.351 in 118 (0.85%)$18938.38
Pokemon Fan Club (106 Full Art)Ultra Rare$25.541 in 118 (0.85%)$18938.38
Toxicroak EX (102 Full Art)Ultra Rare$24.811 in 118 (0.85%)$18938.38
M Kangaskhan EXUltra Rare$19.201 in 118 (0.85%)$18938.38
Magnezone EX (101 Full Art)Ultra Rare$18.831 in 118 (0.85%)$18938.38
Charizard EX (12)Ultra Rare$18.781 in 118 (0.85%)$18938.38
Charizard EX (11)Ultra Rare$16.731 in 118 (0.85%)$18938.38
Toxicroak EXUltra Rare$4.971 in 118 (0.85%)$18938.38
Magnezone EXUltra Rare$2.871 in 118 (0.85%)$18938.38
Kangaskhan EXUltra Rare$2.801 in 118 (0.85%)$18938.38
SnorlaxRare$24.251 in 30 (3.33%)$4845.66
Pal PadUncommon$9.241 in 11 (9.38%)$1722.99
Sacred AshUncommon$6.381 in 11 (9.38%)$1722.99
SnorlaxRare$5.451 in 30 (3.33%)$4845.66
Ultra BallUncommon$4.621 in 11 (9.38%)$1722.99
PidgeotRare$4.301 in 30 (3.33%)$4845.66
MiltankUncommon$4.051 in 11 (9.38%)$1722.99
BlacksmithUncommon$3.321 in 11 (9.38%)$1722.99
MiloticHolo Rare$3.191 in 41 (2.45%)$6589.70
LopunnyRare$2.881 in 30 (3.33%)$4845.66
FurretRare$2.741 in 30 (3.33%)$4845.66
ForretressRare$2.421 in 30 (3.33%)$4845.66
PidgeottoUncommon$2.011 in 11 (9.38%)$1722.99
FurretRare$2.011 in 30 (3.33%)$4845.66
Protection CubeUncommon$1.941 in 11 (9.38%)$1722.99
FlorgesHolo Rare$1.871 in 41 (2.45%)$6589.70
RapidashUncommon$1.851 in 11 (9.38%)$1722.99
MiloticHolo Rare$1.851 in 41 (2.45%)$6589.70
Pokemon Center LadyUncommon$1.811 in 11 (9.38%)$1722.99
GoodraHolo Rare$1.771 in 41 (2.45%)$6589.70
LuxrayRare$1.751 in 30 (3.33%)$4845.66
Flabebe (62)Common$1.741 in 6 (16.13%)$1001.49
SliggooUncommon$1.541 in 11 (9.38%)$1722.99
PonytaCommon$1.531 in 6 (16.13%)$1001.49
ButterfreeRare$1.481 in 30 (3.33%)$4845.66
PyroarHolo Rare$1.471 in 41 (2.45%)$6589.70
Floette (65)Uncommon$1.371 in 11 (9.38%)$1722.99
MetapodUncommon$1.341 in 11 (9.38%)$1722.99
BlacksmithUncommon$1.331 in 11 (9.38%)$1722.99
LysandreUncommon$1.331 in 11 (9.38%)$1722.99
LuvdiscUncommon$1.281 in 11 (9.38%)$1722.99
WalreinRare$1.271 in 30 (3.33%)$4845.66
Floette (64)Rare$1.271 in 30 (3.33%)$4845.66
FlorgesHolo Rare$1.241 in 41 (2.45%)$6589.70
Trick ShovelUncommon$1.241 in 11 (9.38%)$1722.99
GoodraHolo Rare$1.221 in 41 (2.45%)$6589.70
CarbinkHolo Rare$1.171 in 41 (2.45%)$6589.70
SealeoUncommon$1.161 in 11 (9.38%)$1722.99
ForretressRare$1.151 in 30 (3.33%)$4845.66
PidgeotRare$1.131 in 30 (3.33%)$4845.66
DusclopsUncommon$1.121 in 11 (9.38%)$1722.99
DragalgeRare$1.121 in 30 (3.33%)$4845.66
TorkoalUncommon$1.111 in 11 (9.38%)$1722.99
EspurrCommon$1.111 in 6 (16.13%)$1001.49
Sneasel (50)Uncommon$1.111 in 11 (9.38%)$1722.99
LuxioUncommon$1.071 in 11 (9.38%)$1722.99
BunearyCommon$1.071 in 6 (16.13%)$1001.49
MeowsticRare$1.041 in 30 (3.33%)$4845.66
DusknoirHolo Rare$0.981 in 41 (2.45%)$6589.70
DruddigonHolo Rare$0.931 in 41 (2.45%)$6589.70
RoseradeUncommon$0.921 in 11 (9.38%)$1722.99
ScraftyRare$0.921 in 30 (3.33%)$4845.66
DurantRare$0.901 in 30 (3.33%)$4845.66
FloatzelRare$0.891 in 30 (3.33%)$4845.66
PyroarHolo Rare$0.881 in 41 (2.45%)$6589.70
SphealCommon$0.881 in 6 (16.13%)$1001.49
GolemRare$0.881 in 30 (3.33%)$4845.66
WeavileRare$0.881 in 30 (3.33%)$4845.66
Startling MegaphoneUncommon$0.881 in 11 (9.38%)$1722.99
GoomyCommon$0.851 in 6 (16.13%)$1001.49
PidgeyCommon$0.831 in 6 (16.13%)$1001.49
RoseliaCommon$0.811 in 6 (16.13%)$1001.49
AvaluggUncommon$0.811 in 11 (9.38%)$1722.99
FurfrouUncommon$0.801 in 11 (9.38%)$1722.99
DuskullCommon$0.791 in 6 (16.13%)$1001.49
SkuntankRare$0.771 in 30 (3.33%)$4845.66
Floette (64)Rare$0.771 in 30 (3.33%)$4845.66
ButterfreeRare$0.751 in 30 (3.33%)$4845.66
CarbinkHolo Rare$0.751 in 41 (2.45%)$6589.70
QwilfishRare$0.741 in 30 (3.33%)$4845.66
KrokorokUncommon$0.731 in 11 (9.38%)$1722.99
ShiftryHolo Rare$0.721 in 41 (2.45%)$6589.70
BarbaracleRare$0.721 in 30 (3.33%)$4845.66
ShinxCommon$0.711 in 6 (16.13%)$1001.49
HelioliskRare$0.711 in 30 (3.33%)$4845.66
MeowsticRare$0.701 in 30 (3.33%)$4845.66
GravelerUncommon$0.691 in 11 (9.38%)$1722.99
MaractusUncommon$0.681 in 11 (9.38%)$1722.99
Flabebe (63)Common$0.671 in 6 (16.13%)$1001.49
DragalgeRare$0.671 in 30 (3.33%)$4845.66
FeebasCommon$0.641 in 6 (16.13%)$1001.49
DruddigonHolo Rare$0.641 in 41 (2.45%)$6589.70
Pokemon Fan ClubUncommon$0.641 in 11 (9.38%)$1722.99
BuizelCommon$0.631 in 6 (16.13%)$1001.49
SpritzeeCommon$0.611 in 6 (16.13%)$1001.49
Ultra BallUncommon$0.611 in 11 (9.38%)$1722.99
SkrelpCommon$0.601 in 6 (16.13%)$1001.49
CaterpieCommon$0.591 in 6 (16.13%)$1001.49
NuzleafUncommon$0.591 in 11 (9.38%)$1722.99
FletchinderUncommon$0.591 in 11 (9.38%)$1722.99
LuxrayRare$0.591 in 30 (3.33%)$4845.66
GeodudeCommon$0.591 in 6 (16.13%)$1001.49
HelioptileCommon$0.561 in 6 (16.13%)$1001.49
Magnetic StormUncommon$0.561 in 11 (9.38%)$1722.99
BergmiteCommon$0.551 in 6 (16.13%)$1001.49
Sneasel (51)Common$0.541 in 6 (16.13%)$1001.49
GolemRare$0.531 in 30 (3.33%)$4845.66
ShiftryHolo Rare$0.521 in 41 (2.45%)$6589.70
LopunnyRare$0.521 in 30 (3.33%)$4845.66
Litleo (18)Common$0.501 in 6 (16.13%)$1001.49
FloatzelRare$0.501 in 30 (3.33%)$4845.66
BarbaracleRare$0.501 in 30 (3.33%)$4845.66
Pal PadUncommon$0.501 in 11 (9.38%)$1722.99
BinacleCommon$0.491 in 6 (16.13%)$1001.49
ScraggyCommon$0.491 in 6 (16.13%)$1001.49
RapidashUncommon$0.481 in 11 (9.38%)$1722.99
Stunky (54)Common$0.481 in 6 (16.13%)$1001.49
SentretCommon$0.481 in 6 (16.13%)$1001.49
Litleo (19)Common$0.471 in 6 (16.13%)$1001.49
WalreinRare$0.471 in 30 (3.33%)$4845.66
Fiery TorchUncommon$0.461 in 11 (9.38%)$1722.99
Sacred AshUncommon$0.461 in 11 (9.38%)$1722.99
DusknoirHolo Rare$0.451 in 41 (2.45%)$6589.70
SandileCommon$0.451 in 6 (16.13%)$1001.49
Floette (65)Uncommon$0.451 in 11 (9.38%)$1722.99
HelioliskRare$0.441 in 30 (3.33%)$4845.66
ScraftyRare$0.441 in 30 (3.33%)$4845.66
PidgeottoUncommon$0.441 in 11 (9.38%)$1722.99
PinecoCommon$0.431 in 6 (16.13%)$1001.49
SeedotCommon$0.431 in 6 (16.13%)$1001.49
WeavileRare$0.431 in 30 (3.33%)$4845.66
PonytaCommon$0.411 in 6 (16.13%)$1001.49
SkuntankRare$0.411 in 30 (3.33%)$4845.66
BunearyCommon$0.411 in 6 (16.13%)$1001.49
EspurrCommon$0.401 in 6 (16.13%)$1001.49
SliggooUncommon$0.391 in 11 (9.38%)$1722.99
Stunky (53)Common$0.381 in 6 (16.13%)$1001.49
MiltankUncommon$0.371 in 11 (9.38%)$1722.99
FletchlingCommon$0.371 in 6 (16.13%)$1001.49
QwilfishRare$0.361 in 30 (3.33%)$4845.66
DurantRare$0.361 in 30 (3.33%)$4845.66
FurfrouUncommon$0.341 in 11 (9.38%)$1722.99
Fiery TorchUncommon$0.341 in 11 (9.38%)$1722.99
Pokemon Fan ClubUncommon$0.331 in 11 (9.38%)$1722.99
LuxioUncommon$0.321 in 11 (9.38%)$1722.99
FeebasCommon$0.311 in 6 (16.13%)$1001.49
ShinxCommon$0.311 in 6 (16.13%)$1001.49
Protection CubeUncommon$0.311 in 11 (9.38%)$1722.99
Startling MegaphoneUncommon$0.311 in 11 (9.38%)$1722.99
SealeoUncommon$0.301 in 11 (9.38%)$1722.99
LuvdiscUncommon$0.301 in 11 (9.38%)$1722.99
GravelerUncommon$0.291 in 11 (9.38%)$1722.99
Flabebe (63)Common$0.291 in 6 (16.13%)$1001.49
SentretCommon$0.291 in 6 (16.13%)$1001.49
Pokemon Center LadyUncommon$0.291 in 11 (9.38%)$1722.99
MetapodUncommon$0.281 in 11 (9.38%)$1722.99
SpritzeeCommon$0.281 in 6 (16.13%)$1001.49
MaractusUncommon$0.271 in 11 (9.38%)$1722.99
Litleo (19)Common$0.271 in 6 (16.13%)$1001.49
SphealCommon$0.271 in 6 (16.13%)$1001.49
ScraggyCommon$0.271 in 6 (16.13%)$1001.49
GoomyCommon$0.271 in 6 (16.13%)$1001.49
LysandreUncommon$0.271 in 11 (9.38%)$1722.99
Trick ShovelUncommon$0.271 in 11 (9.38%)$1722.99
CaterpieCommon$0.261 in 6 (16.13%)$1001.49
FletchinderUncommon$0.261 in 11 (9.38%)$1722.99
AvaluggUncommon$0.261 in 11 (9.38%)$1722.99
PidgeyCommon$0.261 in 6 (16.13%)$1001.49
Litleo (18)Common$0.251 in 6 (16.13%)$1001.49
RoseradeUncommon$0.241 in 11 (9.38%)$1722.99
BergmiteCommon$0.241 in 6 (16.13%)$1001.49
HelioptileCommon$0.241 in 6 (16.13%)$1001.49
Sneasel (51)Common$0.241 in 6 (16.13%)$1001.49
Flabebe (62)Common$0.241 in 6 (16.13%)$1001.49
TorkoalUncommon$0.231 in 11 (9.38%)$1722.99
DusclopsUncommon$0.221 in 11 (9.38%)$1722.99
SkrelpCommon$0.221 in 6 (16.13%)$1001.49
BuizelCommon$0.211 in 6 (16.13%)$1001.49
Sneasel (50)Uncommon$0.211 in 11 (9.38%)$1722.99
Stunky (54)Common$0.211 in 6 (16.13%)$1001.49
KrokorokUncommon$0.211 in 11 (9.38%)$1722.99
DuskullCommon$0.201 in 6 (16.13%)$1001.49
GeodudeCommon$0.201 in 6 (16.13%)$1001.49
Stunky (53)Common$0.201 in 6 (16.13%)$1001.49
PinecoCommon$0.181 in 6 (16.13%)$1001.49
RoseliaCommon$0.181 in 6 (16.13%)$1001.49
BinacleCommon$0.181 in 6 (16.13%)$1001.49
FletchlingCommon$0.181 in 6 (16.13%)$1001.49
SandileCommon$0.171 in 6 (16.13%)$1001.49
Magnetic StormUncommon$0.171 in 11 (9.38%)$1722.99
NuzleafUncommon$0.161 in 11 (9.38%)$1722.99
SeedotCommon$0.151 in 6 (16.13%)$1001.49