XY - Roaring Skies
A $89.39 XY - Roaring Skies pack returns $21.64 in expected card value on average — 24% of what you paid.
No official TCGPlayer pull-rate article covers XY - Roaring Skies. These odds come from thepricedex.com, which publishes a rate for each tier but does not say how many packs it counted to get there — so read them as indicative rather than measured. They are here because they are the best published figures for this set, and naming that limit is better than implying a precision the source never claimed.
How these figures are calculated, including the sourcing bar and what this model deliberately does not do.
- Pack EV: $21.64
- Cheapest pack: $89.39 (Roaring Skies Booster Pack)
- Cards: 110 (196 versions)
Products in this set
| Product | Price | Expected value | Expected return |
|---|---|---|---|
| Roaring Skies Booster Pack | $89.39 | $21.64 | 24% |
| Roaring Skies Sleeved Booster Pack | $124.07 | $21.64 | 17% |
| XY Roaring Skies Booster Box | $4768.42 | $779.14 | 16% |
| Hoenn Power Tin [Sceptile] | $650.00 | $64.93 | 10% |
| XY Roaring Skies Elite Trainer Box | $7899.99 | $194.78 | 2% |
| Hoenn Power Tin [Swampert] | — | $64.93 | TBD |
| Hoenn Power Tin [Blaziken] | — | $64.93 | TBD |
| Roaring Skies 3 Pack Blister [Pangoro] | — | $64.93 | TBD |
| Roaring Skies 3 Pack Blister [Regirock] | — | $64.93 | TBD |
| Mega Absol EX Premium Collection | — | $129.86 | TBD |
| Dragonite Collector's Pin 3 Pack Blister | — | $64.93 | TBD |
Where to buy
Roaring Skies Booster Pack · Roaring Skies Sleeved Booster Pack · XY Roaring Skies Booster Box · Hoenn Power Tin [Sceptile] · XY Roaring Skies Elite Trainer Box · Hoenn Power Tin [Swampert] · Hoenn Power Tin [Blaziken] · Roaring Skies 3 Pack Blister [Pangoro] · Roaring Skies 3 Pack Blister [Regirock] · Mega Absol EX Premium Collection · Dragonite Collector's Pin 3 Pack Blister
Expected return by product type
| Product | Price per pack | Expected return |
|---|---|---|
| Booster Pack | $89.39 | 24% |
| Booster Box | $132.46 | 16% |
| Elite Trainer Box | $877.78 | 2% |
Pull rates (source: community_estimate)
| Rarity | Pull rate | Sample |
|---|---|---|
| Secret Rare | 0.8% | |
| Holo Rare | 15.63% | |
| Ultra Rare | 16.99% | |
| Rare | 66.67% | |
| Common | 500% | |
| Uncommon | 300% |
Cards & odds
| Card | Rarity | Market price | Odds | Cost to pull |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| M Rayquaza EX (105 Full Art) | Ultra Rare | $648.19 | 1 in 129 (0.77%) | $11574.93 |
| Rayquaza EX (104 Full Art) | Ultra Rare | $266.68 | 1 in 129 (0.77%) | $11574.93 |
| M Rayquaza EX (61) | Ultra Rare | $144.13 | 1 in 129 (0.77%) | $11574.93 |
| M Rayquaza EX (76) | Ultra Rare | $114.41 | 1 in 129 (0.77%) | $11574.93 |
| M Latios EX (102 Full Art) | Ultra Rare | $102.57 | 1 in 129 (0.77%) | $11574.93 |
| Latios EX (101 Full Art) | Ultra Rare | $67.01 | 1 in 129 (0.77%) | $11574.93 |
| Rayquaza EX (75) | Ultra Rare | $59.12 | 1 in 129 (0.77%) | $11574.93 |
| M Gallade EX (100 Full Art) | Ultra Rare | $51.76 | 1 in 129 (0.77%) | $11574.93 |
| Hydreigon EX (103 Full Art) | Ultra Rare | $41.24 | 1 in 129 (0.77%) | $11574.93 |
| Winona (108 Full Art) | Ultra Rare | $37.17 | 1 in 129 (0.77%) | $11574.93 |
| Rayquaza EX (60) | Ultra Rare | $35.96 | 1 in 129 (0.77%) | $11574.93 |
| Shaymin EX (106 Full Art) | Ultra Rare | $28.57 | 1 in 129 (0.77%) | $11574.93 |
| M Latios EX | Ultra Rare | $25.55 | 1 in 129 (0.77%) | $11574.93 |
| Energy Switch | Secret Rare | $24.69 | 1 in 250 (0.4%) | $22347.50 |
| VS Seeker | Secret Rare | $22.48 | 1 in 250 (0.4%) | $22347.50 |
| Thundurus EX (98 Full Art) | Ultra Rare | $20.31 | 1 in 129 (0.77%) | $11574.93 |
| Gallade EX (99 Full Art) | Ultra Rare | $20.02 | 1 in 129 (0.77%) | $11574.93 |
| Wally (107 Full Art) | Ultra Rare | $16.86 | 1 in 129 (0.77%) | $11574.93 |
| M Gallade EX | Ultra Rare | $14.58 | 1 in 129 (0.77%) | $11574.93 |
| Shaymin EX | Ultra Rare | $12.20 | 1 in 129 (0.77%) | $11574.93 |
| Latios EX | Ultra Rare | $10.24 | 1 in 129 (0.77%) | $11574.93 |
| Hydreigon EX | Ultra Rare | $6.41 | 1 in 129 (0.77%) | $11574.93 |
| Gallade EX | Ultra Rare | $2.99 | 1 in 129 (0.77%) | $11574.93 |
| Thundurus EX | Ultra Rare | $2.40 | 1 in 129 (0.77%) | $11574.93 |
| Dragonite (52 Delta) | Holo Rare | $30.66 | 1 in 64 (1.56%) | $4645.55 |
| Dragonite (52 Delta) | Holo Rare | $29.70 | 1 in 64 (1.56%) | $4645.55 |
| Rayquaza Spirit Link | Uncommon | $19.32 | 1 in 11 (9.38%) | $774.51 |
| Jirachi | Holo Rare | $17.98 | 1 in 64 (1.56%) | $4645.55 |
| Dragonite (51) | Rare | $14.02 | 1 in 27 (3.7%) | $1960.37 |
| Articuno (17 Delta) | Rare | $13.60 | 1 in 27 (3.7%) | $1960.37 |
| Jirachi | Holo Rare | $13.09 | 1 in 64 (1.56%) | $4645.55 |
| Double Dragon Energy | Uncommon | $11.13 | 1 in 11 (9.38%) | $774.51 |
| Pikachu | Common | $8.67 | 1 in 5 (19.23%) | $377.57 |
| Togekiss (45) | Rare | $8.32 | 1 in 27 (3.7%) | $1960.37 |
| Deoxys | Holo Rare | $6.36 | 1 in 64 (1.56%) | $4645.55 |
| Altaria (74 Delta) | Rare | $5.71 | 1 in 27 (3.7%) | $1960.37 |
| Meowth | Common | $5.64 | 1 in 5 (19.23%) | $377.57 |
| Deoxys | Holo Rare | $4.97 | 1 in 64 (1.56%) | $4645.55 |
| Togekiss (46 Delta) | Holo Rare | $4.89 | 1 in 64 (1.56%) | $4645.55 |
| Dragonite (51) | Rare | $4.24 | 1 in 27 (3.7%) | $1960.37 |
| Togekiss (46 Delta) | Holo Rare | $4.07 | 1 in 64 (1.56%) | $4645.55 |
| Double Dragon Energy | Uncommon | $4.03 | 1 in 11 (9.38%) | $774.51 |
| Electrode | Uncommon | $4.02 | 1 in 11 (9.38%) | $774.51 |
| Articuno (17 Delta) | Rare | $3.97 | 1 in 27 (3.7%) | $1960.37 |
| Banette (32 Delta) | Rare | $3.81 | 1 in 27 (3.7%) | $1960.37 |
| Reshiram | Holo Rare | $3.68 | 1 in 64 (1.56%) | $4645.55 |
| Reshiram | Holo Rare | $3.58 | 1 in 64 (1.56%) | $4645.55 |
| Togepi | Common | $3.35 | 1 in 5 (19.23%) | $377.57 |
| Swellow (72 Delta) | Holo Rare | $3.11 | 1 in 64 (1.56%) | $4645.55 |
| Dustox (8 Delta) | Rare | $3.03 | 1 in 27 (3.7%) | $1960.37 |
| Articuno (16) | Rare | $2.94 | 1 in 27 (3.7%) | $1960.37 |
| Zekrom | Holo Rare | $2.59 | 1 in 64 (1.56%) | $4645.55 |
| Swellow (72 Delta) | Holo Rare | $2.58 | 1 in 64 (1.56%) | $4645.55 |
| Trainers' Mail | Uncommon | $2.58 | 1 in 11 (9.38%) | $774.51 |
| Shuppet | Common | $2.33 | 1 in 5 (19.23%) | $377.57 |
| Salamence | Holo Rare | $2.24 | 1 in 64 (1.56%) | $4645.55 |
| Inkay | Common | $2.23 | 1 in 5 (19.23%) | $377.57 |
| Exeggcute | Common | $2.20 | 1 in 5 (19.23%) | $377.57 |
| Salamence | Holo Rare | $2.16 | 1 in 64 (1.56%) | $4645.55 |
| Zapdos | Rare | $1.96 | 1 in 27 (3.7%) | $1960.37 |
| Zekrom | Holo Rare | $1.92 | 1 in 64 (1.56%) | $4645.55 |
| Dragonair | Uncommon | $1.87 | 1 in 11 (9.38%) | $774.51 |
| Togekiss (45) | Rare | $1.79 | 1 in 27 (3.7%) | $1960.37 |
| Ultra Ball | Uncommon | $1.76 | 1 in 11 (9.38%) | $774.51 |
| Natu (28 Delta) | Common | $1.72 | 1 in 5 (19.23%) | $377.57 |
| Sky Field | Uncommon | $1.70 | 1 in 11 (9.38%) | $774.51 |
| Trainers' Mail | Uncommon | $1.70 | 1 in 11 (9.38%) | $774.51 |
| Pikachu | Common | $1.63 | 1 in 5 (19.23%) | $377.57 |
| Absol | Holo Rare | $1.50 | 1 in 64 (1.56%) | $4645.55 |
| Absol | Holo Rare | $1.48 | 1 in 64 (1.56%) | $4645.55 |
| Altaria (74 Delta) | Rare | $1.39 | 1 in 27 (3.7%) | $1960.37 |
| Unfezant (81 Delta) | Rare | $1.39 | 1 in 27 (3.7%) | $1960.37 |
| Dunsparce | Common | $1.33 | 1 in 5 (19.23%) | $377.57 |
| Articuno (16) | Rare | $1.32 | 1 in 27 (3.7%) | $1960.37 |
| Togetic | Uncommon | $1.18 | 1 in 11 (9.38%) | $774.51 |
| Carbink | Rare | $1.01 | 1 in 27 (3.7%) | $1960.37 |
| Banette (31) | Rare | $1.00 | 1 in 27 (3.7%) | $1960.37 |
| Banette (32 Delta) | Rare | $0.96 | 1 in 27 (3.7%) | $1960.37 |
| Exeggutor | Uncommon | $0.90 | 1 in 11 (9.38%) | $774.51 |
| Dratini | Common | $0.89 | 1 in 5 (19.23%) | $377.57 |
| Zapdos | Rare | $0.87 | 1 in 27 (3.7%) | $1960.37 |
| Latios Spirit Link | Uncommon | $0.86 | 1 in 11 (9.38%) | $774.51 |
| Gallade Spirit Link | Uncommon | $0.85 | 1 in 11 (9.38%) | $774.51 |
| Steven | Uncommon | $0.82 | 1 in 11 (9.38%) | $774.51 |
| Gliscor | Uncommon | $0.80 | 1 in 11 (9.38%) | $774.51 |
| Shedinja | Rare | $0.77 | 1 in 27 (3.7%) | $1960.37 |
| Altaria (53) | Uncommon | $0.74 | 1 in 11 (9.38%) | $774.51 |
| Shelgon | Uncommon | $0.74 | 1 in 11 (9.38%) | $774.51 |
| Rayquaza Spirit Link | Uncommon | $0.73 | 1 in 11 (9.38%) | $774.51 |
| Sky Field | Uncommon | $0.71 | 1 in 11 (9.38%) | $774.51 |
| Ninjask | Uncommon | $0.70 | 1 in 11 (9.38%) | $774.51 |
| Winona | Uncommon | $0.70 | 1 in 11 (9.38%) | $774.51 |
| Victini | Rare | $0.67 | 1 in 27 (3.7%) | $1960.37 |
| Klefki | Rare | $0.65 | 1 in 27 (3.7%) | $1960.37 |
| Swablu | Common | $0.64 | 1 in 5 (19.23%) | $377.57 |
| Switch | Uncommon | $0.63 | 1 in 11 (9.38%) | $774.51 |
| Beautifly | Holo Rare | $0.61 | 1 in 64 (1.56%) | $4645.55 |
| Beautifly | Holo Rare | $0.61 | 1 in 64 (1.56%) | $4645.55 |
| Healing Scarf | Uncommon | $0.57 | 1 in 11 (9.38%) | $774.51 |
| Talonflame | Rare | $0.56 | 1 in 27 (3.7%) | $1960.37 |
| Dunsparce | Common | $0.56 | 1 in 5 (19.23%) | $377.57 |
| Wide Lens | Uncommon | $0.56 | 1 in 11 (9.38%) | $774.51 |
| Silcoon | Uncommon | $0.55 | 1 in 11 (9.38%) | $774.51 |
| Skarmory | Rare | $0.54 | 1 in 27 (3.7%) | $1960.37 |
| Xatu | Rare | $0.53 | 1 in 27 (3.7%) | $1960.37 |
| Togepi | Common | $0.53 | 1 in 5 (19.23%) | $377.57 |
| Unfezant (81 Delta) | Rare | $0.53 | 1 in 27 (3.7%) | $1960.37 |
| Dustox (8 Delta) | Rare | $0.52 | 1 in 27 (3.7%) | $1960.37 |
| Banette (31) | Rare | $0.50 | 1 in 27 (3.7%) | $1960.37 |
| Togetic | Uncommon | $0.50 | 1 in 11 (9.38%) | $774.51 |
| Mega Turbo | Uncommon | $0.50 | 1 in 11 (9.38%) | $774.51 |
| Bagon (54) | Common | $0.49 | 1 in 5 (19.23%) | $377.57 |
| Wurmple | Common | $0.48 | 1 in 5 (19.23%) | $377.57 |
| Wally | Uncommon | $0.47 | 1 in 11 (9.38%) | $774.51 |
| Exeggcute | Common | $0.46 | 1 in 5 (19.23%) | $377.57 |
| Fletchinder | Uncommon | $0.46 | 1 in 11 (9.38%) | $774.51 |
| Carbink | Rare | $0.45 | 1 in 27 (3.7%) | $1960.37 |
| Swellow (71) | Rare | $0.45 | 1 in 27 (3.7%) | $1960.37 |
| Voltorb | Common | $0.44 | 1 in 5 (19.23%) | $377.57 |
| Dragonair | Uncommon | $0.43 | 1 in 11 (9.38%) | $774.51 |
| Tranquill | Uncommon | $0.43 | 1 in 11 (9.38%) | $774.51 |
| Wingull | Common | $0.42 | 1 in 5 (19.23%) | $377.57 |
| Manectric | Uncommon | $0.42 | 1 in 11 (9.38%) | $774.51 |
| Fearow | Uncommon | $0.42 | 1 in 11 (9.38%) | $774.51 |
| Meowth | Common | $0.42 | 1 in 5 (19.23%) | $377.57 |
| Klefki | Rare | $0.41 | 1 in 27 (3.7%) | $1960.37 |
| Bagon (55) | Common | $0.41 | 1 in 5 (19.23%) | $377.57 |
| Revive | Uncommon | $0.41 | 1 in 11 (9.38%) | $774.51 |
| Shedinja | Rare | $0.40 | 1 in 27 (3.7%) | $1960.37 |
| Pelipper | Uncommon | $0.38 | 1 in 11 (9.38%) | $774.51 |
| Gligar | Common | $0.37 | 1 in 5 (19.23%) | $377.57 |
| Dustox (7) | Uncommon | $0.36 | 1 in 11 (9.38%) | $774.51 |
| Inkay | Common | $0.36 | 1 in 5 (19.23%) | $377.57 |
| Pidove | Common | $0.36 | 1 in 5 (19.23%) | $377.57 |
| Electrode | Uncommon | $0.35 | 1 in 11 (9.38%) | $774.51 |
| Binacle | Common | $0.35 | 1 in 5 (19.23%) | $377.57 |
| Winona | Uncommon | $0.35 | 1 in 11 (9.38%) | $774.51 |
| Victini | Rare | $0.34 | 1 in 27 (3.7%) | $1960.37 |
| Electrike | Common | $0.34 | 1 in 5 (19.23%) | $377.57 |
| Natu (28 Delta) | Common | $0.34 | 1 in 5 (19.23%) | $377.57 |
| Shuppet | Common | $0.34 | 1 in 5 (19.23%) | $377.57 |
| Altaria (53) | Uncommon | $0.34 | 1 in 11 (9.38%) | $774.51 |
| Shelgon | Uncommon | $0.34 | 1 in 11 (9.38%) | $774.51 |
| Taillow | Common | $0.34 | 1 in 5 (19.23%) | $377.57 |
| Tropius | Uncommon | $0.33 | 1 in 11 (9.38%) | $774.51 |
| Cascoon | Common | $0.32 | 1 in 5 (19.23%) | $377.57 |
| Dustox (7) | Uncommon | $0.32 | 1 in 11 (9.38%) | $774.51 |
| Nincada | Common | $0.32 | 1 in 5 (19.23%) | $377.57 |
| Natu (27) | Common | $0.32 | 1 in 5 (19.23%) | $377.57 |
| Swellow (71) | Rare | $0.32 | 1 in 27 (3.7%) | $1960.37 |
| Ultra Ball | Uncommon | $0.32 | 1 in 11 (9.38%) | $774.51 |
| Wurmple | Common | $0.31 | 1 in 5 (19.23%) | $377.57 |
| Talonflame | Rare | $0.31 | 1 in 27 (3.7%) | $1960.37 |
| Xatu | Rare | $0.31 | 1 in 27 (3.7%) | $1960.37 |
| Dratini | Common | $0.31 | 1 in 5 (19.23%) | $377.57 |
| Spearow | Common | $0.31 | 1 in 5 (19.23%) | $377.57 |
| Steven | Uncommon | $0.31 | 1 in 11 (9.38%) | $774.51 |
| Silcoon | Uncommon | $0.29 | 1 in 11 (9.38%) | $774.51 |
| Hawlucha | Common | $0.29 | 1 in 5 (19.23%) | $377.57 |
| Fletchling | Common | $0.29 | 1 in 5 (19.23%) | $377.57 |
| Latios Spirit Link | Uncommon | $0.29 | 1 in 11 (9.38%) | $774.51 |
| Exeggutor | Uncommon | $0.28 | 1 in 11 (9.38%) | $774.51 |
| Skarmory | Rare | $0.28 | 1 in 27 (3.7%) | $1960.37 |
| Wally | Uncommon | $0.28 | 1 in 11 (9.38%) | $774.51 |
| Swablu | Common | $0.27 | 1 in 5 (19.23%) | $377.57 |
| Unfezant (80) | Uncommon | $0.27 | 1 in 11 (9.38%) | $774.51 |
| Ninjask | Uncommon | $0.26 | 1 in 11 (9.38%) | $774.51 |
| Gliscor | Uncommon | $0.26 | 1 in 11 (9.38%) | $774.51 |
| Pidove | Common | $0.26 | 1 in 5 (19.23%) | $377.57 |
| Revive | Uncommon | $0.26 | 1 in 11 (9.38%) | $774.51 |
| Tranquill | Uncommon | $0.25 | 1 in 11 (9.38%) | $774.51 |
| Pelipper | Uncommon | $0.24 | 1 in 11 (9.38%) | $774.51 |
| Mega Turbo | Uncommon | $0.23 | 1 in 11 (9.38%) | $774.51 |
| Manectric | Uncommon | $0.22 | 1 in 11 (9.38%) | $774.51 |
| Hawlucha | Common | $0.22 | 1 in 5 (19.23%) | $377.57 |
| Tropius | Uncommon | $0.21 | 1 in 11 (9.38%) | $774.51 |
| Wingull | Common | $0.21 | 1 in 5 (19.23%) | $377.57 |
| Gallade Spirit Link | Uncommon | $0.21 | 1 in 11 (9.38%) | $774.51 |
| Nincada | Common | $0.20 | 1 in 5 (19.23%) | $377.57 |
| Bagon (54) | Common | $0.20 | 1 in 5 (19.23%) | $377.57 |
| Bagon (55) | Common | $0.20 | 1 in 5 (19.23%) | $377.57 |
| Taillow | Common | $0.20 | 1 in 5 (19.23%) | $377.57 |
| Voltorb | Common | $0.19 | 1 in 5 (19.23%) | $377.57 |
| Gligar | Common | $0.19 | 1 in 5 (19.23%) | $377.57 |
| Healing Scarf | Uncommon | $0.19 | 1 in 11 (9.38%) | $774.51 |
| Electrike | Common | $0.18 | 1 in 5 (19.23%) | $377.57 |
| Spearow | Common | $0.18 | 1 in 5 (19.23%) | $377.57 |
| Unfezant (80) | Uncommon | $0.18 | 1 in 11 (9.38%) | $774.51 |
| Wide Lens | Uncommon | $0.18 | 1 in 11 (9.38%) | $774.51 |
| Binacle | Common | $0.17 | 1 in 5 (19.23%) | $377.57 |
| Natu (27) | Common | $0.16 | 1 in 5 (19.23%) | $377.57 |
| Fletchling | Common | $0.16 | 1 in 5 (19.23%) | $377.57 |
| Cascoon | Common | $0.15 | 1 in 5 (19.23%) | $377.57 |
| Fletchinder | Uncommon | $0.15 | 1 in 11 (9.38%) | $774.51 |
| Fearow | Uncommon | $0.15 | 1 in 11 (9.38%) | $774.51 |
| Switch | Uncommon | $0.13 | 1 in 11 (9.38%) | $774.51 |