Opening Shining Fates Premium Collection [Shiny Dragapult] returns about $24.23 in card value against its $125.65 price — roughly $0.19 back per dollar spent. On current prices, you lose money on average by opening it.
See every card and pull rate in Shining Fates
How expected value is calculated — card value only, from published pull rates and daily market prices.
Shining Fates Premium Collection [Shiny Dragapult] on TCGplayer