Sets / XY - Primal Clash

XY - Primal Clash

A $100.47 XY - Primal Clash pack returns $19.46 in expected card value on average — 19% of what you paid.

No official TCGPlayer pull-rate article covers XY - Primal Clash. These odds come from thepricedex.com, which publishes a rate for each tier but does not say how many packs it counted to get there — so read them as indicative rather than measured. They are here because they are the best published figures for this set, and naming that limit is better than implying a precision the source never claimed.

How these figures are calculated, including the sourcing bar and what this model deliberately does not do.

Products in this set

ProductPriceExpected valueExpected return
XY Primal Clash Booster Pack$100.47$19.4619%
XY - Primal Clash Sleeved Booster Pack$104.02$19.4619%
XY Primal Clash Booster Box$4066.66$700.6717%
Legend of Hoenn Tin [Groudon EX]—$58.39TBD
Legend of Hoenn Tin [Kyogre EX]—$58.39TBD
Elite Trainer Box [Groudon]—$175.17TBD
Elite Trainer Box [Kyogre]—$175.17TBD

Where to buy

XY Primal Clash Booster Pack · XY - Primal Clash Sleeved Booster Pack · XY Primal Clash Booster Box · Legend of Hoenn Tin [Groudon EX] · Legend of Hoenn Tin [Kyogre EX] · Elite Trainer Box [Groudon] · Elite Trainer Box [Kyogre]

Expected return by product type

ProductPrice per packExpected return
Booster Pack$100.4719%
Booster Box$112.9617%

Pull rates (source: community_estimate)

RarityPull rateSample
Secret Rare0.8%
Holo Rare15.63%
Ultra Rare16.99%
Rare66.67%
Common500%
Uncommon300%

Cards & odds

CardRarityMarket priceOddsCost to pull
Primal Kyogre EX (Alpha - 149 Full Art)Ultra Rare$363.351 in 165 (0.61%)$16557.74
Primal Groudon EX (Omega - 151 Full Art)Ultra Rare$231.391 in 165 (0.61%)$16557.74
Kyogre EX (148 Full Art)Ultra Rare$192.701 in 165 (0.61%)$16557.74
Groudon EX (150 Full Art)Ultra Rare$174.871 in 165 (0.61%)$16557.74
M Gardevoir EX (156 Full Art)Ultra Rare$108.511 in 165 (0.61%)$16557.74
M Aggron EX (154 Full Art)Ultra Rare$93.011 in 165 (0.61%)$16557.74
Gardevoir EX (155 Full Art)Ultra Rare$74.731 in 165 (0.61%)$16557.74
Primal Kyogre EX (Alpha)Ultra Rare$63.101 in 165 (0.61%)$16557.74
Primal Groudon EX (Omega)Ultra Rare$58.521 in 165 (0.61%)$16557.74
Wailord EX (147 Full Art)Ultra Rare$57.801 in 165 (0.61%)$16557.74
Sharpedo EX (152 Full Art)Ultra Rare$50.101 in 165 (0.61%)$16557.74
Aggron EX (153 Full Art)Ultra Rare$46.171 in 165 (0.61%)$16557.74
Teammates (160 Full Art)Ultra Rare$31.961 in 165 (0.61%)$16557.74
Camerupt EX (146 Full Art)Ultra Rare$31.511 in 165 (0.61%)$16557.74
M Gardevoir EXUltra Rare$30.911 in 165 (0.61%)$16557.74
Dive Ball (161 Secret Rare)Secret Rare$26.811 in 500 (0.2%)$50235.00
Switch (163 Secret Rare)Secret Rare$25.161 in 500 (0.2%)$50235.00
Enhanced Hammer (162 Secret Rare)Secret Rare$25.151 in 500 (0.2%)$50235.00
Archie's Ace in the Hole (157 Full Art)Ultra Rare$25.131 in 165 (0.61%)$16557.74
Maxie's Hidden Ball Trick (158 Full Art)Ultra Rare$23.501 in 165 (0.61%)$16557.74
Trevenant EX (145 Full Art)Ultra Rare$23.151 in 165 (0.61%)$16557.74
M Aggron EXUltra Rare$20.771 in 165 (0.61%)$16557.74
Professor Birch's Observations (159 Full Art)Ultra Rare$19.861 in 165 (0.61%)$16557.74
Kyogre EXUltra Rare$19.671 in 165 (0.61%)$16557.74
Groudon EXUltra Rare$15.361 in 165 (0.61%)$16557.74
Gardevoir EXUltra Rare$10.381 in 165 (0.61%)$16557.74
Weakness Policy (164 Secret Rare)Secret Rare$7.411 in 500 (0.2%)$50235.00
Wailord EXUltra Rare$5.761 in 165 (0.61%)$16557.74
Aggron EXUltra Rare$5.201 in 165 (0.61%)$16557.74
Sharpedo EXUltra Rare$3.871 in 165 (0.61%)$16557.74
Trevenant EXUltra Rare$3.231 in 165 (0.61%)$16557.74
Camerupt EXUltra Rare$1.881 in 165 (0.61%)$16557.74
Swampert (Alpha)Holo Rare$31.721 in 115 (0.87%)$6998.46
Swampert (Alpha)Holo Rare$27.861 in 115 (0.87%)$6998.46
Torchic (Omega)Uncommon$23.901 in 17 (6%)$1012.83
Sceptile (Omega)Holo Rare$18.661 in 115 (0.87%)$6998.46
Nidoqueen (Omega)Rare$17.541 in 37 (2.67%)$2278.76
Sceptile (Omega)Holo Rare$17.531 in 115 (0.87%)$6998.46
Rhyperior (Omega)Holo Rare$16.901 in 115 (0.87%)$6998.46
Tentacool (Alpha)Uncommon$16.211 in 17 (6%)$1012.83
Kingdra (Alpha)Holo Rare$15.071 in 115 (0.87%)$6998.46
Azumarill (Alpha)Holo Rare$13.061 in 115 (0.87%)$6998.46
Azumarill (Alpha)Holo Rare$12.101 in 115 (0.87%)$6998.46
Kingdra (Alpha)Holo Rare$11.601 in 115 (0.87%)$6998.46
SkittyCommon$10.021 in 8 (12.82%)$474.01
Bidoof (Alpha)Uncommon$9.851 in 17 (6%)$1012.83
MiloticHolo Rare$9.371 in 115 (0.87%)$6998.46
Ludicolo (Alpha)Rare$7.721 in 37 (2.67%)$2278.76
Silent LabUncommon$6.311 in 17 (6%)$1012.83
BlazikenHolo Rare$6.141 in 115 (0.87%)$6998.46
Rhyperior (Omega)Holo Rare$5.591 in 115 (0.87%)$6998.46
HippopotasCommon$5.541 in 8 (12.82%)$474.01
BlazikenHolo Rare$5.161 in 115 (0.87%)$6998.46
Torchic (Omega)Uncommon$5.101 in 17 (6%)$1012.83
Whiscash (Alpha)Rare$4.561 in 37 (2.67%)$2278.76
MudkipCommon$4.511 in 8 (12.82%)$474.01
TeammatesUncommon$4.261 in 17 (6%)$1012.83
Silent LabUncommon$4.241 in 17 (6%)$1012.83
Bunnelby (Omega)Uncommon$4.121 in 17 (6%)$1012.83
VolbeatCommon$4.021 in 8 (12.82%)$474.01
NinetalesRare$4.011 in 37 (2.67%)$2278.76
SceptileRare$3.671 in 37 (2.67%)$2278.76
Rare CandyUncommon$3.621 in 17 (6%)$1012.83
Dive BallUncommon$3.611 in 17 (6%)$1012.83
Gorebyss (Alpha)Rare$3.451 in 37 (2.67%)$2278.76
SceptileRare$3.361 in 37 (2.67%)$2278.76
Tentacool (Alpha)Uncommon$3.031 in 17 (6%)$1012.83
Excadrill (Omega)Holo Rare$2.951 in 115 (0.87%)$6998.46
AzumarillRare$2.931 in 37 (2.67%)$2278.76
GroudonRare$2.881 in 37 (2.67%)$2278.76
Excadrill (Omega)Holo Rare$2.821 in 115 (0.87%)$6998.46
KyogreRare$2.801 in 37 (2.67%)$2278.76
Electrike (Omega)Uncommon$2.751 in 17 (6%)$1012.83
Nidoqueen (Omega)Rare$2.721 in 37 (2.67%)$2278.76
MiloticHolo Rare$2.661 in 115 (0.87%)$6998.46
FlygonHolo Rare$2.541 in 115 (0.87%)$6998.46
Magcargo (Omega)Rare$2.411 in 37 (2.67%)$2278.76
KyogreRare$2.301 in 37 (2.67%)$2278.76
SwampertRare$2.291 in 37 (2.67%)$2278.76
TorchicCommon$2.261 in 8 (12.82%)$474.01
MarshtompUncommon$2.241 in 17 (6%)$1012.83
FlygonHolo Rare$2.181 in 115 (0.87%)$6998.46
NinetalesRare$2.071 in 37 (2.67%)$2278.76
TeammatesUncommon$2.071 in 17 (6%)$1012.83
Ludicolo (Alpha)Rare$2.011 in 37 (2.67%)$2278.76
Bidoof (Alpha)Uncommon$1.981 in 17 (6%)$1012.83
Gorebyss (Alpha)Rare$1.881 in 37 (2.67%)$2278.76
Eelektrik (Alpha)Rare$1.811 in 37 (2.67%)$2278.76
Medicham (Omega)Rare$1.781 in 37 (2.67%)$2278.76
Groudon Spirit LinkUncommon$1.641 in 17 (6%)$1012.83
Wonder EnergyUncommon$1.601 in 17 (6%)$1012.83
MarillCommon$1.571 in 8 (12.82%)$474.01
AzumarillRare$1.501 in 37 (2.67%)$2278.76
SkittyCommon$1.491 in 8 (12.82%)$474.01
Rough SeasUncommon$1.491 in 17 (6%)$1012.83
Shield EnergyUncommon$1.401 in 17 (6%)$1012.83
ManaphyHolo Rare$1.371 in 115 (0.87%)$6998.46
IllumiseCommon$1.341 in 8 (12.82%)$474.01
Whiscash (Alpha)Rare$1.341 in 37 (2.67%)$2278.76
KingdraRare$1.251 in 37 (2.67%)$2278.76
Mr. MimeUncommon$1.241 in 17 (6%)$1012.83
TreeckoCommon$1.231 in 8 (12.82%)$474.01
VulpixCommon$1.231 in 8 (12.82%)$474.01
NidorinaUncommon$1.201 in 17 (6%)$1012.83
GroudonRare$1.181 in 37 (2.67%)$2278.76
Kyogre Spirit LinkUncommon$1.161 in 17 (6%)$1012.83
NidoqueenUncommon$1.111 in 17 (6%)$1012.83
GrovyleUncommon$1.101 in 17 (6%)$1012.83
HuntailHolo Rare$1.101 in 115 (0.87%)$6998.46
ZigzagoonCommon$1.101 in 8 (12.82%)$474.01
LudicoloHolo Rare$1.071 in 115 (0.87%)$6998.46
SwampertRare$1.051 in 37 (2.67%)$2278.76
HuntailHolo Rare$1.041 in 115 (0.87%)$6998.46
EelektrossHolo Rare$1.031 in 115 (0.87%)$6998.46
Escape RopeUncommon$1.031 in 17 (6%)$1012.83
Gardevoir Spirit LinkUncommon$1.011 in 17 (6%)$1012.83
BeedrillRare$0.991 in 37 (2.67%)$2278.76
Spheal (45)Common$0.981 in 8 (12.82%)$474.01
ManaphyHolo Rare$0.981 in 115 (0.87%)$6998.46
Magcargo (Omega)Rare$0.941 in 37 (2.67%)$2278.76
Eelektrik (Alpha)Rare$0.941 in 37 (2.67%)$2278.76
StaryuCommon$0.901 in 8 (12.82%)$474.01
DelcattyRare$0.901 in 37 (2.67%)$2278.76
TentacruelRare$0.891 in 37 (2.67%)$2278.76
CrawdauntHolo Rare$0.881 in 115 (0.87%)$6998.46
Dive BallUncommon$0.881 in 17 (6%)$1012.83
ManectricHolo Rare$0.861 in 115 (0.87%)$6998.46
RhyperiorRare$0.841 in 37 (2.67%)$2278.76
AegislashHolo Rare$0.841 in 115 (0.87%)$6998.46
EelektrossHolo Rare$0.831 in 115 (0.87%)$6998.46
ExcadrillRare$0.831 in 37 (2.67%)$2278.76
StarmieRare$0.821 in 37 (2.67%)$2278.76
Acro BikeUncommon$0.821 in 17 (6%)$1012.83
NosepassCommon$0.791 in 8 (12.82%)$474.01
CombuskenUncommon$0.781 in 17 (6%)$1012.83
LudicoloHolo Rare$0.771 in 115 (0.87%)$6998.46
CorphishCommon$0.771 in 8 (12.82%)$474.01
ManectricHolo Rare$0.771 in 115 (0.87%)$6998.46
CrawdauntHolo Rare$0.771 in 115 (0.87%)$6998.46
SpindaCommon$0.761 in 8 (12.82%)$474.01
Energy RetrievalUncommon$0.751 in 17 (6%)$1012.83
ClamperlCommon$0.741 in 8 (12.82%)$474.01
GorebyssUncommon$0.741 in 17 (6%)$1012.83
DoubladeUncommon$0.741 in 17 (6%)$1012.83
LinooneUncommon$0.741 in 17 (6%)$1012.83
LotadCommon$0.731 in 8 (12.82%)$474.01
SeadraUncommon$0.731 in 17 (6%)$1012.83
Nidoran (F)Common$0.731 in 8 (12.82%)$474.01
MedichamHolo Rare$0.731 in 115 (0.87%)$6998.46
HippowdonHolo Rare$0.731 in 115 (0.87%)$6998.46
HippopotasCommon$0.721 in 8 (12.82%)$474.01
FeebasCommon$0.711 in 8 (12.82%)$474.01
Medicham (Omega)Rare$0.711 in 37 (2.67%)$2278.76
HorseaCommon$0.701 in 8 (12.82%)$474.01
HippowdonHolo Rare$0.701 in 115 (0.87%)$6998.46
TentacoolCommon$0.671 in 8 (12.82%)$474.01
AegislashHolo Rare$0.671 in 115 (0.87%)$6998.46
Aggron Spirit LinkUncommon$0.671 in 17 (6%)$1012.83
WhiscashUncommon$0.661 in 17 (6%)$1012.83
SealeoUncommon$0.651 in 17 (6%)$1012.83
WalreinRare$0.651 in 37 (2.67%)$2278.76
LanturnUncommon$0.651 in 17 (6%)$1012.83
RhydonUncommon$0.651 in 17 (6%)$1012.83
Spheal (46)Common$0.641 in 8 (12.82%)$474.01
MedichamHolo Rare$0.641 in 115 (0.87%)$6998.46
Maxie's Hidden Ball TrickUncommon$0.641 in 17 (6%)$1012.83
ShroomishCommon$0.631 in 8 (12.82%)$474.01
ElectrikeCommon$0.631 in 8 (12.82%)$474.01
SlugmaCommon$0.611 in 8 (12.82%)$474.01
VibravaUncommon$0.611 in 17 (6%)$1012.83
WeedleCommon$0.601 in 8 (12.82%)$474.01
SurskitCommon$0.591 in 8 (12.82%)$474.01
BidoofCommon$0.581 in 8 (12.82%)$474.01
BeedrillRare$0.571 in 37 (2.67%)$2278.76
TangelaCommon$0.561 in 8 (12.82%)$474.01
TangrowthRare$0.561 in 37 (2.67%)$2278.76
MasquerainUncommon$0.561 in 17 (6%)$1012.83
RhyhornCommon$0.561 in 8 (12.82%)$474.01
BreloomRare$0.551 in 37 (2.67%)$2278.76
ProbopassRare$0.551 in 37 (2.67%)$2278.76
HonedgeCommon$0.551 in 8 (12.82%)$474.01
Bunnelby (Omega)Uncommon$0.551 in 17 (6%)$1012.83
Exp. ShareUncommon$0.551 in 17 (6%)$1012.83
ChinchouCommon$0.531 in 8 (12.82%)$474.01
DrilburCommon$0.531 in 8 (12.82%)$474.01
BibarelUncommon$0.531 in 17 (6%)$1012.83
VolbeatCommon$0.521 in 8 (12.82%)$474.01
MudkipCommon$0.521 in 8 (12.82%)$474.01
MarshtompUncommon$0.521 in 17 (6%)$1012.83
MedititeCommon$0.521 in 8 (12.82%)$474.01
KingdraRare$0.521 in 37 (2.67%)$2278.76
MagcargoUncommon$0.511 in 17 (6%)$1012.83
LombreUncommon$0.501 in 17 (6%)$1012.83
DiggersbyRare$0.501 in 37 (2.67%)$2278.76
Wonder EnergyUncommon$0.501 in 17 (6%)$1012.83
IllumiseCommon$0.491 in 8 (12.82%)$474.01
EelektrikUncommon$0.481 in 17 (6%)$1012.83
TentacruelRare$0.481 in 37 (2.67%)$2278.76
DelcattyRare$0.481 in 37 (2.67%)$2278.76
Rare CandyUncommon$0.471 in 17 (6%)$1012.83
Repeat BallUncommon$0.471 in 17 (6%)$1012.83
Shield EnergyUncommon$0.471 in 17 (6%)$1012.83
GrovyleUncommon$0.461 in 17 (6%)$1012.83
Electrike (Omega)Uncommon$0.461 in 17 (6%)$1012.83
TrapinchCommon$0.461 in 8 (12.82%)$474.01
Archie's Ace in the HoleUncommon$0.461 in 17 (6%)$1012.83
KakunaUncommon$0.451 in 17 (6%)$1012.83
TynamoCommon$0.451 in 8 (12.82%)$474.01
Rough SeasUncommon$0.451 in 17 (6%)$1012.83
Mr. MimeUncommon$0.431 in 17 (6%)$1012.83
Acro BikeUncommon$0.431 in 17 (6%)$1012.83
BarboachCommon$0.411 in 8 (12.82%)$474.01
RhyperiorRare$0.411 in 37 (2.67%)$2278.76
Scorched EarthUncommon$0.411 in 17 (6%)$1012.83
VulpixCommon$0.401 in 8 (12.82%)$474.01
StarmieRare$0.401 in 37 (2.67%)$2278.76
MarillCommon$0.401 in 8 (12.82%)$474.01
Weakness PolicyUncommon$0.401 in 17 (6%)$1012.83
WalreinRare$0.381 in 37 (2.67%)$2278.76
BouffalantUncommon$0.381 in 17 (6%)$1012.83
Fresh Water SetUncommon$0.361 in 17 (6%)$1012.83
Groudon Spirit LinkUncommon$0.361 in 17 (6%)$1012.83
TangrowthRare$0.351 in 37 (2.67%)$2278.76
NidoqueenUncommon$0.351 in 17 (6%)$1012.83
BreloomRare$0.341 in 37 (2.67%)$2278.76
StaryuCommon$0.341 in 8 (12.82%)$474.01
ExcadrillRare$0.331 in 37 (2.67%)$2278.76
Shrine of MemoriesUncommon$0.331 in 17 (6%)$1012.83
Gardevoir Spirit LinkUncommon$0.321 in 17 (6%)$1012.83
Professor Birch's ObservationsUncommon$0.321 in 17 (6%)$1012.83
Shrine of MemoriesUncommon$0.321 in 17 (6%)$1012.83
ShroomishCommon$0.311 in 8 (12.82%)$474.01
TorchicCommon$0.311 in 8 (12.82%)$474.01
WhiscashUncommon$0.311 in 17 (6%)$1012.83
GorebyssUncommon$0.311 in 17 (6%)$1012.83
SolrockCommon$0.311 in 8 (12.82%)$474.01
DiggersbyRare$0.311 in 37 (2.67%)$2278.76
ProbopassRare$0.301 in 37 (2.67%)$2278.76
VibravaUncommon$0.301 in 17 (6%)$1012.83
BidoofCommon$0.301 in 8 (12.82%)$474.01
BunnelbyCommon$0.301 in 8 (12.82%)$474.01
Kyogre Spirit LinkUncommon$0.301 in 17 (6%)$1012.83
Spheal (46)Common$0.291 in 8 (12.82%)$474.01
SpindaCommon$0.291 in 8 (12.82%)$474.01
Maxie's Hidden Ball TrickUncommon$0.291 in 17 (6%)$1012.83
SurskitCommon$0.281 in 8 (12.82%)$474.01
Spheal (45)Common$0.281 in 8 (12.82%)$474.01
LanturnUncommon$0.281 in 17 (6%)$1012.83
BibarelUncommon$0.281 in 17 (6%)$1012.83
TangelaCommon$0.271 in 8 (12.82%)$474.01
LotadCommon$0.271 in 8 (12.82%)$474.01
CombuskenUncommon$0.271 in 17 (6%)$1012.83
CorphishCommon$0.271 in 8 (12.82%)$474.01
NidorinaUncommon$0.271 in 17 (6%)$1012.83
KakunaUncommon$0.261 in 17 (6%)$1012.83
MasquerainUncommon$0.261 in 17 (6%)$1012.83
MagcargoUncommon$0.261 in 17 (6%)$1012.83
SealeoUncommon$0.261 in 17 (6%)$1012.83
TentacoolCommon$0.261 in 8 (12.82%)$474.01
LinooneUncommon$0.261 in 17 (6%)$1012.83
Escape RopeUncommon$0.261 in 17 (6%)$1012.83
Repeat BallUncommon$0.261 in 17 (6%)$1012.83
SeadraUncommon$0.251 in 17 (6%)$1012.83
ClamperlCommon$0.251 in 8 (12.82%)$474.01
Nidoran (F)Common$0.251 in 8 (12.82%)$474.01
Scorched EarthUncommon$0.251 in 17 (6%)$1012.83
Aggron Spirit LinkUncommon$0.251 in 17 (6%)$1012.83
FeebasCommon$0.241 in 8 (12.82%)$474.01
TrapinchCommon$0.241 in 8 (12.82%)$474.01
BarboachCommon$0.231 in 8 (12.82%)$474.01
ChinchouCommon$0.231 in 8 (12.82%)$474.01
DrilburCommon$0.231 in 8 (12.82%)$474.01
ZigzagoonCommon$0.231 in 8 (12.82%)$474.01
BunnelbyCommon$0.231 in 8 (12.82%)$474.01
WeedleCommon$0.221 in 8 (12.82%)$474.01
HorseaCommon$0.221 in 8 (12.82%)$474.01
ElectrikeCommon$0.221 in 8 (12.82%)$474.01
RhydonUncommon$0.221 in 17 (6%)$1012.83
SolrockCommon$0.221 in 8 (12.82%)$474.01
HonedgeCommon$0.221 in 8 (12.82%)$474.01
DoubladeUncommon$0.221 in 17 (6%)$1012.83
RhyhornCommon$0.211 in 8 (12.82%)$474.01
MedititeCommon$0.211 in 8 (12.82%)$474.01
Professor Birch's ObservationsUncommon$0.211 in 17 (6%)$1012.83
Weakness PolicyUncommon$0.211 in 17 (6%)$1012.83
SlugmaCommon$0.201 in 8 (12.82%)$474.01
EelektrikUncommon$0.201 in 17 (6%)$1012.83
NosepassCommon$0.201 in 8 (12.82%)$474.01
Archie's Ace in the HoleUncommon$0.201 in 17 (6%)$1012.83
TreeckoCommon$0.191 in 8 (12.82%)$474.01
LombreUncommon$0.191 in 17 (6%)$1012.83
TynamoCommon$0.191 in 8 (12.82%)$474.01
Energy RetrievalUncommon$0.191 in 17 (6%)$1012.83
BouffalantUncommon$0.181 in 17 (6%)$1012.83
Fresh Water SetUncommon$0.171 in 17 (6%)$1012.83
Exp. ShareUncommon$0.151 in 17 (6%)$1012.83