Sets / XY - Phantom Forces

XY - Phantom Forces

A $229.72 XY - Phantom Forces pack returns $22.14 in expected card value on average — 10% of what you paid.

No official TCGPlayer pull-rate article covers XY - Phantom Forces, so these odds come from elitefourum.com, which discloses a 1,008-pack sample. A stated count is the difference between a measured rate and a confident guess, so it is recorded here whenever a source gives one.

How these figures are calculated, including the sourcing bar and what this model deliberately does not do.

Products in this set

ProductPriceExpected valueExpected return
XY Phantom Forces Booster Pack$229.72$22.1410%
Phantom Forces Elite Trainer Box—$199.25TBD
Phantom Forces Single Pack Blister [Greninja]—$22.14TBD
Phantom Forces Single Pack Blister [Talonflame]—$22.14TBD
XY Phantom Forces Booster Box—$796.99TBD
Phantom Forces Sleeved Booster Pack—$22.14TBD
Phantom Forces 3 Pack Blister [Shiftry]—$66.42TBD
Phantom Forces Collector's Pin 3 Pack Blister [Mega Gengar]—$66.42TBD
Phantom Forces Collector's Pin 3 Pack Blister [Mega Kangaskhan]—$66.42TBD
Phantom Forces 3 Pack Blister [Darkrai]—$66.42TBD
Mega Diancie EX Premium Collection—$132.83TBD
Mega Metagross EX Premium Collection—$177.11TBD

Where to buy

XY Phantom Forces Booster Pack · Phantom Forces Elite Trainer Box · Phantom Forces Single Pack Blister [Greninja] · Phantom Forces Single Pack Blister [Talonflame] · XY Phantom Forces Booster Box · Phantom Forces Sleeved Booster Pack · Phantom Forces 3 Pack Blister [Shiftry] · Phantom Forces Collector's Pin 3 Pack Blister [Mega Gengar] · Phantom Forces Collector's Pin 3 Pack Blister [Mega Kangaskhan] · Phantom Forces 3 Pack Blister [Darkrai] · Mega Diancie EX Premium Collection · Mega Metagross EX Premium Collection

Expected return by product type

ProductPrice per packExpected return
Booster Pack$229.7210%

Pull rates (source: community_estimate)

RarityPull rateSample
Secret Rare0.83%n=1008
Ultra Rare13.06%n=1008
Holo Rare19.44%
Rare66.67%
Common500%
Uncommon300%

Cards & odds

CardRarityMarket priceOddsCost to pull
Dialga EX (122 Secret Rare)Secret Rare$1053.881 in 361 (0.28%)$83031.33
Gengar EX (114 Full Art)Ultra Rare$811.811 in 115 (0.87%)$26384.38
M Gengar EX (121 Secret Rare)Secret Rare$501.971 in 361 (0.28%)$83031.33
M Gengar EXUltra Rare$168.061 in 115 (0.87%)$26384.38
Gengar EXUltra Rare$84.231 in 115 (0.87%)$26384.38
M Manectric EX (120 Secret Rare)Secret Rare$54.961 in 361 (0.28%)$83031.33
AZ (117 Full Art)Ultra Rare$25.531 in 115 (0.87%)$26384.38
Florges EX (116 Full Art)Ultra Rare$23.811 in 115 (0.87%)$26384.38
Malamar EX (115 Full Art)Ultra Rare$18.901 in 115 (0.87%)$26384.38
Manectric EX (113 Full Art)Ultra Rare$18.871 in 115 (0.87%)$26384.38
Lysandre's Trump Card (118 Full Art)Ultra Rare$16.601 in 115 (0.87%)$26384.38
M Manectric EXUltra Rare$13.711 in 115 (0.87%)$26384.38
Dialga EXUltra Rare$11.671 in 115 (0.87%)$26384.38
Xerosic (119 Full Art)Ultra Rare$7.101 in 115 (0.87%)$26384.38
Florges EXUltra Rare$6.121 in 115 (0.87%)$26384.38
Aegislash EXUltra Rare$3.971 in 115 (0.87%)$26384.38
Manectric EXUltra Rare$3.471 in 115 (0.87%)$26384.38
Malamar EXUltra Rare$3.231 in 115 (0.87%)$26384.38
Gengar Spirit LinkUncommon$32.411 in 12 (8.11%)$2603.44
DiancieHolo Rare$9.081 in 72 (1.39%)$15201.95
Battle CompressorUncommon$8.181 in 12 (8.11%)$2603.44
VS SeekerUncommon$7.511 in 12 (8.11%)$2603.44
Gengar Spirit LinkUncommon$5.691 in 12 (8.11%)$2603.44
GoodraHolo Rare$5.281 in 72 (1.39%)$15201.95
DiancieHolo Rare$5.201 in 72 (1.39%)$15201.95
SwalotRare$5.161 in 28 (3.51%)$6015.76
WobbuffetUncommon$4.981 in 12 (8.11%)$2603.44
Mystery EnergyUncommon$4.851 in 12 (8.11%)$2603.44
SlurpuffHolo Rare$4.811 in 72 (1.39%)$15201.95
FeraligatrHolo Rare$4.561 in 72 (1.39%)$15201.95
ChandelureHolo Rare$4.411 in 72 (1.39%)$15201.95
VS SeekerUncommon$4.241 in 12 (8.11%)$2603.44
FeraligatrHolo Rare$4.131 in 72 (1.39%)$15201.95
JoltikCommon$3.821 in 7 (14.71%)$1435.41
BronzongRare$3.821 in 28 (3.51%)$6015.76
LampentUncommon$3.761 in 12 (8.11%)$2603.44
Mystery EnergyUncommon$3.641 in 12 (8.11%)$2603.44
CrobatRare$3.161 in 28 (3.51%)$6015.76
Battle CompressorUncommon$3.141 in 12 (8.11%)$2603.44
CroconawUncommon$3.031 in 12 (8.11%)$2603.44
BronzongRare$3.031 in 28 (3.51%)$6015.76
HydreigonHolo Rare$2.961 in 72 (1.39%)$15201.95
Dimension ValleyUncommon$2.661 in 12 (8.11%)$2603.44
Head RingerHolo Rare$2.541 in 72 (1.39%)$15201.95
PumpkabooCommon$2.521 in 7 (14.71%)$1435.41
SlurpuffHolo Rare$2.461 in 72 (1.39%)$15201.95
SwirlixCommon$2.401 in 7 (14.71%)$1435.41
FurfrouUncommon$2.151 in 12 (8.11%)$2603.44
GoodraHolo Rare$2.131 in 72 (1.39%)$15201.95
PachirisuRare$2.091 in 28 (3.51%)$6015.76
ChandelureHolo Rare$1.951 in 72 (1.39%)$15201.95
HydreigonHolo Rare$1.781 in 72 (1.39%)$15201.95
SwadloonUncommon$1.771 in 12 (8.11%)$2603.44
JellicentRare$1.761 in 28 (3.51%)$6015.76
WobbuffetUncommon$1.761 in 12 (8.11%)$2603.44
DedenneCommon$1.741 in 7 (14.71%)$1435.41
TotodileCommon$1.691 in 7 (14.71%)$1435.41
RegigigasHolo Rare$1.681 in 72 (1.39%)$15201.95
DedenneCommon$1.531 in 7 (14.71%)$1435.41
BlisseyRare$1.471 in 28 (3.51%)$6015.76
SwalotRare$1.381 in 28 (3.51%)$6015.76
GourgeistHolo Rare$1.351 in 72 (1.39%)$15201.95
KinglerUncommon$1.261 in 12 (8.11%)$2603.44
MightyenaRare$1.251 in 28 (3.51%)$6015.76
SkarmoryCommon$1.251 in 7 (14.71%)$1435.41
Lysandre's Trump CardUncommon$1.231 in 12 (8.11%)$2603.44
Jamming NetHolo Rare$1.221 in 72 (1.39%)$15201.95
TalonflameRare$1.171 in 28 (3.51%)$6015.76
Robo SubstituteUncommon$1.141 in 12 (8.11%)$2603.44
GourgeistHolo Rare$1.131 in 72 (1.39%)$15201.95
Double Colorless EnergyUncommon$1.131 in 12 (8.11%)$2603.44
PoochyenaCommon$1.101 in 7 (14.71%)$1435.41
RegigigasHolo Rare$1.101 in 72 (1.39%)$15201.95
VenomothRare$1.091 in 28 (3.51%)$6015.76
PyroarHolo Rare$1.041 in 72 (1.39%)$15201.95
PyroarHolo Rare$1.021 in 72 (1.39%)$15201.95
GulpinCommon$0.991 in 7 (14.71%)$1435.41
LeavannyRare$0.971 in 28 (3.51%)$6015.76
GigalithHolo Rare$0.931 in 72 (1.39%)$15201.95
EscavalierRare$0.921 in 28 (3.51%)$6015.76
HonchkrowRare$0.901 in 28 (3.51%)$6015.76
Manectric Spirit LinkUncommon$0.861 in 12 (8.11%)$2603.44
GolbatUncommon$0.841 in 12 (8.11%)$2603.44
LumineonUncommon$0.821 in 12 (8.11%)$2603.44
GalvantulaRare$0.811 in 28 (3.51%)$6015.76
ZubatCommon$0.811 in 7 (14.71%)$1435.41
SpiritombRare$0.811 in 28 (3.51%)$6015.76
AZUncommon$0.811 in 12 (8.11%)$2603.44
LiepardUncommon$0.801 in 12 (8.11%)$2603.44
Enhanced HammerUncommon$0.801 in 12 (8.11%)$2603.44
Helioptile (28)Common$0.791 in 7 (14.71%)$1435.41
SliggooUncommon$0.791 in 12 (8.11%)$2603.44
GliscorRare$0.771 in 28 (3.51%)$6015.76
VenomothRare$0.761 in 28 (3.51%)$6015.76
JellicentRare$0.761 in 28 (3.51%)$6015.76
FearowUncommon$0.761 in 12 (8.11%)$2603.44
SwirlixCommon$0.741 in 7 (14.71%)$1435.41
Trick CoinUncommon$0.741 in 12 (8.11%)$2603.44
Dimension ValleyUncommon$0.731 in 12 (8.11%)$2603.44
PurrloinCommon$0.721 in 7 (14.71%)$1435.41
GoomyCommon$0.721 in 7 (14.71%)$1435.41
ExploudRare$0.711 in 28 (3.51%)$6015.76
MusharnaRare$0.701 in 28 (3.51%)$6015.76
KlefkiUncommon$0.701 in 12 (8.11%)$2603.44
ChanseyCommon$0.701 in 7 (14.71%)$1435.41
LoudredUncommon$0.701 in 12 (8.11%)$2603.44
Professor SycamoreUncommon$0.681 in 12 (8.11%)$2603.44
HelioliskHolo Rare$0.671 in 72 (1.39%)$15201.95
GirafarigUncommon$0.671 in 12 (8.11%)$2603.44
FrillishCommon$0.661 in 7 (14.71%)$1435.41
AlomomolaCommon$0.641 in 7 (14.71%)$1435.41
Helioptile (29)Common$0.641 in 7 (14.71%)$1435.41
HeatranHolo Rare$0.641 in 72 (1.39%)$15201.95
ZweilousUncommon$0.641 in 12 (8.11%)$2603.44
DiggersbyRare$0.641 in 28 (3.51%)$6015.76
DeinoCommon$0.621 in 7 (14.71%)$1435.41
Double Colorless EnergyUncommon$0.621 in 12 (8.11%)$2603.44
SwadloonUncommon$0.611 in 12 (8.11%)$2603.44
MightyenaRare$0.611 in 28 (3.51%)$6015.76
LitwickCommon$0.601 in 7 (14.71%)$1435.41
MurkrowCommon$0.601 in 7 (14.71%)$1435.41
YanmegaRare$0.591 in 28 (3.51%)$6015.76
KrabbyCommon$0.591 in 7 (14.71%)$1435.41
YanmaCommon$0.581 in 7 (14.71%)$1435.41
FinneonCommon$0.581 in 7 (14.71%)$1435.41
GligarCommon$0.581 in 7 (14.71%)$1435.41
VenonatCommon$0.571 in 7 (14.71%)$1435.41
TalonflameRare$0.571 in 28 (3.51%)$6015.76
HonchkrowRare$0.571 in 28 (3.51%)$6015.76
BlisseyRare$0.571 in 28 (3.51%)$6015.76
FletchlingCommon$0.571 in 7 (14.71%)$1435.41
HelioliskHolo Rare$0.561 in 72 (1.39%)$15201.95
CrobatRare$0.561 in 28 (3.51%)$6015.76
FletchinderUncommon$0.551 in 12 (8.11%)$2603.44
TotodileCommon$0.551 in 7 (14.71%)$1435.41
HeatranHolo Rare$0.551 in 72 (1.39%)$15201.95
LeavannyRare$0.541 in 28 (3.51%)$6015.76
JoltikCommon$0.541 in 7 (14.71%)$1435.41
Target WhistleUncommon$0.541 in 12 (8.11%)$2603.44
CroconawUncommon$0.531 in 12 (8.11%)$2603.44
PachirisuRare$0.531 in 28 (3.51%)$6015.76
LampentUncommon$0.531 in 12 (8.11%)$2603.44
GigalithHolo Rare$0.531 in 72 (1.39%)$15201.95
LitleoCommon$0.521 in 7 (14.71%)$1435.41
SpearowCommon$0.521 in 7 (14.71%)$1435.41
Steel ShelterUncommon$0.521 in 12 (8.11%)$2603.44
BoldoreUncommon$0.511 in 12 (8.11%)$2603.44
XerosicUncommon$0.491 in 12 (8.11%)$2603.44
FurfrouUncommon$0.471 in 12 (8.11%)$2603.44
SewaddleCommon$0.461 in 7 (14.71%)$1435.41
Roller SkatesUncommon$0.461 in 12 (8.11%)$2603.44
GalvantulaRare$0.451 in 28 (3.51%)$6015.76
WhismurCommon$0.451 in 7 (14.71%)$1435.41
ShaunaUncommon$0.451 in 12 (8.11%)$2603.44
MunnaCommon$0.441 in 7 (14.71%)$1435.41
SpiritombRare$0.441 in 28 (3.51%)$6015.76
Robo SubstituteUncommon$0.441 in 12 (8.11%)$2603.44
TiernoUncommon$0.441 in 12 (8.11%)$2603.44
LumineonUncommon$0.411 in 12 (8.11%)$2603.44
LiepardUncommon$0.411 in 12 (8.11%)$2603.44
BronzorCommon$0.411 in 7 (14.71%)$1435.41
YanmegaRare$0.401 in 28 (3.51%)$6015.76
MusharnaRare$0.401 in 28 (3.51%)$6015.76
PoochyenaCommon$0.401 in 7 (14.71%)$1435.41
Lysandre's Trump CardUncommon$0.401 in 12 (8.11%)$2603.44
BunnelbyCommon$0.391 in 7 (14.71%)$1435.41
LitwickCommon$0.381 in 7 (14.71%)$1435.41
GliscorRare$0.381 in 28 (3.51%)$6015.76
KinglerUncommon$0.361 in 12 (8.11%)$2603.44
GulpinCommon$0.361 in 7 (14.71%)$1435.41
SliggooUncommon$0.361 in 12 (8.11%)$2603.44
GirafarigUncommon$0.361 in 12 (8.11%)$2603.44
ExploudRare$0.361 in 28 (3.51%)$6015.76
Hand ScopeUncommon$0.361 in 12 (8.11%)$2603.44
MurkrowCommon$0.351 in 7 (14.71%)$1435.41
GoomyCommon$0.351 in 7 (14.71%)$1435.41
KarrablastCommon$0.331 in 7 (14.71%)$1435.41
GolbatUncommon$0.331 in 12 (8.11%)$2603.44
PumpkabooCommon$0.331 in 7 (14.71%)$1435.41
RoggenrolaCommon$0.331 in 7 (14.71%)$1435.41
EscavalierRare$0.331 in 28 (3.51%)$6015.76
KlefkiUncommon$0.331 in 12 (8.11%)$2603.44
ChanseyCommon$0.321 in 7 (14.71%)$1435.41
Enhanced HammerUncommon$0.321 in 12 (8.11%)$2603.44
LitleoCommon$0.311 in 7 (14.71%)$1435.41
AZUncommon$0.311 in 12 (8.11%)$2603.44
Target WhistleUncommon$0.311 in 12 (8.11%)$2603.44
Trick CoinUncommon$0.311 in 12 (8.11%)$2603.44
FrillishCommon$0.301 in 7 (14.71%)$1435.41
SewaddleCommon$0.291 in 7 (14.71%)$1435.41
SkarmoryCommon$0.291 in 7 (14.71%)$1435.41
LoudredUncommon$0.281 in 12 (8.11%)$2603.44
Manectric Spirit LinkUncommon$0.281 in 12 (8.11%)$2603.44
XerosicUncommon$0.281 in 12 (8.11%)$2603.44
VenonatCommon$0.271 in 7 (14.71%)$1435.41
FinneonCommon$0.271 in 7 (14.71%)$1435.41
Helioptile (28)Common$0.271 in 7 (14.71%)$1435.41
MunnaCommon$0.271 in 7 (14.71%)$1435.41
DiggersbyRare$0.271 in 28 (3.51%)$6015.76
RoggenrolaCommon$0.251 in 7 (14.71%)$1435.41
BoldoreUncommon$0.251 in 12 (8.11%)$2603.44
WhismurCommon$0.251 in 7 (14.71%)$1435.41
KrabbyCommon$0.241 in 7 (14.71%)$1435.41
Roller SkatesUncommon$0.241 in 12 (8.11%)$2603.44
Steel ShelterUncommon$0.241 in 12 (8.11%)$2603.44
ZweilousUncommon$0.231 in 12 (8.11%)$2603.44
FearowUncommon$0.231 in 12 (8.11%)$2603.44
FletchinderUncommon$0.221 in 12 (8.11%)$2603.44
Helioptile (29)Common$0.221 in 7 (14.71%)$1435.41
GligarCommon$0.221 in 7 (14.71%)$1435.41
FletchlingCommon$0.221 in 7 (14.71%)$1435.41
BunnelbyCommon$0.211 in 7 (14.71%)$1435.41
Professor SycamoreUncommon$0.211 in 12 (8.11%)$2603.44
YanmaCommon$0.201 in 7 (14.71%)$1435.41
KarrablastCommon$0.201 in 7 (14.71%)$1435.41
AlomomolaCommon$0.201 in 7 (14.71%)$1435.41
PurrloinCommon$0.201 in 7 (14.71%)$1435.41
DeinoCommon$0.201 in 7 (14.71%)$1435.41
ShaunaUncommon$0.201 in 12 (8.11%)$2603.44
BronzorCommon$0.191 in 7 (14.71%)$1435.41
Hand ScopeUncommon$0.181 in 12 (8.11%)$2603.44
ZubatCommon$0.171 in 7 (14.71%)$1435.41
SpearowCommon$0.171 in 7 (14.71%)$1435.41
TiernoUncommon$0.121 in 12 (8.11%)$2603.44