XY - Steam Siege
A $34.18 XY - Steam Siege pack returns $6.21 in expected card value on average — 18% of what you paid.
No official TCGPlayer pull-rate article covers XY - Steam Siege. These odds come from thepricedex.com, which publishes a rate for each tier but does not say how many packs it counted to get there — so read them as indicative rather than measured. They are here because they are the best published figures for this set, and naming that limit is better than implying a precision the source never claimed.
How these figures are calculated, including the sourcing bar and what this model deliberately does not do.
- Pack EV: $6.21
- Cheapest pack: $34.18 (Steam Siege Booster Pack)
- Cards: 116 (209 versions)
Products in this set
| Product | Price | Expected value | Expected return |
|---|---|---|---|
| Steam Siege Booster Pack | $34.18 | $6.21 | 18% |
| XY Steam Siege Sleeved Booster Pack | $36.49 | $6.21 | 17% |
| Steam Siege Single Pack Blister [Floette] | $37.32 | $6.21 | 17% |
| Steam Siege Booster Box | $1436.99 | $223.67 | 16% |
| Steam Siege Single Pack Blister [Lucario] | $63.94 | $6.21 | 10% |
| Steam Siege Elite Trainer Box | $1800.00 | $55.92 | 3% |
| Steam Siege 3 Pack Blister [Rayquaza] | — | $18.64 | TBD |
| Steam Siege Collectible Pin 3 Pack Blister [Volcanion] | — | $18.64 | TBD |
| Steam Siege Collectible Pin 3 Pack Blister [Shiny Mega Gardevoir] | — | $18.64 | TBD |
| Battle Heart Tin [Magearna EX] | — | $18.64 | TBD |
| Battle Heart Tin [Pikachu EX] | — | $18.64 | TBD |
| Battle Heart Tin [Volcanion EX] | — | $18.64 | TBD |
| Steam Siege 3 Pack Blister [Azelf] | — | $18.64 | TBD |
Where to buy
Steam Siege Booster Pack · XY Steam Siege Sleeved Booster Pack · Steam Siege Single Pack Blister [Floette] · Steam Siege Booster Box · Steam Siege Single Pack Blister [Lucario] · Steam Siege Elite Trainer Box · Steam Siege 3 Pack Blister [Rayquaza] · Steam Siege Collectible Pin 3 Pack Blister [Volcanion] · Steam Siege Collectible Pin 3 Pack Blister [Shiny Mega Gardevoir] · Battle Heart Tin [Magearna EX] · Battle Heart Tin [Pikachu EX] · Battle Heart Tin [Volcanion EX] · Steam Siege 3 Pack Blister [Azelf]
Expected return by product type
| Product | Price per pack | Expected return |
|---|---|---|
| Booster Pack | $34.18 | 18% |
| Booster Box | $39.92 | 16% |
| Elite Trainer Box | $200.00 | 3% |
Pull rates (source: community_estimate)
| Rarity | Pull rate | Sample |
|---|---|---|
| Secret Rare | 0.8% | |
| Rare BREAK | 6.67% | |
| Ultra Rare | 12.55% | |
| Holo Rare | 20% | |
| Rare | 66.67% | |
| Common | 500% | |
| Uncommon | 300% |
Cards & odds
| Card | Rarity | Market price | Odds | Cost to pull |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gardevoir EX (Secret) | Secret Rare | $110.82 | 1 in 250 (0.4%) | $8545.00 |
| M Gardevoir EX (Full Art) | Ultra Rare | $56.66 | 1 in 112 (0.9%) | $3812.91 |
| Volcanion EX (Secret) | Secret Rare | $35.69 | 1 in 250 (0.4%) | $8545.00 |
| Gardevoir EX (Full Art) | Ultra Rare | $28.19 | 1 in 112 (0.9%) | $3812.91 |
| M Steelix EX (Full Art) | Ultra Rare | $27.74 | 1 in 112 (0.9%) | $3812.91 |
| M Gardevoir EX | Ultra Rare | $23.91 | 1 in 112 (0.9%) | $3812.91 |
| Steelix EX (Full Art) | Ultra Rare | $18.62 | 1 in 112 (0.9%) | $3812.91 |
| Professor Sycamore | Ultra Rare | $12.35 | 1 in 112 (0.9%) | $3812.91 |
| Volcanion EX (Full Art) | Ultra Rare | $9.87 | 1 in 112 (0.9%) | $3812.91 |
| M Steelix EX | Ultra Rare | $9.70 | 1 in 112 (0.9%) | $3812.91 |
| Magearna EX (Full Art) | Ultra Rare | $9.57 | 1 in 112 (0.9%) | $3812.91 |
| Xerneas BREAK | Rare BREAK | $8.20 | 1 in 105 (0.95%) | $3587.11 |
| Yveltal BREAK | Rare BREAK | $7.62 | 1 in 105 (0.95%) | $3587.11 |
| Pokemon Ranger (Full Art) | Ultra Rare | $6.54 | 1 in 112 (0.9%) | $3812.91 |
| Hydreigon BREAK | Rare BREAK | $6.53 | 1 in 105 (0.95%) | $3587.11 |
| Gardevoir EX | Ultra Rare | $5.92 | 1 in 112 (0.9%) | $3812.91 |
| Talonflame BREAK | Rare BREAK | $4.13 | 1 in 105 (0.95%) | $3587.11 |
| Clawitzer BREAK | Rare BREAK | $3.65 | 1 in 105 (0.95%) | $3587.11 |
| Steelix EX | Ultra Rare | $3.50 | 1 in 112 (0.9%) | $3812.91 |
| Pyroar BREAK | Rare BREAK | $3.46 | 1 in 105 (0.95%) | $3587.11 |
| Yanmega BREAK | Rare BREAK | $2.93 | 1 in 105 (0.95%) | $3587.11 |
| Volcanion EX | Ultra Rare | $2.84 | 1 in 112 (0.9%) | $3812.91 |
| Magearna EX | Ultra Rare | $1.53 | 1 in 112 (0.9%) | $3812.91 |
| Azumarill | Uncommon | $13.45 | 1 in 10 (10%) | $290.00 |
| Nidoking | Rare | $4.64 | 1 in 34 (2.9%) | $1000.45 |
| Chandelure | Holo Rare | $3.87 | 1 in 45 (2.22%) | $1305.00 |
| Volcarona | Rare | $3.73 | 1 in 34 (2.9%) | $1000.45 |
| Galvantula | Rare | $2.86 | 1 in 34 (2.9%) | $1000.45 |
| Special Charge | Uncommon | $2.25 | 1 in 10 (10%) | $290.00 |
| Ampharos | Holo Rare | $2.07 | 1 in 45 (2.22%) | $1305.00 |
| Chandelure | Holo Rare | $2.05 | 1 in 45 (2.22%) | $1305.00 |
| Infernape | Holo Rare | $1.69 | 1 in 45 (2.22%) | $1305.00 |
| Bisharp | Holo Rare | $1.67 | 1 in 45 (2.22%) | $1305.00 |
| Marill | Common | $1.55 | 1 in 6 (16.13%) | $179.80 |
| Azumarill | Uncommon | $1.54 | 1 in 10 (10%) | $290.00 |
| Ampharos | Holo Rare | $1.45 | 1 in 45 (2.22%) | $1305.00 |
| Xerneas | Holo Rare | $1.45 | 1 in 45 (2.22%) | $1305.00 |
| Shiftry | Holo Rare | $1.44 | 1 in 45 (2.22%) | $1305.00 |
| Infernape | Holo Rare | $1.40 | 1 in 45 (2.22%) | $1305.00 |
| Foongus | Common | $1.25 | 1 in 6 (16.13%) | $179.80 |
| Samurott | Rare | $1.25 | 1 in 34 (2.9%) | $1000.45 |
| Meowth | Common | $1.04 | 1 in 6 (16.13%) | $179.80 |
| Bisharp | Holo Rare | $1.00 | 1 in 45 (2.22%) | $1305.00 |
| Anorith | Uncommon | $1.00 | 1 in 10 (10%) | $290.00 |
| Xerneas | Holo Rare | $0.96 | 1 in 45 (2.22%) | $1305.00 |
| Volcarona | Rare | $0.91 | 1 in 34 (2.9%) | $1000.45 |
| Avalugg | Rare | $0.83 | 1 in 34 (2.9%) | $1000.45 |
| Oshawott | Common | $0.81 | 1 in 6 (16.13%) | $179.80 |
| Klefki | Uncommon | $0.80 | 1 in 10 (10%) | $290.00 |
| Gastrodon | Rare | $0.79 | 1 in 34 (2.9%) | $1000.45 |
| Nidoking | Rare | $0.77 | 1 in 34 (2.9%) | $1000.45 |
| Gardevoir Spirit Link | Uncommon | $0.77 | 1 in 10 (10%) | $290.00 |
| Rapidash | Uncommon | $0.75 | 1 in 10 (10%) | $290.00 |
| Hoopa | Rare | $0.75 | 1 in 34 (2.9%) | $1000.45 |
| Bastiodon | Rare | $0.75 | 1 in 34 (2.9%) | $1000.45 |
| Cobalion | Rare | $0.74 | 1 in 34 (2.9%) | $1000.45 |
| Shiftry | Holo Rare | $0.72 | 1 in 45 (2.22%) | $1305.00 |
| Armaldo | Rare | $0.72 | 1 in 34 (2.9%) | $1000.45 |
| Yveltal | Holo Rare | $0.72 | 1 in 45 (2.22%) | $1305.00 |
| Talonflame | Rare | $0.70 | 1 in 34 (2.9%) | $1000.45 |
| Weavile | Rare | $0.70 | 1 in 34 (2.9%) | $1000.45 |
| Shieldon | Uncommon | $0.69 | 1 in 10 (10%) | $290.00 |
| Druddigon | Rare | $0.69 | 1 in 34 (2.9%) | $1000.45 |
| Steelix Spirit Link | Uncommon | $0.68 | 1 in 10 (10%) | $290.00 |
| Primeape | Rare | $0.65 | 1 in 34 (2.9%) | $1000.45 |
| Persian | Uncommon | $0.65 | 1 in 10 (10%) | $290.00 |
| Hawlucha | Uncommon | $0.65 | 1 in 10 (10%) | $290.00 |
| Mareep | Common | $0.64 | 1 in 6 (16.13%) | $179.80 |
| Flaaffy | Uncommon | $0.63 | 1 in 10 (10%) | $290.00 |
| Nidorino | Uncommon | $0.63 | 1 in 10 (10%) | $290.00 |
| Yveltal | Holo Rare | $0.63 | 1 in 45 (2.22%) | $1305.00 |
| Larvesta | Common | $0.62 | 1 in 6 (16.13%) | $179.80 |
| Pyroar | Rare | $0.62 | 1 in 34 (2.9%) | $1000.45 |
| Gastrodon | Rare | $0.62 | 1 in 34 (2.9%) | $1000.45 |
| Klang | Uncommon | $0.61 | 1 in 10 (10%) | $290.00 |
| Ponyta | Common | $0.59 | 1 in 6 (16.13%) | $179.80 |
| Spiritomb | Rare | $0.59 | 1 in 34 (2.9%) | $1000.45 |
| Klinklang | Holo Rare | $0.58 | 1 in 45 (2.22%) | $1305.00 |
| Avalugg | Rare | $0.56 | 1 in 34 (2.9%) | $1000.45 |
| Lampent | Uncommon | $0.56 | 1 in 10 (10%) | $290.00 |
| Monferno | Uncommon | $0.55 | 1 in 10 (10%) | $290.00 |
| Volcanion | Rare | $0.55 | 1 in 34 (2.9%) | $1000.45 |
| Drifloon | Common | $0.55 | 1 in 6 (16.13%) | $179.80 |
| Toxicroak | Rare | $0.55 | 1 in 34 (2.9%) | $1000.45 |
| Aipom | Common | $0.55 | 1 in 6 (16.13%) | $179.80 |
| Dewott | Uncommon | $0.54 | 1 in 10 (10%) | $290.00 |
| Yanmega | Rare | $0.53 | 1 in 34 (2.9%) | $1000.45 |
| Shellos | Common | $0.53 | 1 in 6 (16.13%) | $179.80 |
| Bastiodon | Rare | $0.53 | 1 in 34 (2.9%) | $1000.45 |
| Chimchar | Common | $0.52 | 1 in 6 (16.13%) | $179.80 |
| Nuzleaf | Uncommon | $0.49 | 1 in 10 (10%) | $290.00 |
| Tangrowth | Uncommon | $0.48 | 1 in 10 (10%) | $290.00 |
| Skiploom | Uncommon | $0.48 | 1 in 10 (10%) | $290.00 |
| Jumpluff | Rare | $0.48 | 1 in 34 (2.9%) | $1000.45 |
| Nidoran M | Common | $0.48 | 1 in 6 (16.13%) | $179.80 |
| Hoopa | Rare | $0.48 | 1 in 34 (2.9%) | $1000.45 |
| Hydreigon | Holo Rare | $0.47 | 1 in 45 (2.22%) | $1305.00 |
| Fletchinder | Uncommon | $0.47 | 1 in 10 (10%) | $290.00 |
| Bergmite | Common | $0.46 | 1 in 6 (16.13%) | $179.80 |
| Galvantula | Rare | $0.46 | 1 in 34 (2.9%) | $1000.45 |
| Armaldo | Rare | $0.46 | 1 in 34 (2.9%) | $1000.45 |
| Zweilous | Uncommon | $0.46 | 1 in 10 (10%) | $290.00 |
| Ambipom | Uncommon | $0.46 | 1 in 10 (10%) | $290.00 |
| Claw Fossil Anorith | Uncommon | $0.46 | 1 in 10 (10%) | $290.00 |
| Klinklang | Holo Rare | $0.45 | 1 in 45 (2.22%) | $1305.00 |
| Pokemon Ranger | Uncommon | $0.45 | 1 in 10 (10%) | $290.00 |
| Amoonguss | Rare | $0.44 | 1 in 34 (2.9%) | $1000.45 |
| Mantine | Common | $0.44 | 1 in 6 (16.13%) | $179.80 |
| Litwick | Common | $0.44 | 1 in 6 (16.13%) | $179.80 |
| Ninja Boy | Uncommon | $0.44 | 1 in 10 (10%) | $290.00 |
| Clauncher | Common | $0.43 | 1 in 6 (16.13%) | $179.80 |
| Joltik | Common | $0.43 | 1 in 6 (16.13%) | $179.80 |
| Talonflame | Rare | $0.42 | 1 in 34 (2.9%) | $1000.45 |
| Foongus | Common | $0.42 | 1 in 6 (16.13%) | $179.80 |
| Drifblim | Uncommon | $0.42 | 1 in 10 (10%) | $290.00 |
| Marill | Common | $0.42 | 1 in 6 (16.13%) | $179.80 |
| Hydreigon | Holo Rare | $0.42 | 1 in 45 (2.22%) | $1305.00 |
| Captivating Poke Puff | Uncommon | $0.41 | 1 in 10 (10%) | $290.00 |
| Tangela | Common | $0.40 | 1 in 6 (16.13%) | $179.80 |
| Probopass | Rare | $0.40 | 1 in 34 (2.9%) | $1000.45 |
| Cobalion | Rare | $0.40 | 1 in 34 (2.9%) | $1000.45 |
| Armor Fossil Shieldon | Uncommon | $0.40 | 1 in 10 (10%) | $290.00 |
| Weavile | Rare | $0.39 | 1 in 34 (2.9%) | $1000.45 |
| Braviary | Uncommon | $0.39 | 1 in 10 (10%) | $290.00 |
| Special Charge | Uncommon | $0.39 | 1 in 10 (10%) | $290.00 |
| Jumpluff | Rare | $0.38 | 1 in 34 (2.9%) | $1000.45 |
| Samurott | Rare | $0.38 | 1 in 34 (2.9%) | $1000.45 |
| Nosepass | Common | $0.38 | 1 in 6 (16.13%) | $179.80 |
| Hoppip | Common | $0.37 | 1 in 6 (16.13%) | $179.80 |
| Volcanion | Rare | $0.36 | 1 in 34 (2.9%) | $1000.45 |
| Mankey | Common | $0.36 | 1 in 6 (16.13%) | $179.80 |
| Rufflet | Common | $0.36 | 1 in 6 (16.13%) | $179.80 |
| Seedot | Common | $0.35 | 1 in 6 (16.13%) | $179.80 |
| Pyroar | Rare | $0.35 | 1 in 34 (2.9%) | $1000.45 |
| Pawniard | Common | $0.35 | 1 in 6 (16.13%) | $179.80 |
| Klink | Common | $0.35 | 1 in 6 (16.13%) | $179.80 |
| Primeape | Rare | $0.34 | 1 in 34 (2.9%) | $1000.45 |
| Fletchling | Common | $0.34 | 1 in 6 (16.13%) | $179.80 |
| Clawitzer | Rare | $0.33 | 1 in 34 (2.9%) | $1000.45 |
| Croagunk | Common | $0.33 | 1 in 6 (16.13%) | $179.80 |
| Klefki | Uncommon | $0.33 | 1 in 10 (10%) | $290.00 |
| Druddigon | Rare | $0.33 | 1 in 34 (2.9%) | $1000.45 |
| Meowth | Common | $0.33 | 1 in 6 (16.13%) | $179.80 |
| Greedy Dice | Uncommon | $0.33 | 1 in 10 (10%) | $290.00 |
| Clawitzer | Rare | $0.31 | 1 in 34 (2.9%) | $1000.45 |
| Mareep | Common | $0.31 | 1 in 6 (16.13%) | $179.80 |
| Litleo | Common | $0.30 | 1 in 6 (16.13%) | $179.80 |
| Oshawott | Common | $0.30 | 1 in 6 (16.13%) | $179.80 |
| Deino | Common | $0.30 | 1 in 6 (16.13%) | $179.80 |
| Sneasel | Common | $0.29 | 1 in 6 (16.13%) | $179.80 |
| Yanma | Common | $0.28 | 1 in 6 (16.13%) | $179.80 |
| Amoonguss | Rare | $0.28 | 1 in 34 (2.9%) | $1000.45 |
| Larvesta | Common | $0.28 | 1 in 6 (16.13%) | $179.80 |
| Monferno | Uncommon | $0.28 | 1 in 10 (10%) | $290.00 |
| Mantine | Common | $0.28 | 1 in 6 (16.13%) | $179.80 |
| Toxicroak | Rare | $0.28 | 1 in 34 (2.9%) | $1000.45 |
| Shieldon | Uncommon | $0.28 | 1 in 10 (10%) | $290.00 |
| Nidoran M | Common | $0.27 | 1 in 6 (16.13%) | $179.80 |
| Spiritomb | Rare | $0.27 | 1 in 34 (2.9%) | $1000.45 |
| Tangela | Common | $0.26 | 1 in 6 (16.13%) | $179.80 |
| Litwick | Common | $0.26 | 1 in 6 (16.13%) | $179.80 |
| Rapidash | Uncommon | $0.25 | 1 in 10 (10%) | $290.00 |
| Joltik | Common | $0.25 | 1 in 6 (16.13%) | $179.80 |
| Drifloon | Common | $0.25 | 1 in 6 (16.13%) | $179.80 |
| Drifblim | Uncommon | $0.25 | 1 in 10 (10%) | $290.00 |
| Hawlucha | Uncommon | $0.25 | 1 in 10 (10%) | $290.00 |
| Gardevoir Spirit Link | Uncommon | $0.25 | 1 in 10 (10%) | $290.00 |
| Chimchar | Common | $0.24 | 1 in 6 (16.13%) | $179.80 |
| Flaaffy | Uncommon | $0.24 | 1 in 10 (10%) | $290.00 |
| Lampent | Uncommon | $0.24 | 1 in 10 (10%) | $290.00 |
| Probopass | Rare | $0.24 | 1 in 34 (2.9%) | $1000.45 |
| Sneasel | Common | $0.24 | 1 in 6 (16.13%) | $179.80 |
| Zweilous | Uncommon | $0.24 | 1 in 10 (10%) | $290.00 |
| Persian | Uncommon | $0.24 | 1 in 10 (10%) | $290.00 |
| Armor Fossil Shieldon | Uncommon | $0.23 | 1 in 10 (10%) | $290.00 |
| Claw Fossil Anorith | Uncommon | $0.23 | 1 in 10 (10%) | $290.00 |
| Hoppip | Common | $0.22 | 1 in 6 (16.13%) | $179.80 |
| Yanmega | Rare | $0.22 | 1 in 34 (2.9%) | $1000.45 |
| Shellos | Common | $0.22 | 1 in 6 (16.13%) | $179.80 |
| Anorith | Uncommon | $0.22 | 1 in 10 (10%) | $290.00 |
| Captivating Poke Puff | Uncommon | $0.21 | 1 in 10 (10%) | $290.00 |
| Skiploom | Uncommon | $0.21 | 1 in 10 (10%) | $290.00 |
| Nidorino | Uncommon | $0.21 | 1 in 10 (10%) | $290.00 |
| Steelix Spirit Link | Uncommon | $0.21 | 1 in 10 (10%) | $290.00 |
| Ponyta | Common | $0.20 | 1 in 6 (16.13%) | $179.80 |
| Dewott | Uncommon | $0.20 | 1 in 10 (10%) | $290.00 |
| Bergmite | Common | $0.20 | 1 in 6 (16.13%) | $179.80 |
| Mankey | Common | $0.20 | 1 in 6 (16.13%) | $179.80 |
| Seedot | Common | $0.19 | 1 in 6 (16.13%) | $179.80 |
| Yanma | Common | $0.18 | 1 in 6 (16.13%) | $179.80 |
| Litleo | Common | $0.18 | 1 in 6 (16.13%) | $179.80 |
| Aipom | Common | $0.18 | 1 in 6 (16.13%) | $179.80 |
| Nuzleaf | Uncommon | $0.17 | 1 in 10 (10%) | $290.00 |
| Clauncher | Common | $0.17 | 1 in 6 (16.13%) | $179.80 |
| Nosepass | Common | $0.17 | 1 in 6 (16.13%) | $179.80 |
| Ambipom | Uncommon | $0.17 | 1 in 10 (10%) | $290.00 |
| Braviary | Uncommon | $0.17 | 1 in 10 (10%) | $290.00 |
| Ninja Boy | Uncommon | $0.17 | 1 in 10 (10%) | $290.00 |
| Croagunk | Common | $0.16 | 1 in 6 (16.13%) | $179.80 |
| Klang | Uncommon | $0.16 | 1 in 10 (10%) | $290.00 |
| Deino | Common | $0.16 | 1 in 6 (16.13%) | $179.80 |
| Rufflet | Common | $0.16 | 1 in 6 (16.13%) | $179.80 |
| Fletchling | Common | $0.16 | 1 in 6 (16.13%) | $179.80 |
| Tangrowth | Uncommon | $0.15 | 1 in 10 (10%) | $290.00 |
| Klink | Common | $0.15 | 1 in 6 (16.13%) | $179.80 |
| Fletchinder | Uncommon | $0.15 | 1 in 10 (10%) | $290.00 |
| Greedy Dice | Uncommon | $0.15 | 1 in 10 (10%) | $290.00 |
| Pokemon Ranger | Uncommon | $0.15 | 1 in 10 (10%) | $290.00 |
| Pawniard | Common | $0.11 | 1 in 6 (16.13%) | $179.80 |