A $76.99 XY - Furious Fists pack returns $14.81 in expected card value on average — 19% of what you paid.
No official TCGPlayer pull-rate article covers XY - Furious Fists, so these odds come from thepricedex.com, which discloses a disclosed sample. Sources that do not state how many packs they counted are not used here, however confident they sound.
How these figures are calculated, including the sourcing bar and what this model deliberately does not do.
| Product | Price | Expected value | Expected return |
|---|---|---|---|
| Furious Fists 3 Pack Blister [Slurpuff] | $230.98 | $44.43 | 19% |
| Furious Fists Booster Pack | $78.74 | $14.81 | 19% |
| Furious Fists Sleeved Booster Pack | $87.43 | $14.81 | 17% |
| Furious Fists Booster Box | $4717.50 | $533.12 | 11% |
| EX Power Trio Tin [Blastoise EX] | $499.99 | $44.43 | 9% |
| EX Power Trio Tin [Venusaur EX] | — | $44.43 | TBD |
| EX Power Trio Tin [Charizard EX] | — | $44.43 | TBD |
| Furious Fists Single Pack Blister [Zoroark] | — | $14.81 | TBD |
| Furious Fists Elite Trainer Box | — | $133.28 | TBD |
| Furious Fists Single Pack Blister [Gogoat] | — | $14.81 | TBD |
| Furious Fists 2 Pack Blister [Unova Trio] | — | $29.62 | TBD |
| Furious Fists 2 Pack Blister [Dusknoir] | — | $29.62 | TBD |
| Gengar Spirit Link 2-pack | — | $29.62 | TBD |
| Furious Fists 3 Pack Blister [Trevenant] | — | $44.43 | TBD |
Furious Fists 3 Pack Blister [Slurpuff] · Furious Fists Booster Pack · Furious Fists Sleeved Booster Pack · Furious Fists Booster Box · EX Power Trio Tin [Blastoise EX] · EX Power Trio Tin [Venusaur EX] · EX Power Trio Tin [Charizard EX] · Furious Fists Single Pack Blister [Zoroark] · Furious Fists Elite Trainer Box · Furious Fists Single Pack Blister [Gogoat] · Furious Fists 2 Pack Blister [Unova Trio] · Furious Fists 2 Pack Blister [Dusknoir] · Gengar Spirit Link 2-pack · Furious Fists 3 Pack Blister [Trevenant]
| Product | Price per pack | Expected return |
|---|---|---|
| Booster Pack | $78.74 | 19% |
| Booster Box | $131.04 | 11% |
| Rarity | Pull rate | Sample |
|---|---|---|
| Secret Rare | 0.97% | |
| Ultra Rare | 12.66% | |
| Holo Rare | 19.61% | |
| Rare | 66.67% | |
| Common | 500% | |
| Uncommon | 300% |
| Card | Rarity | Market price | Odds | Cost to pull |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| M Lucario EX (Secret) | Secret Rare | $161.26 | 1 in 206 (0.49%) | $15874.91 |
| Lucario EX (107 Full Art) | Ultra Rare | $146.48 | 1 in 111 (0.9%) | $8514.27 |
| Dragonite EX (108 Full Art) | Ultra Rare | $142.12 | 1 in 111 (0.9%) | $8514.27 |
| M Heracross EX (Secret) | Secret Rare | $52.22 | 1 in 206 (0.49%) | $15874.91 |
| M Lucario EX | Ultra Rare | $49.83 | 1 in 111 (0.9%) | $8514.27 |
| Heracross EX (105 Full Art) | Ultra Rare | $47.57 | 1 in 111 (0.9%) | $8514.27 |
| Korrina (111 Full Art) | Ultra Rare | $40.16 | 1 in 111 (0.9%) | $8514.27 |
| Fossil Researcher (110 Full Art) | Ultra Rare | $37.91 | 1 in 111 (0.9%) | $8514.27 |
| Seismitoad EX (106 Full Art) | Ultra Rare | $28.02 | 1 in 111 (0.9%) | $8514.27 |
| Hawlucha EX | Ultra Rare | $26.94 | 1 in 111 (0.9%) | $8514.27 |
| Dragonite EX | Ultra Rare | $21.33 | 1 in 111 (0.9%) | $8514.27 |
| M Heracross EX | Ultra Rare | $15.77 | 1 in 111 (0.9%) | $8514.27 |
| Battle Reporter (109 Full Art) | Ultra Rare | $15.33 | 1 in 111 (0.9%) | $8514.27 |
| Lucario EX | Ultra Rare | $12.60 | 1 in 111 (0.9%) | $8514.27 |
| Heracross EX | Ultra Rare | $6.66 | 1 in 111 (0.9%) | $8514.27 |
| Seismitoad EX | Ultra Rare | $4.56 | 1 in 111 (0.9%) | $8514.27 |
| Sylveon | Rare | $34.31 | 1 in 30 (3.33%) | $2084.90 |
| Pikachu | Common | $18.39 | 1 in 6 (17.24%) | $403.10 |
| Tyrantrum | Rare | $16.42 | 1 in 30 (3.33%) | $2084.90 |
| Sylveon | Rare | $14.18 | 1 in 30 (3.33%) | $2084.90 |
| Glaceon | Rare | $12.87 | 1 in 30 (3.33%) | $2084.90 |
| Aurorus | Rare | $12.14 | 1 in 30 (3.33%) | $2084.90 |
| Leafeon | Rare | $11.41 | 1 in 30 (3.33%) | $2084.90 |
| Amaura | Uncommon | $9.41 | 1 in 13 (7.69%) | $903.50 |
| Eevee | Common | $9.37 | 1 in 6 (17.24%) | $403.10 |
| Tyrunt | Uncommon | $8.37 | 1 in 13 (7.69%) | $903.50 |
| Politoed | Rare | $7.79 | 1 in 30 (3.33%) | $2084.90 |
| Tyrantrum | Rare | $7.79 | 1 in 30 (3.33%) | $2084.90 |
| Aurorus | Rare | $7.09 | 1 in 30 (3.33%) | $2084.90 |
| Hitmontop | Uncommon | $6.97 | 1 in 13 (7.69%) | $903.50 |
| Plusle | Common | $6.23 | 1 in 6 (17.24%) | $403.10 |
| Blaziken | Holo Rare | $5.97 | 1 in 46 (2.18%) | $3189.70 |
| Pikachu | Common | $4.99 | 1 in 6 (17.24%) | $403.10 |
| Raichu | Uncommon | $4.87 | 1 in 13 (7.69%) | $903.50 |
| Korrina | Uncommon | $4.14 | 1 in 13 (7.69%) | $903.50 |
| Jynx | Rare | $4.09 | 1 in 30 (3.33%) | $2084.90 |
| Flygon | Rare | $4.00 | 1 in 30 (3.33%) | $2084.90 |
| Minun | Common | $3.89 | 1 in 6 (17.24%) | $403.10 |
| Blaziken | Holo Rare | $3.71 | 1 in 46 (2.18%) | $3189.70 |
| Glaceon | Rare | $3.51 | 1 in 30 (3.33%) | $2084.90 |
| Leafeon | Rare | $2.84 | 1 in 30 (3.33%) | $2084.90 |
| Tyrunt | Uncommon | $2.74 | 1 in 13 (7.69%) | $903.50 |
| Korrina | Uncommon | $2.73 | 1 in 13 (7.69%) | $903.50 |
| Machoke | Uncommon | $2.69 | 1 in 13 (7.69%) | $903.50 |
| Clefairy (70) | Common | $2.60 | 1 in 6 (17.24%) | $403.10 |
| Clefairy (69) | Common | $2.53 | 1 in 6 (17.24%) | $403.10 |
| Dedenne | Uncommon | $2.51 | 1 in 13 (7.69%) | $903.50 |
| Weepinbell | Uncommon | $2.49 | 1 in 13 (7.69%) | $903.50 |
| Herbal Energy | Uncommon | $2.45 | 1 in 13 (7.69%) | $903.50 |
| Amaura | Uncommon | $2.42 | 1 in 13 (7.69%) | $903.50 |
| Poliwhirl | Uncommon | $2.21 | 1 in 13 (7.69%) | $903.50 |
| Strong Energy | Uncommon | $2.19 | 1 in 13 (7.69%) | $903.50 |
| Focus Sash | Uncommon | $2.15 | 1 in 13 (7.69%) | $903.50 |
| Machamp | Holo Rare | $2.08 | 1 in 46 (2.18%) | $3189.70 |
| Breloom | Rare | $2.07 | 1 in 30 (3.33%) | $2084.90 |
| Noivern | Holo Rare | $1.96 | 1 in 46 (2.18%) | $3189.70 |
| Gothitelle | Rare | $1.92 | 1 in 30 (3.33%) | $2084.90 |
| Machamp | Holo Rare | $1.82 | 1 in 46 (2.18%) | $3189.70 |
| Scraggy | Common | $1.82 | 1 in 6 (17.24%) | $403.10 |
| Gothorita | Uncommon | $1.69 | 1 in 13 (7.69%) | $903.50 |
| Poliwrath | Holo Rare | $1.63 | 1 in 46 (2.18%) | $3189.70 |
| Electivire | Rare | $1.54 | 1 in 30 (3.33%) | $2084.90 |
| Pancham (60) | Common | $1.42 | 1 in 6 (17.24%) | $403.10 |
| Eevee | Common | $1.40 | 1 in 6 (17.24%) | $403.10 |
| Poliwag | Common | $1.36 | 1 in 6 (17.24%) | $403.10 |
| Poliwrath | Holo Rare | $1.27 | 1 in 46 (2.18%) | $3189.70 |
| Raichu | Uncommon | $1.27 | 1 in 13 (7.69%) | $903.50 |
| Hitmonlee | Uncommon | $1.27 | 1 in 13 (7.69%) | $903.50 |
| Victreebel | Holo Rare | $1.23 | 1 in 46 (2.18%) | $3189.70 |
| Klefki | Uncommon | $1.22 | 1 in 13 (7.69%) | $903.50 |
| Flygon | Rare | $1.22 | 1 in 30 (3.33%) | $2084.90 |
| Clefable | Uncommon | $1.21 | 1 in 13 (7.69%) | $903.50 |
| Hawlucha | Holo Rare | $1.19 | 1 in 46 (2.18%) | $3189.70 |
| Politoed | Rare | $1.07 | 1 in 30 (3.33%) | $2084.90 |
| Noivern | Holo Rare | $1.03 | 1 in 46 (2.18%) | $3189.70 |
| Magmortar | Rare | $1.01 | 1 in 30 (3.33%) | $2084.90 |
| Scrafty | Uncommon | $1.01 | 1 in 13 (7.69%) | $903.50 |
| Strong Energy | Uncommon | $1.01 | 1 in 13 (7.69%) | $903.50 |
| Hypno | Rare | $0.98 | 1 in 30 (3.33%) | $2084.90 |
| Pangoro | Rare | $0.97 | 1 in 30 (3.33%) | $2084.90 |
| Tornadus | Rare | $0.94 | 1 in 30 (3.33%) | $2084.90 |
| Victreebel | Holo Rare | $0.91 | 1 in 46 (2.18%) | $3189.70 |
| Golurk | Rare | $0.90 | 1 in 30 (3.33%) | $2084.90 |
| Slaking | Holo Rare | $0.90 | 1 in 46 (2.18%) | $3189.70 |
| Hariyama | Rare | $0.88 | 1 in 30 (3.33%) | $2084.90 |
| Poliwhirl | Uncommon | $0.86 | 1 in 13 (7.69%) | $903.50 |
| Lickilicky | Uncommon | $0.85 | 1 in 13 (7.69%) | $903.50 |
| Landorus | Holo Rare | $0.80 | 1 in 46 (2.18%) | $3189.70 |
| Pancham (59) | Uncommon | $0.79 | 1 in 13 (7.69%) | $903.50 |
| Clawitzer | Holo Rare | $0.77 | 1 in 46 (2.18%) | $3189.70 |
| Thundurus | Rare | $0.75 | 1 in 30 (3.33%) | $2084.90 |
| Herbal Energy | Uncommon | $0.75 | 1 in 13 (7.69%) | $903.50 |
| Jaw Fossil | Uncommon | $0.74 | 1 in 13 (7.69%) | $903.50 |
| Mienshao | Uncommon | $0.73 | 1 in 13 (7.69%) | $903.50 |
| Hawlucha | Holo Rare | $0.73 | 1 in 46 (2.18%) | $3189.70 |
| Combusken | Uncommon | $0.72 | 1 in 13 (7.69%) | $903.50 |
| Sparkling Robe | Uncommon | $0.72 | 1 in 13 (7.69%) | $903.50 |
| Drapion | Rare | $0.71 | 1 in 30 (3.33%) | $2084.90 |
| Torchic | Common | $0.70 | 1 in 6 (17.24%) | $403.10 |
| Slaking | Holo Rare | $0.69 | 1 in 46 (2.18%) | $3189.70 |
| Energy Switch | Uncommon | $0.69 | 1 in 13 (7.69%) | $903.50 |
| Lickitung | Common | $0.67 | 1 in 6 (17.24%) | $403.10 |
| Plusle | Common | $0.65 | 1 in 6 (17.24%) | $403.10 |
| Gothita | Common | $0.65 | 1 in 6 (17.24%) | $403.10 |
| Machop | Common | $0.65 | 1 in 6 (17.24%) | $403.10 |
| Super Scoop Up | Uncommon | $0.65 | 1 in 13 (7.69%) | $903.50 |
| Beartic | Rare | $0.64 | 1 in 30 (3.33%) | $2084.90 |
| Clawitzer | Holo Rare | $0.63 | 1 in 46 (2.18%) | $3189.70 |
| Electabuzz | Common | $0.60 | 1 in 6 (17.24%) | $403.10 |
| Cubchoo | Common | $0.59 | 1 in 6 (17.24%) | $403.10 |
| Watchog | Uncommon | $0.59 | 1 in 13 (7.69%) | $903.50 |
| Sail Fossil | Uncommon | $0.59 | 1 in 13 (7.69%) | $903.50 |
| Fighting Stadium | Uncommon | $0.58 | 1 in 13 (7.69%) | $903.50 |
| Focus Sash | Uncommon | $0.58 | 1 in 13 (7.69%) | $903.50 |
| Mountain Ring | Uncommon | $0.58 | 1 in 13 (7.69%) | $903.50 |
| Training Center | Uncommon | $0.58 | 1 in 13 (7.69%) | $903.50 |
| Minun | Common | $0.57 | 1 in 6 (17.24%) | $403.10 |
| Vibrava | Uncommon | $0.57 | 1 in 13 (7.69%) | $903.50 |
| Slakoth | Common | $0.57 | 1 in 6 (17.24%) | $403.10 |
| Noibat | Common | $0.57 | 1 in 6 (17.24%) | $403.10 |
| Accelgor | Uncommon | $0.56 | 1 in 13 (7.69%) | $903.50 |
| Landorus | Holo Rare | $0.56 | 1 in 46 (2.18%) | $3189.70 |
| Tool Retriever | Uncommon | $0.56 | 1 in 13 (7.69%) | $903.50 |
| Jynx | Rare | $0.55 | 1 in 30 (3.33%) | $2084.90 |
| Hitmonchan | Uncommon | $0.54 | 1 in 13 (7.69%) | $903.50 |
| Bellsprout | Common | $0.53 | 1 in 6 (17.24%) | $403.10 |
| Electivire | Rare | $0.53 | 1 in 30 (3.33%) | $2084.90 |
| Magmar | Common | $0.52 | 1 in 6 (17.24%) | $403.10 |
| Beartic | Rare | $0.52 | 1 in 30 (3.33%) | $2084.90 |
| Vigoroth | Uncommon | $0.52 | 1 in 13 (7.69%) | $903.50 |
| Shroomish | Common | $0.51 | 1 in 6 (17.24%) | $403.10 |
| Trapinch | Common | $0.51 | 1 in 6 (17.24%) | $403.10 |
| Magmortar | Rare | $0.50 | 1 in 30 (3.33%) | $2084.90 |
| Battle Reporter | Uncommon | $0.50 | 1 in 13 (7.69%) | $903.50 |
| Fossil Researcher | Uncommon | $0.49 | 1 in 13 (7.69%) | $903.50 |
| Maintenance | Uncommon | $0.49 | 1 in 13 (7.69%) | $903.50 |
| Golett | Common | $0.48 | 1 in 6 (17.24%) | $403.10 |
| Dedenne | Uncommon | $0.47 | 1 in 13 (7.69%) | $903.50 |
| Drowzee | Common | $0.47 | 1 in 6 (17.24%) | $403.10 |
| Patrat | Common | $0.47 | 1 in 6 (17.24%) | $403.10 |
| Gothitelle | Rare | $0.45 | 1 in 30 (3.33%) | $2084.90 |
| Clefairy (70) | Common | $0.45 | 1 in 6 (17.24%) | $403.10 |
| Full Heal | Uncommon | $0.45 | 1 in 13 (7.69%) | $903.50 |
| Shelmet | Common | $0.43 | 1 in 6 (17.24%) | $403.10 |
| Skorupi | Common | $0.43 | 1 in 6 (17.24%) | $403.10 |
| Drapion | Rare | $0.43 | 1 in 30 (3.33%) | $2084.90 |
| Hypno | Rare | $0.42 | 1 in 30 (3.33%) | $2084.90 |
| Klefki | Uncommon | $0.42 | 1 in 13 (7.69%) | $903.50 |
| Tornadus | Rare | $0.42 | 1 in 30 (3.33%) | $2084.90 |
| Breloom | Rare | $0.41 | 1 in 30 (3.33%) | $2084.90 |
| Clefairy (69) | Common | $0.41 | 1 in 6 (17.24%) | $403.10 |
| Clefable | Uncommon | $0.40 | 1 in 13 (7.69%) | $903.50 |
| Clauncher | Common | $0.38 | 1 in 6 (17.24%) | $403.10 |
| Vibrava | Uncommon | $0.38 | 1 in 13 (7.69%) | $903.50 |
| Pangoro | Rare | $0.37 | 1 in 30 (3.33%) | $2084.90 |
| Hariyama | Rare | $0.36 | 1 in 30 (3.33%) | $2084.90 |
| Combusken | Uncommon | $0.35 | 1 in 13 (7.69%) | $903.50 |
| Mienfoo | Common | $0.35 | 1 in 6 (17.24%) | $403.10 |
| Weepinbell | Uncommon | $0.34 | 1 in 13 (7.69%) | $903.50 |
| Gothorita | Uncommon | $0.34 | 1 in 13 (7.69%) | $903.50 |
| Golurk | Rare | $0.34 | 1 in 30 (3.33%) | $2084.90 |
| Hitmonlee | Uncommon | $0.34 | 1 in 13 (7.69%) | $903.50 |
| Makuhita | Common | $0.34 | 1 in 6 (17.24%) | $403.10 |
| Jaw Fossil | Uncommon | $0.34 | 1 in 13 (7.69%) | $903.50 |
| Torchic | Common | $0.33 | 1 in 6 (17.24%) | $403.10 |
| Hitmonchan | Uncommon | $0.33 | 1 in 13 (7.69%) | $903.50 |
| Pancham (59) | Uncommon | $0.33 | 1 in 13 (7.69%) | $903.50 |
| Vigoroth | Uncommon | $0.32 | 1 in 13 (7.69%) | $903.50 |
| Thundurus | Rare | $0.31 | 1 in 30 (3.33%) | $2084.90 |
| Pancham (60) | Common | $0.31 | 1 in 6 (17.24%) | $403.10 |
| Lickitung | Common | $0.31 | 1 in 6 (17.24%) | $403.10 |
| Lickilicky | Uncommon | $0.30 | 1 in 13 (7.69%) | $903.50 |
| Sail Fossil | Uncommon | $0.30 | 1 in 13 (7.69%) | $903.50 |
| Sparkling Robe | Uncommon | $0.30 | 1 in 13 (7.69%) | $903.50 |
| Machoke | Uncommon | $0.29 | 1 in 13 (7.69%) | $903.50 |
| Mienshao | Uncommon | $0.29 | 1 in 13 (7.69%) | $903.50 |
| Hitmontop | Uncommon | $0.28 | 1 in 13 (7.69%) | $903.50 |
| Cubchoo | Common | $0.27 | 1 in 6 (17.24%) | $403.10 |
| Gothita | Common | $0.27 | 1 in 6 (17.24%) | $403.10 |
| Scraggy | Common | $0.27 | 1 in 6 (17.24%) | $403.10 |
| Slakoth | Common | $0.27 | 1 in 6 (17.24%) | $403.10 |
| Fossil Researcher | Uncommon | $0.27 | 1 in 13 (7.69%) | $903.50 |
| Poliwag | Common | $0.26 | 1 in 6 (17.24%) | $403.10 |
| Watchog | Uncommon | $0.26 | 1 in 13 (7.69%) | $903.50 |
| Noibat | Common | $0.26 | 1 in 6 (17.24%) | $403.10 |
| Training Center | Uncommon | $0.26 | 1 in 13 (7.69%) | $903.50 |
| Bellsprout | Common | $0.25 | 1 in 6 (17.24%) | $403.10 |
| Fighting Stadium | Uncommon | $0.25 | 1 in 13 (7.69%) | $903.50 |
| Full Heal | Uncommon | $0.25 | 1 in 13 (7.69%) | $903.50 |
| Shroomish | Common | $0.24 | 1 in 6 (17.24%) | $403.10 |
| Clauncher | Common | $0.24 | 1 in 6 (17.24%) | $403.10 |
| Scrafty | Uncommon | $0.24 | 1 in 13 (7.69%) | $903.50 |
| Super Scoop Up | Uncommon | $0.24 | 1 in 13 (7.69%) | $903.50 |
| Drowzee | Common | $0.23 | 1 in 6 (17.24%) | $403.10 |
| Machop | Common | $0.23 | 1 in 6 (17.24%) | $403.10 |
| Patrat | Common | $0.23 | 1 in 6 (17.24%) | $403.10 |
| Battle Reporter | Uncommon | $0.23 | 1 in 13 (7.69%) | $903.50 |
| Maintenance | Uncommon | $0.23 | 1 in 13 (7.69%) | $903.50 |
| Mountain Ring | Uncommon | $0.22 | 1 in 13 (7.69%) | $903.50 |
| Accelgor | Uncommon | $0.21 | 1 in 13 (7.69%) | $903.50 |
| Electabuzz | Common | $0.21 | 1 in 6 (17.24%) | $403.10 |
| Golett | Common | $0.21 | 1 in 6 (17.24%) | $403.10 |
| Mienfoo | Common | $0.21 | 1 in 6 (17.24%) | $403.10 |
| Energy Switch | Uncommon | $0.20 | 1 in 13 (7.69%) | $903.50 |
| Magmar | Common | $0.19 | 1 in 6 (17.24%) | $403.10 |
| Makuhita | Common | $0.19 | 1 in 6 (17.24%) | $403.10 |
| Trapinch | Common | $0.19 | 1 in 6 (17.24%) | $403.10 |
| Skorupi | Common | $0.17 | 1 in 6 (17.24%) | $403.10 |
| Shelmet | Common | $0.16 | 1 in 6 (17.24%) | $403.10 |
| Tool Retriever | Uncommon | $0.16 | 1 in 13 (7.69%) | $903.50 |