Sets / XY - Primal Clash

XY - Primal Clash

A $64.38 XY - Primal Clash pack returns $18.84 in expected card value on average — 29% of what you paid.

No official TCGPlayer pull-rate article covers XY - Primal Clash, so these odds come from thepricedex.com, which discloses a disclosed sample. Sources that do not state how many packs they counted are not used here, however confident they sound.

How these figures are calculated, including the sourcing bar and what this model deliberately does not do.

Products in this set

ProductPriceExpected valueExpected return
XY Primal Clash Booster Pack$64.38$18.8429%
XY - Primal Clash Sleeved Booster Pack$98.86$18.8419%
XY Primal Clash Booster Box$3799.99$678.0818%
Legend of Hoenn Tin [Groudon EX]—$56.51TBD
Legend of Hoenn Tin [Kyogre EX]—$56.51TBD
Elite Trainer Box [Groudon]—$169.52TBD
Elite Trainer Box [Kyogre]—$169.52TBD

Where to buy

XY Primal Clash Booster Pack · XY - Primal Clash Sleeved Booster Pack · XY Primal Clash Booster Box · Legend of Hoenn Tin [Groudon EX] · Legend of Hoenn Tin [Kyogre EX] · Elite Trainer Box [Groudon] · Elite Trainer Box [Kyogre]

Expected return by product type

ProductPrice per packExpected return
Booster Pack$64.3829%
Booster Box$105.5618%

Pull rates (source: community_estimate)

RarityPull rateSample
Secret Rare0.8%
Holo Rare15.63%
Ultra Rare16.99%
Rare66.67%
Common500%
Uncommon300%

Cards & odds

CardRarityMarket priceOddsCost to pull
Primal Kyogre EX (Alpha - 149 Full Art)Ultra Rare$364.831 in 165 (0.61%)$10610.01
Primal Groudon EX (Omega - 151 Full Art)Ultra Rare$220.491 in 165 (0.61%)$10610.01
Groudon EX (150 Full Art)Ultra Rare$186.901 in 165 (0.61%)$10610.01
Kyogre EX (148 Full Art)Ultra Rare$165.651 in 165 (0.61%)$10610.01
M Gardevoir EX (156 Full Art)Ultra Rare$105.881 in 165 (0.61%)$10610.01
M Aggron EX (154 Full Art)Ultra Rare$94.791 in 165 (0.61%)$10610.01
Gardevoir EX (155 Full Art)Ultra Rare$73.271 in 165 (0.61%)$10610.01
Primal Kyogre EX (Alpha)Ultra Rare$60.311 in 165 (0.61%)$10610.01
Wailord EX (147 Full Art)Ultra Rare$58.211 in 165 (0.61%)$10610.01
Primal Groudon EX (Omega)Ultra Rare$53.671 in 165 (0.61%)$10610.01
Aggron EX (153 Full Art)Ultra Rare$47.601 in 165 (0.61%)$10610.01
Sharpedo EX (152 Full Art)Ultra Rare$38.501 in 165 (0.61%)$10610.01
Teammates (160 Full Art)Ultra Rare$30.551 in 165 (0.61%)$10610.01
M Gardevoir EXUltra Rare$28.911 in 165 (0.61%)$10610.01
Camerupt EX (146 Full Art)Ultra Rare$26.621 in 165 (0.61%)$10610.01
Switch (163 Secret Rare)Secret Rare$25.711 in 500 (0.2%)$32190.00
Archie's Ace in the Hole (157 Full Art)Ultra Rare$25.161 in 165 (0.61%)$10610.01
Dive Ball (161 Secret Rare)Secret Rare$23.751 in 500 (0.2%)$32190.00
Kyogre EXUltra Rare$23.391 in 165 (0.61%)$10610.01
Trevenant EX (145 Full Art)Ultra Rare$22.931 in 165 (0.61%)$10610.01
Enhanced Hammer (162 Secret Rare)Secret Rare$22.571 in 500 (0.2%)$32190.00
Maxie's Hidden Ball Trick (158 Full Art)Ultra Rare$22.101 in 165 (0.61%)$10610.01
M Aggron EXUltra Rare$20.431 in 165 (0.61%)$10610.01
Professor Birch's Observations (159 Full Art)Ultra Rare$19.101 in 165 (0.61%)$10610.01
Groudon EXUltra Rare$15.901 in 165 (0.61%)$10610.01
Gardevoir EXUltra Rare$8.691 in 165 (0.61%)$10610.01
Weakness Policy (164 Secret Rare)Secret Rare$7.381 in 500 (0.2%)$32190.00
Aggron EXUltra Rare$5.311 in 165 (0.61%)$10610.01
Wailord EXUltra Rare$5.231 in 165 (0.61%)$10610.01
Sharpedo EXUltra Rare$3.701 in 165 (0.61%)$10610.01
Trevenant EXUltra Rare$2.981 in 165 (0.61%)$10610.01
Camerupt EXUltra Rare$1.961 in 165 (0.61%)$10610.01
Swampert (Alpha)Holo Rare$34.651 in 115 (0.87%)$6998.46
Swampert (Alpha)Holo Rare$30.771 in 115 (0.87%)$6998.46
Nidoqueen (Omega)Rare$19.981 in 37 (2.67%)$2278.76
Sceptile (Omega)Holo Rare$17.091 in 115 (0.87%)$6998.46
Torchic (Omega)Uncommon$16.151 in 17 (6%)$1012.83
Sceptile (Omega)Holo Rare$15.711 in 115 (0.87%)$6998.46
Kingdra (Alpha)Holo Rare$14.981 in 115 (0.87%)$6998.46
Azumarill (Alpha)Holo Rare$14.101 in 115 (0.87%)$6998.46
Rhyperior (Omega)Holo Rare$13.301 in 115 (0.87%)$6998.46
Tentacool (Alpha)Uncommon$13.271 in 17 (6%)$1012.83
Azumarill (Alpha)Holo Rare$11.741 in 115 (0.87%)$6998.46
Kingdra (Alpha)Holo Rare$11.131 in 115 (0.87%)$6998.46
SkittyCommon$9.071 in 8 (12.82%)$474.01
MiloticHolo Rare$8.601 in 115 (0.87%)$6998.46
Ludicolo (Alpha)Rare$6.791 in 37 (2.67%)$2278.76
Bidoof (Alpha)Uncommon$6.071 in 17 (6%)$1012.83
Silent LabUncommon$5.981 in 17 (6%)$1012.83
Rhyperior (Omega)Holo Rare$5.591 in 115 (0.87%)$6998.46
BlazikenHolo Rare$5.511 in 115 (0.87%)$6998.46
HippopotasCommon$5.341 in 8 (12.82%)$474.01
BlazikenHolo Rare$5.121 in 115 (0.87%)$6998.46
TeammatesUncommon$4.471 in 17 (6%)$1012.83
Whiscash (Alpha)Rare$4.121 in 37 (2.67%)$2278.76
Bunnelby (Omega)Uncommon$4.051 in 17 (6%)$1012.83
SceptileRare$4.001 in 37 (2.67%)$2278.76
MudkipCommon$4.001 in 8 (12.82%)$474.01
NinetalesRare$3.911 in 37 (2.67%)$2278.76
SceptileRare$3.691 in 37 (2.67%)$2278.76
Dive BallUncommon$3.681 in 17 (6%)$1012.83
Silent LabUncommon$3.641 in 17 (6%)$1012.83
Rare CandyUncommon$3.431 in 17 (6%)$1012.83
VolbeatCommon$3.411 in 8 (12.82%)$474.01
Gorebyss (Alpha)Rare$3.411 in 37 (2.67%)$2278.76
MiloticHolo Rare$3.301 in 115 (0.87%)$6998.46
Torchic (Omega)Uncommon$3.281 in 17 (6%)$1012.83
Excadrill (Omega)Holo Rare$3.171 in 115 (0.87%)$6998.46
GroudonRare$2.971 in 37 (2.67%)$2278.76
Nidoqueen (Omega)Rare$2.841 in 37 (2.67%)$2278.76
Tentacool (Alpha)Uncommon$2.811 in 17 (6%)$1012.83
AzumarillRare$2.781 in 37 (2.67%)$2278.76
Excadrill (Omega)Holo Rare$2.751 in 115 (0.87%)$6998.46
Eelektrik (Alpha)Rare$2.721 in 37 (2.67%)$2278.76
Electrike (Omega)Uncommon$2.661 in 17 (6%)$1012.83
TeammatesUncommon$2.541 in 17 (6%)$1012.83
KyogreRare$2.511 in 37 (2.67%)$2278.76
Ludicolo (Alpha)Rare$2.471 in 37 (2.67%)$2278.76
FlygonHolo Rare$2.431 in 115 (0.87%)$6998.46
SwampertRare$2.351 in 37 (2.67%)$2278.76
MarshtompUncommon$2.271 in 17 (6%)$1012.83
Magcargo (Omega)Rare$2.201 in 37 (2.67%)$2278.76
FlygonHolo Rare$2.141 in 115 (0.87%)$6998.46
KyogreRare$2.121 in 37 (2.67%)$2278.76
NinetalesRare$1.971 in 37 (2.67%)$2278.76
Bidoof (Alpha)Uncommon$1.871 in 17 (6%)$1012.83
Medicham (Omega)Rare$1.691 in 37 (2.67%)$2278.76
Dive BallUncommon$1.561 in 17 (6%)$1012.83
Rough SeasUncommon$1.541 in 17 (6%)$1012.83
Shield EnergyUncommon$1.511 in 17 (6%)$1012.83
Gorebyss (Alpha)Rare$1.441 in 37 (2.67%)$2278.76
Wonder EnergyUncommon$1.431 in 17 (6%)$1012.83
ManaphyHolo Rare$1.381 in 115 (0.87%)$6998.46
IllumiseCommon$1.371 in 8 (12.82%)$474.01
TorchicCommon$1.351 in 8 (12.82%)$474.01
KingdraRare$1.331 in 37 (2.67%)$2278.76
SkittyCommon$1.331 in 8 (12.82%)$474.01
Whiscash (Alpha)Rare$1.311 in 37 (2.67%)$2278.76
GroudonRare$1.271 in 37 (2.67%)$2278.76
Mr. MimeUncommon$1.271 in 17 (6%)$1012.83
Groudon Spirit LinkUncommon$1.271 in 17 (6%)$1012.83
MarillCommon$1.221 in 8 (12.82%)$474.01
AzumarillRare$1.211 in 37 (2.67%)$2278.76
VulpixCommon$1.181 in 8 (12.82%)$474.01
SwampertRare$1.181 in 37 (2.67%)$2278.76
NidorinaUncommon$1.171 in 17 (6%)$1012.83
ZigzagoonCommon$1.121 in 8 (12.82%)$474.01
Escape RopeUncommon$1.111 in 17 (6%)$1012.83
HuntailHolo Rare$1.101 in 115 (0.87%)$6998.46
LudicoloHolo Rare$1.061 in 115 (0.87%)$6998.46
NidoqueenUncommon$1.061 in 17 (6%)$1012.83
EelektrossHolo Rare$1.051 in 115 (0.87%)$6998.46
GrovyleUncommon$1.041 in 17 (6%)$1012.83
BeedrillRare$0.981 in 37 (2.67%)$2278.76
ManaphyHolo Rare$0.971 in 115 (0.87%)$6998.46
Gardevoir Spirit LinkUncommon$0.951 in 17 (6%)$1012.83
Spheal (45)Common$0.941 in 8 (12.82%)$474.01
HuntailHolo Rare$0.941 in 115 (0.87%)$6998.46
TreeckoCommon$0.921 in 8 (12.82%)$474.01
Magcargo (Omega)Rare$0.921 in 37 (2.67%)$2278.76
ManectricHolo Rare$0.921 in 115 (0.87%)$6998.46
DelcattyRare$0.901 in 37 (2.67%)$2278.76
TentacruelRare$0.891 in 37 (2.67%)$2278.76
Acro BikeUncommon$0.891 in 17 (6%)$1012.83
StaryuCommon$0.881 in 8 (12.82%)$474.01
RhyperiorRare$0.881 in 37 (2.67%)$2278.76
ExcadrillRare$0.871 in 37 (2.67%)$2278.76
ManectricHolo Rare$0.851 in 115 (0.87%)$6998.46
CrawdauntHolo Rare$0.851 in 115 (0.87%)$6998.46
Kyogre Spirit LinkUncommon$0.851 in 17 (6%)$1012.83
LudicoloHolo Rare$0.831 in 115 (0.87%)$6998.46
StarmieRare$0.821 in 37 (2.67%)$2278.76
AegislashHolo Rare$0.781 in 115 (0.87%)$6998.46
NosepassCommon$0.771 in 8 (12.82%)$474.01
SpindaCommon$0.761 in 8 (12.82%)$474.01
LotadCommon$0.751 in 8 (12.82%)$474.01
CombuskenUncommon$0.751 in 17 (6%)$1012.83
Eelektrik (Alpha)Rare$0.751 in 37 (2.67%)$2278.76
Energy RetrievalUncommon$0.751 in 17 (6%)$1012.83
EelektrossHolo Rare$0.741 in 115 (0.87%)$6998.46
HippowdonHolo Rare$0.731 in 115 (0.87%)$6998.46
HippowdonHolo Rare$0.721 in 115 (0.87%)$6998.46
CorphishCommon$0.711 in 8 (12.82%)$474.01
GorebyssUncommon$0.701 in 17 (6%)$1012.83
Nidoran (F)Common$0.701 in 8 (12.82%)$474.01
CrawdauntHolo Rare$0.701 in 115 (0.87%)$6998.46
LinooneUncommon$0.701 in 17 (6%)$1012.83
MedichamHolo Rare$0.691 in 115 (0.87%)$6998.46
SlugmaCommon$0.671 in 8 (12.82%)$474.01
LanturnUncommon$0.671 in 17 (6%)$1012.83
SeadraUncommon$0.661 in 17 (6%)$1012.83
WhiscashUncommon$0.661 in 17 (6%)$1012.83
ElectrikeCommon$0.661 in 8 (12.82%)$474.01
TentacoolCommon$0.661 in 8 (12.82%)$474.01
DoubladeUncommon$0.661 in 17 (6%)$1012.83
AegislashHolo Rare$0.661 in 115 (0.87%)$6998.46
BidoofCommon$0.661 in 8 (12.82%)$474.01
HorseaCommon$0.651 in 8 (12.82%)$474.01
FeebasCommon$0.651 in 8 (12.82%)$474.01
ClamperlCommon$0.651 in 8 (12.82%)$474.01
SealeoUncommon$0.641 in 17 (6%)$1012.83
RhydonUncommon$0.641 in 17 (6%)$1012.83
MedichamHolo Rare$0.641 in 115 (0.87%)$6998.46
WalreinRare$0.631 in 37 (2.67%)$2278.76
ShroomishCommon$0.621 in 8 (12.82%)$474.01
Spheal (46)Common$0.621 in 8 (12.82%)$474.01
Aggron Spirit LinkUncommon$0.611 in 17 (6%)$1012.83
WeedleCommon$0.601 in 8 (12.82%)$474.01
TangrowthRare$0.601 in 37 (2.67%)$2278.76
Medicham (Omega)Rare$0.601 in 37 (2.67%)$2278.76
VibravaUncommon$0.601 in 17 (6%)$1012.83
HippopotasCommon$0.591 in 8 (12.82%)$474.01
BreloomRare$0.581 in 37 (2.67%)$2278.76
HonedgeCommon$0.581 in 8 (12.82%)$474.01
SurskitCommon$0.571 in 8 (12.82%)$474.01
Maxie's Hidden Ball TrickUncommon$0.571 in 17 (6%)$1012.83
TentacruelRare$0.561 in 37 (2.67%)$2278.76
DiggersbyRare$0.561 in 37 (2.67%)$2278.76
Bunnelby (Omega)Uncommon$0.561 in 17 (6%)$1012.83
ChinchouCommon$0.551 in 8 (12.82%)$474.01
MedititeCommon$0.551 in 8 (12.82%)$474.01
BibarelUncommon$0.551 in 17 (6%)$1012.83
Exp. ShareUncommon$0.551 in 17 (6%)$1012.83
Wonder EnergyUncommon$0.551 in 17 (6%)$1012.83
TangelaCommon$0.541 in 8 (12.82%)$474.01
LombreUncommon$0.541 in 17 (6%)$1012.83
BeedrillRare$0.531 in 37 (2.67%)$2278.76
ProbopassRare$0.531 in 37 (2.67%)$2278.76
MasquerainUncommon$0.521 in 17 (6%)$1012.83
DrilburCommon$0.511 in 8 (12.82%)$474.01
KakunaUncommon$0.501 in 17 (6%)$1012.83
VulpixCommon$0.501 in 8 (12.82%)$474.01
EelektrikUncommon$0.501 in 17 (6%)$1012.83
RhyhornCommon$0.501 in 8 (12.82%)$474.01
KingdraRare$0.491 in 37 (2.67%)$2278.76
Acro BikeUncommon$0.491 in 17 (6%)$1012.83
Archie's Ace in the HoleUncommon$0.491 in 17 (6%)$1012.83
Rough SeasUncommon$0.491 in 17 (6%)$1012.83
DelcattyRare$0.481 in 37 (2.67%)$2278.76
Weakness PolicyUncommon$0.481 in 17 (6%)$1012.83
Shield EnergyUncommon$0.481 in 17 (6%)$1012.83
MagcargoUncommon$0.471 in 17 (6%)$1012.83
NidoqueenUncommon$0.471 in 17 (6%)$1012.83
TrapinchCommon$0.471 in 8 (12.82%)$474.01
Mr. MimeUncommon$0.471 in 17 (6%)$1012.83
GrovyleUncommon$0.461 in 17 (6%)$1012.83
MudkipCommon$0.461 in 8 (12.82%)$474.01
Repeat BallUncommon$0.461 in 17 (6%)$1012.83
MarshtompUncommon$0.451 in 17 (6%)$1012.83
VolbeatCommon$0.431 in 8 (12.82%)$474.01
TynamoCommon$0.431 in 8 (12.82%)$474.01
IllumiseCommon$0.411 in 8 (12.82%)$474.01
StarmieRare$0.411 in 37 (2.67%)$2278.76
MarillCommon$0.411 in 8 (12.82%)$474.01
BarboachCommon$0.401 in 8 (12.82%)$474.01
WalreinRare$0.401 in 37 (2.67%)$2278.76
RhyperiorRare$0.401 in 37 (2.67%)$2278.76
Professor Birch's ObservationsUncommon$0.401 in 17 (6%)$1012.83
BouffalantUncommon$0.391 in 17 (6%)$1012.83
Fresh Water SetUncommon$0.371 in 17 (6%)$1012.83
Rare CandyUncommon$0.371 in 17 (6%)$1012.83
Scorched EarthUncommon$0.371 in 17 (6%)$1012.83
Electrike (Omega)Uncommon$0.361 in 17 (6%)$1012.83
Shrine of MemoriesUncommon$0.361 in 17 (6%)$1012.83
GorebyssUncommon$0.351 in 17 (6%)$1012.83
DiggersbyRare$0.351 in 37 (2.67%)$2278.76
BunnelbyCommon$0.351 in 8 (12.82%)$474.01
Kyogre Spirit LinkUncommon$0.351 in 17 (6%)$1012.83
ShroomishCommon$0.341 in 8 (12.82%)$474.01
Gardevoir Spirit LinkUncommon$0.341 in 17 (6%)$1012.83
TangrowthRare$0.331 in 37 (2.67%)$2278.76
BreloomRare$0.331 in 37 (2.67%)$2278.76
SolrockCommon$0.331 in 8 (12.82%)$474.01
ExcadrillRare$0.331 in 37 (2.67%)$2278.76
Groudon Spirit LinkUncommon$0.321 in 17 (6%)$1012.83
Shrine of MemoriesUncommon$0.321 in 17 (6%)$1012.83
NidorinaUncommon$0.311 in 17 (6%)$1012.83
StaryuCommon$0.301 in 8 (12.82%)$474.01
Spheal (45)Common$0.301 in 8 (12.82%)$474.01
LinooneUncommon$0.301 in 17 (6%)$1012.83
SpindaCommon$0.301 in 8 (12.82%)$474.01
BibarelUncommon$0.301 in 17 (6%)$1012.83
Maxie's Hidden Ball TrickUncommon$0.301 in 17 (6%)$1012.83
ProbopassRare$0.291 in 37 (2.67%)$2278.76
VibravaUncommon$0.291 in 17 (6%)$1012.83
BidoofCommon$0.291 in 8 (12.82%)$474.01
Spheal (46)Common$0.281 in 8 (12.82%)$474.01
TangelaCommon$0.271 in 8 (12.82%)$474.01
TreeckoCommon$0.271 in 8 (12.82%)$474.01
LotadCommon$0.271 in 8 (12.82%)$474.01
MagcargoUncommon$0.271 in 17 (6%)$1012.83
WhiscashUncommon$0.271 in 17 (6%)$1012.83
LanturnUncommon$0.271 in 17 (6%)$1012.83
Nidoran (F)Common$0.271 in 8 (12.82%)$474.01
RhydonUncommon$0.271 in 17 (6%)$1012.83
TorchicCommon$0.261 in 8 (12.82%)$474.01
CombuskenUncommon$0.261 in 17 (6%)$1012.83
SealeoUncommon$0.261 in 17 (6%)$1012.83
Scorched EarthUncommon$0.261 in 17 (6%)$1012.83
MasquerainUncommon$0.251 in 17 (6%)$1012.83
FeebasCommon$0.251 in 8 (12.82%)$474.01
MedititeCommon$0.251 in 8 (12.82%)$474.01
BunnelbyCommon$0.251 in 8 (12.82%)$474.01
Escape RopeUncommon$0.251 in 17 (6%)$1012.83
Repeat BallUncommon$0.251 in 17 (6%)$1012.83
Weakness PolicyUncommon$0.251 in 17 (6%)$1012.83
Aggron Spirit LinkUncommon$0.251 in 17 (6%)$1012.83
KakunaUncommon$0.231 in 17 (6%)$1012.83
ClamperlCommon$0.231 in 8 (12.82%)$474.01
ChinchouCommon$0.231 in 8 (12.82%)$474.01
HonedgeCommon$0.231 in 8 (12.82%)$474.01
ZigzagoonCommon$0.231 in 8 (12.82%)$474.01
Archie's Ace in the HoleUncommon$0.231 in 17 (6%)$1012.83
BarboachCommon$0.221 in 8 (12.82%)$474.01
ElectrikeCommon$0.221 in 8 (12.82%)$474.01
TentacoolCommon$0.221 in 8 (12.82%)$474.01
TrapinchCommon$0.221 in 8 (12.82%)$474.01
WeedleCommon$0.211 in 8 (12.82%)$474.01
SurskitCommon$0.211 in 8 (12.82%)$474.01
SeadraUncommon$0.211 in 17 (6%)$1012.83
DrilburCommon$0.211 in 8 (12.82%)$474.01
DoubladeUncommon$0.211 in 17 (6%)$1012.83
HorseaCommon$0.201 in 8 (12.82%)$474.01
EelektrikUncommon$0.201 in 17 (6%)$1012.83
RhyhornCommon$0.191 in 8 (12.82%)$474.01
SolrockCommon$0.191 in 8 (12.82%)$474.01
Energy RetrievalUncommon$0.191 in 17 (6%)$1012.83
Professor Birch's ObservationsUncommon$0.191 in 17 (6%)$1012.83
LombreUncommon$0.181 in 17 (6%)$1012.83
SlugmaCommon$0.181 in 8 (12.82%)$474.01
CorphishCommon$0.181 in 8 (12.82%)$474.01
TynamoCommon$0.181 in 8 (12.82%)$474.01
NosepassCommon$0.181 in 8 (12.82%)$474.01
BouffalantUncommon$0.171 in 17 (6%)$1012.83
Fresh Water SetUncommon$0.171 in 17 (6%)$1012.83
Exp. ShareUncommon$0.161 in 17 (6%)$1012.83