
A $76.99 XY - Furious Fists pack returns $14.95 in expected card value on average — 19% of what you paid.
No official TCGPlayer pull-rate article covers XY - Furious Fists. These odds come from thepricedex.com, which publishes a rate for each tier but does not say how many packs it counted to get there — so read them as indicative rather than measured. They are here because they are the best published figures for this set, and naming that limit is better than implying a precision the source never claimed.
How these figures are calculated, including the sourcing bar and what this model deliberately does not do.
| Product | Price | Expected value | Expected return |
|---|---|---|---|
| Furious Fists 3 Pack Blister [Slurpuff] | $230.98 | $44.86 | 19% |
| Furious Fists Booster Pack | $81.36 | $14.95 | 18% |
| Furious Fists Sleeved Booster Pack | $104.08 | $14.95 | 14% |
| Furious Fists Booster Box | $4717.50 | $538.29 | 11% |
| EX Power Trio Tin [Blastoise EX] | $499.99 | $44.86 | 9% |
| EX Power Trio Tin [Charizard EX] | $712.49 | $44.86 | 6% |
| EX Power Trio Tin [Venusaur EX] | — | $44.86 | TBD |
| Furious Fists Single Pack Blister [Zoroark] | — | $14.95 | TBD |
| Furious Fists Elite Trainer Box | — | $134.57 | TBD |
| Furious Fists Single Pack Blister [Gogoat] | — | $14.95 | TBD |
| Furious Fists 2 Pack Blister [Unova Trio] | — | $29.91 | TBD |
| Furious Fists 2 Pack Blister [Dusknoir] | — | $29.91 | TBD |
| Gengar Spirit Link 2-pack | — | $29.91 | TBD |
| Furious Fists 3 Pack Blister [Trevenant] | — | $44.86 | TBD |
Furious Fists 3 Pack Blister [Slurpuff] · Furious Fists Booster Pack · Furious Fists Sleeved Booster Pack · Furious Fists Booster Box · EX Power Trio Tin [Blastoise EX] · EX Power Trio Tin [Charizard EX] · EX Power Trio Tin [Venusaur EX] · Furious Fists Single Pack Blister [Zoroark] · Furious Fists Elite Trainer Box · Furious Fists Single Pack Blister [Gogoat] · Furious Fists 2 Pack Blister [Unova Trio] · Furious Fists 2 Pack Blister [Dusknoir] · Gengar Spirit Link 2-pack · Furious Fists 3 Pack Blister [Trevenant]
| Product | Price per pack | Expected return |
|---|---|---|
| Booster Pack | $81.36 | 18% |
| Booster Box | $131.04 | 11% |
| Rarity | Pull rate | Sample |
|---|---|---|
| Secret Rare | 0.97% | |
| Ultra Rare | 12.66% | |
| Holo Rare | 19.61% | |
| Rare | 66.67% | |
| Common | 500% | |
| Uncommon | 300% |
| Card | Rarity | Market price | Odds | Cost to pull |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dragonite EX (108 Full Art) | Ultra Rare | $163.61 | 1 in 111 (0.9%) | $8514.27 |
| M Lucario EX (Secret) | Secret Rare | $144.36 | 1 in 206 (0.49%) | $15874.91 |
| Lucario EX (107 Full Art) | Ultra Rare | $139.83 | 1 in 111 (0.9%) | $8514.27 |
| M Heracross EX (Secret) | Secret Rare | $52.28 | 1 in 206 (0.49%) | $15874.91 |
| M Lucario EX | Ultra Rare | $43.36 | 1 in 111 (0.9%) | $8514.27 |
| Heracross EX (105 Full Art) | Ultra Rare | $40.45 | 1 in 111 (0.9%) | $8514.27 |
| Korrina (111 Full Art) | Ultra Rare | $39.80 | 1 in 111 (0.9%) | $8514.27 |
| Fossil Researcher (110 Full Art) | Ultra Rare | $39.21 | 1 in 111 (0.9%) | $8514.27 |
| Seismitoad EX (106 Full Art) | Ultra Rare | $31.69 | 1 in 111 (0.9%) | $8514.27 |
| Hawlucha EX | Ultra Rare | $31.42 | 1 in 111 (0.9%) | $8514.27 |
| Dragonite EX | Ultra Rare | $18.37 | 1 in 111 (0.9%) | $8514.27 |
| Battle Reporter (109 Full Art) | Ultra Rare | $15.48 | 1 in 111 (0.9%) | $8514.27 |
| M Heracross EX | Ultra Rare | $15.25 | 1 in 111 (0.9%) | $8514.27 |
| Lucario EX | Ultra Rare | $14.39 | 1 in 111 (0.9%) | $8514.27 |
| Heracross EX | Ultra Rare | $6.84 | 1 in 111 (0.9%) | $8514.27 |
| Seismitoad EX | Ultra Rare | $4.67 | 1 in 111 (0.9%) | $8514.27 |
| Sylveon | Rare | $33.25 | 1 in 30 (3.33%) | $2084.90 |
| Pikachu | Common | $23.75 | 1 in 6 (17.24%) | $403.10 |
| Tyrantrum | Rare | $15.40 | 1 in 30 (3.33%) | $2084.90 |
| Sylveon | Rare | $14.44 | 1 in 30 (3.33%) | $2084.90 |
| Aurorus | Rare | $12.23 | 1 in 30 (3.33%) | $2084.90 |
| Glaceon | Rare | $11.40 | 1 in 30 (3.33%) | $2084.90 |
| Leafeon | Rare | $11.12 | 1 in 30 (3.33%) | $2084.90 |
| Eevee | Common | $9.40 | 1 in 6 (17.24%) | $403.10 |
| Amaura | Uncommon | $9.38 | 1 in 13 (7.69%) | $903.50 |
| Tyrunt | Uncommon | $8.86 | 1 in 13 (7.69%) | $903.50 |
| Politoed | Rare | $7.49 | 1 in 30 (3.33%) | $2084.90 |
| Tyrantrum | Rare | $7.39 | 1 in 30 (3.33%) | $2084.90 |
| Aurorus | Rare | $6.20 | 1 in 30 (3.33%) | $2084.90 |
| Blaziken | Holo Rare | $6.15 | 1 in 46 (2.18%) | $3189.70 |
| Plusle | Common | $5.84 | 1 in 6 (17.24%) | $403.10 |
| Pikachu | Common | $5.69 | 1 in 6 (17.24%) | $403.10 |
| Flygon | Rare | $5.03 | 1 in 30 (3.33%) | $2084.90 |
| Hitmontop | Uncommon | $4.81 | 1 in 13 (7.69%) | $903.50 |
| Raichu | Uncommon | $4.74 | 1 in 13 (7.69%) | $903.50 |
| Korrina | Uncommon | $4.27 | 1 in 13 (7.69%) | $903.50 |
| Jynx | Rare | $4.13 | 1 in 30 (3.33%) | $2084.90 |
| Minun | Common | $3.85 | 1 in 6 (17.24%) | $403.10 |
| Glaceon | Rare | $3.57 | 1 in 30 (3.33%) | $2084.90 |
| Blaziken | Holo Rare | $3.55 | 1 in 46 (2.18%) | $3189.70 |
| Machoke | Uncommon | $3.02 | 1 in 13 (7.69%) | $903.50 |
| Weepinbell | Uncommon | $2.99 | 1 in 13 (7.69%) | $903.50 |
| Politoed | Rare | $2.95 | 1 in 30 (3.33%) | $2084.90 |
| Leafeon | Rare | $2.80 | 1 in 30 (3.33%) | $2084.90 |
| Clefairy (69) | Common | $2.77 | 1 in 6 (17.24%) | $403.10 |
| Clefairy (70) | Common | $2.71 | 1 in 6 (17.24%) | $403.10 |
| Poliwhirl | Uncommon | $2.60 | 1 in 13 (7.69%) | $903.50 |
| Dedenne | Uncommon | $2.49 | 1 in 13 (7.69%) | $903.50 |
| Tyrunt | Uncommon | $2.46 | 1 in 13 (7.69%) | $903.50 |
| Scraggy | Common | $2.46 | 1 in 6 (17.24%) | $403.10 |
| Amaura | Uncommon | $2.35 | 1 in 13 (7.69%) | $903.50 |
| Strong Energy | Uncommon | $2.31 | 1 in 13 (7.69%) | $903.50 |
| Machamp | Holo Rare | $2.23 | 1 in 46 (2.18%) | $3189.70 |
| Machamp | Holo Rare | $2.15 | 1 in 46 (2.18%) | $3189.70 |
| Breloom | Rare | $2.14 | 1 in 30 (3.33%) | $2084.90 |
| Noivern | Holo Rare | $2.14 | 1 in 46 (2.18%) | $3189.70 |
| Herbal Energy | Uncommon | $2.11 | 1 in 13 (7.69%) | $903.50 |
| Focus Sash | Uncommon | $2.06 | 1 in 13 (7.69%) | $903.50 |
| Poliwrath | Holo Rare | $1.88 | 1 in 46 (2.18%) | $3189.70 |
| Korrina | Uncommon | $1.84 | 1 in 13 (7.69%) | $903.50 |
| Gothitelle | Rare | $1.71 | 1 in 30 (3.33%) | $2084.90 |
| Poliwag | Common | $1.54 | 1 in 6 (17.24%) | $403.10 |
| Gothorita | Uncommon | $1.53 | 1 in 13 (7.69%) | $903.50 |
| Pancham (60) | Common | $1.47 | 1 in 6 (17.24%) | $403.10 |
| Electivire | Rare | $1.45 | 1 in 30 (3.33%) | $2084.90 |
| Hitmonlee | Uncommon | $1.41 | 1 in 13 (7.69%) | $903.50 |
| Victreebel | Holo Rare | $1.37 | 1 in 46 (2.18%) | $3189.70 |
| Flygon | Rare | $1.37 | 1 in 30 (3.33%) | $2084.90 |
| Clefable | Uncommon | $1.32 | 1 in 13 (7.69%) | $903.50 |
| Raichu | Uncommon | $1.30 | 1 in 13 (7.69%) | $903.50 |
| Poliwrath | Holo Rare | $1.27 | 1 in 46 (2.18%) | $3189.70 |
| Hawlucha | Holo Rare | $1.26 | 1 in 46 (2.18%) | $3189.70 |
| Klefki | Uncommon | $1.26 | 1 in 13 (7.69%) | $903.50 |
| Eevee | Common | $1.24 | 1 in 6 (17.24%) | $403.10 |
| Scrafty | Uncommon | $1.09 | 1 in 13 (7.69%) | $903.50 |
| Hypno | Rare | $1.04 | 1 in 30 (3.33%) | $2084.90 |
| Noivern | Holo Rare | $1.04 | 1 in 46 (2.18%) | $3189.70 |
| Pangoro | Rare | $1.00 | 1 in 30 (3.33%) | $2084.90 |
| Strong Energy | Uncommon | $0.98 | 1 in 13 (7.69%) | $903.50 |
| Magmortar | Rare | $0.97 | 1 in 30 (3.33%) | $2084.90 |
| Poliwhirl | Uncommon | $0.95 | 1 in 13 (7.69%) | $903.50 |
| Slaking | Holo Rare | $0.91 | 1 in 46 (2.18%) | $3189.70 |
| Victreebel | Holo Rare | $0.89 | 1 in 46 (2.18%) | $3189.70 |
| Hariyama | Rare | $0.89 | 1 in 30 (3.33%) | $2084.90 |
| Golurk | Rare | $0.88 | 1 in 30 (3.33%) | $2084.90 |
| Lickilicky | Uncommon | $0.88 | 1 in 13 (7.69%) | $903.50 |
| Tornadus | Rare | $0.88 | 1 in 30 (3.33%) | $2084.90 |
| Clawitzer | Holo Rare | $0.80 | 1 in 46 (2.18%) | $3189.70 |
| Landorus | Holo Rare | $0.80 | 1 in 46 (2.18%) | $3189.70 |
| Pancham (59) | Uncommon | $0.78 | 1 in 13 (7.69%) | $903.50 |
| Torchic | Common | $0.77 | 1 in 6 (17.24%) | $403.10 |
| Herbal Energy | Uncommon | $0.77 | 1 in 13 (7.69%) | $903.50 |
| Drapion | Rare | $0.76 | 1 in 30 (3.33%) | $2084.90 |
| Energy Switch | Uncommon | $0.75 | 1 in 13 (7.69%) | $903.50 |
| Jaw Fossil | Uncommon | $0.73 | 1 in 13 (7.69%) | $903.50 |
| Combusken | Uncommon | $0.72 | 1 in 13 (7.69%) | $903.50 |
| Thundurus | Rare | $0.72 | 1 in 30 (3.33%) | $2084.90 |
| Sparkling Robe | Uncommon | $0.72 | 1 in 13 (7.69%) | $903.50 |
| Gothita | Common | $0.70 | 1 in 6 (17.24%) | $403.10 |
| Hawlucha | Holo Rare | $0.69 | 1 in 46 (2.18%) | $3189.70 |
| Clawitzer | Holo Rare | $0.68 | 1 in 46 (2.18%) | $3189.70 |
| Slaking | Holo Rare | $0.68 | 1 in 46 (2.18%) | $3189.70 |
| Mienshao | Uncommon | $0.67 | 1 in 13 (7.69%) | $903.50 |
| Beartic | Rare | $0.65 | 1 in 30 (3.33%) | $2084.90 |
| Plusle | Common | $0.65 | 1 in 6 (17.24%) | $403.10 |
| Lickitung | Common | $0.65 | 1 in 6 (17.24%) | $403.10 |
| Machop | Common | $0.64 | 1 in 6 (17.24%) | $403.10 |
| Fighting Stadium | Uncommon | $0.61 | 1 in 13 (7.69%) | $903.50 |
| Electabuzz | Common | $0.60 | 1 in 6 (17.24%) | $403.10 |
| Vibrava | Uncommon | $0.60 | 1 in 13 (7.69%) | $903.50 |
| Mountain Ring | Uncommon | $0.60 | 1 in 13 (7.69%) | $903.50 |
| Sail Fossil | Uncommon | $0.60 | 1 in 13 (7.69%) | $903.50 |
| Jynx | Rare | $0.59 | 1 in 30 (3.33%) | $2084.90 |
| Super Scoop Up | Uncommon | $0.59 | 1 in 13 (7.69%) | $903.50 |
| Hitmonchan | Uncommon | $0.58 | 1 in 13 (7.69%) | $903.50 |
| Slakoth | Common | $0.58 | 1 in 6 (17.24%) | $403.10 |
| Focus Sash | Uncommon | $0.58 | 1 in 13 (7.69%) | $903.50 |
| Training Center | Uncommon | $0.58 | 1 in 13 (7.69%) | $903.50 |
| Landorus | Holo Rare | $0.57 | 1 in 46 (2.18%) | $3189.70 |
| Clefairy (70) | Common | $0.57 | 1 in 6 (17.24%) | $403.10 |
| Watchog | Uncommon | $0.57 | 1 in 13 (7.69%) | $903.50 |
| Bellsprout | Common | $0.55 | 1 in 6 (17.24%) | $403.10 |
| Accelgor | Uncommon | $0.55 | 1 in 13 (7.69%) | $903.50 |
| Cubchoo | Common | $0.55 | 1 in 6 (17.24%) | $403.10 |
| Minun | Common | $0.55 | 1 in 6 (17.24%) | $403.10 |
| Vigoroth | Uncommon | $0.54 | 1 in 13 (7.69%) | $903.50 |
| Magmar | Common | $0.53 | 1 in 6 (17.24%) | $403.10 |
| Beartic | Rare | $0.53 | 1 in 30 (3.33%) | $2084.90 |
| Trapinch | Common | $0.53 | 1 in 6 (17.24%) | $403.10 |
| Fossil Researcher | Uncommon | $0.53 | 1 in 13 (7.69%) | $903.50 |
| Noibat | Common | $0.52 | 1 in 6 (17.24%) | $403.10 |
| Battle Reporter | Uncommon | $0.52 | 1 in 13 (7.69%) | $903.50 |
| Electivire | Rare | $0.51 | 1 in 30 (3.33%) | $2084.90 |
| Golett | Common | $0.50 | 1 in 6 (17.24%) | $403.10 |
| Shroomish | Common | $0.49 | 1 in 6 (17.24%) | $403.10 |
| Dedenne | Uncommon | $0.48 | 1 in 13 (7.69%) | $903.50 |
| Clefairy (69) | Common | $0.47 | 1 in 6 (17.24%) | $403.10 |
| Tool Retriever | Uncommon | $0.47 | 1 in 13 (7.69%) | $903.50 |
| Drowzee | Common | $0.46 | 1 in 6 (17.24%) | $403.10 |
| Magmortar | Rare | $0.45 | 1 in 30 (3.33%) | $2084.90 |
| Breloom | Rare | $0.45 | 1 in 30 (3.33%) | $2084.90 |
| Clefable | Uncommon | $0.45 | 1 in 13 (7.69%) | $903.50 |
| Maintenance | Uncommon | $0.45 | 1 in 13 (7.69%) | $903.50 |
| Gothitelle | Rare | $0.44 | 1 in 30 (3.33%) | $2084.90 |
| Drapion | Rare | $0.44 | 1 in 30 (3.33%) | $2084.90 |
| Shelmet | Common | $0.43 | 1 in 6 (17.24%) | $403.10 |
| Patrat | Common | $0.43 | 1 in 6 (17.24%) | $403.10 |
| Tornadus | Rare | $0.43 | 1 in 30 (3.33%) | $2084.90 |
| Hypno | Rare | $0.42 | 1 in 30 (3.33%) | $2084.90 |
| Skorupi | Common | $0.42 | 1 in 6 (17.24%) | $403.10 |
| Clauncher | Common | $0.41 | 1 in 6 (17.24%) | $403.10 |
| Klefki | Uncommon | $0.41 | 1 in 13 (7.69%) | $903.50 |
| Pangoro | Rare | $0.39 | 1 in 30 (3.33%) | $2084.90 |
| Full Heal | Uncommon | $0.39 | 1 in 13 (7.69%) | $903.50 |
| Torchic | Common | $0.38 | 1 in 6 (17.24%) | $403.10 |
| Hitmonlee | Uncommon | $0.38 | 1 in 13 (7.69%) | $903.50 |
| Lickilicky | Uncommon | $0.38 | 1 in 13 (7.69%) | $903.50 |
| Weepinbell | Uncommon | $0.37 | 1 in 13 (7.69%) | $903.50 |
| Makuhita | Common | $0.37 | 1 in 6 (17.24%) | $403.10 |
| Scraggy | Common | $0.37 | 1 in 6 (17.24%) | $403.10 |
| Mienfoo | Common | $0.36 | 1 in 6 (17.24%) | $403.10 |
| Hariyama | Rare | $0.35 | 1 in 30 (3.33%) | $2084.90 |
| Vibrava | Uncommon | $0.35 | 1 in 13 (7.69%) | $903.50 |
| Pancham (59) | Uncommon | $0.33 | 1 in 13 (7.69%) | $903.50 |
| Slakoth | Common | $0.33 | 1 in 6 (17.24%) | $403.10 |
| Combusken | Uncommon | $0.32 | 1 in 13 (7.69%) | $903.50 |
| Golurk | Rare | $0.32 | 1 in 30 (3.33%) | $2084.90 |
| Jaw Fossil | Uncommon | $0.32 | 1 in 13 (7.69%) | $903.50 |
| Sparkling Robe | Uncommon | $0.32 | 1 in 13 (7.69%) | $903.50 |
| Thundurus | Rare | $0.31 | 1 in 30 (3.33%) | $2084.90 |
| Mienshao | Uncommon | $0.31 | 1 in 13 (7.69%) | $903.50 |
| Sail Fossil | Uncommon | $0.31 | 1 in 13 (7.69%) | $903.50 |
| Machoke | Uncommon | $0.30 | 1 in 13 (7.69%) | $903.50 |
| Pancham (60) | Common | $0.30 | 1 in 6 (17.24%) | $403.10 |
| Gothita | Common | $0.29 | 1 in 6 (17.24%) | $403.10 |
| Vigoroth | Uncommon | $0.29 | 1 in 13 (7.69%) | $903.50 |
| Poliwag | Common | $0.28 | 1 in 6 (17.24%) | $403.10 |
| Hitmontop | Uncommon | $0.28 | 1 in 13 (7.69%) | $903.50 |
| Fossil Researcher | Uncommon | $0.28 | 1 in 13 (7.69%) | $903.50 |
| Gothorita | Uncommon | $0.27 | 1 in 13 (7.69%) | $903.50 |
| Hitmonchan | Uncommon | $0.27 | 1 in 13 (7.69%) | $903.50 |
| Drowzee | Common | $0.26 | 1 in 6 (17.24%) | $403.10 |
| Lickitung | Common | $0.26 | 1 in 6 (17.24%) | $403.10 |
| Noibat | Common | $0.26 | 1 in 6 (17.24%) | $403.10 |
| Fighting Stadium | Uncommon | $0.26 | 1 in 13 (7.69%) | $903.50 |
| Training Center | Uncommon | $0.26 | 1 in 13 (7.69%) | $903.50 |
| Scrafty | Uncommon | $0.25 | 1 in 13 (7.69%) | $903.50 |
| Super Scoop Up | Uncommon | $0.25 | 1 in 13 (7.69%) | $903.50 |
| Cubchoo | Common | $0.24 | 1 in 6 (17.24%) | $403.10 |
| Machop | Common | $0.24 | 1 in 6 (17.24%) | $403.10 |
| Watchog | Uncommon | $0.24 | 1 in 13 (7.69%) | $903.50 |
| Battle Reporter | Uncommon | $0.24 | 1 in 13 (7.69%) | $903.50 |
| Bellsprout | Common | $0.23 | 1 in 6 (17.24%) | $403.10 |
| Shroomish | Common | $0.23 | 1 in 6 (17.24%) | $403.10 |
| Makuhita | Common | $0.23 | 1 in 6 (17.24%) | $403.10 |
| Mountain Ring | Uncommon | $0.23 | 1 in 13 (7.69%) | $903.50 |
| Magmar | Common | $0.22 | 1 in 6 (17.24%) | $403.10 |
| Electabuzz | Common | $0.22 | 1 in 6 (17.24%) | $403.10 |
| Patrat | Common | $0.22 | 1 in 6 (17.24%) | $403.10 |
| Maintenance | Uncommon | $0.22 | 1 in 13 (7.69%) | $903.50 |
| Clauncher | Common | $0.21 | 1 in 6 (17.24%) | $403.10 |
| Full Heal | Uncommon | $0.21 | 1 in 13 (7.69%) | $903.50 |
| Trapinch | Common | $0.20 | 1 in 6 (17.24%) | $403.10 |
| Mienfoo | Common | $0.20 | 1 in 6 (17.24%) | $403.10 |
| Energy Switch | Uncommon | $0.20 | 1 in 13 (7.69%) | $903.50 |
| Tool Retriever | Uncommon | $0.20 | 1 in 13 (7.69%) | $903.50 |
| Accelgor | Uncommon | $0.19 | 1 in 13 (7.69%) | $903.50 |
| Golett | Common | $0.19 | 1 in 6 (17.24%) | $403.10 |
| Shelmet | Common | $0.16 | 1 in 6 (17.24%) | $403.10 |
| Skorupi | Common | $0.16 | 1 in 6 (17.24%) | $403.10 |